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Prediction and Risk Factor Analysis of in-Stent Restenosis and Revascularization after Coronary Stenting Based on Machine Learning. 基于机器学习的冠状动脉支架植入术后支架内再狭窄及血运重建术预测及危险因素分析。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q3 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-07-12 DOI: 10.1159/000547438
Hao Ling, Chunli Song

Introduction: Effective prediction of in-stent restenosis and revascularization after coronary stent implantation and interventions targeting risk factors that may lead to these events are crucial for their prevention and management.

Methods: Based on a C5.0 decision tree approach, data from 2,326 patients from two centers were included. We comprehensively analyzed 34 risk factors that may affect in-stent restenosis and revascularization after stent implantation and conducted predictions and risk factor analyses for in-stent restenosis and revascularization following coronary stent implantation.

Results: The accuracy of predicting in-stent restenosis following coronary stent implantation with a median follow-up period of 30 months was as follows: area under the curve (AUC) in the training set, 0.996; AUC in the internal validation set, 0.988; and AUC in the external validation set, 0.889, with an f1 value of 0.95, a sensitivity of 99.16%, and a specificity of 91.72%. Additionally, the accuracy of revascularization prediction was as follows: AUC in the training set, 0.984; AUC in the internal validation set, 0.956; and AUC in the external validation set, 0.876, with an f1 value of 0.84, a sensitivity of 96.43%, and a specificity of 25%. We also conducted a risk factor analysis.

Conclusion: We successfully constructed a predictive and risk factor analysis model for in-stent restenosis and revascularization following coronary stent implantation. This model may be helpful for clinical decision-making.

背景有效预测冠状动脉支架植入术后支架内再狭窄和血运重建术,并针对可能导致这些事件的危险因素进行干预,对其预防和管理至关重要。方法采用C5.0决策树方法,纳入来自两个中心的2326例患者的数据。我们综合分析了34个可能影响支架植入术后支架内再狭窄和血运重建的危险因素,并对冠状动脉支架植入术后支架内再狭窄和血运重建进行了预测和危险因素分析。结果在中位随访30个月期间,预测冠状动脉支架植入术后支架内再狭窄的准确率为:训练集曲线下面积(AUC);内部验证集的AUC为0.996;0.988,外部验证集的AUC;0.889, f1值为0.95,敏感性为99.16%,特异性为91.72%。此外,血运重建预测的准确性为:训练集的AUC;0.984,内部验证集的AUC;0.956,外部验证集中的AUC;0.876, f1值0.84,敏感性96.43%,特异性25%。我们还进行了风险因素分析。结论成功构建了冠状动脉支架植入术后支架内再狭窄及血运重建术的预测及危险因素分析模型。该模型可能有助于临床决策。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy by Deep Learning and Radiomics. 利用深度学习和放射组学预测肥厚性心肌病患者的主要不良心血管事件。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q3 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-07-11 DOI: 10.1159/000547232
Jiangtao Wang, Biaohu Liu, Caiyun Xia, Sensen Wang

Introduction: Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) patients may be at risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), making risk stratification essential for implementing interventions in high-risk individuals. Deep transfer learning (DTL) and radiomics have made significant advances in the medical field; however, to date, no studies have combined echocardiography in HCM patients with DTL and radiomics to develop predictive models for identifying individuals at risk for MACE.

Methods: This study is a retrospective analysis that included 210 HCM patients, with a mean follow-up time of 29.44 ± 16.21 months. Among the patients, 59 experienced MACE and 151 non-MACE. The patients were randomly divided into training and validation sets in an 8:2 ratio. We collected chest parasternal left ventricular long-axis and short-axis images, with the left ventricular myocardial region defined as the region of interest. Radiomic features were extracted using the PyRadiomics software package, and DTL features were obtained through the pre-trained Resnet50 model. These radiomic and DTL features were then combined, and feature selection was conducted using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. The selected features were used to construct the DTL-RAD predictive model with machine learning algorithms. The model's diagnostic performance was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). Finally, we compared the prediction performance of the DTL-RAD model with those of models built using only radiomic features or only DTL features.

Results: The diagnostic performance of the DTL-RAD model in both the training and validation sets was excellent, with AUC values of 0.936 and 0.918, specificity values of 0.852 and 0.767, and sensitivity values of 0.892 and 0.929, respectively. It significantly outperformed models that used only radiomics or DTL features. Furthermore, the DCA demonstrated that the DTL-RAD model exhibited superior clinical applicability and effectiveness, surpassing the performance of other models.

Conclusion: The DTL-RAD model demonstrated exceptional performance in identifying HCM patients at risk of MACE, accurately detecting high-risk individuals among HCM patients at an early stage. This provides a basis for precise clinical intervention, effectively reducing the incidence of MACE in HCM patients.

肥厚性心肌病(HCM)患者可能存在重大不良心血管事件(MACE)的风险,因此对高危人群实施干预措施的风险分层至关重要。深度迁移学习(DTL)和放射组学在医学领域取得了重大进展;然而,到目前为止,还没有研究将超声心动图与放射组学相结合用于HCM合并DTL患者的预测模型,以确定MACE风险个体。方法对210例HCM患者进行回顾性分析,平均随访时间29.44±16.21个月。其中MACE 59例,非MACE 151例。患者按8:2的比例随机分为训练组和验证组。我们收集了胸骨旁左心室长轴和短轴图像,将左心室心肌区域定义为感兴趣区域(ROI)。使用Pyradiomics软件包提取放射组学特征,通过预训练的Resnet50模型获得DTL特征。然后将这些放射组学和DTL特征结合起来,使用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)进行特征选择。选取的特征通过机器学习算法构建DTL-RAD预测模型。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和决策曲线分析(DCA)对模型的诊断性能进行评价。最后,我们将DTL- rad模型的预测性能与仅使用放射组学特征或仅使用DTL特征构建的模型进行了比较。结果DTL-RAD模型在训练集和验证集的诊断性能均良好,AUC值分别为0.936和0.918,特异性值分别为0.852和0.767,敏感性分别为0.892和0.929。它明显优于仅使用放射组学或DTL特征的模型。DCA结果表明DTL-RAD模型具有较好的临床适用性和有效性,优于其他模型。结论DTL-RAD模型在HCM患者MACE风险识别方面表现优异,能在HCM患者中早期准确发现高危人群。为临床精准干预提供依据,有效降低HCM患者MACE的发生率。
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引用次数: 0
The Pump and the Pipes: Another Step towards the Non-Invasive Evaluation of Left Ventricular-Arterial Coupling in the Spectrum of Heart Failure. 泵和管道:心脏衰竭频谱中左心室-动脉耦合无创评估的又一步。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q3 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-07-10 DOI: 10.1159/000546902
Nicolò De Biase, Nicola Riccardo Pugliese, Kristina Kopeva
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引用次数: 0
Letter to the Editor Regarding "Associations between Chest Pain, Diagnosis, and Clinical Outcome in Patients Hospitalized with Acute Dyspnea: Data from the ACE 2 Study". 关于“急性呼吸困难住院患者胸痛、诊断和临床结果之间的关系:来自ACE 2研究的数据”的致编辑信。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q3 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-07-08 DOI: 10.1159/000547248
Çağrı Zorlu
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引用次数: 0
Body-Wide Expression Profiles of Commonly Assessed Cardiac Biomarkers in a Large Cohort of Human Tissue Donors. 在大量人体组织供体中,通常评估的心脏生物标志物的全身表达谱。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q3 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-07-08 DOI: 10.1159/000547289
Grant C O'Connell, Christine G Smothers, Jing Wang, Bethany L Armentrout

Introduction: Blood biomarkers of myocardial damage or stress are routinely used to guide the diagnosis and management of both acute and chronic cardiac conditions. The circulating levels of these proteins are directly influenced by source tissue expression levels, and understanding where and to what degree they are expressed throughout the body can yield insights into their properties as biomarkers. Thus, in this descriptive study, we sought to comprehensively map the expression of twelve clinically established or emerging cardiac biomarkers across a broad spectrum of human tissues and comparatively assess expression characteristics that could impact diagnostic performance.

Methods: Existing genome-wide mRNA sequencing data originating from 16,357 cardiac and noncardiac tissue specimens harvested from 946 donors were used to quantify the expression levels of genes coding for the twelve proteins of interest (cTnT, cTnI, H-FABP, proANP, proBNP, Mb, CKTOTAL, CK-MB, LDHTOTAL, LDH-1, sST2, and cMyBP-C). Cardiac abundance, atrioventricular heterogeneity, and cardiac enrichment were subsequently assessed and compared between genes, both in the total pool of specimens and subsets of specimens grouped by donor sex and age.

Results: When considering the entirety of our analyses, the spatial expression characteristics of cMyBP-C, one of the emerging biomarkers we investigated, compared favorably to those of established biomarkers such as the troponins, suggesting that it may be a viable supplement to markers currently in clinical use. However, several other emerging biomarkers we assessed, including sST2 and H-FABP, displayed high expression in numerous noncardiac tissues that could serve as diagnostic confounds and limit their clinical value. In addition, we also observed differences between the expression profiles of closely related established biomarkers that have often been used interchangeably, including cTnI and cTnT, and proANP and proBNP, that could explain recent reports of discordant blood measures. Finally, we observed notable age and sex-related differences in the expression of proANP and proBNP within cardiac tissue specifically that support calls for the use of tiered diagnostic cutoffs.

Conclusion: Our findings provide insights into the potential utility of several notable emerging cardiac biomarkers and new information that could mechanistically explain previously reported phenomena or highlight possible diagnostic advantages, disadvantages, or use-caveats regarding others currently measured in clinical care.

背景:心肌损伤或应激的血液生物标志物通常用于指导急性和慢性心脏病的诊断和治疗。这些蛋白质的循环水平直接受到源组织表达水平的影响,了解它们在全身的表达位置和程度可以深入了解它们作为生物标志物的特性。因此,在这项描述性研究中,我们试图在广泛的人体组织中全面绘制12种临床建立或新出现的心脏生物标志物的表达图谱,并比较评估可能影响诊断性能的表达特征。方法:利用来自946名供体的16,357例心脏和非心脏组织标本的现有全基因组RNA测序数据,量化12种感兴趣蛋白(cTnT、cTnI、H-FABP、proANP、proBNP、Mb、CKtotal、CK-MB、LDHtotal、LDH-1、sST2和cMyBP-C)的编码基因表达水平。心脏丰度、房室异质性和心脏富集随后被评估并在基因之间进行比较,无论是在整个标本池中,还是在按供体性别和年龄分组的标本亚群中。结果:考虑到我们的整体分析,我们研究的新兴生物标志物之一cMyBP-C的空间表达特征优于那些已建立的生物标志物,如肌钙蛋白,这表明它可能是目前临床使用的标志物的可行补充。然而,我们评估的其他几种新兴生物标志物,包括sST2和H-FABP,在许多非心脏组织中显示高表达,这可能作为诊断混淆并限制其临床价值。此外,我们还观察到经常互换使用的密切相关的已建立的生物标志物(包括cTnI和cTnT, proANP和proBNP)的表达谱之间的差异,这可以解释最近报道的不一致的血液测量。最后,我们观察到心脏组织中proANP和proBNP的表达在年龄和性别方面存在显著差异,这支持了使用分层诊断截止点的要求。结论:我们的研究结果提供了一些值得注意的新兴心脏生物标志物的潜在效用的见解,以及可以机械地解释先前报道的现象或突出可能的诊断优势,劣势或使用注意事项的新信息,这些信息与目前临床护理中测量的其他生物标志物有关。
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引用次数: 0
T2 Mapping Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Is an Independent Predictor of Adverse Outcome in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy. 心脏MRI T2定位是肥厚性心肌病不良预后的独立预测因子。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q3 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-07-07 DOI: 10.1159/000547262
Yafim Brodov, Zehavit Kirshenboim, Alexander Fardman, Rayiq Shagraui, Avi Sabbag, Eli Konen, Arkadi Beytelman, Michael Arad, Yishay Wassershtrum, Orly Goitein

Introduction: The outcome of patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) largely depends on the presence of ventricular arrhythmias. T2 mapping is a well-documented cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) sequence for edema evaluation and quantification. Our aim was to evaluate whether T2 mapping values might predict ventricular arrythmias and clinical outcome in patients with HCM.

Methods: Consecutive patients (n = 48, mean age 50 ± 18 years) with HCM and healthy volunteers (n = 21, mean age 44 ± 5 years) underwent a CMR scan (3 Tesla scanner). T2 mapping values were presented using a 16-segment AHA model and divided into 3 tertiles. Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) was calculated as percentage of left ventricular mass. Ventricular tachycardia (VT) was recorded by 24-h Holter monitoring or during exercise stress test. The clinical endpoint was defined as the presence of VT, admission due to arrhythmias, and implantable cardioverter defibrillator insertion.

Results: The clinical endpoint was documented in 69%, 62%, and 50% of the third, second, and first T2 mapping tertiles, respectively (p for trend = 0.03). A multivariate analysis including age, gender, LGE, and T2 mapping demonstrated that T2 mapping was an independent predictor of the clinical endpoint as a continuous variable (OR 1.56; 1.03-2.38, p = 0.04) and the third T2 tertile (OR 22.80; 1.40-361.60, p = 0.03), respectively.

Conclusion: Elevated T2 mapping values were found to be an independent predictor of the clinical endpoint in HCM patients. These results highlight the potential role of edema in HCM arrhythmias.

肥厚性心肌病(HCM)患者的预后在很大程度上取决于室性心律失常的存在。T2定位是一个有充分记录的心脏MRI (CMR)序列,用于水肿评估和量化。我们的目的是评估T2制图值是否可以预测HCM患者的室性心律失常和临床结局。方法:连续48例HCM患者(n = 48,平均年龄50±18岁)和21例健康志愿者(n = 21,平均年龄44±5岁)行CMR扫描(3台特斯拉扫描仪)。T2映射值采用16段AHA模型,并分为3分位。晚期钆增强(LGE)以左心室(LV)质量的百分比计算。24小时动态心电图监测或运动负荷试验记录室性心动过速(VT)。临床终点定义为室性心动过速、因心律失常入院和植入式心律转复除颤器(ICD)插入。结果:临床终点记录在第三、第二和第一T2测位的分别为69%、62%和50% (p为趋势= 0.03)。包括年龄、性别、LGE和T2定位在内的多变量分析表明,T2定位是临床结局的独立预测因子,分别作为连续变量和第三个分位数(OR 1.56;1.03 ~ 2.38, P = 0.04、22.80 (1.40 ~ 361.60,P = 0.03)。结论:升高的T2映射值被发现是HCM患者临床终点的独立预测因子。这些结果强调了水肿在HCM心律失常中的潜在作用。
{"title":"T2 Mapping Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Is an Independent Predictor of Adverse Outcome in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy.","authors":"Yafim Brodov, Zehavit Kirshenboim, Alexander Fardman, Rayiq Shagraui, Avi Sabbag, Eli Konen, Arkadi Beytelman, Michael Arad, Yishay Wassershtrum, Orly Goitein","doi":"10.1159/000547262","DOIUrl":"10.1159/000547262","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>The outcome of patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) largely depends on the presence of ventricular arrhythmias. T2 mapping is a well-documented cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) sequence for edema evaluation and quantification. Our aim was to evaluate whether T2 mapping values might predict ventricular arrythmias and clinical outcome in patients with HCM.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Consecutive patients (n = 48, mean age 50 ± 18 years) with HCM and healthy volunteers (n = 21, mean age 44 ± 5 years) underwent a CMR scan (3 Tesla scanner). T2 mapping values were presented using a 16-segment AHA model and divided into 3 tertiles. Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) was calculated as percentage of left ventricular mass. Ventricular tachycardia (VT) was recorded by 24-h Holter monitoring or during exercise stress test. The clinical endpoint was defined as the presence of VT, admission due to arrhythmias, and implantable cardioverter defibrillator insertion.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The clinical endpoint was documented in 69%, 62%, and 50% of the third, second, and first T2 mapping tertiles, respectively (p for trend = 0.03). A multivariate analysis including age, gender, LGE, and T2 mapping demonstrated that T2 mapping was an independent predictor of the clinical endpoint as a continuous variable (OR 1.56; 1.03-2.38, p = 0.04) and the third T2 tertile (OR 22.80; 1.40-361.60, p = 0.03), respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Elevated T2 mapping values were found to be an independent predictor of the clinical endpoint in HCM patients. These results highlight the potential role of edema in HCM arrhythmias.</p>","PeriodicalId":9391,"journal":{"name":"Cardiology","volume":" ","pages":"1-8"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2025-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144583081","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Novel Hydrodynamic Approach for the Evaluation of Microvascular Resistance during Provocative Spasm Testing. 在挑衅性痉挛试验中评估微血管阻力的一种新的流体动力学方法。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q3 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-06-30 DOI: 10.1159/000547197
Navid Freidoonimehr, Olivia Girolamo, Tam Atkins, Bo Yang, Rosanna Tavella, Christopher Zeitz, Maziar Arjomandi, John F Beltrame

Introduction: Intracoronary acetylcholine provocative testing is the gold standard method for the assessment of epicardial and/or microvascular spasm, with the latter diagnosed when there are acetylcholine (ACh)-induced chest pain and ischaemic electrocardiogram changes in the absence of epicardial spasm. While epicardial spasm can be visualised, microvascular spasm cannot and remains a presumed diagnosis.

Methods: This article describes a hydrodynamic model developed to calculate the epicardial and microvascular resistances for both pre- and post-ACh administration. The model is based on the concept of two resistances (epicardial and microvascular) located in a series arrangement. The epicardial resistance is obtained as a hydraulic resistance, accounting for the friction resistance between the coronary blood flow and the arterial walls. The microvascular resistance is calculated by subtracting the epicardial resistance from the ratio of the pressure and flow measured using coronary guidewire-based techniques.

Conclusion: This novel methodology provides key insights into the physiological characteristics of epicardial and microvascular spasm during ACh provocation testing. Further clinical validation is required to explore the clinical utility of this methodology.

导语:冠状动脉内乙酰胆碱激发试验是评估心外膜和/或微血管痉挛的金标准方法,当在没有心外膜痉挛的情况下,有疼痛引起的胸痛和缺血性心电图改变时,可以诊断微血管痉挛。虽然心外膜痉挛可以看到,微血管痉挛不能,仍然是一个假定的诊断。方法:本文描述了一个流体动力学模型,用于计算乙酰胆碱给药前后心外膜和微血管阻力。该模型是基于两个电阻(心外膜和微血管)串联的概念。心外膜阻力是指冠状动脉血流与动脉壁之间的摩擦阻力所产生的水力阻力。微血管阻力的计算方法是用冠状动脉导丝技术测量的压力和流量之比减去心外膜阻力。结论:这种新颖的方法为乙酰胆碱激发试验期间心外膜和微血管痉挛的生理特征提供了关键的见解。进一步的临床验证需要探索该方法的临床应用。
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引用次数: 0
Pharmacist-led transition of care services in patients with cardiovascular disease: a systematic scoping review. 药剂师主导的心血管疾病患者护理服务的转变:一个系统的范围审查。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q3 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-06-30 DOI: 10.1159/000547172
Keshia R De Guzman, Nazanin Falconer, Neil Cottrell, Ian D Coombes, Holly Foot, Pei Wen Koh, Shelley Wilkinson, Kelvin Robertson, Chariclia Paradissis, William Y S Wang, Jared A Miles, John James Atherton, Centaine L Snoswell, Vivian Bryce, Sue Carson, Andrew R Jones, Michael A Barras

Introduction: Transition of care (ToC) is a critical time that requires effective management, especially for patients with cardiovascular disease, who have complex health needs. Pharmacists can play an integral role in improving medication safety and care coordination at ToC. This review determined the types of pharmacist-led multidisciplinary ToC services and associated outcomes in patients with cardiovascular disease.

Methods: A systematic literature search of four databases; PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, and Scopus, was undertaken from inception until June 2023. Abstracts and full text were screened against eligibility criteria. Extracted data included study characteristics, ToC service descriptions, primary and secondary outcomes, limitations, and key findings. Study findings were synthesised narratively. The types of in-patient and post-discharge activities and their effect on patient outcomes were critiqued and presented.

Results: Of the 1822 studies identified, 37 were included in the final review. The most common primary outcome reported was 30-day all cause readmissions (n=14). Pharmacist-led ToC services incorporated a diverse combination of inpatient and post-discharge activities. The most common in-patient activities included medication history and reconciliation, patient medication education, and medication review and optimisation. The most common post-discharge activities were medication review and optimisation, adherence assessments, and medication education. Multifaceted ToC services that involved inpatient and post-discharge activities demonstrated statistically significant changes in readmission rates and other patient reported outcomes.

Conclusion: A variety of multifaced approaches to pharmacist-led ToC services have been evaluated within many studies, reporting favourable effects on outcomes for patients with cardiovascular disease. Tailoring ToC services to specific patient populations and settings, targeting activities to high-risk patients, and a multidisciplinary approach, are important to optimise ToC and patient outcomes.

导言:护理过渡(ToC)是一个需要有效管理的关键时期,特别是对于具有复杂健康需求的心血管疾病患者。药剂师可以在改善ToC的用药安全和护理协调方面发挥不可或缺的作用。本综述确定了药剂师主导的多学科ToC服务的类型和心血管疾病患者的相关结果。方法:对四个数据库进行系统的文献检索;PubMed, Embase, CINAHL和Scopus,从成立到2023年6月进行。摘要和全文根据入选标准进行筛选。提取的数据包括研究特征、ToC服务描述、主要和次要结果、局限性和主要发现。研究结果以叙述的方式加以综合。对住院和出院后活动的类型及其对患者预后的影响进行了批评和介绍。结果:在纳入的1822项研究中,有37项纳入最终综述。最常见的主要转归是30天的全因再入院(n=14)。药剂师主导的ToC服务包括住院和出院后活动的多样化组合。最常见的住院活动包括用药史与和解、患者用药教育、用药回顾与优化。出院后最常见的活动是药物审查和优化、依从性评估和药物教育。涉及住院和出院后活动的多方面ToC服务在再入院率和其他患者报告的结果方面显示出统计学上显著的变化。结论:在许多研究中,对药剂师主导的ToC服务的各种多方面方法进行了评估,报告了对心血管疾病患者预后的有利影响。针对特定患者群体和环境定制ToC服务,针对高危患者开展活动,以及采用多学科方法,对于优化ToC和患者预后非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
Burden of Rheumatic Heart Disease in Chinese Children and Adolescents versus Adults: An Analysis from the "Global Burden of Disease" Study. 中国儿童、青少年与成人风湿性心脏病负担:来自“全球疾病负担”研究的分析
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q3 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-06-19 DOI: 10.1159/000546878
Chengqiang Lei, Jian Liu, Xiangyong Liu, Zhi Yang

Introduction: Rheumatic heart disease (RHD) is a globally important public health issue. China, as a populous country, has daunting challenges posed by RHD-related morbidity and mortality in the public health system. Evaluating and comparing the differences in the RHD burden of children and adolescents versus adults in China not only helps optimize domestic prevention and control strategies but also provides a reference for regional practices in RHD control.

Methods: Open data from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease database were utilized to analyze the characteristics of the RHD burden of children, adolescents, and adults in China, including changes in morbidity and mortality. Joinpoint was utilized to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC). A comprehensive comparative analysis was undertaken on the differences in RHD burden in Chinese children, adolescents, and adults from multiple dimensions such as age, gender, and time.

Results: From 1990 to 2021, the number of deaths of RHD in children and adolescents in China exhibited a declining trend compared to that in adults. In terms of the number of incidences, all age groups showed a declining trend except for those aged 55 and above, which manifested an upward trend. The crude incidence and crude mortality rates both declined during the same period, with their AAPC being -0.53 (95% CI: -0.61, -0.46) and -8.13 (95% CI: -8.65, -7.61) for those aged under 20 years, and -1.92 (95% CI: -2.05, -1.80) and -2.98 (95% CI: -3.18, -2.79) for those aged 20 years and above. The incidence and mortality rates had a bearing on patient age, with higher incidence rates observed in children and adolescents and higher mortality rates observed in adults. According to the analysis of gender differences, the incidence of children and adolescents was higher in men, while women always had a higher crude incidence rate (CIR) and mortality rate (CDR) than men (CIR in 2021: 21.31/100,000 for women vs. 20.08/100,000 for men; CDR: 0.05/100,000 for women vs. 0.06/100,000 for men). The mortality rate of adult women was particularly prominent. The number of cases in children and adolescents exhibited a "W-shaped" fluctuation, while the adult group showed an "M-shaped" trend. The overall CIR and CDR both exhibited a downward trend.

Conclusion: The burden of RHD is linked to age and gender, with a high incidence in young people and a high mortality rate in adults. Women are more prone to develop the disease and have a higher risk of mortality. Given China's large and aging population, RHD remains a major public health challenge in China. Effective prevention and control strategies should be underscored.

背景:风湿性心脏病(RHD)是一个全球性的重要公共卫生问题。中国作为一个人口大国,rhd相关的发病率和死亡率给公共卫生系统带来了严峻的挑战。评价和比较中国儿童、青少年与成人RHD负担的差异,不仅有助于优化国内的预防和控制策略,也可为RHD控制的区域实践提供参考。目的:本研究旨在阐明1990 - 2021年中国儿童和青少年RHD年龄和性别负担的时间趋势,并将其与成人RHD负担进行比较。方法:利用2021年全球疾病负担数据库的公开数据,分析中国儿童、青少年和成人RHD负担的特征,包括发病率和死亡率的变化。使用Joinpoint计算平均年变化百分比(AAPC)。从年龄、性别、时间等多个维度对中国儿童、青少年和成人RHD负担的差异进行综合比较分析。结果:从1990年到2021年,中国儿童和青少年RHD死亡人数与成人相比呈下降趋势。就发病率而言,除55岁及以上人士呈上升趋势外,所有年龄组均呈下降趋势。粗发病率和粗死亡率同期均有所下降,20岁以下患者的AAPC分别为-0.53 (95% CI: -0.61, -0.46)和-8.13 (95% CI: -8.65, -7.61), 20岁及以上患者的AAPC分别为-1.92 (95% CI: -2.05, -1.80)和-2.98 (95% CI: -3.18, -2.79)。发病率和死亡率与患者年龄有关,儿童和青少年的发病率较高,成人的死亡率较高。根据性别差异分析,男性儿童和青少年的发病率较高,而女性的粗发病率(CIR)和死亡率(CDR)始终高于男性(2021年CIR:女性21.31/10万比男性20.08/10万;CDR:女性为0.05/100000,男性为0.06/100000)。成年妇女的死亡率尤其突出。儿童和青少年发病数呈“w”型波动,成人发病数呈“m”型波动。
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引用次数: 0
The Influence of Renal Function on Safety and Effectiveness of Oral Anticoagulant Treatment among Frail Elderly Patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation and Chronic Kidney Disease. 肾功能对老年体弱非瓣膜性房颤合并慢性肾病患者口服抗凝治疗安全性和有效性的影响。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q3 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-06-14 DOI: 10.1159/000546865
Mohammed A Qutub, Alaa S Algazzar, Abdullah K Alassiri, Saud A Albukhari, Abdallah H Bokhary, Alsayed Ali Almarghany, Ahmed AbdElmoez Elsayed, Mohamed M Elbably

Introduction: The effectiveness and safety of oral anticoagulants (OACs) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) in frail elderly patients have not been fully established. We aimed to evaluate the safety and effectiveness of OACs in frail elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and stage II-III CKD.

Methods: Frail elderly patients ≥65 years with AF and CKD who received OAC from January 2022 to June 2024 were retrospectively identified. Primary endpoints were composite of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism (IS/SE), and composite of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) and/or gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding. Secondary endpoints included any bleeding.

Results: The study enrolled 365 patients, of whom 141 (38.6%) initiated warfarin therapy and 224 (61.3%) initiated DOACs. CHA2DS2-VASc score was nonsignificant (2.6 ± 1.01 vs. 2.8 ± 0.89, p value 0.054), for GFR ≥60 and GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 patients, respectively. HAS-BLED score (1.9 ± 0.67 vs. 2.3 ± 0.70, p value 0.071) for GFR ≥60 and GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 patients respectively. While the observed incidence of ICH/GI bleeding was numerically higher in patients with GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, Cox proportional hazards regression did not demonstrate a statistically significant difference in hazard between the groups. The incidence of composite IS/SE was 8.5% in GFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2 versus 8.7% in GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (HR 1.02, 95% CI: 0.60-1.74, p = 0.24). Composite ICH/GI bleeding occurred in 7.1% versus 9.3% (HR 2.15, 95% CI: 0.91-4.56, p = 0.41).

Conclusion: In this study comparing frail elderly patients with NVAF and CKD stage II versus stage III receiving OACs, we observed no significant difference in the risk of IS/SE or ICH/GI bleeding between groups. These findings suggest that within moderate CKD (eGFR 30-89 mL/min), renal function stage may not independently influence OAC-related outcomes when anticoagulation is well managed. Our results may not generalize to less frail populations or those with advanced CKD. Further prospective studies with larger sample size are needed to provide clearer guidance on the optimal use of OACs in this challenging clinical scenario.

背景:口服抗凝剂(OAC)在老年体弱患者慢性肾病(CKD)和非瓣膜性心房颤动(NVAF)患者中的有效性和安全性尚未完全确定。目的:探讨OACs治疗老年AF合并CKD II期和III期患者的安全性和有效性。方法:回顾性分析2022年1月至2024年6月期间接受OAC治疗的≥65岁房颤和CKD体弱老年患者。主要终点是缺血性卒中和全身性栓塞(IS/SE)的复合,以及颅内出血(ICH)和/或胃肠道出血(GI)的复合。次要终点包括任何出血。结果:该研究纳入365例患者,其中141例(38.6%)开始华法林治疗,224例(61.3%)开始DOACs治疗。GFR≥60和GFR < 60 mL/min/1.73m²患者的CHA2DS2-VASc评分无统计学意义(2.6±1.01 vs 2.8±0.89,p值0.054)。GFR≥60和GFR < 60 mL/min/1.73m²患者的ha - bled评分分别为1.9±0.67 vs 2.3±0.70,p值为0.071。结论:在这项研究中,我们比较了虚弱的老年NVAF和CKD II期患者与接受OACs的III期患者,我们观察到两组之间IS/SE或ICH/GI出血的风险无显著差异。这些发现表明,在中度CKD (eGFR 30-89 mL/min)中,当抗凝管理良好时,肾功能分期可能不会独立影响oac相关结果。我们的结果可能不适用于体质较弱的人群或晚期CKD患者。需要进一步的更大样本量的前瞻性研究,为在这种具有挑战性的临床情况下最佳使用OACs提供更清晰的指导。
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