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Predictive analysis of Hajj and Umrah performance using key performance indicators (KPIs) and machine learning (ML) 利用关键绩效指标(kpi)和机器学习(ML)对朝觐和朝圣表现进行预测分析
IF 6.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aej.2025.12.032
Ahmed M. Alghamdi , Adel Bahaddad , Khalid Almarhabi , Asmaa A. Al-Zobidi
Hajj and Umrah services annually attract millions of pilgrims to Saudi Arabia, making their efficient management crucial to achieving Vision 2030’s objectives. This paper explores the use of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning to predict and optimize key performance indicators for these services. We propose an AI-driven framework that processes vast datasets to enhance decision making, improve service provision, and optimize the pilgrimage experience. Our results demonstrate significant improvements in KPI prediction accuracy, supporting Saudi Arabia’s efforts to advance the quality of Hajj and Umrah services while aligning with Vision 2030’s goals.
朝觐和朝圣活动每年吸引数百万朝圣者前往沙特阿拉伯,因此有效管理这些活动对于实现《2030年愿景》的目标至关重要。本文探讨了使用人工智能(AI)和机器学习来预测和优化这些服务的关键性能指标。我们提出了一个人工智能驱动的框架,该框架可以处理大量数据集,以增强决策,改善服务提供,并优化朝圣体验。我们的研究结果表明,关键绩效指标预测的准确性有了显著提高,支持沙特阿拉伯努力提高朝觐和朝圣服务的质量,同时与2030年愿景目标保持一致。
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引用次数: 0
ASTUNN: An enhanced spatiotemporal uncertainty guided neural network for flood management in mountainous areas 基于增强时空不确定性的山区洪水管理神经网络
IF 6.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aej.2025.12.069
Wei Liu, Dexian Li
Mountain flood disasters in rugged terrains pose significant challenges due to rapid onset, complex spatiotemporal dynamics, and data scarcity, where traditional hydrological models and pairwise graph neural networks struggle to capture multi-scale dependencies and uncertainty in propagation patterns. This study proposes the Adaptive Spatiotemporal Uncertainty-Guided Neural Network (ASTUNN), a hybrid framework that synergistically combines Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Units (BiGRU) for temporal modeling, Spherical Manifold Graph Learning (SMGL) for non-Euclidean spatial analysis, Fractional-Order Dynamic Attention (FODA) for long-memory patterns, Stochastic Variational Inference (SVI) for uncertainty quantification, and Adaptive Feature Synthesis (AFS) for multi-scale fusion. Key innovations include: (1) hyperedge-aware spatiotemporal message passing with fractional-order attention to model higher-order interactions and long-range dependencies in river networks and terrain gradients; and (2) stochastic variational uncertainty estimation to provide calibrated probabilistic forecasts and prevention capability rankings. These contributions overcome limitations of static graphs and deterministic models under rapid environmental changes. Validated on multi-source hydrological datasets from seven high-risk mountainous regions in southwest China, ASTUNN achieves an AUC-ROC of 0.947, MAE of 0.103 for prevention capability rankings, and ECE of 0.029, outperforming state-of-the-art baselines by 15–25 % while reducing false alarms by 18 % and enabling early warnings up to 48 h ahead.
起伏地形的山洪灾害由于其快速发作、复杂的时空动态和数据稀缺性带来了重大挑战,传统的水文模型和两两图神经网络难以捕捉多尺度依赖关系和传播模式的不确定性。本研究提出了自适应时空不确定性引导神经网络(ASTUNN),这是一个混合框架,它协同结合了双向门控循环单元(BiGRU)用于时间建模,球面流形图学习(SMGL)用于非欧几里得空间分析,分数阶动态注意(FODA)用于长记忆模式,随机变分推理(SVI)用于不确定性量化,自适应特征合成(AFS)用于多尺度融合。关键创新包括:(1)基于分数阶关注的超边缘感知时空信息传递,以模拟河流网络和地形梯度中的高阶相互作用和长期依赖关系;(2)随机变分不确定性估计,提供校准的概率预测和预防能力排名。这些贡献克服了静态图和确定性模型在快速环境变化下的局限性。在西南7个高风险山区的多源水文数据集上验证,ASTUNN的AUC-ROC为0.947,预防能力排名的MAE为0.103,ECE为0.029,优于最先进的基线15-25 %,同时减少了18 %的误报,并实现了提前48 h的预警。
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引用次数: 0
A dynamic reinforcement feedback network-based intelligent feedback mechanism in online learning platforms 基于动态强化反馈网络的在线学习平台智能反馈机制
IF 6.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aej.2026.01.005
Yang Xia , Yu Wang , Peng Yu
Online learning platforms’ intelligent feedback mechanisms suffer from static strategies and inadequate content adaptability, failing to meet learners’ dynamic needs. This paper proposes the Dynamic Reinforcement Feedback Network (DRF-Net), integrating Dynamic State Perception, PPO decision-making, and LLaMA 3 generation modules. Experiments on the KDD Cup and OpenEdX datasets show that DRF-Net achieves a learning effect improvement rate of 0.35±0.05 (34.6% higher than traditional models) and a cumulative reward of 56.8±4.2 (33.6% higher than single reinforcement learning models). Ablation experiments confirm the necessity of each module — removing the Dynamic State Perception module reduces the learning effect improvement rate by 22.9%. Future work will expand datasets, optimize adaptability to extreme states, and promote the model’s application in real scenarios.
在线学习平台的智能反馈机制存在静态策略和内容适应性不足的问题,无法满足学习者的动态需求。本文提出了动态强化反馈网络(DRF-Net),该网络集成了动态状态感知、PPO决策和LLaMA 3生成模块。在KDD Cup和OpenEdX数据集上的实验表明,DRF-Net的学习效果提升率为0.35±0.05(比传统模型高34.6%),累积奖励为56.8±4.2(比单一强化学习模型高33.6%)。消融实验证实了每个模块的必要性——去掉动态感知模块后,学习效果提升率降低了22.9%。未来的工作将扩展数据集,优化对极端状态的适应性,并促进模型在实际场景中的应用。
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引用次数: 0
MGHNM: A multi-granularity based on hybrid network model for postpartum hemorrhage prediction MGHNM:基于多粒度混合网络的产后出血预测模型
IF 6.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aej.2025.12.026
Xiaodan Li , Yue Zhou , Fengchun Gao , Di Cheng , Wushan Li , Kaijian Xia , Hongsheng Yin
Precise prediction of postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) is of great significance for early identification of high-risk pregnant women, optimizing medical resource allocation, and reducing maternal mortality. However, existing PPH prediction methods suffer from limitations such as coarse prediction granularity, and single-stage prediction processes, leading to insufficient prediction accuracy. This has made prediction methods based on hybrid network architectures an important research direction in current PPH studies. This paper proposes a Multi-Granularity Hybrid Network Model (MGHNM) for PPH prediction, which integrates advanced methods such as ensemble learning, convolutional neural networks (CNN), and variational autoencoders (VAE). By leveraging multi-level feature extraction, the model effectively suppresses interference from secondary information, thus significantly enhancing prediction accuracy. The MGHNM model introduces a learnable control switch mechanism to achieve dynamic feature selection, significantly enhancing the model's discriminative ability. By organically combining the CatBoost classifier, CNN feature extractor, VAE representation learning module, and Vision Transformer (ViT), the hybrid network prediction model achieves a significant improvement in prediction accuracy for the three-level classification task of PPH severity (mild, moderate, and severe). The experimental data in this paper is derived from a PPH dataset constructed from the electronic medical record (EMR) system of the Maternal and Child Health Hospital in Jinan, Shandong Province, China. Three experiments were designed: First, the hyperparameters of the prediction model were optimized and analyzed. Second, a multi-model comparative experiment was conducted. Finally, an ablation study was performed. The experimental results demonstrate the significant superiority of the proposed MGHNM model for PPH prediction. It achieves an overall mean accuracy of 89.50 % with a standard deviation of 0.0045 %, substantially outperforming both the baseline and state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods.
准确预测产后出血(PPH)对早期发现高危孕妇、优化医疗资源配置、降低孕产妇死亡率具有重要意义。然而,现有的PPH预测方法存在预测粒度粗、预测过程单阶段等局限性,导致预测精度不足。这使得基于混合网络架构的预测方法成为当前PPH研究的一个重要研究方向。本文提出了一种用于PPH预测的多粒度混合网络模型(MGHNM),该模型集成了集成学习、卷积神经网络(CNN)和变分自编码器(VAE)等先进方法。该模型通过多级特征提取,有效地抑制了二次信息的干扰,显著提高了预测精度。MGHNM模型引入了可学习的控制切换机制,实现了动态特征选择,显著提高了模型的判别能力。混合网络预测模型通过将CatBoost分类器、CNN特征提取器、VAE表示学习模块和Vision Transformer (ViT)有机结合,对PPH严重程度(轻度、中度、重度)三级分类任务的预测精度有了显著提高。本文的实验数据来源于中国山东省济南市妇幼保健院电子病历(EMR)系统构建的PPH数据集。设计了三个实验:首先,对预测模型的超参数进行了优化和分析。其次,进行了多模型对比实验。最后,进行消融研究。实验结果表明,所提出的MGHNM模型在PPH预测方面具有显著的优越性。它的总体平均准确度为89.50 %,标准差为0.0045 %,大大优于基线和最先进的(SOTA)方法。
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引用次数: 0
New oscillation results for nonlinear delay differential equations of third-order in the canonical case 三阶非线性时滞微分方程在典型情况下的新的振荡结果
IF 6.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aej.2025.12.036
Feryal Abdullah Aladsani , Ali Muhib
In this paper, we focus on finding new oscillation criteria for third-order differential equations. We used a variety of analytical techniques and combined them with new relationships to address some of the problems that have hindered previous studies. As a result, and by using comparability principles, we were able to obtain results that improve and extend some of the previous results published in the literature. We provide some examples to illustrate the effectiveness of the obtained results.
本文主要研究三阶微分方程的新的振动判据。我们使用了各种分析技术,并将它们与新的关系相结合,以解决阻碍以前研究的一些问题。因此,通过使用可比性原则,我们能够获得改进和扩展先前在文献中发表的一些结果的结果。通过算例说明所得结果的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Numerical techniques for two-parameter elastic foundation using integro-partial differential equations 双参数弹性地基的积分-偏微分方程数值计算技术
IF 6.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aej.2025.12.037
P. Antony Prince , Sekar Elango , L. Govindarao , Bundit Unyong
This article presents numerical techniques for solving two-parameter singularly perturbed differential equations, which include a Fredholm integral term. Such problems arise in shell structures interacting with two-parameter elastic foundations. The proposed approach employs a developed exponentially fitted operator for the spatial component, the composite trapezoidal rule for the integral component on a uniform grid, and the backward Euler method for the temporal component to approximate the solution. The method achieves a first-order convergence rate when ϵμ2, and a second-order rate when μ2ϵ in the spatial direction and first-order convergence in the temporal direction. Numerical findings are presented to demonstrate the theoretical framework of the proposed technique.
本文给出了求解含Fredholm积分项的双参数奇摄动微分方程的数值方法。这种问题出现在壳结构与双参数弹性基础相互作用时。该方法对空间分量采用发展的指数拟合算子,对均匀网格上的积分分量采用复合梯形规则,对时间分量采用倒推欧拉法逼近解。该方法在χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ χ。数值结果证明了该技术的理论框架。
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引用次数: 0
GSPH: Granularity-guided Saturation Proxy Hashing with Self-adaptive Feature Importance for image retrieval GSPH:具有自适应特征重要性的粒度引导饱和代理哈希图像检索
IF 6.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aej.2025.12.047
Richen Huang , Wenhua Zhou , Li Li , Jiyang Ye , Xiaolong Chen , Shuhua Peng
Deep supervised hashing, learning compact binary codes under label supervision through deep neural networks, is mainstream for large-scale image retrieval. However, existing methods still face two limitations. First, existing methods typically adopt a category-agnostic optimization mechanism for intra-category compactness, which neglects the varying intra-category diversity caused by category granularity and thereby limits model generalization. Moreover, these methods assign equal importance to all extracted features when feeding them into the hash layer, neglecting the incorporated irrelevant background information during feature extraction, reducing hash codes discriminative power. To address these, we propose a novel Granularity-guided Saturation Proxy Hashing (GSPH) framework. First, we introduce a Granularity-guided Saturation Proxy (GSP) loss that employs category-specific Hamming balls to achieve an optimization saturation mechanism: samples within their Hamming balls are deemed saturated and thus terminated from optimization, while those outside continue to be optimized toward their proxy. Additionally, GSP establishes a negative boundary with fixed margin outside each category’s Hamming ball, effectively ensuring inter-category separability. Second, we develop a Self-adaptive Feature Importance (SFI) module that employs gating mechanism to regulate feature importance during feature extraction, ensuring more discriminative representations. Extensive experiments on four benchmark datasets demonstrate that our method consistently outperforms existing methods.
深度监督哈希是指通过深度神经网络在标签监督下学习紧凑二进制码,是大规模图像检索的主流。然而,现有的方法仍然面临两个局限性。首先,现有方法通常采用与类别无关的类别内紧度优化机制,忽略了类别粒度引起的类别内多样性的变化,从而限制了模型的泛化。此外,这些方法在将提取的特征输入哈希层时对所有提取的特征赋予同等的重要性,在特征提取过程中忽略了合并的不相关背景信息,降低了哈希码的判别能力。为了解决这些问题,我们提出了一种新的粒度导向饱和代理哈希(GSPH)框架。首先,我们引入了一个粒度导向的饱和代理(GSP)损失,该损失采用特定类别的汉明球来实现优化饱和机制:汉明球内的样本被认为是饱和的,因此从优化中终止,而那些外部的样本继续朝着其代理进行优化。此外,GSP在每个类别的汉明球之外建立了一个固定边界的负边界,有效地保证了类别间的可分离性。其次,我们开发了一个自适应特征重要性(SFI)模块,该模块在特征提取过程中采用门控机制来调节特征重要性,以确保更具区别性的表征。在四个基准数据集上的大量实验表明,我们的方法始终优于现有的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Mathematical model analysis and solution properties of nonlinear filtration processes in multidimensional domains 多维域非线性过滤过程的数学模型分析及解的性质
IF 6.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aej.2025.12.062
Mamatov Abrorjon , Aziza Nurumova , Mohammed Alharthi , Eman Ghareeb Rezk , Zaid Bassfar , Marwa M. Alzubaidi
This paper investigates a nonlinear thermo-chemical diffusion-reaction system characterized by coupled parabolic equations that govern the spatio-temporal evolution of temperature and concentration-dependent processes. The model incorporates nonlinear diffusion coefficients, cross-coupling terms, and nonlinear source functions, which collectively describe the complex interplay between heat and mass transfer in reactive media. A robust numerical framework is developed based on an Alternating Direction Implicit (ADI) scheme of the Peaceman-Rachford type, allowing for efficient and stable time integration of the nonlinear system. The implementation ensures high computational efficiency and improved numerical stability, particularly for stiff reaction terms and strongly coupled diffusion dynamics. Comprehensive numerical experiments are conducted to validate the accuracy and stability of the proposed scheme. Error convergence analysis confirms the expected second-order spatial and first-order temporal accuracy, while the time-step sensitivity and stability tests demonstrate the robustness of the algorithm under various discretization parameters. Boundary layer behavior is also examined to capture localized gradients and nonlinear interaction patterns. The obtained results reveal that the proposed computational framework accurately reproduces the characteristic thermo-chemical diffusion phenomena and maintains stability even under extreme parameter regimes. The study provides a reliable numerical tool for analyzing multi-scale diffusion-reaction systems relevant to chemical engineering, materials processing, and thermal energy storage applications.
本文研究了一个以耦合抛物方程为特征的非线性热化学扩散反应系统,该系统控制温度和浓度依赖过程的时空演化。该模型包含非线性扩散系数、交叉耦合项和非线性源函数,它们共同描述了反应介质中传热传质之间的复杂相互作用。基于Peaceman-Rachford型交替方向隐式(ADI)格式,建立了鲁棒的数值框架,实现了非线性系统高效稳定的时间积分。该实现保证了较高的计算效率和改进的数值稳定性,特别是对于刚性反应项和强耦合扩散动力学。通过全面的数值实验验证了该方案的准确性和稳定性。误差收敛分析证实了该算法具有预期的二阶空间精度和一阶时间精度,时间步长灵敏度和稳定性测试证明了该算法在各种离散化参数下的鲁棒性。边界层行为也被检查捕捉局部梯度和非线性相互作用模式。结果表明,所提出的计算框架准确地再现了典型的热化学扩散现象,即使在极端参数条件下也能保持稳定性。该研究为分析化学工程、材料加工和热能储存等应用中的多尺度扩散反应系统提供了可靠的数值工具。
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引用次数: 0
A multiscale physics-informed framework for robust no-reference underwater image quality evaluation 鲁棒无参考水下图像质量评价的多尺度物理信息框架
IF 6.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aej.2025.12.048
Mobeen Ur Rehman , Zeeshan Abbas , Muhammad Fahad Nasir , Irfan Hussain
The quality of underwater imagery is critical to the success of marine exploration, ecological monitoring, and autonomous underwater operations, where visual data often serve as the primary sensory modality. However, underwater image acquisition is fundamentally constrained by the physics of light propagation in water leading to color distortions, turbidity, scattering-induced haze, and loss of structural detail. Despite significant advancements in underwater image enhancement (UIE), the field of underwater image quality assessment (UIQA) remains underexplored, particularly in no-reference (NR) settings where pristine images are unavailable. Existing NR UIQA methods are either overly reliant on handcrafted features or exhibit limited generalizability across diverse underwater domains. In this paper, we introduce PUIQA, a physically grounded, multi-domain multi-scale descriptor framework for robust no-reference underwater image quality prediction. Our approach systematically fuses features derived from physical imaging priors (e.g., non-uniform illumination, veiling light gradients), perceptual features (e.g., local entropy, edge energy, contrast), and frequency-domain signatures (e.g., DCT-based structural degradation). To further model scale-variant degradations, we extend these descriptors across Gaussian and resolution-based multiscale domains. The extracted features are combined into a high-dimensional representation and regressed via a support vector regression (SVR) pipeline optimized for perceptual fidelity. To validate the generalizability and robustness of PUIQA, we conduct extensive experiments on two diverse and publicly available underwater image datasets: UID2021, and UIEB. PUIQA achieves SROCC of 0.726/0.768 and PLCC of 0.754/0.773 on UWIQA and UID2021, outperforming existing NR-IQA metrics, demonstrating strong cross-dataset transferability and effectiveness in handling both real and synthetic underwater distortions. This work presents a substantial step toward establishing a principled, generalizable foundation for blind UIQA in practical underwater imaging systems. The full implementation of PUIQA is publicly available at: https://github.com/Rehman1995/PUIQA.
水下图像的质量对海洋勘探、生态监测和自主水下作业的成功至关重要,其中视觉数据通常是主要的感官方式。然而,水下图像采集从根本上受到光在水中传播的物理特性的限制,导致颜色失真、浑浊、散射引起的雾霾和结构细节的丢失。尽管水下图像增强(UIE)取得了重大进展,但水下图像质量评估(uqa)领域仍未得到充分探索,特别是在无参考(NR)环境中,原始图像不可用。现有的NR UIQA方法要么过度依赖于手工制作的特征,要么在不同的水下领域表现出有限的通用性。本文介绍了一种基于物理基础的多域多尺度描述子框架PUIQA,用于鲁棒无参考水下图像质量预测。我们的方法系统地融合了来自物理成像先验(例如,非均匀照明,遮蔽光梯度),感知特征(例如,局部熵,边缘能量,对比度)和频域特征(例如,基于dct的结构退化)的特征。为了进一步模拟尺度变量的退化,我们将这些描述符扩展到高斯和基于分辨率的多尺度域。将提取的特征组合成高维表示,并通过针对感知保真度优化的支持向量回归(SVR)管道进行回归。为了验证PUIQA的通用性和鲁棒性,我们在两个不同的公开可用的水下图像数据集:UID2021和UIEB上进行了广泛的实验。PUIQA在UWIQA和UID2021上实现了0.726/0.768的SROCC和0.754/0.773的PLCC,优于现有的NR-IQA指标,在处理真实和合成水下失真方面表现出强大的跨数据集可转移性和有效性。这项工作为在实际水下成像系统中建立盲UIQA的原则、可推广的基础迈出了实质性的一步。PUIQA的完整实现可以在:https://github.com/Rehman1995/PUIQA上公开获得。
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引用次数: 0
A new modified homotopy perturbation method for strongly nonlinear oscillators 强非线性振子的一种新的修正同伦摄动方法
IF 6.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.aej.2025.12.044
Nazmul Sharif, M.S. Alam, Helal Uddin Molla
A newly modified version of the homotopy perturbation method (MHPM) is developed to obtain accurate periodic solutions for strongly nonlinear oscillators, including the fractal Duffing oscillator with arbitrary initial conditions and nonlinear oscillators in microelectromechanical systems. This modification builds on He’s homotopy perturbation method by presenting time scaling and an improved treatment of the power series expansion for the frequency. The key feature of this method is the systematic truncation of the infinite series at each approximation order before applying it to the next-order differential equation, ensuring improved convergence and accuracy. The proposed method is validated for a wide range of initial amplitudes, demonstrating an excellent agreement between the approximate and exact solutions. Notably, even the first-order approximate frequency provides remarkable precision for both small and large oscillation amplitudes. The frequency–amplitude relationship is also derived using He’s frequency formulation. Comparisons with other analytical and numerical methods confirm that MHPM is not only computationally efficient but also provides highly accurate and rapidly converging solutions, making it a powerful tool for analyzing complex nonlinear oscillatory systems. These results suggest that the MHPM can be effectively applied to the study and design of MEMS devices and other complex engineering systems involving nonlinear vibrations.
提出了一种改进的同伦摄动法(MHPM),用于求解具有任意初始条件的分形Duffing振子和微机电系统中的非线性振子等强非线性振子的精确周期解。这种改进建立在He的同伦摄动方法的基础上,提出了时间尺度和频率幂级数展开的改进处理。该方法的主要特点是在应用于下一阶微分方程之前,在每个近似阶上系统地截断无穷级数,从而保证了提高的收敛性和准确性。该方法在较宽的初始振幅范围内得到了验证,证明了近似解和精确解之间的良好一致性。值得注意的是,即使是一阶近似频率也可以为小振幅和大振幅的振荡提供显著的精度。利用何氏频率公式也推导出了频率与振幅的关系。与其他解析和数值方法的比较表明,MHPM不仅计算效率高,而且求解精度高,收敛速度快,是分析复杂非线性振荡系统的有力工具。这些结果表明,MHPM可以有效地应用于MEMS器件和其他涉及非线性振动的复杂工程系统的研究和设计。
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引用次数: 0
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