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Developing weather-based biomass prediction equation to assess the field pea yield under future climatic scenario 开发基于天气的生物量预测方程,以评估未来气候条件下的大田豌豆产量
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2461
Aishi Mukherjee, S. Banerjee, Sarathi Saha, Rajib Nath, Manish Kumar Naskar, A. Mukherjee
The present research focuses on the variation of field pea production under different prevailing weather parameters, aiming to develop a reliable forecasting model. For that a field experiment was conducted in New Alluvial Zone of West Bengal during 2018-19 and 2019-20 with three different varieties (VL42, Indrira Matar, Rachana) of this region. Biomass predicting equation based on maximum temperature, minimum temperature and solar radiation was developed to estimate field pea yield for 2040-2099 period under SSP 2-4.5 and SSP 5-8.5 scenarios. It reveals that solar radiation positively influences crop biomass, while high maximum and minimum temperatures have adverse effects on yield. The developed forecasting equation demonstrated its accuracy (nRMSE=17.37%) by aligning closely with historical data, showcasing its potential for reliable predictions. Furthermore, the study delves into future climate scenarios, showing that increasing temperatures are likely to impact field pea yield negatively. Both biomass and yield showed decreasing trend for the years from 2040 to 2099. SSP 5-8.5 scenario, which is more pessimistic one, foresees a substantial reduction in crop productivity. This weather parameter-based biomass prediction equation can be effectively utilized as a method to assess the impact of climate change on agriculture. Keywords: Field pea, weather parameters, crop yield prediction, New Alluvial Zone, nRMSE
本研究重点关注不同天气参数下大田豌豆产量的变化,旨在开发一个可靠的预测模型。为此,2018-19 年度和 2019-20 年度在西孟加拉邦新冲积区进行了田间试验,使用了该地区的三个不同品种(VL42、Indrira Matar 和 Rachana)。根据最高温度、最低温度和太阳辐射建立了生物量预测方程,以估算 2040-2099 年 SSP 2-4.5 和 SSP 5-8.5 情景下的大田豌豆产量。结果表明,太阳辐射对作物生物量有积极影响,而较高的最高气温和最低气温则对产量有不利影响。所开发的预测方程与历史数据密切吻合,证明了其准确性(nRMSE=17.37%),展示了其进行可靠预测的潜力。此外,研究还深入探讨了未来的气候情景,表明气温升高可能会对大田豌豆产量产生负面影响。从 2040 年到 2099 年,生物量和产量都呈下降趋势。比较悲观的 SSP 5-8.5 情景预测作物产量将大幅下降。这一基于气象参数的生物量预测方程可作为评估气候变化对农业影响的有效方法。关键词大田豌豆 气象参数 农作物产量预测 新冲积区 nRMSE
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引用次数: 0
Multistage sugarcane yield prediction using machine learning algorithms 利用机器学习算法多阶段预测甘蔗产量
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2411
Shankarappa Sridhara, SOUMYA B. R., Girish R. Kashyap
Sugarcane is one of the leading commercial crops grown in India. The prevailing weather during the various crop-growth stages significantly impacts sugarcane productivity and the quality of its juice. The objective of this study was to predict the yield of sugarcane during different growth periods using machine learning techniques viz., random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), stepwise multiple linear regression (SMLR) and artificial neural networks (ANN). The performance of different yield forecasting models was assessed based on the coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE), normalized root mean square error (nRMSE) and model efficiency (EF). Among the models, ANN model was able to predict the yield at different growth stages with higher R2 and lower nRMSE during both calibration and validation. The performance of models across the forecasts was ranked based on the model efficiency as ANN > RF > SVM > SMLR. This study demonstrated that the ANN model can be used for reliable yield forecasting of sugarcane at different growth stages.
甘蔗是印度种植的主要经济作物之一。作物各生长阶段的天气状况对甘蔗的产量和汁液质量有很大影响。本研究的目的是利用机器学习技术,即随机森林(RF)、支持向量机(SVM)、逐步多元线性回归(SMLR)和人工神经网络(ANN),预测甘蔗在不同生长期的产量。根据决定系数(R2)、均方根误差(RMSE)、归一化均方根误差(nRMSE)和模型效率(EF)评估了不同产量预测模型的性能。在这些模型中,ANN 模型在校准和验证过程中都能以较高的 R2 和较低的 nRMSE 预测不同生长阶段的产量。根据模型效率对各预测模型的性能进行了排序:ANN > RF > SVM > SMLR。这项研究表明,ANN 模型可用于不同生长阶段甘蔗的可靠产量预测。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of soft-computing techniques for pan evaporation estimation 评估平底锅蒸发量估算的软计算技术
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2247
Amit Kumar, A. Sarangi, D. K. Singh, I. Mani, K. K. Bandhyopadhyay, S. Dash, M. Khanna
Estimation of pan evaporation (Epan)  can be useful in judicious irrigation scheduling for enhancing agricultural water productivity. The aim of  present study was to assess the efficacy of state-of-the-art LSTM and ANN for daily Epan estimation using meteorological data. Besides this, the effect of static time-series (Julian date) as additional input variable was investigated on performance of soft-computing techniques. For this purpose,the models were trained, tested and validated with eight meteorological variables of 37 years by using preceding 1-, 3- and 5- days’ information. Data were partitioned into three groups as training (60%), testing (20%), and validation (20%) components. It was observed that the models performed well (best) with preceding 5-days meteorological information followed by 3-days and 1-day. However, all LSTMs simulated peak value of Epan was more accurate as compared to lower values. Meteorological data with julian date improved the performance of LSTMs (0.75
估算盘面蒸发量(Epan)有助于制定明智的灌溉计划,提高农业用水生产率。本研究旨在评估最先进的 LSTM 和 ANN 在利用气象数据估算日蒸发量方面的功效。此外,还研究了静态时间序列(朱利安日期)作为附加输入变量对软计算技术性能的影响。为此,利用前 1 天、3 天和 5 天的信息,用 37 年的 8 个气象变量对模型进行了训练、测试和验证。数据被分为三组,即训练(60%)、测试(20%)和验证(20%)部分。结果表明,模型在使用前 5 天气象信息时表现良好(最佳),其次是 3 天和 1 天。不过,与较低值相比,所有 LSTM 模拟的 Epan 峰值都更准确。带有朱利安日期的气象数据提高了 LSTM 的性能(0.75
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引用次数: 0
Effects of pan evaporation-based drip irrigation levels on performance of guava grown in Udaipur and Rewa regions of India 基于泛蒸发的滴灌水平对印度乌代布尔和雷瓦地区番石榴生长表现的影响
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2306
S. S. Lakhawat, Vikas Sharma, T. Singh, Prakash Patil, S. Priyadevi, S. Gutam
A field experiment was conducted for three years (2019-20, 2020-21 and 2021-22) on 4 years old guava orchard established at 3×2 m spacing with drip irrigation treatments at two locations viz. Udaipur Rajasthan and, Rewa, Madhya Pradesh. Plant growth, yield contributing parameters, fruit yield and water use efficiency was significantly affected by different pan evaporation-based drip irrigation levels (70, 80, 90 & 100% of Epan) over local control. In existing climatic conditions of Udaipur and Rewa regions, the daily irrigation water requirement of high-density planting guava tree was varied from 7.8 to 26.3 and 4.5 to 26.5 liter/plant/day, respectively. Among all the pan evaporation-based drip irrigation levels, the irrigation supplied at 80% and 90% of daily pan evaporation were found as best approach for irrigating high density plantation (HDP) guava orchard through drip irrigation in Udaipur & Rewa regions with maximum fruit yield (37.3 & 30.7tha-1), irrigation water use efficiency (0.359 & 0.263tha-1-cm) along with significant water saving (29.2 & 22.2%), respectively over local control. Results will help farmers, policy makers and irrigation managers to conserve available fresh water resources in water scares regions of Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh.
在拉贾斯坦邦乌代布尔和中央邦雷瓦这两个地方,对 4 年树龄的番石榴果园进行了为期三年(2019-20 年、2020-21 年和 2021-22 年)的田间试验,间距为 3×2 米,采用滴灌处理。与当地对照相比,不同的泛蒸发滴灌水平(70、80、90 和 100% Epan)对植物生长、产量贡献参数、果实产量和水分利用效率有显著影响。在乌代布尔和雷瓦地区的现有气候条件下,高密度种植番石榴树的日灌溉需水量分别为 7.8 至 26.3 升/株/天和 4.5 至 26.5 升/株/天。在所有基于盘面蒸发的滴灌水平中,乌代布尔和雷瓦地区的高密度种植(HDP)番石榴果园滴灌的最佳灌溉水平为日盘面蒸发量的 80% 和 90%,果实产量(37.3 和 30.7a-1)和灌溉水利用效率(0.359 和 0.263tha-1-cm)最高,节水率(29.2 和 22.2%)分别高于当地对照。研究结果将有助于拉贾斯坦邦和中央邦缺水地区的农民、政策制定者和灌溉管理人员保护现有淡水资源。
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引用次数: 0
A bibliometric analysis of the Journal of Agrometeorology (JAM) from 2008 to 2022 2008 年至 2022 年《农业气象学杂志》(JAM)的文献计量分析
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2525
V. Kalaimathi, V. GEETHALAKSHMI, P. PARASURAMAN, P. KATHIRVELAN, C. SWAMINATHAN
A quantitative analysis of scientific articles published in the Journal of Agrometeorology (JAM) between 2008 and 2022 was conducted using a variety of scientometric indicators. Various metrics were utilized to examine aspects including yearly research output, highly referenced sources, author rankings, contributions and profiles, cooperation trends, highly contributing nations, most cited papers, commonly searched keywords and worldwide collaboration mapping. This study employs biblioshiny for analysis and only looks at data that is available in Scopus database. With an h-index (17), a g-index (21) and 3238 total citations across the study period, the journal demonstrated considerable influence. With the greatest number of research publications (n=46) and the greatest number of citations (236), Pandey V stands out among other authors. In terms of the number of papers and citations, India emerged as the leading nation, with the Punjab Agricultural University in the lead with 744 publications. Four clusters were found by co-citation network analysis, with Allen RG being the most quoted author among them. The study also highlighted the fact that Indian authors worked together the most. This analysis is important for assessing the influence of the JAM and offers insightful information about noteworthy research trends and developments in the scientific community.
我们利用各种科学计量指标对 2008 年至 2022 年期间《农业气象学杂志》(JAM)上发表的科学文章进行了定量分析。研究采用了多种指标,包括年度研究成果、高引用率来源、作者排名、贡献和简介、合作趋势、高贡献国家、高引用率论文、常用搜索关键词和全球合作图谱。本研究采用了文献目录分析法,只关注 Scopus 数据库中的数据。在整个研究期间,该期刊的 h 指数(17)、g 指数(21)和总被引次数为 3238 次,显示出相当大的影响力。潘迪五世发表的研究论文数量最多(46 篇),被引用次数最多(236 次),在众多作者中脱颖而出。在论文数量和引用次数方面,印度遥遥领先,旁遮普农业大学以 744 篇论文位居首位。通过联合引用网络分析发现了四个集群,其中Allen RG是被引用次数最多的作者。研究还强调了印度作者合作最多这一事实。这项分析对于评估 JAM 的影响力非常重要,它提供了有关科学界值得关注的研究趋势和发展的深刻信息。
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引用次数: 0
Variation of standardized precipitation index (SPI) over southern West Bengal and its effect on jute yield 西孟加拉邦南部标准化降水指数(SPI)的变化及其对黄麻产量的影响
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v10i1.2328
Kaushik Maity, S. Banerjee, Manish Kumar Naskar, Sarath Chandran, Sarathi Saha, A. Mukherjee, Kushal Sarmah
West Bengal is a key producer of raw jute fiber in the country. Identifying and managing dry spells during the jute growing period is crucial, necessitating contingency crop planning for enhanced productivity. Keeping this view in mind, standardized precipitation index (SPI) was calculated over five locations, representing five different districts of southern West Bengal. These locations are Barrackpore (North 24 Parganas District), Panagarh (Burdwan District), Bagati (Hooghly District), Krishnanagar (Nadia District) and Uluberia (Howrah District). This rainfall dependent dryness index (SPI) was calculated in 1 month and 3 months interval to identify short term dryness as well as mid-term dryness, applicable for seasonal crops. The trend analysis of the SPI values indicated that North 24 Parganas and Nadia experienced increased dryness during vegetative phase of Jute. Nadia district showed a significant increase in both short term and long-term dryness. The yield reduction index is well correlated with SPI values in all the study locations except Howrah. Arrangement of irrigation during the early stages of Jute can help the crop to cope up with the break of monsoon in this region
西孟加拉邦是该国黄麻原纤维的主要生产地。识别和管理黄麻生长期间的干旱期至关重要,因此有必要制定应急作物规划,以提高生产率。考虑到这一点,我们计算了代表西孟加拉邦南部五个不同地区的五个地点的标准化降水指数 (SPI)。这五个地点分别是巴拉克波尔(北 24 帕尔干纳斯区)、帕纳加尔(伯德旺区)、巴加提(胡格利区)、克里希纳加尔(纳迪亚区)和乌鲁贝利亚(豪拉区)。与降雨相关的干旱指数(SPI)以 1 个月和 3 个月为间隔进行计算,以确定适用于季节性作物的短期干旱和中期干旱。对 SPI 值的趋势分析表明,北 24 巴尔加纳斯和纳迪亚地区在黄麻生长期的干旱程度加剧。纳迪亚地区的短期和长期干旱程度都有显著增加。除 Howrah 外,所有研究地点的减产指数都与 SPI 值密切相关。在黄麻生长初期安排灌溉有助于作物应对该地区季风的中断。
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引用次数: 0
Trend analysis and change-point detection of monsoon rainfall in Uttarakhand and its impact on vegetation productivity 北阿坎德邦季风降雨趋势分析和变化点检测及其对植被生产力的影响
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v26i1.2214
Priyanka Swami
This study analyzes the long-term spatio-temporal changes and trend analysis in rainfall using the data from 1901 to 2020 and its impact on vegetation from 2000 to 2020 across districts of Uttarakhand. The Pettitt test was employed to detect the abrupt change point in time frame, while the Mann-Kendall (MK) test was performed to analyze the rainfall trend. Results show that the most of the districts exhibited significant negative trend of rainfall in monsoon, except two districts. Out of 13 districts, 4 districts recorded noteworthy rainfall declining trend for the monsoon season at 0.05% significance level, while the insignificant negative trend of rainfall was detected for 7 districts of Uttarakhand. Furthermore, the significant negative trend (-2.23) was recorded for overall monsoon rainfall of Uttarakhand. Based on the findings of change detection, the most probable year of change detection was occurred primarily after 1960 for most of the districts of Uttarakhand. A significant decline rainfall was detected after 1960 while after 1970 interannual variability of rainfall was recorded to be increased.  The analysis of month wise cumulative gross primary productivity (GPP) for 13 districts with rainfall trends shows that there is significant impact of rainfall trend on GPP during month of June and it gradually reduces for subsequent monsoon months. It was observed that the GPP of region is increasing at rate of 9.1 gCm-2d-1 in the region since 2000. Based on sensitivity analysis, the GPP of cropped area of region is more sensitive towards rainfall than forest area of Uttarakhand.
本研究利用 1901 年至 2020 年的数据分析了雨量的长期时空变化和趋势分析,以及 2000 年至 2020 年雨量对北阿坎德邦各地区植被的影响。采用佩蒂特(Pettitt)检验法检测时间框架内的突变点,同时采用曼-肯德尔(MK)检验法分析降雨趋势。结果显示,除两个地区外,大多数地区的季风降雨量都呈现出明显的负增长趋势。在 13 个地区中,有 4 个地区的季风季节降雨量在 0.05% 的显著水平上呈明显下降趋势,而北阿坎德邦有 7 个地区的降雨量呈不显著的负趋势。此外,北阿坎德邦季风降雨量总体呈明显的负趋势(-2.23)。根据变化检测结果,在北阿坎德邦的大多数地区,最有可能发生变化的年份主要是在 1960 年之后。1960 年后,降雨量明显减少,而 1970 年后,降雨量的年际变化则有所增加。 根据降雨趋势对 13 个地区按月累计的初级生产力总值(GPP)进行的分析表明,降雨趋势对 6 月份的初级生产力总值有显著影响,并在随后的季风月份逐渐降低。据观察,自 2000 年以来,该地区的 GPP 以 9.1 gCm-2d-1 的速度增长。根据敏感性分析,该地区种植区的全球升温潜能值对降雨的敏感性高于北阿坎德邦的森林地区。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of tillage and residue management on greenhouse gases emissions and global warming potential of winter wheat in a semi-arid climate 耕作和残留物管理对半干旱气候条件下冬小麦温室气体排放和全球升温潜能值的影响
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v25i4.2337
Priya Bhattacharya, K. Bandyopadhyay, P. Krishnan, P. Maity, T. Purakayastha, A. Bhatia, B. Chakraborty, S. Kumar, S. Adak, R. Tomer, Meenakshi
A two-year field study was carried out at the Indian Agricultural Research Institute New Delhi, from rabi 2020-21 to 2021-22, with the aim of examining the impacts of tillage and residue management on yield, greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions, global warming potential (GWP) and carbon efficiency ratio (CER) of wheat in a split plot design. The results indicated that both tillage and residue management significantly influenced the grain and biomass yield of wheat. In comparison to conventional tillage (CT), no-tillage (NT) resulted in a substantial reduction of CO2-C emissions by 19.9%, while it led to a notable increase of N2O-N emissions by 11.6%. However, there was a notable and significant rise in GHG emissions with crop residue mulching, registering on an average 20.79% higher emissions compared to residue removal for both the years. The GWP was overall lower in case of NT as compared to CT plots. The highest CER was observed in NTR+ (3.07) during 2020-21 and in NTR0 (3.12) during 2021-22 due to lower CO2 emissions and higher C fixation in both years. Therefore, it may be recommended that wheat can be cultivated in a semi-arid environment with no tillage and residue mulching to provide a comparable yield in addition to lower GHG emissions and GWP and higher CER compared to the farmers’ practice of CT and residue removal.
新德里印度农业研究所在 2020-21 年至 2021-22 年农业收获季节开展了一项为期两年的田间研究,目的是通过分小区设计,研究耕作和残留物管理对小麦产量、温室气体(GHGs)排放、全球升温潜能值(GWP)和碳效率比(CER)的影响。结果表明,耕作和残留物管理对小麦的谷物和生物量产量都有显著影响。与传统耕作(CT)相比,免耕(NT)使 CO2-C 排放量大幅减少了 19.9%,而 N2O-N 排放量则明显增加了 11.6%。然而,作物残茬覆盖的温室气体排放量显著增加,与去除残茬相比,这两年的排放量平均增加了 20.79%。与 CT 地块相比,NT 地块的 GWP 总体较低。在 2020-21 年期间,NTR+(3.07)和 2021-22 年期间,NTR0(3.12)的 CER 最高,原因是这两年的二氧化碳排放量较低,而 C 固定量较高。因此,可以建议在半干旱环境中种植小麦时采用免耕和残留物覆盖,与农民采用全面覆耕和清除残留物的做法相比,不仅可以降低温室气体排放量和全球升温潜能值,还能提供相当的产量和更高的核证减排量。
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引用次数: 0
Long-term response of rainfed sorghum to diverse growing environments and optimal sowing window at Coimbatore 哥印拜陀的雨养高粱对不同生长环境和最佳播种期的长期反应
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v25i4.2362
AMMAIYAPPAN A., V. Geethalakshmi, K. BHUVANESWARI, M.K. KALARANI, N. THAVAPRAKAASH, M. PRAHADEESWARAN
Rainfed sorghum production is profoundly vulnerable to climate variability. Sowing the crop at an appropriate time could be one of the most crucial climate-resilient options to improve the yield. The well-calibrated and validated CERES-Sorghum model was employed to study the rainfed sorghum response to varied environments over the long term (1983–2021) and to determine the optimum sowing window at Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu. The CERES-Sorghum model was used for automatic-planting with a different minimum threshold of 50,60,70 and 80 percent soil water content at 15 cm soil depth under various sowing windows from 1stSeptember to 13th October at a 7-day interval. The model results of automatic planting event indicated the best performance of 1st September sowing window at 50 percent soil water content over 39 years under semi-arid environment. The temperature rise of 1˚C exhibited no significant influence on sorghum grain yields at all sowing windows and a slight reduction in yield was observed at an elevated 2˚C temperature. A further rise in temperature reduced the yield drastically on September month sowings. Across the sowing window, first week sowing window (1st to 7th September) yield was higher under current climatic conditions. The yield of 1st September sowing window remained higher in the elevated temperature conditions as well as in both deficit and excess rainfall conditions than other sowings. In current and future climatic conditions, 1st September sowing window would be the best sowing time to mitigate climate risk in rainfed sorghum.
雨养高粱生产极易受到气候多变性的影响。在适当的时间播种高粱是提高产量的最重要的气候适应性选择之一。本研究采用了经过校准和验证的 CERES-Sorghum 模型来研究雨养高粱对不同环境的长期(1983-2021 年)响应,并确定泰米尔纳德邦哥印拜陀的最佳播种期。在 9 月 1 日至 10 月 13 日的不同播种期内,使用 CERES-Sorghum 模型进行自动播种,在 15 厘米土层深度的土壤含水量为 50%、60%、70% 和 80%的不同最低阈值条件下,每隔 7 天播种一次。自动播种事件的模型结果表明,在 39 年的半干旱环境中,9 月 1 日播种窗口在土壤含水量为 50% 的情况下表现最佳。温度升高 1 摄氏度对所有播种窗口的高粱谷物产量均无显著影响,而温度升高 2 摄氏度时产量略有下降。温度进一步升高会使 9 月份播种的高粱大幅减产。在所有播种窗口中,第一周播种窗口(9 月 1 日至 7 日)的产量在当前气候条件下较高。在气温升高、降雨不足和降雨过多的情况下,9 月 1 日播种窗口的产量仍高于其他播种窗口。在当前和未来的气候条件下,9 月 1 日播种期将是雨养高粱降低气候风险的最佳播种期。
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引用次数: 0
C.V. Raman's Student L.A. Ramdas - From Agricultural Meteorology to Discovery of Ramdas Layer C.V. 拉曼的学生 L.A. 拉姆达斯--从农业气象学到拉姆达斯层的发现
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v25i4.2393
Hardev Singh Virk
Indian Physicist Dr C.V. Raman, the founder of the Raman Spectroscopy, is the only Indian who received Nobel Prize in Science. Raman trained almost 100 scientists in his laboratory who influenced the development of science and technology in India. Dr L A Ramdas was one of them who began his research career under Raman in the beginning of 1920s. Not only, he coined the term ‘Raman Effect’, but also studied the scattering of light in gases and vapours. The present book written by Dr Rajinder Singh, presents Ramdas’s work on light scattering in association with Raman, his venture in establishing a new field namely, Agricultural Meteorology, and subsequently the discovery of Ramdas Layer, named after him.
印度物理学家 C.V. 拉曼博士是拉曼光谱学的创始人,也是唯一一位获得诺贝尔科学奖的印度人。拉曼在他的实验室里培养了近 100 名科学家,他们影响了印度的科技发展。L A Ramdas 博士就是其中之一,他于 20 世纪 20 年代初在拉曼的指导下开始了自己的研究生涯。他不仅创造了 "拉曼效应 "一词,还研究了光在气体和蒸汽中的散射。拉金德-辛格博士撰写的这本书介绍了拉姆达斯与拉曼合作进行的光散射研究、他建立农业气象学这一新领域的冒险精神以及随后以他的名字命名的拉姆达斯层的发现。
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引用次数: 0
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