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Supply and demand in physician markets: a panel data analysis of GP services in Australia. 医生市场的供给和需求:澳大利亚全科医生服务的面板数据分析。
Pub Date : 2014-09-01 Epub Date: 2014-05-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-014-9148-7
Ian McRae, James R G Butler

To understand the trends in any physician services market it is necessary to understand the nature of both supply and demand, but few studies have jointly examined supply and demand in these markets. This study uses aggregate panel data on general practitioner (GP) services at the Statistical Local Area level in Australia spanning eight years to estimate supply and demand equations for GP services. The structural equations of the model are estimated separately using population-weighted fixed effects panel modelling with the two stage least squares formulation of the generalised method of moments approach (GMM (2SLS)). The estimated price elasticity of demand of [Formula: see text] is comparable with other studies. The direct impact of GP density on demand, while significant, proves almost immaterial in the context of near vertical supply curves. Supply changes are therefore due to shifts in the position of the curves, partly determined by a time trend. The model is validated by comparing post-panel model predictions with actual market outcomes over a period of three years and is found to provide surprisingly accurate projections over a period of significant policy change. The study confirms the need to jointly consider supply and demand in exploring the behaviour of physician services markets.

要了解任何医生服务市场的趋势,有必要了解供需的本质,但很少有研究联合调查这些市场的供需。本研究使用汇总面板数据的全科医生(全科医生)服务在统计区域水平在澳大利亚跨越八年来估计全科医生服务的供需方程。模型的结构方程分别使用广义矩法(GMM (2SLS))的两阶段最小二乘公式的人口加权固定效应面板建模进行估计。[公式:见原文]的需求价格弹性估计值与其他研究具有可比性。GP密度对需求的直接影响虽然显著,但在接近垂直供应曲线的情况下几乎不重要。因此,供给的变化是由于曲线位置的变化,部分由时间趋势决定。通过将面板后模型预测与三年期间的实际市场结果进行比较,该模型得到了验证,并发现在重大政策变化期间提供了惊人的准确预测。这项研究证实,在探索医生服务市场的行为时,需要共同考虑供给和需求。
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引用次数: 12
Stability of children's insurance coverage and implications for access to care: evidence from the Survey of Income and Program Participation. 儿童保险覆盖面的稳定性及其对获得护理的影响:来自收入和计划参与调查的证据。
Pub Date : 2014-06-01 Epub Date: 2014-02-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-014-9141-1
Thomas Buchmueller, Sean M Orzol, Lara Shore-Sheppard

Even as the number of children with health insurance has increased, coverage transitions--movement into and out of coverage and between public and private insurance--have become more common. Using data from 1996 to 2005, we examine whether insurance instability has implications for access to primary care. Because unobserved factors related to parental behavior and child health may affect both the stability of coverage and utilization, we estimate the relationship between insurance and the probability that a child has at least one physician visit per year using a model that includes child fixed effects to account for unobserved heterogeneity. Although we find that unobserved heterogeneity is an important factor influencing cross-sectional correlations, conditioning on child fixed effects we find a statistically and economically significant relationship between insurance coverage stability and access to care. Children who have part-year public or private insurance are more likely to have at least one doctor's visit than children who are uninsured for a full year, but less likely than children with full-year coverage. We find comparable effects for public and private insurance. Although cross-sectional analyses suggest that transitions directly between public and private insurance are associated with lower rates of utilization, the evidence of such an effect is much weaker when we condition on child fixed effects.

尽管拥有医疗保险的儿童人数有所增加,但保险范围的转换——加入和退出保险以及在公共和私人保险之间流动——已经变得更加普遍。使用1996年至2005年的数据,我们研究了保险不稳定性是否对获得初级保健有影响。由于与父母行为和儿童健康相关的未观察到的因素可能会影响覆盖面的稳定性和利用率,因此我们使用包含儿童固定效应的模型来估计保险与儿童每年至少就诊一次的概率之间的关系,以解释未观察到的异质性。虽然我们发现未观察到的异质性是影响横截面相关性的重要因素,但在儿童固定效应的条件作用下,我们发现保险覆盖稳定性与获得护理之间存在统计学和经济上显著的关系。有部分年度公共或私人保险的孩子比没有全年保险的孩子更有可能至少看一次医生,但比有全年保险的孩子更少。我们发现公共保险和私人保险的效果相当。尽管横断面分析表明,公共和私人保险之间的直接转换与较低的使用率有关,但当我们考虑儿童固定效应时,这种影响的证据要弱得多。
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引用次数: 12
The US healthcare workforce and the labor market effect on healthcare spending and health outcomes. 美国医疗保健劳动力和劳动力市场对医疗保健支出和健康结果的影响。
Pub Date : 2014-06-01 Epub Date: 2014-03-21 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-014-9142-0
Lawrence C Pellegrini, Rosa Rodriguez-Monguio, Jing Qian

The healthcare sector was one of the few sectors of the US economy that created new positions in spite of the recent economic downturn. Economic contractions are associated with worsening morbidity and mortality, declining private health insurance coverage, and budgetary pressure on public health programs. This study examines the causes of healthcare employment growth and workforce composition in the US and evaluates the labor market's impact on healthcare spending and health outcomes. Data are collected for 50 states and the District of Columbia from 1999-2009. Labor market and healthcare workforce data are obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Mortality and health status data are collected from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Vital Statistics program and Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. Healthcare spending data are derived from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. Dynamic panel data regression models, with instrumental variables, are used to examine the effect of the labor market on healthcare spending, morbidity, and mortality. Regression analysis is also performed to model the effects of healthcare spending on the healthcare workforce composition. All statistical tests are based on a two-sided [Formula: see text] significance of [Formula: see text] .05. Analyses are performed with STATA and SAS. The labor force participation rate shows a more robust effect on healthcare spending, morbidity, and mortality than the unemployment rate. Study results also show that declining labor force participation negatively impacts overall health status ([Formula: see text] .01), and mortality for males ([Formula: see text] .05) and females ([Formula: see text] .001), aged 16-64. Further, the Medicaid and Medicare spending share increases as labor force participation declines ([Formula: see text] .001); whereas, the private healthcare spending share decreases ([Formula: see text] .001). Public and private healthcare spending also has a differing effect on healthcare occupational employment per 100,000 people. Private healthcare spending positively impacts primary care physician employment ([Formula: see text] .001); whereas, Medicare spending drives up employment of physician assistants, registered nurses, and personal care attendants ([Formula: see text] .001). Medicaid and Medicare spending has a negative effect on surgeon employment ([Formula: see text] .05); the effect of private healthcare spending is positive but not statistically significant. Labor force participation, as opposed to unemployment, is a better proxy for measuring the effect of the economic environment on healthcare spending and health outcomes. Further, during economic contractions, Medicaid and Medicare's share of overall healthcare spending increases with meaningful effects on the configuration of state healthcare workforces and subsequently, provision of care for populations at-risk for worsening morbidity and mortality.

尽管最近经济低迷,但医疗保健行业是美国经济中为数不多的创造了新职位的行业之一。经济收缩与发病率和死亡率的恶化、私人医疗保险覆盖面的下降以及公共卫生项目的预算压力有关。本研究考察了美国医疗保健就业增长和劳动力构成的原因,并评估了劳动力市场对医疗保健支出和健康结果的影响。数据收集自1999年至2009年的50个州和哥伦比亚特区。劳动力市场和医疗保健人力数据来自劳工统计局。死亡率和健康状况数据来自疾病控制和预防中心的生命统计项目和行为风险因素监测系统。医疗支出数据来自医疗保险和医疗补助服务中心。动态面板数据回归模型,工具变量,用于检查劳动力市场对医疗保健支出,发病率和死亡率的影响。还进行了回归分析,以模拟医疗保健支出对医疗保健劳动力构成的影响。所有的统计检验都是基于[公式:见文].05的双边[公式:见文]显著性。使用STATA和SAS进行分析。与失业率相比,劳动力参与率对医疗保健支出、发病率和死亡率的影响更为显著。研究结果还表明,劳动力参与率的下降对16-64岁男性([公式:见文].05)和女性([公式:见文].001)的总体健康状况([公式:见文].01)产生了负面影响。此外,随着劳动力参与率的下降,医疗补助和医疗保险支出份额增加([公式:见文本].001);然而,私人医疗保健支出份额下降([公式:见文本].001)。公共和私人医疗保健支出对每10万人的医疗保健职业就业也有不同的影响。私人医疗保健支出积极影响初级保健医生的就业([公式:见文本].001);然而,医疗保险支出增加了医师助理、注册护士和个人护理人员的就业([公式:见文本].001)。医疗补助和医疗保险支出对外科医生就业有负面影响([公式:见文本].05);私人医疗保健支出的影响是积极的,但没有统计学意义。相对于失业率,劳动力参与率是衡量经济环境对医疗支出和健康结果影响的更好指标。此外,在经济收缩期间,医疗补助和医疗保险在总体医疗支出中所占的份额增加,对国家医疗保健劳动力的配置产生了重大影响,并随后对面临发病率和死亡率恶化风险的人群提供了医疗服务。
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引用次数: 17
The effect of extension of benefit coverage for cancer patients on health care utilization across different income groups in South Korea. 扩大癌症患者福利覆盖面对韩国不同收入群体医疗保健利用的影响。
Pub Date : 2014-06-01 Epub Date: 2014-04-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-014-9144-y
Sujin Kim, Soonman Kwon

To provide financial protection against catastrophic illness, the Korean government expanded the National Health Insurance (NHI) benefit coverage for cancer patients in 2005. This paper examined whether the policy improved the income-related equality in health care utilization. This study analyzed the extent to which the policy improved income-related equality in outpatient visits, inpatient days, and inpatient and outpatient care expenditure based on triple difference estimator. Using nationwide claims data of the NHI from 2002 to 2004 and from 2006 to 2010, we compared cancer patients as a treatment group with liver disease as a control group and low-income group with the highest-income group. The results showed that the extension of NHI benefits coverage led to an increase in the utilization of outpatient services across all income groups, but with a greater increase for the low-income groups, among cancer patients. Moreover, the policy led to a less decrease in the utilization of inpatient services for the low-income group while it decreased across all income groups. Our finding suggests that the extension of NHI benefits coverage improved the income-related equality in health care utilization.

为了给癌症患者提供经济保障,韩国政府于2005年扩大了国民健康保险(NHI)的覆盖范围。本文考察了该政策是否改善了医疗保健利用中与收入相关的平等。本研究基于三差估计分析了政策在门诊次数、住院天数以及住院和门诊护理支出方面改善收入相关平等的程度。利用2002年至2004年和2006年至2010年NHI的全国索赔数据,我们将癌症患者作为治疗组,肝脏疾病作为对照组,低收入组与最高收入组进行了比较。结果表明,国家健康保险福利覆盖范围的扩大导致所有收入群体的门诊服务利用率增加,但低收入群体的癌症患者的门诊服务利用率增加更大。此外,该政策导致低收入群体的住院服务利用率下降较少,而所有收入群体的住院服务利用率都有所下降。我们的研究结果表明,国民健康保险福利覆盖范围的扩大改善了医疗保健利用中与收入相关的平等。
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引用次数: 34
Payment mechanism and GP self-selection: capitation versus fee for service. 支付机制与全科医生自我选择:收费与服务收费。
Pub Date : 2014-06-01 Epub Date: 2014-03-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-014-9143-z
Marie Allard, Izabela Jelovac, Pierre-Thomas Léger

This paper analyzes the consequences of allowing gatekeeping general practitioners (GPs) to select their payment mechanism. We model GPs' behavior under the most common payment schemes (capitation and fee for service) and when GPs can select one among them. Our analysis considers GP heterogeneity in terms of both ability and concern for their patients' health. We show that when the costs of wasteful referrals to costly specialized care are relatively high, fee for service payments are optimal to maximize the expected patients' health net of treatment costs. Conversely, when the losses associated with failed referrals of severely ill patients are relatively high, we show that either GPs' self-selection of a payment form or capitation is optimal. Last, we extend our analysis to endogenous effort and to competition among GPs. In both cases, we show that self-selection is never optimal.

本文分析了允许把关全科医生(全科医生)选择他们的支付机制的后果。我们模拟了全科医生在最常见的付费方案(收费和服务费)下的行为,以及全科医生可以在其中选择一种的情况。我们的分析考虑了全科医生在能力和对病人健康的关注方面的异质性。我们表明,当浪费转诊到昂贵的专科护理的成本相对较高时,服务费用支付是最优的,以最大限度地提高患者的预期健康净治疗成本。相反,当与转诊失败的重症患者相关的损失相对较高时,我们表明,全科医生自行选择支付形式或资本化是最优的。最后,我们将分析扩展到内生努力和gp之间的竞争。在这两种情况下,我们都表明自我选择从来都不是最优的。
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引用次数: 17
Competitive bidding for Medicare Part B clinical laboratory services. 医疗保险B部分临床实验室服务的竞争性招标。
Pub Date : 2014-06-01 Epub Date: 2013-12-24 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-013-9139-0
John Kautter, Gregory C Pope

The traditional Medicare fee-for-service program may be able to purchase clinical laboratory test services at a lower cost through competitive bidding. Demonstrations of competitive bidding for clinical laboratory tests have been twice mandated or authorized by Congress but never implemented. This article provides a summary and review of the final design of the laboratory competitive bidding demonstration mandated by the Medicare Modernization Act of 2003. The design was analogous to a sealed bid (first price), clearing price auction. Design elements presented include covered laboratory tests and beneficiaries, laboratory bidding and payment status under the demonstration, composite bids, determining bidding winners and the demonstration fee schedule, and quality under the demonstration. Expanded use of competitive bidding in Medicare, including specifically for clinical laboratory tests, has been recommended in some proposals for Medicare reform. The presented design may be a useful point of departure if Medicare clinical laboratory competitive bidding is revived in the future.

传统的医疗服务收费项目可以通过竞争性招标以较低的成本购买临床实验室检测服务。国会曾两次授权或授权进行临床实验室检测的竞争性招标示范,但从未实施过。本文对2003年《医疗保险现代化法案》规定的实验室竞争性招标示范的最终设计进行了总结和回顾。该设计类似于密封投标(首价),清算价格拍卖。提出的设计要素包括涵盖的实验室测试和受益人、实验室招标和示范下的支付状况、综合投标、确定中标人和示范费用时间表以及示范下的质量。一些医疗保险改革提案建议扩大在医疗保险中使用竞争性招标,特别是在临床实验室测试方面。提出的设计可能是一个有用的出发点,如果医疗保险临床实验室竞争性招标是在未来恢复。
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引用次数: 3
Demand for prescription drugs under non-linear pricing in Medicare Part D. 医疗保险D部分非线性定价下的处方药需求。
Pub Date : 2014-03-01 Epub Date: 2013-11-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-013-9137-2
Kyoungrae Jung, Roger Feldman, A Marshall McBean

We estimate the price elasticity of prescription drug use in Medicare Part D, which features a non-linear price schedule due to a coverage gap. We analyze patterns of drug utilization prior to the coverage gap, where the "effective price" is higher than the actual copayment for drugs because consumers anticipate that more spending will make them more likely to reach the gap. We find that enrollees' total pre-gap drug spending is sensitive to their effective prices: the estimated price elasticity of drug spending ranges between [Formula: see text]0.14 and [Formula: see text]0.36. This finding suggests that filling in the coverage gap, as mandated by the health care reform legislation passed in 2010, will influence drug utilization prior to the gap. A simulation analysis indicates that closing the gap could increase Part D spending by a larger amount than projected, with additional pre-gap costs among those who do not hit the gap.

我们估计处方药在医疗保险D部分使用的价格弹性,其特点是非线性的价格表,由于覆盖差距。我们分析了覆盖缺口之前的药物使用模式,其中“有效价格”高于药物的实际共同支付,因为消费者预期更多的支出将使他们更有可能达到缺口。我们发现参保人的缺口前药品总支出对有效价格敏感:药品支出的估计价格弹性在[公式:见文]0.14和[公式:见文]0.36之间。这一发现表明,根据2010年通过的医疗改革立法,填补覆盖缺口将影响缺口之前的药物利用。一项模拟分析表明,缩小差距可能会增加D部分的支出,比预计的要多,而那些没有达到差距的人在差距前会有额外的成本。
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引用次数: 8
Determinants of health-system efficiency: evidence from OECD countries. 卫生系统效率的决定因素:来自经合组织国家的证据。
Pub Date : 2014-03-01 Epub Date: 2014-01-08 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-013-9140-7
Pablo Hernández de Cos, Enrique Moral-Benito

This paper analyzes the most important determinants of healthcare efficiency across OECD countries. As previously documented in the literature, we first provide evidence of significant differences in the cross-country level of efficiency in healthcare provision. We then investigate how improvements in efficiency can be achieved by considering alternative efficiency indices (parametric and non-parametric) and a novel dataset with information on the characteristics of healthcare systems across OECD countries. Our empirical findings suggest a positive correlation between policies such as increasing the regulation of prices billed by providers and reducing the degree of gate keeping and the efficiency of national healthcare systems.

本文分析了经合组织国家医疗效率的最重要决定因素。正如之前文献记载的那样,我们首先提供了在医疗保健提供的跨国效率水平显著差异的证据。然后,我们研究如何通过考虑替代效率指数(参数和非参数)和一个关于经合组织国家医疗保健系统特征信息的新数据集来实现效率的提高。我们的实证研究结果表明,加强对供应商收费价格的监管和降低把关程度等政策与国家医疗保健系统的效率之间存在正相关关系。
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引用次数: 55
Effect of nursing home ownership on hospitalization of long-stay residents: an instrumental variables approach. 养老院所有权对长期住院居民住院治疗的影响:工具变量法。
Pub Date : 2014-03-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-013-9136-3
Richard A Hirth, David C Grabowski, Zhanlian Feng, Momotazur Rahman, Vincent Mor

Hospitalizations among nursing home residents are frequent, expensive, and often associated with further deterioration of resident condition. The literature indicates that a substantial fraction of admissions is potentially preventable and that nonprofit nursing homes are less likely to hospitalize their residents. However, the correlation between ownership and hospitalization might reflect unobserved resident differences rather than a causal relationship. Using national minimum data set assessments linked with Medicare claims, we use a national cohort of long-stay residents who were newly admitted to nursing homes within an 18-month period spanning January 1, 2004 and June 30, 2005. After instrumenting for ownership status, we found that IV estimates of the effect of nonprofit ownership on hospitalization are at least as large as the non-instrumented effects, indicating that selection bias does not explain the observed relationship. We also found evidence suggesting the lower rate of hospitalizations among nonprofits was due to a different threshold for transfer.

疗养院住户住院频繁、费用昂贵,而且往往与住户病情的进一步恶化有关。文献表明,相当一部分住院治疗是可以预防的,而且非营利性养老院不太可能让住院者住院治疗。然而,所有权与住院率之间的相关性可能反映了未观察到的住院者差异,而非因果关系。我们利用与医疗保险理赔相关联的全国最低数据集评估,对 2004 年 1 月 1 日至 2005 年 6 月 30 日这 18 个月内新入住养老院的长期住院者进行了全国性队列分析。在对所有权状况进行工具分析后,我们发现非营利所有权对住院治疗影响的 IV 估计值至少与非工具分析的影响一样大,这表明选择偏差并不能解释观察到的关系。我们还发现有证据表明,非营利组织的住院率较低是由于转院门槛不同造成的。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the effectiveness of health care cost containment measures: evidence from the market for rehabilitation care. 评估卫生保健成本控制措施的有效性:来自康复护理市场的证据。
Pub Date : 2014-03-01 Epub Date: 2013-12-04 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-013-9138-1
Nicolas R Ziebarth

This study empirically evaluates the effectiveness of different health care cost containment measures. The measures investigated were introduced in Germany in 1997 to reduce moral hazard and public health expenditures in the market for rehabilitation care. Of the analyzed measures, doubling the daily copayments was clearly the most effective cost containment measure, resulting in a reduction in utilization of about [Formula: see text] . Indirect measures such as allowing employers to cut federally mandated sick pay or paid vacation during inpatient post-acute care stays did not significantly reduce utilization. There is evidence neither for adverse health effects nor for substitution effects in terms of more doctor visits.

本研究实证评估不同医疗成本控制措施的有效性。所调查的措施于1997年在德国实行,目的是减少康复护理市场的道德风险和公共卫生支出。在所分析的措施中,将每日共付额增加一倍显然是最有效的成本控制措施,其结果是减少了约[公式:见案文]的使用率。间接措施,如允许雇主削减联邦规定的病假工资或带薪休假期间住院急症后护理没有显著降低利用率。没有证据表明对健康有不利影响,也没有证据表明在更多的医生就诊方面有替代效应。
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引用次数: 18
期刊
International journal of health care finance and economics
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