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Confidence and information usage: Evidence from soil testing in India 信心和信息使用:来自印度土壤测试的证据
IF 3.3 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-23 DOI: 10.1111/ajae.12513
Jared Gars, Ram Fishman, Avinash Kishore, Yoav Rothler, Patrick S. Ward

Informational barriers are often considered to be a major constraint to the adoption of improved farming practices, inputs, and technologies by smallholder farmers. In the Indian context, it is widely believed that farmers misapply chemical fertilizers because they lack scientific information on soil conditions and corresponding fertilizer recommendations, thus resulting in imbalanced and potentially detrimental fertilizer application. Policymakers are frequently interested in providing farmers with various streams of information to overcome these informational barriers to optimize farming activities. However, such informational interventions frequently fail either because generic recommendations may be ill-suited for decision makers in highly heterogeneous agricultural environments or because farmers' beliefs may be so entrenched as to make them unresponsive to new information. We implemented a field experiment in Bihar, India to test whether plot-specific fertilizer recommendations affect farmers' fertilizer use. We find little evidence for sizable impacts on fertilizer use in general, though impacts are more apparent for low cost or costless recommendations such as increasing the use of highly subsidized fertilizers or shifting the timing of application. Despite modest evidence of such effects, even those fall short of their potential magnitude. We show that treated farmers who are less confident in their subjective beliefs about optimal fertilizer application rates (i.e., with more disperse priors) are more responsive to the recommendations and have a higher ex ante willingness to pay for soil testing. These results suggest that heterogeneity in beliefs may constrain the overall effectiveness of information provision, even when the information is tailored to individual farms.

信息障碍通常被认为是小农采用改良耕作方法、投入物和技术的主要制约因素。在印度,人们普遍认为农民滥用化肥是因为他们缺乏关于土壤条件和相应肥料建议的科学信息,从而导致化肥施用不平衡和潜在的有害。决策者往往有兴趣向农民提供各种信息流,以克服这些信息障碍,优化农业活动。然而,这种信息干预经常失败,要么是因为一般建议可能不适合高度异质的农业环境中的决策者,要么是因为农民的信念可能如此根深蒂固,使他们对新信息没有反应。我们在印度比哈尔邦实施了一项田间试验,以测试针对特定地块的肥料建议是否会影响农民的肥料使用。我们发现很少有证据表明总体上对肥料使用有相当大的影响,尽管低成本或无成本的建议,如增加高补贴肥料的使用或改变施用时间,影响更为明显。尽管这种影响的证据不多,但即使是这些影响也没有达到其潜在的程度。我们发现,那些对最佳肥料施用量的主观信念不太自信的农民(即,具有更分散的先验)对建议的反应更积极,并且有更高的事先支付土壤测试的意愿。这些结果表明,信念的异质性可能会限制信息提供的总体有效性,即使信息是针对个别农场量身定制的。
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引用次数: 0
AAEA fellows AAEA研究员
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-22 DOI: 10.1111/ajae.12518
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引用次数: 0
Destination categories, channel choice, and beer distribution laws 目的地类别、渠道选择和啤酒分销规律
IF 3.3 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-20 DOI: 10.1111/ajae.12516
Anna Malinovskaya, Timothy J. Richards, Bradley Rickard

Consumers tend to choose the type of store, or grocery channel, on the basis of “destination categories,” or categories that tend to be important attractors relative to others. Whether or not a category is truly important to generating incremental market share, however, is a difficult empirical question, because there has been little exogenous variation that permits a clear test of whether categories tend to attract traffic. In this study, we leverage a change in beer distribution laws in the state of Colorado that permitted full-strength beer to be sold for the first time in traditional supermarkets. We use a difference-in-difference estimation strategy to test whether the introduction of a new category of products represented an incremental gain in channel attraction using both consumer panel and retail scanner data. Our results show that the introduction of beer into grocery stores in Colorado led to an increase in total weekly sales (1.2%) and a relative increase in expenditures for some categories, notably those that are likely to be complementary to beer purchases. Additional results using the consumer panel indicate an increase in the frequency of grocery store visits by beer-purchasing households as well as an increase in monthly grocery store expenditures (8.0%) among beer-purchasing households.

消费者倾向于根据“目标类别”或相对于其他类别具有重要吸引力的类别来选择商店或杂货渠道的类型。然而,一个品类是否真的对产生增量市场份额很重要,这是一个困难的实证问题,因为几乎没有外生变量允许明确测试品类是否倾向于吸引流量。在这项研究中,我们利用了科罗拉多州啤酒分销法律的变化,首次允许在传统超市销售全强度啤酒。我们使用差中差估计策略来测试新产品类别的引入是否代表了渠道吸引力的增量收益,使用消费者面板和零售扫描仪数据。我们的研究结果表明,啤酒进入科罗拉多州的杂货店导致每周总销售额增加(1.2%),一些类别的支出相对增加,特别是那些可能与啤酒购买互补的类别。使用消费者小组的其他结果表明,啤酒购买家庭访问杂货店的频率增加,啤酒购买家庭的每月杂货店支出增加(8.0%)。
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引用次数: 0
Horizontal merger simulation in a Cournot oligopoly with competitive fringe: The U.S. broiler industry case 具有竞争边缘的古诺寡头垄断的横向合并模拟:美国肉鸡产业案例
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-20 DOI: 10.1111/ajae.12511
Lulu Pi, Tomislav Vukina

This article analyzes the impact of a recent merger between the third and the seventh largest broiler producers in the United States on the equilibrium of the downstream broiler market. Reflective of the broiler industry market structure, in the theoretical part of the article we adopt the model of a Cournot oligopoly with a competitive fringe and then apply merger simulation to predict the welfare effects. We fit our theoretical framework to the pre-merger data under the assumption of different numbers of oligopoly firms. The results suggest that the merger between Sanderson Farms and Wayne Farms will significantly increase the market price of chicken meat and decrease consumer surplus, and that the magnitude of these impacts hinges on the size of the oligopoly. The net welfare effect could be positive or negative, but it is not statistically significant at the 5% level.

本文分析了美国第三和第七大肉鸡生产商最近合并对下游肉鸡市场平衡的影响。针对肉鸡产业的市场结构,本文的理论部分采用具有竞争边缘的古诺寡头垄断模型,并运用并购模拟的方法对福利效应进行预测。在不同寡头垄断企业数量的假设下,我们将理论框架拟合到并购前的数据中。研究结果表明,Sanderson Farms和Wayne Farms的合并将显著提高鸡肉的市场价格,降低消费者剩余,并且这些影响的大小取决于寡头垄断的规模。净福利效应可能是正的,也可能是负的,但在5%的水平上不具有统计学意义。
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引用次数: 0
Barriers to the cross-border diffusion of climate change policies 气候变化政策跨界传播的障碍
IF 3.3 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-19 DOI: 10.1111/ajae.12514
Trung V. Vu

This paper establishes a statistically and economically significant relationship between national responses to climate change and genetic distance, which is a proxy for countries' dissimilarities in cultures, ancestry, and historical legacies associated with long-term exposure to divergent historical trajectories. It finds that countries that are genetically distant to the world-leading nation-state of climate change mitigation tend to experience barriers to the cross-border diffusion of climate change policies and hence exhibit worse responses to climate change. A potential explanation is that climate change polices are more likely to spread between closely related countries with more similar preferences for the provision of the public goods of environmental and climate protection. The findings imply that strengthening climate change mitigation requires overcoming obstacles to international policy diffusion.

本文建立了国家对气候变化的反应与遗传距离之间的统计和经济意义上的关系,遗传距离是各国在文化、祖先和历史遗产方面的差异的代理,这些差异与长期暴露于不同的历史轨迹有关。报告发现,在基因上与减缓气候变化的世界领先民族国家相距遥远的国家,在气候变化政策的跨界传播方面往往遇到障碍,因此对气候变化的反应更差。一种可能的解释是,气候变化政策更有可能在密切相关的国家之间传播,这些国家在提供环境和气候保护公共产品方面的偏好更相似。研究结果表明,加强减缓气候变化需要克服国际政策传播的障碍。
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引用次数: 0
Steven Deller Steven Deller
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-19 DOI: 10.1111/ajae.12521
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引用次数: 0
Titus Awokuse
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1111/ajae.12519
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引用次数: 0
Rachael E. Goodhue 瑞秋·e·古德休
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1111/ajae.12522
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引用次数: 0
Oral Capps 口服capp
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1111/ajae.12520
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引用次数: 0
Alfons Weersink
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1111/ajae.12524
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引用次数: 0
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American Journal of Agricultural Economics
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