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Prediction of white-coat hypertension and white-coat uncontrolled hypertension using machine learning algorithm. 利用机器学习算法预测白大褂高血压和白大褂非控制高血压。
Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztac066
Ling-Chieh Shih, Yu-Ching Wang, Ming-Hui Hung, Han Cheng, Yu-Chieh Shiao, Yu-Hsuan Tseng, Chin-Chou Huang, Shing-Jong Lin, Jaw-Wen Chen

Aims: The detection of white-coat hypertension/white-coat uncontrolled hypertension (WCH/WUCH) with out-of-office blood pressure (BP) monitoring is time- and resource-consuming. We aim to develop a machine learning (ML)-derived prediction model based on the characteristics of patients from a single outpatient visit.

Methods and results: Data from two cohorts in Taiwan were used. Cohort one (970 patients) was used for development and internal validation, and cohort two (464 patients) was used for external validation. WCH/WUCH was defined as an office BP of ≥140/90 mmHg and daytime ambulatory BP of <135/85 mmHg in treatment-naïve or treated individuals. Logistic regression, random forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting, and artificial neural network models were trained using 26 patient parameters. We used SHapley Additive exPlanations values to provide explanations for the risk factors. All models achieved great area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), specificity, and negative predictive value in both validations (AUROC = 0.754-0.891; specificity = 0.682-0.910; negative predictive value = 0.831-0.968). The RF model was the best performing (AUROC = 0.884; sensitivity = 0.619; specificity = 0.887; negative predictive value = 0.872; accuracy = 0.819). The five most influential features of the RF model were office diastolic BP, office systolic BP, current smoker, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and fasting glucose level.

Conclusion: Our prediction models achieved good performance, underlining the feasibility of applying ML models to outpatient populations for the diagnosis of WCH and WUCH. Further validation with other prospective data sets should be considered in the future.

目的:利用办公室外血压监测检测白大衣高血压/白大衣无控制高血压(WCH/WUCH)耗时耗力。我们的目标是开发一种基于单次门诊患者特征的机器学习(ML)衍生的预测模型。方法与结果:资料来自台湾的两个队列。队列1(970例患者)用于开发和内部验证,队列2(464例患者)用于外部验证。WCH/WUCH定义为办公室血压≥140/90 mmHg和日间动态血压。结论:我们的预测模型取得了良好的效果,强调了将ML模型应用于门诊人群诊断WCH和WUCH的可行性。未来应考虑使用其他前瞻性数据集进行进一步验证。
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引用次数: 1
Circulating biomarker-based risk stratifications individualize arch repair strategy of acute Type A aortic dissection via the XGBoosting algorithm. 基于循环生物标志物的风险分层通过XGBoosting算法个性化急性A型主动脉夹层的弓修复策略。
Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztac068
Hong Liu, Si-Chong Qian, Lu Han, Ying-Yuan Zhang, Ying Wu, Liang Hong, Ji-Nong Yang, Ji-Sheng Zhong, Yu-Qi Wang, Dong-Kai Wu, Guo-Liang Fan, Jun-Quan Chen, Sheng-Qiang Zhang, Xing-Xing Peng, Zhi-Wei Tang, Al-Wajih Hamzah, Yong-Feng Shao, Hai-Yang Li, Hong-Jia Zhang

Aims: The incremental usefulness of circulating biomarkers from different pathological pathways for predicting mortality has not been evaluated in acute Type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) patients. We aim to develop a risk prediction model and investigate the impact of arch repair strategy on mortality based on distinct risk stratifications.

Methods and results: A total of 3771 ATAAD patients who underwent aortic surgery retrospectively included were randomly divided into training and testing cohorts at a ratio of 7:3 for the development and validation of the risk model based on multiple circulating biomarkers and conventional clinical factors. Extreme gradient boosting was used to generate the risk models. Subgroup analyses were performed by risk stratifications (low vs. middle-high risk) and arch repair strategies (proximal vs. extensive arch repair). Addition of multiple biomarkers to a model with conventional factors fitted an ABC risk model consisting of platelet-leucocyte ratio, mean arterial pressure, albumin, age, creatinine, creatine kinase-MB, haemoglobin, lactate, left ventricular end-diastolic dimension, urea nitrogen, and aspartate aminotransferase, with adequate discrimination ability {area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC): 0.930 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.906-0.954] and 0.954, 95% CI (0.930-0.977) in the derivation and validation cohort, respectively}. Compared with proximal arch repair, the extensive repair was associated with similar mortality risk among patients at low risk [odds ratio (OR) 1.838, 95% CI (0.559-6.038); P = 0.316], but associated with higher mortality risk among patients at middle-high risk [OR 2.007, 95% CI (1.460-2.757); P < 0.0001].

Conclusion: In ATAAD patients, the simultaneous addition of circulating biomarkers of inflammatory, cardiac, hepatic, renal, and metabolic abnormalities substantially improved risk stratification and individualized arch repair strategy.

目的:在急性A型主动脉夹层(ATAAD)患者中,尚未评估不同病理途径的循环生物标志物对预测死亡率的增量有用性。我们的目标是建立一个风险预测模型,并研究基于不同风险分层的弓修复策略对死亡率的影响。方法和结果:回顾性纳入3771例接受主动脉手术的ATAAD患者,按7:3的比例随机分为训练组和测试组,以建立和验证基于多种循环生物标志物和常规临床因素的风险模型。采用极值梯度增强方法生成风险模型。根据风险分层(低风险vs中高风险)和弓修复策略(近端弓修复vs广泛弓修复)进行亚组分析。在常规因素模型中加入多种生物标志物,拟合由血小板-白细胞比、平均动脉压、白蛋白、年龄、肌酐、肌酸激酶- mb、血红蛋白、乳酸、左室舒张末期尺寸、尿素氮和天冬氨酸转氨酶组成的ABC风险模型,具有足够的识别能力{受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUROC):0.930[95%置信区间(CI) 0.906-0.954]和0.954,95% CI(0.930-0.977)在推导和验证队列中分别}。与近端弓修复相比,低风险患者的广泛修复与相似的死亡风险相关[优势比(OR) 1.838, 95% CI (0.559-6.038);P = 0.316],但中高危患者的死亡风险较高[OR 2.007, 95% CI (1.460-2.757);P < 0.0001]。结论:在ATAAD患者中,同时添加炎症、心脏、肝脏、肾脏和代谢异常的循环生物标志物可显著改善风险分层和个体化弓修复策略。
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引用次数: 2
Non-hyperaemic assessment of coronary ischaemia: application of machine learning techniques. 冠状动脉缺血的非充血评估:机器学习技术的应用。
Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztac050
James N Cameron, Andrea Comella, Nigel Sutherland, Adam J Brown, Thanh G Phan

Aims: Hyperaemic and non-hyperaemic pressure ratios (NHPR) are routinely used to identify significant coronary lesions. Machine learning (ML) techniques may help better understand these indices and guide future practice. This study assessed the ability of a purpose-built ML algorithm to classify coronary ischaemia during non-hyperaemia compared with the existing gold-standard technique (fractional flow reserve, FFR). Further, it investigated whether ML could identify components of coronary and aortic pressure cycles indicative of ischaemia.

Methods and results: Seventy-seven coronary vessel lesions (39 FFR defined ischaemia, 53 patients) with proximal and distal non-hyperaemic pressure waveforms and FFR values were assessed using supervised and unsupervised learning techniques in combination with principal component analysis (PCA). Fractional flow reserve measurements were obtained from the right coronary artery (13), left anterior descending (46), left circumflex (11), left main (1), obtuse marginal (2), and diagonal (4). The most accurate supervised learning classification utilized whole-cycle aortic with diastolic distal blood pressure waveforms, yielding a classification accuracy of 86.9% (sensitivity 86.8%, specificity 87.2%, positive predictive value 86.8%, negative predictive value 87.2%). Principal component analysis showed subtle variations in coronary pressures at the start of diastole have significant relation to ischaemia, and whole-cycle aortic pressure data are important for determining ischaemia.

Conclusions: Our ML algorithm classifies significant coronary lesions with accuracy similar to previous studies comparing time-domain NHPRs with FFR. Further, it has identified characteristics of pressure waveforms that relate to function. These results provide an application of ML to ischaemia requiring only standard data from non-hyperaemic pressure measurements.

目的:充血和非充血压比(NHPR)通常用于识别重要的冠状动脉病变。机器学习(ML)技术可能有助于更好地理解这些指标,并指导未来的实践。本研究评估了专用ML算法在非充血期间对冠状动脉缺血进行分类的能力,并与现有的金标准技术(分数血流储备,FFR)进行了比较。此外,它还研究了ML是否可以识别指示缺血的冠状动脉和主动脉压力周期的成分。方法和结果:使用监督和非监督学习技术结合主成分分析(PCA)评估77例冠状动脉病变(39例FFR定义为缺血,53例患者)近端和远端非充血压力波形和FFR值。从右冠状动脉(13)、左前降支(46)、左旋支(11)、左主干(1)、斜主干(2)和斜主干(4)获得了血流储备的分数。最准确的监督学习分类利用了全周期主动脉和舒张期远端血压波形,分类准确率为86.9%(敏感性86.8%,特异性87.2%,阳性预测值86.8%,阴性预测值87.2%)。主成分分析显示,舒张开始时冠状动脉压力的细微变化与缺血有显著关系,全周期主动脉压力数据对确定缺血很重要。结论:我们的ML算法对重要的冠状动脉病变进行分类,其准确性与之前比较时域nhpr和FFR的研究相似。此外,它还确定了与功能相关的压力波形的特征。这些结果提供了ML在缺血中的应用,只需要来自非充血压力测量的标准数据。
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引用次数: 0
Variational auto-encoders improve explainability over currently employed heatmap methods for deep learning-based interpretation of the electrocardiogram. 变分自编码器提高了目前使用的热图方法的可解释性,用于基于深度学习的心电图解释。
Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztac063
Rutger R van de Leur, Rutger J Hassink, René van Es
We appreciate the opportunity to address Higaki and Yamaguchi and their detailed commentary on our study. 1 In the referenced study, we show that variational auto-encoders (VAEs), which use deep neural networks (DNNs) to learn the underlying factors of variation in the median beat electrocardiogram (ECG), can be used to provide improved explainability over previous attempts to open the ‘black box’ of ECG-based DNNs using saliency-based heatmaps. There are currently conflicting definitions of explainability and interpretability in the literature and both are used interchangeably
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum. 勘误表。
Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztac048

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztaa012.][This corrects the article DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztaa018.][This corrects the article DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab009.][This corrects the article DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab011.][This corrects the article DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab032.][This corrects the article DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab034.][This corrects the article DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab038.][This corrects the article DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab051.][This corrects the article DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab082.][This corrects the article DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab108.].

[这更正了文章DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztaa012。][更正文章DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztaa018。][这更正了文章DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab009。][这更正了文章DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab011。][更正文章DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab032。][这更正了文章DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab034。][更正文章DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab038。][这更正了文章DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab051。][这更正了文章DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab082。][这更正了文章DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztab108.]。
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引用次数: 0
Automated interpretation of stress echocardiography reports using natural language processing. 使用自然语言处理的压力超声心动图报告的自动解释。
Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztac047
Chengyi Zheng, Benjamin C Sun, Yi-Lin Wu, Maros Ferencik, Ming-Sum Lee, Rita F Redberg, Aniket A Kawatkar, Visanee V Musigdilok, Adam L Sharp

Aims: Stress echocardiography (SE) findings and interpretations are commonly documented in free-text reports. Reusing SE results requires laborious manual reviews. This study aimed to develop and validate an automated method for abstracting SE reports in a large cohort.

Methods and results: This study included adult patients who had SE within 30 days of their emergency department visit for suspected acute coronary syndrome in a large integrated healthcare system. An automated natural language processing (NLP) algorithm was developed to abstract SE reports and classify overall SE results into normal, non-diagnostic, infarction, and ischaemia categories. Randomly selected reports (n = 140) were double-blindly reviewed by cardiologists to perform criterion validity of the NLP algorithm. Construct validity was tested on the entire cohort using abstracted SE data and additional clinical variables. The NLP algorithm abstracted 6346 consecutive SE reports. Cardiologists had good agreements on the overall SE results on the 140 reports: Kappa (0.83) and intraclass correlation coefficient (0.89). The NLP algorithm achieved 98.6% specificity and negative predictive value, 95.7% sensitivity, positive predictive value, and F-score on the overall SE results and near-perfect scores on ischaemia findings. The 30-day acute myocardial infarction or death outcomes were highest among patients with ischaemia (5.0%), followed by infarction (1.4%), non-diagnostic (0.8%), and normal (0.3%) results. We found substantial variations in the format and quality of SE reports, even within the same institution.

Conclusions: Natural language processing is an accurate and efficient method for abstracting unstructured SE reports. This approach creates new opportunities for research, public health measures, and care improvement.

目的:压力超声心动图(SE)的结果和解释通常记录在自由文本报告中。重用SE结果需要费力的手工审查。本研究旨在开发和验证一种在大型队列中提取SE报告的自动化方法。方法和结果:本研究纳入了在大型综合医疗保健系统中因疑似急性冠状动脉综合征就诊的急诊30天内患有SE的成年患者。开发了一种自动自然语言处理(NLP)算法来提取SE报告,并将总体SE结果分为正常、非诊断性、梗死和缺血类别。随机选择的报告(n = 140)由心脏病专家进行双盲审查,以执行NLP算法的标准有效性。使用抽象的SE数据和其他临床变量对整个队列进行结构效度测试。NLP算法提取了6346个连续的SE报告。心脏病专家对140份报告的总体SE结果有很好的一致性:Kappa(0.83)和类内相关系数(0.89)。NLP算法的特异性为98.6%,阴性预测值为95.7%,敏感性为95.7%,阳性预测值为95.7%,总体SE结果为f分,缺血结果为接近完美分。30天急性心肌梗死或死亡结果在缺血患者中最高(5.0%),其次是梗死(1.4%)、非诊断性(0.8%)和正常(0.3%)结果。我们发现,即使在同一机构内,SE报告的格式和质量也存在很大差异。结论:自然语言处理是一种准确、高效的非结构化SE报告提取方法。这种方法为研究、公共卫生措施和改善护理创造了新的机会。
{"title":"Automated interpretation of stress echocardiography reports using natural language processing.","authors":"Chengyi Zheng,&nbsp;Benjamin C Sun,&nbsp;Yi-Lin Wu,&nbsp;Maros Ferencik,&nbsp;Ming-Sum Lee,&nbsp;Rita F Redberg,&nbsp;Aniket A Kawatkar,&nbsp;Visanee V Musigdilok,&nbsp;Adam L Sharp","doi":"10.1093/ehjdh/ztac047","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjdh/ztac047","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>Stress echocardiography (SE) findings and interpretations are commonly documented in free-text reports. Reusing SE results requires laborious manual reviews. This study aimed to develop and validate an automated method for abstracting SE reports in a large cohort.</p><p><strong>Methods and results: </strong>This study included adult patients who had SE within 30 days of their emergency department visit for suspected acute coronary syndrome in a large integrated healthcare system. An automated natural language processing (NLP) algorithm was developed to abstract SE reports and classify overall SE results into normal, non-diagnostic, infarction, and ischaemia categories. Randomly selected reports (<i>n</i> = 140) were double-blindly reviewed by cardiologists to perform criterion validity of the NLP algorithm. Construct validity was tested on the entire cohort using abstracted SE data and additional clinical variables. The NLP algorithm abstracted 6346 consecutive SE reports. Cardiologists had good agreements on the overall SE results on the 140 reports: Kappa (0.83) and intraclass correlation coefficient (0.89). The NLP algorithm achieved 98.6% specificity and negative predictive value, 95.7% sensitivity, positive predictive value, and <i>F</i>-score on the overall SE results and near-perfect scores on ischaemia findings. The 30-day acute myocardial infarction or death outcomes were highest among patients with ischaemia (5.0%), followed by infarction (1.4%), non-diagnostic (0.8%), and normal (0.3%) results. We found substantial variations in the format and quality of SE reports, even within the same institution.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Natural language processing is an accurate and efficient method for abstracting unstructured SE reports. This approach creates new opportunities for research, public health measures, and care improvement.</p>","PeriodicalId":72965,"journal":{"name":"European heart journal. Digital health","volume":"3 4","pages":"626-637"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/97/ff/ztac047.PMC9779789.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10734966","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Artificial intelligence-derived cardiac ageing is associated with cardiac events post-heart transplantation. 人工智能衍生的心脏老化与心脏移植后的心脏事件有关。
Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztac051
Ilke Ozcan, Takumi Toya, Michal Cohen-Shelly, Hyun Woong Park, Ali Ahmad, Alp Ozcan, Peter A Noseworthy, Suraj Kapa, Lilach O Lerman, Zachi I Attia, Sudhir S Kushwaha, Paul A Friedman, Amir Lerman

Aims: An artificial intelligence algorithm detecting age from 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) has been suggested to reflect 'physiological age'. An increased physiological age has been associated with a higher risk of cardiac mortality in the non-transplant population. We aimed to investigate the utility of this algorithm in patients who underwent heart transplantation (HTx).

Methods and results: A total of 540 patients were studied. The average ECG ages within 1 year before and after HTx were used to represent pre- and post-HTx ECG ages. Major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) was defined as any coronary revascularization, heart failure hospitalization, re-transplantation, and mortality. Recipient pre-transplant ECG age (mean 63 ± 11 years) correlated significantly with recipient chronological age (mean 49 ± 14 years, R = 0.63, P < 0.0001), while post-transplant ECG age (mean 54 ± 10 years) correlated with both the donor (mean 32 ± 13 years, R = 0.45, P < 0.0001) and the recipient ages (R = 0.38, P < 0.0001). During a median follow-up of 8.8 years, 307 patients experienced MACE. Patients with an increase in ECG age post-transplant showed an increased risk of MACE [hazard ratio (HR): 1.58, 95% confidence interval (CI): (1.24, 2.01), P = 0.0002], even after adjusting for potential confounders [HR: 1.58, 95% CI: (1.19, 2.10), P = 0.002].

Conclusion: Electrocardiogram age-derived cardiac ageing after transplantation is associated with a higher risk of MACE. This study suggests that physiological age change of the heart might be an important determinant of MACE risk post-HTx.

目的:提出了一种从12导联心电图(ECG)检测年龄的人工智能算法,以反映“生理年龄”。在非移植人群中,生理年龄的增加与心脏死亡风险的增加有关。我们的目的是研究该算法在接受心脏移植(HTx)的患者中的效用。方法与结果:共对540例患者进行研究。用HTx前后1年内的平均心电年龄表示HTx前后的心电年龄。主要不良心血管事件(MACE)定义为任何冠状动脉血运重建术、心力衰竭住院、再移植和死亡。受者移植前心电图年龄(平均63±11岁)与受者实时年龄(平均49±14岁,R = 0.63, P < 0.0001)相关,移植后心电图年龄(平均54±10岁)与供者年龄(平均32±13岁,R = 0.45, P < 0.0001)和受者年龄(R = 0.38, P < 0.0001)相关。在中位随访8.8年期间,307例患者经历了MACE。移植后心电图年龄增加的患者发生MACE的风险增加[危险比(HR): 1.58, 95%可信区间(CI): (1.24, 2.01), P = 0.0002],即使校正了潜在的混杂因素[HR: 1.58, 95% CI: (1.19, 2.10), P = 0.002]。结论:移植后心电图年龄源性心脏老化与MACE发生风险增高有关。本研究提示心脏的生理年龄变化可能是htx后MACE风险的重要决定因素。
{"title":"Artificial intelligence-derived cardiac ageing is associated with cardiac events post-heart transplantation.","authors":"Ilke Ozcan,&nbsp;Takumi Toya,&nbsp;Michal Cohen-Shelly,&nbsp;Hyun Woong Park,&nbsp;Ali Ahmad,&nbsp;Alp Ozcan,&nbsp;Peter A Noseworthy,&nbsp;Suraj Kapa,&nbsp;Lilach O Lerman,&nbsp;Zachi I Attia,&nbsp;Sudhir S Kushwaha,&nbsp;Paul A Friedman,&nbsp;Amir Lerman","doi":"10.1093/ehjdh/ztac051","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjdh/ztac051","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>An artificial intelligence algorithm detecting age from 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) has been suggested to reflect 'physiological age'. An increased physiological age has been associated with a higher risk of cardiac mortality in the non-transplant population. We aimed to investigate the utility of this algorithm in patients who underwent heart transplantation (HTx).</p><p><strong>Methods and results: </strong>A total of 540 patients were studied. The average ECG ages within 1 year before and after HTx were used to represent pre- and post-HTx ECG ages. Major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) was defined as any coronary revascularization, heart failure hospitalization, re-transplantation, and mortality. Recipient pre-transplant ECG age (mean 63 ± 11 years) correlated significantly with recipient chronological age (mean 49 ± 14 years, <i>R</i> = 0.63, <i>P</i> < 0.0001), while post-transplant ECG age (mean 54 ± 10 years) correlated with both the donor (mean 32 ± 13 years, <i>R</i> = 0.45, <i>P</i> < 0.0001) and the recipient ages (<i>R</i> = 0.38, <i>P</i> < 0.0001). During a median follow-up of 8.8 years, 307 patients experienced MACE. Patients with an increase in ECG age post-transplant showed an increased risk of MACE [hazard ratio (HR): 1.58, 95% confidence interval (CI): (1.24, 2.01), <i>P</i> = 0.0002], even after adjusting for potential confounders [HR: 1.58, 95% CI: (1.19, 2.10), <i>P</i> = 0.002].</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Electrocardiogram age-derived cardiac ageing after transplantation is associated with a higher risk of MACE. This study suggests that physiological age change of the heart might be an important determinant of MACE risk post-HTx.</p>","PeriodicalId":72965,"journal":{"name":"European heart journal. Digital health","volume":"3 4","pages":"516-524"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/db/48/ztac051.PMC9779895.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9310426","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world: Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change. COP27气候变化会议:非洲和世界需要采取紧急行动:富裕国家必须加强对非洲和脆弱国家的支持,以应对气候变化过去、现在和未来的影响。
Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztac056
Lukoye Atwoli, Gregory E Erhabor, Aiah A Gbakima, Abraham Haileamlak, Jean-Marie Kayembe Ntumba, James Kigera, Laurie Laybourn-Langton, Bob Mash, Joy Muhia, Fhumulani Mavis Mulaudzi, David Ofori-Adjei, Friday Okonofua, Arash Rashidian, Maha El-Adawy, Siaka Sidibé, Abdelmadjid Snouber, James Tumwine, Mohammad Sahar Yassien, Paul Yonga, Lilia Zakhama, Chris Zielinski
Editor-in-Chief, East African Medical Journal; Editor-in-Chief, West African Journal of Medicine; Editor-in-Chief, Sierra Leone Journal of Biomedical Research; Editor-in-Chief, Ethiopian Journal of Health Sciences; Chief Editor, Annales Africaines de Medecine; Editor-in-Chief, Annals of African Surgery; University of Exeter, UK; Editor-in-Chief, African Journal of Primary Health Care & Family Medicine; London School of Medicine and Tropical Hygiene; Editor-in-Chief, Curationis; Editor-in-Chief, Ghana Medical Journal; Editorin-Chief, African Journal of Reproductive Health; Executive Editor, Eastern Mediterranean Health Journal; Director of Health Promotion, Eastern Mediterranean Health Journal; Director of Publication, Mali Médical; Managing Editor, Journal de la Faculté de Médecine d’Oran; Editor-in-Chief, African Health Sciences; Editor-in-Chief, Evidence-Based Nursing Research; Managing Editor, East African Medical Journal; Editor-in-Chief, La Tunisie Médicale; and University of Winchester, UK
{"title":"COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world: Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change.","authors":"Lukoye Atwoli,&nbsp;Gregory E Erhabor,&nbsp;Aiah A Gbakima,&nbsp;Abraham Haileamlak,&nbsp;Jean-Marie Kayembe Ntumba,&nbsp;James Kigera,&nbsp;Laurie Laybourn-Langton,&nbsp;Bob Mash,&nbsp;Joy Muhia,&nbsp;Fhumulani Mavis Mulaudzi,&nbsp;David Ofori-Adjei,&nbsp;Friday Okonofua,&nbsp;Arash Rashidian,&nbsp;Maha El-Adawy,&nbsp;Siaka Sidibé,&nbsp;Abdelmadjid Snouber,&nbsp;James Tumwine,&nbsp;Mohammad Sahar Yassien,&nbsp;Paul Yonga,&nbsp;Lilia Zakhama,&nbsp;Chris Zielinski","doi":"10.1093/ehjdh/ztac056","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjdh/ztac056","url":null,"abstract":"Editor-in-Chief, East African Medical Journal; Editor-in-Chief, West African Journal of Medicine; Editor-in-Chief, Sierra Leone Journal of Biomedical Research; Editor-in-Chief, Ethiopian Journal of Health Sciences; Chief Editor, Annales Africaines de Medecine; Editor-in-Chief, Annals of African Surgery; University of Exeter, UK; Editor-in-Chief, African Journal of Primary Health Care & Family Medicine; London School of Medicine and Tropical Hygiene; Editor-in-Chief, Curationis; Editor-in-Chief, Ghana Medical Journal; Editorin-Chief, African Journal of Reproductive Health; Executive Editor, Eastern Mediterranean Health Journal; Director of Health Promotion, Eastern Mediterranean Health Journal; Director of Publication, Mali Médical; Managing Editor, Journal de la Faculté de Médecine d’Oran; Editor-in-Chief, African Health Sciences; Editor-in-Chief, Evidence-Based Nursing Research; Managing Editor, East African Medical Journal; Editor-in-Chief, La Tunisie Médicale; and University of Winchester, UK","PeriodicalId":72965,"journal":{"name":"European heart journal. Digital health","volume":"3 4","pages":"496-498"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9779924/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10584383","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Correspondence to the European Heart Journal-digital health in response to the paper by Attia et al. 2022. 与欧洲心脏杂志的通信-数字健康回应Attia等人的论文。2022。
Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztac053
Nishil Patel, Salaheldin Agamy, Mahmood Ahmad
We were interested to read the paper by Attia et al. 1 which demon-strated the value of electrocardiogram enabled stethoscopes (ECG-Scope). Their findings show potential in the utilization of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms in conjunction with a single lead ECG-Scope to identify left ventricular dysfunction (LVSD). A clinical pathway such as this may speed up diagnosis and potentially improve patient outcomes.
{"title":"Correspondence to the European Heart Journal-digital health in response to the paper by Attia <i>et al.</i> 2022.","authors":"Nishil Patel,&nbsp;Salaheldin Agamy,&nbsp;Mahmood Ahmad","doi":"10.1093/ehjdh/ztac053","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjdh/ztac053","url":null,"abstract":"We were interested to read the paper by Attia et al. 1 which demon-strated the value of electrocardiogram enabled stethoscopes (ECG-Scope). Their findings show potential in the utilization of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms in conjunction with a single lead ECG-Scope to identify left ventricular dysfunction (LVSD). A clinical pathway such as this may speed up diagnosis and potentially improve patient outcomes.","PeriodicalId":72965,"journal":{"name":"European heart journal. Digital health","volume":"3 4","pages":"499"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/3e/53/ztac053.PMC9779798.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10734970","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Validation of risk prediction models applied to longitudinal electronic health record data for the prediction of major cardiovascular events in the presence of data shifts. 验证应用于纵向电子健康记录数据的风险预测模型,以预测存在数据变化的主要心血管事件。
Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztac061
Yikuan Li, Gholamreza Salimi-Khorshidi, Shishir Rao, Dexter Canoy, Abdelaali Hassaine, Thomas Lukasiewicz, Kazem Rahimi, Mohammad Mamouei
Abstract Aims Deep learning has dominated predictive modelling across different fields, but in medicine it has been met with mixed reception. In clinical practice, simple, statistical models and risk scores continue to inform cardiovascular disease risk predictions. This is due in part to the knowledge gap about how deep learning models perform in practice when they are subject to dynamic data shifts; a key criterion that common internal validation procedures do not address. We evaluated the performance of a novel deep learning model, BEHRT, under data shifts and compared it with several ML-based and established risk models. Methods and results Using linked electronic health records of 1.1 million patients across England aged at least 35 years between 1985 and 2015, we replicated three established statistical models for predicting 5-year risk of incident heart failure, stroke, and coronary heart disease. The results were compared with a widely accepted machine learning model (random forests), and a novel deep learning model (BEHRT). In addition to internal validation, we investigated how data shifts affect model discrimination and calibration. To this end, we tested the models on cohorts from (i) distinct geographical regions; (ii) different periods. Using internal validation, the deep learning models substantially outperformed the best statistical models by 6%, 8%, and 11% in heart failure, stroke, and coronary heart disease, respectively, in terms of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Conclusion The performance of all models declined as a result of data shifts; despite this, the deep learning models maintained the best performance in all risk prediction tasks. Updating the model with the latest information can improve discrimination but if the prior distribution changes, the model may remain miscalibrated.
目的:深度学习在不同领域的预测建模中占据主导地位,但在医学领域,人们对它的反应褒贬不一。在临床实践中,简单的统计模型和风险评分继续为心血管疾病的风险预测提供信息。这在一定程度上是由于深度学习模型在实践中受到动态数据变化影响时的表现存在知识差距;一个常见的内部验证过程没有解决的关键标准。我们评估了一种新的深度学习模型BEHRT在数据移位下的性能,并将其与几种基于ml和已建立的风险模型进行了比较。方法和结果:使用1985年至2015年间英格兰110万名年龄在35岁以上患者的相关电子健康记录,我们复制了三种已建立的统计模型,用于预测5年心力衰竭、中风和冠心病的发生风险。将结果与广泛接受的机器学习模型(随机森林)和新的深度学习模型(BEHRT)进行比较。除了内部验证,我们还研究了数据移位如何影响模型判别和校准。为此,我们对来自不同地理区域的队列进行了模型测试;(ii)不同时期。通过内部验证,深度学习模型在心力衰竭、中风和冠心病的受试者工作特征曲线下的面积方面,分别比最佳统计模型高出6%、8%和11%。结论:所有模型的性能均因数据移位而下降;尽管如此,深度学习模型在所有风险预测任务中都保持了最好的表现。用最新的信息更新模型可以改善判别,但如果先验分布发生变化,模型可能仍然是错校准的。
{"title":"Validation of risk prediction models applied to longitudinal electronic health record data for the prediction of major cardiovascular events in the presence of data shifts.","authors":"Yikuan Li,&nbsp;Gholamreza Salimi-Khorshidi,&nbsp;Shishir Rao,&nbsp;Dexter Canoy,&nbsp;Abdelaali Hassaine,&nbsp;Thomas Lukasiewicz,&nbsp;Kazem Rahimi,&nbsp;Mohammad Mamouei","doi":"10.1093/ehjdh/ztac061","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjdh/ztac061","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Aims Deep learning has dominated predictive modelling across different fields, but in medicine it has been met with mixed reception. In clinical practice, simple, statistical models and risk scores continue to inform cardiovascular disease risk predictions. This is due in part to the knowledge gap about how deep learning models perform in practice when they are subject to dynamic data shifts; a key criterion that common internal validation procedures do not address. We evaluated the performance of a novel deep learning model, BEHRT, under data shifts and compared it with several ML-based and established risk models. Methods and results Using linked electronic health records of 1.1 million patients across England aged at least 35 years between 1985 and 2015, we replicated three established statistical models for predicting 5-year risk of incident heart failure, stroke, and coronary heart disease. The results were compared with a widely accepted machine learning model (random forests), and a novel deep learning model (BEHRT). In addition to internal validation, we investigated how data shifts affect model discrimination and calibration. To this end, we tested the models on cohorts from (i) distinct geographical regions; (ii) different periods. Using internal validation, the deep learning models substantially outperformed the best statistical models by 6%, 8%, and 11% in heart failure, stroke, and coronary heart disease, respectively, in terms of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Conclusion The performance of all models declined as a result of data shifts; despite this, the deep learning models maintained the best performance in all risk prediction tasks. Updating the model with the latest information can improve discrimination but if the prior distribution changes, the model may remain miscalibrated.","PeriodicalId":72965,"journal":{"name":"European heart journal. Digital health","volume":"3 4","pages":"535-547"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9779795/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10233201","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
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European heart journal. Digital health
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