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Pathways to strengthen the climate resilience of health systems in the Peruvian Amazon by working with Indigenous leaders, communities and health officers. 通过与土著领导人、社区和卫生官员合作,加强秘鲁亚马逊地区卫生系统气候适应能力的途径。
IF 7.1 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2023-014391
Claudia L Vidal-Cuellar, Victoria Chicmana-Zapata, Ingrid Arotoma-Rojas, Graciela Meza, James D Ford, Hugo Rodríguez Ferruchi, Elida De-La-Cruz, Guillermo Lancha-Rucoba, Diego B Borjas-Cavero, Sonia Loarte, Ofelia Alencastre Mamani, Victoria I Peña Palma, Maria G Coronel-Altamirano, Ivonne Benites, Giovanna Pinasco, Rosa Valera, Marco Maguiña Huaman, Adolfo Urteaga-Villanueva, César V Munayco, Carol Zavaleta-Cortijo

Background: Indigenous knowledge and responses were implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic to protect health, showcasing how Indigenous communities participation in health systems could be a pathway to increase resilience to emergent hazards like climate change. This study aimed to inform efforts to enhance climate change resilience in a health context by: (1) examining if and how adaptation to climate change is taking place within health systems in the Peruvian Amazon, (2) understanding how Indigenous communities and leaders' responses to climatic hazards are being articulated within the official health system and (3) to provide recommendations to increase the climate change resilience of Amazon health systems.

Methods: This study was conducted among two Peruvian Amazon healthcare networks in Junin and Loreto regions. A mixed methodology design was performed using a cross-sectional survey (13 healthcare facilities), semistructured interviews (27 official health system participants and 17 Indigenous participants) and two in-person workshops to validate and select key priorities (32 participants). We used a climate-resilient health system framework linked to the WHO health systems building blocks.

Results: Indigenous and official health systems in the Peruvian Amazon are adapting to climate change. Indigenous responses included the use of Indigenous knowledge on weather variability, vegetal medicine to manage health risks and networks to share food and resources. Official health responses included strategies for climate change and response platforms that acted mainly after the occurrence of climate hazards. Key pathways to articulate Indigenous and official health systems encompass incorporating Indigenous representations in climate and health governance, training the health work force, improving service delivery and access, strengthening the evidence to support Indigenous responses and increasing the budget for climate emergency responses.

Conclusions: Key resilience pathways call for a broader paradigm shift in health systems that recognises Indigenous resilience as valuable for health adaptation, moves towards a more participatory health system and broadens the vision of health as a dimension inherently tied to the environment.

背景:在 COVID-19 大流行期间,土著知识和应对措施被用于保护健康,展示了土著社区如何通过参与卫生系统来提高对气候变化等突发灾害的抵御能力。本研究旨在通过以下方式为在卫生领域提高气候变化适应力提供信息:(1)研究秘鲁亚马逊地区的卫生系统是否以及如何适应气候变化;(2)了解土著社区和领导人如何在官方卫生系统中阐明对气候灾害的应对措施;(3)为提高亚马逊地区卫生系统的气候变化适应能力提供建议:本研究在胡宁(Junin)和洛雷托(Loreto)地区的两个秘鲁亚马逊医疗保健网络中进行。我们采用了混合方法设计,进行了横截面调查(13 家医疗机构)、半结构式访谈(27 名官方医疗系统参与者和 17 名土著参与者)以及两次现场研讨会,以验证和选择关键优先事项(32 名参与者)。我们采用了与世界卫生组织卫生系统构建模块相关联的气候适应性卫生系统框架:结果:秘鲁亚马逊地区的土著和官方卫生系统正在适应气候变化。原住民的应对措施包括利用有关天气变化的原住民知识、管理健康风险的植物药以及共享食物和资源的网络。官方卫生机构的应对措施包括气候变化战略和主要在气候灾害发生后采取行动的应对平台。阐明土著和官方卫生系统的关键途径包括将土著代表纳入气候和卫生治理、培训卫生工作者、改善服务提供和获取、加强证据以支持土著应对措施以及增加气候应急预算:主要的抗灾途径要求卫生系统进行更广泛的范式转变,承认土著抗灾能力对卫生适应的价值,转向更具参与性的卫生系统,并扩大卫生作为与环境内在联系的一个方面的视野。
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引用次数: 0
The global health and economic value of COVID-19 vaccination. 接种 COVID-19 疫苗的全球健康和经济价值。
IF 7.1 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2024-015031
J P Sevilla, Daria Burnes, Joseph S Knee, Manuela Di Fusco, Moe H Kyaw, Jingyan Yang, Jennifer L Nguyen, David E Bloom

Introduction: The COVID-19 pandemic triggered one of the largest global health and economic crises in recent history. COVID-19 vaccination (CV) has been the central tool for global health and macroeconomic recovery, yet estimates of CV's global health and macroeconomic value remain scarce.

Methods: We used regression analyses to measure the impact of CV on gross domestic product (GDP), infections and deaths. We combined regression estimates of vaccine-averted infections and deaths with estimates of quality-adjusted life years (QALY) losses, and direct and indirect costs, to estimate three broad value components: (i) QALY gains, (ii) direct and indirect costs averted and (iii) GDP impacts. The global value is the sum of components over 148 countries between January 2020 and December 2021 for CV generally and for Pfizer-BioNTech specifically.

Results: CV's global value was US$5.2 (95% CI US$4.1 to US$6.2) trillion, with Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccines contributing over US$1.9 (95% CI US$1.5 to US$2.3) trillion. Varying key parameters results in values 10%-20% higher or lower than the base-case value. The largest value component was GDP impacts, followed by QALY gains, then direct and indirect costs averted. CV provided US$740 of value per dose, while Pfizer-BioNTech specifically provided >US$1600 per dose. We estimated conservative benefit-cost ratios of 13.9 and 30.8 for CV and Pfizer-BioNTech, respectively.

Conclusions: We provide the first estimates of the broad value of CV incorporating GDP, QALY and direct and indirect cost impacts. Through December 2021, CV produced significant health and economic value, represented strong value for money and produced significant macroeconomic benefits that should be considered in vaccine evaluation.

导言:COVID-19 大流行引发了近代史上最大的全球健康和经济危机之一。COVID-19疫苗接种(CV)是全球健康和宏观经济复苏的核心工具,但对CV的全球健康和宏观经济价值的估计仍然很少:方法:我们使用回归分析来衡量接种疫苗对国内生产总值(GDP)、感染和死亡的影响。我们将疫苗避免的感染和死亡的回归估算值与质量调整生命年 (QALY) 损失以及直接和间接成本的估算值相结合,估算出三大价值组成部分:(i) QALY 收益,(ii) 避免的直接和间接成本,以及 (iii) 对 GDP 的影响。全球价值是 148 个国家在 2020 年 1 月至 2021 年 12 月期间为 CV 和辉瑞生物技术分别估算的价值总和:CV的全球价值为5.2(95% CI为4.1至6.2)万亿美元,辉瑞生物技术公司的疫苗贡献了超过1.9(95% CI为1.5至2.3)万亿美元。关键参数的变化会导致数值比基准值高或低 10%-20%。最大的价值组成部分是 GDP 影响,其次是 QALY 增益,然后是避免的直接和间接成本。CV 提供的每剂价值为 740 美元,而辉瑞生物技术公司提供的每剂价值大于 1600 美元。我们保守估计,CV 和辉瑞生物技术公司的效益成本比分别为 13.9 和 30.8:我们首次估算了 CV 的广泛价值,包括 GDP、QALY 以及直接和间接成本影响。截至 2021 年 12 月,CV 产生了巨大的健康和经济价值,具有很高的性价比,并产生了显著的宏观经济效益,应在疫苗评估中加以考虑。
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引用次数: 0
The effects of climatic and non-climatic factors on malaria mortality at different spatial scales in western Kenya, 2008-2019. 2008-2019 年肯尼亚西部不同空间尺度上气候和非气候因素对疟疾死亡率的影响。
IF 7.1 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2023-014614
Bryan O Nyawanda, Sammy Khagayi, David Obor, Steve B Odhiambo, Anton Beloconi, Nancy A Otieno, Godfrey Bigogo, Simon Kariuki, Stephen Munga, Penelope Vounatsou

Background: Malaria mortality is influenced by several factors including climatic and environmental factors, interventions, socioeconomic status (SES) and access to health systems. Here, we investigated the joint effects of climatic and non-climatic factors on under-five malaria mortality at different spatial scales using data from a Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS) in western Kenya.

Methods: We fitted Bayesian spatiotemporal (zero-inflated) negative binomial models to monthly mortality data aggregated at the village scale and over the catchment areas of the health facilities within the HDSS, between 2008 and 2019. First order autoregressive temporal and conditional autoregressive spatial processes were included as random effects to account for temporal and spatial variation. Remotely sensed climatic and environmental variables, bed net use, SES, travel time to health facilities, proximity from water bodies/streams and altitude were included in the models to assess their association with malaria mortality.

Results: Increase in rainfall (mortality rate ratio (MRR)=1.12, 95% Bayesian credible interval (BCI): 1.04-1.20), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (MRR=1.16, 95% BCI: 1.06-1.28), crop cover (MRR=1.17, 95% BCI: 1.11-1.24) and travel time to the hospital (MRR=1.09, 95% BCI: 1.04-1.13) were associated with increased mortality, whereas increase in bed net use (MRR=0.84, 95% BCI: 0.70-1.00), distance to the nearest streams (MRR=0.89, 95% BCI: 0.83-0.96), SES (MRR=0.95, 95% BCI: 0.91-1.00) and altitude (MRR=0.86, 95% BCI: 0.81-0.90) were associated with lower mortality. The effects of travel time and SES were no longer significant when data was aggregated at the health facility catchment level.

Conclusion: Despite the relatively small size of the HDSS, there was spatial variation in malaria mortality that peaked every May-June. The rapid decline in malaria mortality was associated with bed nets, and finer spatial scale analysis identified additional important variables. Time and spatially targeted control interventions may be helpful, and fine spatial scales should be considered when data are available.

背景:疟疾死亡率受多种因素的影响,包括气候和环境因素、干预措施、社会经济地位 (SES) 和卫生系统的使用。在此,我们利用肯尼亚西部健康与人口监测系统(HDSS)的数据,研究了气候和非气候因素在不同空间尺度上对五岁以下儿童疟疾死亡率的共同影响:我们将贝叶斯时空(零膨胀)负二项模型拟合到 2008 年至 2019 年期间在村庄尺度和 HDSS 内卫生设施集水区汇总的月死亡率数据中。一阶自回归时间过程和条件自回归空间过程作为随机效应被纳入其中,以考虑时间和空间变化。遥感气候和环境变量、蚊帐使用情况、社会经济地位、前往医疗机构的旅行时间、距离水体/河流的远近以及海拔高度都被纳入模型,以评估它们与疟疾死亡率的关系:结果:降雨量的增加(死亡率比(MRR)=1.12,95%贝叶斯可信区间(BCI):1.04-1.20)、归一化差异植被指数(MRR=1.16,95%贝叶斯可信区间(BCI):1.06-1.28)、农作物覆盖率(MRR=1.17,95%贝叶斯可信区间(BCI):1.11-1.24)和前往医院的旅行时间(MRR=1.09,95%贝叶斯可信区间(BCI):1.04-1.13)与疟疾死亡率的增加有关。13)与死亡率增加有关,而蚊帐使用率的增加(MRR=0.84,95% BCI:0.70-1.00)、与最近溪流的距离(MRR=0.89,95% BCI:0.83-0.96)、社会经济地位(MRR=0.95,95% BCI:0.91-1.00)和海拔高度(MRR=0.86,95% BCI:0.81-0.90)与死亡率降低有关。如果将数据汇总到医疗机构所在地,则旅行时间和社会经济地位的影响不再显著:尽管人类发展报告系统的规模相对较小,但疟疾死亡率存在空间差异,每年 5-6 月达到高峰。疟疾死亡率的迅速下降与蚊帐有关,更精细的空间尺度分析发现了其他重要变量。以时间和空间为目标的控制干预措施可能会有所帮助,在获得数据时应考虑精细的空间尺度。
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引用次数: 0
Effective community entry: reflections on community engagement in culturally sensitive research in southwestern Nigeria. 有效进入社区:对尼日利亚西南部社区参与文化敏感性研究的思考。
IF 7.1 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2024-015068
Olubukola Omobowale, Alissa Koski, Halimat Olaniyan, Bidemi Nelson, Olayinka Egbokhare, Olayinka Omigbodun

Effective community entry processes influence community participation and acceptance of public health interventions. Though there is a growing body of literature on the importance of community partnerships, there is a lack of pragmatic and practical documentation of the experiences involved in the community entry process as it relates to culturally sensitive topics such as child marriage which can help to support researchers working in this field. This article highlights key themes related to knowledge of the community, effective communication, cultural sensitivity, coproduction and giving feedback which help to build trust between the community members and the research team. Institutional representation, not managing expectations, and lack of clarity, along with personal opinions of community gatekeepers can create challenges for the fostering of trustworthy relationships with the community. These realities must be actively addressed right at the onset of the process between the research team and community stakeholders. Researchers can develop trust, form connections and engage different communities by working with local groups and leaders, using culturally appropriate methods, and addressing community concerns. Future projects working with communities on child marriage in Nigeria and other countries would benefit from the reflections presented in this paper.

有效的社区进入过程会影响社区对公共卫生干预措施的参与和接受程度。尽管关于社区伙伴关系重要性的文献越来越多,但对于童婚等文化敏感话题的社区进入过程所涉及的经验,却缺乏务实和实用的文献,而这些文献有助于支持在这一领域开展工作的研究人员。本文强调了与社区知识、有效沟通、文化敏感性、共同制作和反馈有关的关键主题,这些主题有助于在社区成员和研究团队之间建立信任。机构代表、期望管理不到位、缺乏清晰度以及社区守门人的个人观点,都会给与社区建立值得信赖的关系带来挑战。这些现实问题必须在研究团队与社区利益相关者之间的进程一开始就积极加以解决。研究人员可以通过与当地团体和领导者合作、使用适合当地文化的方法以及解决社区关注的问题来建立信任、形成联系并吸引不同社区的参与。今后在尼日利亚和其他国家与社区合作开展的童婚问题项目将受益于本文提出的思考。
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引用次数: 0
Adolescent and youth-friendly health interventions in low-income and middle-income countries: a scoping review. 中低收入国家的青少年友好型健康干预措施:范围界定审查。
IF 7.1 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2023-013393
Cecilia Jakobsson, Rhea Sanghavi, Joseph Nyamiobo, Caitlin Maloy, Arnold Mwanzu, Katherine Venturo-Conerly, Cyprian Mostert, Stefan Peterson, Manasi Kumar

Background: Adolescents comprise one-sixth of the world's population, yet there is no clear understanding of the features that promote adolescent-friendly services (AFS). The lack of clarity and consistency around a definition presents a gap in health services.

Methods: The review was conducted following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Extension for Scoping Reviews guidelines. We conducted a scoping review of peer-reviewed empirical studies to explore AFS in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) published between January 2000 and December 2022. The databases searched were CAB Direct (n=11), CINAHL (n=50), Cochrane Databases (n=1103), Embase (n=1164), Global Health Medicus (n=3636) and PsycINFO (n=156). The title, abstract and full text were double screened by three independent reviewers. Three independent reviewers assessed the study's quality using the Joanna Briggs Initiative Quality Appraisal and Cochrane Risk of Bias 2 tools.

Results: We identified the key components, barriers and facilitators of AFS. The following emerged from our review: a non-judgmental environment, culturally appropriate and responsive interventions and a focus on supporting marginalised communities often living in high-poverty settings. Using these components, we have extended guidance around a possible framework and tool assessing quality of AFS.

Interpretation: As LMICs are heterogeneous and unique, it was assumed that the operational definition of 'adolescent-friendly' might vary depending on different contexts, but there must be core components that remain consistent. Possible limitations of our review include a lack of grey literature. Potential future implications include training healthcare providers, testing these attributes for service improvement and future development and localisation of policy guidelines.

Key highlights: Our review has mapped the research framing of AFS and provided a comprehensive review of barriers and facilitators to implementing a holistic outlook of AFS set-up in a tightly controlled research and real-world context. Our paper is one of the few efforts to synthesise behavioural and mental health elements underpinning AFS.

背景:青少年占世界人口的六分之一,但人们对促进青少年友好型服务(AFS)的特征却没有清晰的认识。定义的不清晰和不一致是医疗服务中的一个空白:本综述遵循《系统综述和元分析的首选报告项目》(Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Extension for Scoping Reviews)指南进行。我们对 2000 年 1 月至 2022 年 12 月间发表的同行评审实证研究进行了范围界定,以探讨低收入和中等收入国家(LMIC)的战地服务。检索的数据库包括:CAB Direct (n=11), CINAHL (n=50), Cochrane Databases (n=1103), Embase (n=1164), Global Health Medicus (n=3636) 和 PsycINFO (n=156)。标题、摘要和全文由三位独立审稿人进行双重筛选。三位独立审稿人使用 Joanna Briggs Initiative 质量评估和 Cochrane Risk of Bias 2 工具对研究质量进行评估:我们确定了 AFS 的关键组成部分、障碍和促进因素。我们在审查中发现了以下几点:非评判性环境、文化适宜性和响应性干预措施,以及重点支持通常生活在贫困环境中的边缘化社区。利用这些要素,我们围绕评估非洲战地服务质量的可能框架和工具扩展了指导:由于低收入与中等收入国家的情况各不相同且各具特色,因此我们认为 "青少年友好型 "的操作定义可能会因环境不同而有所差异,但其核心内容必须保持一致。我们的综述可能存在局限性,包括缺乏灰色文献。未来的潜在影响包括培训医疗服务提供者、测试这些属性以改进服务以及未来政策指南的制定和本地化:我们的综述描绘了美国战地服务的研究框架,并全面回顾了在严格控制的研究和现实世界背景下实施美国战地服务整体观的障碍和促进因素。我们的论文是为数不多的对支持战地服务团的行为和心理健康要素进行综合的文章之一。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating social behavioural insights in risk communication and community engagement approaches for better health outcomes in Africa. 在风险交流和社区参与方法中纳入社会行为洞察力,以在非洲取得更好的健康成果。
IF 7.1 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2024-015548
Dorothy Njagi, Mary Nyikuri, Nicaise Ndembi
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引用次数: 0
Supporting caregivers of children living with disability in a humanitarian context: realist-informed evaluation of the ‘Mighty Children’ programme in Afghanistan 在人道主义背景下支持残疾儿童的照顾者:对阿富汗 "强大儿童 "计划的现实评价
IF 8.1 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2023-012989
Natalie Evans, Noorwhiza Ahmadi, Alice Morgan, Sadia Zalmai, Kate M Milner, Mohamed Faiz Atif, Hamish R Graham
Introduction To ensure that humanitarian action is disability-inclusive, evidence is needed to understand how different strategies to support children living with disabilities and their families can work in these settings. Evidence from other contexts suggests support groups can improve caregiver quality of life (QOL). This study reports an evaluation of the ‘ Mighty Children’ programme a participatory educational support group programme for caregivers of children living with disability in Kabul province, Afghanistan. Methods We conducted a mixed-methods realist-informed before-and-after study to measure change in caregiver-reported QOL and explore how and for whom the programme worked, and in what contexts. Female caregivers of children with any disability were recruited through clinics in urban Kabul (n=3) and rural Paghman district (n=3). We collected quantitative data on QOL pre/post programme using the Paediatric Quality of Life Inventory Family Impact Module (PedsQL-FIM). Qualitative data were collected through facilitator and participant focus groups postprogramme. Results 118 caregivers participated in two cohorts (November 2020, February 2021). Caregivers expressed a significant increase in QOL from baseline to programme completion (t(125)=−10.7, p≤0.0001). Participation in cohort 2 was associated with the greatest PedsQL-FIM change. Qualitative data revealed positive changes postprogramme in five key areas: caregiver mindset, parenting practices, disability-inclusive behaviours, psychological well-being and child functioning. These changes were seen as both outcomes and mechanisms influencing the primary outcome of QOL. Mechanisms that mediated these changes included increased knowledge of disability and the core acceptance and commitment therapy components of mindfulness and acceptance. Conclusion The Mighty Children caregiver support programme for children living with disability in Afghanistan was associated with improved caregiver QOL. Further studies are warranted to explore pathways to scale, sustainability and potential application in other settings. Data are available on reasonable request.
导言 为确保人道主义行动兼顾残疾问题,我们需要证据来了解支持残疾儿童及其家庭的不同策略如何在这些环境中发挥作用。来自其他环境的证据表明,支持小组可以改善照顾者的生活质量(QOL)。本研究报告对 "全能儿童 "计划进行了评估,该计划是一项参与式教育支持小组计划,面向阿富汗喀布尔省的残疾儿童照顾者。方法 我们采用混合方法进行了一项真实的前后对比研究,以衡量照顾者报告的 QOL 变化情况,并探索该计划如何发挥作用、对谁发挥作用以及在什么情况下发挥作用。我们通过喀布尔市区(3 人)和帕格曼农村地区(3 人)的诊所招募了残疾儿童的女性照顾者。我们使用儿科生活质量量表家庭影响模块(PedsQL-FIM)收集了计划前后生活质量的定量数据。计划结束后,通过主持人和参与者焦点小组收集定性数据。结果 118 名护理人员参加了两次培训(2020 年 11 月和 2021 年 2 月)。从基线到计划完成,护理人员的 QOL 有了明显提高(t(125)=-10.7,p≤0.0001)。参加第二组计划的护理人员的 PedsQL-FIM 变化最大。定性数据显示,计划结束后,以下五个关键领域发生了积极变化:照顾者心态、养育实践、残疾包容行为、心理健康和儿童功能。这些变化被视为影响 QOL 这一主要结果的结果和机制。影响这些变化的机制包括对残疾的进一步了解,以及接受和承诺疗法的核心内容--正念和接受。结论 针对阿富汗残疾儿童的 "强大儿童 "照顾者支持计划与照顾者 QOL 的改善有关。有必要开展进一步研究,以探索扩大规模的途径、可持续性以及在其他环境中的潜在应用。如有合理要求,可提供相关数据。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing collaborative research for health: why does collaboration matter? 推进合作研究促进健康:合作为何重要?
IF 8.1 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2024-014971
Carla Saenz, Timothy M Krahn, Maxwell J Smith, Michelle M Haby, Sarah Carracedo, Ludovic Reveiz
The calls for health research to be collaborative are ubiquitous—even as part of a recent World Health Assembly resolution on clinical trials—yet the arguments in support of collaborative research have been taken for granted and are absent in the literature. This article provides three arguments to justify why health research ought to be collaborative and discusses trade-offs to be considered among the ethical values guiding each argument. No data are available.
要求健康研究开展合作的呼声无处不在--甚至是最近世界卫生大会关于临床试验的决议的一部分--然而,支持合作研究的论据却被认为是理所当然的,在文献中并不存在。本文提供了三个论点来说明为什么健康研究应该是合作性的,并讨论了在每个论点的伦理价值指导下需要考虑的权衡问题。无数据。
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引用次数: 0
Prepared for the polycrisis? The need for complexity science and systems thinking to address global and national evidence gaps 为多重危机做好准备?需要复杂性科学和系统思维来解决全球和国家证据差距问题
IF 8.1 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2023-014887
Aku Kwamie, Sara Causevic, Goran Tomson, Ali Sie, Rainer Sauerborn, Kumanan Rasanathan, Ole Petter Ottersen
The Sustainable Development Goals are far off track. The convergence of global threats such as climate change, conflict and the lasting effects of the COVID-19 pandemic—among others—call for better data and research evidence that can account for the complex interactions between these threats. In the time of polycrisis, global and national-level data and research evidence must address complexity. Viewed through the lens of ‘systemic risk’, there is a need for data and research evidence that is sufficiently representative of the multiple interdependencies of global threats. Instead, current global published literature seems to be dominated by correlational, descriptive studies that are unable to account for complex interactions. The literature is geographically limited and rarely from countries facing severe polycrisis threats. As a result, country guidance fails to treat these threats interdependently. Applied systems thinking can offer more diverse research methods that are able to generate complex evidence. This is achievable through more participatory processes that will assist stakeholders in defining system boundaries and behaviours. Additionally, applied systems thinking can draw on known methods for hypothesising, modelling, visualising and testing complex system properties over time. Application is much needed for generating evidence at the global level and within national-level policy processes and structures. All data relevant to the study are included in the article.
可持续发展目标远远偏离了轨道。气候变化、冲突和 COVID-19 大流行病的持久影响等全球性威胁交织在一起,需要更好的数据和研究证据来说明这些威胁之间复杂的相互作用。在多重危机时期,全球和国家层面的数据和研究证据必须解决复杂性问题。从 "系统性风险 "的角度来看,我们需要能充分反映全球威胁多重相互依存关系的数据和研究证据。相反,目前出版的全球文献似乎主要是相关性、描述性研究,无法解释复杂的相互作用。文献的地域性有限,而且很少来自面临严重多重危机威胁的国家。因此,国家指导未能相互依存地对待这些威胁。应用系统思维可以提供更多样化的研究方法,能够产生复杂的证据。这可以通过更具参与性的过程来实现,这些过程将帮助利益相关者确定系统边界和行为。此外,应用系统思维还可以借鉴已知的方法,对复杂的系统特性进行假设、建模、可视化和长期测试。在全球层面以及国家层面的政策进程和结构中,亟需应用系统思维来生成证据。与研究相关的所有数据均包含在文章中。
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引用次数: 0
Nutrition remains a top priority in Ukraine despite the ongoing war: the fight against trans fats 尽管战争仍在继续,但营养仍是乌克兰的重中之重:打击反式脂肪
IF 8.1 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2024-016301
Gerard Bryan Gonzales, Carla Motta, Clare Farrand, Jarno Habicht, Olena Kuriata, Pyi Pyi Phyo, Andrii Skipalskyi, Kremlin Wickramasinghe
### Summary box Nutrition remains a critical priority in Ukraine, even in the midst of the ongoing war. One of the specific nutrition-related concerns that many countries, including Ukraine, have been addressing is the reduction of trans fats and especially the elimination of industrially produced trans fats in the food supply. Trans fatty acids (TFA), or trans fats, are either naturally occurring or industrially synthesised type of unsaturated fatty acids with at least one double bond in the trans configuration. Industrially produced trans fats are synthesised via the partial hydrogenation of vegetable oils, which results in a semi-solid fat that is often used as a cheaper alternative to butter, has a longer shelf life and imparts desirable texture to food products. This makes trans fats more commonly found in food products that contain high amounts of partially hydrogenated oils, such as margarine, shortenings, cookies, cakes, breads and other industrially prepared foods. Developed and once widely used for their beneficial characteristics for the food industry, epidemiological evidence has since emerged on the association between regular consumption of trans fats and increased risk of non-communicable diseases (NCD), especially coronary heart disease. Approximately, 540 000 deaths each year may be attributed to intake of industrially produced TFAs.1 High TFA intake increases all-cause mortality by 34%, coronary heart disease deaths by 28% and coronary heart disease by 21%.2 This is likely due to their effect on increasing …
#### 摘要框 即使在战争持续不断的情况下,营养仍然是乌克兰的一项重要优先事项。包括乌克兰在内的许多国家一直在解决的与营养有关的具体问题之一是减少反式脂肪,特别是消除食品供应中工业生产的反式脂肪。反式脂肪酸(TFA)或反式脂肪是一种天然存在或工业合成的不饱和脂肪酸,其中至少有一个双键为反式构型。工业生产的反式脂肪是通过部分氢化植物油合成的,从而产生一种半固态脂肪,这种脂肪通常被用作黄油的廉价替代品,具有更长的保质期,并能给食品带来理想的口感。因此,反式脂肪通常出现在含有大量部分氢化油的食品中,如人造黄油、起酥油、饼干、蛋糕、面包和其他工业化生产的食品。反式脂肪因其对食品工业有益的特性而得到开发并一度被广泛使用,但后来出现的流行病学证据表明,经常食用反式脂肪与非传染性疾病(NCD),尤其是冠心病风险增加之间存在关联。每年约有 54 万人死于摄入工业生产的反式脂肪酸。1 大量摄入反式脂肪酸会使全因死亡率增加 34%,冠心病死亡率增加 28%,冠心病增加 21%。
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