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Health expenses and economic growth: convergence dynamics across the Indian States. 医疗费用和经济增长:印度各邦的趋同动态。
Pub Date : 2013-12-01 Epub Date: 2013-09-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-013-9130-9
Nicholas Apergis, Puja Padhi

In this paper we explore convergence of real per capita output and health expenses across the Indian States. The new panel convergence methodology, developed by Phillips and Sul (Econometrica 75:1771-1855, 2007), is employed. The empirical findings suggest that these States form distinct convergent clubs, exhibiting considerable heterogeneity in the underlying growth and health expenses factors. These findings should help policy makers in designing appropriate growth-oriented and/or health sector programs and setting priorities in their implementation.

在本文中,我们探讨了印度各州实际人均产出和医疗费用的收敛性。采用了由Phillips和Sul (Econometrica 75:1771-1855, 2007)开发的新的面板收敛方法。实证结果表明,这些国家形成了不同的趋同俱乐部,在潜在增长和保健费用因素方面表现出相当大的异质性。这些发现应有助于决策者设计适当的以增长为导向和(或)卫生部门规划,并确定实施这些规划的优先事项。
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引用次数: 11
Sleeping money: investigating the huge surpluses of social health insurance in China. 沉睡的金钱:调查中国社会医疗保险的巨额盈余。
Pub Date : 2013-12-01 Epub Date: 2013-10-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-013-9134-5
JunQiang Liu, Tao Chen

The spreading of social health insurance (SHI) worldwide poses challenges for fledging public administrators. Inefficiency, misuse and even corruption threaten the stewardship of those newly established health funds. This article examines a tricky situation faced by China's largest SHI program: the basic health insurance (BHI) scheme for urban employees. BHI accumulated a 406 billion yuan surplus by 2009, although the reimbursement level was still low. Using a provincial level panel database, we find that the huge BHI surpluses are related to the (temporarily) decreasing dependency ratio, the steady growth of average wages, the extension of BHI coverage, and progress in social insurance agency building. The financial situations of local governments and risk pooling level also matter. Besides, medical savings accounts result in about one third of BHI surpluses. Although these findings are not causal, lessons drawn from this study can help to improve the governance and performance of SHI programs in developing countries.

社会健康保险(SHI)在世界范围内的普及给初出乍到的公共管理人员带来了挑战。效率低下、滥用甚至腐败威胁着这些新设立的保健基金的管理工作。本文考察了中国最大的社会保险项目——城镇职工基本医疗保险(BHI)计划所面临的棘手局面。到2009年,北京医疗集团累计盈余4060亿元,但报销水平仍然很低。利用省级面板数据库,我们发现,中国城镇居民抚养率(暂时)下降、平均工资稳步增长、城镇居民健康保险覆盖面扩大、社会保险经办机构建设取得进展等因素都与城镇居民健康保险的巨额盈余有关。地方政府的财政状况和风险分担水平也很重要。此外,医疗储蓄账户产生了大约三分之一的BHI盈余。尽管这些发现并非因果关系,但从本研究中得出的经验教训可以帮助改善发展中国家SHI项目的治理和绩效。
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引用次数: 8
Awareness and utilization of preventive care services among the elderly under National Health Insurance. 根据国家健康保险,老年人对预防保健服务的认识和利用情况。
Pub Date : 2013-12-01 Epub Date: 2013-06-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-013-9128-3
Chun-Chih Chen, Yen-Ju Lin, Ying-Tzu Lin

This empirical study investigates the factors affecting the awareness and the utilization of preventive care among the elderly in Taiwan. We use data obtained from the 2005 National Health Interview Survey. A recursive bivariate probit model is adopted to analyze the factors affecting the awareness and the utilization of preventive care. The probability of awareness of free preventive care under the National Health Insurance is higher for those who are younger, Mainlanders, have received more education, have a spouse, exercise regularly, have better self-rated health status, and have chronic diseases; the probability of awareness is lower for those who are aborigines and who live in the south and the east. Awareness of preventive care services, having a spouse, living alone, having better health status, and the existence of chronic diseases increase the probability of preventive care utilization; working reduces the probability of preventive care utilization. Our result supports the views in Arrow (Am Econ Rev 53(5):941-973, 1963) that health information is an important factor determining the demand for medical care. Policymakers may enhance such preventive care service utilization by increasing the awareness of such services among the elderly.

摘要本实证研究旨在探讨影响台湾老年人预防保健意识与利用的因素。我们使用的数据来自2005年全国健康访谈调查。采用递归双变量probit模型分析影响预防保健意识和利用的因素。较年轻、受过较多教育、有配偶、经常运动、自评健康状况较佳和患有慢性疾病的内地人,更有可能了解国民健康保险下的免费预防保健;对于那些居住在南部和东部的土著居民来说,意识到这一点的可能性较低。了解预防保健服务、有配偶、独居、健康状况较好和存在慢性疾病的人增加了利用预防保健的可能性;工作降低了预防保健利用的可能性。我们的结果支持了Arrow (Am Econ Rev 53(5):941-973, 1963)的观点,即健康信息是决定医疗保健需求的重要因素。决策者可以通过提高老年人对这种服务的认识来提高这种预防性保健服务的利用率。
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引用次数: 21
Does healthcare financing converge? Evidence from eight OECD countries. 医疗融资会趋同吗?来自八个经合组织国家的证据。
Pub Date : 2013-12-01 Epub Date: 2013-09-15 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-013-9132-7
Wen-Yi Chen

This study investigated the convergence of healthcare financing across eight OECD countries during 1960-2009 for the first time. The panel stationary test incorporating both shapes of multiple structural breaks (i.e., sharp drifts and smooth transition shifts) and cross-sectional dependence was used to provide reliable evidence of convergence in healthcare financing. Our results suggested that the public share of total healthcare financing in eight OECD countries has exhibited signs of convergence towards that of the US. The convergence of healthcare financing not only reflected a decline in the share of public healthcare financing in these eight OECD countries but also exhibited an upward trend in the share of public healthcare financing in the US over the period of 1960-2009.

本研究首次调查了1960年至2009年期间八个经合组织国家医疗融资的趋同。面板平稳性检验结合两种形状的多重结构断裂(即,急剧漂移和平稳过渡转移)和横断面依赖,以提供可靠的证据,在医疗保健融资趋同。我们的研究结果表明,在八个经合组织国家的医疗融资总额的公共份额已经显示出趋同的迹象,向美国。医疗融资趋同不仅反映了这八个经合组织国家公共医疗融资份额的下降,而且在1960-2009年期间,美国公共医疗融资份额呈现上升趋势。
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引用次数: 10
Regulated medical fee schedule of the Japanese health care system. 日本医疗保健系统的医疗收费标准。
Pub Date : 2013-12-01 Epub Date: 2013-09-26 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-013-9133-6
Makoto Kakinaka, Ryuta Ray Kato

This study presents a theoretical framework for examining the effect of the Japanese government-regulated medical price schedule, 'Shinryo-Houshu-Seido,' on the behavior of medical providers. In particular, we discuss the optimal rule of this price schedule for the regulator, taking into account information asymmetry between the regulator and providers. Our simple model predicts that heterogeneous providers either under-provide or over-provide medical inputs in comparison with the socially optimal outcome. Moreover, our results show that when the allocated budget is reduced to a certain level, even the second-best outcome becomes unachievable, no matter how the price schedule is regulated. While the limited budget size is shown to have a clear negative effect on social welfare, we suggest that the prospect of obtaining the second-best outcome is left to negotiation between the regulator and the budget allocator.

本研究提出了一个理论框架,用于检验日本政府监管的医疗价格表“Shinryo-Houshu-Seido”对医疗服务提供者行为的影响。特别是,考虑到监管者和供应商之间的信息不对称,我们讨论了监管者的最优定价规则。我们的简单模型预测,与社会最优结果相比,异质性提供者要么提供不足,要么提供过多的医疗投入。此外,我们的研究结果表明,当分配预算减少到一定水平时,即使是次优结果也无法实现,无论如何调节价格表。虽然有限的预算规模被证明对社会福利有明显的负面影响,但我们建议,获得次优结果的前景留给监管者和预算分配者之间的谈判。
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引用次数: 4
Between two beds: inappropriately delayed discharges from hospitals. 两张病床之间:医院不适当地延迟出院。
Pub Date : 2013-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-013-9135-4
Tor Helge Holmås, Mohammad Kamrul Islam, Egil Kjerstad

Acknowledging the necessity of a division of labour between hospitals and social care services regarding treatment and care of patients with chronic and complex conditions, is to acknowledge the potential conflict of interests between health care providers. A potentially important conflict is that hospitals prefer comparatively short length of stay (LOS) at hospital, while social care services prefer longer LOS all else equal. Furthermore, inappropriately delayed discharges from hospital, i.e. bed blocking, is costly for society. Our aim is to discuss which factors that may influence bed blocking and to quantify bed blocking costs using individual Norwegian patient data, merged with social care and hospital data. The data allow us to divide hospital LOS into length of appropriate stay (LAS) and length of delay (LOD), the bed blocking period. We find that additional resources allocated to social care services contribute to shorten LOD indicating that social care services may exploit hospital resources as a buffer for insufficient capacity. LAS increases as medical complexity increases indicating hospitals incentives to reduce LOS are softened by considerations related to patients’ medical needs. Bed blocking costs constitute a relatively large share of the total costs of inpatient care.

承认医院和社会护理服务部门在治疗和护理慢性病和复杂疾病患者方面分工的必要性,就是承认保健提供者之间存在潜在的利益冲突。一个潜在的重要冲突是,在其他条件相同的情况下,医院倾向于相对较短的住院时间(LOS),而社会护理服务则倾向于较长的住院时间。此外,不适当地延迟出院,即床位阻塞,对社会来说代价高昂。我们的目的是讨论哪些因素可能影响床位阻塞,并使用挪威患者个人数据,与社会护理和医院数据合并,量化床位阻塞成本。这些数据使我们能够将医院的住院时间划分为适当住院时间(LAS)和延迟时间(LOD),即床位阻塞时间。我们发现分配给社会护理服务的额外资源有助于缩短LOD,这表明社会护理服务可能会利用医院资源作为能力不足的缓冲。LAS随着医疗复杂性的增加而增加,这表明医院减少LOS的动机因考虑到患者的医疗需求而减弱。床位阻塞费用在住院护理总费用中占比较大的份额。
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引用次数: 25
Willingness-to-pay to prevent Alzheimer's disease: a contingent valuation approach. 预防阿尔茨海默病的付费意愿:一种条件评估方法。
Pub Date : 2013-12-01 Epub Date: 2013-08-31 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-013-9129-2
Rashmita Basu

As the prevalence of Alzheimer's disease (AD) increases, the need to develop effective and well-tolerated pharmacotherapies for the prevention of AD is becoming increasingly important. Understanding determinants and magnitudes of individuals' preferences for AD prevention programs is important while estimating the benefits of any new pharmacological intervention that targets the prevention of the disease. This paper applied contingent valuation, a method frequently used for economic valuation of goods or services not transacted in the markets, to estimate the willingness-to-pay (WTP) to prevent AD based on the nationally representative Health and Retirement Survey data. The WTP was associated in predictable ways with respondent characteristics. The mean estimated WTP for preventing AD is $155 per month (95 % CI $153-$157) based on interval regression. On average, a higher WTP for the prescription drug for AD prevention was reported by respondents with higher perceived risks, and greater household wealth. The findings provide useful information about determinants and the magnitude of individuals' preferences for AD prevention drugs for healthcare payers and individual families while making decisions to prevent AD.

随着阿尔茨海默病(AD)患病率的增加,开发有效且耐受性良好的药物治疗来预防AD的需求变得越来越重要。了解个体对阿尔茨海默病预防方案偏好的决定因素和程度,在评估任何针对该疾病预防的新药物干预的益处时非常重要。本文采用条件估价法(一种经常用于对市场上未交易的商品或服务进行经济估价的方法),根据具有全国代表性的健康和退休调查数据,估计预防AD的支付意愿。WTP以可预测的方式与被调查者的特征相关联。根据区间回归,预防AD的平均估计WTP为每月155美元(95% CI为153- 157美元)。平均而言,具有较高感知风险和较高家庭财富的受访者报告的用于预防AD的处方药WTP较高。这些发现为医疗保健支付者和个人家庭在决定预防阿尔茨海默病时提供了有关决定因素和个人对阿尔茨海默病预防药物偏好程度的有用信息。
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引用次数: 22
Evaluating an employee wellness program. 评估员工健康计划。
Pub Date : 2013-12-01 Epub Date: 2013-06-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-013-9127-4
Sankar Mukhopadhyay, Jeanne Wendel

What criteria should be used to evaluate the impact of a new employee wellness program when the initial vendor contract expires? Published academic literature focuses on return-on-investment as the gold standard for wellness program evaluation, and a recent meta-analysis concludes that wellness programs can generate net savings after one or two years. In contrast, surveys indicate that fewer than half of these programs report net savings, and actuarial analysts argue that return-on-investment is an unrealistic metric for evaluating new programs. These analysts argue that evaluation of new programs should focus on contract management issues, such as the vendor's ability to: (i) recruit employees to participate and (ii) induce behavior change. We compute difference-in-difference propensity score matching estimates of the impact of a wellness program implemented by a mid-sized employer. The analysis includes one year of pre-implementation data and three years of post-implementation data. We find that the program successfully recruited a broad spectrum of employees to participate, and it successfully induced short-term behavior change, as manifested by increased preventive screening. However, the effects on health care expenditures are positive (but insignificant). If it is unrealistic to expect new programs to significantly reduce healthcare costs in a few years, then focusing on return-on-investment as the gold standard metric may lead to early termination of potentially useful wellness programs. Focusing short-term analysis of new programs on short-term measures may provide a more realistic evaluation strategy.

当最初的供应商合同到期时,应该使用什么标准来评估新的员工健康计划的影响?已发表的学术文献将投资回报率作为健康计划评估的黄金标准,最近的一项荟萃分析得出结论,健康计划可以在一到两年后产生净储蓄。相比之下,调查表明,这些项目中只有不到一半报告了净储蓄,精算分析师认为,投资回报率是评估新项目的一个不切实际的指标。这些分析人士认为,对新项目的评估应该集中在合同管理问题上,比如供应商的能力:(i)招募员工参与,(ii)诱导行为改变。我们计算了一个中等规模雇主实施的健康计划的影响的差异倾向得分匹配估计。分析包括一年的执行前数据和三年的执行后数据。我们发现,该计划成功地招募了广泛的员工参与,并成功地诱导了短期的行为改变,这体现在预防性筛查的增加上。然而,对卫生保健支出的影响是积极的(但微不足道)。如果期望新项目在几年内显著降低医疗成本是不现实的,那么将投资回报率作为黄金标准可能会导致潜在有用的健康项目过早终止。将新项目的短期分析重点放在短期措施上,可能提供一种更现实的评估策略。
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引用次数: 11
Who funds their health savings account and why? 谁为他们的健康储蓄账户提供资金,为什么?
Pub Date : 2013-12-01 Epub Date: 2013-09-22 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-013-9131-8
Song Chen, Anthony T Lo Sasso, Aneesh Nandam

Health savings account (HSA) enrollment has increased markedly in the last several years, but little is known about the factors affecting account funding decisions. We use a unique data set containing from a bank that exclusively services HSA funds linked to health status, benefit design, plan coverage, and enrollee characteristics from a very large national health insurance company to examine the factors associated with HSA contribution. We found that even small employer contributions had an apparently large effect on the decision to open an account: the account-opening rate was 50 % higher when employers contributed to the account. Conditional on opening an HSA, employee contributions were negatively associated with the amount of employer contribution, contributions rose with age, income, education, and health care need.

健康储蓄账户(HSA)注册人数在过去几年中显著增加,但对影响账户资金决策的因素知之甚少。我们使用了一个独特的数据集,该数据集来自一家专门为HSA基金提供服务的银行,该基金与健康状况、福利设计、计划覆盖范围和来自一家非常大的国家健康保险公司的注册者特征相关,以检查与HSA缴款相关的因素。我们发现,即使是很小的雇主缴款对开户决定也有明显的很大影响:当雇主向账户缴款时,开户率高出50%。在开设HSA的条件下,雇员供款与雇主供款的数量呈负相关,供款随着年龄、收入、教育程度和医疗需求的增加而增加。
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引用次数: 5
Measuring recession severity and its impact on healthcare expenditure. 衡量经济衰退的严重程度及其对医疗支出的影响。
Pub Date : 2013-06-01 Epub Date: 2013-02-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10754-012-9121-2
Conor Keegan, Steve Thomas, Charles Normand, Conceição Portela

The financial crisis that manifested itself in late 2007 resulted in a Europe-wide economic crisis by 2009. As the economic climate worsened, Governments and households were put under increased strain and more focus was placed on prioritising expenditures. Across European countries and their heterogeneous health care systems, this paper examines the initial responsiveness of health expenditures to the crisis and whether recession severity can be considered a predictor of health expenditure growth. In measuring severity we move away from solely gross domestic product (GDP) as a metric and construct a recession severity index predicated on a number of key macroeconomic indicators. We then regress this index on measures of total, public and private health expenditure to identify potential relationships. Analysis suggests that for 2009, the Baltic States, along with Ireland, Italy and Greece, experienced comparatively severe recessions. We find, overall, an initial counter-cyclical response in health spending (both public and private) across countries. However, our analysis finds evidence of a negative relationship between recession severity and changes in certain health expenditures. As a predictor of health expenditure growth in 2009, the derived index is an improvement over GDP change alone.

2007年底爆发的金融危机导致了2009年席卷整个欧洲的经济危机。随着经济气候的恶化,各国政府和家庭承受了更大的压力,因此更加注重支出的优先次序。在欧洲国家和他们的异质卫生保健系统中,本文研究了卫生支出对危机的初始反应,以及经济衰退的严重程度是否可以被视为卫生支出增长的预测因子。在衡量严重程度时,我们不再仅仅以国内生产总值(GDP)作为衡量标准,而是基于一些关键的宏观经济指标构建了一个衰退严重程度指数。然后,我们将该指数回归到总、公共和私人卫生支出的措施上,以确定潜在的关系。分析表明,2009年,波罗的海国家以及爱尔兰、意大利和希腊经历了相对严重的衰退。我们发现,总体而言,各国(公共和私人)卫生支出出现了初步的逆周期反应。然而,我们的分析发现了经济衰退严重程度与某些医疗支出变化之间存在负相关关系的证据。作为2009年医疗支出增长的预测指标,该衍生指数比GDP变化本身有所改善。
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引用次数: 53
期刊
International journal of health care finance and economics
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