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Comparison of nSOFA and RSS for predicting bronchopulmonary dysplasia in preterm infants: a retrospective cohort study. nSOFA和RSS预测早产儿支气管肺发育不良的比较:一项回顾性队列研究。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1136/bmjpo-2025-004067
Doudou Xu, Ziyi Tian, Mali Xu, Peipei Hu, Shupeng Wang, Yang Wang, Shenggang Ding

Background: This study aimed to compare the efficacy of the Neonatal Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (nSOFA) and the Respiratory Severity Score (RSS) in predicting Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia (BPD).

Methods: We conducted a retrospective study that included preterm infants who required invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) within 24 hours of birth. The accuracy of each scoring system was assessed and compared using the area under the curve (AUC) derived from receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Additionally, Spearman's correlation was used to evaluate the association between RSS and nSOFA, and logistic regression models were constructed to adjust for potential confounders.

Results: A total of 85 preterm infants were analysed, of whom 53 (62.4%) were diagnosed with BPD. Both nSOFA and RSS demonstrated strong predictive abilities for BPD, with AUCs of 0.82 and 0.81, respectively. Logistic regression analysis indicated that the relationship between the two scoring systems and BPD remained stable. However, nSOFA exhibited better predictive accuracy than RSS (0.75 vs 0.69). A significant positive correlation was observed between nSOFA and RSS (r=0.707, p<0.001).

Conclusions: In preterm infants requiring IMV, both nSOFA and RSS are effective predictors of BPD, with nSOFA showing superior accuracy.

背景:本研究旨在比较新生儿序期器官衰竭评估(nSOFA)和呼吸严重程度评分(RSS)对支气管肺发育不良(BPD)的预测效果。方法:我们进行了一项回顾性研究,包括出生24小时内需要有创机械通气(IMV)的早产儿。采用由受试者工作特征(ROC)分析得出的曲线下面积(AUC)对各评分系统的准确性进行评估和比较。此外,使用Spearman相关来评估RSS与nSOFA之间的关联,并构建逻辑回归模型来调整潜在的混杂因素。结果:共分析85例早产儿,其中53例(62.4%)被诊断为BPD。nSOFA和RSS对BPD的预测能力都很强,auc分别为0.82和0.81。Logistic回归分析表明,两种评分系统与BPD之间的关系保持稳定。然而,nSOFA的预测准确率高于RSS (0.75 vs 0.69)。结论:在需要IMV的早产儿中,nSOFA和RSS都是BPD的有效预测指标,其中nSOFA的准确性更高。
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引用次数: 0
Challenges and inequities of healthcare in meeting the growing needs of urban children in sub-Saharan Africa. 在满足撒哈拉以南非洲城市儿童日益增长的需求方面面临的挑战和不公平现象。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1136/bmjpo-2025-003901
Samy Ahmar, Andrew Clarke, Lynn Kanyuuru
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引用次数: 0
Insights from young doctors: why climate change matters to paediatricians and what actions we can take. 年轻医生的见解:为什么气候变化对儿科医生很重要,我们可以采取什么行动。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1136/bmjpo-2025-003623
James Patrick Finlay, Helena Clements, Erva Nur Cinar
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引用次数: 0
Difficulties in determining the diagnostic accuracy of an instrument to verify suspected sexual abuse in young children: 'autopsy' of the PICAS study. 确定一种仪器的诊断准确性的困难,以验证可疑的儿童性虐待:PICAS研究的“尸检”。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1136/bmjpo-2025-003950
Kirsten van Ham, Sonja Brilleslijper-Kater, Rian Teeuw, Iva Bicanic, Rick van Rijn, Hans van Goudoever, Johanna H van der Lee

Background: Currently, no validated instruments exist for professionals to verify suspected sexual abuse in young children. The aim of the Picture Instrument for Child Sexual Abuse Screening study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the Sexual Knowledge Picture Instrument (SKPI) in identifying young victims of child sexual abuse (CSA) based on assessments of non-verbal reactions and verbal disclosures.

Methods: Over a 5-year period, 155 children 3-9 years of age were enrolled: 65 children with a suspected history of CSA and 90 without. In line with the study protocol, 50 confirmed cases were expected, but none could be verified. All children underwent SKPI interviews conducted by trained interviewers. Independent conclusions from the Dutch Child Abuse Counselling and Reporting Center (CACRC) and the Dutch National Police Vice Squad, obtained 6 months post-interview, served as the reference standard.

Results: No children from the control group were reported to the CACRC or police. For only 27 of the 65 suspected cases, a reference standard outcome was available, confirming CSA in six children.

Conclusion: Due to the absence of a reliable reference standard, the diagnostic accuracy of the SKPI could not be determined. Beyond organisational challenges and stricter data protection laws, the gap between medical diagnostics, child protection and law enforcement highlights the need for a novel, collaborative approach in this type of research.

背景:目前,没有有效的工具存在的专业人员核实可疑的性虐待幼儿。本研究的目的是评估性知识图像工具(SKPI)在非语言反应和语言披露评估的基础上识别儿童性虐待(CSA)青少年受害者的诊断准确性。方法:在5年的时间里,155名3-9岁的儿童被纳入研究,其中65名儿童疑似有CSA病史,90名儿童无CSA病史。根据研究方案,预计有50例确诊病例,但没有一例能够得到证实。所有儿童都接受了由训练有素的采访者进行的SKPI访谈。荷兰虐待儿童咨询和报告中心(CACRC)和荷兰国家警察副队在访谈后6个月得出的独立结论作为参考标准。结果:对照组无儿童向中国儿童康复中心或警方报告。65例疑似病例中只有27例可获得参考标准结果,证实6例儿童有CSA。结论:由于缺乏可靠的参考标准,不能确定SKPI的诊断准确性。除了组织方面的挑战和更严格的数据保护法律之外,医疗诊断、儿童保护和执法之间的差距突出表明,在这类研究中需要一种新颖的协作方法。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring parental perspectives of physiotherapy in children with congenital heart disease: a qualitative study. 探讨父母对先天性心脏病患儿物理治疗的看法:一项定性研究。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1136/bmjpo-2025-003705
Stephanie L Clarke, Julie C Menzies, Emma Shkurka, Nigel E Drury

Background: Children with congenital heart disease demonstrate developmental and functional impairment throughout their life. Published literature is limited but suggests postsurgical physiotherapy positively impacts developmental and functional outcomes in these children. We aimed to understand parental opinions of their child's development or function, their experiences of physiotherapy services, how they feel physiotherapy could be used to support their child and what impacted access to services.

Methods: A qualitative study using semistructured online interviews was conducted among parents of children with a diagnosis of congenital heart disease under the age of 16 years, who had undergone cardiac surgery in the UK. Data were collected between July and December 2024. The data were explored using reflexive thematic analysis and the study was reported in accordance with the Consolidated Criteria for Reporting Qualitative Research checklist.

Results: 12 semistructured interviews were completed involving 12 mothers and 1 father. Themes identified were parental priorities; understanding and experience of physiotherapy; access to physiotherapy and ideal physiotherapy service. Parental expectations of their child's development were influenced by antenatal care and postnatal experiences. Parents continually evaluate the need for their child to access developmental and functional support. Engagement with physiotherapy is influenced by parental understanding, quality of service provision, impact of interventions on their child and the practical and emotional consequences to their family. Parents want physiotherapy services to deliver parental education and individualised support throughout their child's life, particularly around key life events.

Conclusions: Parental engagement with physiotherapy services is influenced by parental expectations of their child's development and function, and their understanding of the potential benefits of physiotherapy. Physiotherapists should prioritise promoting and increasing awareness of physiotherapists' role in children with congenital heart disease, alongside parental education and individualised care, to facilitate engagement.

背景:先天性心脏病患儿在其一生中表现出发育和功能障碍。已发表的文献有限,但表明术后物理治疗对这些儿童的发育和功能预后有积极影响。我们的目的是了解父母对他们孩子的发育或功能的看法,他们对物理治疗服务的经历,他们如何认为物理治疗可以用来支持他们的孩子,以及什么影响了服务的获取。方法:采用半结构化在线访谈的定性研究,对在英国接受心脏手术的16岁以下先天性心脏病儿童的父母进行了研究。数据收集于2024年7月至12月。使用反身性专题分析对数据进行了探索,并根据报告定性研究核对表的综合标准报告了这项研究。结果:共完成12次半结构式访谈,涉及12位母亲和1位父亲。确定的主题是父母的优先事项;对物理治疗的理解和经验;获得理疗和理想的理疗服务。父母对孩子发展的期望受到产前护理和产后经历的影响。父母不断地评估他们的孩子获得发展和功能支持的需要。父母的理解、提供的服务质量、干预措施对孩子的影响以及对家庭的实际和情感影响都影响到物理治疗的参与。父母希望物理治疗服务能够在孩子的一生中提供父母教育和个性化支持,特别是在关键的生活事件中。结论:父母参与物理治疗服务受到父母对孩子发育和功能的期望以及他们对物理治疗潜在益处的理解的影响。物理治疗师应该优先促进和提高对物理治疗师在先天性心脏病儿童中的作用的认识,以及父母教育和个性化护理,以促进参与。
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引用次数: 0
Speech and language diagnoses in monolingual and bilingual preschool children: a retrospective cohort study in a Swedish healthcare setting. 单语和双语学龄前儿童的言语和语言诊断:瑞典医疗机构的回顾性队列研究。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1136/bmjpo-2024-003188
Mårten Eriksson, Karin Myrberg

Introduction: Speech and language disorders are common developmental concerns. Identifying language issues in bilingual children presents a significant challenge. In this study, we examined how bilingualism, gender and age predicted the timing and types of diagnoses in a large clinical sample of children referred to speech and language therapy (SLT) services in a Swedish healthcare setting.

Methods: A retrospective analysis of medical record data was undertaken involving 1025 children under the age of 7 referred to public speech and language clinics. Data on age, gender, bilingualism and speech and language diagnoses were analysed.

Results: Bilingual children and boys were diagnosed at a younger age compared with monolingual children and girls. Speech and language diagnoses were associated with bilingualism and age. Bilingual children were more likely to have mixed receptive-expressive language disorders and developmental disorders of speech and language unspecified, and less likely to have specific speech articulation disorder and expressive language disorder, compared with monolingual Swedish-speaking children.

Conclusions: The timing and type of speech and language diagnoses were associated with sex, bilingualism and age. These observations may stem from the resources, tools and guidance available to professionals assessing bilingual children. Professionals should be cautious of these potential biases and take suitable measures to address them. Further studies in other geographical settings are warranted.

言语和语言障碍是常见的发育问题。识别双语儿童的语言问题是一项重大挑战。在这项研究中,我们研究了双语、性别和年龄如何预测在瑞典医疗机构中接受言语和语言治疗(SLT)服务的儿童的大量临床样本中的诊断时间和类型。方法:对1025例7岁以下儿童在公共言语语言门诊就诊的病历资料进行回顾性分析。对年龄、性别、双语能力、言语和语言诊断数据进行分析。结果:与单语儿童和女孩相比,双语儿童和男孩的诊断年龄更小。言语和语言诊断与双语能力和年龄有关。与单语瑞典语儿童相比,双语儿童更容易出现混合性接受-表达性语言障碍和言语及语言不明确的发育障碍,而出现特定言语发音障碍和表达性语言障碍的可能性更小。结论:言语和语言诊断的时间和类型与性别、双语能力和年龄有关。这些观察可能来自于评估双语儿童的专业人员可用的资源、工具和指导。专业人士应该警惕这些潜在的偏见,并采取适当的措施来解决它们。有必要在其他地理环境下进行进一步研究。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of two fractions of inspired oxygen thresholds (0.25 vs 0.30) for surfactant administration in very preterm infants with respiratory distress syndrome under nasal intermittent positive pressure ventilation: study protocol for a multicentre randomised controlled, superiority trial. 在鼻间断性正压通气条件下给药表面活性剂对呼吸窘迫综合征极早产儿两组吸入氧阈值(0.25 vs 0.30)的比较:多中心随机对照优势试验研究方案
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1136/bmjpo-2025-003998
Run Yang, Zou Fang, Kai-Zhen Liu, Xingwang Zhu, Xiang-Ping Ding, Qin Luo, Wen-Jun Zhou, Xiang-Wen Hu, Jin-Long Zhou, Wen-Yan Tang, Yuan Shi

Introduction: The combination of non-invasive ventilation, particularly nasal intermittent positive pressure ventilation (NIPPV), and exogenous surfactant therapy has been shown to significantly reduce mortality and morbidity in neonates with respiratory distress syndrome (RDS). The 2022 European Consensus Guidelines on RDS recommend a universal fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO₂) threshold of 0.30 for surfactant administration, irrespective of gestational age. However, this recommendation lacks validation through randomised controlled trials, and the optimal FiO₂ threshold remains uncertain. Therefore, this study aims to compare clinical outcomes associated with two different FiO₂ thresholds for surfactant administration (0.25 vs 0.30).

Methods and analysis: We designed a multicentre randomised, controlled, superiority trial investigating the effect of fraction of oxygen inspired (0.25 vs 0.30) in very preterm infants with RDS in 24 tertiary neonatal intensive care units in China. 394 preterm infants, born 26+⁰ to 31+6/7 weeks' gestation, will be randomised to the intervention (FiO₂ threshold: 0.25) or control (FiO₂ threshold: 0.30) group during initial NIPPV. The primary outcome will be NIPPV failure (the need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) within 72 hours after birth).

Ethics and dissemination: Our protocol has been approved by the Ethics Committee of Jiangxi Maternal and Child Health Hospital. The study results will be disseminated to guardians and the public through public health education and neonatal academic conferences.

Trial registration number: NCT07100652.

无创通气,特别是鼻间歇正压通气(NIPPV)和外源性表面活性剂治疗的结合已被证明可以显著降低新生儿呼吸窘迫综合征(RDS)的死亡率和发病率。2022年欧洲RDS共识指南建议,无论胎龄如何,表面活性剂给药的吸入氧(FiO₂)的通用分数阈值为0.30。然而,这一建议缺乏随机对照试验的验证,最佳FiO 2阈值仍然不确定。因此,本研究旨在比较两种不同的表面活性剂FiO 2阈值(0.25 vs 0.30)与临床结果的关系。方法和分析:我们设计了一项多中心随机、对照、优势试验,调查中国24个第三期新生儿重症监护病房中吸入氧分数(0.25 vs 0.30)对患有RDS的非常早产儿的影响。394名妊娠26+⁰至31+6/7周出生的早产儿将在初始NIPPV期间随机分为干预组(FiO₂阈值:0.25)或对照组(FiO₂阈值:0.30)。主要结局将是NIPPV失效(出生后72小时内需要有创机械通气(IMV))。伦理与传播:本方案已获得江西省妇幼保健院伦理委员会批准。研究结果将通过公共卫生教育和新生儿学术会议向监护人和公众传播。试验注册号:NCT07100652。
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引用次数: 0
Healthcare, caregiver and human capital costs associated with anxiety and depression among Indonesian youths. 与印度尼西亚青年焦虑和抑郁相关的医疗保健、照料者和人力资本成本。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1136/bmjpo-2025-003632
Karen Arulsamy, Elmeida Effendy, Sarah Mardhiyah, Mustafa M Amin, M Surya Husada, Vita Camellia, Anne-Claire Stona, Eric Andrew Finkelstein

Background: In Indonesia, at least 5% of youths aged 10-17 report having a diagnosed mental health condition. Despite evidence from other countries showing substantial economic costs associated with youth mental health conditions, data on their broader economic impact in Indonesia remain limited. This study estimates the economic costs of anxiety and depression among Indonesian youths aged 10-17.

Methods: This study employs a low-cost web panel approach to estimate economic costs, providing a replicable model for countries lacking data. We administered a cross-sectional online survey to 3038 Indonesian citizens (adult proxies) aged at least 18 years via a web panel. Respondents filled out the Patient Health Questionnaire-4 (PHQ-4) on behalf of youths in their household to capture prevalence rates, resulting in data on 4328 youths. Proxies of youths who screened positive for anxiety and/or depression symptoms based on the PHQ-4 (N=174) were then asked about mental healthcare utilisation (medication use, outpatient visits, and ED visits and hospitalisations), days missed from work by caregivers to provide care, and days missed from school and reductions in productivity resulting from mental health symptoms. Healthcare utilisation and caregiver costs were monetised and extrapolated based on unit costs/average wages, prevalence rates within the sample and national youth population counts.

Results: 10.6% reported symptoms consistent with anxiety and/or depression, yet 68.9% were never formally diagnosed, indicating a substantial diagnosis gap. Direct healthcare costs averaged IDR1 319 872 (US$83.15) per youth. Lost productivity of caregivers due to missing work to take care of these youths averaged IDR7 510 576 (US$473.17) per youth. These costs generate total annual medical costs of IDR5577.54 billion (US$0.35 billion) and total caregiver costs of IDR27 771.06 billion (US$1.75 billion). Overall, the total annual economic burden is IDR33 348.60 billion (US$2.1 billion). Youths with these symptoms also missed 187.1 hours of school per year and experienced a 45% decline in school performance.

Conclusions: Evidence-based interventions should be adopted to address the significant health and economic burden associated with these symptoms.

背景:在印度尼西亚,至少有5%的10-17岁青少年报告被诊断患有精神健康状况。尽管来自其他国家的证据表明,与青少年精神健康状况相关的巨大经济成本,但关于其在印度尼西亚更广泛经济影响的数据仍然有限。本研究估计了印尼10-17岁青少年焦虑和抑郁的经济成本。方法:本研究采用低成本网络面板方法估算经济成本,为缺乏数据的国家提供可复制的模型。我们通过网络面板对3038名年龄在18岁以上的印度尼西亚公民(成人代理)进行了横断面在线调查。受访者代表其家庭中的年轻人填写了患者健康问卷-4 (PHQ-4),以获取患病率,从而获得了4328名年轻人的数据。根据PHQ-4 (N=174)筛选出焦虑和/或抑郁症状阳性的青少年代表(N=174)随后被问及精神保健利用情况(药物使用、门诊就诊、急诊科就诊和住院情况)、照顾者为提供护理而缺勤的天数、缺课天数以及因精神健康症状而导致的生产力下降。医疗保健利用和护理人员成本货币化,并根据单位成本/平均工资、样本内的患病率和全国青年人口计数进行外推。结果:10.6%报告的症状与焦虑和/或抑郁一致,但68.9%从未被正式诊断,这表明诊断差距很大。每位青年的直接医疗费用平均为319 872印尼盾(83.15美元)。由于没有工作来照顾这些青年,护理人员的生产力损失平均为每位青年7 510 576印尼盾(473.17美元)。这些费用每年产生的医疗费用总额为55775.4亿印尼盾(3.5亿美元),护理人员的总费用为277710.6亿印尼盾(17.5亿美元)。总体而言,每年的经济负担总额为333486亿印尼盾(21亿美元)。有这些症状的青少年每年缺课187.1小时,学习成绩下降45%。结论:应采用循证干预措施来解决与这些症状相关的重大健康和经济负担。
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引用次数: 0
Early intervention guidelines for infants at risk of neurodevelopmental delay using traditional childcare practices from India. 采用印度传统育儿方法对有神经发育迟缓风险的婴儿进行早期干预指南。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1136/bmjpo-2025-003928
Tanochni Mohanty, Mallikarjunaiah H S, Umme Uzma M, Kavitha Raja

Background: India is witnessing a growing concern around neurodevelopmental disorders, with nearly one in eight children potentially affected. The early years of life, especially the first 1000 days offer a crucial window to support brain development and positive long-term outcomes. Global early intervention (EI) strategies focus on caregiver involvement, enriched environments and learning through meaningful repetition. However, applying these approaches in everyday community settings remains challenging due to the need for specialised training which is inaccessible for grassroots-level workers. Interestingly, many traditional Indian caregiving practices echo these global principles, though they remain undocumented in scientific literature.

Objective: This study aimed to explore traditional Indian child-rearing practices aligned with evidence-based EI and developing culturally rooted, easy-to-follow video resources to train grassroots-level workers (Accredited Social Health Activists (ASHA)).

Methods: We conducted 11 focus group discussions with 121 mothers and grandmothers from varied regions and cultural backgrounds across India. Using open-ended prompts, we gathered insights into daily caregiving routines for infants under 1 year of age. Conversations were recorded, transcribed and thematically analysed by age group (0-3, 3-6, 6-9 and 9-12 months). Based on recurring patterns, a series of EI videos was created and validated through community and expert feedback.

Results: Findings revealed that many common Indian practices-such as massage, floor play, lullabies and face-to-face interaction-align closely with global EI principles. The videos developed from these practices were well-received by caregivers and experts for their clarity, cultural relevance and practical usefulness.

Conclusions: Indian families already practise many nurturing routines that support early development. By capturing these practices in simple, accessible videos, we can bridge traditional wisdom with modern science-empowering parents and ASHA workers to support children's development meaningfully in the home environment.

背景:印度正在见证人们对神经发育障碍的日益关注,近八分之一的儿童可能受到影响。生命的最初几年,特别是头1000天是支持大脑发育和积极长期结果的关键窗口。全球早期干预(EI)策略侧重于照顾者的参与、丰富的环境和通过有意义的重复学习。然而,在日常社区环境中应用这些方法仍然具有挑战性,因为需要专门培训,而基层工作人员无法获得这些培训。有趣的是,许多传统的印度护理实践呼应了这些全球原则,尽管它们在科学文献中没有记载。目的:本研究旨在探索与循证EI相结合的印度传统育儿实践,并开发根植于文化、易于遵循的视频资源,以培训基层工作者(认可的社会卫生活动家(ASHA))。方法:我们对来自印度不同地区和文化背景的121位母亲和祖母进行了11次焦点小组讨论。使用开放式提示,我们收集了对1岁以下婴儿的日常护理程序的见解。对话被记录、转录并按年龄组(0-3、3-6、6-9和9-12个月)进行主题分析。基于重复出现的模式,我们制作了一系列EI视频,并通过社区和专家的反馈进行了验证。结果:研究结果显示,许多常见的印度做法——如按摩、地板游戏、摇篮曲和面对面互动——与全球情商原则密切相关。根据这些做法制作的视频因其清晰、文化相关性和实用性而受到护理人员和专家的好评。结论:印度家庭已经实行了许多支持早期发展的养育程序。通过将这些做法拍摄成简单易懂的视频,我们可以将传统智慧与现代科学结合起来,使父母和ASHA工作人员能够在家庭环境中为儿童的发展提供有意义的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing approaches to identify young children at risk for post-discharge mortality: Protocol for a prospective observational cohort study in Western Kenya. 确定有出院后死亡风险的幼儿的先进方法:肯尼亚西部前瞻性观察队列研究方案。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PEDIATRICS Pub Date : 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1136/bmjpo-2025-004176
Kitiezo Aggrey Igunza, Adrianna L Westbrook, Harun Owuor, Enrico M Novelli, Richard Omore, Robert F Breiman, Victor Akelo, Todd A Florin, Cynthia Akinyi Onyango, Rishikesan Kamaleswaran, Prisca Ngoga Akinyi, Christopher P Duggan, Karim P Manji, Cynthia G Whitney, Claudia R Morris, Chris A Rees

Introduction: Childhood mortality rates following hospital discharge may outpace inpatient mortality rates in some sub-Saharan African settings. Broadly validated risk assessment tools and biomarkers to identify children at risk for post-discharge mortality (PDM) are lacking. Moreover, clinical diagnoses (eg, pneumonia, sepsis, etc.) that confer high risk of PDM share a common pathobiology that culminates in endothelial dysfunction. The objectives of this study are to (1) externally validate existing risk assessment tools for PDM at 60 days and (2) test the association between a marker of endothelial dysfunction (ie, the global arginine bioavailability ratio [GABR]) and 60-day PDM among young children.

Methods and analysis: This is a prospective, observational cohort study of neonates (aged 0-28 days, n=1000) and infants and children (aged 1-59 months, n=1000) consecutively discharged from two hospitals in Western Kenya (ie, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga Teaching and Referral Hospital [JOOTRH] and Siaya County Referral Hospital). Candidate variables for previously developed risk assessment tools identified through a systematic review and plasma samples will be collected on the day of hospital discharge. Caregivers of participants will receive telephone calls 30 days and 60 days following discharge to ascertain participants' vital status. Test characteristics and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves will be calculated for each risk tool to determine their discriminatory value. Risk predictiveness and calibration of each tool will also be determined. Mean and median levels of GABR will be compared between cases and matched controls, and conditional logistic regression will be used to test the association between GABR and PDM.

Ethics and dissemination: This protocol has received clearance from the Kenya Medical Research Institute Scientific Ethics Review Unit, the JOOTRH Ethics Research Committee, and the Emory University institutional review board. Our results will be disseminated through scientific presentations at national and international conferences and peer-reviewed publications.

导言:在一些撒哈拉以南非洲地区,出院后的儿童死亡率可能超过住院死亡率。目前缺乏广泛验证的风险评估工具和生物标志物来识别有出院后死亡风险的儿童。此外,具有PDM高风险的临床诊断(如肺炎、败血症等)具有共同的病理生物学特征,最终导致内皮功能障碍。本研究的目的是:(1)从外部验证现有的60天PDM风险评估工具,(2)测试内皮功能障碍标志物(即全球精氨酸生物利用度[GABR])与幼儿60天PDM之间的关系。方法和分析:这是一项前瞻性、观察性队列研究,研究对象是肯尼亚西部两家医院(即Jaramogi Oginga Odinga教学和转诊医院[JOOTRH]和Siaya县转诊医院)连续出院的新生儿(0-28天,n=1000)和婴幼儿(1-59个月,n=1000)。将在出院当天收集通过系统审查确定的先前开发的风险评估工具的候选变量和血浆样本。参与者的护理人员将在出院后30天和60天接到电话,以确定参与者的生命状况。将计算每个风险工具的测试特征和受试者工作特征曲线下的面积,以确定其判别值。还将确定每种工具的风险预测和校准。将比较病例和匹配对照之间GABR的平均和中位数水平,并使用条件逻辑回归来检验GABR与PDM之间的关联。伦理和传播:本议定书已获得肯尼亚医学研究所科学伦理审查股、JOOTRH伦理研究委员会和埃默里大学机构审查委员会的批准。我们的研究结果将通过在国内和国际会议上的科学报告和同行评议的出版物进行传播。
{"title":"Advancing approaches to identify young children at risk for post-discharge mortality: Protocol for a prospective observational cohort study in Western Kenya.","authors":"Kitiezo Aggrey Igunza, Adrianna L Westbrook, Harun Owuor, Enrico M Novelli, Richard Omore, Robert F Breiman, Victor Akelo, Todd A Florin, Cynthia Akinyi Onyango, Rishikesan Kamaleswaran, Prisca Ngoga Akinyi, Christopher P Duggan, Karim P Manji, Cynthia G Whitney, Claudia R Morris, Chris A Rees","doi":"10.1136/bmjpo-2025-004176","DOIUrl":"10.1136/bmjpo-2025-004176","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Childhood mortality rates following hospital discharge may outpace inpatient mortality rates in some sub-Saharan African settings. Broadly validated risk assessment tools and biomarkers to identify children at risk for post-discharge mortality (PDM) are lacking. Moreover, clinical diagnoses (eg, pneumonia, sepsis, etc.) that confer high risk of PDM share a common pathobiology that culminates in endothelial dysfunction. The objectives of this study are to (1) externally validate existing risk assessment tools for PDM at 60 days and (2) test the association between a marker of endothelial dysfunction (ie, the global arginine bioavailability ratio [GABR]) and 60-day PDM among young children.</p><p><strong>Methods and analysis: </strong>This is a prospective, observational cohort study of neonates (aged 0-28 days, n=1000) and infants and children (aged 1-59 months, n=1000) consecutively discharged from two hospitals in Western Kenya (ie, Jaramogi Oginga Odinga Teaching and Referral Hospital [JOOTRH] and Siaya County Referral Hospital). Candidate variables for previously developed risk assessment tools identified through a systematic review and plasma samples will be collected on the day of hospital discharge. Caregivers of participants will receive telephone calls 30 days and 60 days following discharge to ascertain participants' vital status. Test characteristics and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves will be calculated for each risk tool to determine their discriminatory value. Risk predictiveness and calibration of each tool will also be determined. Mean and median levels of GABR will be compared between cases and matched controls, and conditional logistic regression will be used to test the association between GABR and PDM.</p><p><strong>Ethics and dissemination: </strong>This protocol has received clearance from the Kenya Medical Research Institute Scientific Ethics Review Unit, the JOOTRH Ethics Research Committee, and the Emory University institutional review board. Our results will be disseminated through scientific presentations at national and international conferences and peer-reviewed publications.</p>","PeriodicalId":9069,"journal":{"name":"BMJ Paediatrics Open","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12603701/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145487744","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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BMJ Paediatrics Open
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