Gim (Pyropia yezoensis) is Korea’s most commercially important marine product, supplying over 80% of global demand and sustaining coastal livelihoods. Its export value has risen from USD 100 million in 2010 to nearly USD 1 billion in 2024, underscoring its economic importance. Yet Gim cultivation is highly sensitive to environmental variability and increasingly vulnerable to climate stress. This study analyzes the effects of seawater temperature, rainfall, sunlight duration, and wind speed on Gim production using 8 years of monthly data (2016–2023) from Wando, South Korea’s leading production site. A second-degree polynomial regression with 1-month-lagged rainfall and sunlight duration was applied to capture nonlinear and delayed ecological responses. Results show that seawater temperature is the dominant driver. Yields peak within a narrow 10–15 °C thermal window but decline at both cooler and warmer extremes. Wind speed also exerts nonlinear effects, enhancing growth under moderate conditions but reducing yields at higher intensities. Rainfall and lagged sunlight duration contribute positively but more weakly, emphasizing the role of joint ecological interactions rather than single drivers. In the short term, adaptive strategies such as optimized seeding schedules and expanded land-based seeding systems could stabilize yields. Long-term measures should prioritize breeding heat-tolerant strains, diversifying cultivation sites, and investing in technological innovation. Although limited to Wando, the findings provide robust evidence of Gim’s climate sensitivity and offer practical guidance for improving the resilience and sustainability of seaweed aquaculture under changing conditions.
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