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Determinants of Estimate Difference between Geometric Measure and Standard Deviation 几何测量和标准偏差之间估计差异的决定因素
Pub Date : 2023-09-16 DOI: 10.9734/ajpas/2023/v24i4532
Rukia Mbaita Mbaji, Troon John Benedict, Okumu Otieno Kevin
Measures of variation are statistical measures which assist in describing the distribution of data set. These measures are either used separately or together to give a wide variety of ways of measuring variability of data. Researchers and mathematicians found out that these measures were not perfect, they violated the algebraic laws and they possessed some weakness that they could not ignore. As a result of these facts, a new measure of variation known as geometric measure of variation was formulated. The new measure of variation was able to overcome all the weaknesses of the already existing measures. It obeyed all the algebraic laws, allowed further algebraic manipulation and was not affected by outliers or skewed data sets. Researchers were also able to determine that geometric measure was more efficient than standard deviation and that its estimates were always smaller than those of standard deviation but they did not determine their main relationship and how the sample characteristics affect the minimum difference between geometric measure and standard deviation. The main aim of this study was to empirically determine the ratio factor between standard deviation and geometric measure and specifically how certain variable such as sample size, outliers and geometric measure affects the minimum difference between geometric measure and standard deviation. Data simulation was the concept that was used to achieve the studies objectives. The samples were simulated individually under four different types of distributions which were normal, Poisson, Chi-square and Bernoulli distribution. A Hierarchical linear regression model was fitted on the normal, skewed, binary and countable data sets and results were obtained. Based on the results obtained, there is always a positive significant ratio factor between the geometric measure and standard deviation in all types of data sets. The ratio factor was influenced by the existence of outliers and sample size. The existence of outliers increased the difference between the geometric measure and standard deviation in skewed and countable data sets while in binary it decreased the difference between the standard deviation and geometric measure. For normal and binary data sets, increase in sample size did not have any significant effect on the difference between geometric measure and standard deviation but for skewed and countable data sets the increase in sample size decreased the difference between geometric measure and standard deviation.
变异度量是帮助描述数据集分布的统计度量。这些测量要么单独使用,要么一起使用,以提供各种各样的测量数据变异性的方法。研究人员和数学家发现,这些措施并不完美,它们违反了代数定律,它们具有一些不可忽视的弱点。由于这些事实,一种新的变化度量被称为几何变化度量被提出。新的变异度量能够克服现有度量的所有弱点。它遵循所有代数定律,允许进一步的代数操作,并且不受异常值或倾斜数据集的影响。研究人员还能够确定几何测量比标准差更有效,其估计值总是小于标准差的估计值,但他们没有确定它们之间的主要关系以及样本特征如何影响几何测量与标准差之间的最小差值。本研究的主要目的是通过经验确定标准差与几何测度之间的比值因子,具体而言,样本量、离群值、几何测度等变量如何影响几何测度与标准差之间的最小差值。数据模拟是用来实现研究目标的概念。样本分别在正态分布、泊松分布、卡方分布和伯努利分布四种不同类型的分布下进行模拟。对正态、偏态、二值和可数数据集拟合了层次线性回归模型,得到了回归结果。根据得到的结果,在所有类型的数据集中,几何测度与标准差之间总是存在正显著的比值因子。比值因子受异常值的存在和样本量的影响。在偏态和可数数据集中,异常值的存在增大了几何测度与标准差的差值,而在二进制数据集中,异常值的存在减小了标准差与几何测度的差值。对于正态和二值数据集,样本量的增加对几何测量和标准差之间的差异没有任何显著影响,但对于偏斜和可计数数据集,样本量的增加减小了几何测量和标准差之间的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Obvious Disparities on Optimal Guesswork Wiretapper Moments under Mismatch Related to Non-Shannon Cypher System 非香农密码系统不匹配下最优猜测窃听矩的显著差异
Pub Date : 2023-09-15 DOI: 10.9734/ajpas/2023/v24i4531
Rohit Kumar Verma
The invention of several significant non-Shannon entropy inequalities, the optimal Gaussing theorems, the relationship between the discrete memoryless source pair and the probability mass function, and these topics are all covered in the current communication. It may directly or indirectly prove to be significant for the literature of information theory.
几个重要的非香农熵不等式的发明,最优高斯定理,离散无记忆源对与概率质量函数之间的关系,以及这些主题都涵盖在当前的通信中。它可能直接或间接地被证明对信息论的文献意义重大。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of Missing Value in Sudoku Square Design 数独方格设计中缺失值的估计
Pub Date : 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.9734/ajpas/2023/v24i4530
None Shehu A., None Dauran, N. S., None Usman, A. G.
Missing values or missing data occur in experiments as a result of several reasons, these reasons could be natural or it happened due to failure on the part of experimenter. When missing value occurred it causes biasness to the analysis and failure in the efficiency. The study considered the Sudoku square design of order where row-blocks and column-blocks are equal, rows and columns are equal with one missing value. The missing value is estimated by comparing the missing value in respect to Latin square of order and also in respect to randomized block design, the estimator for the missing value is derived and numerical illustration is given to show how the estimator is used to obtain the estimate of a missing value when and in a squared Sudoku design.
缺失值或缺失数据在实验中发生的原因有几个,这些原因可能是自然的,也可能是由于实验人员的失败而发生的。当缺失值出现时,会造成分析偏差,影响分析效率。该研究考虑了数独方块的顺序设计,其中行块和列块相等,行和列相等,缺少一个值。通过比较拉丁顺序平方和随机块设计的缺失值来估计缺失值,推导了缺失值的估计量,并给出了数值说明,说明了在平方数独设计中如何使用估计量来获得缺失值的估计。
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引用次数: 0
An Application of K-Nearest-Neighbor Regression in Maize Yield Prediction k -最近邻回归在玉米产量预测中的应用
Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.9734/ajpas/2023/v24i4529
Miriam Sitienei, A. Otieno, A. Anapapa
Predictive analytics utilizes historical data and knowledge to predict future outcomes and provides a method for evaluating the accuracy and reliability of these forecasts. Artificial Intelligence is a tool of predictive analytics.  AI trains computers to learn human behaviors like learning, judgment, and decision-making while simulating intelligent human behavior using computers and has received a lot of attention in almost all areas of research. Machine learning is a branch of Artificial Intelligence that has been used to solve classification and regression problems. Machine learning advancements have aided in boosting agricultural gains. Yield prediction is one of the agricultural sectors that has embraced machine learning. K Nearest Neighbor (KNN) Regression is a regression algorithm used in machine learning for prediction tasks. KNN Regression is like KNN Classification, except that KNN Regression predicts a constant output value for a given input instead of predicting a class label. The basic idea behind KNN Regression is to find the K nearest neighbors to a given input data point based on a distance metric and then use the average (or weighted average) of the output values of these K neighbors as the predicted output for the input data point. The distance metric used in KNN Regression can vary depending on the data type being analyzed, but common distance metrics include Euclidean distance, Manhattan distance, and Minkowski distance. This paper presents the application of KNN regression in maize yield prediction in Uasin Gishu county, in north rift region of Kenya. Questionnaires were distributed to 900 randomly selected maize farmers across the thirty wards to obtain primary data. With a Train Test split ration of 80:20, KNN regression algorithm was able to predict maize yield and its prediction performance was evaluated using Root Mean Squared error-RMSE=0.4948, Mean Squared Error-MSE =0.2803, Mean Absolute Error-MAE = 0.4591 and Mean Absolute Percentage Error-MAPE = 36.17. According to the study findings, the algorithm was able to predict maize yield in the maize producing county.
预测分析利用历史数据和知识来预测未来的结果,并提供一种评估这些预测的准确性和可靠性的方法。人工智能是一种预测分析工具。人工智能训练计算机学习人类的行为,如学习、判断和决策,同时用计算机模拟人类的智能行为,几乎在所有研究领域都受到了广泛关注。机器学习是人工智能的一个分支,已被用于解决分类和回归问题。机器学习的进步有助于提高农业收益。产量预测是采用机器学习的农业领域之一。K最近邻(KNN)回归是一种用于机器学习预测任务的回归算法。KNN回归类似于KNN分类,除了KNN回归预测给定输入的恒定输出值,而不是预测类标签。KNN回归背后的基本思想是根据距离度量找到给定输入数据点最近的K个邻居,然后使用这K个邻居的输出值的平均值(或加权平均值)作为输入数据点的预测输出。KNN回归中使用的距离度量可以根据所分析的数据类型而变化,但常见的距离度量包括欧几里得距离、曼哈顿距离和闵可夫斯基距离。本文介绍了KNN回归在肯尼亚北部裂谷地区瓦辛吉舒县玉米产量预测中的应用。在30个区随机抽取900名玉米农户进行问卷调查,获取原始数据。在列车检验分割比为80:20的情况下,KNN回归算法能够预测玉米产量,采用均方根误差- rmse =0.4948,均方误差- mse =0.2803,平均绝对误差- mae = 0.4591,平均绝对百分比误差- mape = 36.17对其预测性能进行评价。根据研究结果,该算法能够预测玉米主产区的玉米产量。
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引用次数: 0
Close-Knit-Regression: An Efficient Technique in Estimating Missing Completely at Random Data 紧密编织回归:一种估计随机数据完全缺失的有效方法
Pub Date : 2023-09-05 DOI: 10.9734/ajpas/2023/v24i3528
Ahmed Abdulkadir, Bannister Jerry Zachary, Nafisat Yusuf, Kabiru Musa
The study aimed at using the Close-Knit Regression (CKR) technique to approximate values absent because of the missing completely at random mechanism. Bivariate datasets were generated and simulated for MCAR mechanism at low (10%) and high (60%) rates. The CKR method was used and compared alongside other single imputation techniques like mean imputation, simple regression and K- Nearest Neighbors (K-NN). The difference between parameter estimates like mean, correlation coefficient (r), maximum, minimum and standard deviation which were gotten using predicted data and those using the original data as well as assessment of error rates like mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) were used as metrics in deciding the efficiency of the techniques. Results showed that the CKR technique was the best from those considered, with its estimated data having parameter estimates closer to that of the original whilst having the least error rates at 10% (MAE of 0.01 and RMSE of 0.047) and 60% (MAE of 0.021 and RMSE of 0.073) in comparison to other methods, CKR technique is a suitable single imputation technique which produces estimates close to the original data and parameters with low error rates when data are MCAR.
本研究旨在利用紧密回归(CKR)技术在随机机制下近似由于完全缺失而缺失的值。生成双变量数据集,并在低(10%)和高(60%)率下模拟MCAR机制。使用CKR方法并将其与其他单一imputation技术(如mean imputation, simple regression和K- Nearest Neighbors (K- nn))进行比较。使用预测数据获得的参数估计值(如平均值、相关系数(r)、最大值、最小值和标准差)与使用原始数据获得的参数估计值之间的差异,以及对平均绝对误差(MAE)和均方根误差(RMSE)等错误率的评估,被用作决定技术效率的指标。结果表明,与其他方法相比,CKR技术是最好的,其估计数据的参数估计值更接近原始数据,错误率最低,分别为10% (MAE为0.01,RMSE为0.047)和60% (MAE为0.021,RMSE为0.073)。CKR技术是一种适合的单次插值技术,当数据是MCAR时,它产生的估计值接近原始数据,参数错误率低。
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引用次数: 0
A Two Model Approach of Assessing Asset Value Functions for Capital Investments 资本投资资产价值函数评估的两种模型方法
Pub Date : 2023-09-02 DOI: 10.9734/ajpas/2023/v24i3526
D. I, A. I. U., Loko, O. P
The benefit of monetary assets cannot be over emphasized because it stands as an engine room to every investment which accumulates wealth such as daily, weekly, monthly and yearly etc.  In this study, a closed form solution of Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) was successfully exploited for the analysis of asset values and other stock market quantities. The solutions of stock variables were critically observed by simulations which describe the behavior of asset values with respect to their maturity periods. Finally, the skewness and kurtosis of the asset values were obtained to give investors proper directions in terms of decision making.
货币资产的好处怎么强调都不过分,因为它是每天、每周、每月、每年等每一项积累财富的投资的引擎。在这项研究中,随机微分方程(SDE)的封闭形式解被成功地用于分析资产价值和其他股票市场数量。通过描述资产价值相对于其到期日的行为的模拟,对股票变量的解进行了严格观察。最后,得到了资产价值的偏度和峰度,为投资者的决策提供了正确的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Time Series Modeling of Monetary Value from Kenya’s Horticultural Export Produce 肯尼亚园艺出口产品货币价值的时间序列模型
Pub Date : 2023-09-02 DOI: 10.9734/ajpas/2023/v24i3525
Musyoki Michael, Alilah David, Angwenyi David
Kenya’s horticulture sector is one of the key contributors to the country’s national income. In this paper, we apply Box-Jenkins SARIMA time series modeling approach to develop a time series model that best describes the income to Kenya’s economy from the export of horticulture produce. In the process of analysis, we considered monthly data from August 1998 to March 2023. It was found that, SARIMA(3; 1; 4)(0; 1; 0)12 is the suitable model that describes the income from the export of Kenya’s horticulture produce.
肯尼亚的园艺业是该国国民收入的主要贡献者之一。在本文中,我们应用Box-Jenkins SARIMA时间序列建模方法来开发一个最能描述肯尼亚园艺产品出口经济收入的时间序列模型。在分析过程中,我们考虑了从1998年8月到2023年3月的月度数据。结果发现,SARIMA(3;1;4) (0;1;0)12是描述肯尼亚园艺产品出口收入的合适模型。
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引用次数: 0
Examining the Efficacy of Break for Time Series Components (BFTSC) and Group for Time Series Components (GFTSC) with Volatile Simulated and Empirical Data 用挥发性模拟数据和经验数据检验时间序列成分(BFTSC)和时间序列成分组(GFTSC)的有效性
Pub Date : 2023-09-02 DOI: 10.9734/ajpas/2023/v24i3527
Ajare Emmanuel Oloruntoba, Adefabi Adekunle, Adeyemo Abiodun
The main reason for this study is to know the performance of BFTSC (Break for Time Series Components) and GFTSC (Group for Time Series Components) in identification of time series components using volatile simulated and empirical data. BFTSC was created to capture the trend, seasonal, cyclical and irregular components and presented them in a time series plot. While GFTSC was designed to capture all the four time series components together with the equations that produces each components of time series. BFAST (Break for Additive, Seasonal and Trend) only identifies trend and seasonal components while considering all other left over components as random, identification of trend and seasonal components alone is not enough to have a clear image of all the time series components in a time series data. Performance through evaluation using low and high volatile simulated and empirical data was conducted to evaluate the performance of both techniques. For yearly sample size of 8, 16 and 24 years were for small medium and large sample size. For the monthly data, 48, 96 and 144 months were used as small, medium and large sample size. Each of the sample size was replicated 100 times each. Finally, GFTSC and BFTSC performance was very good for large sample size with linear trend for both monthly and yearly data (approximately 100%). While the performance drops with highly volatile data such as trend with curve trend line (such as quadratic and cubic). These findings indicate that BFTSC and GFTSC can provide a better alternative to manual technique and BFAST for data associated with linear trend, hence BFTSC and GFTSC are recommended for public.
本研究的主要原因是了解BFTSC (Break for Time Series Components)和GFTSC (Group for Time Series Components)在使用挥发性模拟数据和经验数据识别时间序列成分方面的性能。创建BFTSC是为了捕捉趋势、季节性、周期性和不规则成分,并将它们呈现在时间序列图中。而GFTSC的设计是为了捕捉所有的四个时间序列组成部分以及产生时间序列的每个组成部分的方程。BFAST (Break for Additive, Seasonal and Trend)只识别趋势和季节分量,而考虑到其他所有剩余分量都是随机的,仅识别趋势和季节分量不足以清晰地显示时间序列数据中的所有时间序列分量。通过使用低挥发性和高挥发性模拟数据和经验数据对两种技术的性能进行了评估。年样本量为8年,16年和24年为中小样本量和大样本量。月度数据采用小样本量、中样本量和大样本量分别为48、96和144个月。每个样本量都被重复了100次。最后,GFTSC和BFTSC在大样本量下表现良好,月度和年度数据均呈线性趋势(约100%)。而对于具有曲线趋势线(如二次曲线和三次曲线)的高波动性数据,性能下降。这些结果表明BFTSC和GFTSC可以更好地替代手工技术和BFAST,因此推荐BFTSC和GFTSC用于公众。
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引用次数: 0
Derived Reduced Balanced Incomplete Block Design 派生的减少平衡不完全块设计
Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.9734/ajpas/2023/v24i3524
Troon J. Benedict, Onyango Fredrick, Karanjah Anthony, Njunguna Edward
Construction of Balanced Incomplete Block Designs (BIBD) is a combination problem that involves the arrangement of (mathit{v}) treatments into b blocks each of size (mathit{k}) such that each treatment is replicated exactly (mathit{r}) times in the design and a pair of treatments occur together in (lambda) blocks. Several methods of constructing BIBDs exist. However, these methods still cannot be used to design all BIBDs. Therefore, several BIBDs are still unknown because a definite construction method for all BIBDs is still unknown. The study aimed to develop a new construction method that could aid in constructing more BIBDs. The study derived a new class of BIBD from un-reduced BIBD with parameters (mathit{v}) and (mathit{k}) such that (mathit{k} ge) 3 through selection of all blocks within the un-reduced BIBD that contains a particular treatment (mathit{i}) then in the selected blocks treatment delete treatment (mathit{i}) and retain all the other treatments. The resulting BIBD was Derived Reduced BIBD with parameters (v^*=v-1, b^*=left(begin{array}{c}v-1 k-1end{array}right), k^*=k-1, r^*=left(begin{array}{c}v-2 k-2end{array}right), lambda=left(begin{array}{c}v-3 k-3end{array}right)). In conclusion, the construction method was simple and could be used to construct several BIBDs, which could assist in solving the problem of BIBD, whose existence is still unknown.
平衡不完全块设计(BIBD)的构建是一个组合问题,涉及将(mathit{v})处理安排到b个大小为(mathit{k})的块中,以便每个处理在设计中精确复制(mathit{r})次,并且一对处理一起出现在(lambda)块中。存在几种构造bibd的方法。然而,这些方法仍然不能用于设计所有的bibd。因此,一些bibd仍然是未知的,因为所有bibd的确定构建方法仍然未知。该研究旨在开发一种新的构建方法,以帮助构建更多的bibd。该研究从具有参数(mathit{v})和(mathit{k})的未约简BIBD中导出了一类新的BIBD,这样(mathit{k} ge) 3通过选择包含特定处理的未约简BIBD中的所有块(mathit{i}),然后在选定的块中删除处理(mathit{i})并保留所有其他处理。得到的BIBD为派生的简化BIBD,参数为(v^*=v-1, b^*=left(begin{array}{c}v-1 k-1end{array}right), k^*=k-1, r^*=left(begin{array}{c}v-2 k-2end{array}right), lambda=left(begin{array}{c}v-3 k-3end{array}right))。综上所述,该构建方法简单,可用于构建多个BIBD,有助于解决BIBD存在与否未知的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Wider Classes of Estimators in Adaptive Cluster Sampling 自适应聚类抽样中更广类别的估计量
Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.9734/ajpas/2023/v24i2523
Rajesh Singh, Rohan Mishra
Aims/ Objectives: Various efficient estimators using single and dual auxiliary variables with different functions including log and exponential have been developed in the SRSWOR design. Since the Adaptive cluster sampling (ACS) design is relatively new, estimators using functions like log and exponential with single and dual auxiliary variables have not been explored much. Therefore in this article, we propose two wider classes of estimators using single and dual auxiliary variables respectively so that the properties like bias and mean squared errors of various estimators using functions like log and exponential or any other function which belong to the proposed wider classes and have not been developed and studied yet would be known in advance. Formulae of the bias and mean squared error have been derived and presented. Further, since log type estimators have not been studied extensively in the ACS design we have developed new log type classes from each of the proposed wider classes and developed and studied some new log type member estimators. To examine the performance of these new developed log-type estimators over some competing estimators simulation studies have been conducted and all the estimators are further applied to a real data to estimate the average number of Mules in the Indian state of Assam. The studies show that the developed log-type estimators perform better.
目的/目标:在SRSWOR设计中,使用具有不同函数(包括对数和指数)的单和双辅助变量的各种有效估计器已经开发出来。由于自适应聚类抽样(ACS)设计相对较新,使用对数和指数等函数的单辅助变量和双辅助变量的估计器尚未得到太多探索。因此,在本文中,我们分别提出了使用单辅助变量和对偶辅助变量的两种更广泛的估计量,以便提前知道使用对数和指数等函数或属于所提出的更广泛类别但尚未开发和研究的任何其他函数的各种估计量的偏差和均方误差等性质。推导并给出了偏差和均方误差的计算公式。此外,由于在ACS设计中还没有对日志类型估计器进行广泛的研究,我们从每个提议的更广泛的类中开发了新的日志类型类,并开发和研究了一些新的日志类型成员估计器。为了检验这些新开发的对数型估计器与一些竞争估计器的性能,进行了模拟研究,并将所有估计器进一步应用于实际数据,以估计印度阿萨姆邦的骡子平均数量。研究表明,所开发的对数型估计器性能较好。
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引用次数: 0
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Asian Journal of Probability and Statistics
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