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Compiling an inclusive growth index: Methodological challenges, considerations and conclusions 编制包容性增长指数:方法挑战、考虑和结论
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-22 DOI: 10.3233/sji-230025
Nour Barnat, S. MacFeely, F. Cantú, A. Peltola, Anastasia Khazhgerieva, A. Panteleev, Nikolay T. Ryabtsev
In recent years there has been much debate about the need to supplement existing economic indicators, most notably gross domestic product (GDP), with a more rounded and balanced set of indicators that better reflect the complexity of today’s economic, societal and environmental needs. To address this need, the United Nations Conference for Trade and Development (UNCTAD) in cooperation with the Eurasian Economic Commission (EEC) developed a first prototype composite index measuring inclusive growth tailored to that region. This paper summarises the conceptual objectives and some of key methodological challenges and considerations faced in compiling such an index. Many of the challenges and methodological considerations are universal and not specific to EEC. A brief outline of results and future work is also detailed.
近年来,人们一直在争论是否需要用一套更全面、更平衡的指标来补充现有的经济指标,尤其是国内生产总值,以更好地反映当今经济、社会和环境需求的复杂性。为了满足这一需求,联合国贸易和发展会议(贸发会议)与欧亚经济委员会合作,制定了第一个衡量该地区包容性增长的原型综合指数。本文总结了编制此类指数的概念目标以及一些关键的方法挑战和考虑因素。许多挑战和方法上的考虑是普遍的,而不是欧共体特有的。还详细介绍了成果和未来工作的概要。
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引用次数: 0
General introduction to the special issue: Governance Statistics and the UN Praia City Group 特刊一般介绍:治理统计和联合国普拉亚城市小组
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-16 DOI: 10.3233/sji-230023
T. Calvo, J. Cling, M. Razafindrakoto, F. Roubaud, A. Sougané
International organisations recently brought good governance and peace in the forefront of the development agenda. The measurement of related indicators, which differ by their nature, their sources and the institutions in charge of their collection, with National Statistics Institutes in the frontline, as well as their analyses keep growing. This paper introduces the special issue of nine articles on the measurement and analyses of Governance, Peace and Security statistics in four continents. It presents initiatives for some led by the only UN city group on statistical methodologies based in Africa, the Praia Group. Members of the latter group describe the advances and challenges such data collection implies particularly in time of pandemics. Following articles focus on the state of the art of statistics about transparency in Brazil, criminal violence in France and conflict more broadly. A set of articles in four African countries interrogate the relationship between perceptions and experiences and analyse their determinants. The issue ends with the works of international leaders in governance data collection, Mali and Peru. This special issue shows how statistical data on governance make a twofold contribution to achieving the principles of SDG 16 by providing reliable indicators and voicing public opinion to governments.
国际组织最近将善政与和平置于发展议程的首位。相关指标的衡量及其分析不断增长,这些指标因其性质、来源和负责收集的机构而异,国家统计研究院处于第一线。本文介绍了关于衡量和分析四大洲治理、和平与安全统计数据的九篇文章的特刊。它为联合国唯一一个基于非洲的统计方法城市小组普拉亚小组领导的一些人提出了倡议。后一组成员描述了这种数据收集所带来的进步和挑战,尤其是在流行病时期。以下文章重点介绍了巴西透明度、法国犯罪暴力和更广泛冲突的统计现状。四个非洲国家的一组文章探讨了观念和经验之间的关系,并分析了它们的决定因素。该问题以马里和秘鲁治理数据收集方面的国际领导人的工作结束。这期特刊展示了治理统计数据如何通过提供可靠的指标和向政府表达公众意见,为实现可持续发展目标16的原则做出双重贡献。
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引用次数: 0
An annual mixed-mode survey to measure victimisation in France from 2022: The chronicle of an overhaul in 5 acts 从2022年起衡量法国受害者的年度混合模式调查:五项法案的大修编年史
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-06 DOI: 10.3233/sji-230018
Hélène Guedj, Tiaray Razafindranovona, Sandra Zilloniz
In 2022, the “Vécu et ressenti en matière de sécurité” (Experiences and feelings about safety) victimisation survey (107,000 respondents during phase 1, almost 80% of which responded online) designed by the Ministerial Statistical Department for Internal Security (SSMSI) took the place of the “Cadre de vie et sécurité” (Living environment and security) survey, which was conducted annually by INSEE between 2007 and 2021. This new mixed-mode survey, conducted among a large sample of the general population, is the result of a major overhaul that has been under way at the SSMSI since 2019 and which has involved INSEE and all of the national stakeholders with an interest in security. In order for this project to succeed, a thorough review was needed of the existing situation, together with the development and evaluation of an innovative and ambitious protocol in the context of the development of a fast-growing mixed-mode survey and the hosting and management of a consultation within a multidisciplinary committee. The objective of this article is to present, in five acts, the main lines of the project that led to the design of the new survey. This first edition thus marks the beginning of a long-term process that will require future methodological developments which will help to consolidate the knowledge and practices acquired through the switch to a mixed-mode approach for surveys conducted among the general population.
2022年,由国内安全部统计司(SSMSI)设计的“Vécu et ressenti en matière de sécurité”(对安全的体验和感受)受害调查(第一阶段有10.7万名受访者,其中近80%在线回复)取代了“生活和安全干部”(生活环境和安全)调查,欧洲工商管理学院在2007年至2021年间每年进行一次。这项新的混合模式调查是在大量普通人群中进行的,是自2019年以来SSMSI正在进行的一项重大改革的结果,该改革涉及INSEE和所有对安全感兴趣的国家利益相关者。为了使该项目取得成功,需要对现有情况进行彻底审查,同时在发展快速增长的混合模式调查以及在多学科委员会内主持和管理协商的背景下,制定和评估一项创新和雄心勃勃的议定书。本文的目的是分五幕介绍导致新调查设计的项目主线。因此,第一版标志着一个长期过程的开始,这一过程将需要未来的方法发展,这将有助于巩固通过在普通人群中进行调查的混合模式方法获得的知识和做法。
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引用次数: 0
Overview of discrimination in Cameroon in 2014: Between perception and experience, predominance of the phenomenon 2014年喀麦隆歧视概览:在观念和经验之间,歧视现象占主导地位
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-13 DOI: 10.3233/sji-230011
G. F. Ndeffo, Niekou, J. Tedou
This article analyses discrimination in Cameroon based on data from the Governance, Peace and Security (GPS) module of the Strategy for Harmonization of Statistics in Africa (SHaSA). The data from this module were collected during the fourth Cameroon Household Survey (ECAM4), the main aim of which was to determine the profile of income poverty in Cameroon in 2014. The analysis highlights the forms of discrimination observed in Cameroon in 2014, the characteristics of people who are victims of discrimination and the determining factors of discrimination. Measuring discrimination using subjective and objective approaches shows a very high level both generally and in relation to law enforcement agencies. Discrimination relating to economic status (poverty or wealth) is the most widespread form. Certain forms of discrimination experienced are based on human capital, regional particularities and specific individual characteristics. This article suggests pathways to better target actions to fight against discrimination in all its forms, and thereby “to promote and enforce non-discriminatory laws and policies for sustainable development”, Target 16.b of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
本文根据非洲统一统计战略的治理、和平与安全模块的数据分析了喀麦隆的歧视现象。该模块的数据是在第四次喀麦隆家庭调查(ECAM4)期间收集的,其主要目的是确定2014年喀麦隆的收入贫困状况。该分析强调了2014年在喀麦隆观察到的歧视形式、歧视受害者的特点以及歧视的决定因素。使用主观和客观方法衡量歧视,无论是在总体上还是在执法机构方面都显示出非常高的水平。与经济地位(贫困或财富)有关的歧视是最普遍的形式。所经历的某些形式的歧视是基于人力资本、地区特殊性和特定的个人特征。这篇文章提出了更好地针对行动的途径,以打击一切形式的歧视,从而“促进和执行可持续发展的非歧视性法律和政策”,即可持续发展目标的目标16.b。
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引用次数: 0
Perception of insecurity in municipalities in Mexico: A small area estimation approach 墨西哥市政当局对不安全的看法:小区域估计方法
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-13 DOI: 10.3233/sji-220101
Mario Alberto Santillana, J. A. Gallegos, Alma Itzel García, Elizabeth Díaz, Daniel Gutiérrez, Nancy Leticia González
In this paper, the percentage of the population aged 18 years and over with perception of insecurity during March and April 2021 is estimated for each municipality in Mexico using small area estimation techniques. Two methods are considered: the Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Predictor (EBLUP) and the Spatial Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Predictor (SEBLUP), both based on the Fay-Herriot area-level model. The National Survey of Victimization and Perception of Public Safety 2021 (ENVIPE 2021, for its acronym in Spanish) is the base survey from which the variable object of estimation is obtained; the auxiliary variables that allow to establish the considered models are obtained from other information sources, such as the population and housing census and administrative records. The results are adjusted to satisfy the benchmarking property and are contrasted with direct estimates given by the same survey, ENVIPE 2021, to compare their reliability level.
在本文中,使用小面积估计技术估计了2021年3月和4月墨西哥每个市镇18岁及以上有不安全感的人口百分比。考虑了两种方法:经验最佳线性无偏预报器(EBLUP)和空间经验最佳线性无偏预报器,这两种方法都基于Fay-Herriot地区水平模型。2021年全国受害者和公共安全感知调查(ENVIPE 2021,西班牙语缩写)是获得可变估计对象的基础调查;允许建立所考虑的模型的辅助变量是从其他信息来源获得的,如人口和住房普查以及行政记录。对结果进行了调整,以满足基准特性,并与同一调查ENVIPE 2021给出的直接估计进行了对比,以比较其可靠性水平。
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引用次数: 0
Public sector governance statistics in Brazil: Challenges and perspectives, and focus on transparency 巴西公共部门治理统计:挑战与展望,并关注透明度
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-12 DOI: 10.3233/sji-230010
Leonardo Athias, Luanda Botelho
The text explores the production of statistics on public sector governance in Brazil both by the official statistical office (IBGE) and other producers, most of them control agencies. The article gives details about the main data sources. Some challenges and perspectives related to regular and comprehensive production are explored. There is also an example of analysis with data on transparency in municipal government collected using different methodologies. This exercise shows some issues faced when one tries to put together different data sources.
本文探讨了巴西官方统计办公室(IBGE)和其他生产者(其中大多数是控制机构)对公共部门治理的统计数据的生产。本文详细介绍了主要数据源。探讨了与常规和综合生产相关的一些挑战和观点。还有一个例子是对使用不同方法收集的市政府透明度数据进行分析。这个练习展示了将不同的数据源放在一起时会遇到的一些问题。
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引用次数: 0
Guest Editorial 客座编辑
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-11 DOI: 10.3233/sji-230022
J. Cardoso, Jean-Luc Tavernier
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引用次数: 0
Interview with George Sciadas, about his book ‘Number Savvy: From the Invention of Numbers to the Future of Data’1 采访George Sciadas,关于他的书《数字精明:从数字的发明到数据的未来》1
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-11 DOI: 10.3233/sji-230019
George Sciadas, a former director from Statistics Canada recently published the book ‘Number Savvy’, with the subtitle ‘From the Invention of Numbers to the Future of Data’. Though in recent years several books on data were published, this book is striking from several perspectives. It has been written by an insider, an experienced employee from a national statistical office, though in a style that allows a wide range of readers to understand and enjoy the material. Another reason for putting the spotlight on this book is its explicit structure, highlighting crucial elements of the production of statistics as well as its use, which makes it a tremendously useful book for those involved in training in statistical literacy. With this specific focus in mind, Walter Radermacher was found willing to interview the author George Sciadas.
加拿大统计局前局长George Sciadas最近出版了《数字精明》一书,副标题为“从数字的发明到数据的未来”。尽管近年来出版了几本关于数据的书,但这本书从几个角度来看都很引人注目。这本书是由一位内部人士撰写的,他是一位来自国家统计局的经验丰富的员工,尽管其风格让广大读者能够理解和欣赏这些材料。关注这本书的另一个原因是它的结构清晰,突出了统计数据的制作和使用的关键要素,这使它成为一本对参与统计素养培训的人非常有用的书。考虑到这一特定的关注点,沃尔特·拉德马赫被发现愿意采访作家乔治·西亚达斯。
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引用次数: 0
Now is the time to close gaps in governance statistics: And the Praia Group is ready for the challenge 现在是缩小治理统计差距的时候了:普拉亚集团已经做好了迎接挑战的准备
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-10 DOI: 10.3233/sji-230017
Joao de Pina Mendes Cardoso, F. Roubaud, Arvinn Gadgil, Marie Laberge
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引用次数: 0
AI tools: A powerful new weapon to combat the misuse of statistics 人工智能工具:打击滥用统计数据的强大新武器
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-10 DOI: 10.3233/sji-230020
Kate Wilkinson, Emily Barrington
False information – whether mistakenly or intentionally distributed – threatens societies around the world, with dire consequences. When official statistics are misused or misrepresented, trust in this public good and the institutions that produce them are undermined. Two groups, fact checkers and statistical regulators, share common goals in combating this problem. Bolstering their work is a new offering of AI tools which help monitor vast volumes of media, identify important statements in public debate and inform users when statements they know to be wrong are repeated again. This article will cover the problem posed by false information, the common goals of fact checkers and statistical regulators, the development of AI tools and their impact.
虚假信息——无论是错误传播还是故意传播——都威胁着世界各地的社会,造成可怕的后果。当官方统计数据被滥用或歪曲时,对这一公共利益和产生这些数据的机构的信任就会受到损害。事实核查人员和统计监管机构这两个团体在解决这一问题方面有着共同的目标。支持他们工作的是一种新的人工智能工具,它有助于监控大量媒体,识别公共辩论中的重要言论,并在用户知道错误的言论再次重复时通知用户。这篇文章将涵盖虚假信息带来的问题,事实核查人员和统计监管机构的共同目标,人工智能工具的发展及其影响。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Statistical Journal of the IAOS
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