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Predicting the seed cotton yield with value added medium range weather forecast data using CROPGRO-Cotton model at Bhathinda, Punjab 利用旁遮普省 Bhathinda 的 CROPGRO-Cotton 模型,利用增值中程天气预报数据预测籽棉产量
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2244
Sanyam, R. K. Pal, P. Kingra, Anureet Kaur, S. K. Mishra, Tirath Singh, Abhishek Dhir
In order to assess the potential of the medium-range weather forecast in predicting the cotton productivity using crop simulation model, the CROPGRO-cotton model was calibrated and validated with the experimental data which was collected during kharif 2021 in an experiment that was carried out with two Bt cotton hybrid (RCH 776 and RCH 773) and one non-Bt (F2228), and sown at five dates i.e., April 25th, May 05th, May 15th, May 25th and June 04th in split-plot design with three replications at Punjab Agricultural University (PAU) Regional Research Station, Bathinda. The validated model was further used to assess the cotton productivity under different sowing dates using medium range weather forecast data on rainfall, maximum temperature and minimum temperature obtained for the period 2013-2021. The results showed that simulated values with medium range weather forecast were in close agreement with the simulated values for phenology and yield of cotton. The simulated cotton yield using daily medium range weather forecast data showed more or less significant efficiency to capture year-to-year as well as datewise variability in simulated cotton yield.
为了评估中程天气预报在利用作物模拟模型预测棉花产量方面的潜力,CROPGRO-棉花模型与 2021 年种植季期间收集的实验数据进行了校准和验证、4 月 25 日、5 月 05 日、5 月 15 日、5 月 25 日和 6 月 04 日,在巴辛达旁遮普农业大学(PAU)地区研究站进行了三次重复的分小区设计。利用 2013-2021 年期间获得的降雨量、最高气温和最低气温的中程天气预报数据,验证后的模型被进一步用于评估不同播种日期下的棉花生产力。结果表明,中程天气预报的模拟值与棉花物候期和产量的模拟值基本一致。利用每日中程天气预报数据模拟的棉花产量或多或少显示出了显著的效率,能够捕捉到模拟棉花产量的年际和日期变化。
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引用次数: 0
Potential yield of world maize under global warming based on ARIMA-TR model 基于 ARIMA-TR 模型的全球变暖条件下世界玉米的潜在产量
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2483
Chengzhi Cai, Tingting Deng, Wenfang Cao
With continuous increase of population and demand for nutritional food, analyzing potential yield of world maize affected by global warming is of great significance to direct the crop production in the future. Thus, in this paper both average and top (national) yields of world maize between 2021 and 2030 are projected creatively using ARIMA-TR (Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average and Trend Regression) model based on historic yields since 1961. The impact of global warming on the yields of world maize from 1961 to 2020 was analyzed using unary regression model. Our study concludes that between 2021 and 2030, average yield of world maize is projected to be from 5989 kg ha-1 to 6703 kg ha-1 while the top yield from 36530 kg ha-1 to 44271 kg ha-1, or the average ranging from 16.39% decreasingly to 15.14% of the top; from 1961 to 2020 global warming exerts positive effect on average yield of world maize less than on the top, which partly drives the gap between these two yields widened gradually; for world maize by 2030, the opportunities for improving global production should be mainly dependent on the advantage of high-yield countries.
随着人口和营养食品需求的不断增长,分析受全球变暖影响的世界玉米潜在产量对于指导未来的作物生产具有重要意义。因此,本文根据 1961 年以来的历史产量,采用 ARIMA-TR(自回归整合移动平均和趋势回归)模型,创造性地预测了 2021 年至 2030 年世界玉米的平均产量和最高(国家)产量。使用单回归模型分析了全球变暖对 1961 年至 2020 年世界玉米产量的影响。我们的研究得出结论,2021 年至 2030 年,世界玉米平均单产预计将从 5989 千克/公顷-1 增至 6703 千克/公顷-1,最高单产将从 36530 千克/公顷-1 增至 44271 千克/公顷-1,即平均单产将从 16.39% 递减至 15.14%。从 1961 年到 2020 年,全球变暖对世界玉米平均单产的积极影响小于对最高单产的积极影响,这在一定程度上拉大了两者之间的差距;对于 2030 年的世界玉米而言,全球产量的提高机会应主要依赖于高产国家的优势。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the influence of elevation on satellite derived normalized difference vegetation index and land surface temperature in Rajasthan 评估拉贾斯坦邦海拔高度对卫星得出的归一化差异植被指数和地表温度的影响
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2370
L. Malav, Brijesh Yadav, Sunil B. H., Gopal Tiwari, A. Jangir, M. Nogiya, R. L. Meena, P. C. Moharana, R. P. Sharma, B. L. Mina
Land surface temperature (LST) and its interaction with normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) is crucial for better understanding of environmental changes in current scenario.  However, very few or scanty research on the interrelationship between LST, NDVI and topographic elements has been done in India. Therefore, the purpose of conducting this study was to examine, how LST and NDVI change as a function of elevation in Rajasthan. In present study, MODIS derived NDVI and LST and digital elevation model (DEM) from shuttle radar topography mission (SRTM) have been used. Results revealed that the LST and NDVI both were significantly influenced by elevation. Elevation, NDVI and LST varied from -6 to 1698 m, -0.09 to 0.65 and 24 to 45°C throughout the study region. In contrast to LST, which has a decreasing gradient from western to eastern portions, the spatial variability of NDVI has decreasing gradients from southern and eastern to western regions. The highest mean LST value (39.76 ± 0.2.9 0C) was obtained at an elevation range of -6 to 168 m, whereas NDVI value (0.38 ± 0.06) at elevation ranges of 589 – 1698 m. The analysis of the correlations between LST, NDVI and elevation indicated that the elevation has strong positive correlation with NDVI (r2 = 0.26) and negative correlation with LST (r2 = 0.28). Findings from this kind of research can be utilized as a platform for environmental and land use planning for sustainable ecosystem management.
地表温度(LST)及其与归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)的相互作用对于更好地了解当前的环境变化至关重要。 然而,印度对地表温度、归一化植被指数和地形要素之间相互关系的研究很少。因此,开展本研究的目的是考察拉贾斯坦邦的 LST 和 NDVI 如何随海拔变化而变化。本研究使用了 MODIS 导出的 NDVI 和 LST 以及穿梭雷达地形图任务(SRTM)的数字高程模型(DEM)。结果显示,LST 和 NDVI 均受海拔高度的显著影响。在整个研究区域内,海拔、NDVI 和 LST 的变化范围分别为 -6 至 1698 米、-0.09 至 0.65 和 24 至 45°C。与 LST 从西部向东部递减的梯度不同,NDVI 的空间变化则是从南部和东部向西部递减的梯度。LST 平均值(39.76 ± 0.2.9 0C)在海拔-6 至 168 米范围内最高,而 NDVI 值(0.38 ± 0.06)在海拔 589 至 1698 米范围内最高。LST、NDVI 和海拔之间的相关性分析表明,海拔与 NDVI 呈强正相关(r2 = 0.26),与 LST 呈负相关(r2 = 0.28)。此类研究结果可作为环境和土地利用规划的平台,以实现可持续的生态系统管理。
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引用次数: 0
Climate changes impact on the distribution of vegetation in Wasit and Nineveh regions of Iraq 气候变化对伊拉克瓦西特和尼尼微地区植被分布的影响
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2417
Dher I. Bakr, Jasim Al-Khalidi, Bashar Talib Hamid
Climate changes have a direct or indirect impact on many vital systems, including human and animal, as well as vegetation. The monthly precipitation and temperature for the period (1981-2021) and vegetation images (NDVI) for the period (2000-2022) from the satellite (NASA) for the regions of Ninevah and Wasit of Iraq were used to find out their variations over the space and time. It was found that the temperature was increasing with time, but the precipitation was in a state of turbulent increase in the two study areas. The distribution of vegetation was also in a state of change with time as well as within a region. The vegetation area increased with increase in precipitation which was greater in the Ninevah region than in the Wasit region. When there was a lack of precipitation, the vegetation cover area decreased in the two study areas.  The increase in temperature also resulted in a decrease in the density and area of vegetation. It was found that the change in the amount of precipitation was more influential than the change in temperature on the vegetative distribution.
气候变化对人类、动物和植被等许多生命系统都有直接或间接的影响。本研究利用美国国家航空航天局(NASA)卫星提供的伊拉克尼尼微和瓦西特地区 1981-2021 年期间的月降水量和温度以及 2000-2022 年期间的植被图像(NDVI)来了解它们在空间和时间上的变化。研究发现,在这两个研究地区,气温随着时间的推移不断升高,但降水量却处于波动上升的状态。植被的分布也随着时间和区域的变化而变化。植被面积随着降水量的增加而增加,尼尼微地区的植被面积大于瓦西特地区。当降水不足时,两个研究地区的植被覆盖面积都会减少。 温度升高也导致植被密度和面积减少。研究发现,降水量的变化比温度变化对植被分布的影响更大。
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引用次数: 0
Trend analysis of agricultural drought and crop yield in Eastern Thrace provinces of Turkey 土耳其东色雷斯省农业干旱和作物产量趋势分析
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2381
Çayan Alkan
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引用次数: 0
Biology of pink bollworm Pectinophora gossypiella (Saunders) on cotton as influenced by temperature 温度对棉花上粉红棉铃虫 Pectinophora gossypiella (Saunders) 的生物学影响
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2367
K. Deshmukh, V. K. Bhamare
A laboratory experiment was conducted to study the biology of pink bollworm Pectinophora gossypiella (Saunders) on cotton at four different temperature levels. It was found that males have a considerably shorter total life cycle duration on cotton at 35±1°C (29.5 days) followed by 30±1°C (37.2 days), 25±1°C (46.9 days) and highest at 20±1°C (50.8 days). Similarly, minimum total life cycle duration of female P. gossypiella was recorded at 35±1°C (30.2 days) followed by 30±1°C (38.0 days), 25±1°C (47.3 days) and maximum at 20±1°C (51.7 days). The highest fecundity was observed at 30±1°C (106.2) followed by 25±1°C (100.1), 35±1°C (60.1) and lowest at 20±1°C (55.2). Male as to female sex ratio was highest at 35±1°C (1:1.5) followed by 25±1°C (1:1.4), 30±1°C (1:1.3) and lowest at 20±1°C (1:1.2). These findings revealed that variation in temperature significantly influences the life cycle duration, fecundity and sex ratio of pink bollworms on cotton, with higher temperatures accelerating development and enhancing reproductive success.
通过实验室实验研究了粉铃虫 Pectinophora gossypiella (Saunders) 在四种不同温度水平下在棉花上的生物学特性。结果发现,在 35±1°C 的温度下,雄虫在棉花上的总生命周期持续时间较短(29.5 天),其次是 30±1°C(37.2 天)、25±1°C(46.9 天),而在 20±1°C(50.8 天)时最长。同样,35±1°C(30.2 天)时雌性 P. gossypiella 的总生命周期最短,其次是 30±1°C(38.0 天)、25±1°C(47.3 天),20±1°C 时最长(51.7 天)。繁殖力最高的温度为 30±1°C (106.2),其次为 25±1°C (100.1)、35±1°C (60.1),最低的温度为 20±1°C (55.2)。雌雄性别比在 35±1°C 时最高(1:1.5),其次是 25±1°C (1:1.4)、30±1°C (1:1.3),最低为 20±1°C (1:1.2)。这些研究结果表明,温度的变化对棉花上粉铃虫的生命周期持续时间、繁殖力和性别比有显著影响,温度越高,发育速度越快,繁殖成功率越高。
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning methods for estimating reference evapotranspiration 估算参考蒸散量的机器学习方法
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2462
AMIT BIJLWAN, SHWETA POKHRIYAL, Rajeev Ranjan, R.K. SINGH, ANKITA JHA
Precise estimation of evapotranspiration is crucial for optimizing crop water uses particularly in the context of agriculture and horticultural production. In this study, various machine learning techniques was used to determine reference evapotranspiration by leveraging historical weather data. The models tested include artificial neural networks (ANN), Lasso, Ridge, Random Forest, LGBM regressor, and Gradient boosting regressor. LGBM regressor emerged as the top-performing model, exhibiting exceptional accuracy with a testing R-squared of 1.0. ANN also demonstrated notable performance, achieving a testing R-squared of 0.99. Moreover, the Random Forest and Gradient boosting regressor models showcased strong predictive capabilities, with R2 values of 0.99 and 0.98, respectively. These models offer valuable alternatives for estimating evapotranspiration, providing robustness and adaptability to diverse environmental datasets.
精确估算蒸散量对于优化作物用水至关重要,尤其是在农业和园艺生产中。本研究利用各种机器学习技术,通过历史气象数据确定参考蒸散量。测试的模型包括人工神经网络(ANN)、Lasso、Ridge、随机森林、LGBM 回归器和梯度提升回归器。LGBM 回归器成为表现最佳的模型,其测试 R 方为 1.0,表现出卓越的准确性。ANN 也表现突出,测试 R 方为 0.99。此外,随机森林和梯度提升回归模型也展示了强大的预测能力,R2 值分别为 0.99 和 0.98。这些模型为估算蒸散量提供了有价值的替代方法,具有稳健性和对不同环境数据集的适应性。
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引用次数: 0
Surface energy fluxes and energy balance closure using large aperture scintillometer-based ET station on heterogeneous agricultural landscape in north India 利用基于大孔径闪烁计的蒸散发站对印度北部异质农业景观进行地表能量通量和能量平衡闭合研究
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2447
A. Danodia, N. Patel, V. K. Sehgal, R. Singh
This study was carried out to understand the pattern of surface energy fluxes over a periodical scale and energy balance closure using Large Aperture Scintillometer and Micrometeorological tower. The standalone technique as ‘Scintillometry’ which observes the structure parameter of refractive index based on Monin-Obukhov Similarity theory, has the potential to measure the sensible heat flux precisely. This paper discusses the surface energy balance components and energy balance closure over a period of August 2017 to June 2018. The maximum mean energy fluxes Rn, G, H and LE were observed in September (98.6 Wm-2), May (13.9 Wm-2), June (53.3 Wm-2) and August (82.1 Wm-2), respectively. The overall mean ET was observed at the rate of 1.36 mm day-1 during the study period. This scintillometry technique may further use in evapotranspiration modelling from polar orbiting satellite to geostationary satellite over a heterogeneous and undulated landscape.
这项研究旨在利用大孔径闪烁计和微气象塔了解地表能量通量的周期模式和能量平衡闭合。基于莫宁-奥布霍夫相似理论的 "闪烁计 "是一种观测折射率结构参数的独立技术,具有精确测量显热通量的潜力。本文讨论了 2017 年 8 月至 2018 年 6 月期间的地表能量平衡成分和能量平衡闭合情况。在 9 月(98.6 Wm-2)、5 月(13.9 Wm-2)、6 月(53.3 Wm-2)和 8 月(82.1 Wm-2)分别观测到了最大平均能量通量 Rn、G、H 和 LE。研究期间观察到的总平均蒸散发为 1.36 毫米/天-1。这种闪烁测量技术可进一步用于从极地轨道卫星到地球静止卫星在异质和起伏地形上的蒸散建模。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing the efficiency of Arduino UNO microcontroller in monitoring and controlling the microclimatic parameters of greenhouse 分析 Arduino UNO 微控制器监测和控制温室微气候参数的效率
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2520
F. A. Jolly, G. T. Uddin, M. S. ALIM, R. KUMAR, A. DUTTA, M.M.K. REYA, N. TASNIM
At present greenhouse farming has become more popular in contrast to traditional farming because of its adjustment capability of the environmental parameters such as temperature, humidity, light intensity, and soil moisture according to the requirements of the crops. Continuous monitoring and controlling facilities of the greenhouse system allow the farmers a good maintenance system with good quality and high yield of the crops. In this paper, an Arduino microcontroller was used in a greenhouse system for an automatic monitoring system for cultivation incorporating various sensors such as a temperature-humidity sensor, and soil moisture sensor to collect parameters for monitoring the environment of the greenhouse. The collected data were used to control the temperature using cooling fans which facilitated the greenhouse controlling the environment. For storage and processing the data the controller code was generated in the Arduino programming language, and finally inserted into the Arduino UNO R3 microcontroller. A solar power system with a rechargeable battery was installed as a source of energy to ensure continuous power supply to the greenhouse system. Implementation of a greenhouse with a microclimatic parameter monitoring and controlling system will result in mitigating land and labor requirement problems for small-scale farmers, and gardeners as well as supplying suitable data for agricultural researchers.
与传统农业相比,温室种植因其能够根据作物的需求调节温度、湿度、光照强度和土壤湿度等环境参数而变得更加流行。温室系统的连续监测和控制设施使农民能够很好地维护系统,保证作物的优质高产。本文在温室系统中使用了 Arduino 微控制器,该系统结合了各种传感器(如温湿度传感器和土壤水分传感器),用于采集温室环境监测参数,从而实现种植自动监控系统。收集到的数据用于利用冷却风扇控制温度,从而促进温室对环境的控制。为了存储和处理数据,用 Arduino 编程语言生成了控制器代码,最后将其插入 Arduino UNO R3 微控制器。为确保温室系统的持续供电,安装了带充电电池的太阳能发电系统作为能源来源。实施带有微气候参数监测和控制系统的温室,将减轻小规模农户和园艺师的土地和劳动力需求问题,并为农业研究人员提供合适的数据。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of weather parameters on rice false smut disease progression in Tamil Nadu, India 天气参数对印度泰米尔纳德邦水稻假穗病发展的影响
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2334
P. ANBAZHAGAN, M. THERADIMANI, V. RAMAMOORTHY, S. VELLAIKUMAR, S. JULIET HEBZIBA, R. OVIYA
False smut of rice is an upcoming menace to rice production in India. In order to understand the intricate relationship between disease incidence and weather parameters, field experiments were conducted for three years (2019, 2020 and 2021) in two cropping seasons viz., late kharif (August to November) and rabi (October to January) at the Agricultural College and Research Institute (AC & RI), Madurai, Tamil Nadu. Results revealed that the disease severity had positive correlation with relative humidity (RH), wind speed (WS) and bright sunshine hours (BSS) and negative correlation with heavy rainfall (RF), evaporation (EP) and temperature. The pooled data analysis (2019 and 2020) for the late kharif and rabi cropping season revealed that disease severity was perfectly showed positive correlation with relative humidity (0.80) and wind speed (0.83) and negatively correlated with weekly maximum temperature (-0.78) and minimum temperature (-0.84). The step wise linear regression analysis was performed which revealed that among the six weather factors minimum temperature influenced the false smut disease severity up to 92%.
水稻假穗病是印度水稻生产即将面临的威胁。为了了解病害发生率与天气参数之间的复杂关系,在泰米尔纳德邦马杜赖的农业学院和研究所(AC & RI)进行了为期三年(2019 年、2020 年和 2021 年)的田间试验,涉及两个种植季节,即晚季(8 月至 11 月)和蕾期(10 月至 1 月)。结果显示,病害严重程度与相对湿度(RH)、风速(WS)和日照时数(BSS)呈正相关,而与暴雨(RF)、蒸发量(EP)和温度呈负相关。对收割后期和蕾期(2019 年和 2020 年)的汇总数据分析显示,病害严重程度与相对湿度(0.80)和风速(0.83)呈完美的正相关,而与每周最高温度(-0.78)和最低温度(-0.84)呈负相关。逐步线性回归分析表明,在六个天气因子中,最低气温对假烟粉虱病害严重程度的影响高达 92%。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Agrometeorology
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