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2026 Healthcare Predictions: AI, Blockchain, and the Rise of Decentralized Innovation. 2026年医疗保健预测:人工智能、区块链和分散式创新的兴起。
Pub Date : 2026-01-02 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.30953/bhty.v8.475
Michael Dershem, John Riley, Mohan Venkataraman, Jim Nasr, Ajaz S Hussain

As we head into 2026, artificial intelligence (AI), blockchain, and other emerging technologies are moving from experiments into core healthcare systems. That shift promises tangible benefits: fewer people left untreated, faster discovery of lifesaving treatments, and simpler, lower‑cost ways to move money and data across borders. It also brings real risks-speculative hype, erosion of institutional trust, and rushed rollouts that fail patients-so adoption must be disciplined and values-driven. This annual predictions article, informed by ConV2X Symposium speakers, highlights practical advances likely to matter at the bedside and beyond: programmable stablecoins that lower cross‑border payment friction; AI that surfaces pediatric risks earlier; verifiable digital credentials that ease clinician mobility; post‑quantum cryptography to safeguard sensitive records; domain‑specific AI designed for regulatory compliance; consumer apps that put usable health tools in people's pockets; and the rise of Decentralized Science (DeSci) to restore transparency and funding momentum to stalled research. Realizing these possibilities will require deliberate choices, commitment, and coordinated stewardship across innovators, clinicians, and policymakers. With that effort, these tools can help build a more verifiable, equitable, and resilient global healthcare system-technology shaped to serve people, not the other way around; aspirations for healing, dignity, and universal well-being. While uncertainties persist, the path forward is clear: responsible innovation today will shape a healthier, more inclusive tomorrow.

随着我们进入2026年,人工智能(AI)、区块链和其他新兴技术正在从实验阶段进入核心医疗系统。这一转变有望带来切实的好处:更少的人得不到治疗,更快地发现挽救生命的治疗方法,以及更简单、成本更低的跨境资金和数据转移方式。它也带来了真正的风险——投机炒作,机构信任的侵蚀,以及让病人失望的仓促推出——因此,采用必须有纪律和价值观驱动。这篇由ConV2X研讨会发言人发表的年度预测文章强调了可能在床边和其他地方产生影响的实际进展:降低跨境支付摩擦的可编程稳定币;更早地暴露儿科风险的人工智能;可验证的数字证书,简化了临床医生的流动性;保护敏感记录的后量子加密技术;为遵守法规而设计的特定领域AI;消费者应用程序将可用的健康工具放在人们的口袋里;以及分散化科学(DeSci)的兴起,以恢复停滞研究的透明度和资助势头。实现这些可能性需要创新者、临床医生和政策制定者进行深思熟虑的选择、承诺和协调的管理。通过这些努力,这些工具可以帮助建立一个更可核查、更公平、更有弹性的全球卫生保健系统——技术旨在为人民服务,而不是相反;对治愈、尊严和普遍福祉的渴望。尽管不确定性依然存在,但前进的道路是明确的:今天负责任的创新将塑造一个更健康、更包容的明天。
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引用次数: 0
Construction of a Big Data-Driven Predictive Analysis Platform for Hospital Talent Attrition. 基于大数据的医院人才流失预测分析平台构建
Pub Date : 2025-12-31 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.30953/bhty.v8.433
Xiao Lei Zheng, Xiaoli Dai, Tian Li Liu

Objective: This study develops a big data-driven predictive platform for hospital staff attrition, integrating machine learning (ML) with psychological constructs. Negotiable Fate (NF), a culturally rooted belief system, is examined as a predictor of turnover via psychological capital (PC) and organizational citizenship.

Methods: Structured HR data from 400+ employees at a tertiary public hospital, covering 20+ features, were analyzed. Due to attrition imbalance (~5%), SMOTE was applied to balance the dataset. Four ML classifiers-logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, and XGBoost-were evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. Statistical analyses assessed mediation, moderation, and construct validity using survey variables: NF, PC, perceived organizational support, job performance (JP), and organizational citizenship behavior.

Results: Random Forest and XGBoost achieved superior recall for attrition cases. Feature importance consistently highlighted working hours, income, job type, and satisfaction as key predictors. NF significantly predicted JP (β = 0.30, p < 0.001) and organizational citizenship (β = 0.36, p < 0.001) through PC (β = 0.33, p < 0.001). Perceived organizational support moderated the NF → PC pathway (β = 0.16, p < 0.001), confirming mediated moderation.

Conclusion: Integrating ML with psychological theory enhances both the prediction and understanding of hospital staff attrition. The platform enables culturally sensitive, data-driven HR interventions, helping administrators identify high-risk employees and implement targeted strategies to reduce attrition, stabilize the workforce, and improve patient care.

目的:将机器学习与心理建构相结合,开发大数据驱动的医院员工流失预测平台。可协商命运(NF)是一种根植于文化的信念体系,通过心理资本(PC)和组织公民来检验其作为人员流动的预测因子。方法:对某三级公立医院400多名员工的结构化人力资源数据进行分析,涵盖20多个特征。由于磨擦不平衡(~5%),使用SMOTE来平衡数据集。四种ML分类器——逻辑回归、决策树、随机森林和xgboost——使用准确性、精密度、召回率和f1评分进行评估。统计分析使用调查变量:NF、PC、感知组织支持、工作绩效和组织公民行为来评估中介、调节和结构效度。结果:随机森林和XGBoost在磨耗案例中具有较好的召回率。特征的重要性一直强调工作时间、收入、工作类型和满意度作为关键的预测因素。NF通过PC (β = 0.33, p < 0.001)显著预测JP (β = 0.30, p < 0.001)和组织公民(β = 0.36, p < 0.001)。感知组织支持调节NF→PC通路(β = 0.16, p < 0.001),证实了介导的调节作用。结论:将机器学习与心理学理论相结合,可以提高对医院员工流失的预测和理解。该平台支持文化敏感、数据驱动的人力资源干预,帮助管理员识别高风险员工并实施有针对性的策略,以减少人员流失、稳定员工队伍并改善患者护理。
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引用次数: 0
Why Blockchain Benefits Don't Guarantee Adoption: An Integrated TAM-TOE Analysis of Technology Acceptance and Organizational Readiness. 为什么区块链收益不能保证采用:技术接受和组织准备的集成TAM-TOE分析。
Pub Date : 2025-12-16 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.30953/bhty.v8.428
Fatma M AbdelSalam

Background: Despite blockchain technology's demonstrated potential to enhance security, transparency, and efficiency in healthcare systems, adoption rates remain significantly lower than predicted, creating a persistent gap between perceived benefits and adoption feasibility. This study addresses the critical question of what explains this adoption paradox by developing and testing a comprehensive theoretical framework that integrates the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) with the Technology-Organization-Environment (TOE) framework.

Methods: A systematic literature review is conducted following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines to synthesize existing research on blockchain adoption in health care. This study develops four key propositions examining how technology characteristics, organizational factors, external environmental pressures, perceived risks, and system quality collectively influence healthcare organizations' blockchain adoption intentions.

Results: The analysis reveals that blockchain adoption in health care is influenced by a complex interplay of facilitating and inhibiting factors. Technology characteristics such as perceived usefulness (PU) and ease of use, combined with organizational innovation readiness and technology compatibility, positively influence adoption intention. External factors enhance perceived technology benefits and consequently affect adoption decisions. However, perceived risks moderate the relationship between PU and adoption intention.

Conclusions: Blockchain technology represents a transformative solution for persistent healthcare challenges, but successful adoption requires a holistic approach that simultaneously addresses technology, organizational, and environmental factors. The adoption gap can be bridged through strategic planning that aligns institutional readiness with user incentives, comprehensive risk management, and supportive regulatory frameworks. Future research should focus on establishing ethical governance models to support broad blockchain adoption in health care.

背景:尽管区块链技术在增强医疗保健系统的安全性、透明度和效率方面具有潜力,但采用率仍远低于预期,这导致了预期收益与采用可行性之间的持续差距。本研究通过开发和测试一个集成了技术接受模型(TAM)和技术-组织-环境(TOE)框架的综合理论框架,解决了解释这种采用悖论的关键问题。方法:根据系统评价的首选报告项目和荟萃分析指南进行系统文献综述,综合现有的医疗保健采用区块链的研究。本研究提出了四个关键命题,考察技术特征、组织因素、外部环境压力、感知风险和系统质量如何共同影响医疗保健组织的区块链采用意图。结果:分析表明,区块链在卫生保健中的应用受到促进和抑制因素的复杂相互作用的影响。技术特征如感知有用性(PU)和易用性,结合组织创新准备度和技术兼容性,正向影响采用意愿。外部因素增强了感知到的技术利益,从而影响了采用决策。然而,感知风险调节了PU与收养意愿之间的关系。结论:区块链技术代表了针对持续存在的医疗保健挑战的变革性解决方案,但成功采用区块链技术需要同时解决技术、组织和环境因素的整体方法。采用差距可以通过将机构准备与用户激励、全面风险管理和支持性监管框架相结合的战略规划来弥合。未来的研究应侧重于建立伦理治理模式,以支持区块链在卫生保健领域的广泛采用。
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引用次数: 0
Optimization of Health Service Utilization Among Elderly People With Chronic Diseases in Rural Ethnic Minorities in Northwest Yunnan Using Graph Neural Networks. 用图神经网络优化滇西北少数民族农村慢性病老年人卫生服务利用
Pub Date : 2025-12-15 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.30953/bhty.v8.436
Jing Zhang, Haitao Fan

Background: The demand for health services among elderly patients with chronic diseases in rural ethnic minority areas of northwest Yunnan is increasing. Yet, service utilization remains imbalanced. Existing studies mainly focus on disease combinations, overlooking temporal and spatial variations in medical behavior.

Methods: This study applies graph neural networks to construct a heterogeneous graph integrating patients, medical institutions, and geographic units, modeling dynamic service paths to identify high-frequency and potentially lost-contact patients. Using a heterogeneous graph attention network for feature embedding and a graph attention network classifier, the model captures behavioral similarity and service path patterns. Geographic and social variables such as ethnicity, terrain, and road accessibility further enhance sensitivity to regional disparities.Based on node centrality and path distribution, targeted service optimization strategies-such as mobile medical points and cross-regional collaboration nodes-are proposed for resource allocation.

Results: Experimental results reveal marked spatial and structural disparities: Diqing Prefecture shows an accessibility index of 68 min versus 29 min in Dali; multimorbidity (3+) groups have a 68.6% matching rate but a 1.138 utilization rate, indicating resource imbalance; and mountain unit G18's coverage index is only 0.31.

Conclusion: The proposed model achieves a Macro-F1 of 0.83, outperforming XGBoost (0.76), effectively identifying high-risk groups, locating service bottlenecks, and supporting precise health resource optimization.

背景:滇西北少数民族农村老年慢性病患者对卫生服务的需求日益增加。然而,服务利用率仍然不平衡。现有的研究主要集中在疾病组合上,忽视了医疗行为的时空变化。方法:应用图神经网络构建患者、医疗机构和地理单元的异构图,对动态服务路径进行建模,识别高频和潜在失联患者。该模型利用异构图注意网络进行特征嵌入,并利用图注意网络分类器捕获行为相似性和服务路径模式。种族、地形和道路可达性等地理和社会变量进一步增强了对区域差异的敏感性。基于节点中心性和路径分布,提出了移动医疗点和跨区域协作节点等有针对性的服务优化策略进行资源配置。结果:实验结果显示出明显的空间和结构差异:迪庆地区可达性指数为68 min,大理地区为29 min;多病(3+)组匹配率为68.6%,利用率为1.138,资源不平衡;山地单元G18的覆盖指数仅为0.31。结论:该模型的宏观f1值为0.83,优于XGBoost(0.76),能够有效识别高危人群,定位服务瓶颈,支持精准卫生资源优化。
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引用次数: 0
A Blockchain-Based Framework With Zero-Knowledge Proof Incorporated for Safeguarded Sharing of Genomic Data Through Health Record Systems. 基于区块链的零知识证明框架,通过健康记录系统保障基因组数据的共享。
Pub Date : 2025-11-29 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.30953/bhty.v8.419
Nandini Krishappa, Girisha Gowdra Shivappa, Sharon Zachariah, Thanushree, Kavyashree I Pattan, Arpita Paria, Savitha Hiremath, Revathi Vaithiyanathan

Genomic data sharing remains a core problem in precision medicine because genomic data are highly sensitive and unchangeable. In this article, we propose a blockchain-based framework that utilizes zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs), smart contracts, and off-chain storage to facilitate secure, privacy-preserving data sharing within health record systems. We implemented and evaluated a proof-of-concept prototype in Python on a simulated genomic dataset. The prototype uses a hybrid storage system where metadata is retained on a blockchain and encrypted data are placed in an emulated InterPlanetary File System (IPFS). Rule-based access is controlled using smart contracts, while privacy and security are achieved using ZKPs with interactive Schnorr protocol and elliptic curve cryptography (ECC). Empirical analysis using real-time testing over 100 iterations reported an average zero-knowledge proof with blockchain (ZKPB) query latency of 5.83 ms with a 90.00% accuracy, smart contract latency of under 0.01 ms with 90.00% accuracy, blockchain query time of 0.01 ms with 90.00% accuracy, and ECC latency of 8.72 ms with 90.00% accuracy. These empirical findings validate the effectiveness and privacy guarantees of the framework, which can be utilized in healthcare research, clinical genomics, and personalized medicine workflows.

由于基因组数据具有高度敏感性和不可变性,因此基因组数据共享一直是精准医疗的核心问题。在本文中,我们提出了一个基于区块链的框架,该框架利用零知识证明(ZKPs)、智能合约和链下存储来促进健康记录系统内安全、保护隐私的数据共享。我们在模拟基因组数据集上用Python实现并评估了一个概念验证原型。原型机使用混合存储系统,其中元数据保留在区块链上,加密数据放置在模拟的星际文件系统(IPFS)中。基于规则的访问使用智能合约进行控制,而隐私和安全则使用带有交互式Schnorr协议和椭圆曲线加密(ECC)的zkp来实现。使用超过100次迭代的实时测试的实证分析表明,区块链(ZKPB)查询延迟平均为5.83 ms,准确率为90.00%,智能合约延迟低于0.01 ms,准确率为90.00%,区块链查询时间为0.01 ms,准确率为90.00%,ECC延迟为8.72 ms,准确率为90.00%。这些实证研究结果验证了该框架的有效性和隐私保障,可用于医疗保健研究、临床基因组学和个性化医疗工作流程。
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引用次数: 0
Converge2Xcelerate (ConV2X) Driving Platforms and Decentralized Technology in Healthcare and Life Sciences: Keynote Address: Existential Times. 医疗保健和生命科学领域的Converge2Xcelerate (ConV2X)驱动平台和分散技术:主题演讲:存在时代。
Pub Date : 2025-11-21 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.30953/bhty.v8.458
Tory Cenaj
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引用次数: 0
Trust By Design: Enabling Responsible Precision Health Through Blockchain-Powered Digital Twins And Trusted AI. 设计信任:通过区块链驱动的数字孪生和可信赖的人工智能实现负责任的精确健康。
Pub Date : 2025-11-17 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.30953/bhty.v8.453
Ingrid Vasiliu-Feltes, Christina Yan Zhang, Stephen Dennis, Elliot Siegel, Daniel Uribe

The Executive Session, Trust by Design: Enabling Responsible Precision Health through Blockchain-Powered Digital Twins and Trusted AI, explores how the convergence of blockchain, artificial intelligence, genomics, 6G wireless technology, and other advanced technologies can be leveraged to power precision health digital twins. The dialogue focused on governance, interoperability, cybersecurity, and the impact of blockchain and trusted AI-powered digital twins on advancing precision healthcare and personalized medicine. Use cases-for genomics, radiology, theranostics, and end-of-life care-illustrated both opportunities and barriers. Throughout the discussion, speakers emphasized the centrality of trust, patient sovereignty, and resilient infrastructures for the next generation of healthcare.

执行会议“设计的信任:通过区块链驱动的数字孪生和可信赖的人工智能实现负责任的精准健康”,探讨了如何利用区块链、人工智能、基因组学、6G无线技术和其他先进技术的融合,为精准健康数字孪生提供动力。对话的重点是治理、互操作性、网络安全,以及b区块链和可信的人工智能数字孪生对推进精准医疗和个性化医疗的影响。用例——基因组学、放射学、治疗学和临终关怀——说明了机遇和障碍。在整个讨论过程中,发言者强调了信任、患者主权和弹性基础设施对下一代医疗保健的核心作用。
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引用次数: 0
Trust By Design: Enabling Responsible Precision Health Through Blockchain-Powered Digital Twins And Trusted AI. 设计信任:通过区块链驱动的数字孪生和可信赖的人工智能实现负责任的精确健康。
Pub Date : 2025-11-17 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.30953/bhty.v10.453
Ingrid Vasiliu-Feltes, Christina Yan Zhang, Stephen Dennis, Elliot Siegel, Daniel Uribe

The Executive Session, Trust by Design: Enabling Responsible Precision Health through Blockchain-Powered Digital Twins and Trusted AI, explores how the convergence of blockchain, artificial intelligence, genomics, 6G wireless technology, and other advanced technologies can be leveraged to power precision health digital twins. The dialogue focused on governance, interoperability, cybersecurity, and the impact of blockchain and trusted AI-powered digital twins on advancing precision healthcare and personalized medicine. Use cases-for genomics, radiology, theranostics, and end-of-life care-illustrated both opportunities and barriers. Throughout the discussion, speakers emphasized the centrality of trust, patient sovereignty, and resilient infrastructures for the next generation of healthcare.

执行会议“设计的信任:通过区块链驱动的数字孪生和可信赖的人工智能实现负责任的精准健康”,探讨了如何利用区块链、人工智能、基因组学、6G无线技术和其他先进技术的融合,为精准健康数字孪生提供动力。对话的重点是治理、互操作性、网络安全,以及b区块链和可信的人工智能数字孪生对推进精准医疗和个性化医疗的影响。用例——基因组学、放射学、治疗学和临终关怀——说明了机遇和障碍。在整个讨论过程中,发言者强调了信任、患者主权和弹性基础设施对下一代医疗保健的核心作用。
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引用次数: 0
Blockchain Technology in Digital Health and Medical Technologies. 数字健康和医疗技术中的区块链技术。
Pub Date : 2025-11-14 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.30953/bhty.v8.409
Muhammet Damar, Ömer Aydın, Fatih Safa Erenay

The rapid evolution of digital health technologies has created an urgent need for secure, transparent, and interoperable data management systems. The core problem addressed in this study is the fragmentation of healthcare data and the lack of trust among stakeholders in existing digital health infrastructures. The main goal is to examine how blockchain technology can drive digital health transformation through decentralized data governance and integration with other emerging technologies. To achieve this, the research employs a mixed bibliometric and systematic review methodology, analyzing peer-reviewed publications indexed in the Web of Science and comparing topic hierarchies with outputs from Google Scholar between 2017 and 2024. Using keyword co-occurrence and thematic mapping, six major domains were identified: genomics and precision medicine, telemedicine and mobile health, immersive technologies such as augmented and virtual reality, the Internet of Things and Health 5.0 systems, artificial intelligence and big data integration, and global and regional health management. The findings indicate that blockchain enhances healthcare by improving data security, ensuring traceability, facilitating interoperability across platforms, and enabling real-time data sharing in clinical and research environments. It also supports regulatory compliance and patient-centered data ownership. In conclusion, blockchain serves as a foundational technology for future digital health ecosystems, promoting transparency and decentralization across global health networks. This study contributes to the literature by offering a comprehensive framework for integrating blockchain with digital health innovations, providing valuable guidance for researchers, policymakers, and healthcare technologists.

数字卫生技术的快速发展产生了对安全、透明和可互操作的数据管理系统的迫切需求。本研究解决的核心问题是医疗保健数据的碎片化以及利益相关者对现有数字医疗基础设施缺乏信任。主要目标是研究区块链技术如何通过分散的数据治理和与其他新兴技术的集成来推动数字医疗转型。为了实现这一目标,该研究采用了一种混合的文献计量学和系统综述方法,分析了在科学网上索引的同行评审出版物,并将主题层次结构与谷歌Scholar在2017年至2024年间的产出进行了比较。通过关键词共现和专题制图,确定了基因组学和精准医疗、远程医疗和移动健康、增强现实和虚拟现实等沉浸式技术、物联网和健康5.0系统、人工智能和大数据集成、全球和区域健康管理等六大领域。研究结果表明,区块链通过提高数据安全性、确保可追溯性、促进跨平台互操作性以及在临床和研究环境中实现实时数据共享来增强医疗保健。它还支持法规遵从性和以患者为中心的数据所有权。总而言之,区块链是未来数字卫生生态系统的基础技术,可促进全球卫生网络的透明度和权力下放。本研究为整合区块链与数字健康创新提供了一个全面的框架,为研究人员、政策制定者和医疗技术人员提供了有价值的指导,从而为文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping the AI Landscape in Life Sciences: A Framework for Evaluation and Adoption. 绘制生命科学中的人工智能景观:评估和采用的框架。
Pub Date : 2025-10-10 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.30953/bhty.v8.398
Jennifer Hinkel, Fraser Peck, Cory Kidd

Background: The adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI) is accelerating in the life sciences sector, offering opportunities to enhance biopharmaceutical research, development, and commercialization. However, the sector lacks structured tools to prioritize AI initiatives across varied business domains.

Objective: This study presents a framework to categorize and evaluate potential AI applications in the life sciences industry, organizing use cases along two critical dimensions: Phase of Product Lifecycle and Operational Domain.

Methods: A structured mixed-methods approach was employed, including a modified Delphi consensus process with industry experts, a qualitative case study review, and iterative framework refinement between August 2023 and August 2024.

Results: The resulting matrix framework enables life sciences professionals to assess AI opportunities across research, clinical development, commercialization, and post-marketing activities. Key findings highlight the pervasive nature of AI impact, the emphasis on data-driven strategies, and the regulatory and ethical challenges facing biopharma firms.

Conclusions: This framework provides a practical model for strategic AI adoption decisions within the life sciences sector and lays the groundwork for future research, policy development, and enterprise transformation efforts.

背景:人工智能(AI)在生命科学领域的应用正在加速,为加强生物制药的研究、开发和商业化提供了机会。然而,该行业缺乏结构化的工具来优先考虑不同业务领域的人工智能计划。目的:本研究提出了一个框架,用于分类和评估生命科学行业中潜在的人工智能应用,并沿着两个关键维度组织用例:产品生命周期阶段和操作领域。方法:在2023年8月至2024年8月期间,采用结构化混合方法,包括与行业专家进行改进的德尔菲共识过程、定性案例研究回顾和迭代框架改进。结果:由此产生的矩阵框架使生命科学专业人员能够评估研究、临床开发、商业化和上市后活动中的人工智能机会。主要研究结果强调了人工智能影响的普遍性,对数据驱动战略的重视,以及生物制药公司面临的监管和伦理挑战。结论:该框架为生命科学领域采用人工智能的战略决策提供了一个实用模型,并为未来的研究、政策制定和企业转型工作奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
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Blockchain in healthcare today
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