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Integration of Evolutionary Analysis With RFdiffusion for De Novo Design of Aggregation-Resistant Frataxin. 整合演化分析与rf扩散的抗聚集Frataxin从头设计。
IF 2.8 4区 生物学 Q2 BIOCHEMISTRY & MOLECULAR BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-21 DOI: 10.1002/prot.70114
Kevser Kübra Kırboğa, Ecir Uğur Küçüksille

Friedreich's ataxia (FRDA) is a neurodegenerative disorder caused by frataxin (FXN) deficiency, where protein replacement therapy is hampered by the inherent instability and aggregation propensity of wild-type (WT) FXN. The structural flexibility of Loop-1 (residues 115-123), a critical region within the acidic ridge, represents a key determinant of protein stability. This study introduces a computational pipeline integrating evolutionary conservation analysis (ConSurf) with diffusion-based de novo design (RFdiffusion) to redesign both the backbone and sequence of Loop-1. Through systematic filtration of 1000 ProteinMPNN-generated variants using aggregation propensity screening (AGGRESCAN) and 450 ns of molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, four lead candidates were identified. Design_188 (EERVGGREI) demonstrated optimal performance with 2.3-fold improvement in aggregation resistance (Na4vSS: -53.8 vs. -23.5 for WT), superior structural stability (RMSD: 0.486 nm), reduced conformational diversity (62.3% dominant cluster occupancy), and 93% retention of ISCU binding capacity (ΔΔG: +6.4 kcal/mol). Experimental validation through 15N NMR relaxation analysis confirmed computational predictions, with Design_188 exhibiting uniform backbone rigidification (S2 = 0.81-0.95) and strong MD-NMR correlation (Pearson r = 0.675, p = 0.003). SEC-MALS analysis demonstrated near-complete monomeric behavior (> 98% monomer content) compared to WT's heterogeneous oligomerization (68% monomer, 32% oligomers), directly confirming the predicted anti-aggregation properties. K-means clustering analysis revealed an inverse relationship between conformational heterogeneity and stability, while correlation analysis identified a fundamental trade-off between aggregation resistance and structural stability (r = -0.82, p < 0.01). This work establishes a generalizable framework for therapeutic protein engineering where backbone redesign enables conformational ensemble modulation beyond the limitations of sequence optimization alone.

弗里德赖希共济失调(FRDA)是一种由frataxin (FXN)缺乏引起的神经退行性疾病,其中蛋白质替代治疗受到野生型(WT) FXN固有的不稳定性和聚集倾向的阻碍。环-1(残基115-123)是酸性脊内的一个关键区域,其结构灵活性是蛋白质稳定性的关键决定因素。本研究引入了一种结合进化守恒分析(ConSurf)和基于扩散的从头设计(RFdiffusion)的计算管道来重新设计Loop-1的主干和序列。通过使用聚集倾向筛选(侵略者)和450 ns分子动力学(MD)模拟对1000个proteinmpnn生成的变异进行系统过滤,确定了4个主要候选基因。Design_188 (EERVGGREI)表现出最佳性能,其聚集阻力提高了2.3倍(Na4vSS: -53.8 vs. WT -23.5),优越的结构稳定性(RMSD: 0.486 nm),降低了构像多样性(62.3%的优势簇占用),并保持了93%的ISCU结合能力(ΔΔG: +6.4 kcal/mol)。通过15N NMR松弛分析进行的实验验证证实了计算预测,Design_188表现出均匀的骨干硬化(S2 = 0.81-0.95)和强的MD-NMR相关性(Pearson r = 0.675, p = 0.003)。SEC-MALS分析显示,与WT的非均相寡聚(68%单体,32%寡聚)相比,其单体行为接近完全(> 98%单体含量),直接证实了预测的抗聚集性能。K-means聚类分析揭示了构象异质性和结构稳定性之间的反比关系,而相关分析发现了聚集阻力和结构稳定性之间的基本权衡(r = -0.82, p
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引用次数: 0
Structural and Biophysical Characterization of the Yersinia Type Three Secretion System ATPase YscN. 耶尔森菌3型分泌系统atp酶YscN的结构和生物物理特性
IF 2.8 4区 生物学 Q2 BIOCHEMISTRY & MOLECULAR BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1002/prot.70112
Samuel A Barker, Porter K Ellis, Andrew Hammer, Sean J Johnson, Nicholas E Dickenson

Yersinia pestis was responsible for the Black Plague, one of the worst epidemiological disasters in recorded history. Today, Y. pestis, Y. enterocolitica, and Y. pseudotuberculosis remain clinically relevant human pathogens. Each of these pathogenic Yersinia species relies on a Type Three Secretion System (T3SS) for virulence, with the ATPase YscN playing a critical role in T3SS function. T3SS ATPases are responsible for powering apparatus formation and effector protein secretion through ATP hydrolysis. This study provides an extensive enzymatic characterization of recombinant YscN under several conditions, including variable pH and temperature, substrate and protein concentrations, and in the presence of putative inhibitors. Thermal stability data, assessed by circular dichroism, demonstrate that YscN exhibits increased stability in alkaline conditions, coinciding with greatest ATPase activity. Further, we report the first high-resolution crystal structure of YscN and leverage homology data to model an oligomeric active site. Mutational analysis of a predicted active site residue confirms oligomerization as necessary for YscN ATPase activity and corroborates our oligomeric model and enzyme concentration-dependent specific activity. Interestingly, however, AUC analysis reveals that the purified YscN predominantly exists as a monomer, despite oligomerization-dependent active site formation. Thus, we propose that transient oligomeric interactions support the observed ATP hydrolysis. Together, these data uncover structural and environmental impacts on YscN activity that may support the highly specialized Yersinia pathogenic lifecycle and leverage its role in virulence in search of pan-effective small molecule T3SS ATPase inhibitors.

鼠疫耶尔森氏菌是黑死病的罪魁祸首,黑死病是有史以来最严重的流行病学灾难之一。今天,鼠疫耶尔森菌、小肠结肠炎耶尔森菌和假结核耶尔森菌仍然是临床相关的人类病原体。这些致病性耶尔森菌都依赖于第三型分泌系统(T3SS)产生毒力,而atp酶YscN在T3SS功能中起着关键作用。T3SS ATP酶负责通过ATP水解驱动装置的形成和效应蛋白的分泌。本研究提供了多种条件下重组YscN的广泛酶学表征,包括不同的pH和温度,底物和蛋白质浓度,以及假定的抑制剂存在。通过圆二色性评估的热稳定性数据表明,YscN在碱性条件下表现出更高的稳定性,与最大的atp酶活性相一致。此外,我们报告了YscN的第一个高分辨率晶体结构,并利用同源性数据来模拟低聚活性位点。预测活性位点残基的突变分析证实了寡聚化是YscN atp酶活性的必要条件,并证实了我们的寡聚模型和酶浓度依赖的特异性活性。然而,有趣的是,AUC分析显示,纯化的YscN主要以单体形式存在,尽管寡聚化依赖于活性位点的形成。因此,我们提出瞬时寡聚物相互作用支持观察到的ATP水解。总之,这些数据揭示了结构和环境对YscN活性的影响,这可能支持高度特化的耶尔森菌致病性生命周期,并利用其在毒力中的作用来寻找泛有效的小分子T3SS atp酶抑制剂。
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引用次数: 0
Snapshots of Motion: A Novel Structural Intermediate Reveals Conserved Dynamics in Archaeal DNA Ligases. 运动快照:一种新的结构中间体揭示了古细菌DNA连接酶的保守动力学。
IF 2.8 4区 生物学 Q2 BIOCHEMISTRY & MOLECULAR BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1002/prot.70116
A X Quintana-Armas, E Flores-Hernández, C Cardona-Félix, E Rudiño-Piñera

We present the first x-ray crystallographic structural evidence of an archaeal DNA ligase showing the AMP covalent adduct together with further cofactor hydrolysis, capturing a transient intermediary in the first step of the ligation reaction, triggered by the pyrophosphate hydrolysis. Our crystallographic models of Thermococcus gammatolerans DNA ligase (LigTgam), coupled with bioinformatic analysis of at least 28 crystallographic structures from ATP- and NAD+-dependent DNA ligases, highlight the central role of domain mobility. Notably, elevated B-values are consistently observed in key catalytic and binding regions, suggesting a link between structural flexibility and enzymatic efficiency. Remarkably, this pattern of high B-values is conserved in replicative ligases, including bacterial Lig A, indicating a broader evolutionary relevance. These fluctuations emphasize the importance of conformational adaptability in accommodating substrate DNA and facilitating catalytic steps, including adenylation and phosphodiester bond formation. In this work, we delve deeper into this dynamic behavior, providing evidence of its critical role in ligase function.

我们提出了古细菌DNA连接酶的第一个x射线晶体结构证据,显示AMP共价加合物和进一步的辅因子水解,在连接反应的第一步捕获了一个短暂的中间物,由焦磷酸盐水解触发。我们对伽马热球菌DNA连接酶(LigTgam)的晶体学模型,以及对ATP和NAD+依赖性DNA连接酶至少28个晶体结构的生物信息学分析,强调了结构域迁移的核心作用。值得注意的是,在关键的催化和结合区域持续观察到升高的b值,这表明结构灵活性和酶效率之间存在联系。值得注意的是,这种高b值模式在复制连接酶中是保守的,包括细菌的liga,这表明了更广泛的进化相关性。这些波动强调了构象适应性在容纳底物DNA和促进催化步骤中的重要性,包括腺苷化和磷酸二酯键的形成。在这项工作中,我们深入研究了这种动态行为,提供了它在连接酶功能中的关键作用的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Allosteric Regulation of RNA Affinity by Motif V-VI Coupling in West Nile Virus NS3 Helicase. 基序V-VI偶联对西尼罗病毒NS3解旋酶RNA亲和力的变构调控
IF 2.8 4区 生物学 Q2 BIOCHEMISTRY & MOLECULAR BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1002/prot.70113
Priti Roy, Martin McCullagh

The rise of flaviviral diseases, including West Nile virus (WNV), presents a growing threat to global public health and underscores the urgent need for new therapeutic strategies. The non-structural protein 3 helicase (NS3h) of the Orthoflavivirus genus, including WNV, is essential for viral replication and a promising antiviral target. Previously [Roy et al., Nucleic Acids Research, 52 (13), 2024, 7447-7464], we showed that the motif VI loop (VIL) in WNV NS3h functions as a nucleotide valve, regulating ADP affinity during hydrolysis. In this study, we uncover an ATP-dependent coupling between nucleotide affinity at motif VIL and RNA affinity at motifs IVa and V, suggesting a coordinated mechanism of ssRNA translocation. Using microsecond-scale all-atom molecular dynamics simulations of hydrolysis-cycle intermediates, we find that key VIL residues (R461, R464) correlate strongly with RNA phosphate affinity of motif V. Structural analyses reveal an ATP-sensitive interaction between E413 (motif V) and R461 (motif VIL) that modulates the conformation of the motif V 310-helix, thereby influencing RNA binding. This dynamic interaction is lost in catalytically deficient VIL mutants, which have been experimentally shown to impair hydrolysis and attenuate viral replication. These findings provide mechanistic insights into NS3h function and identify new opportunities for structure-based antiviral design.

包括西尼罗河病毒(WNV)在内的黄病毒疾病的增加对全球公共卫生构成了日益严重的威胁,并强调迫切需要新的治疗策略。包括西尼罗河病毒在内的正黄病毒属的非结构蛋白3解旋酶(NS3h)是病毒复制所必需的,也是一个有前景的抗病毒靶点。先前[Roy et al., Nucleic Acids Research, 52(13), 2024, 7447-7464],我们发现WNV NS3h的motif VI loop (VIL)作为核苷酸阀,在水解过程中调节ADP的亲和力。在这项研究中,我们揭示了基序VIL上的核苷酸亲和力与基序IVa和V上的RNA亲和力之间的atp依赖性偶联,提示了ssRNA易位的协调机制。利用微秒级水解循环中间体的全原子分子动力学模拟,我们发现关键的VIL残基(R461, R464)与基序V的RNA磷酸盐亲和力密切相关。结构分析显示E413(基序V)和R461(基序VIL)之间的atp敏感相互作用调节基序V 310-螺旋的构象,从而影响RNA结合。这种动态相互作用在催化缺陷的VIL突变体中丢失,实验表明这种突变体会损害水解和减弱病毒复制。这些发现提供了NS3h功能的机制见解,并为基于结构的抗病毒设计提供了新的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying Bioactive Conformation of GnRH1 Based on Molecular Docking of NMR Conformers to GnRH1R and mAbs. 基于核磁共振构象与GnRH1R和单克隆抗体分子对接的GnRH1生物活性构象鉴定
IF 2.8 4区 生物学 Q2 BIOCHEMISTRY & MOLECULAR BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1002/prot.70111
Madhavi Latha Yadav Bangaru, Anjali Anoop Karande, Nidhanapati Karanam Raghavendra

GnRH1 binds to its receptor GnRH1R to stimulate release of FSH and LH. Earlier NMR analysis had reported several possible conformers of GnRH1; however, the biologically active conformation of GnRH1 is not identified so far. Here, molecular docking of different NMR conformers of GnRH1 to GnRH1R is performed. Based on: (a) residues of GnRH1R interacting with antagonist elagolix (as ligand-binding pocket), (b) intermolecular hydrogen bonds (for specificity of interaction), and (c) total intermolecular non-covalent interactions (for stability of interaction), one NMR conformation, having an asymmetric U-turn reverse coil structure with a beta strand comprised of residues Gly6 and Leu7, is identified as the bioactive conformation of GnRH1. Further, the identified bioactive NMR conformation of GnRH1 is used to explain in vivo GnRH1-neutralizing ability of monoclonal antibody (mAb) F1D3C5 and lack of neutralization by another mAb E2D2H12. In mice, F1D3C5 completely blocks estrus cycle, while E2D2H12, despite having a relatively higher affinity for GnRH1 in ELISA, does not alter the estrus cycle. Molecular docking of the identified bioactive NMR conformation of GnRH1 to homology models of scFv attributes in vivo neutralizing ability of F1D3C5 to structure-specific recognition of GnRH1. The bioactive conformation of GnRH1 identified here could guide co-crystallization studies, design of analogs and GnRH1 vaccination efforts.

GnRH1与其受体GnRH1R结合,刺激FSH和LH的释放。早期的核磁共振分析已经报道了几种可能的GnRH1构象;然而,GnRH1的生物活性构象迄今尚未确定。本文将GnRH1的不同核磁共振构象与GnRH1R进行分子对接。基于:(a) GnRH1R残基与拮抗剂elagolix相互作用(作为配体结合囊),(b)分子间氢键(用于相互作用的特异性),以及(c)总分子间非共价相互作用(用于相互作用的稳定性),一个具有不对称u型反转线圈结构的NMR构象被确定为GnRH1的生物活性构象,该构象具有由残基Gly6和Leu7组成的β链。此外,鉴定的GnRH1的生物活性NMR构象用于解释单克隆抗体(mAb) F1D3C5在体内中和GnRH1的能力,以及另一mAb E2D2H12缺乏中和GnRH1的能力。在小鼠中,F1D3C5完全阻断了发情周期,而E2D2H12虽然在ELISA中对GnRH1具有相对较高的亲和力,但不改变发情周期。将鉴定的GnRH1生物活性核磁共振构象与scFv属性的同源模型进行分子对接,F1D3C5在体内中和GnRH1的结构特异性识别能力。该研究发现的GnRH1的生物活性构象可以指导共结晶研究、类似物设计和GnRH1疫苗接种工作。
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引用次数: 0
Structural Analysis and Inhibitor Modeling of Bacterioferritin From Brucella abortus. 流产布鲁氏菌细菌铁蛋白的结构分析及抑制剂模型。
IF 2.8 4区 生物学 Q2 BIOCHEMISTRY & MOLECULAR BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-02 DOI: 10.1002/prot.70109
Lijun Liu, Elizabeth K Harmon, Justin K Craig, Huili Yao, Kevin P Battaile, David K Johnson, Sandhya Subramanian, Wesley C Van Voorhis, Mario Rivera, Scott Lovell

Iron homeostasis in various pathogenic bacteria is regulated by bacterioferritins (Bfr) which function to store Fe3+ and release Fe2+ as needed for metabolic processes. The Bfr structure consists of 18 kDa subunits in which dimer pairs bind a heme molecule and are assembled into a highly symmetrical 24-meric spherical structure with an internal core diameter of approximately 80 Å. Release of iron is facilitated by the binding of a 7 kDa [2Fe-2S] ferredoxin (Bfd) to specific sites on the surface of Bfr which transfers electrons to the core thereby reducing the stored Fe3+ to Fe2+ for mobilization. The crystal structures of Bfr from Brucella abortus (Ba) in the apo and iron bound forms are presented and compared with those from Acinetobacter baumannii (Ab) and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (Pa). Additionally, models of the Bfr:Bfd complexes for Ba and Ab are provided and compared with the Pa complex. Finally, compounds known to target the Bfr:Bfd interaction in Pa were docked to the Ba and Ab structures which provided insight regarding the potential binding mode and inhibitory mechanism.

细菌铁蛋白(Bfr)调节各种致病菌的铁稳态,其功能是根据代谢过程的需要储存和释放Fe3+。Bfr结构由18个kDa亚基组成,其中二聚体对结合血红素分子,并组装成高度对称的24-meric球形结构,内芯直径约为80 Å。7kda的[2Fe-2S]铁氧还蛋白(Bfd)结合到Bfr表面的特定位点,将电子转移到核心,从而将储存的Fe3+还原为Fe2+以进行动员,从而促进铁的释放。本文介绍了产布鲁氏菌(Ba)载脂蛋白和铁结合型的Bfr晶体结构,并与鲍曼不动杆菌(Ab)和铜绿假单胞菌(Pa)的Bfr晶体结构进行了比较。此外,还提供了Ba和Ab的Bfr:Bfd配合物模型,并与Pa配合物进行了比较。最后,已知靶向Pa中Bfr:Bfd相互作用的化合物被对接到Ba和Ab结构上,这为潜在的结合模式和抑制机制提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
The CASP 16 Experimental Protein-Ligand Datasets. casp16实验蛋白配体数据集。
IF 2.8 4区 生物学 Q2 BIOCHEMISTRY & MOLECULAR BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-03 DOI: 10.1002/prot.70053
Andreas Tosstorff, Markus G Rudolph, Jörg Benz, Bernd Kuhn, Christian Kramer, May Sharpe, Chia-Ying Huang, Alexander Metz, Julien Hazemann, Daniel Ritz, Aengus Mac Sweeney, Michael K Gilson

This paper presents the experimental protein-ligand datasets used as benchmarks in the CASP 16 blind prediction experiment-the first CASP round to incorporate targets from pharmaceutical discovery projects. We have assembled and characterized protein-ligand complexes for four proteins that are known or candidate drug targets: human chymase, human cathepsin G, human autotaxin, and the SARS-CoV-2 main protease. The collection encompasses over 200 co-crystal structures at resolutions better than 2.7 Å, paired with binding affinity measurements for approximately 160 compounds covering a broad affinity range (nanomolar to high micromolar). These data enabled the CASP16 pose-prediction and affinity-prediction challenges. Many systems feature potentially challenging characteristics, including chymase's electropositive surface and acidic ligands, which require proper handling of titratable ligand groups; autotaxin complexes with and without zinc coordination; and a SARS-CoV-2 protease crystal form exhibiting an unusually open active site conformation. We describe the experimental approaches-from protein production and crystallization to binding assay development-that yielded these reference data. Contributed by scientists at F. Hoffmann-La Roche and Idorsia Pharmaceuticals, these datasets represent actual drug discovery projects and therefore provide a realistic testbed for assessing how computational methods perform on pharmaceutically relevant targets. An accompanying paper in the present special journal issue provides a comprehensive assessment of the pose and affinity predictions for these pharmaceutical protein-ligand systems.

本文介绍了作为CASP 16盲预测实验基准的实验蛋白质配体数据集,这是CASP第一轮纳入药物发现项目靶点的实验。我们已经组装并表征了已知或候选药物靶点的四种蛋白质的蛋白质配体复合物:人切酶、人组织蛋白酶G、人自噬素和SARS-CoV-2主要蛋白酶。该集合包含超过200个共晶结构,分辨率优于2.7 Å,并与大约160个化合物的结合亲和力测量相匹配,覆盖了广泛的亲和力范围(纳摩尔到高微摩尔)。这些数据使CASP16姿势预测和亲和预测挑战成为可能。许多系统具有潜在的挑战性特征,包括乳糜酶的正电表面和酸性配体,这需要适当处理可滴定的配体基团;具有和不具有锌配位的Autotaxin配合物;SARS-CoV-2蛋白酶晶体形态表现出异常开放的活性位点构象。我们描述了实验方法-从蛋白质生产和结晶结合分析开发-产生这些参考数据。这些数据集由F. Hoffmann-La Roche和Idorsia制药公司的科学家提供,代表了实际的药物发现项目,因此为评估计算方法在药物相关目标上的表现提供了一个现实的测试平台。在本特刊的一篇随附论文提供了这些药物蛋白质配体系统的姿态和亲和力预测的全面评估。
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引用次数: 0
Protein-Ligand Structure and Affinity Prediction in CASP16 Using a Geometric Deep Learning Ensemble and Flow Matching. 基于几何深度学习集成和流匹配的CASP16蛋白-配体结构和亲和力预测
IF 2.8 4区 生物学 Q2 BIOCHEMISTRY & MOLECULAR BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-08 DOI: 10.1002/prot.26827
Alex Morehead, Jian Liu, Pawan Neupane, Nabin Giri, Jianlin Cheng

Predicting the structure of ligands bound to proteins is a foundational problem in modern biotechnology and drug discovery, yet little is known about how to combine the predictions of protein-ligand structure (poses) produced by the latest deep learning methods to identify the best poses and how to accurately estimate the binding affinity between a protein target and a list of ligand candidates. Further, a blind benchmarking and assessment of protein-ligand structure and binding affinity prediction is necessary to ensure it generalizes well to new settings. Towards this end, we introduce MULTICOM_ligand, a deep learning-based protein-ligand structure and binding affinity prediction ensemble featuring structural consensus ranking for unsupervised pose ranking and a new deep generative flow matching model for joint structure and binding affinity prediction. Notably, MULTICOM_ligand ranked among the top-5 ligand prediction methods in both protein-ligand structure prediction and binding affinity prediction in the 16th Critical Assessment of Techniques for Structure Prediction (CASP16), demonstrating its efficacy and utility for real-world drug discovery efforts. The source code for MULTICOM_ligand is freely available on GitHub.

预测与蛋白质结合的配体结构是现代生物技术和药物发现中的一个基础问题,但对于如何将最新深度学习方法产生的蛋白质-配体结构(姿势)预测结果结合起来以确定最佳姿势,以及如何准确估计蛋白质靶标与配体候选列表之间的结合亲和力,却知之甚少。此外,有必要对蛋白质配体结构和结合亲和力预测进行盲基准测试和评估,以确保它能很好地推广到新的环境中。为此,我们介绍了 MULTICOM_ligand,这是一种基于深度学习的蛋白质配体结构和结合亲和力预测组合,其特点是用于无监督姿势排序的结构共识排序,以及用于联合结构和结合亲和力预测的新型深度生成流匹配模型。值得注意的是,MULTICOM_ligand 在第 16 届结构预测技术关键评估(CASP16)中跻身蛋白质配体结构预测和结合亲和力预测配体预测方法的前五名,证明了其在实际药物发现工作中的有效性和实用性。MULTICOM_ligand 的源代码可在 GitHub 上免费获取。
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引用次数: 0
Practical Outcomes From CASP16 for Users in Need of Biomolecular Structure Prediction. CASP16为需要生物分子结构预测的用户提供的实际成果
IF 2.8 4区 生物学 Q2 BIOCHEMISTRY & MOLECULAR BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-15 DOI: 10.1002/prot.70078
Luciano A Abriata, Matteo Dal Peraro

The 16th Critical Assessment of Structure Prediction benchmarked advancements in biomolecular modeling, particularly in the context of AlphaFold 2 and 3 systems. Protein monomer and domain prediction is largely solved, with barely any space for further improvements at the backbone level except for very specific details, irregular secondary structures, and mutational effects that remain challenging to predict. For protein assemblies, AF-based methods, especially when expertly guided or enhanced by servers like those from the Yang, Zheng/Zhang, and Cheng lab, show progress, though complex topologies and in particular antibody-antigen interactions are still difficult. Notably, a priori knowledge of stoichiometry significantly aids assembly prediction. Protein-ligand co-folding with AF3 demonstrated strong potential for pose prediction, outperforming many participants and some dedicated docking tools in baseline tests, but several caveats hold as discussed. Ligand affinity prediction is totally unreliable. Nucleic acid structure prediction lags considerably, heavily relying on 3D templates and expert human intervention, even AF3 showing substantial limitations. Overall, on all fronts, AF3's modeling capabilities are at or close to the state of the art; additionally, it shows slight improvements over AF2 and more detailed confidence metrics than it. We guide users on tool selection, realistic accuracy expectations, and persistent challenges, emphasizing the critical role of confidence metrics in interpreting AI-generated models.

第16届结构预测关键评估对生物分子建模的进步进行了基准评估,特别是在AlphaFold 2和3系统的背景下。蛋白质单体和结构域的预测在很大程度上已经解决,除了非常具体的细节,不规则的二级结构和突变效应仍然具有挑战性的预测之外,在骨干水平上几乎没有任何进一步改进的空间。对于蛋白质组装,基于af的方法,特别是在Yang、Zheng/Zhang和Cheng实验室的服务器的专业指导或增强下,显示出了进步,尽管复杂的拓扑结构,特别是抗体-抗原相互作用仍然很困难。值得注意的是,化学计量学的先验知识显著有助于组装预测。蛋白质配体与AF3共折叠显示出强大的姿态预测潜力,在基线测试中优于许多参与者和一些专用对接工具,但仍有一些注意事项。配体亲和预测是完全不可靠的。核酸结构预测滞后,严重依赖3D模板和专家人工干预,即使是AF3也有很大的局限性。总的来说,在所有方面,AF3的建模能力是在或接近艺术的状态;此外,它比AF2有轻微的改进,并且比AF2有更详细的信心指标。我们在工具选择、现实的准确性期望和持续的挑战方面指导用户,强调置信度指标在解释人工智能生成的模型中的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of Protein Complex Predictions in CASP16: Are We Making Progress? CASP16蛋白复合体预测的评估:我们取得进展了吗?
IF 2.8 4区 生物学 Q2 BIOCHEMISTRY & MOLECULAR BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-31 DOI: 10.1002/prot.70068
Jing Zhang, Rongqing Yuan, Andriy Kryshtafovych, Jimin Pei, Rachael C Kretsch, R Dustin Schaeffer, Jian Zhou, Rhiju Das, Nick V Grishin, Qian Cong

The assessment of oligomer targets in the Critical Assessment of Structure Prediction Round 16 (CASP16) suggests that complex structure prediction remains an unsolved challenge. Even the leading groups can only predict slightly more than half of the targets to high accuracy. Most CASP16 groups relied on AlphaFold-Multimer (AFM) or AlphaFold3 (AF3) as their core modeling engines. By optimizing input MSAs, refining modeling constructs (using partial rather than full sequences), and employing massive model sampling and selection, top-performing groups were able to significantly outperform the default AFM/AF3 predictions. CASP16 also introduced two additional challenges: Phase 0, which required predictions without stoichiometry information, and Phase 2, which provided participants with thousands of models generated by MassiveFold (MF) to enable large-scale sampling for resource-limited groups. Across all phases, the MULTICOM series and Kiharalab emerged as top performers based on the quality of their best models. However, these groups did not have a strong advantage in model ranking, and thus their lead over other teams, such as Yang-Multimer and kozakovvajda, was less pronounced when evaluating only the first submitted models. Compared to CASP15, CASP16 showed moderate overall improvement, likely driven by the release of AF3 and the extensive model sampling employed by top groups. Several notable trends highlight frontiers for future development. First, the kozakovvajda group significantly outperformed others on antibody-antigen targets, achieving over a 60% success rate without relying on AFM or AF3 as their primary modeling framework, suggesting that alternative approaches may offer promising solutions for these difficult targets. Second, model ranking and selection continue to be major bottlenecks. The PEZYFoldings group demonstrated a notable advantage in selecting their best models as first models, suggesting that their pipeline for model ranking may offer important insights for the field. Finally, the Phase 0 experiment indicated moderate success in stoichiometry prediction; however, stoichiometry prediction remains challenging for high-order assemblies and targets that differ from available homologous templates. Overall, CASP16 demonstrated steady progress in multimer prediction while emphasizing the need for more effective model ranking strategies, improved stoichiometry prediction, and new modeling methods that extend beyond the current AF-based paradigm.

在第16轮结构预测关键评估(CASP16)中对低聚物靶点的评估表明,复杂结构预测仍然是一个未解决的挑战。即使是领先的小组也只能准确地预测一半多一点的目标。大多数CASP16组依赖于alphafold - multitimer (AFM)或AlphaFold3 (AF3)作为其核心建模引擎。通过优化输入msa,精炼建模结构(使用部分序列而不是完整序列),并采用大量模型采样和选择,表现最好的组能够显著优于默认的AFM/AF3预测。CASP16还引入了两个额外的挑战:第0阶段,需要在没有化学计量信息的情况下进行预测;第2阶段,为参与者提供由MassiveFold (MF)生成的数千个模型,以便对资源有限的群体进行大规模采样。在所有阶段,MULTICOM系列和Kiharalab基于其最佳模型的质量成为表现最佳的产品。然而,这些小组在模型排名上并没有很强的优势,因此当只评估第一次提交的模型时,他们对其他小组(如Yang-Multimer和kozakovvajda)的领先优势就不那么明显了。与CASP15相比,CASP16表现出适度的整体改善,可能是由AF3的释放和顶级组采用的广泛模型采样驱动的。几个值得注意的趋势突出了未来发展的前沿。首先,kozakovvajda小组在抗体-抗原靶点上的表现明显优于其他小组,在不依赖AFM或AF3作为主要建模框架的情况下,成功率超过60%,这表明替代方法可能为这些困难的靶点提供有希望的解决方案。第二,车型排序和选择仍然是主要瓶颈。PEZYFoldings小组在选择最佳模型作为第一模型方面表现出了显著的优势,这表明他们的模型排序管道可能为该领域提供重要的见解。最后,0期实验表明,化学计量预测取得了中等程度的成功;然而,对于不同于现有同源模板的高阶组装和靶标,化学计量学预测仍然具有挑战性。总体而言,CASP16在多时间预测方面取得了稳步进展,同时强调需要更有效的模型排序策略、改进的化学计量预测以及超越当前基于af的范式的新建模方法。
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Proteins-Structure Function and Bioinformatics
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