European heart journal. Digital health最新文献

Aims: A diverse set of factors influence cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), but a systematic investigation of the interplay between these determinants and the contribution of each to CVD incidence prediction is largely missing from the literature. In this study, we leverage one of the most comprehensive biobanks worldwide, the UK Biobank, to investigate the contribution of different risk factor categories to more accurate incidence predictions in the overall population, by sex, different age groups, and ethnicity.

Methods and results: The investigated categories include the history of medical events, behavioural factors, socioeconomic factors, environmental factors, and measurements. We included data from a cohort of 405 257 participants aged 37-73 years and trained various machine learning and deep learning models on different subsets of risk factors to predict CVD incidence. Each of the models was trained on the complete set of predictors and subsets where each category was excluded. The results were benchmarked against QRISK3. The findings highlight that (i) leveraging a more comprehensive medical history substantially improves model performance. Relative to QRISK3, the best performing models improved the discrimination by 3.78% and improved precision by 1.80%. (ii) Both model- and data-centric approaches are necessary to improve predictive performance. The benefits of using a comprehensive history of diseases were far more pronounced when a neural sequence model, BEHRT, was used. This highlights the importance of the temporality of medical events that existing clinical risk models fail to capture. (iii) Besides the history of diseases, socioeconomic factors and measurements had small but significant independent contributions to the predictive performance.

Conclusion: These findings emphasize the need for considering broad determinants and novel modelling approaches to enhance CVD incidence prediction.

Aims: Coronary flow reserve (CFR) assessment has proven clinical utility, but Doppler-based methods are sensitive to noise and operator bias, limiting their clinical applicability. The objective of the study is to expand the adoption of invasive Doppler CFR, through the development of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms to automatically quantify coronary Doppler quality and track flow velocity.

Methods and results: A neural network was trained on images extracted from coronary Doppler flow recordings to score signal quality and derive values for coronary flow velocity and CFR. The outputs were independently validated against expert consensus. Artificial intelligence successfully quantified Doppler signal quality, with high agreement with expert consensus (Spearman's rho: 0.94), and within individual experts. Artificial intelligence automatically tracked flow velocity with superior numerical agreement against experts, when compared with the current console algorithm [AI flow vs. expert flow bias -1.68 cm/s, 95% confidence interval (CI) -2.13 to -1.23 cm/s, P < 0.001 with limits of agreement (LOA) -4.03 to 0.68 cm/s; console flow vs. expert flow bias -2.63 cm/s, 95% CI -3.74 to -1.52, P < 0.001, 95% LOA -8.45 to -3.19 cm/s]. Artificial intelligence yielded more precise CFR values [median absolute difference (MAD) against expert CFR: 4.0% for AI and 7.4% for console]. Artificial intelligence tracked lower-quality Doppler signals with lower variability (MAD against expert CFR 8.3% for AI and 16.7% for console).

Conclusion: An AI-based system, trained by experts and independently validated, could assign a quality score to Doppler traces and derive coronary flow velocity and CFR. By making Doppler CFR more automated, precise, and operator-independent, AI could expand the clinical applicability of coronary microvascular assessment.

Aims: As the demand for atrial fibrillation (AF) screening increases, clinicians spend a significant amount of time identifying AF signals from massive amounts of data obtained during long-term dynamic electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring. The identification of AF signals is subjective and depends on the experience of clinicians. However, experienced cardiologists are scarce. This study aimed to apply a deep learning-based algorithm to fully automate primary screening of patients with AF using 24-h Holter monitoring.

Methods and results: A deep learning model was developed to automatically detect AF episodes using RR intervals and was trained and evaluated on 23 621 (2297 AF and 21 324 non-AF) 24-h Holter recordings from 23 452 patients. Based on the AF episode detection results, patients with AF were automatically identified using the criterion of at least one AF episode lasting 6 min or longer. Performance was assessed on an independent real-world hospital-scenario test set (19 227 recordings) and a community-scenario test set (1299 recordings). For the two test sets, the model obtained high performance for the identification of patients with AF (sensitivity: 0.995 and 1.000; specificity: 0.985 and 0.997, respectively). Moreover, it obtained good and consistent performance (sensitivity: 1.000; specificity: 0.972) for an external public data set.

Conclusion: Using the criterion of at least one AF episode of 6 min or longer, the deep learning model can fully automatically screen patients for AF with high accuracy from long-term Holter monitoring data. This method may serve as a powerful and cost-effective tool for primary screening for AF.

Chat Generative Pre-trained Transformer (ChatGPT) is currently a trending topic worldwide triggering extensive debate about its predictive power, its potential uses, and its wider implications. Recent publications have demonstrated that ChatGPT can correctly answer questions from undergraduate exams such as the United States Medical Licensing Examination. We challenged it to answer questions from a more demanding, post-graduate exam-the European Exam in Core Cardiology (EECC), the final exam for the completion of specialty training in Cardiology in many countries. Our results demonstrate that ChatGPT succeeds in the EECC.

Aims: Clinical differentiation of acute myocardial infarction (MI) from unstable angina and other presentations mimicking acute coronary syndromes (ACS) is critical for implementing time-sensitive interventions and optimizing outcomes. However, the diagnostic steps are dependent on blood draws and laboratory turnaround times. We tested the clinical feasibility of a wrist-worn transdermal infrared spectrophotometric sensor (transdermal-ISS) in clinical practice and assessed the performance of a machine learning algorithm for identifying elevated high-sensitivity cardiac troponin-I (hs-cTnI) levels in patients hospitalized with ACS.

Methods and results: We enrolled 238 patients hospitalized with ACS at five sites. The final diagnosis of MI (with or without ST elevation) and unstable angina was adjudicated using electrocardiography (ECG), cardiac troponin (cTn) test, echocardiography (regional wall motion abnormality), or coronary angiography. A transdermal-ISS-derived deep learning model was trained (three sites) and externally validated with hs-cTnI (one site) and echocardiography and angiography (two sites), respectively. The transdermal-ISS model predicted elevated hs-cTnI levels with areas under the receiver operator characteristics of 0.90 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.84-0.94; sensitivity, 0.86; and specificity, 0.82] and 0.92 (95% CI, 0.80-0.98; sensitivity, 0.94; and specificity, 0.64), for internal and external validation cohorts, respectively. In addition, the model predictions were associated with regional wall motion abnormalities [odds ratio (OR), 3.37; CI, 1.02-11.15; P = 0.046] and significant coronary stenosis (OR, 4.69; CI, 1.27-17.26; P = 0.019).

Conclusion: A wrist-worn transdermal-ISS is clinically feasible for rapid, bloodless prediction of elevated hs-cTnI levels in real-world settings. It may have a role in establishing a point-of-care biomarker diagnosis of MI and impact triaging patients with suspected ACS.

Aims: Identification of high-risk patients and individualized decision support based on objective criteria for rapid discharge after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) are key requirements in the context of contemporary TAVI treatment. This study aimed to predict 30-day mortality following TAVI based on machine learning (ML) using data from the German Aortic Valve Registry.

Methods and results: Mortality risk was determined using a random forest ML model that was condensed in the newly developed TAVI Risk Machine (TRIM) scores, designed to represent clinically meaningful risk modelling before (TRIMpre) and in particular after (TRIMpost) TAVI. Algorithm was trained and cross-validated on data of 22 283 patients (729 died within 30 days post-TAVI) and generalisation was examined on data of 5864 patients (146 died). TRIMpost demonstrated significantly better performance than traditional scores [C-statistics value, 0.79; 95% confidence interval (CI)] [0.74; 0.83] compared to Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) with C-statistics value 0.69; 95%-CI [0.65; 0.74]). An abridged (aTRIMpost) score comprising 25 features (calculated using a web interface) exhibited significantly higher performance than traditional scores (C-statistics value, 0.74; 95%-CI [0.70; 0.78]). Validation on external data of 6693 patients (205 died within 30 days post-TAVI) of the Swiss TAVI Registry confirmed significantly better performance for the TRIMpost (C-statistics value 0.75, 95%-CI [0.72; 0.79]) compared to STS (C-statistics value 0.67, CI [0.63; 0.70]).

Conclusion: TRIM scores demonstrate good performance for risk estimation before and after TAVI. Together with clinical judgement, they may support standardised and objective decision-making before and after TAVI.

Aims: The black box nature of artificial intelligence (AI) hinders the development of interpretable AI models that are applicable in clinical practice. We aimed to develop an AI model for classifying patients of reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) from 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECG) with the decision-interpretability.

Methods and results: We acquired paired ECG and echocardiography datasets from the central and co-operative institutions. For the central institution dataset, a random forest model was trained to identify patients with reduced LVEF among 29 907 ECGs. Shapley additive explanations were applied to 7196 ECGs. To extract the model's decision criteria, the calculated Shapley additive explanations values were clustered for 192 non-paced rhythm patients in which reduced LVEF was predicted. Although the extracted criteria were different for each cluster, these criteria generally comprised a combination of six ECG findings: negative T-wave inversion in I/V5-6 leads, low voltage in I/II/V4-6 leads, Q wave in V3-6 leads, ventricular activation time prolongation in I/V5-6 leads, S-wave prolongation in V2-3 leads, and corrected QT interval prolongation. Similarly, for the co-operative institution dataset, the extracted criteria comprised a combination of the same six ECG findings. Furthermore, the accuracy of seven cardiologists' ECG readings improved significantly after watching a video explaining the interpretation of these criteria (before, 62.9% ± 3.9% vs. after, 73.9% ± 2.4%; P = 0.02).

Conclusion: We visually interpreted the model's decision criteria to evaluate its validity, thereby developing a model that provided the decision-interpretability required for clinical application.

Aims: An artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) is a promising tool to detect patients with aortic stenosis (AS) before developing symptoms. However, functional, structural, or haemodynamic components reflected in AI-ECG responsible for its detection are unknown.

Methods and results: The AI-ECG model that was developed at Mayo Clinic using a convolutional neural network to identify patients with moderate-severe AS was applied. In patients used as the testing group, the correlation between the AI-ECG probability of AS and echocardiographic parameters was investigated. This study included 102 926 patients (63.0 ± 16.3 years, 52% male), and 28 464 (27.7%) were identified as AS positive by AI-ECG. Older age, atrial fibrillation, hypertension, diabetes, coronary artery disease, and heart failure were more common in the positive AI-ECG group than in the negative group (P < 0.001). The AI-ECG was correlated with aortic valve area (ρ = -0.48, R² = 0.20), peak velocity (ρ = 0.22, R² = 0.08), and mean pressure gradient (ρ = 0.35, R² = 0.08). The AI-ECG also correlated with left ventricular (LV) mass index (ρ = 0.36, R² = 0.13), E/e' (ρ = 0.36, R² = 0.12), and left atrium volume index (ρ = 0.42, R² = 0.12). Neither LV ejection fraction nor stroke volume index had a significant correlation with the AI-ECG. Age correlated with the AI-ECG (ρ = 0.46, R² = 0.22) and its correlation with echocardiography parameters was similar to that of the AI-ECG.

Conclusion: A combination of AS severity, diastolic dysfunction, and LV hypertrophy is reflected in the AI-ECG to detect AS. There seems to be a gradation of the cardiac anatomical/functional features in the model and its identification process of AS is multifactorial.

Aims: The relationship between mobile phone use for making or receiving calls and hypertension risk remains uncertain. We aimed to examine the associations of mobile phone use for making or receiving calls and the use frequency with new-onset hypertension in the general population, using data from the UK Biobank.

Methods and results: A total of 212 046 participants without prior hypertension in the UK Biobank were included. Participants who have been using a mobile phone at least once per week to make or receive calls were defined as mobile phone users. The primary outcome was new-onset hypertension. During a median follow-up of 12.0 years, 13 984 participants developed new-onset hypertension. Compared with mobile phone non-users, a significantly higher risk of new-onset hypertension was found in mobile phone users [hazards ratio (HR), 1.07; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.12]. Among mobile phone users, compared with those with a weekly usage time of mobile phones for making or receiving calls <5 mins, significantly higher risks of new-onset hypertension were found in participants with a weekly usage time of 30-59 mins (HR, 1.08; 95%CI: 1.01-1.16), 1-3 h (HR, 1.13; 95%CI: 1.06-1.22), 4-6 h (HR, 1.16; 95%CI: 1.04-1.29), and >6 h (HR, 1.25; 95%CI: 1.13-1.39) (P for trend <0.001). Moreover, participants with both high genetic risks of hypertension and longer weekly usage time of mobile phones making or receiving calls had the highest risk of new-onset hypertension.

Conclusions: Mobile phone use for making or receiving calls was significantly associated with a higher risk of new-onset hypertension, especially among high-frequency users.

Aims: The current guidelines recommend aortic valve intervention in patients with severe aortic regurgitation (AR) with the onset of symptoms, left ventricular enlargement, or systolic dysfunction. Recent studies have suggested that we might be missing the window of early intervention in a significant number of patients by following the guidelines.

Methods and results: The overarching goal was to determine if machine learning (ML)-based algorithms could be trained to identify patients at risk for death from AR independent of aortic valve replacement (AVR). Models were trained with five-fold cross-validation on a dataset of 1035 patients, and performance was reported on an independent dataset of 207 patients. Optimal predictive performance was observed with a conditional random survival forest model. A subset of 19/41 variables was selected for inclusion in the final model. Variable selection was performed with 10-fold cross-validation using random survival forest model. The top variables included were age, body surface area, body mass index, diastolic blood pressure, New York Heart Association class, AVR, comorbidities, ejection fraction, end-diastolic volume, and end-systolic dimension, and the relative variable importance averaged across five splits of cross-validation in each repeat were evaluated. The concordance index for predicting survival of the best-performing model was 0.84 at 1 year, 0.86 at 2 years, and 0.87 overall, respectively.

Conclusion: Using common echocardiographic parameters and patient characteristics, we successfully trained multiple ML models to predict survival in patients with severe AR. This technique could be applied to identify high-risk patients who would benefit from early intervention, thereby improving patient outcomes.