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Prognostic models: What the statistician wants the clinician to know 预后模型:统计学家希望临床医生了解的内容
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bpg.2023.101872
Elisa Allen, Matthew L. Robb

Prognostic model building is a process that begins much earlier than data analysis and ends later than when a model is reached. It requires careful delineation of a clinical question, methodical planning of the approach and attentive exploration of the data before attempting model building. Once following these important initial steps, the researcher may postulate a model to describe the process of interest and build such model. Once built, the model will need to be checked, validated and the exercise may take the researcher back a few steps - for instance, to adapt the model to fit a variable that displays a ‘curved’ pattern - to then return to check and validate the model again. To interpret and report the results it is vital to relate the output to the original question, to be transparent in the methodology followed and to understand the limitations of the data and the approach.

预测模型的建立是一个比数据分析更早开始,比模型建立更晚结束的过程。在尝试建立模型之前,它需要对临床问题进行仔细的描述,对方法进行有条不紊的规划,并对数据进行仔细的探索。一旦遵循了这些重要的初始步骤,研究者就可以假设一个模型来描述兴趣的过程并建立这样的模型。一旦建立起来,模型将需要被检查和验证,并且这个练习可能会让研究人员后退几步——例如,调整模型以适应一个显示“弯曲”模式的变量——然后再返回来检查和验证模型。为了解释和报告结果,至关重要的是将输出与原始问题联系起来,在所采用的方法中保持透明,并了解数据和方法的局限性。
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引用次数: 0
Copyright Information 版权信息
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/S1521-6918(23)00067-7
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引用次数: 0
Prognostic models – Their use and abuse 预后模型--使用与滥用
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bpg.2023.101868
James Neuberger, Lorenzo Fuccio
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引用次数: 0
Role of colonoscopy in colorectal cancer screening: Available evidence 结肠镜检查在结直肠癌癌症筛查中的作用:现有证据。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bpg.2023.101838
Antonio Z. Gimeno-García, Enrique Quintero

Colonoscopy is the cornerstone examination for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening and it is recommended as the first examination in the context of individuals with high risk of CRC development. Thereby, this examination is of choice in the setting of patients with hereditary CRC syndromes or in patients with long-standing inflammatory bowel disease with colon involvement. However, its role is less clear in the average risk-risk population and in patients with family history of CRC not linked to hereditary CRC syndromes. Despite this, current guidelines, include colonoscopy as alternative for CRC screening either in average risk population with the same evidence level that other screening strategies or in the familial risk population. The present manuscript reviews the clinical evidence on the role of colonoscopy in preventing CRC in different screening settings.

结肠镜检查是结直肠癌癌症(CRC)筛查的基础检查,建议将其作为CRC发展高危人群的第一项检查。因此,这种检查是遗传性CRC综合征患者或结肠受累的长期炎症性肠病患者的选择。然而,它在平均风险人群和有CRC家族史且与遗传性CRC综合征无关的患者中的作用尚不明确。尽管如此,目前的指南包括结肠镜检查作为CRC筛查的替代方法,无论是在证据水平与其他筛查策略相同的平均风险人群中,还是在家族风险人群中。本文综述了结肠镜检查在不同筛查环境中预防CRC作用的临床证据。
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引用次数: 0
Colorectal cancer in symptomatic patients: How to improve the diagnostic pathway 有症状的癌症大肠癌患者:如何改善诊断途径。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bpg.2023.101842
William Hamilton, Sarah E.R. Bailey

Even in countries with national screening programmes for colorectal cancer, most cancers are identified after the patient has developed symptoms. The patients present these symptoms usually to primary care, or in some countries to specialist care. In either healthcare setting, the clinician has to consider cancer to be a possibility, then to perform triage investigations, followed by definitive investigation, usually by colonoscopy. This apparently simple pathway is not simple: most symptoms of colorectal cancer are more likely to represent benign disease than cancer, and each of these stages represents selection of patients into a higher-risk pool. This article summarises a symptom-based approach to selection and initial investigation of such patients in primary care. Some special groups need particular attention, including the younger patient, those with an inherited predisposition to cancer, and those with co-morbidities.

即使在有癌症国家筛查计划的国家,大多数癌症都是在患者出现症状后发现的。出现这些症状的患者通常会接受初级保健,或者在一些国家接受专科护理。在任何一种医疗环境中,临床医生都必须考虑癌症的可能性,然后进行分诊调查,然后进行最终调查,通常是结肠镜检查。这个看似简单的途径并不简单:与癌症相比,癌症的大多数症状更可能代表良性疾病,而这些阶段中的每一个阶段都代表着将患者选择到高风险人群中。本文总结了一种基于症状的方法来选择和初步调查初级保健中的此类患者。一些特殊群体需要特别关注,包括年轻患者、有癌症遗传易感性的患者和有合并症的患者。
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引用次数: 0
Colorectal cancer diagnostic biomarkers: Beyond faecal haemoglobin 结直肠癌癌症诊断生物标志物:超越粪便血红蛋白。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bpg.2023.101870
A. Krishnamoorthy, R. Arasaradnam

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer worldwide, and the second commonest cause of cancer deaths worldwide. One of the most important prognostic factors, and thus a potential target for improving cancer care, is the stage of cancer at diagnosis. Earlier stage diagnosis is associated with better prognosis and longer survival times after treatment. At the same time, the use of targeted therapies and immunotherapy is improving CRC outcomes. Diagnostic biomarkers are key to both early detection and prediction of treatment responses. Currently faecal immunochemical testing for haemoglobin is perhaps the most widespread CRC diagnostic biomarker. However other biomarkers are approved for clinical use and others are in the validation stage of research prior to clinical use. This review focuses on these the evidence behind these biomarkers, their current and potential future use.

结直肠癌癌症(CRC)是全球第三大最常见的癌症,也是全球癌症死亡的第二大原因。癌症的诊断阶段是最重要的预后因素之一,也是改善癌症治疗的潜在目标。早期诊断与更好的预后和治疗后更长的生存时间有关。同时,靶向治疗和免疫疗法的使用正在改善CRC的结果。诊断生物标志物是早期检测和预测治疗反应的关键。目前,血红蛋白的粪便免疫化学检测可能是最广泛的CRC诊断生物标志物。然而,其他生物标志物已被批准用于临床,其他生物标记物则处于临床使用前的研究验证阶段。这篇综述的重点是这些生物标志物背后的证据,它们目前和未来的潜在用途。
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引用次数: 0
Faecal haemoglobin: Measurement, applications, and future potential 粪便血红蛋白:测量、应用和未来潜力。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bpg.2023.101833
Callum G. Fraser

Faecal hemoglobin concentrations (f-Hb) can be quantitated using faecal immunochemical test for haemoglobin (FIT) analytical systems. FIT are of proven value and widely used in colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. Several factors affect f-Hb including sex, age, deprivation, geographical region, and FIT system. Thus, FIT data may not be transferable. Women are disadvantaged in programmes using a single f-Hb threshold for all participants, but risk scoring or sex stratified thresholds could be used to minimise this problem. In addition, low but detectable f-Hb, below the threshold, implies future risk of CRC. In several countries, where colonoscopy resources are constrained, FIT are now accepted as of added value in assessment of patients presenting in primary or secondary care with symptoms, although some serious colorectal disease is missed. Elevated f-Hb in the absence of any discernible colorectal lesions is common and has been found in several diseases with a systemic inflammatory component, including circulatory, respiratory, digestive, neuropsychological, blood and endocrine diseases, and others. There is growing evidence for the value of f-Hb in post-polypectomy surveillance, potentially saving costs and colonoscopy. There may be a role for FIT systems which have lower limits of detection than currently available methods. The faecal material remaining in FIT specimen collection devices could be used for further studies, including assessment of the microbiome. The estimation of f-Hb is now a mature investigative tool but further research will undoubtedly expand applications of value.

粪便血红蛋白浓度(f-Hb)可以使用血红蛋白(FIT)分析系统的粪便免疫化学测试进行定量。FIT已被证明有价值,并广泛应用于癌症(CRC)筛查。影响f-Hb的几个因素包括性别、年龄、贫困、地理区域和FIT系统。因此,FIT数据可能不可转让。在对所有参与者使用单一f-Hb阈值的项目中,女性处于不利地位,但可以使用风险评分或性别分层阈值来最大限度地减少这一问题。此外,低但可检测的f-Hb低于阈值,意味着未来CRC的风险。在结肠镜检查资源有限的几个国家,FIT现在被认为是评估有症状的初级或二级护理患者的附加值,尽管遗漏了一些严重的结肠直肠疾病。在没有任何可辨别的结直肠病变的情况下,f-Hb升高是常见的,并且已经在几种具有全身炎症成分的疾病中发现,包括循环系统、呼吸系统、消化系统、神经心理学、血液和内分泌疾病等。越来越多的证据表明f-Hb在息肉切除术后监测中的价值,有可能节省成本和结肠镜检查。FIT系统的检测极限可能低于目前可用的方法。FIT标本采集装置中残留的粪便物质可用于进一步研究,包括评估微生物组。f-Hb的估计现在是一种成熟的研究工具,但进一步的研究无疑将扩大其应用价值。
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引用次数: 0
Rationale for organized Colorectal cancer screening programs 有组织的癌症结直肠癌筛查项目的基本原理。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bpg.2023.101850
Carlo Senore , Iris Lansdorp-Vogelaar , Lucie de Jonge , Linda Rabeneck

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a major health problem and it is expected that the number of persons diagnosed with CRC and CRC-related deaths will continue to increase. However, recent years have shown reductions in CRC incidence and mortality particularly among individuals aged 50 years and older which can be attributed to screening, improvements in patients’ management, closer adherence to treatment guideline recommendations and a higher utilization of curative surgery, chemotherapy and radiotherapy. The International Agency for Research on Cancer has concluded that there has been sufficient evidence that biennially screening using a stool-test or once-only endoscopy screening reduces CRC-related mortality. In Europe, between 2008 and 2018, nine countries have successfully implemented a population-based organized program and another six are in the roll-out phase. Population-based organized programs show higher screening participation rates and lower lack of compliance to follow-up testing after a positive screen test compared to opportunistic screening. Moreover, organized programs aim to provide high quality screening thereby reducing the risk of the harms of screening, including over-screening, and complications of screening, and poor follow-up of those who test positive. We describe how population-based organized CRC screening programs are preferred, since they reflect a more appropriate utilization of available resources, reduce inequities in access, and can integrate interventions addressing barriers to screening at the individual and health system levels.

癌症是一个主要的健康问题,预计被诊断患有结直肠癌的人数和与结直肠癌相关的死亡人数将继续增加。然而,近年来CRC发病率和死亡率有所下降,尤其是在50岁及以上的人群中,这可归因于筛查、患者管理的改进、更严格地遵守治疗指南建议以及更高程度地利用治疗性手术、化疗和放疗。国际癌症研究机构得出的结论是,有足够的证据表明,每两年进行一次检查或一次性内窥镜检查可以降低CRC相关死亡率。在欧洲,2008年至2018年间,有9个国家成功实施了一项基于人口的有组织计划,另有6个国家处于推广阶段。与机会性筛查相比,基于人群的有组织项目显示出更高的筛查参与率和对阳性筛查后后续检测的不依从性更低。此外,有组织的项目旨在提供高质量的筛查,从而降低筛查危害的风险,包括过度筛查、筛查并发症以及对检测呈阳性者的不良随访。我们描述了如何优先选择基于人群的有组织CRC筛查计划,因为它们反映了对可用资源的更适当利用,减少了获取方面的不公平,并且可以整合干预措施,解决个人和卫生系统层面的筛查障碍。
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引用次数: 1
Surveillance after colorectal polyp resection 结肠息肉切除术后的监测。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bpg.2023.101848
Sandra Baile-Maxía, Rodrigo Jover

Post-polypectomy surveillance has proven to reduce colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence in patients with high-risk polyps, but it implies a major burden on colonoscopy units. Therefore, it should be targeted to individuals with a higher risk. Different societies have published guidelines on surveillance after resection of polyps, with notable discrepancies among them, and many recommendations come from low-quality evidence based on surrogate measures, such as risk of advanced adenoma, and not CRC risk. In this review, we aimed to summarize the evidence supporting post-polypectomy surveillance, compare the recently updated major guidelines, and discuss the existing discrepancies on this topic. Briefly, patients with adenomas ≥10 mm or high-grade dysplasia and patients with serrated polyps ≥10 mm or dysplasia are generally considered to have an increased risk of metachronous CRC and require surveillance, whereas the indication of surveillance is not clearly established in patients without these high-risk features.

息肉切除术后监测已被证明可以降低高危息肉患者的结直肠癌癌症(CRC)发病率,但这意味着结肠镜检查单位的主要负担。因此,它应该针对风险较高的个人。不同的学会发布了息肉切除后监测指南,其中存在显著差异,许多建议来自基于替代措施的低质量证据,如晚期腺瘤的风险,而不是CRC风险。在这篇综述中,我们旨在总结支持息肉切除术后监测的证据,比较最近更新的主要指南,并讨论在这一主题上存在的差异。简言之,腺瘤≥10mm或高度异型增生患者和锯齿状息肉≥10mm或异型增生的患者通常被认为异时性CRC的风险增加,需要监测,而在没有这些高危特征的患者中,监测的指征尚不明确。
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引用次数: 0
Colorectal cancer: A health and economic problem 癌症:一个健康和经济问题。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q2 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bpg.2023.101839
Leon Klimeck , Thomas Heisser , Michael Hoffmeister , Hermann Brenner

Colorectal Cancer (CRC) is the third most commonly diagnosed form of cancer and accounts for approximately 1.9 million cancer cases each year (10% of all new cancer cases globally). Incidence strongly increases with age and has been traditionally highest in Western, affluent countries, but it is rapidly increasing in many less developed countries and in younger generations in both developed and developing countries. With demographic aging, CRC will pose a rapidly increasing challenge for many societies, which underlines the need for major efforts on primary and secondary prevention. A number of effective screening options are available, and implementation of well-organized screening programs could have a major impact on lowering the future burden of the disease.

癌症是癌症第三常见的诊断形式,每年约有190万癌症病例(占全球癌症新增病例的10%)。发病率随着年龄的增长而急剧增加,传统上在西方富裕国家最高,但在许多欠发达国家以及发达国家和发展中国家的年轻一代中,发病率正在迅速增加。随着人口老龄化,儿童权利公约将对许多社会构成迅速增加的挑战,这突出表明需要在初级和次级预防方面作出重大努力。有许多有效的筛查选择,实施组织良好的筛查计划可能会对降低未来的疾病负担产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Best Practice & Research Clinical Gastroenterology
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