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Towards Remaining Useful Life Prediction in Rotating Machine Fault Prognosis: An Exponential Degradation Model 旋转机械故障预测中的剩余使用寿命预测:指数退化模型
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/CMD.2018.8535765
M. Anis
Estimating the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of critical assets is not only a basic requirement of condition-based maintenance, but is also central to system prognostics for cost efficiency. A well professed definition of prognostics in the existing literature is the ability to use automated methods to assess system condition, estimate functional parameters and forecast degradation. Rotating shafts are a critical component to most modern day machinery and are at a constant risk of failure given the harsh working environment they are subjected to. The main aim of this paper is to propose a data-driven prognostic approach combining a machine learning method like Principal Component Analysis (PCA) with an exponential degradation model to accurately predict the RUL of a rotating shaft. For this purpose, vibration data collected off a faulty shaft over many days is analyzed in both time and frequency domains to extract descriptive fault features. Following feature post-processing for noise reduction and data training, it is observed that Kurtosis ranks the highest in terms of feature importance by quantifying its merit amongst all other features based on the metrics of monotonicity and trendability. Following feature normalization, a PCA model is employed for dimensionality reduction and feature fusion to improve the accuracy of the prognosis system. As a good indicator of deteriorating health, the PCA-based fused health indicator is combined with the previous top feature, Kurtosis, to be used as a mathematical input for a physical-behavior degradation model. Unlike most practical cases, the selection of threshold for a degradation slope in the proposed model is independent of historical data and is capable of evaluating the significance of slope by relying on observed data instead. Results indicate that parameter distribution is updated on a real-time basis by selecting an arbitrary slope parameter every time a significant variance in health is detected. The final output includes probability density function (PDF) of RUL, Estimated & True RUL, confidence intervals and prognostic performance analysis plots indicating better performance of the proposed degradation model in predicting shaft failure.
评估关键资产的剩余使用寿命(RUL)不仅是基于状态的维护的基本要求,也是系统预测成本效率的核心。在现有文献中,一个公认的预测定义是使用自动化方法评估系统状态、估计功能参数和预测退化的能力。旋转轴是大多数现代机械的关键部件,由于它们所处的恶劣工作环境,旋转轴始终存在故障风险。本文的主要目的是提出一种数据驱动的预测方法,将主成分分析(PCA)等机器学习方法与指数退化模型相结合,以准确预测转轴的RUL。为此,从故障轴上收集的振动数据在多天内进行时域和频域分析,以提取描述性故障特征。在进行降噪和数据训练的特征后处理之后,可以观察到峰度在特征重要性方面排名最高,这是通过基于单调性和趋势性的度量来量化其在所有其他特征中的优点。在特征归一化之后,采用PCA模型进行降维和特征融合,提高预测系统的准确率。作为健康恶化的良好指标,基于pca的融合健康指标与之前的顶级特征峰度相结合,作为物理-行为退化模型的数学输入。与大多数实际情况不同,所提出的模型中退化斜率阈值的选择不依赖于历史数据,而是能够依靠观测数据来评估斜率的重要性。结果表明,每次检测到健康度显著变化时,选择任意斜率参数,实时更新参数分布。最终输出包括RUL的概率密度函数(PDF)、估计和真实RUL、置信区间和预测性能分析图,表明所提出的退化模型在预测轴故障方面具有较好的性能。
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引用次数: 8
Transformer Winding Fault Diagnosis by Vibration Monitoring 基于振动监测的变压器绕组故障诊断
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/CMD.2018.8535726
Sai Srinivas Manohar, A. Subramaniam, M. Bagheri, S. Nadarajan, A. Gupta, S. K. Panda
The role of transformer in electricity network reliability and safe operation is quite crucial. Therefore, their monitoring, maintenance and management is vitally important for utility operators. Simpler, non-invasive and online condition monitoring method which is sensitive to incipient faults is in demand for transformer diagnosis. Although vibration monitoring is considered as a valuable technique in industry for rotating machines, it is least explored for static electrical equipment such as transformer. In this study, core and winding vibrations in a dry type transformer is monitored using an accelerometer to diagnose the winding electrical and mechanical faults. Winding and core vibrations for various degrees of inter-turn fault, axial movement and disc displacement under different load conditions are studied.
变压器对电网的可靠性和安全运行起着至关重要的作用。因此,对它们的监测、维护和管理对于公用事业运营商来说至关重要。简单、无创、对早期故障敏感的在线状态监测方法是变压器诊断的需要。虽然振动监测在工业上被认为是一项有价值的技术,但对变压器等静电设备的研究却很少。本文采用加速度计对干式变压器的铁芯和绕组振动进行监测,以诊断绕组电气和机械故障。研究了不同载荷条件下不同程度匝间故障、轴向运动和圆盘位移引起的绕组和铁芯振动。
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引用次数: 2
Effect of Thermal Aging on the mechanical Characteristic of Insulating Paper Impregnated with Different Insulating Oils 热老化对不同绝缘油浸渍绝缘纸力学性能的影响
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/CMD.2018.8535856
I. Sari, Suwarno, T. Kinkeldey, P. Werle
Transformers are critical components of the power grid. The energy transfer is highly dependent on the performance of the transformer. As the transformer operates, the paper insulation undergoes an aging process as a result of thermal, electrical, and mechanical stresses. The chemical and physical characteristics of the paper insulation change gradually. Paper insulation which mostly consists of cellulose degrades and the Degree of Polymerization decreases due to the decomposition of the inter-fiber bondings. This causes a reduced mechanical strength and will lead to tears, defibrillations and loss of stability. In this contribution, the mechanical behavior of paper insulation impregnated with uninhibited oil, and 2 different inhibited oils investigated. The observation focus is on the mechanical characteristics of paper insulation by considering and the degree of polymerization and the Tensile Strength.
变压器是电网的重要组成部分。能量传递高度依赖于变压器的性能。当变压器运行时,由于热、电和机械应力,绝缘纸会经历一个老化过程。纸绝缘的化学和物理特性是逐渐变化的。主要由纤维素组成的纸绝缘层由于纤维间结合的分解而降解,聚合度降低。这会导致机械强度降低,并导致撕裂、除颤和稳定性丧失。在这篇贡献中,研究了未抑制油和2种不同抑制油浸渍纸绝缘材料的力学行为。观察重点是考虑聚合度和拉伸强度对纸绝缘的力学特性的影响。
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引用次数: 6
Methodology for Obtaining Key Transient Information of Unsymmetrical Earth Fault in Overhead Transmission Line 架空输电线路非对称接地故障关键暂态信息获取方法
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/CMD.2018.8535894
Hanqing Liang, G. Sheng, X. Mao, Xiuchen Jiang, Yadong Liu
Obtaining key transient information at fault points accurately is of practical significance in failure-cause identification and rebuilding plan formulation for overhead transmission line (OTL). The paper proposed a method for excavating key transient information during unsymmetrical earth fault. Based on the inversion theory, the required transient current traveling wave at fault points could be obtained. Combining with fault type, a mathematical model of current amplitude, fault angle and fault resistance was constructed. Furthermore, improved firefly algorithm (IFFA) was adopted to solve model parameter. Simulation results demonstrated that the proposed method contributed to accurately reproduce traveling wave at the fault points and excavate the key transient fault information.
准确获取故障点的关键暂态信息对架空输电线路故障原因识别和重建方案的制定具有重要的现实意义。提出了一种挖掘非对称接地故障关键瞬态信息的方法。基于反演理论,可以得到故障点处所需的暂态电流行波。结合故障类型,建立了电流幅值、故障角度和故障电阻的数学模型。采用改进的萤火虫算法(IFFA)求解模型参数。仿真结果表明,该方法有助于准确再现故障点处的行波,挖掘出关键的暂态故障信息。
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引用次数: 0
Hierarchical Layered Method of Converter Station Based on Principal Component Analysis and Association Analysis 基于主成分分析和关联分析的换流站分层方法
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/CMD.2018.8535662
Haohui Su, Qi Wang, Yanzhou Chen, Yiming Wang, B. Qi, Peng Zhang, Chengrong Li
The HVDC has entered a period of rapid development in China. As the core of HVDC transmission, the converter station has the characteristics of many types of equipment, various equipment, various auxiliary systems and large signal levels, and it has a high requirement for real-time monitoring signals. To realize the remote monitoring and control of the converter station, it is urgent to solve the problem of stratification and classification of the remote transmission signal. Therefore, this paper mainly focuses on the remote transmission signals of large converter stations, and conducts stratification and classification strategies from the three business perspectives of converter station remote monitoring, DC system status identification, and event intelligent diagnosis and processing. First of all, this paper investigates the research status of stratification and classification of converter station signals, and combs and collects the remote transmission signals. Then, combined with the domestic high-voltage DC protection system and the actual operation data of the telecontrol system, the stratification and classification strategies of the far-transmission signal of the converter station are studied from three different angles. Finally, a differentiated signal stratification and classification method for different services based on grey correlation analysis and Apriori correlation analysis was proposed. The actual case verification can get the result. The signal stratification and classification method proposed in this paper can accurately filter the signals which used to evaluate the status of the converter station. The sets of signal can be used to generate a signal importance list for different devices.
高压直流输电在中国已进入高速发展期。换流站作为高压直流输电的核心,具有设备种类多、设备种类多、辅助系统种类多、信号电平大的特点,对实时监控信号的要求很高。为了实现对换流站的远程监控,迫切需要解决远程传输信号的分层和分类问题。因此,本文主要以大型换流站远程传输信号为研究对象,从换流站远程监控、直流系统状态识别、事件智能诊断与处理三个业务角度进行分层分类策略。本文首先调查了换流站信号分层分类的研究现状,并对远传信号进行了梳理和采集。然后,结合国内高压直流保护系统和遥控系统的实际运行数据,从三个不同的角度研究了换流站远传信号的分层分类策略。最后,提出了一种基于灰色关联分析和Apriori关联分析的不同业务差异化信号分层分类方法。实际案例验证可以得到结果。本文提出的信号分层分类方法可以准确地过滤用于换流站状态评估的信号。信号集可用于生成不同设备的信号重要性列表。
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引用次数: 1
Lighting Impulse Properties in Large Oil Gaps with and without Pressboard Interface 有和没有压板接口的大油隙中的光脉冲特性
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/CMD.2018.8535621
Songlin Jiang, Qinxue Yu, Chen Zhang, Huaqiang Li, L. Zhong, Yu Xu, X. Hu, Y. Shuai
In this paper, negative polarity lighting impulse properties of three kinds of transformer oils in different gaps were investigated. The tested oils included 25# (naphthenic mineral oil), RAPO (natural ester, rape-seed oil) and FR3 (natural ester, soybean oil). Each of oils was tested with and without pressboard under 1.2/50µs standard negative lighting impulse with point-plane electrode system in several gaps. Breakdown voltage (in oil without pressboard) and flashover voltage (in oil with pressboard) were recorded and analyzed. It has been found that the above natural esters represented certain degree of lower breakdown and flashover properties compared to mineral oil; moreover, in small oil gaps, the breakdown voltage was higher than flashover voltage, while in large gaps the opposite, and this trend was increasingly obvious with gap distance increasing. Furthermore, this paper found that other factors had a certain influence on the negative lighting impulse properties, which will be investigated in future.
本文研究了三种变压器油在不同间隙下的负极性光脉冲特性。测试油包括25#(环烷矿物油)、RAPO(天然酯,菜籽油)和FR3(天然酯,大豆油)。每一种油都在1.2/50µs标准负光照脉冲下用点平面电极系统在几个间隙中进行了测试。记录并分析了击穿电压(在无压板的油中)和闪络电压(在有压板的油中)。研究发现,与矿物油相比,上述天然酯具有一定程度的低击穿和闪燃性能;小油隙击穿电压高于闪络电压,大油隙击穿电压高于闪络电压,且随着油隙距离的增加,这种趋势越来越明显。此外,本文还发现其他因素对负光脉冲性能也有一定的影响,将在今后的研究中进一步深入。
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引用次数: 0
The System of Temperature Rise Monitoring and Temperature Prediction for Power Equipment 电力设备温升监测与温度预测系统
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/CMD.2018.8535885
Xinbo Huang, Zhiwen Li, Yongcan Zhu
The power equipment is an important component of the power system, which will seriously threat the stability of power system when the heat fault occurs during its running. An integrated system has been designed in this paper directed against the characteristics of thermal fault, which can implement the functionality of temperature acquisition, realtime display and fault warning. The real-time temperature can be stably collected via wireless transmission, low-power technology and so on. The dynamic threshold algorithm based on beta distribution is used to eliminate the singularity data that potential introduced in the process of data transmission or acquisition. The development trend of the equipment temperature can be predicted by means of the temperature prediction model established through the process neural network. The experimental results show that the system can effectively measure and display the temperature of power equipment and predict the development of temperature trend, which has higher precision.
电力设备是电力系统的重要组成部分,在其运行过程中发生热故障将严重威胁到电力系统的稳定性。针对热故障的特点,设计了一个集成系统,实现了温度采集、实时显示和故障预警功能。通过无线传输、低功耗等技术可以稳定地采集实时温度。采用基于beta分布的动态阈值算法,消除了在数据传输或采集过程中可能引入的数据奇异性。利用过程神经网络建立的温度预测模型,可以预测设备温度的发展趋势。实验结果表明,该系统能够有效地测量和显示电力设备的温度,并预测温度的发展趋势,具有较高的精度。
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引用次数: 2
Partial discharge pattern recognition of DC XLPE cables based on convolutional neural network 基于卷积神经网络的直流交联聚乙烯电缆局部放电模式识别
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/CMD.2018.8535793
Yufeng Zhu, Yongpeng Xu, Jingde Chen, Fan Rusen, Sheng Gehao, Xiuchen Jiang
In order to deal with the limitations on the feature extraction of strong random signals in DC XLPE cables, this paper proposes a self-adaptive pattern recognition method based on convolutional neural network (CNN). Convolutional Architecture for Fast Feature Embedding (Caffe) has great performance on image recognition using CNN. Four typical insulation defects are designed and PD signals are collected for pattern recognition. Four different Caffe frameworks are constructed to analyze the impact of the network structures and solver parameters on training effect. Compared with Quick-CIFAR-IO and original Alexnet network, the modified Alexnet network proposed by this paper has great adaptability to pattern recognition of partial discharges in DC XLPE cables.
针对直流XLPE电缆中强随机信号特征提取的局限性,提出了一种基于卷积神经网络(CNN)的自适应模式识别方法。卷积快速特征嵌入体系结构(Caffe)在CNN图像识别中有很好的表现。设计了四种典型的绝缘缺陷,并采集了PD信号进行模式识别。构建了四种不同的Caffe框架,分析了网络结构和求解器参数对训练效果的影响。与Quick-CIFAR-IO和原有的Alexnet网络相比,本文提出的改进Alexnet网络对直流交联聚乙烯电缆局部放电的模式识别具有很强的适应性。
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引用次数: 3
Fault Location Method Based on Full Waveform Information for Distribution Networks 基于全波形信息的配电网故障定位方法
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/CMD.2018.8535782
Wen Yan, Meng Hailei, Fang Mu, Dai Jindun, L. Yadong
To improve the reliability and sensitivity of fault location in distribution networks, a fault location method based on full waveform information is presented. In this method, the acting features of arc suppression coil and the influence of arc suppression coils parameters on zero sequence voltage and zero sequence current are considered. For grounding faults, the maximum point of the cross-correlation function of the zero sequence voltage of buses and the zero sequence current on each outgoing line is used to select the faulty line, and then the standardized deviation degree of the zero sequence current waveforms when the fault occurs and the corresponding arc suppression coil operates is used to localize the fault. For interphase faults, the three-phase current information before the relay protection device acts is measured to select the faulty line, and then by using standardized deviation degree of the faulty phase current waveforms, the fault is localized. Through the simulations on PSCAD/EMTDC software, the feasibility and reliability of the proposed method are verified.
为了提高配电网故障定位的可靠性和灵敏度,提出了一种基于全波形信息的配电网故障定位方法。该方法考虑了消弧线圈的作用特性以及消弧线圈参数对零序电压和零序电流的影响。对于接地故障,利用母线零序电压与各出线零序电流相互关函数的最大值来选择故障线路,然后利用故障发生时零序电流波形的标准化偏差程度以及相应消弧线圈运行来定位故障。对于相间故障,通过测量继电保护装置动作前的三相电流信息来选择故障线路,然后利用故障相电流波形的标准化偏差程度进行故障定位。通过在PSCAD/EMTDC软件上的仿真,验证了该方法的可行性和可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
Power Cable Network Topology Reconstruction Using Multi-carrier Reflectometry for Fault Detection and Location in Live Smart Grids 基于多载波反射法的实时智能电网故障检测与定位电力电缆网络拓扑重构
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/CMD.2018.8535596
W. B. Hassen, M. Kafal, E. Cabanillas, J. Benoit
Several approaches have been proposed and applied for reconstructing the topology of an unknown network. Although, promising results have been obtained, offline passive testing was only accessible. On the other hand, a wide range of wiring networks embedded in critical systems as power grids and power-plants can not be easily shutdown for testing purposes. Accordingly, we will propose in this paper an approach for diagnosing obscured networks in an on-line live mode, thanks to the Orthogonal Multi-tone Time Domain Reflectometry (OMTDR). Optimization techniques namely the genetic algorithm will be integrated with the OMTDR method to enable revealing the topology of the black-boxed tested network. Practical real-life experimental setups are dedicated to validate the proposed approach.
对于未知网络的拓扑重构,已经提出了几种方法并应用于该方法。虽然已经取得了令人鼓舞的结果,但离线被动测试只能进行。另一方面,在电网和发电厂等关键系统中嵌入的各种布线网络不能轻易关闭以进行测试。因此,我们将在本文中提出一种在线实时模式下诊断模糊网络的方法,即正交多音时域反射法(OMTDR)。优化技术即遗传算法将与OMTDR方法相结合,以揭示黑盒测试网络的拓扑结构。实际生活中的实验设置致力于验证所提出的方法。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
2018 Condition Monitoring and Diagnosis (CMD)
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