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Mutational Patterns Observed in SARS-CoV-2 Genomes Sampled From Successive Epochs Delimited by Major Public Health Events in Ontario, Canada: Genomic Surveillance Study. 在加拿大安大略省重大公共卫生事件界定的连续时期采样的严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2型基因组中观察到的突变模式:一项基因组监测研究(预印本)
Pub Date : 2022-12-22 DOI: 10.2196/42243
David Chen, Gurjit S Randhawa, Maximillian Pm Soltysiak, Camila Pe de Souza, Lila Kari, Shiva M Singh, Kathleen A Hill

Background: The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants with mutations associated with increased transmissibility and virulence is a public health concern in Ontario, Canada. Characterizing how the mutational patterns of the SARS-CoV-2 genome have changed over time can shed light on the driving factors, including selection for increased fitness and host immune response, that may contribute to the emergence of novel variants. Moreover, the study of SARS-CoV-2 in the microcosm of Ontario, Canada can reveal how different province-specific public health policies over time may be associated with observed mutational patterns as a model system.

Objective: This study aimed to perform a comprehensive analysis of single base substitution (SBS) types, counts, and genomic locations observed in SARS-CoV-2 genomic sequences sampled in Ontario, Canada. Comparisons of mutational patterns were conducted between sequences sampled during 4 different epochs delimited by major public health events to track the evolution of the SARS-CoV-2 mutational landscape over 2 years.

Methods: In total, 24,244 SARS-CoV-2 genomic sequences and associated metadata sampled in Ontario, Canada from January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2021, were retrieved from the Global Initiative on Sharing All Influenza Data database. Sequences were assigned to 4 epochs delimited by major public health events based on the sampling date. SBSs from each SARS-CoV-2 sequence were identified relative to the MN996528.1 reference genome. Catalogues of SBS types and counts were generated to estimate the impact of selection in each open reading frame, and identify mutation clusters. The estimation of mutational fitness over time was performed using the Augur pipeline.

Results: The biases in SBS types and proportions observed support previous reports of host antiviral defense activity involving the SARS-CoV-2 genome. There was an increase in U>C substitutions associated with adenosine deaminase acting on RNA (ADAR) activity uniquely observed during Epoch 4. The burden of novel SBSs observed in SARS-CoV-2 genomic sequences was the greatest in Epoch 2 (median 5), followed by Epoch 3 (median 4). Clusters of SBSs were observed in the spike protein open reading frame, ORF1a, and ORF3a. The high proportion of nonsynonymous SBSs and increasing dN/dS metric (ratio of nonsynonymous to synonymous mutations in a given open reading frame) to above 1 in Epoch 4 indicate positive selection of the spike protein open reading frame.

Conclusions: Quantitative analysis of the mutational patterns of the SARS-CoV-2 genome in the microcosm of Ontario, Canada within early consecutive epochs of the pandemic tracked the mutational dynamics in the context of public health events that instigate significant shifts in selection and mutagenesis. Continued genomic surveillance of emergent variants will be useful for the design of public he

背景:在加拿大安大略省,SARS-CoV-2 变异株的出现与传播性和毒力增强有关,是一个公共卫生问题。研究 SARS-CoV-2 基因组的变异模式如何随着时间的推移而发生变化,可以揭示可能导致新型变异体出现的驱动因素,包括对提高适应性和宿主免疫反应的选择。此外,在加拿大安大略省这个微观世界对 SARS-CoV-2 进行研究,可以揭示随着时间推移,不同省份的公共卫生政策如何与作为模型系统的观察到的变异模式相关联:本研究旨在全面分析在加拿大安大略省采样的 SARS-CoV-2 基因组序列中观察到的单碱基置换(SBS)类型、数量和基因组位置。在以重大公共卫生事件为分界线的 4 个不同时期采样的序列之间进行了突变模式比较,以追踪两年来 SARS-CoV-2 突变情况的演变:从全球流感数据共享计划数据库中检索了 2020 年 1 月 1 日至 2021 年 12 月 31 日期间在加拿大安大略省采样的 24,244 个 SARS-CoV-2 基因组序列和相关元数据。根据采样日期,序列被分配到以重大公共卫生事件为分界的 4 个时代。根据 MN996528.1 参考基因组鉴定每个 SARS-CoV-2 序列中的 SBS。生成 SBS 类型和数量的目录,以估计每个开放阅读框中选择的影响,并确定突变群。使用 Augur 管道对随时间变化的突变适配性进行了估计:结果:观察到的 SBS 类型和比例偏差支持以前关于 SARS-CoV-2 基因组中宿主抗病毒防御活动的报道。在第 4 个纪元中,与作用于 RNA 的腺苷脱氨酶(ADAR)活性有关的 U>C 替换有所增加。在 SARS-CoV-2 基因组序列中观察到的新型 SBS 的数量在第 2 个纪元最多(中位数为 5),其次是第 3 个纪元(中位数为 4)。在尖峰蛋白开放阅读框、ORF1a 和 ORF3a 中观察到成群的 SBSs。非同义 SBS 的比例很高,dN/dS 指标(特定开放阅读框中非同义突变与同义突变之比)在第四纪元增至 1 以上,这表明尖峰蛋白开放阅读框存在正选择:对加拿大安大略省微观世界中的 SARS-CoV-2 基因组变异模式进行定量分析,发现了在公共卫生事件背景下的变异动态,这些公共卫生事件引发了选择和诱变的重大转变。继续对新出现的变异体进行基因组监测将有助于制定公共卫生政策,以应对不断演变的 COVID-19 大流行。
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引用次数: 0
The Utilization of Heart Rate Variability for Autonomic Nervous System Assessment in Healthy Pregnant Women: Systematic Review. 心率变异性在健康孕妇自主神经系统评估中的应用:系统综述(预印本)
Pub Date : 2022-11-17 DOI: 10.2196/36791
Zahra Sharifiheris, Amir Rahmani, Joseph Onwuka, Miriam Bender

Background: The autonomic nervous system (ANS) plays a central role in pregnancy-induced adaptations, and failure in the required adaptations is associated with adverse neonatal and maternal outcomes. Mapping maternal ANS function in healthy pregnancy may help to understand ANS function.

Objective: This study aimed to systematically review studies on the use of heart rate variability (HRV) monitoring to measure ANS function during pregnancy and determine whether specific HRV patterns representing normal ANS function have been identified during pregnancy.

Methods: The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guideline was used to guide the systematic review. The CINAHL, PubMed, SCOPUS, and Web of Science databases were searched to comprehensively identify articles without a time span limitation. Studies were included if they assessed HRV in healthy pregnant individuals at least once during pregnancy or labor, with or without a comparison group (eg, complicated pregnancy). Quality assessment of the included literature was performed using the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) tool. A narrative synthesis approach was used for data extraction and analysis, as the articles were heterogenous in scope, approaches, methods, and variables assessed, which precluded traditional meta-analysis approaches being used.

Results: After full screening, 8 studies met the inclusion criteria. In 88% (7/8) of the studies, HRV was measured using electrocardiogram and operationalized in 3 different ways: linear frequency domain (FD), linear time domain (TD), and nonlinear methods. FD was measured in all (8/8), TD in 75% (6/8), and nonlinear methods in 25% (2/8) of the studies. The assessment duration varied from 5 minutes to 24 hours. TD indexes and most of the FD indexes decreased from the first to the third trimesters in the majority (5/7, 71%) of the studies. Of the FD indexes, low frequency (LF [nu]) and the LF/high frequency (HF) ratio showed an ascending trend from early to late pregnancy, indicating an increase in sympathetic activity toward the end of the pregnancy.

Conclusions: We identified 3 HRV operationalization methods along with potentially indicative HRV patterns. However, we found no justification for the selection of measurement tools, measurement time frames, and operationalization methods, which threaten the generalizability and reliability of pattern findings. More research is needed to determine the criteria and methods for determining HRV patterns corresponding to ANS functioning in healthy pregnant persons.

背景:自律神经系统(ANS)在妊娠诱导的适应过程中发挥着核心作用,而所需适应的失败与新生儿和孕产妇的不良结局有关。绘制健康妊娠期母体自律神经系统的功能图有助于了解自律神经系统的功能:本研究旨在系统回顾有关使用心率变异性(HRV)监测来测量孕期自律神经系统功能的研究,并确定是否已发现代表孕期正常自律神经系统功能的特定 HRV 模式:方法:采用系统综述和元分析首选报告项目(PRISMA)指南指导系统综述。对 CINAHL、PubMed、SCOPUS 和 Web of Science 数据库进行了检索,以全面识别不受时间跨度限制的文章。如果研究对健康孕妇在妊娠或分娩期间的心率变异进行了至少一次评估,无论是否有对比组(如复杂妊娠),均纳入研究。采用美国国家心肺血液研究所(NHLBI)工具对纳入的文献进行质量评估。由于文章在范围、方法、方式和评估变量方面存在差异,因此无法使用传统的荟萃分析方法,因此采用了叙事综合法进行数据提取和分析:经过全面筛选,8 项研究符合纳入标准。在88%(7/8)的研究中,心率变异是通过心电图测量的,并以3种不同的方式进行操作:线性频域(FD)、线性时域(TD)和非线性方法。所有研究(8/8)都测量了线性频域(FD),75% 的研究(6/8)测量了线性时域(TD),25% 的研究(2/8)测量了非线性方法。评估持续时间从 5 分钟到 24 小时不等。在大多数研究中(5/7,71%),TD 指数和大多数 FD 指数从妊娠头三个月到妊娠三个月都有所下降。在FD指数中,低频(LF [nu])和低频/高频(HF)比值从孕早期到孕晚期呈上升趋势,表明交感神经活动在妊娠末期增加:我们确定了三种心率变异操作方法以及可能具有指示性的心率变异模式。然而,我们发现在选择测量工具、测量时间范围和操作方法时都缺乏合理性,这对模式研究结果的普遍性和可靠性构成了威胁。需要进行更多的研究,以确定与健康孕妇自律神经系统功能相对应的心率变异模式的标准和方法。
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引用次数: 0
Monitoring Risk Factors and Improving Adherence to Therapy in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease (Smit-CKD Project): Pilot Observational Study. 监测CKD患者的危险因素并提高对治疗的依从性。SMIT-CKD项目。(预印本)
Pub Date : 2022-11-15 DOI: 10.2196/36766
Antonio Vilasi, Vincenzo Antonio Panuccio, Salvatore Morante, Antonino Villa, Maria Carmela Versace, Sabrina Mezzatesta, Sergio Mercuri, Rosalinda Inguanta, Giuseppe Aiello, Demetrio Cutrupi, Rossella Puglisi, Salvatore Capria, Maurizio Li Vigni, Giovanni Tripepi, Claudia Torino

Background: Chronic kidney disease is a major public health issue, with about 13% of the general adult population and 30% of the elderly affected. Patients in the last stage of this disease have an almost uniquely high risk of death and cardiovascular events, with reduced adherence to therapy representing an additional risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Considering the increased penetration of mobile phones, a mobile app could educate patients to autonomously monitor cardiorenal risk factors.

Objective: With this background in mind, we developed an integrated system of a server and app with the aim of improving self-monitoring of cardiovascular and renal risk factors and adherence to therapy.

Methods: The software infrastructure for both the Smit-CKD server and Smit-CKD app was developed using standard web-oriented development methodologies preferring open source tools when available. To make the Smit-CKD app suitable for Android and iOS, platforms that allow the development of a multiplatform app starting from a single source code were used. The integrated system was field tested with the help of 22 participants. User satisfaction and adherence to therapy were measured by questionnaires specifically designed for this study; regular use of the app was measured using the daily reports available on the platform.

Results: The Smit-CKD app allows the monitoring of cardiorenal risk factors, such as blood pressure, weight, and blood glucose. Collected data are transmitted in real time to the referring general practitioner. In addition, special reminders improve adherence to the medication regimen. Via the Smit-CKD server, general practitioners can monitor the clinical status of their patients and their adherence to therapy. During the test phase, 73% (16/22) of subjects entered all the required data regularly and sent feedback on drug intake. After 6 months of use, the percentage of regular intake of medications rose from 64% (14/22) to 82% (18/22). Analysis of the evaluation questionnaires showed that both the app and server components were well accepted by the users.

Conclusions: Our study demonstrated that a simple mobile app, created to self-monitor modifiable cardiorenal risk factors and adherence to therapy, is well tolerated by patients affected by chronic kidney disease. Further studies are required to clarify if the use of this integrated system will have long-term effects on therapy adherence and if self-monitoring of risk factors will improve clinical outcomes in this population.

背景:慢性肾脏病是一个重大的公共卫生问题,约有 13% 的成年人和 30% 的老年人患有慢性肾脏病。处于这种疾病最后阶段的患者死亡和发生心血管事件的风险几乎是独一无二的高,而治疗依从性的降低则是心血管疾病发病率和死亡率的另一个风险因素。考虑到手机的普及率越来越高,一款手机应用可以教育患者自主监测心肾风险因素:考虑到这一背景,我们开发了一个由服务器和应用程序组成的集成系统,旨在改善心血管和肾脏风险因素的自我监测以及坚持治疗的情况:Smit-CKD 服务器和 Smit-CKD 应用程序的软件基础架构是采用标准的面向网络的开发方法开发的,在可用的情况下,我们更倾向于使用开源工具。为了使 Smit-CKD 应用程序适用于 Android 和 iOS,我们使用了允许从单一源代码开始开发多平台应用程序的平台。在 22 名参与者的帮助下,对集成系统进行了实地测试。用户满意度和治疗依从性通过专门为本研究设计的问卷进行测量;应用程序的定期使用通过平台上的每日报告进行测量:结果:Smit-CKD 应用程序可以监测心肾风险因素,如血压、体重和血糖。收集到的数据会实时传送给转诊的全科医生。此外,特别提醒功能还能提高药物治疗的依从性。通过 Smit-CKD 服务器,全科医生可以监控病人的临床状态及其坚持治疗的情况。在测试阶段,73% 的受试者(16/22)定期输入所有必要数据,并发送药物摄入反馈。使用 6 个月后,定期服药的比例从 64%(14/22)上升到 82%(18/22)。对评估问卷的分析表明,应用程序和服务器组件都得到了用户的广泛认可:我们的研究表明,慢性肾脏病患者对一款用于自我监测可改变的心肾风险因素和坚持治疗的简单移动应用程序的接受度很高。还需要进一步研究,以明确使用这一综合系统是否会对坚持治疗产生长期影响,以及自我监测风险因素是否会改善这一人群的临床疗效。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction of Antibody-Antigen Binding via Machine Learning: Development of Data Sets and Evaluation of Methods. 通过机器学习预测抗体-抗原结合:数据集的开发和方法的评估
Pub Date : 2022-10-28 DOI: 10.2196/29404
Chao Ye, Wenxing Hu, Bruno Gaeta

Background: The mammalian immune system is able to generate antibodies against a huge variety of antigens, including bacteria, viruses, and toxins. The ultradeep DNA sequencing of rearranged immunoglobulin genes has considerable potential in furthering our understanding of the immune response, but it is limited by the lack of a high-throughput, sequence-based method for predicting the antigen(s) that a given immunoglobulin recognizes.

Objective: As a step toward the prediction of antibody-antigen binding from sequence data alone, we aimed to compare a range of machine learning approaches that were applied to a collated data set of antibody-antigen pairs in order to predict antibody-antigen binding from sequence data.

Methods: Data for training and testing were extracted from the Protein Data Bank and the Coronavirus Antibody Database, and additional antibody-antigen pair data were generated by using a molecular docking protocol. Several machine learning methods, including the weighted nearest neighbor method, the nearest neighbor method with the BLOSUM62 matrix, and the random forest method, were applied to the problem.

Results: The final data set contained 1157 antibodies and 57 antigens that were combined in 5041 antibody-antigen pairs. The best performance for the prediction of interactions was obtained by using the nearest neighbor method with the BLOSUM62 matrix, which resulted in around 82% accuracy on the full data set. These results provide a useful frame of reference, as well as protocols and considerations, for machine learning and data set creation in the prediction of antibody-antigen binding.

Conclusions: Several machine learning approaches were compared to predict antibody-antigen interaction from protein sequences. Both the data set (in CSV format) and the machine learning program (coded in Python) are freely available for download on GitHub.

哺乳动物的免疫系统能够产生针对各种抗原的抗体,包括细菌、病毒和毒素。重排免疫球蛋白基因的超深度DNA测序在促进我们对免疫反应的理解方面具有相当大的潜力,但由于缺乏高通量、基于序列的方法来预测给定免疫球蛋白识别的抗原,它受到限制。作为仅从序列数据预测抗体-抗原结合的一步,我们的目标是比较应用于抗体-抗原对整理数据集的一系列机器学习方法,以便从序列数据预测抗体-抗原结合。从蛋白质数据库和冠状病毒抗体数据库中提取训练和测试数据,并使用分子对接协议生成额外的抗体-抗原对数据。将加权最近邻法、BLOSUM62矩阵最近邻法、随机森林法等机器学习方法应用于该问题。最终的数据集包含1157种抗体和57种抗原,它们被组合成5041对抗体-抗原对。使用BLOSUM62矩阵的最近邻方法预测相互作用的效果最好,在整个数据集上的准确率约为82%。这些结果为预测抗体-抗原结合的机器学习和数据集创建提供了有用的参考框架,以及协议和考虑因素。比较了几种机器学习方法来预测蛋白质序列中的抗体-抗原相互作用。数据集(CSV格式)和机器学习程序(Python编码)都可以在GitHub上免费下载。
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引用次数: 0
Multiple-Inputs Convolutional Neural Network for COVID-19 Classification and Critical Region Screening From Chest X-ray Radiographs: Model Development and Performance Evaluation. 多输入卷积神经网络用于 COVID-19 分类和胸部 X 光片关键区域筛查:模型开发与性能评估
Pub Date : 2022-10-04 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2196/36660
Zhongqiang Li, Zheng Li, Luke Yao, Qing Chen, Jian Zhang, Xin Li, Ji-Ming Feng, Yanping Li, Jian Xu

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic is becoming one of the largest, unprecedented health crises, and chest X-ray radiography (CXR) plays a vital role in diagnosing COVID-19. However, extracting and finding useful image features from CXRs demand a heavy workload for radiologists.

Objective: The aim of this study was to design a novel multiple-inputs (MI) convolutional neural network (CNN) for the classification of COVID-19 and extraction of critical regions from CXRs. We also investigated the effect of the number of inputs on the performance of our new MI-CNN model.

Methods: A total of 6205 CXR images (including 3021 COVID-19 CXRs and 3184 normal CXRs) were used to test our MI-CNN models. CXRs could be evenly segmented into different numbers (2, 4, and 16) of individual regions. Each region could individually serve as one of the MI-CNN inputs. The CNN features of these MI-CNN inputs would then be fused for COVID-19 classification. More importantly, the contributions of each CXR region could be evaluated through assessing the number of images that were accurately classified by their corresponding regions in the testing data sets.

Results: In both the whole-image and left- and right-lung region of interest (LR-ROI) data sets, MI-CNNs demonstrated good efficiency for COVID-19 classification. In particular, MI-CNNs with more inputs (2-, 4-, and 16-input MI-CNNs) had better efficiency in recognizing COVID-19 CXRs than the 1-input CNN. Compared to the whole-image data sets, the efficiency of LR-ROI data sets showed approximately 4% lower accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and precision (over 91%). In considering the contributions of each region, one of the possible reasons for this reduced performance was that nonlung regions (eg, region 16) provided false-positive contributions to COVID-19 classification. The MI-CNN with the LR-ROI data set could provide a more accurate evaluation of the contribution of each region and COVID-19 classification. Additionally, the right-lung regions had higher contributions to the classification of COVID-19 CXRs, whereas the left-lung regions had higher contributions to identifying normal CXRs.

Conclusions: Overall, MI-CNNs could achieve higher accuracy with an increasing number of inputs (eg, 16-input MI-CNN). This approach could assist radiologists in identifying COVID-19 CXRs and in screening the critical regions related to COVID-19 classifications.

背景:COVID-19 大流行正在成为最大的、前所未有的健康危机之一,而胸部 X 射线摄影(CXR)在诊断 COVID-19 方面发挥着至关重要的作用。然而,从 CXR 中提取和寻找有用的图像特征对放射科医生来说是一项繁重的工作:本研究旨在设计一种新型多输入(MI)卷积神经网络(CNN),用于对 COVID-19 进行分类,并从 CXR 中提取关键区域。我们还研究了输入数量对新型 MI-CNN 模型性能的影响:我们共使用了 6205 张 CXR 图像(包括 3021 张 COVID-19 CXR 和 3184 张正常 CXR)来测试 MI-CNN 模型。CXR 可被均匀分割成不同数量(2、4 和 16)的单个区域。每个区域可单独作为 MI-CNN 的输入之一。然后,这些 MI-CNN 输入的 CNN 特征将被融合用于 COVID-19 分类。更重要的是,可以通过评估测试数据集中相应区域准确分类的图像数量来评估每个 CXR 区域的贡献:结果:在整个图像和左右肺感兴趣区(LR-ROI)数据集中,MI-CNN 在 COVID-19 分类中都表现出了良好的效率。尤其是输入较多的 MI-CNN(2 输入、4 输入和 16 输入 MI-CNN)在识别 COVID-19 CXR 方面的效率要高于 1 输入 CNN。与全图像数据集相比,LR-ROI 数据集的准确率、灵敏度、特异性和精确度(超过 91%)均低约 4%。考虑到每个区域的贡献,性能下降的可能原因之一是非肺区域(如第 16 区域)对 COVID-19 分类提供了假阳性贡献。使用 LR-ROI 数据集的 MI-CNN 可以更准确地评估每个区域的贡献和 COVID-19 分类。此外,右肺区域对 COVID-19 CXR 分类的贡献率较高,而左肺区域对识别正常 CXR 的贡献率较高:总的来说,MI-CNN 可以随着输入数量的增加(如 16 输入 MI-CNN)而获得更高的准确率。这种方法可以帮助放射科医生识别 COVID-19 CXR,并筛选出与 COVID-19 分类相关的关键区域。
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引用次数: 0
Treatment Discontinuation Prediction in Patients With Diabetes Using a Ranking Model: Machine Learning Model Development. 使用排序模型预测糖尿病患者的停药:机器学习模型开发
Pub Date : 2022-09-23 DOI: 10.2196/37951
Hisashi Kurasawa, Kayo Waki, Akihiro Chiba, Tomohisa Seki, Katsuyoshi Hayashi, Akinori Fujino, Tsuneyuki Haga, Takashi Noguchi, Kazuhiko Ohe

Background: Treatment discontinuation (TD) is one of the major prognostic issues in diabetes care, and several models have been proposed to predict a missed appointment that may lead to TD in patients with diabetes by using binary classification models for the early detection of TD and for providing intervention support for patients. However, as binary classification models output the probability of a missed appointment occurring within a predetermined period, they are limited in their ability to estimate the magnitude of TD risk in patients with inconsistent intervals between appointments, making it difficult to prioritize patients for whom intervention support should be provided.

Objective: This study aimed to develop a machine-learned prediction model that can output a TD risk score defined by the length of time until TD and prioritize patients for intervention according to their TD risk.

Methods: This model included patients with diagnostic codes indicative of diabetes at the University of Tokyo Hospital between September 3, 2012, and May 17, 2014. The model was internally validated with patients from the same hospital from May 18, 2014, to January 29, 2016. The data used in this study included 7551 patients who visited the hospital after January 1, 2004, and had diagnostic codes indicative of diabetes. In particular, data that were recorded in the electronic medical records between September 3, 2012, and January 29, 2016, were used. The main outcome was the TD of a patient, which was defined as missing a scheduled clinical appointment and having no hospital visits within 3 times the average number of days between the visits of the patient and within 60 days. The TD risk score was calculated by using the parameters derived from the machine-learned ranking model. The prediction capacity was evaluated by using test data with the C-index for the performance of ranking patients, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, and area under the precision-recall curve for discrimination, in addition to a calibration plot.

Results: The means (95% confidence limits) of the C-index, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, and area under the precision-recall curve for the TD risk score were 0.749 (0.655, 0.823), 0.758 (0.649, 0.857), and 0.713 (0.554, 0.841), respectively. The observed and predicted probabilities were correlated with the calibration plots.

Conclusions: A TD risk score was developed for patients with diabetes by combining a machine-learned method with electronic medical records. The score calculation can be integrated into medical records to identify patients at high risk of TD, which would be useful in supporting diabetes care and preventing TD.

停药(TD)是糖尿病护理中的主要预后问题之一,已经提出了几种模型,通过使用二元分类模型来早期检测TD并为患者提供干预支持,来预测可能导致糖尿病患者出现TD的错过预约。然而,由于二元分类模型输出了在预定时间内错过预约的概率,因此它们在估计预约间隔不一致的患者的TD风险大小的能力有限,因此很难优先考虑应该为其提供干预支持的患者。本研究旨在开发一种机器学习预测模型,该模型可以输出由到达TD的时间长度定义的TD风险评分,并根据患者的TD风险优先进行干预。该模型包括2012年9月3日至2014年5月17日期间在东京大学医院诊断出糖尿病的患者。该模型于2014年5月18日至2016年1月29日在同一家医院的患者中进行了内部验证。本研究中使用的数据包括7551名2004年1月1日后就诊的患者,他们的诊断代码表明患有糖尿病。特别是,使用了2012年9月3日至2016年1月29日期间记录在电子医疗记录中的数据。主要结果是患者的TD,它被定义为错过了预定的临床预约,并且在患者就诊之间平均天数的3倍内和60天内没有去医院就诊。TD风险评分是通过使用机器学习排名模型得出的参数来计算的。除了校准图外,还通过使用测试数据评估预测能力,该测试数据具有用于对患者进行排名的C指数、受试者操作特征曲线下的面积和用于区分的精度-召回曲线下的区域。TD风险评分的C指数平均值(95%置信限)、受试者操作特征曲线下面积和精确回忆曲线下面积分别为0.749(0.655,0.823)、0.758(0.649,0.857)和0.713(0.554,0.841)。观测和预测的概率与校准图相关。通过将机器学习方法与电子医疗记录相结合,为糖尿病患者开发了TD风险评分。得分计算可以集成到医疗记录中,以识别TD高危患者,这将有助于支持糖尿病护理和预防TD。
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引用次数: 0
A Bioinformatics Tool for Predicting Future COVID-19 Waves Based on a Retrospective Analysis of the Second Wave in India: Model Development Study. 基于对印度第二波COVID-19疫情的回顾性分析,用于预测未来COVID-19疫情的生物信息学工具:模型开发研究。
Pub Date : 2022-09-22 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2196/36860
Ashutosh Kumar, Adil Asghar, Prakhar Dwivedi, Gopichand Kumar, Ravi K Narayan, Rakesh K Jha, Rakesh Parashar, Chetan Sahni, Sada N Pandey

Background: Since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, health policymakers globally have been attempting to predict an impending wave of COVID-19. India experienced a devastating second wave of COVID-19 in the late first week of May 2021. We retrospectively analyzed the viral genomic sequences and epidemiological data reflecting the emergence and spread of the second wave of COVID-19 in India to construct a prediction model.

Objective: We aimed to develop a bioinformatics tool that can predict an impending COVID-19 wave.

Methods: We analyzed the time series distribution of genomic sequence data for SARS-CoV-2 and correlated it with epidemiological data for new cases and deaths for the corresponding period of the second wave. In addition, we analyzed the phylodynamics of circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants in the Indian population during the study period.

Results: Our prediction analysis showed that the first signs of the arrival of the second wave could be seen by the end of January 2021, about 2 months before its peak in May 2021. By the end of March 2021, it was distinct. B.1.617 lineage variants powered the wave, most notably B.1.617.2 (Delta variant).

Conclusions: Based on the observations of this study, we propose that genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 variants, complemented with epidemiological data, can be a promising tool to predict impending COVID-19 waves.

背景:自 COVID-19 大流行开始以来,全球卫生决策者一直试图预测即将到来的 COVID-19 浪潮。2021 年 5 月下旬的第一周,印度经历了 COVID-19 的第二波毁灭性疫情。我们回顾性地分析了反映印度第二波 COVID-19 出现和传播的病毒基因组序列和流行病学数据,以构建一个预测模型:我们旨在开发一种生物信息学工具,用于预测即将出现的 COVID-19 病毒潮:我们分析了 SARS-CoV-2 基因组序列数据的时间序列分布,并将其与第二波相应时期的新发病例和死亡病例的流行病学数据进行了关联。此外,我们还分析了研究期间印度人群中流行的 SARS-CoV-2 变种的系统动力学:我们的预测分析表明,2021 年 1 月底,即 2021 年 5 月达到高峰前约 2 个月,可以看到第二波疫情来临的最初迹象。到 2021 年 3 月底,第二波已非常明显。B.1.617系变体为这一浪潮提供了动力,其中最显著的是B.1.617.2(Delta变体):根据本研究的观察结果,我们建议对 SARS-CoV-2 变异株进行基因组监测,并辅以流行病学数据,这将是预测即将到来的 COVID-19 病毒潮的有效工具。
{"title":"A Bioinformatics Tool for Predicting Future COVID-19 Waves Based on a Retrospective Analysis of the Second Wave in India: Model Development Study.","authors":"Ashutosh Kumar, Adil Asghar, Prakhar Dwivedi, Gopichand Kumar, Ravi K Narayan, Rakesh K Jha, Rakesh Parashar, Chetan Sahni, Sada N Pandey","doi":"10.2196/36860","DOIUrl":"10.2196/36860","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, health policymakers globally have been attempting to predict an impending wave of COVID-19. India experienced a devastating second wave of COVID-19 in the late first week of May 2021. We retrospectively analyzed the viral genomic sequences and epidemiological data reflecting the emergence and spread of the second wave of COVID-19 in India to construct a prediction model.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>We aimed to develop a bioinformatics tool that can predict an impending COVID-19 wave.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed the time series distribution of genomic sequence data for SARS-CoV-2 and correlated it with epidemiological data for new cases and deaths for the corresponding period of the second wave. In addition, we analyzed the phylodynamics of circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants in the Indian population during the study period.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Our prediction analysis showed that the first signs of the arrival of the second wave could be seen by the end of January 2021, about 2 months before its peak in May 2021. By the end of March 2021, it was distinct. B.1.617 lineage variants powered the wave, most notably B.1.617.2 (Delta variant).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Based on the observations of this study, we propose that genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 variants, complemented with epidemiological data, can be a promising tool to predict impending COVID-19 waves.</p>","PeriodicalId":73552,"journal":{"name":"JMIR bioinformatics and biotechnology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9516867/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"33486448","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Diagnosis of a Single-Nucleotide Variant in Whole-Exome Sequencing Data for Patients With Inherited Diseases: Machine Learning Study Using Artificial Intelligence Variant Prioritization. 遗传性疾病患者全外显子组测序数据中单核苷酸变异的诊断:使用AI变异优先排序(预印本)
Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.2196/37701
Yu-Shan Huang, Ching Hsu, Yu-Chang Chune, I-Cheng Liao, Hsin Wang, Yi-Lin Lin, Wuh-Liang Hwu, Ni-Chung Lee, Feipei Lai

Background: In recent years, thanks to the rapid development of next-generation sequencing (NGS) technology, an entire human genome can be sequenced in a short period. As a result, NGS technology is now being widely introduced into clinical diagnosis practice, especially for diagnosis of hereditary disorders. Although the exome data of single-nucleotide variant (SNV) can be generated using these approaches, processing the DNA sequence data of a patient requires multiple tools and complex bioinformatics pipelines.

Objective: This study aims to assist physicians to automatically interpret the genetic variation information generated by NGS in a short period. To determine the true causal variants of a patient with genetic disease, currently, physicians often need to view numerous features on every variant manually and search for literature in different databases to understand the effect of genetic variation.

Methods: We constructed a machine learning model for predicting disease-causing variants in exome data. We collected sequencing data from whole-exome sequencing (WES) and gene panel as training set, and then integrated variant annotations from multiple genetic databases for model training. The model built ranked SNVs and output the most possible disease-causing candidates. For model testing, we collected WES data from 108 patients with rare genetic disorders in National Taiwan University Hospital. We applied sequencing data and phenotypic information automatically extracted by a keyword extraction tool from patient's electronic medical records into our machine learning model.

Results: We succeeded in locating 92.5% (124/134) of the causative variant in the top 10 ranking list among an average of 741 candidate variants per person after filtering. AI Variant Prioritizer was able to assign the target gene to the top rank for around 61.1% (66/108) of the patients, followed by Variant Prioritizer, which assigned it for 44.4% (48/108) of the patients. The cumulative rank result revealed that our AI Variant Prioritizer has the highest accuracy at ranks 1, 5, 10, and 20. It also shows that AI Variant Prioritizer presents better performance than other tools. After adopting the Human Phenotype Ontology (HPO) terms by looking up the databases, the top 10 ranking list can be increased to 93.5% (101/108).

Conclusions: We successfully applied sequencing data from WES and free-text phenotypic information of patient's disease automatically extracted by the keyword extraction tool for model training and testing. By interpreting our model, we identified which features of variants are important. Besides, we achieved a satisfactory result on finding the target variant in our testing data set. After adopting the HPO terms by looking up the databases, the top 10 ranking list can be increased to 93.5% (101/108). The performance of the model is similar to that

背景:近年来,由于新一代测序(NGS)技术的快速发展,整个人类基因组可以在短时间内完成测序。因此,NGS 技术正被广泛引入临床诊断实践,尤其是遗传性疾病的诊断。虽然单核苷酸变异(SNV)的外显子组数据可以通过这些方法生成,但处理患者的 DNA 序列数据需要多种工具和复杂的生物信息学管道:本研究旨在帮助医生在短时间内自动解读由 NGS 生成的遗传变异信息。目前,为了确定遗传病患者的真正病因变异,医生往往需要手动查看每个变异的众多特征,并在不同的数据库中搜索文献,以了解遗传变异的影响:我们构建了一个机器学习模型,用于预测外显子组数据中的致病变异。我们收集了来自全外显子组测序(WES)和基因面板的测序数据作为训练集,然后整合了来自多个遗传数据库的变异注释进行模型训练。建立的模型对 SNV 进行排序,并输出最可能的致病候选者。为了测试模型,我们收集了台大医院 108 位罕见遗传疾病患者的 WES 数据。我们将测序数据和通过关键字提取工具从患者电子病历中自动提取的表型信息应用到机器学习模型中:结果:在平均每人 741 个候选变异体中,我们成功找到了 92.5%(124/134)的致病变异体。人工智能变异体排序器能将约61.1%(66/108)的患者的目标基因排在前列,其次是变异体排序器,将44.4%(48/108)的患者的目标基因排在前列。累积排名结果显示,人工智能变体优先器在排名 1、5、10 和 20 时的准确率最高。这也表明,人工智能变体优先器比其他工具具有更好的性能。在通过查询数据库采用人类表型本体(HPO)术语后,前10名的排序率可提高到93.5%(101/108):我们成功地将 WES 的测序数据和关键词提取工具自动提取的患者疾病自由文本表型信息用于模型训练和测试。通过解释我们的模型,我们确定了哪些变异特征是重要的。此外,我们还在测试数据集中找到了目标变体,并取得了令人满意的结果。在通过查找数据库采用 HPO 术语后,排名前 10 的列表可增加到 93.5%(101/108)。该模型的性能与人工分析相似,并已用于帮助台湾大学医院进行基因诊断。
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引用次数: 0
Reducing Crowding in Emergency Departments With Early Prediction of Hospital Admission of Adult Patients Using Biomarkers Collected at Triage: Retrospective Cohort Study. 利用分诊时收集的生物标志物早期预测成年急诊科患者入院:减少美国急诊科拥挤的模型开发(预印本)
Pub Date : 2022-09-13 DOI: 10.2196/38845
Ann Corneille Monahan, Sue S Feldman, Tony P Fitzgerald

Background: Emergency department crowding continues to threaten patient safety and cause poor patient outcomes. Prior models designed to predict hospital admission have had biases. Predictive models that successfully estimate the probability of patient hospital admission would be useful in reducing or preventing emergency department "boarding" and hospital "exit block" and would reduce emergency department crowding by initiating earlier hospital admission and avoiding protracted bed procurement processes.

Objective: To develop a model to predict imminent adult patient hospital admission from the emergency department early in the patient visit by utilizing existing clinical descriptors (ie, patient biomarkers) that are routinely collected at triage and captured in the hospital's electronic medical records. Biomarkers are advantageous for modeling due to their early and routine collection at triage; instantaneous availability; standardized definition, measurement, and interpretation; and their freedom from the confines of patient histories (ie, they are not affected by inaccurate patient reports on medical history, unavailable reports, or delayed report retrieval).

Methods: This retrospective cohort study evaluated 1 year of consecutive data events among adult patients admitted to the emergency department and developed an algorithm that predicted which patients would require imminent hospital admission. Eight predictor variables were evaluated for their roles in the outcome of the patient emergency department visit. Logistic regression was used to model the study data.

Results: The 8-predictor model included the following biomarkers: age, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, heart rate, respiration rate, temperature, gender, and acuity level. The model used these biomarkers to identify emergency department patients who required hospital admission. Our model performed well, with good agreement between observed and predicted admissions, indicating a well-fitting and well-calibrated model that showed good ability to discriminate between patients who would and would not be admitted.

Conclusions: This prediction model based on primary data identified emergency department patients with an increased risk of hospital admission. This actionable information can be used to improve patient care and hospital operations, especially by reducing emergency department crowding by looking ahead to predict which patients are likely to be admitted following triage, thereby providing needed information to initiate the complex admission and bed assignment processes much earlier in the care continuum.

背景:急诊科的拥挤状况继续威胁着患者的安全,并导致不良的患者预后。先前设计的入院预测模型存在偏差。成功估算出患者入院概率的预测模型将有助于减少或防止急诊科 "住院 "和医院 "出院阻塞",并通过提前入院和避免漫长的床位采购过程来减少急诊科拥挤现象:目的:利用现有的临床描述指标(即患者生物标志物),开发一种模型,预测急诊科成人患者在就诊初期即将入院的情况,这些临床描述指标在分诊时已常规收集并记录在医院的电子病历中。生物标志物在建模方面具有以下优势:分诊时的早期常规收集;即时可用性;标准化定义、测量和解释;不受患者病史的限制(即不受患者病史报告不准确、报告不可用或报告检索延迟的影响):这项回顾性队列研究评估了急诊科收治的成年患者一年来的连续数据事件,并开发了一种算法来预测哪些患者需要立即入院治疗。研究评估了八个预测变量在急诊科患者就诊结果中的作用。研究数据采用了逻辑回归模型:8 个预测模型包括以下生物标志物:年龄、收缩压、舒张压、心率、呼吸频率、体温、性别和严重程度。该模型利用这些生物标志物来识别需要入院的急诊科患者。我们的模型表现良好,观察到的入院人数与预测的入院人数之间有很好的一致性,这表明我们的模型拟合良好、校准准确,能够很好地区分需要入院和不需要入院的患者:结论:这一基于原始数据的预测模型可识别出入院风险较高的急诊科患者。这种可操作的信息可用于改善患者护理和医院运营,尤其是通过提前预测哪些患者可能在分诊后入院,从而减少急诊科的拥挤情况,从而为在护理过程中更早地启动复杂的入院和床位分配流程提供所需的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Seasonality of Hashimoto Thyroiditis: Infodemiology Study of Google Trends Data. 桥本甲状腺炎的季节性:谷歌趋势数据的信息学研究
Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.2196/38976
Robert Marcec, Josip Stjepanovic, Robert Likic

Background: Hashimoto thyroiditis (HT) is an autoimmune thyroid disease and the leading cause of hypothyroidism in areas with sufficient iodine intake. The quality-of-life impact and financial burden of hypothyroidism and HT highlight the need for additional research investigating the disease etiology with the aim of revealing potential modifiable risk factors.

Objective: Implementation of measures against such risk factors, once identified, has the potential to lessen the financial burden while also improving the quality of life of many individuals. Therefore, we aimed to examine the potential seasonality of HT in Europe using the Google Trends data to explore whether there is a seasonal characteristic of Google searches regarding HT, examine the potential impact of the countries' geographic location on the potential seasonality, and identify potential modifiable risk factors for HT, thereby inspiring future research on the topic.

Methods: Monthly Google Trends data on the search topic "Hashimoto thyroiditis" were retrieved in a 17-year time frame from January 2004 to December 2020 for 36 European countries. A cosinor model analysis was conducted to evaluate potential seasonality. Simple linear regression was used to estimate the potential effect of latitude and longitude on seasonal amplitude and phase of the model outputs.

Results: Of 36 included European countries, significant seasonality was observed in 30 (83%) countries. Most phase peaks occurred in spring (14/30, 46.7%) and winter (8/30, 26.7%). A statistically significant effect was observed regarding the effect of geographical latitude on cosinor model amplitude (y = -3.23 + 0.13 x; R2=0.29; P=.002). Seasonal increases in HT search volume may therefore be a consequence of an increased incidence or higher disease activity. It is particularly interesting that in most countries, a seasonal peak occurred in spring and winter months; when viewed in the context of the statistically significant impact of geographical latitude on seasonality amplitude, this may indicate the potential role of vitamin D levels in the seasonality of HT.

Conclusions: Significant seasonality of HT Google Trends search volume was observed in our study, with seasonal peaks in most countries occurring in spring and winter and with a significant impact of latitude on seasonality amplitude. Further studies on the topic of seasonality in HT and factors impacting it are required.

桥本甲状腺炎(HT)是一种自身免疫性甲状腺疾病,是碘摄入充足地区甲状腺功能减退的主要原因。甲状腺功能减退和HT对生活质量的影响和经济负担突出表明,需要对疾病病因进行进一步研究,以揭示潜在的可改变风险因素。一旦发现针对这些风险因素的措施,就有可能减轻经济负担,同时提高许多人的生活质量。因此,我们旨在使用谷歌趋势数据来研究欧洲HT的潜在季节性,以探索谷歌搜索是否存在HT的季节性特征,研究各国地理位置对潜在季节性的潜在影响,并确定HT的潜在可修改风险因素,从而启发未来对该主题的研究。在2004年1月至2020年12月的17年时间框架内,检索了36个欧洲国家关于搜索主题“桥本甲状腺炎”的谷歌月度趋势数据。进行了余弦模型分析以评估潜在的季节性。使用简单线性回归来估计纬度和经度对模型输出的季节振幅和相位的潜在影响。在36个被纳入的欧洲国家中,有30个(83%)国家观察到显著的季节性。大多数相位峰值出现在春季(14/30,46.7%)和冬季(8/30,26.7%)。地理纬度对余弦模型振幅的影响具有统计学意义(y=–3.23+0.13 x;R2=0.29;P=0.002)。因此,HT搜索量的季节性增加可能是发病率增加或疾病活动增加的结果。特别有趣的是,在大多数国家,季节性高峰出现在春季和冬季;从地理纬度对季节性振幅的统计显著影响来看,这可能表明维生素D水平在HT季节性中的潜在作用。在我们的研究中观察到HT谷歌趋势搜索量的显著季节性,大多数国家的季节性峰值出现在春季和冬季,纬度对季节性振幅有显著影响。需要进一步研究耐高温的季节性及其影响因素。
{"title":"Seasonality of Hashimoto Thyroiditis: Infodemiology Study of Google Trends Data.","authors":"Robert Marcec, Josip Stjepanovic, Robert Likic","doi":"10.2196/38976","DOIUrl":"10.2196/38976","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Hashimoto thyroiditis (HT) is an autoimmune thyroid disease and the leading cause of hypothyroidism in areas with sufficient iodine intake. The quality-of-life impact and financial burden of hypothyroidism and HT highlight the need for additional research investigating the disease etiology with the aim of revealing potential modifiable risk factors.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>Implementation of measures against such risk factors, once identified, has the potential to lessen the financial burden while also improving the quality of life of many individuals. Therefore, we aimed to examine the potential seasonality of HT in Europe using the Google Trends data to explore whether there is a seasonal characteristic of Google searches regarding HT, examine the potential impact of the countries' geographic location on the potential seasonality, and identify potential modifiable risk factors for HT, thereby inspiring future research on the topic.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Monthly Google Trends data on the search topic \"Hashimoto thyroiditis\" were retrieved in a 17-year time frame from January 2004 to December 2020 for 36 European countries. A cosinor model analysis was conducted to evaluate potential seasonality. Simple linear regression was used to estimate the potential effect of latitude and longitude on seasonal amplitude and phase of the model outputs.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 36 included European countries, significant seasonality was observed in 30 (83%) countries. Most phase peaks occurred in spring (14/30, 46.7%) and winter (8/30, 26.7%). A statistically significant effect was observed regarding the effect of geographical latitude on cosinor model amplitude (y = -3.23 + 0.13 x; R<sup>2</sup>=0.29; P=.002). Seasonal increases in HT search volume may therefore be a consequence of an increased incidence or higher disease activity. It is particularly interesting that in most countries, a seasonal peak occurred in spring and winter months; when viewed in the context of the statistically significant impact of geographical latitude on seasonality amplitude, this may indicate the potential role of vitamin D levels in the seasonality of HT.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Significant seasonality of HT Google Trends search volume was observed in our study, with seasonal peaks in most countries occurring in spring and winter and with a significant impact of latitude on seasonality amplitude. Further studies on the topic of seasonality in HT and factors impacting it are required.</p>","PeriodicalId":73552,"journal":{"name":"JMIR bioinformatics and biotechnology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11135219/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49510453","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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JMIR bioinformatics and biotechnology
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