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Colorectal polyp distribution in relation to age: meta-analysis. 结直肠息肉分布与年龄的关系:荟萃分析。
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1093/bjsopen/zraf132
Sai Tim Yam, Jared McLauchlan, Andrew McCombie, Rachel Purcell, John Pearson, Frank Frizelle

Background: An increase in early-onset colorectal cancer has been observed globally, despite a decline in colorectal cancer incidence rates in many Western countries. Screening strategies for younger individuals are particularly challenging, as there are limited data on polyps in young individuals to guide clinicians. This study aimed to systematically review the current evidence surrounding polyp distribution in different age groups.

Methods: A literature search was performed in PubMed, Scopus, MEDLINE, Embase (OVID), Web of Science, and Cochrane Review databases using the keywords 'age' and 'polyp', and Medical Subject Heading terms 'age of onset', 'age factors', 'age distribution', and 'age groups', with no restrictions on publication year. Articles published in English that described the distribution of polyps (adenomatous, advanced adenomatous polyps, and sessile serrated lesions) or individuals with polyps according to different age groups were considered for inclusion. Younger patients were defined as those aged < 50 years. The outcomes of interest were the number of patients with polyps in the left and/or right colon, or the number of polyps per side of the colorectum in different age groups.

Results: From 12 470 articles, 24 met the eligibility criteria for the systematic review, and 12 were suitable for meta-analysis. Among younger people, 46.5% had right-sided and 75.9% had left-sided polyps. In comparison, 70.8% of the older group had right-sided and 61.9% had left-sided polyps. Meta-analyses of studies showed a greater proportion of younger people than older people with at least one left-sided polyp (mean difference 0.06, 95% confidence interval (c.i.) 0.03 to 0.09; P < 0.001). There was also a greater proportion of left-sided polyps in younger people (odds ratio 0.77, 95% c.i. 0.59 to 1.01; P < 0.001).

Conclusion: Patients aged < 50 years have a greater tendency towards having polyps in the left colon, compared with people ≥ 50 years of age, similar to the distribution of early-onset colorectal cancer. This has implications for the methodology of screening and investigation of symptoms in those aged < 50 years.

背景:尽管许多西方国家的结直肠癌发病率有所下降,但全球范围内早发性结直肠癌的发病率仍在上升。年轻人的筛查策略尤其具有挑战性,因为指导临床医生的年轻人息肉数据有限。本研究旨在系统回顾目前有关不同年龄组息肉分布的证据。方法:在PubMed、Scopus、MEDLINE、Embase (OVID)、Web of Science和Cochrane Review数据库中进行文献检索,检索关键词为“年龄”和“息肉”,医学主题标题为“发病年龄”、“年龄因素”、“年龄分布”和“年龄组”,不限制发表年份。根据不同年龄组的息肉分布(腺瘤性、晚期腺瘤性息肉和无梗锯齿状病变)或息肉患者的英文文章被纳入考虑范围。年轻患者定义为年龄< 50岁的患者。关注的结果是左结肠和/或右结肠息肉患者的数量,或不同年龄组结肠每侧息肉的数量。结果:在12470篇文章中,24篇符合系统评价的资格标准,12篇适合进行meta分析。在年轻人中,46.5%的人患有右侧息肉,75.9%的人患有左侧息肉。相比之下,70.8%的老年人患有右侧息肉,61.9%患有左侧息肉。研究的荟萃分析显示,至少有一种左侧息肉的年轻人比老年人的比例更高(平均差值为0.06,95%可信区间(ci)。0.03 ~ 0.09;P < 0.001)。年轻人患左侧息肉的比例也更高(比值比0.77,95%比值比0.59 ~ 1.01;P < 0.001)。结论:< 50岁的患者左结肠息肉发生率高于≥50岁的患者,与早发性结直肠癌的分布相似。这对50岁以下人群的筛查和症状调查方法具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
One-stage versus two-stage surgery for initially unresectable colorectal cancer liver metastases: post hoc analysis of the CAIRO5 trial. 一期与两期手术治疗最初不可切除的结直肠癌肝转移:CAIRO5试验的事后分析
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1093/bjsopen/zraf125
Marinde J G Bond, Karen Bolhuis, Martinus J van Amerongen, Thiery Chapelle, Ronald M van Dam, Marc R W Engelbrecht, Michael F Gerhards, Dirk J Grünhagen, Thomas van Gulik, John J Hermans, Koert P de Jong, Geert Kazemier, Joost M Klaase, Niels F M Kok, Wouter K G Leclercq, Mike S L Liem, Krijn P van Lienden, I Quintus Molenaar, Gijs A Patijn, Arjen M Rijken, Theo M Ruers, Cornelis Verhoef, Johannes H W de Wilt, Anne M May, Cornelis J A Punt, Rutger-Jan Swijnenburg

Background: Considerable variability exists among liver surgeons in assessing resectability and local treatment planning of initially unresectable colorectal cancer liver-only metastases (CRLM). This study analysed short-term and survival outcomes of one-stage versus two-stage surgery for CRLM.

Methods: Patients with initially unresectable CRLM were included from the phase 3 CAIRO5 study. In patients in whom both one-stage and two-stage approaches were suggested by individual panel surgeons, these approaches were compared. The study population includes only patients for whom both approaches were discussed by the panel surgeons. Overall survival curves were estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with the two-sided stratified log-rank test. Other surgical and postoperative outcomes were compared using a two-sample t test and Pearson's χ2 test or Fisher's exact test, as appropriate.

Results: Local surgeons planned one-stage versus two-stage surgery in 53 versus 51 patients, respectively. In the one-stage versus two-stage surgery groups, the median age was 59 (interquartile range (i.q.r.) 52-69) versus 59 (i.q.r. 53-68) years, respectively, and the median number of CRLM was 9 (i.q.r. 6.5-13) versus 10 (i.q.r. 7.5-14), respectively. Median overall survival was 46.5 versus 34.0 months (HR 0.61; 95% confidence interval 0.38 to 0.99; P = 0.043) with planned one-stage versus two-stage surgery, respectively. In one-stage versus two-stage surgery, Clavien-Dindo grade ≥ 3 complications occurred in 11 versus 13 patients (P = 0.567), portal vein embolization was performed in 2 versus 41 patients (P < 0.001), and local treatment was complete (R0/R1 resection or ablation of all CRLM) in 52 versus 29 patients (P < 0.001), respectively. Major liver resection was performed in 19 versus 28 patients with complete planned one-stage versus two-stage surgery, respectively, with a corresponding 32 versus 12 patients undergoing ablation.

Conclusion: One-stage surgery with/without ablation appears to be the optimal treatment approach for patients with initially unresectable CRLM for whom both one- and two-stage approaches are considered. Nonetheless, two-stage surgery remains vital for complex CRLM.

背景:在评估最初不可切除的结直肠癌仅肝转移(CRLM)的可切除性和局部治疗计划方面,肝脏外科医生存在相当大的差异。本研究分析了CRLM一期手术与两期手术的短期和生存结果。方法:最初不可切除的CRLM患者纳入3期CAIRO5研究。在单个面板外科医生建议一期和两期入路的患者中,对这些入路进行比较。研究人群仅包括两种入路均经专家组外科医生讨论过的患者。用Kaplan-Meier法估计总生存曲线,并与双侧分层log-rank检验进行比较。其他手术和术后结果的比较采用两样本t检验和Pearson χ2检验或Fisher精确检验(视情况而定)。结果:当地外科医生分别在53例和51例患者中计划一期和两期手术。在一期手术组和两期手术组中,中位年龄为59岁(四分位间距(iq))。CRLM中位数分别为9 (i.q.r 6.5-13)和10 (i.q.r 7.5-14),分别为59 (i.q.r 53-68)年和59 (i.q.r 53-68)年。计划一期和两期手术的中位总生存期分别为46.5个月和34.0个月(HR 0.61; 95%可信区间0.38至0.99;P = 0.043)。在一期手术和两期手术中,Clavien-Dindo级≥3级并发症的发生率分别为11例和13例(P = 0.567),门静脉栓塞的发生率分别为2例和41例(P < 0.001),完成局部治疗(R0/R1切除或消融所有CRLM)的发生率分别为52例和29例(P < 0.001)。19例和28例患者分别进行了完全计划的一期和两期手术,相应的32例和12例患者接受了消融术。结论:一期手术加/不加消融似乎是最初不可切除的CRLM患者的最佳治疗方法,对于这些患者,考虑了一期和两期手术。尽管如此,对于复杂的CRLM,两阶段手术仍然至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Quality indicators for breast reconstruction following cancer-an international Delphi consensus study supported by the European Society of Plastic, Reconstructive and Aesthetic Surgery. 癌症后乳房重建的质量指标——一项由欧洲整形、重建和美容外科学会支持的国际德尔菲共识研究。
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1093/bjsopen/zraf144
Emma Hansson, Nicholas Moellhoff, Susanne Ahlstedt Karlsson, Alexandra Uusimäki, Ilkka Kaartinen, Lisbet Rosenkrantz Hölmich, Rado Zic, Ruth Waters, Mark Henley, Riccardo E Giunta, Anna Elander

Background: Quality indicators (QIs) are essential for assessing and improving healthcare delivery. Existing QIs for breast reconstruction are limited and do not comprehensively reflect clinical complexity or patient-centred outcomes. This study aimed to develop a scientifically grounded, consensus-based set of QIs for breast reconstruction using the Delphi method.

Methods: A structured Delphi process was conducted. Experts, including plastic surgeons, reconstructive nurses, and patient representatives from 21 European countries, were nominated by national professional and patient organizations. A pre-round generated 141 unique QIs, thematically analysed and categorized into six domains. Three Delphi rounds were conducted via electronic surveys. Consensus was defined a priori as ≥ 75% agreement across the whole group or at least two subgroups. Indicators were classified according to Donabedian's model (structure, process, outcome).

Results: Among the 43 experts completing all rounds, 41 QIs reached final consensus. These indicators span six key quality domains (Safety, Timeliness, Effectiveness, Efficiency, Equity, and Patient-centredness) and include measures such as access to reconstruction, treatment timelines, multidisciplinary collaboration, unit characteristics, surgical outcomes, and patient satisfaction. Structure, process, and outcome indicators were all represented, including patient-reported outcomes and patient-reported experiences.

Conclusion: This Delphi study provides the first comprehensive set of QIs specific to breast reconstruction in Europe. These indicators lay the groundwork for future standardization, benchmarking, and quality improvement initiatives. Further work is needed to operationalize the indicators through evidence grading, measurement specifications, risk adjustment, and integration into clinical practice.

背景:质量指标(QIs)对于评估和改善医疗服务至关重要。现有乳房重建的质量指标有限,不能全面反映临床复杂性或以患者为中心的结果。本研究旨在利用德尔菲法为乳房重建制定一套科学的、基于共识的QIs。方法:采用结构化德尔菲法。来自欧洲21个国家的整形外科医生、整形护士、患者代表等专家由国家专业组织和患者组织提名。前一轮产生了141个独特的qi,并按主题进行了分析,并分为六个领域。通过电子调查进行了三轮德尔菲调查。共识被先验地定义为整个组或至少两个亚组的一致性≥75%。根据Donabedian模型(结构、过程、结果)对指标进行分类。结果:43位专家完成了各轮问卷调查,最终达成共识的问题有41个。这些指标跨越六个关键质量领域(安全性、及时性、有效性、效率、公平性和以患者为中心),包括诸如获得重建、治疗时间表、多学科合作、单位特征、手术结果和患者满意度等措施。结构、过程和结果指标均有体现,包括患者报告的结果和患者报告的经历。结论:该德尔菲研究提供了欧洲第一套针对乳房重建的综合性QIs。这些指标为未来的标准化、基准和质量改进计划奠定了基础。需要进一步开展工作,通过证据分级、测量规范、风险调整和纳入临床实践来实施这些指标。
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引用次数: 0
Classification of postoperative pancreatic fistula after left pancreatectomy: international multicentre cohort study. 左胰切除术后胰瘘的分类:国际多中心队列研究。
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1093/bjsopen/zraf149
Akseli Bonsdorff, William Yu, Jakob Kirkegård, Charles de Ponthaud, Trond Kjeseth, Poya Ghorbani, Johanna Wennerblom, Caroline Williamsson, Alexandra W Acher, Manoj Thillai, Timo Tarvainen, Aki Uutela, Jukka Sirén, Arto Kokkola, Dyre Kleive, Mushegh Sahakyan, Rolf E Hagen, Andrea Lund, Mette Fugleberg Nielsen, Richard Fristedt, Christina Biörserud, Svein Olav Bratlie, Bobby Tingstedt, Knut J Labori, Sébastien Gaujoux, Stephen J Wigmore, Julie Hallet, Ernesto Sparrelid, Ville Sallinen

Background: Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is a major complication after left pancreatectomy. The current International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery classification has limitations, including heterogeneity in morbidity and high interobserver variability. This study aimed to assess POPF-related morbidity after left pancreatectomy and propose a refined classification system.

Methods: Patients undergoing left pancreatectomy at nine high-volume centres between January 2010 and April 2023 were included. All postoperative treatments and interventions related to POPF were collected. The Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI) was used to assess total cumulative morbidity. The International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery B POPF was subclassified (B1 = prolonged drainage, B2 = pharmacological intervention, B3 = percutaneous intervention, B4 = endoscopic or angiographic intervention). A new POPF grading system was developed by combining subclasses with similar morbidity.

Results: Among 2284 patients, 497 (21.8%) had B (B1: 48 (2.1%), B2: 135 (5.9%), B3: 175 (7.7%), B4: 99 (4.3%)) or C (40 (1.8%)) POPF. Median (interquartile range) POPF-related CCI was 33.5 (22.6-39.7). A significant overlap existed between B and C POPF in terms of CCI. Median CCI (i.q.r.) increased with the B POPF subclasses (B1-B4), 8.7 (8.7-8.7) - 22.6 (20.9-22.6) - 33.5 (33.5-34.6) - 47.4 (39.7-52.1) (P < 0.001), but no difference between B4 POPF and C POPF was observed (median CCI 47.4 versus 50.2; P = 0.265). The refined POPF grading system consists of grades 0 (including biochemical leak and B1), A (including B2), B (including B3), and C (including B4 and C) reflecting worsening morbidity.

Conclusion: The current International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery classification includes highly heterogeneous grade B POPF cases, ranging from minimal to severe morbidity. The refined grading system improves classification and clinical relevance by aligning POPF severity with morbidity and short-term outcomes.

背景:术后胰瘘(POPF)是左胰切除术后的主要并发症。目前国际胰腺外科研究小组的分类存在局限性,包括发病率的异质性和观察者之间的高变异性。本研究旨在评估左胰切除术后popf相关的发病率,并提出一个完善的分类系统。方法:纳入2010年1月至2023年4月在9个高容量中心接受左胰腺切除术的患者。收集所有与POPF相关的术后治疗和干预措施。综合并发症指数(CCI)用于评估总累积发病率。国际胰腺外科研究小组B POPF再分类(B1 =延长引流,B2 =药物干预,B3 =经皮介入,B4 =内镜或血管造影介入)。结合发病率相似的亚类,建立了新的POPF分级系统。结果:在2284例患者中,497例(21.8%)有B (B1: 48 (2.1%), B2: 135 (5.9%), B3: 175 (7.7%), B4: 99(4.3%))或C (40 (1.8%)) POPF。与popf相关的CCI中位数(四分位数范围)为33.5(22.6-39.7)。就CCI而言,B类和C类POPF之间存在显著重叠。中位CCI (i.q.r)随B POPF亚类(B1-B4)增加,分别为8.7 (8.7-8.7)-22.6 (20.9-22.6)- 33.5 (33.5-34.6)- 47.4 (39.7-52.1)(P < 0.001),但B4 POPF与C POPF之间无差异(中位CCI 47.4 vs 50.2, P = 0.265)。细化后的POPF分级体系分为0级(包括生化泄漏和B1)、A级(包括B2)、B级(包括B3)和C级(包括B4和C),反映了发病率的恶化。结论:目前国际胰腺外科研究小组的分类包括高度异质性的B级POPF病例,发病率从轻微到严重不等。通过将POPF严重程度与发病率和短期预后相结合,完善的分级系统提高了分类和临床相关性。
{"title":"Classification of postoperative pancreatic fistula after left pancreatectomy: international multicentre cohort study.","authors":"Akseli Bonsdorff, William Yu, Jakob Kirkegård, Charles de Ponthaud, Trond Kjeseth, Poya Ghorbani, Johanna Wennerblom, Caroline Williamsson, Alexandra W Acher, Manoj Thillai, Timo Tarvainen, Aki Uutela, Jukka Sirén, Arto Kokkola, Dyre Kleive, Mushegh Sahakyan, Rolf E Hagen, Andrea Lund, Mette Fugleberg Nielsen, Richard Fristedt, Christina Biörserud, Svein Olav Bratlie, Bobby Tingstedt, Knut J Labori, Sébastien Gaujoux, Stephen J Wigmore, Julie Hallet, Ernesto Sparrelid, Ville Sallinen","doi":"10.1093/bjsopen/zraf149","DOIUrl":"10.1093/bjsopen/zraf149","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is a major complication after left pancreatectomy. The current International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery classification has limitations, including heterogeneity in morbidity and high interobserver variability. This study aimed to assess POPF-related morbidity after left pancreatectomy and propose a refined classification system.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Patients undergoing left pancreatectomy at nine high-volume centres between January 2010 and April 2023 were included. All postoperative treatments and interventions related to POPF were collected. The Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI) was used to assess total cumulative morbidity. The International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery B POPF was subclassified (B1 = prolonged drainage, B2 = pharmacological intervention, B3 = percutaneous intervention, B4 = endoscopic or angiographic intervention). A new POPF grading system was developed by combining subclasses with similar morbidity.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 2284 patients, 497 (21.8%) had B (B1: 48 (2.1%), B2: 135 (5.9%), B3: 175 (7.7%), B4: 99 (4.3%)) or C (40 (1.8%)) POPF. Median (interquartile range) POPF-related CCI was 33.5 (22.6-39.7). A significant overlap existed between B and C POPF in terms of CCI. Median CCI (i.q.r.) increased with the B POPF subclasses (B1-B4), 8.7 (8.7-8.7) - 22.6 (20.9-22.6) - 33.5 (33.5-34.6) - 47.4 (39.7-52.1) (P < 0.001), but no difference between B4 POPF and C POPF was observed (median CCI 47.4 versus 50.2; P = 0.265). The refined POPF grading system consists of grades 0 (including biochemical leak and B1), A (including B2), B (including B3), and C (including B4 and C) reflecting worsening morbidity.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The current International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery classification includes highly heterogeneous grade B POPF cases, ranging from minimal to severe morbidity. The refined grading system improves classification and clinical relevance by aligning POPF severity with morbidity and short-term outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":9028,"journal":{"name":"BJS Open","volume":"9 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12673845/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145666937","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of prophylactic bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy in patients with colorectal cancer with peritoneal metastasis during cytoreductive surgery: dual-center cohort analysis. 双中心队列分析:结肠直肠癌伴腹膜转移患者行双侧输卵管-卵巢预防性切除术的影响。
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1093/bjsopen/zraf145
Xiajuan Xue, Zhigang Hong, Huiqun Shen, Muxu Zheng, Wanjun Yang, Peirong Ding, Yincong Guo, Jinghua Tang, Leen Liao

Background: Ovarian metastases are common in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) with peritoneal metastases. For patients with bilateral macroscopically normal ovaries, prophylactic bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy (BSO) remains controversial. This study assessed the survival benefit of prophylactic BSO during cytoreductive surgery (CRS).

Methods: This retrospective cohort study included patients with CRC with peritoneal metastases who underwent CRS at two medical centres in southern China between 2017 and 2022. Patients achieving complete CRS with bilateral macroscopically normal ovaries were included in the subsequent analysis and divided into BSO and non-BSO groups. The primary outcomes of interest were the rates of synchronous and metachronous ovarian metastases. Clinical and surgical variables, including peritoneal carcinoma index (PCI) scores, were analysed for their correlation with these outcomes. Disease-free survival and overall survival were analysed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and prognostic variables were analysed using multivariate logistic regression.

Results: Of 237 consecutive patients who underwent CRS, 94 had macroscopically normal ovaries. Of these, 69 (29.1%) underwent complete CRS and were divided into two groups: 26 who underwent prophylactic BSO and 43 with organ preservation. In the BSO group, 7 patients (26.9%) had occult synchronous ovarian metastases. In the non-BSO group, 13 patients (30.2%) developed metachronous ovarian metastases, with 10 of these patients undergoing secondary surgery for ovarian metastases. Both synchronous and metachronous ovarian metastases were significantly associated with a higher PCI (P = 0.048). Premenopausal status was independently associated with metachronous ovarian metastases (hazard ratio 6.281; 95% confidence interval 1.364 to 28.922; P = 0.018). No significant differences were observed between the BSO and non-BSO groups in 2-year disease-free survival (P = 0.866) or overall survival (P = 0.557).

Conclusion: For patients with CRC with peritoneal metastasis and bilateral macroscopically normal ovaries, prophylactic BSO does not improve mid-term survival.

背景:卵巢转移在伴有腹膜转移的结直肠癌(CRC)患者中很常见。对于双侧宏观卵巢正常的患者,预防性双侧输卵管卵巢切除术(BSO)仍然存在争议。本研究评估了细胞减少手术(CRS)期间预防性BSO的生存益处。方法:这项回顾性队列研究纳入了2017年至2022年在中国南方两家医疗中心接受CRS治疗的结直肠癌伴腹膜转移患者。双侧宏观卵巢正常且达到完全CRS的患者纳入后续分析,并分为BSO组和非BSO组。主要研究结果为同步性和异时性卵巢转移的发生率。临床和手术变量,包括腹膜癌指数(PCI)评分,分析其与这些结果的相关性。采用Kaplan-Meier法分析无病生存期和总生存期,采用多变量logistic回归分析预后变量。结果:237例连续行CRS的患者中,94例卵巢宏观正常。其中69例(29.1%)接受了完全CRS,并分为两组:26例接受预防性BSO, 43例接受器官保存。BSO组有7例(26.9%)发生隐匿性卵巢同步转移。在非bso组中,13例患者(30.2%)发生异时性卵巢转移,其中10例患者因卵巢转移接受了二次手术。同步和异时性卵巢转移均与PCI升高显著相关(P = 0.048)。绝经前状态与卵巢异时性转移独立相关(风险比6.281;95%可信区间1.364 ~ 28.922;P = 0.018)。BSO组与非BSO组2年无病生存期(P = 0.866)和总生存期(P = 0.557)无显著差异。结论:对于伴有腹膜转移和双侧卵巢宏观正常的结直肠癌患者,预防性BSO不能提高中期生存率。
{"title":"Impact of prophylactic bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy in patients with colorectal cancer with peritoneal metastasis during cytoreductive surgery: dual-center cohort analysis.","authors":"Xiajuan Xue, Zhigang Hong, Huiqun Shen, Muxu Zheng, Wanjun Yang, Peirong Ding, Yincong Guo, Jinghua Tang, Leen Liao","doi":"10.1093/bjsopen/zraf145","DOIUrl":"10.1093/bjsopen/zraf145","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Ovarian metastases are common in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) with peritoneal metastases. For patients with bilateral macroscopically normal ovaries, prophylactic bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy (BSO) remains controversial. This study assessed the survival benefit of prophylactic BSO during cytoreductive surgery (CRS).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective cohort study included patients with CRC with peritoneal metastases who underwent CRS at two medical centres in southern China between 2017 and 2022. Patients achieving complete CRS with bilateral macroscopically normal ovaries were included in the subsequent analysis and divided into BSO and non-BSO groups. The primary outcomes of interest were the rates of synchronous and metachronous ovarian metastases. Clinical and surgical variables, including peritoneal carcinoma index (PCI) scores, were analysed for their correlation with these outcomes. Disease-free survival and overall survival were analysed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and prognostic variables were analysed using multivariate logistic regression.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 237 consecutive patients who underwent CRS, 94 had macroscopically normal ovaries. Of these, 69 (29.1%) underwent complete CRS and were divided into two groups: 26 who underwent prophylactic BSO and 43 with organ preservation. In the BSO group, 7 patients (26.9%) had occult synchronous ovarian metastases. In the non-BSO group, 13 patients (30.2%) developed metachronous ovarian metastases, with 10 of these patients undergoing secondary surgery for ovarian metastases. Both synchronous and metachronous ovarian metastases were significantly associated with a higher PCI (P = 0.048). Premenopausal status was independently associated with metachronous ovarian metastases (hazard ratio 6.281; 95% confidence interval 1.364 to 28.922; P = 0.018). No significant differences were observed between the BSO and non-BSO groups in 2-year disease-free survival (P = 0.866) or overall survival (P = 0.557).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>For patients with CRC with peritoneal metastasis and bilateral macroscopically normal ovaries, prophylactic BSO does not improve mid-term survival.</p>","PeriodicalId":9028,"journal":{"name":"BJS Open","volume":"9 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12667262/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145647247","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluation of the effect of tumour size on outcomes for patients undergoing adrenalectomy for phaeochromocytoma: international multicentre analysis. 评价肿瘤大小对嗜铬细胞瘤行肾上腺切除术患者预后的影响:国际多中心分析。
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1093/bjsopen/zraf133
Steffane McLennan, Kevin Verhoeff, Alessandro Parente, Alynne Ribano, Yanbo Wang, Zhicheng Wang, Jiale Zhou, Xiaorong Wu, Yonghui Chen, Maciej Śledziński, Andrzej Hellmann, Marco Raffaelli, Francesco Pennestrì, Mark Sywak, Alexander J Papachristos, Fausto F Palazzo, Tae-Yon Sung, Byung-Chang Kim, Yu-Mi Lee, Fiona Eatock, Hannah Anderson, Maurizio Iacobone, Daryl Gray, Richard C Chaulk, Vasilis Kosmoliaptsis, Nicola Colucci, Harry V M Spiers, Albertas Daukša, Ozer Makay, Yigit Turk, Hafize Basut Atalay, Els J M Nieveen van Dijkum, Anton F Engelsman, Isabelle Holscher, Gabriele Materazzi, Leonardo Rossi, Chiara Becucci, Susannah L Shore, Alison Waghorn, Claire Fung, Radu Mihai, Sabapathy P Balasubramanian, Arslan Pannu, Shuichi Tatarano, David Velázquez-Fernández, Julie A Miller, Hazel Serrao-Brown, Yufei Chen, Marco Stefano Demarchi, Reza Djafarrian, Helen Doran, Michael J Stechman, Helen Perry, Johnathan Hubbard, Cristina Lamas, Philippa Mercer, Janet MacPherson, Supanut Lumbiganon, María Calatayud, Felicia Alexandra Hanzu, Oscar Vidal, Marta Araujo-Castro, Cesar Minguez Ojeda, Theodosios Papavramidis, Pablo Rodríguez de Vera Gómez, Abdulaziz Aldrees, Tariq Altwjry, Nuria Valdés, Cristina Álvarez-Escola, Iñigo García Sanz, Concepción Blanco Carrera, Laura Manjón-Miguélez, Paz De Miguel Novoa, Mónica Recasens, Rogelio García Centeno, Cristina Robles Lázaro, Klaas Van Den Heede, Sam Van Slycke, Theodora Michalopoulou, Sebastian Aspinall, Ross Melvin, Joel Wen Liang Lau, Wei Keat Cheah, Man Hon Tang, Han Boon Oh, John Ayuk, Robert P Sutcliffe

Background: Surgical resection is the standard treatment for phaeochromocytoma (PCC). Current guidelines recommend an open approach for large tumours due to the increased risk of complications. This study aimed to characterize surgical outcomes for large (≥ 6 cm) and small (< 6 cm) PCCs and to identify factors that may improve postoperative outcomes.

Methods: This retrospective cohort study of patients undergoing adrenalectomy for PCC in 49 international centres between 2012 and 2022 compared patients with tumours < 6 cm in diameter and those with tumours ≥ 6 cm in diameter. Univariate, bivariate (dichotomous), and multivariate (multiple logistic and linear) analyses were used to evaluate outcomes and risk factors for complications. A secondary multivariable analysis evaluated factors, including operative approach, influencing outcomes for patients with tumours ≥ 6 cm. A 1:1 propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis was completed to control for age, sex, body mass index, and the Charlson Co-morbidity Index.

Results: Of the 2301 patients included in the analysis, 598 (26.0%) had PCCs with a diameter ≥ 6 cm. Patients with tumours ≥ 6 cm had a higher incidence of severe (Clavien-Dindo grade ≥ IIIa) postoperative complications (11.2% versus 4.8%; P < 0.001). Multivariable analysis revealed that tumour size ≥ 6 cm was an independent predictor of any complications (odds ratio (OR) 1.93; P < 0.001). Subanalysis of patients with tumours ≥ 6 cm demonstrated that laparoscopic (OR 0.33; P < 0.001) and robotic (OR 0.40; P = 0.038) adrenalectomy were independently associated with less morbidity than an open approach. PSM analysis revealed a mean 276.0-ml higher blood loss (95% confidence interval (c.i.) 138.9 to 413.0 ml; P < 0.001) and 2.9-point higher Comprehensive Complication Index (95% c.i. 0.6 to 5.3; P = 0.015) for patients with tumours ≥ 6 cm compared with patients with PCCs < 6 cm in diameter. Optimal cut-off analysis revealed that a tumour diameter of ≥ 5.8 cm was associated with increased complications.

Conclusion: Patients undergoing adrenalectomy for PCCs ≥ 6 cm have a higher risk of severe complications than patients with smaller tumours. Despite this increased risk in patients with large (≥ 6 cm) tumours, minimally invasive surgery was independently associated with a reduced likelihood of complications. This study supports a minimally invasive approach in patients with large PCCs.

背景:手术切除是嗜铬细胞瘤(PCC)的标准治疗方法。由于并发症的风险增加,目前的指南建议对大肿瘤采用开放方法。本研究旨在描述大(≥6cm)和小(< 6cm) PCCs的手术结果,并确定可能改善术后结果的因素。方法:这项回顾性队列研究纳入了2012年至2022年间49个国际中心因PCC接受肾上腺切除术的患者,比较了肿瘤直径< 6cm和肿瘤直径≥6cm的患者。采用单因素、双因素(二分法)和多因素(多重逻辑和线性)分析来评估并发症的结局和危险因素。二次多变量分析评估了影响肿瘤≥6 cm患者预后的因素,包括手术入路。采用1:1倾向评分匹配(PSM)分析,对照年龄、性别、体重指数和Charlson共发病指数。结果:在纳入分析的2301例患者中,598例(26.0%)的PCCs直径≥6 cm。肿瘤≥6 cm的患者术后严重并发症(Clavien-Dindo分级≥IIIa)发生率较高(11.2% vs 4.8%; P < 0.001)。多变量分析显示,肿瘤大小≥6 cm是任何并发症的独立预测因子(优势比(OR) 1.93;P < 0.001)。肿瘤≥6 cm患者的亚分析表明,腹腔镜肾上腺切除术(OR 0.33, P < 0.001)和机器人肾上腺切除术(OR 0.40, P = 0.038)的发病率低于开放入路。PSM分析显示,平均失血量增加276.0 ml(95%可信区间(ci))。138.9 ~ 413.0 ml;P < 0.001),肿瘤≥6 cm患者的综合并发症指数比肿瘤直径< 6 cm患者高2.9点(95% ci . 0.6 ~ 5.3; P = 0.015)。最佳截断分析显示,肿瘤直径≥5.8 cm与并发症增加相关。结论:PCCs≥6 cm行肾上腺切除术的患者发生严重并发症的风险高于肿瘤较小的患者。尽管大(≥6cm)肿瘤患者的风险增加,微创手术与并发症可能性降低独立相关。本研究支持对大肝癌患者采用微创入路。
{"title":"Evaluation of the effect of tumour size on outcomes for patients undergoing adrenalectomy for phaeochromocytoma: international multicentre analysis.","authors":"Steffane McLennan, Kevin Verhoeff, Alessandro Parente, Alynne Ribano, Yanbo Wang, Zhicheng Wang, Jiale Zhou, Xiaorong Wu, Yonghui Chen, Maciej Śledziński, Andrzej Hellmann, Marco Raffaelli, Francesco Pennestrì, Mark Sywak, Alexander J Papachristos, Fausto F Palazzo, Tae-Yon Sung, Byung-Chang Kim, Yu-Mi Lee, Fiona Eatock, Hannah Anderson, Maurizio Iacobone, Daryl Gray, Richard C Chaulk, Vasilis Kosmoliaptsis, Nicola Colucci, Harry V M Spiers, Albertas Daukša, Ozer Makay, Yigit Turk, Hafize Basut Atalay, Els J M Nieveen van Dijkum, Anton F Engelsman, Isabelle Holscher, Gabriele Materazzi, Leonardo Rossi, Chiara Becucci, Susannah L Shore, Alison Waghorn, Claire Fung, Radu Mihai, Sabapathy P Balasubramanian, Arslan Pannu, Shuichi Tatarano, David Velázquez-Fernández, Julie A Miller, Hazel Serrao-Brown, Yufei Chen, Marco Stefano Demarchi, Reza Djafarrian, Helen Doran, Michael J Stechman, Helen Perry, Johnathan Hubbard, Cristina Lamas, Philippa Mercer, Janet MacPherson, Supanut Lumbiganon, María Calatayud, Felicia Alexandra Hanzu, Oscar Vidal, Marta Araujo-Castro, Cesar Minguez Ojeda, Theodosios Papavramidis, Pablo Rodríguez de Vera Gómez, Abdulaziz Aldrees, Tariq Altwjry, Nuria Valdés, Cristina Álvarez-Escola, Iñigo García Sanz, Concepción Blanco Carrera, Laura Manjón-Miguélez, Paz De Miguel Novoa, Mónica Recasens, Rogelio García Centeno, Cristina Robles Lázaro, Klaas Van Den Heede, Sam Van Slycke, Theodora Michalopoulou, Sebastian Aspinall, Ross Melvin, Joel Wen Liang Lau, Wei Keat Cheah, Man Hon Tang, Han Boon Oh, John Ayuk, Robert P Sutcliffe","doi":"10.1093/bjsopen/zraf133","DOIUrl":"10.1093/bjsopen/zraf133","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Surgical resection is the standard treatment for phaeochromocytoma (PCC). Current guidelines recommend an open approach for large tumours due to the increased risk of complications. This study aimed to characterize surgical outcomes for large (≥ 6 cm) and small (< 6 cm) PCCs and to identify factors that may improve postoperative outcomes.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective cohort study of patients undergoing adrenalectomy for PCC in 49 international centres between 2012 and 2022 compared patients with tumours < 6 cm in diameter and those with tumours ≥ 6 cm in diameter. Univariate, bivariate (dichotomous), and multivariate (multiple logistic and linear) analyses were used to evaluate outcomes and risk factors for complications. A secondary multivariable analysis evaluated factors, including operative approach, influencing outcomes for patients with tumours ≥ 6 cm. A 1:1 propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis was completed to control for age, sex, body mass index, and the Charlson Co-morbidity Index.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of the 2301 patients included in the analysis, 598 (26.0%) had PCCs with a diameter ≥ 6 cm. Patients with tumours ≥ 6 cm had a higher incidence of severe (Clavien-Dindo grade ≥ IIIa) postoperative complications (11.2% versus 4.8%; P < 0.001). Multivariable analysis revealed that tumour size ≥ 6 cm was an independent predictor of any complications (odds ratio (OR) 1.93; P < 0.001). Subanalysis of patients with tumours ≥ 6 cm demonstrated that laparoscopic (OR 0.33; P < 0.001) and robotic (OR 0.40; P = 0.038) adrenalectomy were independently associated with less morbidity than an open approach. PSM analysis revealed a mean 276.0-ml higher blood loss (95% confidence interval (c.i.) 138.9 to 413.0 ml; P < 0.001) and 2.9-point higher Comprehensive Complication Index (95% c.i. 0.6 to 5.3; P = 0.015) for patients with tumours ≥ 6 cm compared with patients with PCCs < 6 cm in diameter. Optimal cut-off analysis revealed that a tumour diameter of ≥ 5.8 cm was associated with increased complications.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Patients undergoing adrenalectomy for PCCs ≥ 6 cm have a higher risk of severe complications than patients with smaller tumours. Despite this increased risk in patients with large (≥ 6 cm) tumours, minimally invasive surgery was independently associated with a reduced likelihood of complications. This study supports a minimally invasive approach in patients with large PCCs.</p>","PeriodicalId":9028,"journal":{"name":"BJS Open","volume":"9 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12667028/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145647230","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Long-term recurrence of cholesteatoma after surgery: pooled rates and determinants. 手术后胆脂瘤的长期复发率和决定因素。
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1093/bjsopen/zraf131
Saqr Massoud, Raed Farhat, Uday Abd Elhadi, Bashir Abu Abed, Shlomo Merchavy, Alaa Safia
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引用次数: 0
Use and management of routine prophylactic abdominal drainage in pancreatic surgery: meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials. 胰腺手术常规预防性腹腔引流的使用和管理:随机临床试验的荟萃分析。
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1093/bjsopen/zraf123
Laura Pietrogiovanna, Pascal Probst, Eduard A van Bodegraven, Alberto Balduzzi, Jörg Kaiser, Thilo Hackert, Eva Kalkum, Philip C Müller, Sara Canovi, Pia Antony, Hendrik Strothmann, Marc G Besselink, Giovanni Marchegiani, Federico Storni, Alexander Dullenkopf, Fabian Hauswirth, Markus K Muller, Pietro Renzulli

Background: The use of abdominal drains in pancreatic surgery, both in partial pancreatoduodenectomy and left pancreatectomy, remains controversial. This study explored the value of routine abdominal drainage on postoperative outcomes.

Methods: A systematic literature search was performed in CENTRAL (Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials) and PubMed up to 1 May 2025. All randomized clinical trials (RCTs) investigating the use and management of routine prophylactic abdominal drainage in patients undergoing pancreatic resections were included. A random-effects model for Mantel-Haenszel and inverse-variance analysis was used. Risk of bias (Cochrane 2.0) and certainty of evidence GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation) were assessed.

Results: Thirteen RCTs with 2796 patients were included. Ten RCTs on partial pancreatoduodenectomy with 1744 patients, and seven RCTs on left pancreatectomy with 1052 patients. Four interventions were studied: abdominal drainage versus no abdominal drainage, irrigation-suction versus passive-gravity drainage, closed-suction versus passive-gravity drainage, and early versus late drain removal. Stratification for partial pancreatoduodenectomy and left pancreatectomy was performed, resulting in eight different line-ups. Two line-ups provided sufficient data to allow meta-analysis. Early drainage removal in partial pancreatoduodenectomy, following the study inclusion criteria, was shown to be safe with the additional benefit of significantly reducing chyle leak (odds ratio 0.22, 95% confidence interval (c.i.) 0.08 to 0.59; P < 0.01). The omission of routine abdominal drainage in left pancreatectomy was found to be safe, resulting in fewer postoperative pancreatic fistulas (odds ratio 0.52, 95% c.i. 0.36 to 0.77; P < 0.01) and a shorter hospital stay (mean difference -0.48 days, 95% c.i. -0.61 to -0.35; P < 0.01).

Conclusion: The present meta-analysis provides level 1a evidence in favour of a selective early drain removal policy in partial pancreatoduodenectomy and a no-drain policy in left pancreatectomy.

背景:腹腔引流在胰腺手术中的应用,无论是在部分胰十二指肠切除术还是左胰切除术中,仍然存在争议。本研究探讨常规腹腔引流对术后预后的影响。方法:系统检索截至2025年5月1日CENTRAL (Cochrane CENTRAL Register of Controlled Trials)和PubMed的文献。所有随机临床试验(RCTs)都调查了胰腺切除术患者常规预防性腹腔引流的使用和管理。采用Mantel-Haenszel随机效应模型和反方差分析。评估偏倚风险(Cochrane 2.0)和证据确定性GRADE(分级推荐、评估、发展和评价)。结果:纳入13项随机对照试验,共2796例患者。10项部分胰十二指肠切除术rct, 1744例;7项左胰切除术rct, 1052例。研究了四种干预措施:腹腔引流与不腹腔引流,灌吸与被动重力引流,封闭吸引与被动重力引流,早期引流与晚期引流。对部分胰十二指肠切除术和左胰切除术进行分层,形成8个不同的队列。两个队列提供了足够的数据进行meta分析。根据研究纳入标准,在部分胰十二指肠切除术中早期引流去除被证明是安全的,并有显著减少乳糜漏的额外好处(优势比0.22,95%可信区间(c.i.))。0.08 ~ 0.59;P < 0.01)。发现左胰切除术中省略常规腹腔引流是安全的,术后胰瘘发生率减少(优势比0.52,95% ci . 0.36 ~ 0.77, P < 0.01),住院时间缩短(平均差值-0.48天,95% ci . -0.61 ~ -0.35, P < 0.01)。结论:目前的荟萃分析提供了1a级证据,支持部分胰十二指肠切除术中选择性早期引流政策和左胰切除术中不引流政策。
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引用次数: 0
Long-term survival outcomes following fenestrated endovascular aortic repair: applying population-based life expectancies to contextualize postoperative survival. 开窗血管内主动脉修复后的长期生存结果:应用基于人群的预期寿命来分析术后生存。
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1093/bjsopen/zraf117
Maria-Elisabeth Leinweber, Corinna Walter, Fadi Taher, Afshin Assadian, Amun Georg Hofmann

Background: With demographic changes and the increasing suitability of even older and frail patients for complex aortic aneurysm repair, clinical decision-making has become increasingly complex. A critical factor in deciding whether to proceed with surgery is the estimated life expectancy, a prediction that is inherently challenging. Understanding survival outcomes, contextualized within a population-based framework, is therefore critical.

Methods: This retrospective study analysed patients undergoing fenestrated endovascular aortic repair (FEVAR) between 2013 and 2023. Patient and mortality data were sourced from medical records and the Austrian National Death Registry. Estimated life expectancy was calculated using national life tables, fitted with spline functions to provide age- and sex-specific estimates. Observed survival was illustrated using Kaplan-Meier curves, and adjusted analyses were performed using Cox regression models. Observed survival was then contextualized based on the estimated life expectancy, and two potential survival scenarios were investigated.

Results: Of 293 included patients, 127 (43.3%) died, predominantly from cardiovascular events. The observed median age of survival was 83.6 years versus a population-based expectancy of 86.5 years. Patients aged < 75 years had higher post-procedural survival than patients aged > 75 years, although the confidence intervals overlapped for the first 1700 days, indicating no significant differences in mid-term survival. Women experienced higher early mortality than men (14.3% versus 6.4% at 150 days), with no significant long-term sex differences. Potential survival scenarios demonstrated close alignment between observed survival and a favourable scenario, where censored patients were assumed to live to their estimated life expectancy. Adjusted analyses identified age and American Society of Anesthesiologists grade as significant predictors of mortality.

Conclusion: Survival outcomes aligning with population-based life expectancy estimates can be achieved in patients undergoing FEVAR when cases are well selected. However, cardiovascular mortality remains a significant burden. Population estimates can provide some guidance but are of limited usefulness for individual patient predictions, especially for younger patients, where the overall prognosis may be worse than anticipated based on age alone.

背景:随着人口结构的变化,老年人和体弱患者越来越适合复杂的主动脉瘤修复,临床决策变得越来越复杂。决定是否进行手术的一个关键因素是估计的预期寿命,这一预测本身就具有挑战性。因此,在以人群为基础的框架内了解生存结果是至关重要的。方法:本回顾性研究分析了2013年至2023年间接受开窗血管内主动脉修复术(FEVAR)的患者。患者和死亡率数据来自医疗记录和奥地利国家死亡登记处。估计的预期寿命是用国家生命表来计算的,用样条函数来提供特定年龄和性别的估计。观察到的生存率用Kaplan-Meier曲线表示,并使用Cox回归模型进行校正分析。然后根据估计的预期寿命对观察到的生存情况进行背景分析,并调查两种可能的生存情况。结果:293例纳入的患者中,127例(43.3%)死亡,主要死于心血管事件。观察到的中位生存年龄为83.6岁,而基于人群的预期寿命为86.5岁。75岁以下患者的术后生存率高于75岁以下患者,尽管在前1700天置信区间重叠,表明中期生存率无显著差异。女性的早期死亡率高于男性(150天时14.3%比6.4%),没有显著的长期性别差异。潜在的生存情景显示了观察到的生存与有利的情景之间的密切一致,在有利的情景中,假设审查的患者活到他们的估计预期寿命。调整后的分析确定年龄和美国麻醉医师学会分级是死亡率的重要预测因素。结论:当病例选择良好时,FEVAR患者的生存结果与基于人群的预期寿命估计值一致。然而,心血管疾病死亡率仍然是一个重大负担。人口估计可以提供一些指导,但对个体患者预测的有用性有限,特别是对年轻患者,其总体预后可能比仅基于年龄的预测更差。
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引用次数: 0
Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma rupture: multicentre retrospective study. 肝癌破裂的危险因素:多中心回顾性研究。
IF 4.5 3区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1093/bjsopen/zraf105
Feng Xia, Yiyang Liu, Hongwei Huang, Xulin Liu, Jing Yan, Zhancheng Qiu, Qiao Zhang, Zhenheng Wu, Zhiyuan Huang, Renjie Wei, Li Lin, Liping Liu, Shuangqin Han, Yulin Yuan, Huaxuan Yin, Guobing Xia, Yunyan Wan, Shuo Xiao, Guoxiang Zhou, Xiafei Xia, Huapeng Sun, Shuai Wang, Jun Zheng, Hengyi Gao, Jiang Zheng, Li Ren, Ali Mo, Lin Ye, Shun Ruan, Xiaoping Chen, Qi Cheng, Bixiang Zhang, Peng Zhu

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) rupture is a life-threatening complication associated with poor prognosis. This study comprehensively analysed risk factors for HCC rupture and developed a predictive model supplemented by machine learning models for early risk identification and clinical decision-making.

Methods: This retrospective study analysed patients with and without HCC rupture from tertiary centres in China between January 2016 and June 2019. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to reduce baseline differences between the rupture and non-rupture groups. Random forest and deep learning models were developed to enhance predictive accuracy and interpret variable importance. Model performance was evaluated using metrics such as precision, recall, and the F1 score across training, validation, and test cohorts.

Results: Among the 5952 HCC patients, the median follow-up duration was 48.6 months. Key risk factors for HCC rupture identified in this study include cirrhosis, protrusion ratio, and tumour maximum length. The CAPTure nomogram, constructed based on these predictors, yielded area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.857, 0.824, and 0.840 in the training, validation, and test cohorts, respectively. In the test cohort, the random forest and deep learning models achieved AUCs of 0.870 and 0.872, respectively.

Conclusion: This study provides a comprehensive analysis of risk factors for HCC rupture and introduces the CAPTure model as a practical and accurate tool for clinical use. By integrating traditional and machine learning approaches, the findings of this study offer robust methods for early risk assessment, resource optimization, and improved management of HCC rupture.

背景:肝细胞癌(HCC)破裂是一种危及生命且预后不良的并发症。本研究全面分析了HCC破裂的危险因素,并建立了一个预测模型,辅以机器学习模型,用于早期风险识别和临床决策。方法:本回顾性研究分析了2016年1月至2019年6月在中国三级中心发生和未发生HCC破裂的患者。倾向评分匹配(PSM)用于减少破裂组和非破裂组之间的基线差异。开发了随机森林和深度学习模型来提高预测准确性和解释变量重要性。模型的性能使用诸如精确度、召回率和训练、验证和测试队列之间的F1分数等指标进行评估。结果:5952例HCC患者中位随访时间为48.6个月。本研究确定的HCC破裂的关键危险因素包括肝硬化、突出比和肿瘤最大长度。基于这些预测因子构建的CAPTure nomogram曲线下面积图(AUC)在训练、验证和测试队列中的值分别为0.857、0.824和0.840。在测试队列中,随机森林和深度学习模型的auc分别为0.870和0.872。结论:本研究对HCC破裂的危险因素进行了全面分析,并介绍了CAPTure模型作为临床使用的实用而准确的工具。通过整合传统方法和机器学习方法,本研究结果为HCC破裂的早期风险评估、资源优化和改进管理提供了可靠的方法。
{"title":"Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma rupture: multicentre retrospective study.","authors":"Feng Xia, Yiyang Liu, Hongwei Huang, Xulin Liu, Jing Yan, Zhancheng Qiu, Qiao Zhang, Zhenheng Wu, Zhiyuan Huang, Renjie Wei, Li Lin, Liping Liu, Shuangqin Han, Yulin Yuan, Huaxuan Yin, Guobing Xia, Yunyan Wan, Shuo Xiao, Guoxiang Zhou, Xiafei Xia, Huapeng Sun, Shuai Wang, Jun Zheng, Hengyi Gao, Jiang Zheng, Li Ren, Ali Mo, Lin Ye, Shun Ruan, Xiaoping Chen, Qi Cheng, Bixiang Zhang, Peng Zhu","doi":"10.1093/bjsopen/zraf105","DOIUrl":"10.1093/bjsopen/zraf105","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) rupture is a life-threatening complication associated with poor prognosis. This study comprehensively analysed risk factors for HCC rupture and developed a predictive model supplemented by machine learning models for early risk identification and clinical decision-making.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective study analysed patients with and without HCC rupture from tertiary centres in China between January 2016 and June 2019. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to reduce baseline differences between the rupture and non-rupture groups. Random forest and deep learning models were developed to enhance predictive accuracy and interpret variable importance. Model performance was evaluated using metrics such as precision, recall, and the F1 score across training, validation, and test cohorts.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among the 5952 HCC patients, the median follow-up duration was 48.6 months. Key risk factors for HCC rupture identified in this study include cirrhosis, protrusion ratio, and tumour maximum length. The CAPTure nomogram, constructed based on these predictors, yielded area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.857, 0.824, and 0.840 in the training, validation, and test cohorts, respectively. In the test cohort, the random forest and deep learning models achieved AUCs of 0.870 and 0.872, respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study provides a comprehensive analysis of risk factors for HCC rupture and introduces the CAPTure model as a practical and accurate tool for clinical use. By integrating traditional and machine learning approaches, the findings of this study offer robust methods for early risk assessment, resource optimization, and improved management of HCC rupture.</p>","PeriodicalId":9028,"journal":{"name":"BJS Open","volume":"9 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12586324/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145443800","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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