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Traffic flow prediction using bi-directional gated recurrent unit method. 基于双向门控循环单元法的交通流预测。
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s44212-022-00015-z
Shengyou Wang, Chunfu Shao, Jie Zhang, Yan Zheng, Meng Meng

Traffic flow prediction plays an important role in intelligent transportation systems. To accurately capture the complex non-linear temporal characteristics of traffic flow, this paper adopts a Bi-directional Gated Recurrent Unit (Bi-GRU) model in traffic flow prediction. Compared to Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), which can memorize information from the previous sequence, this model can memorize the traffic flow information in both previous and subsequent sequence. To demonstrate the model's performance, a set of real case data at 1-hour intervals from 5 working days was used, wherein the dataset was separated into training and validation. To improve data quality, an augmented dickey-fuller unit root test and differential processing were performed before model training. Four benchmark models were used, including the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM), and GRU. The prediction results show the superior performance of Bi-GRU. The Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of the Bi-GRU model are 30.38, 9.88%, and 23.35, respectively. The prediction accuracy of LSTM, Bi-LSTM, GRU, and Bi-GRU, which belong to deep learning methods, is significantly higher than that of the traditional ARIMA model. The MAPE difference of Bi-GRU and GRU is 0.48% which is a small prediction error value. The results show that the prediction accuracy of the peak period is higher than that of the low peak. The Bi-GRU model has a certain lag on traffic flow prediction.

交通流预测在智能交通系统中起着重要作用。为了准确捕捉交通流复杂的非线性时间特征,本文采用双向门控循环单元(Bi-GRU)模型进行交通流预测。与门控循环单元(GRU)记忆前一个序列的信息相比,该模型可以记忆前一个序列和后一个序列的交通流信息。为了验证模型的性能,使用了5个工作日间隔1小时的真实案例数据集,其中数据集分为训练和验证两部分。为了提高数据质量,在模型训练前进行了增强dickey-fuller单位根检验和差分处理。采用自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)、长短期记忆(LSTM)、双向长短期记忆(Bi-LSTM)和GRU四种基准模型。预测结果表明,Bi-GRU具有优越的性能。Bi-GRU模型的均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)分别为30.38%、9.88%和23.35%。LSTM、Bi-LSTM、GRU和Bi-GRU属于深度学习方法,其预测精度明显高于传统的ARIMA模型。Bi-GRU与GRU的MAPE差值为0.48%,预测误差较小。结果表明,峰值时段的预测精度高于低峰时段的预测精度。Bi-GRU模型在交通流预测上存在一定的滞后性。
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引用次数: 6
Towards a new paradigm for segregation measurement in an age of big data. 大数据时代的隔离测量新范式。
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s44212-022-00003-3
Qing-Quan Li, Yang Yue, Qi-Li Gao, Chen Zhong, Joana Barros

Recent theoretical and methodological advances in activity space and big data provide new opportunities to study socio-spatial segregation. This review first provides an overview of the literature in terms of measurements, spatial patterns, underlying causes, and social consequences of spatial segregation. These studies are mainly place-centred and static, ignoring the segregation experience across various activity spaces due to the dynamism of movements. In response to this challenge, we highlight the work in progress toward a new paradigm for segregation studies. Specifically, this review presents how and the extent to which activity space methods can advance segregation research from a people-based perspective. It explains the requirements of mobility-based methods for quantifying the dynamics of segregation due to high movement within the urban context. It then discusses and illustrates a dynamic and multi-dimensional framework to show how big data can enhance understanding segregation by capturing individuals' spatio-temporal behaviours. The review closes with new directions and challenges for segregation research using big data.

最近,活动空间和大数据在理论和方法上的进步为研究社会空间隔离问题提供了新的机遇。本综述首先从空间隔离的测量、空间模式、根本原因和社会后果等方面概述了相关文献。这些研究主要是以地点为中心的静态研究,忽略了由于流动的动态性而导致的各种活动空间的隔离体验。为了应对这一挑战,我们重点介绍了为建立新的隔离研究范式而正在开展的工作。具体来说,本综述介绍了活动空间方法如何以及在多大程度上可以从以人为本的角度推进隔离研究。它解释了基于流动性的方法对量化城市环境中因高流动性导致的隔离动态的要求。然后讨论并说明了一个动态和多维框架,以展示大数据如何通过捕捉个人的时空行为来加深对隔离的理解。综述最后提出了利用大数据进行隔离研究的新方向和新挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Prospective for urban informatics. 城市信息学展望。
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s44212-022-00006-0
Wenzhong Shi, Michael Goodchild, Michael Batty, Qingquan Li, Xintao Liu, Anshu Zhang

The specialization of different urban sectors, theories, and technologies and their confluence in city development have led to a greatly accelerated growth in urban informatics, the transdisciplinary field for understanding and developing the city through new information technologies. While this young and highly promising field has attracted multiple reviews of its advances and outlook for its future, it would be instructive to probe further into the research initiatives of this rapidly evolving field, to provide reference to the development of not only urban informatics, but moreover the future of cities as a whole. This article thus presents a collection of research initiatives for urban informatics, based on the reviews of the state of the art in this field. The initiatives cover three levels, namely the future of urban science; core enabling technologies including geospatial artificial intelligence, high-definition mapping, quantum computing, artificial intelligence and the internet of things (AIoT), digital twins, explainable artificial intelligence, distributed machine learning, privacy-preserving deep learning, and applications in urban design and planning, transport, location-based services, and the metaverse, together with a discussion of algorithmic and data-driven approaches. The article concludes with hopes for the future development of urban informatics and focusses on the balance between our ever-increasing reliance on technology and important societal concerns.

不同城市部门、理论和技术的专业化及其在城市发展中的融合,极大地加速了城市信息学的发展,这是一个通过新信息技术理解和发展城市的跨学科领域。虽然这一年轻且极具前景的领域吸引了人们对其进展和未来前景的多次回顾,但进一步探讨这一快速发展的领域的研究举措将是有益的,不仅可以为城市信息学的发展提供参考,也可以为整个城市的未来提供参考。因此,本文在回顾该领域最新技术的基础上,提出了一系列城市信息学的研究举措。这些倡议涵盖三个层面,即城市科学的未来;核心赋能技术,包括地理空间人工智能、高清地图、量子计算、人工智能和物联网、数字孪生、可解释人工智能、分布式机器学习、隐私保护深度学习,以及在城市设计和规划、交通、基于位置的服务和元宇宙中的应用,以及算法和数据驱动方法的讨论。文章最后对城市信息学的未来发展抱有希望,并重点关注我们日益依赖技术和重要社会问题之间的平衡。
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引用次数: 3
Spatial-temporal differences of COVID-19 vaccinations in the U.S. 美国 COVID-19 疫苗接种的时空差异
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-12-19 DOI: 10.1007/s44212-022-00019-9
Qian Huang, Susan L Cutter

Although the disparities in COVID-19 outcomes have been proved, they have not been explicitly associated with COVID-19 full vaccinations. This paper examines the spatial and temporal patterns of the county-level COVID-19 case rates, fatality rates, and full vaccination rates in the United States from December 24, 2020 through September 30, 2021. Statistical and geospatial analyses show clear temporal and spatial patterns of the progression of COVID-19 outcomes and vaccinations. In the relationship between two time series, the fatality rates series was positively related to past lags of the case rates series. At the same time, case rates series and fatality rates series were negatively related to past lags of the full vaccination rates series. The lag level varies across urban and rural areas. The results of partial correlation, ordinary least squares (OLS) and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) also confirmed that the existing COVID-19 infections and different sets of socioeconomic, healthcare access, health conditions, and environmental characteristics were independently associated with COVID-19 vaccinations over time and space. These results empirically identify the geographic health disparities with COVID-19 vaccinations and outcomes and provide the evidentiary basis for targeting pandemic recovery and public health mitigation actions.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s44212-022-00019-9.

尽管 COVID-19 结果的差异已经得到证实,但它们与 COVID-19 疫苗接种率之间并没有明确的联系。本文研究了 2020 年 12 月 24 日至 2021 年 9 月 30 日期间美国县级 COVID-19 病例率、死亡率和全面接种率的时空模式。统计和地理空间分析表明,COVID-19 结果和疫苗接种的进展具有明显的时间和空间模式。在两个时间序列之间的关系中,死亡率序列与病例率序列过去的滞后期呈正相关。同时,病例率系列和死亡率系列与全部接种率系列过去的滞后期呈负相关。城市和农村地区的滞后水平各不相同。部分相关性、普通最小二乘法(OLS)和地理加权回归(GWR)的结果也证实,现有的 COVID-19 感染和不同的社会经济、医疗服务、健康状况和环境特征在时间和空间上与 COVID-19 疫苗接种独立相关。这些结果从经验上确定了 COVID-19 疫苗接种和结果的地域健康差异,为有针对性地采取大流行恢复和公共卫生缓解行动提供了证据基础:在线版本包含补充材料,可查阅 10.1007/s44212-022-00019-9。
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引用次数: 0
Data science for pedestrian and high street retailing as a framework for advancing urban informatics to individual scales. 步行街和高街零售业的数据科学是将城市信息学推进到个人规模的框架。
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.1007/s44212-022-00009-x
Paul M Torrens

Background: In this paper, we consider the applicability of the customer journey framework from retailing as a driver for urban informatics at individual scales within urban science. The customer journey considers shopper experiences in the context of shopping paths, retail service spaces, and touch-points that draw them into contact. Around this framework, retailers have developed sophisticated data science for observation, identification, and measurement of customers in the context of their shopping behavior. This knowledge supports broad data-driven understanding of customer experiences in physical spaces, economic spaces of decision and choice, persuasive spaces of advertising and branding, and inter-personal spaces of customer-staff interaction.

Method: We review the literature on pedestrian and high street retailing, and on urban informatics. We investigate whether the customer journey could be usefully repurposed for urban applications. Specifically, we explore the potential use of the customer journey framework for producing new insight into pedestrian behavior, where a sort of empirical hyperopia has long abounded because data are always in short supply.

Results: Our review addresses how the customer journey might be used as a structure for examining how urban walkers come into contact with the built environment, how people actively and passively sense and perceive ambient city life as they move, how pedestrians make sense of urban context, and how they use this knowledge to build cognition of city streetscapes. Each of these topics has relevance to walking studies specifically, but also to urban science more generally. We consider how retailing might reciprocally benefit from urban science perspectives, especially in extending the reach of retailers' insight beyond store walls, into the retail high streets from which they draw custom.

Conclusion: We conclude that a broad set of theoretical frameworks, data collection schemes, and analytical methodologies that have advanced retail data science closer and closer to individual-level acumen might be usefully applied to accomplish the same in urban informatics. However, we caution that differences between retailers' and urban scientists' viewpoints on privacy presents potential controversy.

背景:在本文中,我们考虑将零售业的顾客旅程框架作为城市科学中各个尺度的城市信息学的驱动力。顾客旅程考虑了购物者在购物路径、零售服务空间以及吸引他们接触的接触点方面的体验。围绕这一框架,零售商开发了先进的数据科学,用于观察、识别和测量顾客的购物行为。这些知识支持对顾客在实体空间、决策和选择的经济空间、广告和品牌的说服空间以及顾客与员工互动的人际空间中的体验进行广泛的数据驱动式理解:我们回顾了有关步行街和高街零售业以及城市信息学的文献。方法:我们回顾了有关步行街和高街零售业以及城市信息学的文献,并调查了顾客旅程是否可被重新用于城市应用。具体而言,我们探讨了顾客旅程框架的潜在用途,以便对行人行为提出新的见解:我们的综述探讨了如何将顾客旅程作为一种结构,用于研究城市步行者如何与建筑环境接触,人们在移动过程中如何主动和被动地感知和感知城市生活环境,行人如何理解城市环境,以及他们如何利用这些知识建立对城市街道景观的认知。这些主题中的每一个都与步行研究相关,同时也与更广泛的城市科学相关。我们考虑了零售业如何从城市科学视角中获益,特别是在将零售商的洞察力延伸到店外,延伸到他们吸引顾客的商业街方面:我们的结论是,一套广泛的理论框架、数据收集方案和分析方法使零售数据科学越来越接近于个人层面的敏锐性,这些理论框架、数据收集方案和分析方法可以有效地应用于城市信息学。不过,我们要提醒的是,零售商和城市科学家在隐私问题上的观点差异会带来潜在的争议。
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引用次数: 0
Using unstable data from mobile phone applications to examine recent trajectories of retail centre recovery. 利用来自手机应用的不稳定数据,研究零售中心近期的复苏轨迹。
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-12-20 DOI: 10.1007/s44212-022-00022-0
Patrick Ballantyne, Alex Singleton, Les Dolega

The COVID-19 pandemic has changed the ways in which we shop, with significant impacts on retail and consumption spaces. Yet, empirical evidence of these impacts, specifically at the national level, or focusing on latter periods of the pandemic remain notably absent. Using a large spatio-temporal mobility dataset, which exhibits significant temporal instability, we explore the recovery of retail centres from summer 2021 to 2022, considering in particular how these responses are determined by the functional and structural characteristics of retail centres and their regional geography. Our findings provide important empirical evidence of the multidimensionality of retail centre recovery, highlighting in particular the importance of composition, e-resilience and catchment deprivation in determining such trajectories, and identifying key retail centre functions and regions that appear to be recovering faster than others. In addition, we present a use case for mobility data that exhibits temporal stability, highlighting the benefits of viewing mobility data as a series of snapshots rather than a complete time series. It is our view that such data, when controlling for temporal stability, can provide a useful way to monitor the economic performance of retail centres over time, providing evidence that can inform policy decisions, and support interventions to both acute and longer-term issues in the retail sector.

COVID-19 大流行改变了我们的购物方式,对零售和消费空间产生了重大影响。然而,有关这些影响的经验证据,特别是在国家层面上,或者关注大流行后期的证据,仍然明显缺乏。我们利用具有显著时间不稳定性的大型时空流动性数据集,探讨了零售中心从 2021 年夏季到 2022 年的恢复情况,特别考虑了零售中心的功能和结构特征及其区域地理如何决定了这些反应。我们的研究结果为零售中心复苏的多维性提供了重要的实证证据,特别强调了构成、电子复原力和集水区贫困在决定这种轨迹方面的重要性,并确定了似乎比其他地区复苏更快的主要零售中心功能和地区。此外,我们还介绍了具有时间稳定性的流动性数据的使用案例,强调了将流动性数据视为一系列快照而非完整时间序列的好处。我们认为,在控制时间稳定性的情况下,此类数据可以为监测零售中心的长期经济表现提供有用的方法,为政策决策提供依据,并支持对零售业的急性和长期问题进行干预。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction to Urban Systems and Applications 城市系统与应用导论
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-981-15-8983-6_10
M. Kwan
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引用次数: 1
Urban Risks and Resilience 城市风险与韧性
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-981-15-8983-6_13
S. Cutter
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引用次数: 6
Introduction to Urban Sensing 城市传感概论
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-981-15-8983-6_19
W. Shi
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引用次数: 4
Transportation Modeling 交通建模
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-981-15-8983-6_47
E. Miller
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Urban informatics
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