Journal of public health (Oxford, England)最新文献

For Albert Camus, plague was both a fact of life and a powerful metaphor for the human condition. Camus engaged most explicitly and extensively with the subject of plague in his 1947 novel, The Plague (La peste), which chronicles an outbreak of what is presumably cholera in the French-Algerian city of Oran. I often thought of this novel-and what it might teach us-during the recent COVID-19 pandemic. In this article, I discuss seven important insights from The Plague about epidemics, public health and morality.

Background: The broader implications of the Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic on cardiovascular hospitalizations remain unclear. We aimed to assess trends in cardiovascular presentations during the Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic.

Methods: This multicentre study examined cardiovascular presentations from March 2018 to February 2023. Patients with cardiovascular presentations were identified through administrative health records using ICD-10-AM diagnosis codes. Four key study periods were analysed: T0-pre-pandemic, T1-first lockdown, T2-easing of restrictions and T3-release of restrictions and widespread vaccination. Interrupted time series analysis was used to predict weekly cardiovascular presentations, with the mean difference between actual and predicted numbers assessed for significance.

Results: Overall, 116 518 patients were included across three major public hospitals in Australia. Cardiovascular presentations were significantly lower in T1 than predicted, with a mean decline of 13.1% (SD 16.2%; P = 0.004). There was a significant difference between the expected and actual number of most cardiovascular presentations in T2 and T3, apart from a significant reduction in cardiomyopathy and heart failure presentations during T3 (4.5% [SD 23.7%]; P = 0.007).

Conclusions: Cardiovascular presentations were significantly lower during the initial lockdown phase of the COVID-19 pandemic; this attenuated with easing of social restrictions and widespread vaccination, except for persistent reduction in cardiomyopathy and heart failure presentations.

Background: Crime has been described as a public health issue in Trinidad and Tobago, a small developing nation. COVID-19 restrictions, aimed at maintaining public health safety by limiting disease spread, may have negatively impacted crime rates due to an alteration of social and economic conditions. This study evaluates the implications of these restrictions on crime dynamics and hence their impacts on overall public health.

Methods: Employing interrupted time series analysis with seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous factor (Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with Exogenous Variables) models, monthly data on murders, sexual offences, and motor vehicle larcenies from January 2013 to June 2023 were analysed.

Results: The study found a decrease in murders and motor vehicle larcenies with the onset of restrictions, followed by an inverse trend correlating with the easing of measures. Sexual offences showed no significant change in response to the restrictions.

Conclusions: While COVID-19 restrictions initially influenced certain crime rates, the effect varied across crime types. Policy interventions based on lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic must be done to strategically reduce and prevent crime without having the negative side effects of the pandemic.