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Short-term atrial fibrillation onset prediction using machine learning. 利用机器学习预测短期房颤发作。
IF 4.4 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-09-11 eCollection Date: 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf104
Jean-Marie Grégoire, Cédric Gilon, François Marelli, Hugues Bersini, Laurent Groben, Thomas Nguyen, Bernard Deruyter, Pascal Godart, Stéphane Carlier

Introduction: Integrating machine learning (ML) models into wearable or connected devices to deliver early warning alerts prior to atrial fibrillation (AF) onset may represent an effective preventive strategy. Machine learning algorithms applied to two-lead Holter electrocardiogram (ECG) recordings can support the development of predictive models capable of detecting imminent paroxysmal AF episodes within short-term windows. This approach could facilitate a more targeted 'pill-in-the-pocket' (PITP)-like intervention strategy, potentially enhancing timely therapeutic actions and improving patient outcomes.

Aim: This study aimed to identify patients currently in sinus rhythm who will experience an AF episode within the subsequent hours by analysing 24-h Holter ECG recordings with ML.

Methods: We established a novel database comprising 95 871 manually analysed Holter ECG recordings, identifying 1319 episodes of paroxysmal AF from 872 patients. Among these, 835 AF episodes from 506 recordings had more than 60 min of normal sinus rhythm prior to AF onset and more than 10 min of sustained AF following onset. Patients were stratified into five age groups: all patients combined, under 60 years, 60-70 years, 70-80 years, and over 80 years. Additionally, 365 recordings from 347 patients without rhythm abnormalities were identified and classified, from which two ECG segments were selected. Two deep learning (DL) models were trained on raw ECG data to predict AF onset. To compare DL models with traditional ML approaches using heart rate variability (HRV) parameters, we employed a random forest classifier and a gradient-boosted decision tree model (XGBoost, XGB).

Results: The decision trees models trained on HRV parameters delivered the best predictive performance. The most significant results were observed for episodes lasting more than 5 min of AF, achieving an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.919 (95% CI: 0.879-0.958) and an area under the precision-recall curve of 0.919 (95% CI: 0.879-0.958) for XGB. At a decision threshold of 0.5, accuracy was 84.5% (81.2-87.8), sensitivity was 83.0% (79.5-86.4), specificity was 86.6% (79.3-93.9), positive predictive value was 90.2% (85.5-94.9), negative predictive value was 78.4% (74.7-82.1), and the F1 score was 86.2% (83.5-89.0).

Conclusion: These findings indicate that HRV parameters contain crucial information for the short-term prediction of AF onset, supporting preventive strategies. Integration of such predictive models into wearable mHealth technologies could facilitate a PITP-like preventive approach, potentially reducing AF-related morbidity. Prospective studies are warranted to validate these promising results further.

将机器学习(ML)模型集成到可穿戴或连接的设备中,在房颤(AF)发作之前提供早期预警警报,可能是一种有效的预防策略。应用于双导联动态心电图(ECG)记录的机器学习算法可以支持预测模型的开发,该模型能够在短期窗口内检测即将发生的阵发性房颤发作。这种方法可以促进更有针对性的“口袋里的药丸”(PITP)式干预策略,潜在地增强及时的治疗行动并改善患者的预后。目的:本研究旨在通过ml分析24小时动态心电图记录来识别目前处于窦性心律的患者,这些患者将在随后的几个小时内经历房颤发作。方法:我们建立了一个新的数据库,包括95871例手动分析的动态心电图记录,从872例患者中识别出1319例阵发性房颤发作。其中,506次记录的835次房颤发作在房颤发作前有超过60分钟的正常窦性心律,发作后持续房颤超过10分钟。患者分为5个年龄组:所有患者合并,60岁以下,60-70岁,70-80岁和80岁以上。此外,对347例无节律异常患者的365段记录进行识别和分类,从中选择2段心电图。两个深度学习(DL)模型在原始心电图数据上进行训练以预测AF发作。为了比较DL模型和使用心率变异性(HRV)参数的传统ML方法,我们采用了随机森林分类器和梯度增强决策树模型(XGBoost, XGB)。结果:基于HRV参数训练的决策树模型具有最佳的预测性能。结果最显著的是AF持续时间超过5 min, XGB的受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.919 (95% CI: 0.879-0.958),精密度-召回曲线下面积为0.919 (95% CI: 0.879-0.958)。判定阈值为0.5时,准确率为84.5%(81.2 ~ 87.8),敏感性为83.0%(79.5 ~ 86.4),特异性为86.6%(79.3 ~ 93.9),阳性预测值为90.2%(85.5 ~ 94.9),阴性预测值为78.4% (74.7 ~ 82.1),F1评分为86.2%(83.5 ~ 89.0)。结论:这些研究结果表明,HRV参数为房颤发作的短期预测提供了重要信息,支持了预防策略。将这种预测模型集成到可穿戴移动健康技术中,可以促进类似于pitp的预防方法,潜在地减少af相关的发病率。有必要进行前瞻性研究以进一步验证这些有希望的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Access and reimbursement of ambulatory cardiac monitoring across Europe. 整个欧洲的动态心脏监测的获取和报销。
IF 4.4 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-08-30 eCollection Date: 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf102
Giuseppe Boriani, Johannes Brachmann, Thorsten Lewalter, David J Wright, Patrick Badertscher, Chris P Gale, José Luis Merino, Helmut Pürerfellner, Gregory Y H Lip

Ambulatory cardiac monitoring (ACM) allows long-term electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring to detect arrhythmias with different modalities, ranging from short-term Holter monitoring (up to 48 h) to long-term continuous patch ECG monitors (up to 14 days), external event recorders (up to 30 days), and implantable loop recorders (ILRs). Access and reimbursement for ACM across Europe are not well understood. We performed a systematic review and analysis to understand ACM reimbursement across Europe, including a review of the reimbursement systems in each country and a detailed inspection of clinical coding and provider reimbursement. Level of reimbursement is dependent on many factors, including clinical setting (inpatient, outpatient, and day case), hospital length of stay, diagnosis, complications/severity, geographical location, hospital type, and device model and manufacturer. In most countries, reimbursement is performed for the monitoring procedure itself, without considering the time extension of monitoring and the specific type of device used for monitoring. The monetary value of reimbursement varies by country for both ACM and ILR [for Holter from €17.49 to €939.78 and for ILR from €416.14 (provider reimbursement only) to €18,718 (provider reimbursement bundled with ILR device)]. Holter and ILR are universally reimbursed, but newer ACM technologies with extended duration of monitoring, including long-term continuous monitoring and event recorders, are not. Across Europe, we found large variation in monetary values for reimbursement for ACM and ILR. We also found limited reimbursement and access to longer-duration ACM technologies. These findings suggest heterogeneous and problematic access to evidence-based tools for longer-duration monitoring.

动态心脏监测(ACM)允许长期心电图(ECG)监测以检测不同模式的心律失常,从短期动态心电图监测(长达48小时)到长期连续贴片心电图监测(长达14天),外部事件记录仪(长达30天)和植入式环路记录仪(ilr)。在整个欧洲,ACM的访问和报销还没有得到很好的理解。我们进行了系统的回顾和分析,以了解整个欧洲的ACM报销情况,包括对每个国家的报销制度的回顾,以及对临床编码和提供者报销的详细检查。报销水平取决于许多因素,包括临床环境(住院、门诊和日间病例)、住院时间、诊断、并发症/严重程度、地理位置、医院类型、设备型号和制造商。在大多数国家,对监测程序本身进行偿还,而不考虑监测的时间延长和用于监测的具体设备类型。ACM和ILR的报销金额因国家而异[Holter从17.49欧元到939.78欧元,ILR从416.14欧元(仅供提供商报销)到18718欧元(与ILR设备捆绑的提供商报销)]。Holter和ILR是普遍报销的,但具有延长监测时间的较新的ACM技术,包括长期连续监测和事件记录仪,则不报销。在整个欧洲,我们发现ACM和ILR报销的货币价值差异很大。我们还发现有限的补偿和获得较长持续时间的ACM技术。这些发现表明,对于长期监测而言,循证工具的获取存在异质性和问题。
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引用次数: 0
Prognostic stratification of familial hypercholesterolaemia patients using AI algorithms: a gender-specific approach. 使用AI算法对家族性高胆固醇血症患者进行预后分层:一种性别特异性方法
IF 4.4 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-08-26 eCollection Date: 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf092
Alberto Zamora, Luis Masana, Fernando Civeira, Daiana Ibarretxe, Marta Fanlo-Maresma, Alex Vila, Manuel Suárez Tembra, Victoria Marco-Benedí, Luis A Alvarez-Sala-Walther, Miguel Camacho-Ruiz

Aims: Familial hypercholesterolaemia (FH) is the most prevalent autosomal dominant disorder, affecting about 1 in 200-250 individuals. It is the leading cause of early and aggressive coronary artery disease.

Methods and results: We analysed patients with genetically confirmed FH or a score >8 on the Dutch Lipid Clinics Network criteria from the National Registry of the Spanish Atherosclerosis Society, including individuals enrolled from January 2010 to December 2017. The model utilized a dataset incorporating family history, clinical characteristics, laboratory results, genetic data, imaging studies, and lipid-lowering treatment details. Eighty per cent of the population was allocated for training the AI algorithm and 20% was used for testing. A Histogram-based Gradient Boosting Classification Tree was used. The stability of the AI system was assessed using K-fold cross-validation. Shapley additive explanations methodology analysed the influence of different variables by sex. Youden's J statistic established the optimal cut-off point. A total of 1764 patients were included (51.8% women), among whom 264 experienced major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), with 8% being women. The final model incorporated 82 variables, achieving metrics of precision for MACE accuracy (0.92), recall (0.89), F1-score (0.91), and receiver operating characteristic (0.88; 95% confidence interval, 0.85-0.90). In the model, age, gamma-glutamyl transferase levels, and subclinical disease significantly impacted risk for women, while year of birth, age at initiation of statin treatment, and HbA1c levels were more influential for men. The optimal risk threshold was 0.25.

Conclusion: Artificial intelligence-machine learning algorithms are promising tools for enhancing vascular risk stratification, revealing critical sex-based differences.

目的:家族性高胆固醇血症(FH)是最常见的常染色体显性遗传病,200-250人中约有1人患病。它是早期和侵袭性冠状动脉疾病的主要原因。方法和结果:我们分析了来自西班牙动脉粥样硬化协会国家登记处的遗传证实的FH或荷兰脂质诊所网络标准评分bbbb8的患者,包括2010年1月至2017年12月登记的个体。该模型利用了包含家族史、临床特征、实验室结果、遗传数据、影像学研究和降脂治疗细节的数据集。80%的人被分配用于训练人工智能算法,20%用于测试。采用基于直方图的梯度增强分类树。采用K-fold交叉验证评估人工智能系统的稳定性。Shapley加性解释方法分析了不同变量对性别的影响。Youden's J统计量确定了最佳分界点。共纳入1764例患者(51.8%为女性),其中264例发生重大心血管不良事件(mace),其中8%为女性。最终模型包含82个变量,达到MACE准确率(0.92)、召回率(0.89)、f1评分(0.91)和接收者工作特征(0.88;95%置信区间为0.85-0.90)的精度指标。在该模型中,年龄、γ -谷氨酰转移酶水平和亚临床疾病显著影响女性的风险,而出生年份、开始他汀类药物治疗的年龄和HbA1c水平对男性的影响更大。最佳风险阈值为0.25。结论:人工智能-机器学习算法是增强血管风险分层,揭示关键性别差异的有前途的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Patient and physician perspectives on smartwatch-based out-of-hospital cardiac arrest detection. 病人和医生对基于智能手表的院外心脏骤停检测的看法。
IF 4.4 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-08-23 eCollection Date: 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf093
Marijn Eversdijk, Marieke A R Bak, Lukas R C Dekker, Babette J W van der Eerden, Anouk E C Bruijnzeels, Dick L Willems, Hanno L Tan, Willem J Kop, Mirela Habibović

Aims: The potential application of wearable technology solutions for detecting out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is increasingly explored to enhance survival outcomes, but questions related to device accuracy, psychological well-being, privacy, and equal access need to be sorted out before implementation in clinical care and society. This qualitative interview study investigates patients' and physicians' perspectives on end-user needs, preferences, and potential barriers to smartwatch-based OHCA detection.

Methods and results: During the first cycle, 17 patients with elevated OHCA risk were interviewed individually (n = 8) or with their partner (n = 9). The second cycle consisted of interviews with 18 physicians, including cardiologists (n = 9), and other physicians involved in the clinical care of OHCA: general physicians (n = 3), intensivists (n = 3), and neurologists (n = 3). Verbatim interview transcripts were inductively coded for thematic analysis. Five overarching themes were derived: (1) acceptance, use, and optimal informed consent; (2) identifying the target population; (3) technology-related barriers, such as false alarms, localization, and locked doors; (4) design preferences related to privacy, comfort, and hardware alternatives; and (5) public-private partnerships, costs, and equitable access.

Conclusion: This study is the first to explore the perspectives of patients and physicians on smartwatch-based OHCA detection using qualitative analysis of interview data. The results provide important building blocks for the ethically and psychologically sound development and implementation of smartwatch-based OHCA detection in clinical practice, taking the social context into account. The availability of OHCA detection using wearable devices to a wide range of people requires further attention, with emphasis on populations at elevated risk of cardiac arrhythmias.

目的:人们越来越多地探索可穿戴技术解决方案在院外心脏骤停(OHCA)检测中的潜在应用,以提高生存结果,但在临床护理和社会实施之前,需要整理与设备准确性、心理健康、隐私和平等获取相关的问题。这项定性访谈研究调查了患者和医生对终端用户需求、偏好和基于智能手表的OHCA检测的潜在障碍的看法。方法和结果:在第一个周期,17例OHCA风险升高的患者单独(n = 8)或与其伴侣(n = 9)进行访谈。第二个周期包括对18名医生的访谈,包括心脏病专家(n = 9)和其他参与OHCA临床护理的医生:全科医生(n = 3)、重症监护医生(n = 3)和神经科医生(n = 3)。逐字访谈笔录被归纳编码以作专题分析。得出了五个总体主题:(1)接受、使用和最佳知情同意;(2)确定目标人群;(3)与技术有关的障碍,如误报、定位、锁门等;(4)与隐私、舒适和硬件选择相关的设计偏好;(5)公私伙伴关系、成本和公平获取。结论:本研究首次通过访谈数据的定性分析,探讨了患者和医生对基于智能手表的OHCA检测的看法。考虑到社会背景,这些结果为基于智能手表的OHCA检测在临床实践中的伦理和心理健康发展和实施提供了重要的构建模块。使用可穿戴设备对大范围人群进行OHCA检测需要进一步关注,重点是心律失常风险较高的人群。
{"title":"Patient and physician perspectives on smartwatch-based out-of-hospital cardiac arrest detection.","authors":"Marijn Eversdijk, Marieke A R Bak, Lukas R C Dekker, Babette J W van der Eerden, Anouk E C Bruijnzeels, Dick L Willems, Hanno L Tan, Willem J Kop, Mirela Habibović","doi":"10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf093","DOIUrl":"10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf093","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>The potential application of wearable technology solutions for detecting out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is increasingly explored to enhance survival outcomes, but questions related to device accuracy, psychological well-being, privacy, and equal access need to be sorted out before implementation in clinical care and society. This qualitative interview study investigates patients' and physicians' perspectives on end-user needs, preferences, and potential barriers to smartwatch-based OHCA detection.</p><p><strong>Methods and results: </strong>During the first cycle, 17 patients with elevated OHCA risk were interviewed individually (<i>n</i> = 8) or with their partner (<i>n</i> = 9). The second cycle consisted of interviews with 18 physicians, including cardiologists (<i>n</i> = 9), and other physicians involved in the clinical care of OHCA: general physicians (<i>n</i> = 3), intensivists (<i>n</i> = 3), and neurologists (<i>n</i> = 3). Verbatim interview transcripts were inductively coded for thematic analysis. Five overarching themes were derived: (1) acceptance, use, and optimal informed consent; (2) identifying the target population; (3) technology-related barriers, such as false alarms, localization, and locked doors; (4) design preferences related to privacy, comfort, and hardware alternatives; and (5) public-private partnerships, costs, and equitable access.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study is the first to explore the perspectives of patients and physicians on smartwatch-based OHCA detection using qualitative analysis of interview data. The results provide important building blocks for the ethically and psychologically sound development and implementation of smartwatch-based OHCA detection in clinical practice, taking the social context into account. The availability of OHCA detection using wearable devices to a wide range of people requires further attention, with emphasis on populations at elevated risk of cardiac arrhythmias.</p>","PeriodicalId":72965,"journal":{"name":"European heart journal. Digital health","volume":"6 6","pages":"1145-1158"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12629659/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145566323","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Artificial intelligence-enabled sinus electrocardiograms for the detection of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation benchmarked against the CHARGE-AF score. 以CHARGE-AF评分为基准,用于检测阵发性心房颤动的人工智能窦性心电图。
IF 4.4 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-08-22 eCollection Date: 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf100
Constantine Tarabanis, Vidya Koesmahargyo, Dimitrios Tachmatzidis, Vasileios Sousonis, Constantinos Bakogiannis, Robert Ronan, Scott A Bernstein, Chirag Barbhaiya, David S Park, Douglas S Holmes, Alexander Kushnir, Felix Yang, Anthony Aizer, Larry A Chinitz, Stylianos Tzeis, Vassilios Vassilikos, Lior Jankelson

Aims: We aimed to develop and externally validate a convolutional neural network (CNN) using sinus rhythm electrocardiograms (ECGs) and CHARGE-AF features to predict incident paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF), benchmarking its performance against the CHARGE-AF score.

Methods and results: We curated 157 192 sinus ECGs from 76 986 patients within the New York University (NYU) Langone Health system, splitting data into training, validation, and test sets. Two cohorts, from suburban US outpatient practices and Greek tertiary hospitals, were used for external validation. The model utilizing the sinus ECG signal and all CHARGE-AF features achieved the highest test set area under the receiver operator curve (AUC) (0.89) and area under the precision recall curve (AUPRC) (0.69), outperforming the CHARGE-AF score alone. Model robustness was maintained in the external US cohort (AUC 0.90, AUPRC 0.67) and the European cohort (AUC 0.85, AUPRC 0.78). Subgroup analyses confirmed consistent performance across age, sex, and race strata. A CNN using ECG signals alone retained strong predictive ability, particularly when simulating missing or inaccurate clinical data.

Conclusion: Our CNN integrating sinus rhythm ECGs and CHARGE-AF features demonstrated superior predictive performance over traditional risk scoring alone for detecting incident paroxysmal AF. The model maintained accuracy across geographically and clinically diverse external validation cohorts, supporting its potential for broad implementation in AF screening strategies.

目的:我们旨在开发和外部验证使用窦性心律心电图(ECGs)和CHARGE-AF特征的卷积神经网络(CNN)来预测发作性心房颤动(AF),并将其性能与CHARGE-AF评分进行基准测试。方法和结果:我们从纽约大学(NYU) Langone健康系统的76986例患者中收集了157192例鼻窦心电图,将数据分为训练集、验证集和测试集。来自美国郊区门诊诊所和希腊三级医院的两个队列用于外部验证。利用窦性心电信号和所有CHARGE-AF特征的模型在接收算子曲线下的测试集面积(AUC)为0.89,在精确召回曲线下的测试集面积(AUPRC)为0.69,优于单独的CHARGE-AF评分。在美国外部队列(AUC 0.90, AUPRC 0.67)和欧洲队列(AUC 0.85, AUPRC 0.78)中保持模型稳健性。亚组分析证实了跨年龄、性别和种族阶层的一致表现。单独使用ECG信号的CNN保留了很强的预测能力,特别是在模拟缺失或不准确的临床数据时。结论:我们的CNN整合了窦性心律心电图和CHARGE-AF特征,在检测突发性房颤方面表现出优于传统风险评分的预测性能。该模型在地理和临床不同的外部验证队列中保持准确性,支持其在房颤筛查策略中广泛实施的潜力。
{"title":"Artificial intelligence-enabled sinus electrocardiograms for the detection of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation benchmarked against the CHARGE-AF score.","authors":"Constantine Tarabanis, Vidya Koesmahargyo, Dimitrios Tachmatzidis, Vasileios Sousonis, Constantinos Bakogiannis, Robert Ronan, Scott A Bernstein, Chirag Barbhaiya, David S Park, Douglas S Holmes, Alexander Kushnir, Felix Yang, Anthony Aizer, Larry A Chinitz, Stylianos Tzeis, Vassilios Vassilikos, Lior Jankelson","doi":"10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf100","DOIUrl":"10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf100","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>We aimed to develop and externally validate a convolutional neural network (CNN) using sinus rhythm electrocardiograms (ECGs) and CHARGE-AF features to predict incident paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF), benchmarking its performance against the CHARGE-AF score.</p><p><strong>Methods and results: </strong>We curated 157 192 sinus ECGs from 76 986 patients within the New York University (NYU) Langone Health system, splitting data into training, validation, and test sets. Two cohorts, from suburban US outpatient practices and Greek tertiary hospitals, were used for external validation. The model utilizing the sinus ECG signal and all CHARGE-AF features achieved the highest test set area under the receiver operator curve (AUC) (0.89) and area under the precision recall curve (AUPRC) (0.69), outperforming the CHARGE-AF score alone. Model robustness was maintained in the external US cohort (AUC 0.90, AUPRC 0.67) and the European cohort (AUC 0.85, AUPRC 0.78). Subgroup analyses confirmed consistent performance across age, sex, and race strata. A CNN using ECG signals alone retained strong predictive ability, particularly when simulating missing or inaccurate clinical data.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Our CNN integrating sinus rhythm ECGs and CHARGE-AF features demonstrated superior predictive performance over traditional risk scoring alone for detecting incident paroxysmal AF. The model maintained accuracy across geographically and clinically diverse external validation cohorts, supporting its potential for broad implementation in AF screening strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":72965,"journal":{"name":"European heart journal. Digital health","volume":"6 6","pages":"1134-1144"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12629645/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145566383","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The development of a data dictionary with clinical variables for artificial intelligence-driven tools in research on abdominal aortic aneurysms and peripheral arterial disease. 为腹主动脉瘤和外周动脉疾病研究的人工智能驱动工具开发具有临床变量的数据字典。
IF 4.4 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-08-20 eCollection Date: 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf091
Lotte Rijken, Sabrina L M Zwetsloot, Catelijne Muller, Marlies P Schijven, Vincent Jongkind, Kak Khee Yeung

Aims: Patients with abdominal aortic aneurysms and peripheral arterial disease (arterial vascular diseases) carry a high disease burden and are likely to experience cardiovascular events. Novel strategies using artificial intelligence could identify which patients with arterial vascular diseases are at high risk of cardiovascular disease progression. Structured data dictionaries are needed to ensure high-quality, unbiased, and ethically sound data input for artificial intelligence models. The aim of this study was to obtain expert consensus-based data dictionaries that adhere to applicable ethical guidelines to support research on arterial vascular diseases.

Methods and results: The data dictionaries were created through a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus among key opinion leaders in the cardiovascular field. First, data requirements were defined and variable longlists were created per disease through a literature review. Secondly, written feedback rounds were held. Lastly, face-to-face meetings were held to establish consensus on the final data dictionaries. During the whole process, ethical and legal experts on trustworthy artificial intelligence were involved to ensure adherence to corresponding guidelines and laws. The aneurysm data dictionary contains 312 variables, and the peripheral arterial disease data dictionary contains 325 variables. A total of 16 clinical experts were involved in the creation, including 12 vascular surgeons, two vascular medicine specialists, one cardiologist, and one gastroenterology surgeon and digital health expert.

Conclusion: Two expert consensus-based data dictionaries for use in clinical and artificial intelligence research on arterial vascular diseases were created, developed for application in research on predicting disease progression and cardiovascular risk.

目的:腹主动脉瘤和外周动脉疾病(动脉血管疾病)患者疾病负担高,易发生心血管事件。使用人工智能的新策略可以识别哪些动脉血管疾病患者具有心血管疾病进展的高风险。人工智能模型需要结构化的数据字典来确保高质量、公正和合乎道德的数据输入。本研究的目的是获得基于专家共识的数据词典,这些词典遵循适用的伦理准则,以支持动脉血管疾病的研究。方法和结果:通过改进的德尔菲法创建数据字典,以在心血管领域的关键意见领袖之间达成共识。首先,定义数据需求,并通过文献综述创建每种疾病的可变长列表。第二,进行了书面反馈。最后,举行了面对面会议,就最后的数据字典达成协商一致意见。在整个过程中,值得信赖的人工智能方面的道德和法律专家参与其中,以确保遵守相应的指导方针和法律。动脉瘤数据字典包含312个变量,外周动脉疾病数据字典包含325个变量。共有16名临床专家参与了创建,其中包括12名血管外科医生、2名血管医学专家、1名心脏病专家、1名胃肠外科医生和数字健康专家。结论:创建了两个基于专家共识的数据词典,用于动脉血管疾病的临床和人工智能研究,用于预测疾病进展和心血管风险的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Real-world application of deep learning for ECG-based prediction of coronary artery disease and revascularization needs. 深度学习在基于心电图的冠状动脉疾病和血运重建需求预测中的实际应用。
IF 4.4 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-08-20 eCollection Date: 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf096
Chiao-Hsiang Chang, Chin-Sheng Lin, Chun-Ho Lee, Chin Lin, Chiao-Chin Lee, Wei-Ting Liu, Yung-Tsai Lee, Dung-Jang Tsai

Aims: Early detection of the need for coronary revascularization and timely intervention may reduce fatal events, but limited screening tools often leads to underdiagnosis. The aim of this study is to use a deep learning model (DLM) that utilizes electrocardiography (ECG) and the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model to predict risk of coronary revascularization in the general population.

Methods and results: This study included patients with at least one ECG per patient. The development set comprised 113 451 patients for training a DLM. After excluding patients with elevated troponin I levels and those without follow-up records, the internal validation set consisted of 66 680 patients. The external validation was conducted using data from a community hospital. XGBoost predicted events based on demographic data and ECG features. The primary endpoint was coronary revascularization within 1 year. Model performance was evaluated using the C-index. The DLM stratified patients by risk of coronary revascularization within 1 year. The study included 51% males with a mean age of 53 years, 10% with diabetes, and a revascularization rate of 2.6%. High-risk patients had a hazard ratio of 9.77 (95% CI: 7.63-12.51) compared with low-risk patients. The C-index was 0.825 (95% CI: 0.81-0.84). Combining demographic and AI-ECG data, XGBoost achieved a C-index of 0.884 (95% CI: 0.87-0.89). Comparative C-index analysis revealed significantly different discriminative performance between models (P = 1.110223e-15).

Conclusions: The DLM demonstrates ECG's potential as a screening tool for coronary revascularization, enabling opportunistic detection and prompting further evaluation of high-risk patients.

目的:早期发现需要冠状动脉血运重建和及时干预可以减少致命事件,但有限的筛查工具往往导致诊断不足。本研究的目的是使用一种深度学习模型(DLM),该模型利用心电图(ECG)和极限梯度增强(XGBoost)模型来预测普通人群冠状动脉血运重建的风险。方法和结果:本研究纳入了每位患者至少有一个心电图的患者。开发集包括113 451名用于培训DLM的患者。在排除肌钙蛋白I水平升高和无随访记录的患者后,内部验证集包括66680例患者。外部验证采用一家社区医院的数据进行。XGBoost基于人口统计数据和心电图特征预测事件。主要终点是1年内冠状动脉血运重建术。使用c指数评估模型性能。DLM根据1年内冠状动脉血运重建的风险对患者进行分层。该研究包括51%的平均年龄为53岁的男性,10%患有糖尿病,血运重建率为2.6%。与低危患者相比,高危患者的危险比为9.77 (95% CI: 7.63-12.51)。c指数为0.825 (95% CI: 0.81-0.84)。结合人口统计学和AI-ECG数据,XGBoost的c指数为0.884 (95% CI: 0.87-0.89)。对比c指数分析显示,模型之间的判别性能存在显著差异(P = 1.110223e-15)。结论:DLM显示了ECG作为冠状动脉血运重建筛查工具的潜力,使机会检测和进一步评估高危患者成为可能。
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引用次数: 0
Letter from the editor-in-chief The unavoidable facts of life: changes. 生活中不可避免的事实:变化。
IF 4.4 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-08-20 eCollection Date: 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf099
Nico Bruining
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引用次数: 0
Reviewers and awards. 评审员和奖项。
IF 4.4 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-08-19 eCollection Date: 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf098
Nico Bruining, Robert van der Boon, Isabella Kardys, Paul Cummins, Joost Lumens
{"title":"Reviewers and awards.","authors":"Nico Bruining, Robert van der Boon, Isabella Kardys, Paul Cummins, Joost Lumens","doi":"10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf098","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf098","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":72965,"journal":{"name":"European heart journal. Digital health","volume":"6 6","pages":"1098-1103"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12629639/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145566389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Large language models to develop evidence-based strategies for primary and secondary cardiovascular prevention. 开发基于证据的心血管一级和二级预防策略的大型语言模型。
IF 4.4 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-08-14 eCollection Date: 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztaf085
Giulia Lorenzoni, Camilla Zanotto, Anna Sordo, Alberto Cipriani, Martina Perazzolo Marra, Francesco Tona, Daniele Gasparini, Dario Gregori

Aims: Cardiovascular diseases are the leading global cause of mortality, with ischaemic heart disease contributing significantly to the burden. Primary and secondary prevention strategies are essential to reducing the incidence and recurrence of acute myocardial infarction. Healthcare professionals are no longer the sole source of health education; the Internet, including tools powered by artificial intelligence, is also widely utilized. This study evaluates the accuracy and the readability of large language model (LLM)-generated information on cardiovascular primary and secondary prevention.

Methods and results: An observational study assessed LLM's responses to two tailored questions about acute myocardial infarction risk prevention. The LLM used was ChatGPT (4o version). Expert cardiologists evaluated the accuracy of each response using a Likert scale, while readability was assessed with the Flesch Reading Ease Score (FRES). ChatGPT-4o provided comprehensive and accurate responses for 15 out of 20 (75%) of the items. Readability scores were low, with median FRES indicating that both primary and secondary prevention content were difficult to understand. Specialized clinical topics exhibited lower accuracy and readability compared to the other topics.

Conclusion: The current study demonstrated that ChatGPT-4o provided accurate information on primary and secondary prevention, although its readability was assessed as difficult. However, clinical oversight still remains critical to bridge gaps in accuracy and readability and ensure optimal patient outcomes.

目的:心血管疾病是全球主要的死亡原因,缺血性心脏病是造成这一负担的主要原因。一级和二级预防策略对于降低急性心肌梗死的发生率和复发率至关重要。医疗保健专业人员不再是健康教育的唯一来源;互联网,包括人工智能驱动的工具,也被广泛使用。本研究评估了大语言模型(LLM)生成的心血管一级和二级预防信息的准确性和可读性。方法和结果:一项观察性研究评估了LLM对关于急性心肌梗死风险预防的两个定制问题的反应。使用的LLM是ChatGPT(40版本)。心脏病专家使用李克特量表评估每个反应的准确性,而可读性则使用Flesch Reading Ease Score (FRES)进行评估。chatgpt - 40对20个项目中的15个(75%)提供了全面而准确的回答。可读性评分较低,FRES中位数表明初级和二级预防内容都难以理解。与其他主题相比,专业临床主题的准确性和可读性较低。结论:目前的研究表明,chatgpt - 40提供了一级和二级预防的准确信息,尽管其可读性被评估为困难。然而,临床监督仍然是弥合准确性和可读性差距并确保最佳患者结果的关键。
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European heart journal. Digital health
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