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Dementia and risks of temperature-related mortality and hospitalizations in Germany. 在德国,痴呆症与温度相关的死亡和住院风险。
Risto Conte Keivabu, Emilio Zagheni, Anne Fink

Background: Extreme temperatures are associated with negative health outcomes, in particular for older adults with pre-existing conditions. While climate change is expected to increase exposure to temperature levels that are detrimental for health, little is known about how dementia shapes vulnerability to extreme temperatures.

Methods: We leveraged repeated quarterly individual-level health claims from 2004 to 2019 on 250,000 individuals in Germany aged 50 years and above with information on key neurodegenerative diseases such as dementia. We linked data on the location of residence of these individuals with high resolution gridded meteorological data. In our empirical analysis, we applied an individual-level Fixed Effects model to estimate how temperature affects the single patient's probability of hospitalization and death, adjusted for seasonality and comorbidities.

Results: Our findings reveal that heat and cold exposure increase the risk of death. Conversely, the association between extreme temperatures and hospital admissions is more nuanced showing an increase only with cold exposure. Stratifying the analysis by individuals affected by dementia, we observe heat to increase mortality only for individuals with dementia and cold to determine an 8 times larger impact on them and a larger increase in hospitalization. Also, we observe individuals aged above 80 and with dementia do be the most at risk of death with exposure to cold and in particular heat.

Conclusion: Our study contributes to the growing body of evidence on the health impacts of climate change and emphasizes the need for targeted strategies to protect vulnerable groups, particularly patients with dementia, from adverse temperature effects.

背景:极端温度与负面健康结果有关,特别是对于已有疾病的老年人。虽然气候变化预计会增加对健康有害的温度水平的暴露,但人们对痴呆症如何影响对极端温度的脆弱性知之甚少。方法:从2004年到2019年,我们对25万名50岁及以上的德国人进行了重复的季度个人健康声明,并提供了痴呆症等主要神经退行性疾病的信息。我们将这些人的居住地数据与高分辨率网格化气象数据联系起来。在我们的实证分析中,我们应用了个体水平的固定效应模型来估计温度如何影响单个患者住院和死亡的概率,并根据季节性和合并症进行了调整。结果:我们的研究结果表明,高温和低温暴露会增加死亡的风险。相反,极端温度和住院率之间的联系则更加微妙,只有在寒冷环境下才会增加。根据受痴呆症影响的个体对分析进行分层,我们观察到炎热只会增加痴呆症和寒冷患者的死亡率,以确定对他们的影响大8倍,住院率增加更大。此外,我们观察到80岁以上的老年人和患有痴呆症的人在暴露于寒冷,特别是炎热的情况下死亡的风险最大。结论:我们的研究为气候变化对健康的影响提供了越来越多的证据,并强调需要有针对性的策略来保护弱势群体,特别是痴呆症患者,免受不利的温度影响。
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引用次数: 0
Cumulative Socioeconomic Status Risk is Associated With Greater Increase in Serum Neurofilament Light Chain Levels Among Middle-Aged Black Adults. 累积的社会经济地位风险与中年黑人血清神经丝轻链水平的大幅上升有关。
Man-Kit Lei, Steven R H Beach, Ronald L Simons, Michelle M Mielke

Background: This study examined the longitudinal relationship between cumulative socioeconomic status (SES) risk and serum neurofilament light chain (NfL) levels to better understand the association between social factors and a biomarker of neurodegeneration.

Methods: We used data from the Family and Community Health Study, collecting psychosocial and blood data at 2 waves (2008) and (2019) from 254 Black Americans (43 males and 211 females). Blood samples were analyzed at each wave for serum NfL concentrations. Regression analysis and mixed-effect modeling examined relationships between cumulative SES risk and serum NfL, controlling for covariates and assessing time effects.

Results: Utilizing 11-year longitudinal data, serum NfL levels increased with age. Higher cumulative SES risk at baseline correlated with elevated serum NfL at the 11-year follow-up and predicted a greater increase in NfL levels. Clinically, NfL is a sensitive biomarker for axonal injury and neurodegeneration, commonly used to detect early and preclinical stages of conditions such as Alzheimer's disease, multiple sclerosis, and other neurodegenerative disorders.

Conclusions: Our results suggest that exposure to cumulative SES risk among Black adults may contribute to elevated levels of NfL, indicating potential early neurodegeneration. Given the established role of NfL in detecting neurodegenerative processes, these findings underscore the importance of interventions that bolster social safety nets and social connectedness to enhance brain health and mitigate neurodegenerative risks.

背景:本研究考察了累积社会经济地位(SES)风险与血清神经丝蛋白轻链(NfL)水平之间的纵向关系,以更好地了解社会因素与神经变性生物标志物之间的关联:我们使用了家庭与社区健康研究(FACHS)的数据,在两次波次(2008 年和 2019 年)收集了 254 名美国黑人(43 名男性和 211 名女性)的社会心理和血液数据。在每个波次对血液样本进行血清 NfL 浓度分析。回归分析和混合效应模型检验了累积 SES 风险与血清 NfL 之间的关系,控制了协变量并评估了时间效应:结果:利用 11 年的纵向数据,血清 NfL 水平随年龄增长而增加。基线时累积的 SES 风险较高与 11 年随访时血清 NfL 升高相关,并预测 NfL 水平会有更大的升高。在临床上,NfL是轴突损伤和神经退行性变的敏感生物标志物,常用于检测阿尔茨海默病(AD)、多发性硬化症和其他神经退行性疾病的早期和临床前阶段:我们的研究结果表明,黑人成年人所面临的累积性社会经济风险可能会导致 NfL 水平升高,从而显示出潜在的早期神经退行性疾病。鉴于NfL在检测神经退行性病变过程中的既定作用,这些发现强调了加强社会安全网和社会联系的干预措施对于增进大脑健康和降低神经退行性病变风险的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Short-term Frailty Index Fluctuations in Older Adults: Noise or Signal? 老年人的短期虚弱指数波动:噪音还是信号?
Erwin Stolz, Anna Schultz, Emiel O Hoogendijk, Olga Theou, Kenneth Rockwood

Background: Reversible short-term fluctuations in the frailty index (FI) are often thought of as representing only noise or error. Here, we assess (i) the size and source of short-term FI fluctuations, (ii) variation across sociodemographic characteristics, (iii) association with chronic diseases, (iv) correlation with age, frailty level, frailty change, and mortality, and (v) whether fluctuations reflect discrete health transitions.

Methods: Nationwide, biweekly longitudinal data from 426 community-dwelling older adults (70+) were collected in the FRequent health Assessment In Later life (FRAIL70+) study using a measurement burst design (5 122 repeated observations, median of 13 repeated observations per person). We calculated the intraindividual standard deviation of the FI and used location-scale mixed regression models.

Results: Mean intraindividual standard deviation was 0.04 (standard deviation = .03). Fluctuations were driven foremost by cognitive problems, somatic symptoms, and limitations in instrumental and mobility-related activities of daily living. Short-term fluctuations correlated with higher FI levels (r = 0.62), 1-year FI change (r = 0.26), and older age (+3% per year). Older adults who took to bed due to a health problem (+50%), those who had an overnight hospital stay (+50%), and those who died during follow-up (+44%) exhibited more FI fluctuations.

Conclusions: Short-term FI fluctuations were neither small nor random. Instead, as older adults become frailer, their measured health also becomes more unstable; hence, short-term fluctuations in overall health status can be seen as a concomitant phenomenon of the aging process. Researchers and clinicians should be aware of the existence of reversible fluctuations in the FI over weeks and months and its consequences for frailty monitoring.

背景:人们通常认为虚弱指数(FI)的可逆短期波动仅代表噪音或误差。在此,我们将评估:(1) 短期虚弱指数波动的大小和来源;(2) 不同社会人口统计学之间的差异;(3) 与慢性疾病的关联;(4) 与年龄、虚弱程度、虚弱变化和死亡率的相关性;(5) 波动是否反映了离散的健康转变:晚年健康评估(FRAIL70+)研究采用测量突发设计(5122 次重复观察,中位数为每人 13 次重复观察),收集了来自 426 名社区老年人(70 岁以上)的全国性双周纵向数据。我们计算了 FI 的个体内标准偏差 (iSD),并使用了位置尺度混合回归模型:平均 iSD 为 0.04(SD=0.03)。波动的主要原因是认知问题、躯体症状以及工具性和活动性日常生活活动的限制。短期波动与较高的 FI 水平(r=0.62)、一年的 FI 变化(r=0.26)和年龄(每年 +3%)相关。因健康问题而卧床的老年人(+50%)、住院过夜的老年人(+50%)以及在随访期间死亡的老年人(+44%)的FI波动更大:短期 FI 波动既不小,也不是随机的。因此,整体健康状态的短期波动可被视为衰老过程中的一种伴随现象。研究人员和临床医生应该意识到 FI 在数周或数月内的可逆波动及其对虚弱监测的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Accumulation of Advanced Oxidation Protein Products Promotes Age-Related Decline of Type H Vessels in Bone. 高级氧化蛋白产物的积累会促进骨骼中 H 型血管与年龄相关的衰退。
Kai Zhao, Guo-Zheng Zhu, Hong-Zhou Li, Jia-Wen Gao, Chen Tu, Di-Zheng Wu, Yu-Sheng Huang, Dong Han, Xing-Yu Chen, Long-Yan Wu, Zhao-Ming Zhong

Type H vessels have been proven to couple angiogenesis and osteogenesis. The decline of type H vessels contributes to bone loss in the aging process. Aging is accompanied by the accumulation of advanced oxidation protein products (AOPPs). However, whether AOPP accumulation is involved in age-related decline of type H vessels is unclear. Here, we show that the increase of AOPP levels in plasma and bone was correlated with the decline of type H vessels and loss of bone mass in old mice. Exposure of microvascular endothelial cells to AOPPs significantly inhibited cell proliferation, migration, and tube formation; increased NADPH oxidase activity and excessive reactive oxygen species generation; upregulated the expression of vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 and intercellular cell adhesion molecule-1; and eventually impaired angiogenesis, which was alleviated by redox modulator N-acetylcysteine and NADPH oxidase inhibitor apocynin. Furthermore, reduced AOPP accumulation by NAC treatment was able to alleviate significantly the decline of type H vessels, bone mass loss, and deterioration of bone microstructure in old mice. Collectively, these findings suggest that AOPPs accumulation contributes to the decline of type H vessels in the aging process, and illuminate a novel potential mechanism underlying age-related bone loss.

H 型血管已被证明与血管生成和骨生成密切相关。在衰老过程中,H 型血管的衰退会导致骨质流失。衰老伴随着高级氧化蛋白产物(AOPPs)的积累。然而,AOPP 的积累是否参与了与年龄相关的 H 型血管衰退还不清楚。在这里,我们发现血浆和骨骼中 AOPP 水平的增加与老龄小鼠 H 型血管的衰退和骨量的损失有关。微血管内皮细胞暴露于 AOPPs 会显著抑制细胞增殖、迁移和管形成,增加 NADPH 氧化酶活性和过量活性氧的生成,上调血管细胞粘附分子-1 和细胞间粘附分子-1 的表达,并最终阻碍血管生成,而氧化还原调节剂 N-乙酰半胱氨酸和 NADPH 氧化酶抑制剂阿朴西宁可缓解这种情况。此外,通过 NAC 处理减少 AOPP 的积累能够显著缓解老龄小鼠 H 型血管的衰退、骨量减少和骨微结构的恶化。总之,这些研究结果表明,AOPPs 的积累是导致 H 型血管在衰老过程中衰退的原因之一,并揭示了与年龄相关的骨质流失的一种新的潜在机制。
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引用次数: 0
Gerontologic Biostatistics and Data Science: Aging Research in the Era of Big Data. 老年生物统计学和数据科学:大数据时代的老年研究。
Chixiang Chen, Terrence E Murphy, Jaime Lynn Speiser, Karen Bandeen-Roche, Heather Allore, Thomas G Travison, Michael Griswold, Michelle Shardell

Introduced in 2010, the subdiscipline of gerontologic biostatistics was conceptualized to address the specific challenges of analyzing data from clinical research studies involving older adults. Since then, the evolving technological landscape has led to a proliferation of advancements in biostatistics and other data sciences that have significantly influenced the practice of gerontologic research, including studies beyond the clinic. Data science is the field at the intersection of statistics and computer science, and although the term "data science" was not widely used in 2010, the field has quickly made palpable effects on gerontologic research. In this Review in Depth, we describe multiple advancements of biostatistics and data science that have been particularly impactful. Moreover, we propose the subdiscipline of "gerontologic biostatistics and data science," which subsumes gerontologic biostatistics into a more encompassing practice. Prominent gerontologic biostatistics and data science advancements that we discuss herein include cutting-edge methods in experimental design and causal inference, adaptations of machine learning, the rigorous quantification of deep phenotypic measurement, and analysis of high-dimensional -omics data. We additionally describe the need for integration of information from multiple studies and propose strategies to foster reproducibility, replicability, and open science. Lastly, we provide information on software resources for gerontologic biostatistics and data science practitioners to apply these approaches to their own work and propose areas where further advancement is needed. The methodological topics reviewed here aim to enhance data-rich research on aging and foster the next generation of gerontologic researchers.

老年生物统计学这一分支学科于 2010 年提出,旨在解决分析老年人临床研究数据所面临的特殊挑战。从那时起,不断发展的技术环境推动了生物统计学和其他数据科学的进步,极大地影响了老年学研究的实践,包括临床以外的研究。数据科学是统计学和计算机科学的交叉领域,虽然 "数据科学 "一词在 2010 年还未被广泛使用,但该领域已迅速对老年学研究产生了明显的影响。在这篇《深度回顾》中,我们将介绍生物统计学和数据科学的多项进展,这些进展尤其具有影响力。此外,我们还提出了 "老年生物统计与数据科学"(gerontologic biostatistics and data science,简称 GBDS)这一分支学科,它将老年生物统计归纳为一种更全面的实践。我们在此讨论的 GBDS 的突出进展包括实验设计和因果推断的前沿方法、机器学习的调整、深度表型测量的严格量化以及高维组学数据的分析。此外,我们还介绍了整合多项研究信息的必要性,并提出了促进可重复性、可复制性和开放科学的策略。最后,我们提供了有关软件资源的信息,供 GBDS 从业人员将这些方法应用到自己的工作中,并提出了需要进一步推进的领域。本文回顾的方法论主题旨在加强数据丰富的老龄化研究,培养下一代老年学研究人员。
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引用次数: 0
Home Ambient Temperature and Self-reported Attention in Community-Dwelling Older Adults. 居家环境温度与社区居住老年人自我报告注意力的关系
Amir Baniassadi, Wanting Yu, Thomas Travison, Ryan Day, Lewis Lipsitz, Brad Manor

Background: Climate change is expected to disrupt weather patterns across the world, exposing older adults to more intense and frequent periods of hot weather. Meanwhile, lab-based studies have established a causal relationship between ambient temperature and cognitive abilities, suggesting the expected rise in temperature may influence older adults' cognitive functioning. Nevertheless, it is not clear whether, and to what extent, the temperature variations in older adults' own homes - which unlike lab settings is under their control - influence their cognitive functioning. Our objective was to provide proof-of-concept that home ambient temperature influences self-reported ability to maintain attention in older adults.

Methods: We conducted a longitudinal observational study; continuously monitoring the home ambient temperature and self-reported difficulty keeping attention for 12 months in a cohort of community-dwelling older adults living in Boston, MA.

Participants: 47 adults aged 65 and older.

Results: We observed a U-shaped relationship between home ambient temperature at the time of assessment and the odds ratio (OR) of reporting difficulty keeping attention such that the OR was lowest between 20 - 24 ˚C and doubled when moving away from this range by 4 ˚C in either direction.

Discussion: Our results suggest that even under the current climate a considerable portion of older adults encounter indoor temperatures detrimental to their cognitive abilities. Climate change may exacerbate this problem, particularly among low-income and underserved older adults. Addressing this issue in public health and housing policy is essential to building climate-resiliency in this vulnerable population.

背景:预计气候变化将破坏世界各地的天气模式,使老年人面临更强烈、更频繁的炎热天气。同时,基于实验室的研究已经建立了环境温度与认知能力之间的因果关系,表明预期的温度升高可能会影响老年人的认知功能。然而,尚不清楚老年人自己家中的温度变化是否会影响他们的认知功能,以及在多大程度上影响他们的认知功能——不像实验室环境是在他们的控制之下的。我们的目标是提供概念证明,即家庭环境温度影响老年人自我报告的保持注意力的能力。方法:我们进行了纵向观察研究;对居住在马萨诸塞州波士顿社区的一组老年人连续监测家庭环境温度和自我报告的注意力困难12个月。参与者:47名65岁及以上的成年人。结果:我们观察到评估时的家庭环境温度与报告注意力困难的比值比(OR)之间呈u型关系,比值比在20 - 24˚C之间最低,当从该范围向任何方向移动4˚C时,OR都翻倍。讨论:我们的研究结果表明,即使在目前的气候下,相当一部分老年人也会遇到室内温度对他们的认知能力有害的情况。气候变化可能加剧这一问题,特别是在低收入和得不到充分服务的老年人中。在公共卫生和住房政策中处理这一问题,对于在这一弱势群体中建立气候适应能力至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
FOXO3 Longevity Genotype Mitigates Risk Posed by Hypertension on Incident Coronary Artery Disease in Middle-Aged Men: Kuakini Honolulu Heart Program. FOXO3 长寿基因型可降低高血压对中年男性冠心病发病率造成的风险:Kuakini檀香山心脏计划
Randi Chen, Brian J Morris, Timothy A Donlon, Kazuma Nakagawa, Richard C Allsopp, Bradley J Willcox, Kamal H Masaki

Background: This study tested whether the carriage of the longevity-associated G-allele of FOXO3 SNP rs2802292 (TG/GG) protects against incident coronary artery disease (CAD) in men with hypertension.

Methods: Subjects were American men residing on Oahu having Japanese (n = 5415) or Okinawan (n = 897) ancestry and free of CAD at baseline (1965-1968) when aged 45-68 years.

Results: During the follow-up, there were 1 629 incident CAD cases. Adjusting for age and cardiovascular disease risk factors, the main effect Cox model showed that in men of Japanese ancestry, hypertension was a strong predictor of CAD (hazard ratio [HR] 1.61; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.44-1.80), p < .0001), but TG/GG genotype was not associated with CAD (HR 0.92; 95% CI = 0.82-1.02; p = .11). A full Cox model showed the interaction of TG/GG with hypertension was significant (β = -0.23, p = .038). Stratified by hypertension status, TG/GG genotype TG/GG had a protective effect against CAD in each group (HR 0.83; 95% CI 0.71-0.96; p = .021 in men of Japanese heritage, and HR 0.66; 95% CI 0.43-1.01; p = .054 in men of Okinawan heritage). No association with CAD was seen in normotensive men having either Japanese (HR 1.04; 95% CI 0.89-1.22; p = .61) or Okinawan (HR 0.95; 95% CI 0.66-1.38; p = .79) heritage.

Conclusions: The present prospective study found that longevity-associated FOXO3 genotype did not independently affect the risk of CAD in all men. Rather, it was associated with protection against incident CAD in men with hypertension. Hypertensive middle-aged men with FOXO3TT genotype may merit particular attention in CAD prevention programs.

本研究测试了 FOXO3 SNP rs2802292 (TG/GG)的长寿相关 G-等位基因携带者是否能预防男性高血压患者发生冠状动脉疾病(CAD)。研究对象是居住在欧胡岛的美国男性,他们有日本血统(5415 人)或冲绳血统(897 人),基线年龄为 45-68 岁(1965-1968 年),无冠状动脉疾病。在随访期间,共发现 1629 例冠状动脉粥样硬化病例。在对年龄和心血管疾病风险因素进行调整后,主效应 Cox 模型显示,在日本血统的男性中,高血压是预测 CAD 的有力因素(HR 1.61;95% CI 1.44-1.80),P<0.05。
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引用次数: 0
Advanced glycation end-products and metabolomics are independently associated with frailty: the longitudinal Doetinchem Cohort Study. 高级糖化终产物和代谢组学与虚弱的独立关联:Doetinchem 队列纵向研究。
Lieke M Kuiper, H Susan J Picavet, M Liset Rietman, Martijn E T Dollé, W M Monique Verschuren

Skin autofluorescence (SAF), reflecting advanced glycation end-products' accumulation in tissue, has been proposed as a non-invasive aging biomarker. Yet, SAF has not been compared to well-established blood-based aging biomarkers such as MetaboHealth in association with frailty. Furthermore, no previous study determined the longitudinal association of SAF with frailty. We used 2382 Doetinchem Cohort Study participants' (aged 46.0 to 85.4) cross-sectional data, of whom 1654 had longitudinal SAF measurements. SAF was measured using the AGE reader™. MetaboHealth was calculated on 1H-NMR-metabolomics. Linear regressions were used for the associations of SAF and MetaboHealth on the 36-deficit frailty index and logistic regressions for being pre-frail or frail as determined by the frailty phenotype. Longitudinal associations were determined by an interaction term between age and SAF in a linear mixed model. SAF and MetaboHealth were associated with higher odds of pre-frailty (odd ratios per standard deviation SAF: 1.21(1.10;1.32), MetaboHealth: 1.35(1.24;1.49)) and frailty (SAF: 1.70(1.41;2.06), MetaboHealth: 1.90(1.57;2.32)). When mutually adjusted, both aging biomarkers remained associated with pre-frailty (SAF: 1.16(1.05;1.27), MetaboHealth 1.33(1.21;1.46)) and frailty (SAF: 1.52(1.25;1.85), MetaboHealth: 1.75(1.43;2.14)). Additionally, SAF and MetaboHealth were associated with higher frailty index scores (percentage increase per standard deviation SAF:1.35(1.00;1.70), MetaboHealth: 1.87(1.54;2.20)), also after mutual adjustment (SAF: 1.02(0.68;1.37), MetaboHealth: 1.69(1.35;2.02)). SAF was also longitudinally associated with the frailty index (percentage per unit/year increase 0.12(0.07;0.16)). The mutual independence of SAF and MetaboHealth implies they capture distinct aspects of the aging process. Altogether, these findings emphasize SAF's clinical potential as an age-related decline biomarker, which could be further enhanced when combined with MetaboHealth.

皮肤自发荧光(SAF)反映了组织中高级糖化终产物的积累,被认为是一种非侵入性的衰老生物标志物。然而,SAF 尚未与 MetaboHealth 等成熟的血液衰老生物标志物进行比较。此外,之前也没有研究确定 SAF 与虚弱的纵向联系。我们使用了 2382 名 Doetinchem 队列研究参与者(年龄在 46.0 岁至 85.4 岁之间)的横断面数据,其中 1654 人进行了 SAF 的纵向测量。使用 AGE reader™ 测量 SAF。MetaboHealth 通过 1H-NMR 代谢组学进行计算。对 SAF 和 MetaboHealth 与 36 缺陷虚弱指数的关系进行了线性回归,对根据虚弱表型确定的前期虚弱或虚弱进行了逻辑回归。纵向关联是通过线性混合模型中年龄与 SAF 之间的交互项来确定的。SAF和MetaboHealth与较高的虚弱前期几率相关(每个标准差的奇数比SAF:1.21(1.10;1.32), MetaboHealth:1.35(1.24;1.49))和虚弱(SAF:1.70(1.41;2.06),MetaboHealth:1.90(1.57;2.32)).经相互调整后,两种老化生物标志物仍与虚弱前(SAF:1.16(1.05;1.27),MetaboHealth:1.33(1.21;1.46))和虚弱(SAF:1.52(1.25;1.85),MetaboHealth:1.75(1.43;1.46))相关:1.75(1.43;2.14)).此外,SAF 和 MetaboHealth 与较高的虚弱指数得分有关(每标准差增加的百分比,SAF:1.35(1.00;1.70), MetaboHealth:1.87(1.54;2.20)),经相互调整后也是如此(SAF:1.02(0.68;1.37),MetaboHealth:1.69(1.35;2.20)):1.69(1.35;2.02)).SAF 与虚弱指数也有纵向联系(每单位/年增加的百分比为 0.12(0.07;0.16))。SAF和MetaboHealth的相互独立性意味着它们捕捉到了衰老过程的不同方面。总之,这些发现强调了 SAF 作为与年龄相关的衰退生物标志物的临床潜力,如果与 MetaboHealth 结合使用,还能进一步提高其效果。
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引用次数: 0
Trend in Respite Use by Race Among Caregivers for People Living With Dementia. 痴呆症患者照顾者使用临时护理的种族趋势。
Yeunkyung Kim, Jihye Kim, Hyunjee Kim, Sungchul Park, Yue Li

Background: Respite care provides short-term relief for caregivers. Despite efforts to promote respite use among Black caregivers, little is known if disparities in respite use between Black and White dementia caregivers have decreased over time. We examined a trend nationally to see if more recent efforts may have helped reduce disparities in respite use.

Methods: We used a repeated cross-sectional design, with the data from 2015, 2017, and 2021 of the National Health and Aging Trends Study and National Study of Caregiving. Our study sample included 764 (in 2015), 839 (in 2017), and 521 (in 2021) non-Hispanic White and Black caregivers who provided care to older adults living with dementia, representing weighted 5 157 569 (2015), 5 877 997 (2017), and 4 712 144 (2021) dementia caregivers nationally. We conducted logistic regression models to assess the differences in respite use between White and Black caregivers over time.

Results: In 2015, Black dementia caregivers had a respite care use rate 11.6 percentage points (95% CI: -16.9 to -6.4) lower than that of White dementia caregivers. However, both in 2017 and 2021, the difference in the use of respite was not statistically significant, leading to a reduced or no gap in respite use between White and Black dementia caregivers. However, respite use remained low in both groups.

Conclusions: Although the gap in respite use between Black and White dementia caregivers had been gradually narrowed over time, more efforts are needed to encourage more respite use among both groups through targeted efforts to address factors that hinder respite use.

背景:临时护理为照护者提供短期缓解。尽管我们努力促进黑人护理者使用临时护理,但黑人和白人痴呆症护理者之间使用临时护理的差距是否随着时间的推移而缩小,我们对此知之甚少。我们对全国范围内的趋势进行了研究,以了解最近的努力是否有助于减少临时护理使用方面的差异:我们采用了重复横断面设计,使用了 2015 年、2017 年和 2021 年的 "全国健康与老龄化趋势研究 "和 "全国护理研究 "的数据。我们的研究样本包括 764 名(2015 年)、839 名(2017 年)和 521 名(2021 年)为患有痴呆症的老年人提供护理的非西班牙裔白人和黑人护理人员,分别代表全国加权的 5157569 名(2015 年)、5877997 名(2017 年)和 4712144 名(2021 年)痴呆症护理人员。我们建立了逻辑回归模型,以评估白人和黑人照护者在不同时期使用临时护理服务的差异:2015年,黑人痴呆症照护者的临时护理使用率比白人痴呆症照护者低11.6个百分点(95% CI:-16.9至-6.4)。然而,在 2017 年和 2021 年,临时护理使用率的差异在统计学上并不显著,这导致白人和黑人痴呆症照护者之间的临时护理使用率差距缩小或没有差距。然而,这两个群体的临时护理使用率仍然很低:尽管随着时间的推移,黑人和白人痴呆症照护者在临时护理使用方面的差距已逐渐缩小,但仍需做出更多努力,通过有针对性地解决阻碍临时护理使用的因素,鼓励这两个群体更多地使用临时护理。
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引用次数: 0
Projecting Long-Term Care Costs Among Older Adults With ADL Disabilities and Cognitive Impairment in China. 中国ADL残疾和认知障碍老年人的长期护理成本预测。
Haiyu Jin, Chenkai Wu

Background: Mounting evidence suggests that cognitive impairment is strongly associated with disability in activities of daily living (ADL disability) and long-term care (LTC) costs. However, studies forecasting future LTC costs often overlook these relationships. Consequently, this study aims to more accurately project future LTC costs in China over the next 20 years by considering the intertwined association between disability and cognitive impairment on future LTC costs.

Methods: Data were from 10 959 adults ≥65 years from the 2005-2018 waves of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Surveys. We used the Markov model to project the population of China and track the transition of older adults in the next 20 years between 4 disability-cognition states. We employed a 2-part model to estimate LTC costs (direct and indirect LTC costs) per capita.

Results: The proportion of disabled older adults with cognitive impairment was projected to increase from 1.4% in 2021 to 3.4% in 2040, while that of those without cognitive impairment was projected to decrease from 4.7% in 2021 to 4.5% in 2040. The direct and indirect LTC costs were projected to increase from 0.3% and 0.2% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2021 to 1.4% and 0.7% in 2040 for disabled persons without cognitive impairment and from 0.1% and 0.1% of GDP in 2021 to 1.3% and 1.3% in 2040 for those with cognitive impairment, respectively.

Conclusions: Policy-makers could include the assessment of cognition in the LTC needs assessment and allocate more compensation to LTC insurance participants with cognitive impairment.

背景:越来越多的证据表明,认知障碍与日常生活活动障碍(ADL disability)密切相关。本研究旨在估算和预测未来20年中国患有日常生活能力障碍和认知障碍的老年人数量趋势以及相关的长期护理(LTC)成本:我们使用了中国健康长寿纵向调查(CLHLS)2005-2018 年期间 37,942 名年龄≥ 65 岁的成年人的数据。我们使用马尔可夫模型模拟中国人口,并跟踪未来 20 年中国老年人在四种残疾认知状态之间的转变。我们采用了一个由两部分组成的模型来预测人均直接和间接的长期护理成本:预计无认知障碍的失能老年人比例(从 2022 年的 4.0% 到 2040 年的 4.3%)将略高于有认知障碍的失能老年人比例(从 2022 年的 3.5% 到 2040 年的 4.1%)。有认知障碍的失能老年人的间接长护成本预计将从2022年的3160亿元增加到2040年的43990亿元,无认知障碍的失能老年人的间接长护成本预计将从2022年的1970亿元增加到2040年的16970亿元:结论:政策制定者可将认知能力评估纳入长护需求评估,并为有认知障碍的长护保险参保者分配更多补偿。
{"title":"Projecting Long-Term Care Costs Among Older Adults With ADL Disabilities and Cognitive Impairment in China.","authors":"Haiyu Jin, Chenkai Wu","doi":"10.1093/gerona/glae140","DOIUrl":"10.1093/gerona/glae140","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Mounting evidence suggests that cognitive impairment is strongly associated with disability in activities of daily living (ADL disability) and long-term care (LTC) costs. However, studies forecasting future LTC costs often overlook these relationships. Consequently, this study aims to more accurately project future LTC costs in China over the next 20 years by considering the intertwined association between disability and cognitive impairment on future LTC costs.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data were from 10 959 adults ≥65 years from the 2005-2018 waves of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Surveys. We used the Markov model to project the population of China and track the transition of older adults in the next 20 years between 4 disability-cognition states. We employed a 2-part model to estimate LTC costs (direct and indirect LTC costs) per capita.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The proportion of disabled older adults with cognitive impairment was projected to increase from 1.4% in 2021 to 3.4% in 2040, while that of those without cognitive impairment was projected to decrease from 4.7% in 2021 to 4.5% in 2040. The direct and indirect LTC costs were projected to increase from 0.3% and 0.2% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2021 to 1.4% and 0.7% in 2040 for disabled persons without cognitive impairment and from 0.1% and 0.1% of GDP in 2021 to 1.3% and 1.3% in 2040 for those with cognitive impairment, respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Policy-makers could include the assessment of cognition in the LTC needs assessment and allocate more compensation to LTC insurance participants with cognitive impairment.</p>","PeriodicalId":94243,"journal":{"name":"The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences","volume":" ","pages":"S50-S58"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141156047","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences
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