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Solar Soft X-ray Irradiance Variability III: Magnetic Field Variations of Coronal X-ray Features 太阳软 X 射线辐照度变化 III:日冕 X 射线特征的磁场变化
IF 2.8 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Physics and Astronomy Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-024-02289-9
Rangaiah Kariyappa, H. N. Adithya, Satoshi Masuda, Kanya Kusano, Shinsuke Imada, Joe Zender, Luc Damé, Edward DeLuca, Mark Weber, Takuma Matsumoto

The magnetic field changes the radiative output of the Sun and is the main source for all the solar surface features. To study the role of the underlying photospheric magnetic field in relation to emission features observed in the solar corona, we have used the full-disk soft X-ray images from Hinode/X-Ray Telescope (Hinode/XRT) and the magnetograms obtained from the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) on board the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) for a period of about 13 years (May 2010 – June 2023), which covers Solar Cycle 24 and the ascending phase of Solar Cycle 25. A sophisticated and established algorithm developed in Python is applied to the X-ray observations from Hinode/XRT to segment the different coronal features by creating segmentation maps of the active regions (ARs), coronal holes (CHs), background regions (BGs), and X-ray bright points (XBPs). Further, these maps have been applied to the full-disk (FD) line-of-sight (LOS) magnetograms from HMI to isolate the X-ray coronal features and photospheric magnetic counterparts, respectively. We computed full-disk and featurewise averages of X-ray intensity and LOS magnetic field (MF) over ARs, CHs, BGs, XBPs, and FD regions. Variations in the quantities resulting from the segmentation, namely the mean intensity, temperature from the filter ratio method, and the unsigned magnetic field of ARs, CHs, BGs, XBPs, and FD regions, are intercompared and compared with the sunspot number (SSN). We find that the X-ray intensity and temperature over ARs, CHs, BGs, XBPs, and FD regions are well correlated with the underlying magnetic field. We discuss the intensity, temperature, and magnetic field variations of the full-disk corona and of all the features. The time series plots of the unsigned magnetic field of the full disk and all the features show magnetic field fluctuations synchronized with the solar cycle (sunspot number). Although the magnetic field of all features varies, the mean, spatially smoothed magnitude of the magnetic field values estimated for the whole observed period of the full disk is around 8.9 ± 2.60 G, active regions (ARs) are around 34.4 ± 18.42 G, whereas BGs, CHs, and XBPs are 7.7 ± 1.72 G, 6.6 ± 1.04 G, and 15.62 ± 8.76 G, respectively. In addition, we find that the mean magnetic field contribution of the background regions (BGs) is around 85(%), whereas ARs, CHs, and XBPs are 11(%), 2(%), and 2(%), respectively, to the average magnetic field of the full disk. The magnetic field time series of all the features suggest that the features show a high variability in their magnetic field and the fluctuations in magnetic field are correlated to fluctuations in intensity and temperature, suggesting that the magnetic field is important in producing different emission features, which are associated with different intensity and temperature values. The magnetic field is responsible for the he

磁场改变了太阳的辐射输出,是所有太阳表面特征的主要来源。为了研究光球层底层磁场与日冕中观测到的辐射特征之间的关系,我们使用了来自Hinode/X射线望远镜(Hinode/XRT)的全盘软X射线图像和太阳动力学观测台(SDO)上的太阳地震和磁成像仪(HMI)获得的磁图,时间跨度约为13年(2010年5月至2023年6月),涵盖了太阳周期24和太阳周期25的上升阶段。使用 Python 开发的一种复杂而成熟的算法被应用于来自 Hinode/XRT 的 X 射线观测,通过创建活动区 (AR)、日冕洞 (CH)、背景区 (BG) 和 X 射线亮点 (XBP) 的分割图来分割不同的日冕特征。此外,还将这些地图应用于来自 HMI 的全盘(FD)视线(LOS)磁图,以分别分离出 X 射线日冕特征和光球磁对应物。我们计算了ARs、CHs、BGs、XBPs和FD区域的X射线强度和LOS磁场(MF)的全盘平均值和特征平均值。比较了分段法产生的量的变化,即 ARs、CHs、BGs、XBPs 和 FD 区域的平均强度、滤波比方法产生的温度以及无符号磁场,并与太阳黑子数(SSN)进行了比较。我们发现,ARs、CHs、BGs、XBPs 和 FD 区域的 X 射线强度和温度与底层磁场有很好的相关性。我们讨论了全盘日冕和所有特征的强度、温度和磁场变化。全磁盘和所有特征的无符号磁场时间序列图显示出与太阳周期(太阳黑子数)同步的磁场波动。尽管所有地物的磁场都不相同,但在整个观测周期内,全磁盘的平均空间平滑磁场值约为 8.9 ± 2.60 G,活动区(ARs)约为 34.4 ± 18.42 G,而 BGs、CHs 和 XBPs 分别为 7.7 ± 1.72 G、6.6 ± 1.04 G 和 15.62 ± 8.76 G。此外,我们还发现背景区域(BGs)的平均磁场贡献大约为85(%),而ARs、CHs和XBPs对整个磁盘平均磁场的贡献分别为11(%)、2(%)和2(%)。所有地物的磁场时间序列表明,这些地物的磁场变化很大,磁场的波动与强度和温度的波动相关,这说明磁场在产生不同的发射特征方面起着重要作用,而不同的发射特征与不同的强度和温度值相关。磁场对发射特征的加热速率负责,而发射特征在太阳周期的时间尺度上变化很大。我们从全磁盘强度-温度-磁图分析中得出结论,磁场在驱动这些磁性特征所在位置的不同亮度、辐射、温度和日冕加热方面起着至关重要的作用。在这项研究中,我们证明了在软 X 射线波长下观测到的分段日冕特征可以用来作为分离相应的底层磁结构的替代物。
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引用次数: 0
The Tautenburg Solar Laboratory (TauSoL) as Pathfinder for SPRING 作为 SPRING 探路者的陶腾堡太阳能实验室(TauSoL)
IF 2.8 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Physics and Astronomy Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-024-02279-x
Markus Roth, Hans-Peter Doerr, Hemanth Pruthvi, Michael Sigwarth, Dirk Soltau

The Tautenburg Solar Laboratory is a new solar observation facility to develop full-disc instrumentation for a new synoptic solar network. In the first phase, a ful-disc spectropolarimeter based on a single tunable etalon placed at the telescope aperture is developed. The development includes a container-based light feed system and optical laboratory, the instrumentation as well as calibration and data reduction pipelines. The ultimate scientific goal is the quasisimultaneous observation of spectral lines for synoptic studies and helioseismic investigations of the Sun.

陶腾堡太阳实验室是一个新的太阳观测设施,旨在为新的太阳同步网络开发全圆盘仪器。在第一阶段,将开发一个全圆盘分光测极仪,该仪器基于放置在望远镜孔径处的单个可调谐等离子体。开发工作包括基于容器的进光系统和光学实验室、仪器以及校准和数据还原管道。最终的科学目标是同时观测光谱线,用于太阳的同步研究和日震调查。
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引用次数: 0
Rudolf Wolf to Alfred Wolfer: The Transfer of the Reference Observer in the International Sunspot Number Series (1876–1893) 鲁道夫-沃尔夫(Rudolf Wolf)到阿尔弗雷德-沃尔夫(Alfred Wolfer):国际太阳黑子数列参考观测员的转移(1876-1893 年)
IF 2.8 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Physics and Astronomy Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-024-02261-7
S. Bhattacharya, L. Lefèvre, T. Chatzistergos, H. Hayakawa, M. Jansen

In 1876, Alfred Wolfer started observing the Sun and recording the properties of sunspots alongside Rudolf Wolf. Their observations became the basis for the construction of the sunspot-number series. After Wolf’s death in 1893, Wolfer became the primary observer for the sunspot-number series. Even though the observations of Wolf and Wolfer had an overlap of almost 17 years (1876–1893), this shift of primary observer from Wolf to Wolfer seems to have led to inconsistencies in the sunspot-number series, primarily due to inhomogeneities in Wolf’s observations. To address this issue we digitise Mittheilungen (Wolf’s journals) and analyse their tabulated datasets. These journals include the raw sunspot data from various observers that the Zürich Observatory used to compile the sunspot number series (SNV1). These datasets have been used as source data for the construction of the first version of the sunspot number (SNV1) series, but they were not digitally accessible for a recalibration of the sunspot-number series until recently. We have also acquired external datasets from recent archival investigations for contemporaneous sunspot observations. In this study, we use the Mittheilungen dataset to produce a new recalibration of the sunspot-number series covering 1816–1944, using four major observers (Tevel, Schwabe, Weber and Wolfer) as backbones. The availability of the raw data allows us to identify issues in the determination of the scaling factors or (k)-factors, between the records of different observers, but also the use of modern techniques for cross-calibrations. Our reconstruction for the years 1816–1944 is carried out with a novel method inspired by Chatzistergos et al. (Astron. Astrophys. 602, A69, 2017) allowing us to eliminate inconsistencies that resulted from the application of erroneous (k)-factors.

1876 年,阿尔弗雷德-沃尔夫开始与鲁道夫-沃尔夫一起观测太阳并记录太阳黑子的特性。他们的观测结果成为构建太阳黑子数列的基础。1893 年沃尔夫去世后,沃尔夫成为太阳黑子数列的主要观测者。尽管沃尔夫和沃尔夫的观测数据有近 17 年的重叠期(1876-1893 年),但主要观测者从沃尔夫到沃尔夫的转变似乎导致了太阳黑子数列的不一致,这主要是由于沃尔夫观测数据的不均匀性造成的。为了解决这个问题,我们将沃尔夫的日志(Mittheilungen)数字化,并分析其表格数据集。这些日志包括苏黎世天文台用来编制太阳黑子数列(SNV1)的来自不同观测者的原始太阳黑子数据。这些数据集曾被用作构建第一版太阳黑子数列(SNV1)的源数据,但直到最近才可以通过数字方式获取这些数据,用于重新校准太阳黑子数列。我们还从最近的档案调查中获得了同期太阳黑子观测的外部数据集。在这项研究中,我们利用 Mittheilungen 数据集,以四个主要观测者(Tevel、Schwabe、Weber 和 Wolfer)为骨干,对 1816-1944 年的太阳黑子数列进行了新的重新校准。原始数据的可用性使我们能够确定不同观测者记录之间的缩放因子或(k )因子的确定问题,同时还能使用现代技术进行交叉校准。我们对1816-1944年的重建是在Chatzistergos等人(Astron. Astrophys. 602, A69, 2017)的启发下采用一种新方法进行的,这种方法允许我们消除因应用错误的(k)-因子而导致的不一致。
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引用次数: 0
Inflows Towards Bipolar Magnetic Active Regions and Their Nonlinear Impact on a Three-Dimensional Babcock–Leighton Solar Dynamo Model 流向双极磁活跃区的气流及其对三维巴布科克-莱顿太阳动力模型的非线性影响
IF 2.8 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Physics and Astronomy Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-024-02288-w
Kinfe Teweldebirhan, Mark Miesch, Sarah Gibson

The changing magnetic fields of the Sun are generated and maintained by a solar dynamo, the exact nature of which remains an unsolved fundamental problem in solar physics. Our objective in this paper is to investigate the role and impact of converging flows toward Bipolar Magnetic Regions (BMR inflows) on the Sun’s global solar dynamo. These flows are large-scale physical phenomena that have been observed and so should be included in any comprehensive solar dynamo model. We have augmented the Surface flux Transport And Babcock–LEighton (STABLE) dynamo model to study the nonlinear feedback effect of BMR inflows with magnitudes varying with surface magnetic fields. This fully-3D realistic dynamo model produces the sunspot butterfly diagram and allows a study of the relative roles of dynamo saturation mechanisms such as tilt-angle quenching and BMR inflows. The results of our STABLE simulations show that magnetic field-dependent BMR inflows significantly affect the evolution of the BMRs themselves and result in a reduced buildup of the global poloidal field due to local flux cancellation within the BMRs, to an extent that is sufficient to saturate the dynamo. As a consequence, for the first time, we have achieved fully 3D solar dynamo solutions, in which BMR inflows alone regulate the amplitudes and periods of the magnetic cycles.

太阳不断变化的磁场是由太阳动力学产生和维持的,其确切性质仍然是太阳物理学中一个尚未解决的基本问题。本文的目的是研究双极磁区汇聚流(BMR 流入流)对太阳全球太阳动力的作用和影响。这些气流是已经观测到的大尺度物理现象,因此应该被纳入任何全面的太阳动力学模型。我们增强了表面磁通传输和巴布科克-莱顿(STABLE)动力学模型,以研究BMR流入的非线性反馈效应,其大小随表面磁场的变化而变化。这个全三维现实动力学模型产生了太阳黑子蝶形图,可以研究动力学饱和机制(如倾斜角淬火和BMR流入)的相对作用。我们的 STABLE 模拟结果表明,与磁场有关的 BMR 流入极大地影响了 BMR 本身的演化,并由于 BMR 内的局部磁通抵消而导致全球极磁场的积累减少,其程度足以使动力机饱和。因此,我们首次实现了完全三维的太阳动力学解决方案,其中只有BMR流入调节磁周期的振幅和周期。
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引用次数: 0
Comprehensive Characterization of the Dynamics of Two Coronal Mass Ejections in the Outer Corona 外日冕两次日冕物质抛射的动力学综合表征
IF 2.8 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Physics and Astronomy Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-024-02290-2
Leonardo Di Lorenzo, Laura Balmaceda, Hebe Cremades, Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) play a key role in determining space-weather conditions. Therefore, it is important to understand their evolution throughout the heliosphere. In this work, we carefully analyze the evolution of two kinematically different CMEs that erupted on 16 June 2010 and 14 June 2011, in a range of heliospheric distances of approximately 4 – 18 solar radii. From nearly simultaneous coronagraph images from the Solar-Terrestrial Relations Observatory and Solar and Heliospheric Observatory, we estimate the three-dimensional speed and acceleration–time profiles. We use these profiles to calculate the dynamic and thermodynamic parameters of the CMEs, such as the contribution of the forces and the polytropic index by means of the Flux Rope Internal State (FRIS) model, which assumes a self-similar evolution. We further test the validity of this assumption by comparing with observed quantities near the Sun and at 1 AU. We find that the kinematic properties of the two events differ in their evolution, which has an impact on the relative importance of the internal forces and on the thermodynamic quantities. In addition, our analysis reveals that the assumption of self-similar evolution is valid for the behavior in the middle corona for both events. At larger distances, however, this only holds for the 16 June 2010 event, which is significantly slower than the other.

日冕物质抛射(CMEs)在决定空间天气条件方面起着关键作用。因此,了解它们在整个日光层中的演变非常重要。在这项工作中,我们仔细分析了2010年6月16日和2011年6月14日爆发的两个运动学上不同的日冕物质抛射在大约4-18个太阳半径的日光层距离范围内的演变。根据日地关系天文台和太阳与日光层天文台几乎同时拍摄的日冕仪图像,我们估算出了三维速度和加速度-时间剖面图。我们利用这些剖面图来计算集合放射粒子的动态和热力学参数,例如通过假设自相似演化的通量绳内态(FRIS)模型来计算力的贡献和多向指数。通过与太阳附近和 1 AU 处的观测数据进行比较,我们进一步检验了这一假设的有效性。我们发现,两个事件的运动特性在演化过程中有所不同,这对内力的相对重要性和热力学量都有影响。此外,我们的分析表明,自相似演化的假设对于两个事件在日冕中部的行为都是有效的。然而,在较大距离上,这一假设只适用于 2010 年 6 月 16 日的事件,其速度明显慢于另一个事件。
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引用次数: 0
Photospheric Stereoscopy: Direct Estimation of Solar Surface-Height Variations 光球立体学:直接估算太阳表面高度变化
IF 2.8 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Physics and Astronomy Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-024-02280-4
Amanda Romero Avila, Bernd Inhester, Johann Hirzberger, Sami K. Solanki

The orbit of the Solar Orbiter mission carries it and the Polarimetric and Helioseismic Imager (PHI), which is onboard, away from the Sun–Earth line, opening up the first ever possibility of doing stereoscopy of solar photospheric structures. We present a method for a stereoscopic analysis of the height variations in the solar photosphere. This method enables the estimation of relevant quantities, such as the Wilson depression of sunspots and pores. We demonstrate the feasibility of the method using simulated Stokes-(I) continuum observations of an MHD simulation of the solar-surface layers. Our method estimates the large-scale variations in the solar surface by shifting and correlating two virtual images, mapped from the same surface feature observed from two different vantage points. The resulting vector is then introduced as an initial height estimate in the least-squares Broyden–Fletcher–Goldfarb–Shanno (BFGS) optimization algorithm to reproduce smaller scale structures. The height estimates from the simulated images reproduce well the overall height variations of the MHD simulation. We studied which viewing angles give the best results and found the optimal separation of the view points to be between (10^{circ }) and (40^{circ }); but neither viewing direction should be inclined by more than (30^{circ }) from the vertical to the solar surface. The method yields reliable results if the data have a signal-to-noise ratio of 50 or higher. The influence of the spatial resolution of the observed images is considered and discussed.

太阳轨道器飞行任务的轨道将它和所搭载的极坐标和日震成像仪(PHI)带离日地线,从而首次有可能对太阳光层结构进行立体分析。我们提出了一种对太阳光层高度变化进行立体分析的方法。这种方法可以估算相关的数量,如太阳黑子和气孔的威尔逊凹陷。我们利用对太阳表面层的 MHD 模拟的模拟斯托克斯-(I)连续观测证明了该方法的可行性。我们的方法通过移动和关联两个虚拟图像来估计太阳表面的大尺度变化,这两个虚拟图像是从两个不同的有利位置观测到的同一表面特征映射而来的。然后,在最小二乘布罗伊登-弗莱彻-戈德法布-山诺(BFGS)优化算法中,将得到的矢量作为初始高度估计值,以再现较小尺度的结构。模拟图像的高度估计值很好地再现了 MHD 模拟的整体高度变化。我们研究了哪些观察角度能得到最好的结果,发现观察点的最佳间隔在 (10^{circ }) 和 (40^{circ }) 之间;但是两个观察方向从太阳表面垂直方向的倾斜度都不应超过 (30^{circ }) 。如果数据的信噪比为 50 或更高,该方法就能得到可靠的结果。考虑并讨论了观测图像空间分辨率的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Coronal Holes, Footpoint Reconnection, and the Origin of the Slow (and Fast) Solar Wind 日冕洞、脚点重新连接和慢速(和快速)太阳风的起源
IF 2.8 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Physics and Astronomy Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-024-02300-3
Y.-M. Wang
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引用次数: 0
Forbush Decreases and Associated Geomagnetic Storms: Statistical Comparison in Solar Cycles 23 and 24 福布什下降和相关地磁暴:太阳周期 23 和 24 的统计比较
IF 2.8 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Physics and Astronomy Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-024-02281-3
A. A. Melkumyan, A. V. Belov, N. S. Shlyk, M. A. Abunina, A. A. Abunin, V. A. Oleneva, V. G. Yanke

Statistical relations between the geomagnetic Dst index, cosmic ray variations, and solar wind characteristics are compared for Forbush decreases associated with: (i) coronal mass ejections from active regions (AR-CMEs) accompanied by solar flares, (ii) filament eruptions outside active regions, (iii) corotating interaction regions (CIRs) caused by high-speed streams from coronal holes, (iv) mixed events induced by two or more solar sources. Relationships of geomagnetic indices and parameters of cosmic rays and the solar wind are also compared between sporadic events with or without magnetic clouds (MCs) and between Solar Cycles (SCs) 23 and 24. The results reveal that interplanetary disturbances originated by AR-CMEs associated with an MC are most geoeffective and cause powerful geomagnetic storms, while CIRs create only moderate and weak storms. Sporadic and recurrent events differ in values of the Dst index and southward component of the magnetic field, as well as in the relationship between them. For sporadic events, geomagnetic activity is more affected by the presence or absence of an MC than by the type of solar source. Interplanetary disturbances associated with AR-CMEs are more effective in SC 23 while those associated with other types of solar sources have approximately the same geoeffectiveness in both SCs.

比较了地磁 Dst 指数、宇宙射线变化和太阳风特征之间的统计关系,这些变化与下列因素有关:福布什下降:(i)伴随太阳耀斑的活动区日冕物质抛射(AR-CMEs),(ii)活动区外的丝状爆发,(iii)由日冕洞高速流引起的冠状相互作用区(CIRs),(iv)由两个或多个太阳源引起的混合事件。此外,还比较了有无磁云(MCs)的零星事件之间以及太阳周期(SCs)23 和 24 之间的地磁指数与宇宙射线和太阳风参数的关系。研究结果表明,由与 MC 有关的 AR-CME 引发的行星际扰动最具地球效应,会造成强大的地磁暴,而 CIR 只会造成中等和微弱的风暴。零星事件和经常性事件在 Dst 指数和磁场南向分量的数值以及它们之间的关系上有所不同。对于零星事件,地磁活动受 MC 存在与否的影响比受太阳源类型的影响更大。与 AR-CME 有关的行星际扰动在 SC 23 中更为有效,而与其他类型太阳源有关的行星际扰动在两个 SC 中的地球效应大致相同。
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引用次数: 0
The Sun’s Large-Scale Flows I: Measurements of Differential Rotation & Torsional Oscillation 太阳的大尺度流动 I:差转和扭转振荡测量
IF 2.8 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Physics and Astronomy Pub Date : 2024-03-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-024-02282-2

Abstract

We have developed a comprehensive catalog of the variable differential rotation measured near the solar photosphere. This catalog includes measurements of these flows obtained using several techniques: direct Doppler, granule tracking, magnetic pattern tracking, global helioseismology, as well as both time-distance and ring-diagram methods of local helioseismology. We highlight historical differential rotation measurements to provide context, and thereafter provide a detailed comparison of the MDI-HMI-GONG-Mt. Wilson overlap period (April 2010 – Jan 2011) and investigate the differences between velocities obtained from different techniques and attempt to explain discrepancies. A comparison of the rotation rate obtained by magnetic pattern tracking with the rotation rates obtained using local and global helioseismic techniques shows that magnetic pattern tracking measurements correspond to helioseismic flows located at a depth of 25 to 28 Mm. In addition, we show the torsional oscillation from Sunspot Cycles 23 and 24 and discuss properties that are consistent across measurement techniques. We find that acceleration derived from torsional oscillation is a better indicator of long-term trends in torsional oscillation compared to the residual velocity magnitude. Finally, this analysis will pave the way toward understanding systematic effects associated with various flow measurement techniques and enable more accurate determination of the global patterns of flows and their regular and irregular variations.

摘要 我们编制了一份在太阳光层附近测量到的可变差转综合目录。该目录包括利用以下几种技术对这些流进行的测量:直接多普勒、颗粒跟踪、磁模式跟踪、全球日震学以及局部日震学的时距法和环图法。我们重点介绍了历史上的差分自转测量结果,以提供背景情况,随后详细比较了 MDI-HMI-GONG-Mt. Wilson 重叠期(2010 年 4 月至 2011 年 1 月)的情况,并研究了不同技术获得的速度之间的差异,试图解释差异的原因。将磁模式跟踪获得的旋转率与利用局部和全球日震技术获得的旋转率进行比较后发现,磁模式跟踪测量结果与位于 25 至 28 毫米深度的日震流相对应。此外,我们还展示了来自太阳黑子周期 23 和 24 的扭转振荡,并讨论了各种测量技术一致的特性。我们发现,与残余速度大小相比,从扭转振荡中得出的加速度更能说明扭转振荡的长期趋势。最后,这项分析将为了解与各种流量测量技术相关的系统效应铺平道路,并能更准确地确定全球流量模式及其规律性和不规律性变化。
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引用次数: 0
The Greatest GOES Soft X-ray Flares: Saturation and Recalibration over Two Hale Cycles 最伟大的 GOES 软 X 射线耀斑:两个海尔周期的饱和与重新校准
IF 2.8 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Physics and Astronomy Pub Date : 2024-03-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-024-02287-x
Hugh Hudson, Ed Cliver, Stephen White, Janet Machol, Courtney Peck, Kim Tolbert, Rodney Viereck, Dominic Zarro

The solar soft X-ray observations from the GOES satellites now span two full Hale cycles and provide one of the best quantitative records of solar activity, with nearly continuous flare records since 1975. We present a uniform new reduction of the entire time series for 1975 to 2022 at NOAA class C1 level or above, to characterize the occurrence distribution function (ODF) of the flares observed in the 1 – 8 Å spectral band. The analysis includes estimates of the peak fluxes of the 12 flares that saturated in the 1 – 8 Å time series. In contrast to the standard NOAA classifications, these new estimates use the full time resolution of the sampling and have a preflare background level subtracted for all events. Our new estimates include NOAA’s latest calibrations for the GOES-1 through GOES-15 data covering 1975 – 2016. For each of the 12 saturated events we have made new estimates of peak fluxes based on fits to the rise and fall of the flare time profile, and have validated our extrapolation schemes by comparing with artificially truncated but unsaturated X10-class events. In this new estimation, SOL2003-11-04 (the most energetic unambiguously observed event) has a peak flux of (4.32 times 10^{-3}text{ W}/text{m}^{2}). This corresponds to X43 on the new scale, or X30 on the old scale. We provide a list in the Appendix for peak fluxes of all 37 events above (10^{-3}text{ W}/text{m}^{2}), the GOES X10 level, including the 12 saturated events. The full list now gives us a first complete sample from which we obtain an occurrence distribution function (ODF) for peak energy flux (S), often represented as a power-law (dF/dE propto E^{-alpha }), for which we find (alpha = 1.973 pm 0.014) in the range M1 to X3. The power-law description fails at the high end, requiring a downward break in the ODF above the X10 level. We give a tapered power-law description of the resulting CCDF (complementary cumulative distribution function) and extrapolate it into the domain of “superflares,” i.e., flares with bolometric energies (>10^{33}text{ erg}). Extrapolation of this fit provides estimates of 100-yr and 1000-yr GOES peak fluxes that agree reasonably well with other such estimates using different data sets and methodology, although there is some tension between our 10,000-yr (the Holocene time-scale) estimate and the GOES class obtained for the out-sized 774 AD solar proton event as inferred from cosmogenic nuclide records.

GOES 卫星的太阳软 X 射线观测现在跨越了两个完整的黑尔周期,提供了太阳活动的最佳定量记录之一,自 1975 年以来几乎一直有耀斑记录。我们对 1975 年至 2022 年 NOAA C1 级或以上的整个时间序列进行了新的统一还原,以描述在 1 - 8 Å 光谱带观测到的耀斑的发生分布函数 (ODF)。分析包括对 1 - 8 Å 时间序列中饱和的 12 个耀斑的峰值通量的估计。与 NOAA 的标准分类不同,这些新的估计值使用了采样的全时间分辨率,并为所有事件减去了耀斑前的背景水平。我们的新估算包括 NOAA 对 GOES-1 到 GOES-15 数据的最新校准,时间跨度从 1975 年到 2016 年。对于 12 个饱和事件中的每一个,我们都根据耀斑时间曲线的上升和下降拟合出了新的峰值通量估计值,并通过与人为截断但不饱和的 X10 级事件进行比较,验证了我们的外推方案。在这一新的估算中,SOL2003-11-04(能量最高的明确观测事件)的峰值通量为(4.32 times 10^{-3}text{ W}/text{m}^{2})。这相当于新尺度的X43,或者旧尺度的X30。我们在附录中提供了一份清单,列出了所有 37 个超过 (10^{-3}text{ W}/text{m}^{2} (GOES X10 级别)的事件的峰值通量,其中包括 12 个饱和事件。现在,这份完整的清单为我们提供了第一个完整的样本,我们从中得到了峰值能量通量(S)的发生分布函数(ODF),通常表示为幂律(dF/dE propto E^{-alpha }) ,我们发现(alpha = 1.973 pm 0.014) 在 M1 到 X3 的范围内。幂律描述在高端失效,要求 ODF 在 X10 水平以上向下中断。我们对所得到的CCDF(互补累积分布函数)给出了一个锥形幂律描述,并将它外推到 "超级耀斑 "的领域,即具有(>10^{33}text{ erg})测亮能量的耀斑。对这一拟合结果的外推提供了100年和1000年GOES峰值通量的估计值,这些估计值与使用不同数据集和方法的其他此类估计值相当吻合,尽管我们的10,000年(全新世时间尺度)估计值与根据宇宙成因核素记录推断的公元774年超大太阳质子事件的GOES等级之间存在一些矛盾。
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Solar Physics
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