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Are Avoidance Goals the Right Prescription For a Pandemic? A COVID-19 Case Study 避免目标是应对流行病的正确处方吗?新冠肺炎病例研究
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.28991/SCIMEDJ-2021-0304-7
Geoffrey V. Henderson, A. Elliot
Background: Motivation scientists study goals, self-regulatory tools that are used to help people approach or avoid objects of desire or disdain. Purpose: Using these tools, motivation science can offer insights to guide behaviour and help individuals maintain optimal health and well-being during pandemics, including COVID-19. Results: Avoidance goals help guide behaviour away from negative objects like COVID-19, and are necessary in situations where survival is at stake. Formulating the goal of avoiding COVID-19 is therefore recommended during the pandemic. However, avoidance goals have inherent limitations, in that they tax one’s energy and well-being. To minimize these costs, the pursuit of approach sub-goals may be recommended, such as increasing social connection online or exercising outdoors (particularly prior to widespread vaccination). Conclusion: Adhering to the goal of avoiding COVID-19 prevents infection and saves lives when safe and effective vaccines and treatments are lacking. But avoidance goals have known costs that must be acknowledged and addressed. One solution is to pair avoidance goals with approach sub-goals to bolster mental and physical health while adhering to the ultimate goal of avoiding COVID-19, viral variants, and future contagions. Doi: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-7 Full Text: PDF
背景:动机科学家研究目标,这是一种自我调节工具,用于帮助人们接近或避免欲望或蔑视的对象。目的:使用这些工具,动机科学可以提供指导行为的见解,并帮助个人在包括新冠肺炎在内的大流行期间保持最佳健康和福祉。结果:回避目标有助于引导行为远离新冠肺炎等负面对象,在事关生存的情况下也是必要的。因此,建议在大流行期间制定避免新冠肺炎的目标。然而,避税目标有其固有的局限性,因为它们会对一个人的精力和幸福感征税。为了最大限度地减少这些成本,可能建议追求方法子目标,例如增加在线社交联系或户外锻炼(特别是在广泛接种疫苗之前)。结论:在缺乏安全有效的疫苗和治疗方法的情况下,坚持避免新冠肺炎的目标可以预防感染并挽救生命。但回避目标有已知的成本,必须予以承认和解决。一种解决方案是将避免目标与接近子目标结合起来,以促进身心健康,同时坚持避免新冠肺炎、病毒变异和未来传染的最终目标。Doi:10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-7全文:PDF
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引用次数: 2
Diagnostic Accuracy of COVID-19 Antibody Tests Authorized by FDA Philippines: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis 菲律宾FDA授权的新冠肺炎抗体检测的诊断准确性:系统评价和Meta-Analysis
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-1
Carmel Reina R. Chua, Esther Delle E. De los Santos, Karla Veronica H. Escasa, Richmond Louis G. Estolas, Junnealyn Feliciano, Sabrina Audrey E. Ortega, Carlo Ledesma, Jan Ebrian D. Leonin, S. Tesalona
Introduction: Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) is a highly infectious disease caused by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) which has infected many people all over the world. One of the best ways to lessen its spread is through early detection and diagnosis. Various serological tests are now being used as a surveillance tool in the detection of antibodies as a response to SARS-CoV-2. The aim of this study is to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy and performance of the available COVID-19 antibody tests authorized by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Philippines that make use of Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA), Chemiluminescence Immunoassay (CLIA) and Lateral Flow Immunoassay (LFIA). Method: Complete published journal articles relevant to the diagnostic accuracy of the three antibody tests were collected using trusted medical journal search engines. The quality of journals was assessed using QUADAS-2 to determine the risk of bias and assess the applicability judgments of diagnostic accuracy studies. Forest plots were used to summarize the performance of LFIA, ELISA and CLIA according to their specificity and sensitivity in detecting various antibodies. Pooled sensitivity and specificity were also done using bivariate random-effects models with its log-likelihood, a corresponding chi-square test statistic, and area under the summary Receiver-Operating Characteristic curve to see the potential heterogeneity in the data and to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the COVID-19 antibody tests. Results: Bivariate random-effects model and areas under the sROC curve were used to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of COVID-19 antibody tests. The pooled sensitivity in detecting IgG based on CLIA, ELISA, and LFIA were 81.7%, 58.7%, and 74.3% respectively, with an overall of 72.0%. For IgM detection, LFIA has a higher pooled sensitivity of 69.6% than CLIA with 61.0%. Overall, the pooled sensitivity is 68.5%. In IgA detection, only ELISA based test was included with a pooled sensitivity of 84.8%. Lastly, pooled sensitivities for combined antibodies based on ELISA and LFIA were 89.0% and 81.6% respectively, with an overall of 82.5%. On the other hand, all tests excluding ELISA-IgA displayed high pooled specificities with a range of 94.0% to 100.0%. Diagnostic accuracies of the test in detecting IgG, IgM, and combined antibodies were found out to be almost perfect based on the computed area under the sROC with values of 0.973, 0.953, and 0.966, respectively. Conclusion: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, existing evidence on the diagnostic accuracy of antibody tests for COVID-19 were found to be characterized by high risks of bias, consistency in the heterogeneity of sensitivities, and consistency in the homogeneity of high specificities except in IgA detection using ELISA. The bivariate random-effects models showed that there are no significant differences in terms of sensitivity among CLIA, ELISA and LFIA in detecting Ig
简介:冠状病毒病(COVID-19)是由严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2型(SARS-CoV-2)引起的一种高度传染性疾病,已在世界各地感染了许多人。减少其传播的最佳方法之一是通过早期检测和诊断。目前,各种血清学检测被用作检测对严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2型反应的抗体的监测工具。本研究的目的是评估菲律宾食品药品监督管理局(FDA)授权的新冠肺炎抗体测试的诊断准确性和性能,这些测试使用酶联免疫吸附剂测定(ELISA)、化学发光免疫测定(CLIA)和侧流免疫测定(LFIA)。方法:使用可信的医学期刊搜索引擎收集与三种抗体测试的诊断准确性相关的完整已发表期刊文章。使用QUADAS-2评估期刊的质量,以确定偏倚的风险,并评估诊断准确性研究的适用性判断。根据LFIA、ELISA和CLIA在检测各种抗体方面的特异性和敏感性,使用森林图来总结它们的性能。还使用双变量随机效应模型及其对数似然性、相应的平方检验统计量和受试者操作特征曲线下面积进行了敏感性和特异性汇总,以了解数据的潜在异质性并评估新冠肺炎抗体检测的诊断准确性。结果:采用双变量随机效应模型和sROC曲线下面积评价新冠肺炎抗体检测的诊断准确性。基于CLIA、ELISA和LFIA检测IgG的合并灵敏度分别为81.7%、58.7%和74.3%,总体为72.0%。对于IgM检测,LFIA的合并灵敏度为69.6%,高于CLIA的61.0%。总体而言,合并灵敏度为68.5%。在IgA检测中,仅包括基于ELISA的检测,合并灵敏度达84.8%。最后,基于ELISA和LFIA的联合抗体的合并敏感性分别为89.0%和81.6%,总体为82.5%。另一方面,除ELISA IgA外的所有测试都显示出高合并特异性,范围为94.0%至100.0%,基于sROC下的计算面积,发现组合抗体几乎是完美的,其值分别为0.973、0.953和0.966。结论:在这项系统综述和荟萃分析中,发现新冠肺炎抗体检测诊断准确性的现有证据具有高偏倚风险、敏感性异质性的一致性和高特异性同质性的一致性,但使用ELISA检测IgA除外。双变量随机效应模型显示,在95%置信区间下,CLIA、ELISA和LFIA在检测IgG、IgM和联合抗体方面的敏感性没有显著差异。尽管如此,CLIA、ELISA和LFIA在检测IgG、IgM和联合抗体方面被发现具有极好的诊断准确性,如其AUC值所反映的。Doi:10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-1全文:PDF
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引用次数: 3
Diabetic Foot Ulcer Risk with Diabetic Kidney Disease and Renal Failure among 10,680 Patients 10,680例糖尿病足溃疡与糖尿病肾病和肾功能衰竭的风险
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.28991/SCIMEDJ-2021-0304-6
K. Aziz
Objectives: Patients with Diabetic Kidney Disease (DKD) and foot ulcer have poor prognosis. However, no study have found association of diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) with diabetic kidney dysfunction and their co-existing risk factors. Materials and Methods: This cross sectional study collected the data for 10,680 patients for 15 years. All variables were analyzed biochemically and statistically by standardized methodology. Results: Levels of HbA1c, creatinine, systolic and diastolic blood pressures, microalbuminuria, spot urine protein, and spot urine protein to creatinine ratio were higher among the groups with foot ulcers (p-value < 0.0001 for all). Average ABI was observed to be lower among the groups demonstrating nephropathy and DKD (p=0.025 and 0.022 respectively. DFU was significantly associated with HTN (odds ratio 2.2; 95% CI 1.66 to 2.9; p < 0.0001), nephropathy (odds ratio 4.77; 95% CI 3.53 to 6.5; p < 0.0001) and DKD (odds ratio 4.77 and 6.83; 95% CI 4.6 to 10.2; p < 0.0001). HbA1c of 7.8% was 60% sensitive and 52% specific for the development of DFU. Creatinine of 1.2 mg/dl was 75% sensitive and 48% specific for DFU. Spot urine protein excretion from nephrons of 35 mg/dl was 88% sensitive and 90% specific for the development of DFU. Conclusion: Nephropathy/DKD are risk factors for the development of DFU. With optimal diabetes control, regular and routine assessment of the feet and early screening of diabetic patients for neuropathy, nephropathy, hypertension, dyslipidaemia and other diabetic complications are essential. Doi: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-6 Full Text: PDF
目的:糖尿病肾病(DKD)合并足部溃疡患者预后不良。然而,没有研究发现糖尿病足溃疡(DFU)与糖尿病肾功能障碍及其共同存在的危险因素有关。材料和方法:这项横断面研究收集了10680名患者15年的数据。采用标准化方法对所有变量进行生化和统计学分析。结果:足部溃疡组的HbA1c、肌酸酐、收缩压和舒张压、微量白蛋白尿、斑点尿蛋白以及斑点尿蛋白与肌酸酐的比值均较高(所有组的p值均<0.0001)。观察到肾病和DKD组的平均ABI较低(分别为0.025和0.022。DFU与HTN显著相关(比值比2.2;95%可信区间1.66至2.9;p<0.0001),糖尿病肾病(比值比4.77;95%CI 3.53至6.5;p<0.0001)和糖尿病肾病(优势比4.77和6.83;95%CI 4.6至10.2;p<0.001)。7.8%的HbA1c对DFU的发展敏感60%,特异性52%。1.2 mg/dl的肌酸酐对DFU的敏感性为75%,特异性为48%。35mg/dl肾单位的斑点尿蛋白排泄对DFU的发展具有88%的敏感性和90%的特异性。结论:肾病/DKD是DFU发生的危险因素。有了最佳的糖尿病控制,对足部进行定期和常规评估,并对糖尿病患者进行神经病变、肾病、高血压、血脂异常和其他糖尿病并发症的早期筛查至关重要。Doi:10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-6全文:PDF
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引用次数: 4
Knowledge of Breast Self-Examination, Breast and Cervical Cancer Screening among Indian Women 印度妇女乳腺自检、乳腺癌和宫颈癌症筛查知识
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.28991/scimedj-2021-0304-5
Olabode E. Omotoso, Sucheta Malakar, Nabanita Chutia, Ghadier Matariek, G. Abdel-Rafee, Elizabeth Omotoso
The burden of breast and cervical cancer in terms of incidence and mortality in low- and mid-income countries is increasing daily due to late diagnosis, unhealthy lifestyle choices, late presentation, and poor attitude to screening. Early detection increases the chances of survival. This present study assessed Assam women’s breast and cervical cancer screening (CCS) awareness, the practice of breast self-examination (BSE), and uptake of human papillomavirus vaccines. An internet-based cross-sectional questionnaire was utilized to obtain 251 consenting respondents. The mean age of respondents was 27.8 ± 6.91. Only 205 (81.7%) and 110 (43.8%) respondents have satisfactory levels of BCS, and CCS knowledge, respectively. While only 76 (30.3%) respondents had satisfactory BSE practice. Age range (26 – 32 years), tertiary education, and being single were demographic characteristics that influenced knowledge and practice. Though the respondents had a satisfactory knowledge level, screening uptake among respondents is very poor as only 32 (12.7 %) had ever been screened and only 19 (7.6 %) ever been vaccinated. The major reasons for poor screening uptake were “no symptoms” and “not aware of screening location”. Most respondents (227, 90.4 %) are willing to go for screening if well oriented. This presents an opportunity to enhance awareness about screening and vaccination among Assam women. The media/internet and health practitioners can be leveraged to promote the uptake and utilization of screening services and BSE practice. Doi: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-5 Full Text: PDF
在低收入和中等收入国家,由于诊断较晚、不健康的生活方式选择、就诊较晚以及对筛查的不良态度,乳腺癌和宫颈癌的发病率和死亡率负担每天都在增加。早期发现增加了生存的机会。本研究评估了阿萨姆邦妇女对乳腺癌和宫颈癌筛查(CCS)的认识、乳房自我检查(BSE)的做法以及人乳头瘤病毒疫苗的摄取。采用基于互联网的横断面调查问卷获得了251名同意的受访者。受访者平均年龄为27.8±6.91岁。只有205名(81.7%)和110名(43.8%)受访者对BCS和CCS知识水平满意。而只有76人(30.3%)对疯牛病的治疗感到满意。年龄范围(26 - 32岁)、高等教育程度和单身是影响知识和实践的人口统计学特征。虽然应答者的知识水平令人满意,但应答者对筛查的接受程度非常低,只有32人(12.7%)接受过筛查,只有19人(7.6%)接种过疫苗。不接受筛查的主要原因是“无症状”和“不知道筛查地点”。大多数受访者(227人,90.4%)表示,如果有针对性,愿意去做筛查。这为提高阿萨姆邦妇女对筛查和疫苗接种的认识提供了机会。可以利用媒体/互联网和卫生从业人员促进对筛查服务和疯牛病做法的接受和利用。Doi: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-5全文:PDF
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引用次数: 1
Cancer Morbidity and Computed Tomography: “After” and “Due to” Challenge 癌症发病率和计算机断层扫描:“之后”和“由于”挑战
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.28991/SCIMEDJ-2021-0304-3
Mikhail Osipov, V. Loginov, V. Melnikov, Viktor Shkarednyh, P. Druzhinina
The article discusses the problem of carcinogenic risk assessment in the context of relationship with diagnostic radiation resulted from Computed Tomography (CT). The study aimed to evaluate the possible long-term carcinogenic effects after the exposure to a low dose of diagnostic radiation, appeared within a decade after the 1st CT scan. Information on patients examined using CT in the District Hospital of Kasli (KDH) has been derived from the CT archives since 2009 when the first CT examinations has been performed in the KDH. The data were linked to local Cancer registry, the Death registry, and the “CT Registry” database (CTDB) to obtain the information on vital status, the cause of death, cancer morbidity and CT examinations outside KDH, respectively. 275 CT examinations of 246 patients have been recorded to the data file (KDH cluster). To the end of the study, 46 cases of malignant tumours (MT) have been accumulated in the study group. The average observation time was 6.5 years (90% CI 6.2-6.8). The distribution of cancers among patients exposed to CT has been shown retrospectively through the date of birth of patient to December, 31, 2018. The cases of MT diagnosed prior to 1st CT examination have been excluded from the analyses. Cancer-related conditions stated before the date of 1stCT examination have been accounted. The cumulative cancer incidence after the exposure to CT, adjusted for predisposed conditions in the study group was 4.8%. The study results have been compared with the results of the LSS cohort study to assess the expected excess cancer morbidity. The data obtained in the study provide the information for a comprehensive epidemiological assessment of long-term effects related to diagnostic radiation exposure in the Ozyorsk Computed Tomography Cohort (OCTC study). Doi: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-3 Full Text: PDF
本文讨论了在计算机断层扫描(CT)诊断辐射的背景下的致癌风险评估问题。这项研究的目的是评估在第一次CT扫描后10年内接受低剂量诊断性辐射后可能产生的长期致癌效应。自2009年KDH首次进行CT检查以来,Kasli地区医院(KDH)使用CT检查的患者信息来源于CT档案。这些数据分别与当地癌症登记处、死亡登记处和“CT登记处”数据库(CTDB)相连,以获取有关生命状况、死亡原因、癌症发病率和KDH以外地区CT检查的信息。将246例患者的275次CT检查记录到数据文件(KDH簇)。研究结束时,研究组累计恶性肿瘤(MT) 46例。平均观察时间为6.5年(90% CI 6.2 ~ 6.8)。从患者出生日期到2018年12月31日,回顾性显示了CT暴露患者中癌症的分布。在第一次CT检查之前诊断出MT的病例被排除在分析之外。在第1次stct检查日期之前陈述的癌症相关情况已被考虑在内。研究组暴露于CT后的累积癌症发病率,经易感条件调整后为4.8%。研究结果已与LSS队列研究的结果进行比较,以评估预期的超额癌症发病率。研究中获得的数据为Ozyorsk计算机断层扫描队列(OCTC研究)中与诊断性辐射暴露相关的长期影响的综合流行病学评估提供了信息。Doi: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-3全文:PDF
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引用次数: 1
Suitability System of Microbiological Method for Nystatin Potency Determination in the Routine Analysis Using Agar Diffusion Method 琼脂扩散法测定制霉菌素效价的微生物法适宜性体系
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.28991/scimedj-2021-0304-2
Dalia Essam Eissa, E. Rashed, M. Eissa
Nystatin is a polyene macrolide antifungal active which is used for the treatment of candidiasis and obtained from some species of Streptomycesbacteria. The present work describes the statistical suitability analysis for regular monitoring of the agar diffusion bioassay in a simple, inexpensive and time-saving process before potency determination. A balanced (symmetrical) two-dose parallel line assay model was applied using the agar well diffusion method for quantification of Nystatin in raw material and finished medicinal dosage form. The routine inspection methodology yielded good results and included calculations by the linear parallel model and by means of regression analysis and verified using analysis of variance (ANOVA). The assay is based on the inhibitory effect of Nystatin upon a standard strain as described in the United States Pharmacopeia (USP). The results of the post validation regular assays were treated statistically by ANOVA and the deviations (expressed as average ± standard deviation) from both raw and column totals were 0.702 ± 0.476 and 0.865 ± 0.468, respectively. The mean value of the variance ratio for regression and parallelism squares were 534.349 ± 212.546 and 0.596 ± 0.345, respectively. The study of Nystatin's ongoing analysis showed that the microbiological assay design is satisfactory with respect to the limiting values for the determination of the potency. The established balanced parallel line assay is reasonably stable and suitable and can be used for the regular drug analysis in routine quality control testing and the quantitation of Nystatin in pharmaceutical dosage form and raw material. Doi: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-2 Full Text: PDF
制霉菌素是一种多烯大环内酯类抗真菌活性物质,用于治疗念珠菌感染,从某些链霉菌中获得。本工作描述了在效价测定之前,以简单、廉价和省时的方法对琼脂扩散生物测定的定期监测进行统计适用性分析。采用琼脂孔扩散法对原料和成品药物剂型中的他汀类药物进行定量,采用平衡(对称)双剂量平行线分析模型。常规检查方法产生了良好的结果,包括线性平行模型和回归分析的计算,并使用方差分析(ANOVA)进行验证。该测定基于美国药典(USP)中所述的制霉菌素对标准菌株的抑制作用。通过方差分析对验证后常规测定的结果进行统计学处理,与原始和柱总数的偏差(以平均值±标准差表示)分别为0.702±0.476和0.865±0.468。回归和平行平方的方差比平均值分别为534.349±212.546和0.596±0.345。对他汀类药物正在进行的分析的研究表明,微生物测定设计在效价测定的限值方面是令人满意的。所建立的平衡平行线分析法稳定、适用,可用于常规质量控制试验中的常规药物分析以及药物剂型和原料中他汀类药物的定量。Doi:10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-2全文:PDF
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引用次数: 4
An Overview of Central Nervous System Tumours 中枢神经系统肿瘤综述
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.28991/scimedj-2021-0304-8
B. Flepisi, M. Balmith
Central nervous system (CNS) tumours refer to tumours that occur in the tissues of the brain and/or spinal cord. These tumours arise as a result of abnormal growth of cells and may begin in different parts of the brain or spinal cord. There are many types of CNS tumours, which are further divided into subtypes. Despite decades of research conducted, CNS tumours remain among the deadliest of all cancers. It is most often challenging to treat these tumours, due to the risks involved, and biological characteristics associated with them. The classification, grading, and characterisation of CNS tumour plays a pivotal role in the management thereof. The current review provides an overview of CNS tumours, classification, grading and treatment, as well as their characterisation with specific focus on gliomas, ependymomas, oligodendrogliomas, meningiomas, medulloblastomas, schwannomas, gangliogliomas, and craniopharyngiomas. Doi: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-8 Full Text: PDF
中枢神经系统(CNS)肿瘤是指发生在大脑和/或脊髓组织中的肿瘤。这些肿瘤是细胞异常生长的结果,可能始于大脑或脊髓的不同部位。中枢神经系统肿瘤有多种类型,可进一步分为亚型。尽管进行了几十年的研究,中枢神经系统肿瘤仍然是所有癌症中最致命的。由于所涉及的风险以及与之相关的生物学特征,治疗这些肿瘤通常具有挑战性。中枢神经系统肿瘤的分类、分级和表征在其管理中起着关键作用。目前的综述概述了中枢神经系统肿瘤、分类、分级和治疗,以及它们的特征,特别关注神经胶质瘤、室管膜瘤、少突胶质瘤、脑膜瘤、髓母细胞瘤、神经鞘瘤、神经节胶质瘤和颅咽管瘤。Doi:10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-8全文:PDF
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 Perceptions: Applying the Health Belief Model 新冠肺炎认知:应用健康信念模型
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-4
E. Nasir, A. Elhag, H. Almahdi
This study aimed to explore the Sudanese COVID-19-related perceptions on preventive measures using the Health Belief Model, a psychosocial frame that explains and predicts health-related behaviours. A cross-sectional using an online-questionnaire through social media platforms, or channels. A snowball sampling technique was used. Descriptive analyses using frequencies and percentages for categorical variables, mean (±SD) for numerical variables. Bivariate relationships between the variables were assessed using a t-test. We conducted multiple variable analysis using the correlation between HBM constructs. Eight hundred seventy-seven participants with a mean age 37.8 (SD±11.94), primarily males, had a university education, employed and residing in Khartoum. Scores of 69% self-efficacy prevent COVID-19, 60% perceived severity if infected with COVID-19, 54% perceived susceptibility to COVID-19. Furthermore, high scores reported for hand hygiene barriers 50 and 53% social distancing. Self-efficacy correlated negatively with susceptibility (r=-0.084), positively with severity, benefits of and barriers to hand hygiene, benefits and barriers to social distancing (r=0.117, r=0.347, r=0.202, r=0.396, r=0.276), respectively. The lack of self-efficacy and low perception of severity and susceptibility, and increased perception of barriers to social distancing and hand hygiene among a considerable portion of the public hindered the compliance with the preventive measures. Doi: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-4 Full Text: PDF
本研究旨在利用健康信念模型探索苏丹人对预防措施的新冠肺炎相关看法,健康信念模型是一种解释和预测健康相关行为的心理社会框架。通过社交媒体平台或渠道使用在线问卷的横断面。使用了滚雪球采样技术。分类变量使用频率和百分比进行描述性分析,数值变量使用平均值(±SD)。使用t检验评估变量之间的双变量关系。我们使用HBM结构之间的相关性进行了多变量分析。877名参与者,平均年龄37.8(SD±11.94),主要为男性,受过大学教育,在喀土穆就业和居住。预防新冠肺炎的自我效能得分为69%,感染新冠肺炎的严重程度得分为60%,对新冠肺炎的易感性得分为54%。此外,手部卫生障碍得分较高,社交距离分别为50%和53%。自我效能感与易感性呈负相关(r=-0.084),与手部卫生的严重程度、益处和障碍、保持社交距离的益处和障碍呈正相关(r=0.117,r=0.347,r=0.202,r=0.396,r=0.276)。相当一部分公众缺乏自我效能感,对严重性和易感性的认知较低,对社交距离和手部卫生障碍的认知增加,阻碍了对预防措施的遵守。Doi:10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0304-4全文:PDF
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引用次数: 0
Survey on Knowledge, Attitude, Perception and Practice among University Students during the COVID-19 Pandemic 新冠肺炎疫情期间大学生知识、态度、感知与实践调查
Pub Date : 2021-06-22 DOI: 10.28991/scimedj-2021-03-si-9
Md Abdul Wadood, A. Mamun, Md. Abdur Rafi, Md. kamrul Islam, S. Mohd, Lai Lee Lee, S. Aik, Md. Golam Hossain
Background: The numbers of infections and death by COVID-19 have continued to rise worldwide and preventive practice has remained to be one of the most effective ways to prevent it. We conducted this study to survey the knowledge, attitude, perception and practice of university students during the early stage of the pandemic in Bangladesh. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study with 305 students from Rajshahi University, conducted between March 11 and March 19, 2020. We developed a questionnaire for collecting information regarding COVID-19 following the instructions and guidelines of WHO and used frequency distribution, Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and Mann-Whitney and Kruskal-Wallis (non-parametric) tests for data analysis. Statistical significance was accepted at p < 0.05. Results: The knowledge of the students on COVID-19 was of average level; however, more than one-third of them were unwilling to avoid public transport and travel public places with friends and family. Their practice of preventive measures was not at a satisfactory level. More than one-third of them were not keen to stay home and not hesitant to visit crowded places. About half of the students thought the pandemic would not affect their daily activities, and most of them felt it would not affect their study, financial status, fieldwork of their course, or meeting with their friends and relatives. Female students were found more knowledgeable than male ones. Conclusions: The general knowledge of students had an average level on COVID-19, but their attitude, perception and preventive practices were not consistent with their level of education. The authorities should consider the findings while promulgating policies and implementing measures for the prevention of COVID-19. Doi: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-03-SI-9 Full Text: PDF
背景:新冠肺炎的感染和死亡人数在全球范围内持续上升,预防措施仍然是最有效的预防措施之一。我们进行了这项研究,以调查孟加拉国大学生在疫情早期的知识、态度、认知和实践。方法:这是一项针对拉杰沙希大学305名学生的横断面研究,于2020年3月11日至3月19日进行。我们按照世界卫生组织的指示和指南编制了一份用于收集新冠肺炎信息的问卷,并使用频率分布、Kolmogorov-Smirnov检验以及Mann-Waitney和Kruskal-Wallis(非参数)检验进行数据分析。统计学显著性在p<0.05时被接受。结果:学生对新冠肺炎知识水平一般;然而,超过三分之一的人不愿意乘坐公共交通工具,也不愿意与朋友和家人一起去公共场所。他们采取预防措施的做法并不令人满意。超过三分之一的人不愿意呆在家里,也不犹豫地去拥挤的地方。大约一半的学生认为疫情不会影响他们的日常活动,他们中的大多数人认为疫情不会对他们的学习、经济状况、课程实地考察或与亲友会面产生影响。研究发现,女生比男生更有知识。结论:学生对新冠肺炎的一般知识水平一般,但其态度、认知和预防措施与受教育水平不一致。当局应在颁布新冠肺炎预防政策和实施措施时考虑调查结果。Doi:10.2899/1SciMedJ-2021-03-SI-9全文:PDF
{"title":"Survey on Knowledge, Attitude, Perception and Practice among University Students during the COVID-19 Pandemic","authors":"Md Abdul Wadood, A. Mamun, Md. Abdur Rafi, Md. kamrul Islam, S. Mohd, Lai Lee Lee, S. Aik, Md. Golam Hossain","doi":"10.28991/scimedj-2021-03-si-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.28991/scimedj-2021-03-si-9","url":null,"abstract":"Background: The numbers of infections and death by COVID-19 have continued to rise worldwide and preventive practice has remained to be one of the most effective ways to prevent it. We conducted this study to survey the knowledge, attitude, perception and practice of university students during the early stage of the pandemic in Bangladesh. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study with 305 students from Rajshahi University, conducted between March 11 and March 19, 2020. We developed a questionnaire for collecting information regarding COVID-19 following the instructions and guidelines of WHO and used frequency distribution, Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and Mann-Whitney and Kruskal-Wallis (non-parametric) tests for data analysis. Statistical significance was accepted at p < 0.05. Results: The knowledge of the students on COVID-19 was of average level; however, more than one-third of them were unwilling to avoid public transport and travel public places with friends and family. Their practice of preventive measures was not at a satisfactory level. More than one-third of them were not keen to stay home and not hesitant to visit crowded places. About half of the students thought the pandemic would not affect their daily activities, and most of them felt it would not affect their study, financial status, fieldwork of their course, or meeting with their friends and relatives. Female students were found more knowledgeable than male ones. Conclusions: The general knowledge of students had an average level on COVID-19, but their attitude, perception and preventive practices were not consistent with their level of education. The authorities should consider the findings while promulgating policies and implementing measures for the prevention of COVID-19. Doi: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-03-SI-9 Full Text: PDF","PeriodicalId":74776,"journal":{"name":"SciMedicine journal","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43511433","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Prediction of COVID-19 Confirmed Cases after Vaccination: Based on Statistical and Deep Learning Models 新冠肺炎疫苗接种后确诊病例预测:基于统计和深度学习模型
Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.28991/SCIMEDJ-2021-0302-7
Meejoung Kim
In this paper, we analyze and predict the number of daily confirmed cases of coronavirus (COVID-19) based on two statistical models and a deep learning (DL) model; the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH), and the stacked long short-term memory deep neural network (LSTM DNN). We find the orders of the statistical models by the autocorrelation function and the partial autocorrelation function, and the hyperparameters of the DL model, such as the numbers of LSTM cells and blocks of a cell, by the exhaustive search. Ten datasets are used in the experiment; nine countries and the world datasets, from Dec. 31, 2019, to Feb. 22, 2021, provided by the WHO. We investigate the effects of data size and vaccination on performance. Numerical results show that performance depends on the used data's dates and vaccination. It also shows that the prediction by the LSTM DNN is better than those of the two statistical models. Based on the experimental results, the percentage improvements of LSTM DNN are up to 88.54% (86.63%) and 90.15% (87.74%) compared to ARIMA and GARCH, respectively, in mean absolute error (root mean squared error). While the performances of ARIMA and GARCH are varying according to the datasets. The obtained results may provide a criterion for the performance ranges and prediction accuracy of the COVID-19 daily confirmed cases.Doi: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0302-7 Full Text: PDF
在本文中,我们基于两个统计模型和一个深度学习(DL)模型来分析和预测每日确诊的冠状病毒(新冠肺炎)病例数;自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)、广义自回归条件异方差(GARCH)和堆叠长短期记忆深度神经网络(LSTM-DNN)。我们通过自相关函数和偏自相关函数找到统计模型的阶数,并通过穷举搜索找到DL模型的超参数,如LSTM细胞和细胞块的数量。实验中使用了10个数据集;世界卫生组织提供的2019年12月31日至2021年2月22日的9个国家和世界数据集。我们研究了数据大小和疫苗接种对性能的影响。数值结果表明,性能取决于所用数据的日期和疫苗接种情况。还表明,LSTM-DNN的预测效果优于两种统计模型。基于实验结果,与ARIMA和GARCH相比,LSTM DNN的平均绝对误差(均方根误差)分别提高了88.54%(86.63%)和90.15%(87.74%)。而ARIMA和GARCH的性能根据数据集的不同而不同。所获得的结果可以为新冠肺炎每日确诊病例的表现范围和预测准确性提供标准。Doi:10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0302-7全文:PDF
{"title":"Prediction of COVID-19 Confirmed Cases after Vaccination: Based on Statistical and Deep Learning Models","authors":"Meejoung Kim","doi":"10.28991/SCIMEDJ-2021-0302-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.28991/SCIMEDJ-2021-0302-7","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we analyze and predict the number of daily confirmed cases of coronavirus (COVID-19) based on two statistical models and a deep learning (DL) model; the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH), and the stacked long short-term memory deep neural network (LSTM DNN). We find the orders of the statistical models by the autocorrelation function and the partial autocorrelation function, and the hyperparameters of the DL model, such as the numbers of LSTM cells and blocks of a cell, by the exhaustive search. Ten datasets are used in the experiment; nine countries and the world datasets, from Dec. 31, 2019, to Feb. 22, 2021, provided by the WHO. We investigate the effects of data size and vaccination on performance. Numerical results show that performance depends on the used data's dates and vaccination. It also shows that the prediction by the LSTM DNN is better than those of the two statistical models. Based on the experimental results, the percentage improvements of LSTM DNN are up to 88.54% (86.63%) and 90.15% (87.74%) compared to ARIMA and GARCH, respectively, in mean absolute error (root mean squared error). While the performances of ARIMA and GARCH are varying according to the datasets. The obtained results may provide a criterion for the performance ranges and prediction accuracy of the COVID-19 daily confirmed cases.Doi: 10.28991/SciMedJ-2021-0302-7 Full Text: PDF","PeriodicalId":74776,"journal":{"name":"SciMedicine journal","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45967631","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9
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SciMedicine journal
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