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Using COVID-19 Vaccine Attitudes on Twitter to Improve Vaccine Uptake Forecast Models in the United States: Infodemiology Study of Tweets. 在推特上使用COVID-19疫苗态度来改进美国的疫苗摄取预测模型:推特的信息流行病学研究
Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-08-21 DOI: 10.2196/43703
Nekabari Sigalo, Naman Awasthi, Saad Mohammad, Vanessa Frias-Martinez

Background: Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, there has been a global effort to develop vaccines that protect against COVID-19. Individuals who are fully vaccinated are far less likely to contract and therefore transmit the virus to others. Researchers have found that the internet and social media both play a role in shaping personal choices about vaccinations.

Objective: This study aims to determine whether supplementing COVID-19 vaccine uptake forecast models with the attitudes found in tweets improves over baseline models that only use historical vaccination data.

Methods: Daily COVID-19 vaccination data at the county level was collected for the January 2021 to May 2021 study period. Twitter's streaming application programming interface was used to collect COVID-19 vaccine tweets during this same period. Several autoregressive integrated moving average models were executed to predict the vaccine uptake rate using only historical data (baseline autoregressive integrated moving average) and individual Twitter-derived features (autoregressive integrated moving average exogenous variable model).

Results: In this study, we found that supplementing baseline forecast models with both historical vaccination data and COVID-19 vaccine attitudes found in tweets reduced root mean square error by as much as 83%.

Conclusions: Developing a predictive tool for vaccination uptake in the United States will empower public health researchers and decisionmakers to design targeted vaccination campaigns in hopes of achieving the vaccination threshold required for the United States to reach widespread population protection.

背景:自2019冠状病毒病大流行开始以来,全球一直在努力开发预防COVID-19的疫苗。完全接种疫苗的人感染病毒并将病毒传播给他人的可能性要小得多。研究人员发现,互联网和社交媒体都在影响个人对疫苗接种的选择方面发挥了作用。目的:本研究旨在确定在推特中发现的态度补充COVID-19疫苗摄取预测模型是否优于仅使用历史疫苗接种数据的基线模型。方法:在2021年1月至2021年5月的研究期间,收集县级每日COVID-19疫苗接种数据。在同一时期,Twitter的流媒体应用程序编程接口用于收集COVID-19疫苗推文。几个自回归综合移动平均模型仅使用历史数据(基线自回归综合移动平均)和单个twitter衍生特征(自回归综合移动平均外生变量模型)来预测疫苗接种率。结果:在这项研究中,我们发现,将历史疫苗接种数据和推文中发现的COVID-19疫苗态度补充基线预测模型,可将均方根误差降低多达83%。结论:开发美国疫苗接种的预测工具将使公共卫生研究人员和决策者能够设计有针对性的疫苗接种活动,以期达到美国实现广泛人口保护所需的疫苗接种门槛。
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引用次数: 1
Using Machine Learning Technology (Early Artificial Intelligence-Supported Response With Social Listening Platform) to Enhance Digital Social Understanding for the COVID-19 Infodemic: Development and Implementation Study. 利用机器学习技术(早期人工智能支持的响应与社交倾听平台)加强对COVID-19信息大流行的数字社会理解:开发与实施研究。
Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-08-21 DOI: 10.2196/47317
Becky K White, Arnault Gombert, Tim Nguyen, Brian Yau, Atsuyoshi Ishizumi, Laura Kirchner, Alicia León, Harry Wilson, Giovanna Jaramillo-Gutierrez, Jesus Cerquides, Marcelo D'Agostino, Cristiana Salvi, Ravi Shankar Sreenath, Kimberly Rambaud, Dalia Samhouri, Sylvie Briand, Tina D Purnat
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, there has been a need for rapid social understanding to inform infodemic management and response. Although social media analysis platforms have traditionally been designed for commercial brands for marketing and sales purposes, they have been underused and adapted for a comprehensive understanding of social dynamics in areas such as public health. Traditional systems have challenges for public health use, and new tools and innovative methods are required. The World Health Organization Early Artificial Intelligence-Supported Response with Social Listening (EARS) platform was developed to overcome some of these challenges.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This paper describes the development of the EARS platform, including data sourcing, development, and validation of a machine learning categorization approach, as well as the results from the pilot study.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data for EARS are collected daily from web-based conversations in publicly available sources in 9 languages. Public health and social media experts developed a taxonomy to categorize COVID-19 narratives into 5 relevant main categories and 41 subcategories. We developed a semisupervised machine learning algorithm to categorize social media posts into categories and various filters. To validate the results obtained by the machine learning-based approach, we compared it to a search-filter approach, applying Boolean queries with the same amount of information and measured the recall and precision. Hotelling T<sup>2</sup> was used to determine the effect of the classification method on the combined variables.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The EARS platform was developed, validated, and applied to characterize conversations regarding COVID-19 since December 2020. A total of 215,469,045 social posts were collected for processing from December 2020 to February 2022. The machine learning algorithm outperformed the Boolean search filters method for precision and recall in both English and Spanish languages (P<.001). Demographic and other filters provided useful insights on data, and the gender split of users in the platform was largely consistent with population-level data on social media use.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The EARS platform was developed to address the changing needs of public health analysts during the COVID-19 pandemic. The application of public health taxonomy and artificial intelligence technology to a user-friendly social listening platform, accessible directly by analysts, is a significant step in better enabling understanding of global narratives. The platform was designed for scalability; iterations and new countries and languages have been added. This research has shown that a machine learning approach is more accurate than using only keywords and has the benefit of categorizing and understanding large amounts of digital social data during an infodemic. Further technical development
背景:在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,需要快速的社会理解,为信息管理和应对提供信息。虽然社交媒体分析平台传统上是为商业品牌设计的,用于营销和销售目的,但它们没有得到充分利用,也没有被用于全面了解公共卫生等领域的社会动态。传统系统在公共卫生使用方面面临挑战,需要新的工具和创新方法。世界卫生组织开发了早期人工智能支持的社会倾听响应(EARS)平台,以克服其中的一些挑战。目的:本文描述了ear平台的开发,包括数据来源、开发和机器学习分类方法的验证,以及试点研究的结果。方法:ear的数据每天从公开来源的9种语言的网络对话中收集。公共卫生和社交媒体专家制定了一种分类法,将COVID-19的叙述分为5个相关的主要类别和41个小类别。我们开发了一种半监督机器学习算法,将社交媒体帖子分为类别和各种过滤器。为了验证基于机器学习的方法获得的结果,我们将其与搜索过滤器方法进行了比较,应用具有相同信息量的布尔查询,并测量了召回率和精度。采用Hotelling T2来确定分类方法对组合变量的影响。结果:自2020年12月以来,开发、验证并应用了EARS平台来描述有关COVID-19的对话。从2020年12月到2022年2月,共收集了215,469,045条社交帖子进行处理。机器学习算法在英语和西班牙语的准确率和召回率方面都优于布尔搜索过滤器方法(结论:开发EARS平台是为了满足COVID-19大流行期间公共卫生分析人员不断变化的需求。将公共卫生分类法和人工智能技术应用于一个便于分析人员直接访问的用户友好的社会倾听平台,是在更好地理解全球叙述方面迈出的重要一步。该平台的设计考虑了可扩展性;已经添加了迭代和新的国家和语言。这项研究表明,机器学习方法比仅使用关键字更准确,并且在信息大流行期间对大量数字社会数据进行分类和理解的好处。需要进一步发展技术,并计划进行持续改进,以应对从社交媒体为信息管理人员和公共卫生专业人员生成信息见解方面的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
News Coverage of Face Masks in Australia During the Early COVID-19 Pandemic: Topic Modeling Study. COVID-19大流行早期澳大利亚口罩的新闻报道:主题建模研究
Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-08-16 DOI: 10.2196/43011
Pritam Dasgupta, Janaki Amin, Cecile Paris, C Raina MacIntyre

Background: During the COVID-19 pandemic, web-based media coverage of preventative strategies proliferated substantially. News media was constantly informing people about changes in public health policy and practices such as mask-wearing. Hence, exploring news media content on face mask use is useful to analyze dominant topics and their trends.

Objective: The aim of the study was to examine news related to face masks as well as to identify related topics and temporal trends in Australian web-based news media during the early COVID-19 pandemic period.

Methods: Following data collection from the Google News platform, a trend analysis on the mask-related news titles from Australian news publishers was conducted. Then, a latent Dirichlet allocation topic modeling algorithm was applied along with evaluation matrices (quantitative and qualitative measures). Afterward, topic trends were developed and analyzed in the context of mask use during the pandemic.

Results: A total of 2345 face mask-related eligible news titles were collected from January 25, 2020, to January 25, 2021. Mask-related news showed an increasing trend corresponding to increasing COVID-19 cases in Australia. The best-fitted latent Dirichlet allocation model discovered 8 different topics with a coherence score of 0.66 and a perplexity measure of -11.29. The major topics were T1 (mask-related international affairs), T2 (introducing mask mandate in places such as Melbourne and Sydney), and T4 (antimask sentiment). Topic trends revealed that T2 was the most frequent topic in January 2021 (77 news titles), corresponding to the mandatory mask-wearing policy in Sydney.

Conclusions: This study demonstrated that Australian news media reflected a wide range of community concerns about face masks, peaking as COVID-19 incidence increased. Harnessing the news media platforms for understanding the media agenda and community concerns may assist in effective health communication during a pandemic response.

背景:在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,网络媒体对预防战略的报道大幅增加。新闻媒体不断向人们通报公共卫生政策和做法的变化,例如戴口罩。因此,探索关于口罩使用的新闻媒体内容有助于分析主导话题及其趋势。目的:本研究的目的是研究与口罩相关的新闻,并确定在COVID-19大流行早期澳大利亚网络新闻媒体的相关主题和时间趋势。方法:在Google News平台收集数据的基础上,对澳大利亚新闻出版商的口罩相关新闻标题进行趋势分析。然后,应用潜在Dirichlet分配主题建模算法以及评价矩阵(定量和定性度量)。随后,在大流行期间口罩使用的背景下制定和分析了主题趋势。结果:2020年1月25日至2021年1月25日,共收集到符合条件的口罩相关新闻标题2345篇。与澳大利亚新冠肺炎病例增加相对应,口罩相关新闻呈增加趋势。拟合最优的潜在Dirichlet分配模型发现了8个不同的主题,一致性得分为0.66,困惑度测度为-11.29。主要议题是T1(与口罩相关的国际事务)、T2(在墨尔本和悉尼等地引入口罩)、T4(反口罩情绪)。话题趋势显示,T2是2021年1月最常见的话题(77个新闻标题),与悉尼的强制戴口罩政策相对应。结论:本研究表明,澳大利亚新闻媒体反映了社区对口罩的广泛关注,随着COVID-19发病率的增加,这种关注达到顶峰。利用新闻媒体平台了解媒体议程和社区关注的问题,可有助于在大流行应对期间进行有效的卫生传播。
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引用次数: 0
YouTube Videos on Nutrition and Dental Caries: Content Analysis. YouTube上关于营养和龋齿的视频:内容分析。
Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-08-10 DOI: 10.2196/40003
Memphis Long, Laura E Forbes, Petros Papagerakis, Jessica R L Lieffers

Background: Dental caries is the most common health condition worldwide, and nutrition and dental caries have a strong interconnected relationship. Foods and eating behaviors can be both harmful (eg, sugar) and healthful (eg, meal spacing) for dental caries. YouTube is a popular source for the public to access information. To date, there is no information available on the nutrition and dental caries content of easily accessible YouTube videos.

Objective: This study aimed to analyze the content of YouTube videos on nutrition and dental caries.

Methods: In total, 6 YouTube searches were conducted using keywords related to nutrition and dental caries. The first 20 videos were selected from each search. Video content was scored (17 possible points; higher scores were associated with more topics covered) by 2 individuals based on the inclusion of information regarding various foods and eating behaviors that impact dental caries risk. For each video, information on video characteristics (ie, view count, length, number of likes, number of dislikes, and video age) was captured. Videos were divided into 2 groups by view rate (views/day); differences in scores and types of nutrition messages between groups were determined using nonparametric statistics.

Results: In total, 42 videos were included. Most videos were posted by or featured oral health professionals (24/42, 57%). The mean score was 4.9 (SD 3.4) out of 17 points. Videos with >30 views/day (high view rate; 20/42, 48% videos) had a trend toward a lower score (mean 4.0, SD 3.7) than videos with ≤30 views/day (low view rate; 22/42, 52%; mean 5.8, SD 3.0; P=.06), but this result was not statistically significant. Sugar was the most consistently mentioned topic in the videos (31/42, 74%). No other topics were mentioned in more than 50% of videos. Low-view rate videos were more likely to mention messaging on acidic foods and beverages (P=.04), water (P=.09), and frequency of sugar intake (P=.047) than high-view rate videos.

Conclusions: Overall, the analyzed videos had low scores for nutritional and dental caries content. This study provides insights into the messaging available on nutrition and dental caries for the public and guidance on how to make improvements in this area.

背景:龋齿是世界范围内最常见的健康状况,营养与龋齿有着密切的相互关系。食物和饮食习惯对蛀牙既有害(如糖)又有益(如吃饭间隔)。YouTube是公众获取信息的热门来源。到目前为止,还没有关于营养和龋齿内容的信息,这些内容很容易在YouTube视频中找到。目的:本研究旨在分析YouTube上有关营养与龋齿的视频内容。方法:使用营养与龋病相关关键词进行6次YouTube搜索。从每次搜索中选出前20个视频。视频内容评分(17分;得分越高的人涉及的话题越多(基于对影响龋齿风险的各种食物和饮食行为的信息的包含)。对于每个视频,视频特征信息(即观看次数,长度,喜欢的数量,不喜欢的数量和视频年龄)被捕获。视频按观看次数(每日观看次数)分为两组;使用非参数统计确定各组之间营养信息的得分和类型的差异。结果:共纳入42个视频。大多数视频由口腔卫生专业人员发布或特写(24/42,57%)。平均得分为4.9 (SD 3.4),满分为17分。每天观看次数大于30次的视频(高观看率;20/42, 48%的视频)的得分(平均4.0,SD 3.7)低于≤30次/天的视频(低观看率;22/42, 52%;平均值5.8,SD 3.0;P=.06),但该结果无统计学意义。糖是视频中最常提到的话题(31/ 42,74%)。超过50%的视频中没有提到其他话题。与高观看率视频相比,低观看率视频更有可能提到关于酸性食品和饮料(P= 0.04)、水(P= 0.09)和糖摄入频率(P= 0.047)的信息。结论:总体而言,分析的视频在营养和龋齿内容方面得分较低。这项研究为公众提供了关于营养和龋齿的信息,并为如何在这一领域做出改进提供了指导。
{"title":"YouTube Videos on Nutrition and Dental Caries: Content Analysis.","authors":"Memphis Long,&nbsp;Laura E Forbes,&nbsp;Petros Papagerakis,&nbsp;Jessica R L Lieffers","doi":"10.2196/40003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/40003","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Dental caries is the most common health condition worldwide, and nutrition and dental caries have a strong interconnected relationship. Foods and eating behaviors can be both harmful (eg, sugar) and healthful (eg, meal spacing) for dental caries. YouTube is a popular source for the public to access information. To date, there is no information available on the nutrition and dental caries content of easily accessible YouTube videos.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This study aimed to analyze the content of YouTube videos on nutrition and dental caries.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In total, 6 YouTube searches were conducted using keywords related to nutrition and dental caries. The first 20 videos were selected from each search. Video content was scored (17 possible points; higher scores were associated with more topics covered) by 2 individuals based on the inclusion of information regarding various foods and eating behaviors that impact dental caries risk. For each video, information on video characteristics (ie, view count, length, number of likes, number of dislikes, and video age) was captured. Videos were divided into 2 groups by view rate (views/day); differences in scores and types of nutrition messages between groups were determined using nonparametric statistics.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In total, 42 videos were included. Most videos were posted by or featured oral health professionals (24/42, 57%). The mean score was 4.9 (SD 3.4) out of 17 points. Videos with >30 views/day (high view rate; 20/42, 48% videos) had a trend toward a lower score (mean 4.0, SD 3.7) than videos with ≤30 views/day (low view rate; 22/42, 52%; mean 5.8, SD 3.0; P=.06), but this result was not statistically significant. Sugar was the most consistently mentioned topic in the videos (31/42, 74%). No other topics were mentioned in more than 50% of videos. Low-view rate videos were more likely to mention messaging on acidic foods and beverages (P=.04), water (P=.09), and frequency of sugar intake (P=.047) than high-view rate videos.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Overall, the analyzed videos had low scores for nutritional and dental caries content. This study provides insights into the messaging available on nutrition and dental caries for the public and guidance on how to make improvements in this area.</p>","PeriodicalId":73554,"journal":{"name":"JMIR infodemiology","volume":"3 ","pages":"e40003"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10450531/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10134370","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Public Officials' Engagement on Social Media During the Rollout of the COVID-19 Vaccine: Content Analysis of Tweets. COVID-19疫苗推出期间公职人员在社交媒体上的参与:推文的内容分析。
Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-07-20 DOI: 10.2196/41582
Husayn Marani, Melodie Yunju Song, Margaret Jamieson, Monika Roerig, Sara Allin
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Social media is an important way for governments to communicate with the public. This is particularly true in times of crisis, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, during which government officials played a strong role in promoting public health measures such as vaccines.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>In Canada, provincial COVID-19 vaccine rollout was delivered in 3 phases aligned with federal government COVID-19 vaccine guidance for priority populations. In this study, we examined how Canadian public officials used Twitter to engage with the public about vaccine rollout and how this engagement has shaped public response to vaccines across jurisdictions.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted a content analysis of tweets posted between December 28, 2020, and August 31, 2021. Leveraging the social media artificial intelligence tool Brandwatch Analytics, we constructed a list of public officials in 3 jurisdictions (Ontario, Alberta, and British Columbia) organized across 6 public official types and then conducted an English and French keyword search for tweets about vaccine rollout and delivery that mentioned, retweeted, or replied to the public officials. We identified the top 30 tweets with the highest impressions in each jurisdiction in each of the 3 phases (approximately a 26-day window) of the vaccine rollout. The metrics of engagement (impressions, retweets, likes, and replies) from the top 30 tweets per phase in each jurisdiction were extracted for additional annotation. We specifically annotated sentiment toward public officials' vaccine responses (ie, positive, negative, and neutral) in each tweet and annotated the type of social media engagement. A thematic analysis of tweets was then conducted to add nuance to extracted data characterizing sentiment and interaction type.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among the 6 categories of public officials, 142 prominent accounts were included from Ontario, Alberta, and British Columbia. In total, 270 tweets were included in the content analysis and 212 tweets were direct tweets by public officials. Public officials mostly used Twitter for information provision (139/212, 65.6%), followed by horizontal engagement (37/212, 17.5%), citizen engagement (24/212, 11.3%), and public service announcements (12/212, 5.7%). Information provision by government bodies (eg, provincial government and public health authorities) or municipal leaders is more prominent than tweets by other public official groups. Neutral sentiment accounted for 51.5% (139/270) of all the tweets, whereas positive sentiment was the second most common sentiment (117/270, 43.3%). In Ontario, 60% (54/90) of the tweets were positive. Negative sentiment (eg, public officials criticizing vaccine rollout) accounted for 12% (11/90) of all the tweets.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>As governments continue to promote the uptake of the COVID-19 booster doses, findings from this study are useful in informing
背景:社交媒体是政府与公众沟通的重要方式。在2019冠状病毒病大流行等危机时期尤其如此,在此期间,政府官员在推广疫苗等公共卫生措施方面发挥了重要作用。目的:在加拿大,按照联邦政府针对重点人群的COVID-19疫苗指南,分三个阶段开展了省级COVID-19疫苗推广工作。在这项研究中,我们研究了加拿大政府官员如何利用Twitter与公众就疫苗推出进行互动,以及这种互动如何影响公众对各司法管辖区疫苗的反应。方法:对2020年12月28日至2021年8月31日期间发布的推文进行内容分析。利用社交媒体人工智能工具Brandwatch Analytics,我们构建了3个司法管辖区(安大略省、阿尔伯塔省和不列颠哥伦比亚省)的公职人员名单,组织了6种公职人员类型,然后对提及、转发或回复公职人员的有关疫苗推出和交付的推文进行了英语和法语关键词搜索。我们确定了在疫苗推出的3个阶段(大约26天的窗口期)中每个管辖区印象最高的前30条推文。从每个司法管辖区每个阶段的前30条推文中提取参与度指标(印象、转发、点赞和回复)以进行额外注释。我们特别在每条推文中注释了对公职人员疫苗反应的看法(即积极、消极和中立),并注释了社交媒体参与的类型。然后对推文进行主题分析,为提取的数据添加细微差别,以表征情绪和互动类型。结果:在6类公职人员中,来自安大略省、阿尔伯塔省和不列颠哥伦比亚省的142名知名人士被纳入。总共有270条推文被纳入内容分析,其中212条是公职人员的直接推文。公共官员主要使用Twitter提供信息(139/212,65.6%),其次是横向参与(37/212,17.5%)、公民参与(24/212,11.3%)和公共服务公告(12/212,5.7%)。政府机构(例如省政府和公共卫生当局)或市领导提供的信息比其他公职人员团体的推文更为突出。中性情绪占所有推文的51.5%(139/270),而积极情绪是第二常见的情绪(117/270,43.3%)。在安大略省,60%(54/90)的推文是积极的。负面情绪(例如,政府官员批评疫苗推出)占所有推文的12%(11/90)。结论:随着各国政府继续促进COVID-19加强剂的使用,本研究的结果有助于告知政府如何最好地利用社交媒体与公众互动,以实现民主目标。
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引用次数: 0
Open-Source Intelligence for Detection of Radiological Events and Syndromes Following the Invasion of Ukraine in 2022: Observational Study. 2022年乌克兰入侵后放射事件和综合征检测的开源情报:观察性研究。
Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-06-28 DOI: 10.2196/39895
Haley Stone, David Heslop, Samsung Lim, Ines Sarmiento, Mohana Kunasekaran, C Raina MacIntyre

Background: On February 25, 2022, Russian forces took control of the Chernobyl power plant after continuous fighting within the Chernobyl exclusion zone. Continual events occurred in the month of March, which raised the risk of potential contamination of previously uncontaminated areas and the potential for impacts on human and environmental health. The disruption of war has caused interruptions to normal preventive activities, and radiation monitoring sensors have been nonfunctional. Open-source intelligence can be informative when formal reporting and data are unavailable.

Objective: This paper aimed to demonstrate the value of open-source intelligence in Ukraine to identify signals of potential radiological events of health significance during the Ukrainian conflict.

Methods: Data were collected from search terminology for radiobiological events and acute radiation syndrome detection between February 1 and March 20, 2022, using 2 open-source intelligence (OSINT) systems, EPIWATCH and Epitweetr.

Results: Both EPIWATCH and Epitweetr identified signals of potential radiobiological events throughout Ukraine, particularly on March 4 in Kyiv, Bucha, and Chernobyl.

Conclusions: Open-source data can provide valuable intelligence and early warning about potential radiation hazards in conditions of war, where formal reporting and mitigation may be lacking, to enable timely emergency and public health responses.

背景:2022年2月25日,在切尔诺贝利禁区内持续战斗后,俄罗斯军队控制了切尔诺贝利核电站。3月份连续发生事件,增加了以前未受污染地区可能受到污染的风险,并可能对人类和环境健康产生影响。战争的中断中断了正常的预防活动,辐射监测传感器无法工作。在没有正式报告和数据的情况下,开源情报可以提供信息。目的:本文旨在证明在乌克兰冲突期间,开源情报在识别具有健康意义的潜在放射性事件信号方面的价值。方法:使用EPIWATCH和Epitweetr 2个开源情报(OSINT)系统,收集2022年2月1日至3月20日期间放射性生物事件和急性辐射综合征检测的搜索术语。结果:EPIWATCH和Epitweetr都在乌克兰全境发现了潜在的放射生物学事件信号,特别是3月4日在基辅、布查和切尔诺贝利。结论:在可能缺乏正式报告和缓解措施的战争条件下,开源数据可提供有关潜在辐射危害的宝贵情报和预警,从而能够及时应对紧急情况和公共卫生问题。
{"title":"Open-Source Intelligence for Detection of Radiological Events and Syndromes Following the Invasion of Ukraine in 2022: Observational Study.","authors":"Haley Stone,&nbsp;David Heslop,&nbsp;Samsung Lim,&nbsp;Ines Sarmiento,&nbsp;Mohana Kunasekaran,&nbsp;C Raina MacIntyre","doi":"10.2196/39895","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/39895","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>On February 25, 2022, Russian forces took control of the Chernobyl power plant after continuous fighting within the Chernobyl exclusion zone. Continual events occurred in the month of March, which raised the risk of potential contamination of previously uncontaminated areas and the potential for impacts on human and environmental health. The disruption of war has caused interruptions to normal preventive activities, and radiation monitoring sensors have been nonfunctional. Open-source intelligence can be informative when formal reporting and data are unavailable.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This paper aimed to demonstrate the value of open-source intelligence in Ukraine to identify signals of potential radiological events of health significance during the Ukrainian conflict.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data were collected from search terminology for radiobiological events and acute radiation syndrome detection between February 1 and March 20, 2022, using 2 open-source intelligence (OSINT) systems, EPIWATCH and Epitweetr.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Both EPIWATCH and Epitweetr identified signals of potential radiobiological events throughout Ukraine, particularly on March 4 in Kyiv, Bucha, and Chernobyl.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Open-source data can provide valuable intelligence and early warning about potential radiation hazards in conditions of war, where formal reporting and mitigation may be lacking, to enable timely emergency and public health responses.</p>","PeriodicalId":73554,"journal":{"name":"JMIR infodemiology","volume":"3 ","pages":"e39895"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10365590/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9859607","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Expert Credibility and Sentiment in Infodemiology of Hydroxychloroquine's Efficacy on Cable News Programs: Empirical Analysis. 有线电视新闻节目中羟氯喹疗效信息学中的专家可信度和情绪:经验分析。
IF 3.5 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-06-27 DOI: 10.2196/45392
Dobin Yim, Jiban Khuntia, Elliot King, Matthew Treskon, Panagis Galiatsatos
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Infodemic exacerbates public health concerns by disseminating unreliable and false scientific facts to a population. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the efficacy of hydroxychloroquine as a therapeutic solution emerged as a challenge to public health communication. Internet and social media spread information about hydroxychloroquine, whereas cable television was a vital source. To exemplify, experts discussed in cable television broadcasts about hydroxychloroquine for treating COVID-19. However, how the experts' comments influenced airtime allocation on cable television to help in public health communication, either during COVID-10 or at other times, is not understood.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This study aimed to examine how 3 factors, that is, the credibility of experts as doctors (DOCTOREXPERT), the credibility of government representatives (GOVTEXPERT), and the sentiments (SENTIMENT) expressed in discussions and comments, influence the allocation of airtime (AIRTIME) in cable television broadcasts. SENTIMENT pertains to the information credibility conveyed through the tone and language of experts' comments during cable television broadcasts, in contrast to the individual credibility of the doctor or government representatives because of the degree or affiliations.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We collected transcriptions of relevant hydroxychloroquine-related broadcasts on cable television between March 2020 and October 2020. We coded the experts as DOCTOREXPERT or GOVTEXPERT using publicly available data. To determine the sentiments expressed in the broadcasts, we used a machine learning algorithm to code them as POSITIVE, NEGATIVE, NEUTRAL, or MIXED sentiments.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The analysis revealed a counterintuitive association between the expertise of doctors (DOCTOREXPERT) and the allocation of airtime, with doctor experts receiving less airtime (P<.001) than the nonexperts in a base model. A more nuanced interaction model suggested that government experts with a doctorate degree received even less airtime (P=.03) compared with nonexperts. Sentiments expressed during the broadcasts played a significant role in airtime allocation, particularly for their direct effects on airtime allocation, more so for NEGATIVE (P<.001), NEUTRAL (P<.001), and MIXED (P=.03) sentiments. Only government experts expressing POSITIVE sentiments during the broadcast received a more extended airtime (P<.001) than nonexperts. Furthermore, NEGATIVE sentiments in the broadcasts were associated with less airtime both for DOCTOREXPERT (P<.001) and GOVTEXPERT (P<.001).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Source credibility plays a crucial role in infodemics by ensuring the accuracy and trustworthiness of the information communicated to audiences. However, cable television media may prioritize likeability over credibility, potentially hindering this goal. Surprisingly, the findings of our study suggest that doctors
背景:信息瘟疫通过向民众传播不可靠和虚假的科学事实,加剧了公共卫生问题。在 COVID-19 大流行期间,羟氯喹作为治疗方案的疗效成为公共卫生传播的一个挑战。互联网和社交媒体传播了有关羟氯喹的信息,而有线电视则是重要的信息来源。例如,专家们在有线电视广播中讨论了羟氯喹治疗 COVID-19 的问题。然而,在 COVID-10 期间或其他时间,专家们的评论是如何影响有线电视的播出时间分配以帮助公共卫生传播的,目前尚不清楚:本研究旨在探讨专家作为医生的可信度(DOCTOREXPERT)、政府代表的可信度(GOVTEXPERT)以及讨论和评论中所表达的情感(SENTIMENT)这三个因素如何影响有线电视广播的播出时间(AIRTIME)分配。SENTIMENT指的是有线电视广播中专家评论的语气和语言所传达的信息可信度,与医生或政府代表因学位或隶属关系而产生的个人可信度不同:我们收集了 2020 年 3 月至 2020 年 10 月期间有线电视上与羟氯喹相关的广播转录。我们利用公开数据将专家编码为 "医生专家"(DOCTOREXPERT)或 "政府专家"(GOVTEXPERT)。为了确定广播中表达的情绪,我们使用机器学习算法将其编码为积极情绪、消极情绪、中立情绪或混合情绪:分析表明,医生的专业知识(DOCTOREXPERT)与广播时间的分配之间存在反直觉的联系,医生专家获得的广播时间较少(PConclusions:信息来源的可信度在信息传播学中起着至关重要的作用,它确保了向受众传播的信息的准确性和可信度。然而,有线电视媒体可能会将亲和力置于可信度之上,从而有可能阻碍这一目标的实现。令人惊讶的是,我们的研究结果表明,在有线电视上与羟氯喹相关的讨论中,医生并没有获得很好的播出时间。相反,政府专家作为信息来源在羟氯喹相关讨论中获得了更多的播放时间。医生以负面情绪陈述事实可能无助于获得播放时间。相反,在广播中表达积极情绪的政府专家可能比非专家获得更好的播出时间。这些发现对来源可信度在公共卫生传播中的作用有一定的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Content Quality of YouTube Videos About Pain Management After Cesarean Birth: Content Analysis. 剖宫产后疼痛处理YouTube视频内容质量分析
Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-06-23 DOI: 10.2196/40802
Natalie A Squires, Elizabeth Soyemi, Lynn M Yee, Eleanor M Birch, Nevert Badreldin
<p><strong>Background: </strong>YouTube is an increasingly common source of health information; however, the reliability and quality of the information are inadequately understood. Several studies have evaluated YouTube as a resource during pregnancy and found the available information to be of poor quality. Given the increasing attention to postpartum health and the importance of promoting safe opioid use after birth, YouTube may be a source of information for birthing individuals. However, little is known about the available information on YouTube regarding postpartum pain.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>The purpose of this study is to systematically evaluate the quality of YouTube videos as an educational resource for postpartum cesarean pain management.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A systematic search of YouTube videos was conducted on June 25, 2021, using 36 postpartum cesarean pain management-related keywords, which were identified by clinical experts. The search replicated a default YouTube search via a public account. The first 60 results from each keyword search were reviewed, and unique videos were analyzed. An overall content score was developed based on prior literature and expert opinion to evaluate the video's relevance and comprehensiveness. The DISCERN instrument, a validated metric to assess consumer health information, was used to evaluate the reliability of video information. Videos with an overall content score of ≥5 and a DISCERN score of ≥39 were classified as high-quality health education resources. Descriptive analysis and intergroup comparisons by video source and quality were conducted.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 73 unique videos, video sources included medical videos (n=36, 49%), followed by personal video blogs (vlogs; n=32, 44%), advertisements (n=3, 4%), and media (n=2, 3%). The average overall content score was 3.6 (SD 2.0) out of 9, and the average DISCERN score was 39.2 (SD 8.1) out of 75, indicating low comprehensiveness and fair information reliability, respectively. High-quality videos (n=22, 30%) most frequently addressed overall content regarding pain duration (22/22, 100%), pain types (20/22, 91%), return-to-activity instructions (19/22, 86%), and nonpharmacologic methods for pain control (19/22, 86%). There were differences in the overall content score (P=.02) by video source but not DISCERN score (P=.45). Personal vlogs had the highest overall content score at 4.0 (SD 2.1), followed by medical videos at 3.3 (SD 2.0). Longer video duration and a greater number of comments and likes were significantly correlated with the overall content score, whereas the number of video comments was inversely correlated with the DISCERN score.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Individuals seeking information from YouTube regarding postpartum cesarean pain management are likely to encounter videos that lack adequate comprehensiveness and reliability. Clinicians should counsel patients to exercise caution when
背景:YouTube是一个越来越普遍的健康信息来源;然而,人们对这些信息的可靠性和质量了解不足。几项研究评估了YouTube作为怀孕期间的资源,发现可用的信息质量很差。鉴于对产后健康的日益关注和促进产后安全使用阿片类药物的重要性,YouTube可能是分娩个体的信息来源。然而,我们对YouTube上关于产后疼痛的信息知之甚少。目的:本研究的目的是系统评价YouTube视频作为产后剖宫产疼痛管理教育资源的质量。方法:系统检索2021年6月25日的YouTube视频,使用36个经临床专家鉴定的产后剖宫产疼痛处理相关关键词。该搜索通过一个公共账户复制了一个默认的YouTube搜索。对每个关键词搜索的前60个结果进行审查,并对独特的视频进行分析。根据先前的文献和专家意见制定了一个总体内容评分,以评估视频的相关性和全面性。辨别仪器,一个有效的度量来评估消费者健康信息,被用来评估视频信息的可靠性。综合内容评分≥5分、DISCERN评分≥39分的视频被归类为优质健康教育资源。进行描述性分析和视频源、视频质量组间比较。结果:在73个独特视频中,视频来源包括医疗视频(n=36, 49%),其次是个人视频博客(vlogs;N = 32,44%),广告(N = 3,4%)和媒体(N = 2,3%)。总体内容的平均得分为3.6分(SD 2.0),而辨别的平均得分为39.2分(SD 8.1),满分为75分,分别表明信息的综合性较低,信息的可靠性一般。高质量视频(n= 22,30 %)最常涉及有关疼痛持续时间(22/22,100%)、疼痛类型(20/22,91%)、恢复活动指导(19/22,86%)和疼痛控制的非药物方法(19/22,86%)的总体内容。不同视频源的总体内容评分差异有统计学意义(P= 0.02),而不同视频源的DISCERN评分差异无统计学意义(P= 0.45)。个人视频的整体内容得分最高,为4.0 (SD 2.1),其次是医疗视频,为3.3 (SD 2.0)。视频时长越长、评论点赞数越多与整体内容得分显著相关,而视频评论数与DISCERN得分呈负相关。结论:个人在YouTube上寻找有关产后剖宫产疼痛管理的信息,可能会遇到缺乏足够的全面性和可靠性的视频。临床医生应建议患者在使用YouTube作为健康信息资源时要谨慎。
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引用次数: 0
Establishing Infodemic Management in Germany: A Framework for Social Listening and Integrated Analysis to Report Infodemic Insights at the National Public Health Institute. 在德国建立信息学术管理:国家公共卫生研究所社会倾听和综合分析报告信息学术见解的框架。
Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.2196/43646
T Sonia Boender, Paula Helene Schneider, Claudia Houareau, Silvan Wehrli, Tina D Purnat, Atsuyoshi Ishizumi, Elisabeth Wilhelm, Christopher Voegeli, Lothar H Wieler, Christina Leuker

Background: To respond to the need to establish infodemic management functions at the national public health institute in Germany (Robert Koch Institute, RKI), we explored and assessed available data sources, developed a social listening and integrated analysis framework, and defined when infodemic management functions should be activated during emergencies.

Objective: We aimed to establish a framework for social listening and integrated analysis for public health in the German context using international examples and technical guidance documents for infodemic management.

Methods: This study completed the following objectives: identified (potentially) available data sources for social listening and integrated analysis; assessed these data sources for their suitability and usefulness for integrated analysis in addition to an assessment of their risk using the RKI's standardized data protection requirements; developed a framework and workflow to combine social listening and integrated analysis to report back actionable infodemic insights for public health communications by the RKI and stakeholders; and defined criteria for activating integrated analysis structures in the context of a specific health event or health emergency.

Results: We included and classified 38% (16/42) of the identified and assessed data sources for social listening and integrated analysis at the RKI into 3 categories: social media and web-based listening data, RKI-specific data, and infodemic insights. Most data sources can be analyzed weekly to detect current trends and narratives and to inform a timely response by reporting insights that include a risk assessment and scalar judgments of different narratives and themes.

Conclusions: This study identified, assessed, and prioritized a wide range of data sources for social listening and integrated analysis to report actionable infodemic insights, ensuring a valuable first step in establishing and operationalizing infodemic management at the RKI. This case study also serves as a roadmap for others. Ultimately, once operational, these activities will inform better and targeted public health communication at the RKI and beyond.

背景:为了响应德国国立公共卫生研究所(Robert Koch institute, RKI)建立信息管理职能的需求,我们探索和评估了可用的数据源,开发了一个社会倾听和综合分析框架,并定义了在紧急情况下应何时启动信息管理职能。目的:我们旨在利用国际实例和信息学术管理的技术指导文件,在德国背景下为公共卫生建立社会倾听和综合分析框架。方法:本研究完成了以下目标:确定(潜在)可用的数据来源,用于社会倾听和综合分析;除了使用RKI的标准化数据保护要求评估其风险外,还评估了这些数据源对综合分析的适用性和有用性;制定了一个框架和工作流程,将社会倾听和综合分析结合起来,报告RKI和利益攸关方在公共卫生传播方面可采取行动的信息见解;并定义了在特定卫生事件或卫生紧急情况下激活综合分析结构的标准。结果:我们将38%(16/42)已识别和评估的RKI社交倾听和综合分析数据源纳入并分类为3类:社交媒体和基于网络的倾听数据、RKI特定数据和信息学术见解。大多数数据来源可以每周进行分析,以检测当前的趋势和叙述,并通过报告包括风险评估和不同叙述和主题的标量判断在内的见解来及时作出反应。结论:本研究确定、评估并优先考虑了广泛的数据来源,用于社会倾听和综合分析,以报告可操作的信息学术见解,确保在RKI建立和实施信息学术管理方面迈出了有价值的第一步。这个案例研究也可以作为其他人的路线图。最终,这些活动一旦开始运作,将为RKI内外更好和有针对性的公共卫生宣传提供信息。
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引用次数: 2
Advertising Alternative Cancer Treatments and Approaches on Meta Social Media Platforms: Content Analysis. 在Meta社交媒体平台上广告替代癌症治疗和方法:内容分析。
Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-05-31 DOI: 10.2196/43548
Marco Zenone, Jeremy Snyder, Jean-Christophe Bélisle-Pipon, Timothy Caulfield, May van Schalkwyk, Nason Maani
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Alternative cancer treatment is associated with a greater risk of death than cancer patients undergoing conventional treatments. Anecdotal evidence suggests cancer patients view paid advertisements promoting alternative cancer treatment on social media, but the extent and nature of this advertising remain unknown. This context suggests an urgent need to investigate alternative cancer treatment advertising on social media.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This study aimed to systematically analyze the advertising activities of prominent alternative cancer treatment practitioners on Meta platforms, including Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and Audience Network. We specifically sought to determine (1) whether paid advertising for alternative cancer treatment occurs on Meta social media platforms, (2) the strategies and messages of alternative cancer providers to reach and appeal to prospective patients, and (3) how the efficacy of alternative treatments is portrayed.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Between December 6, 2021, and December 12, 2021, we collected active advertisements from alternative cancer clinics using the Meta Ad Library. The information collected included identification number, URL, active/inactive status, dates launched/ran, advertiser page name, and a screenshot (image) or recording (video) of the advertisement. We then conducted a content analysis to determine how alternative cancer providers communicate the claimed benefits of their services and evaluated how they portrayed alternative cancer treatment efficacy.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We identified 310 paid advertisements from 11 alternative cancer clinics on Meta (Facebook, Instagram, or Messenger) marketing alternative treatment approaches, care, and interventions. Alternative cancer providers appealed to prospective patients through eight strategies: (1) advertiser representation as a legitimate medical provider (n=289, 93.2%); (2) appealing to persons with limited treatments options (n=203, 65.5%); (3) client testimonials (n=168, 54.2%); (4) promoting holistic approaches (n=121, 39%); (5) promoting messages of care (n=81, 26.1%); (6) rhetoric related to science and research (n=72, 23.2%); (7) rhetoric pertaining to the latest technology (n=63, 20.3%); and (8) focusing treatment on cancer origins and cause (n=43, 13.9%). Overall, 25.8% (n=80) of advertisements included a direct statement claiming provider treatment can cure cancer or prolong life.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our results provide evidence alternative cancer providers are using Meta advertising products to market scientifically unsupported cancer treatments. Advertisements regularly referenced "alternative" and "natural" treatment approaches to cancer. Imagery and text content that emulated evidence-based medical providers created the impression that the offered treatments were effective medical options for cancer. Advertisements exploited the hope of patients w
背景:与接受常规治疗的癌症患者相比,替代癌症治疗与更大的死亡风险相关。坊间证据表明,癌症患者在社交媒体上看到了推广替代癌症治疗的付费广告,但这种广告的范围和性质尚不清楚。这种情况表明,迫切需要调查社交媒体上的替代癌症治疗广告。目的:本研究旨在系统分析知名癌症替代治疗从业者在Meta平台上的广告活动,包括Facebook、Instagram、Messenger和Audience Network。我们特别试图确定(1)替代癌症治疗的付费广告是否出现在Meta社交媒体平台上,(2)替代癌症提供者接触和吸引潜在患者的策略和信息,以及(3)如何描述替代治疗的疗效。方法:在2021年12月6日至2021年12月12日期间,我们使用Meta广告库收集来自替代癌症诊所的活跃广告。收集的信息包括识别号、URL、激活/不激活状态、启动/运行日期、广告商页面名称以及广告的截图(图像)或录音(视频)。然后,我们进行了内容分析,以确定替代癌症提供者如何传达其服务声称的好处,并评估他们如何描述替代癌症治疗效果。结果:我们在Meta (Facebook、Instagram或Messenger)上发现了来自11家替代癌症诊所的310个付费广告,这些广告营销替代治疗方法、护理和干预措施。替代癌症提供者通过八种策略吸引潜在患者:(1)作为合法医疗提供者的广告代理(n=289, 93.2%);(2)吸引治疗方案有限的人(n=203, 65.5%);(3)客户评价(n=168, 54.2%);(4)推广整体方法(n=121, 39%);(5)宣传保健信息(n=81, 26.1%);(6)与科学研究相关的修辞(n=72, 23.2%);(7)与最新技术有关的修辞(n= 63,20.3%);(8)集中治疗癌症的起源和原因(n=43, 13.9%)。总体而言,25.8% (n=80)的广告包括直接声明提供者的治疗可以治愈癌症或延长生命。结论:我们的结果提供了证据,证明替代癌症提供者正在使用Meta广告产品推销科学上不支持的癌症治疗。广告经常提到“替代”和“自然”治疗癌症的方法。模仿循证医疗提供者的图像和文本内容给人的印象是,所提供的治疗是癌症的有效医疗选择。广告通过分享过去声称治愈或延长生命的患者的证词,利用了晚期和预后不良患者的希望。我们建议Meta在给予广告许可之前,为医疗相关的广告商引入一个强制性的、由人工主导的授权流程,而不是依赖于人工智能。进一步的研究应侧重于社交媒体平台广告产品与公共健康之间的利益冲突。
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JMIR infodemiology
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