Pub Date : 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.09.001
Dean T. Eurich PhD , Darren Lau MD , Weiting Li MSc , Olivia Weaver MSc , Tanya Joon MSc , Ming Ye PhD , Finlay A. McAlister MD , Padma Kaul PhD , Salim Samanani MD
Objectives
In this study our aim was to develop a machine learning model that could accurately predict the risk of acquiring COVID-19 in community-dwelling adults with type 1 and/or type 2 diabetes in Alberta, Canada.
Methods
This predictive supervised machine learning study included adults (≥18 years old) living in Alberta, Canada, between April 1, 2019, and March 31, 2021, with pre-existing diabetes (n=372,055, excluding 2,541 due to migration; final sample size 369,514). The outcome of interest was a positive severe acute respiratory syndrome–coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) polymerase chain reaction test result between March 1, 2020, and March 1, 2021. Model features were extracted from routinely collected Alberta administrative health data from March 1, 2015, to March 1, 2020. Fifteen algorithms were trained on 67% of the data and the top performer (Light Gradient Boost [LGBoost] model) was validated on the remaining 33%. The model was calibrated and model performance was assessed using area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC), area under the precision recall curve (AUPRC), and threshold analyses.
Results
Among the 369,514 individuals with diabetes, 140,511 were tested, of whom 13,082 had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test. The LGBoost model incorporated 367 features with AUROC and AUPRC of 0.69 and 0.08, respectively. The model was well-calibrated for common risk thresholds (<0.2 probability) with high specificity (≥0.98 at all thresholds); however, sensitivity and positive predictive values were low at all thresholds (≤0.08 and ≤0.18, respectively).
Conclusions
The LGBoost model lacked the sensitivity to be clinically useful in predicting SARS-CoV-2 infection in Albertans with diabetes. Alternative data sources may be required to improve future COVID-19 prediction models from the community.
{"title":"Predicting the Risk of COVID-19 Among Adult Patients With Diabetes: A Machine Learning Approach","authors":"Dean T. Eurich PhD , Darren Lau MD , Weiting Li MSc , Olivia Weaver MSc , Tanya Joon MSc , Ming Ye PhD , Finlay A. McAlister MD , Padma Kaul PhD , Salim Samanani MD","doi":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.09.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.09.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><div>In this study our aim was to develop a machine learning model that could accurately predict the risk of acquiring COVID-19 in community-dwelling adults with type 1 and/or type 2 diabetes in Alberta, Canada.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>This predictive supervised machine learning study included adults (≥18 years old) living in Alberta, Canada, between April 1, 2019, and March 31, 2021, with pre-existing diabetes (n=372,055, excluding 2,541 due to migration; final sample size 369,514). The outcome of interest was a positive severe acute respiratory syndrome–coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) polymerase chain reaction test result between March 1, 2020, and March 1, 2021. Model features were extracted from routinely collected Alberta administrative health data from March 1, 2015, to March 1, 2020. Fifteen algorithms were trained on 67% of the data and the top performer (Light Gradient Boost [LGBoost] model) was validated on the remaining 33%. The model was calibrated and model performance was assessed using area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC), area under the precision recall curve (AUPRC), and threshold analyses.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Among the 369,514 individuals with diabetes, 140,511 were tested, of whom 13,082 had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test. The LGBoost model incorporated 367 features with AUROC and AUPRC of 0.69 and 0.08, respectively. The model was well-calibrated for common risk thresholds (<0.2 probability) with high specificity (≥0.98 at all thresholds); however, sensitivity and positive predictive values were low at all thresholds (≤0.08 and ≤0.18, respectively).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>The LGBoost model lacked the sensitivity to be clinically useful in predicting SARS-CoV-2 infection in Albertans with diabetes. Alternative data sources may be required to improve future COVID-19 prediction models from the community.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":9565,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Journal of Diabetes","volume":"49 8","pages":"Pages 446-453.e10"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145056521","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.07.003
Sahar Fazeli PhD, MSc , Jonathan Linton , Paul Linton , Lucy Trapper , Catherine Godin PDt, MSc , Helene Porada DtP, ADA , Deborah Da Costa PhD , Kaberi Dasgupta MD, MSc, FRCPC , Isabelle Malhame MD, MSc , Claudia Mitchell PhD , Elham Rahme PhD , Julia Elisabeth Von Oettingen MD, PhD, MMSc, FRCP , Romina Pace MD
Objectives
The rising incidence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) among Indigenous peoples, exacerbated by historic injustices and health inequities, underscores the need for culturally sensitive health interventions that address both the physiological and psychological burdens of diabetes. This research protocol describes a community-driven initiative aimed at enhancing diabetes management among Indigenous youth and young adults in Canada, leveraging the lived experience and leadership of Indigenous young adults. This project seeks to integrate traditional Indigenous practices with modern health strategies to foster better health outcomes and psychosocial support through peer mentorship.
Methods
The program, developed and led by an Eeyou Istchee Cree community member, involves various health-promoting activities, including dietary guidance, physical exercise, and traditional land-based practices. These activities are designed to improve self-management of diabetes and to address diabetes distress, a significant factor in diabetes care.
Results
Anticipated outcomes include improved psychosocial factors (reduced distress and enhanced resilience) and clinical measures of diabetes management (glycemia, body mass index, and blood pressure). The project's methodology combines quantitative assessments of psychological and health outcomes with qualitative feedback from participants, captured through innovative methods like Photovoice to ensure participants’ voices and experiences directly inform the intervention’s efficacy and adaptability.
Conclusions
Overall, this protocol outlines a framework for a scalable, sustainable model of health intervention that respects and revitalizes Indigenous cultural practices and community autonomy. The expected results aim to demonstrate the effectiveness of peer-led and culturally informed interventions in improving psychological and health outcomes, with the potential to guide similar initiatives in other Indigenous and marginalized communities worldwide.
{"title":"A Diabetes Peer Mentorship Program for First Nations Youth and Young Adults: An Intervention Protocol","authors":"Sahar Fazeli PhD, MSc , Jonathan Linton , Paul Linton , Lucy Trapper , Catherine Godin PDt, MSc , Helene Porada DtP, ADA , Deborah Da Costa PhD , Kaberi Dasgupta MD, MSc, FRCPC , Isabelle Malhame MD, MSc , Claudia Mitchell PhD , Elham Rahme PhD , Julia Elisabeth Von Oettingen MD, PhD, MMSc, FRCP , Romina Pace MD","doi":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.07.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.07.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><div>The rising incidence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) among Indigenous peoples, exacerbated by historic injustices and health inequities, underscores the need for culturally sensitive health interventions that address both the physiological and psychological burdens of diabetes. This research protocol describes a community-driven initiative aimed at enhancing diabetes management among Indigenous youth and young adults in Canada, leveraging the lived experience and leadership of Indigenous young adults. This project seeks to integrate traditional Indigenous practices with modern health strategies to foster better health outcomes and psychosocial support through peer mentorship.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>The program, developed and led by an Eeyou Istchee Cree community member, involves various health-promoting activities, including dietary guidance, physical exercise, and traditional land-based practices. These activities are designed to improve self-management of diabetes and to address diabetes distress, a significant factor in diabetes care.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Anticipated outcomes include improved psychosocial factors (reduced distress and enhanced resilience) and clinical measures of diabetes management (glycemia, body mass index, and blood pressure). The project's methodology combines quantitative assessments of psychological and health outcomes with qualitative feedback from participants, captured through innovative methods like Photovoice to ensure participants’ voices and experiences directly inform the intervention’s efficacy and adaptability.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Overall, this protocol outlines a framework for a scalable, sustainable model of health intervention that respects and revitalizes Indigenous cultural practices and community autonomy. The expected results aim to demonstrate the effectiveness of peer-led and culturally informed interventions in improving psychological and health outcomes, with the potential to guide similar initiatives in other Indigenous and marginalized communities worldwide.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":9565,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Journal of Diabetes","volume":"49 8","pages":"Pages 417-423"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144755437","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.08.002
Grażyna Deja PhD , Aleksandra Brudzińska , Łukasz Wybrańczyk , Rafał Deja PhD , Przemysława Jarosz-Chobot PhD
Objectives
Published data still highlight discordances between glucose management indicator (GMI; the parameter estimating glycated hemoglobin [A1C] from continuous glucose monitoring [CGM] reporting) and laboratory A1C, for reasons yet to be explored. In our study we aimed to identify potential clinical factors contributing to these discordances.
Methods
A retrospective study of 99 children (mean 12.92±4.03 years) was conducted using CGM devices (Dexcom G6-31, FreeStyle Libre 2-30, and Guardian 3-38). Inclusion criteria for patients were type 1 diabetes (T1D), continuous use of one type of CGM (with >70% sensor activity) over the previous year, and quarterly visits. At each visit, we collected data for age, sex, body mass index, diabetes duration, daily insulin dose, CGM report (14 of 90 days), and laboratory A1C.
Results
We confirmed linear dependency between A1C and GMI—that is, higher A1C led to more A1C–GMI differences. The A1C–GMI 90-day discordance was categorized into 4 thresholds: 48.7% at <0.25, 20.1% between 0.25 and 0.5, 22.4% between 0.5 and 0.75, and 8.7% at >0.75. Children with A1C–GMI 90 discordance <0.5% had significantly lower A1C (6.80% vs 7.59%), shorter T1D duration (<5 years), and more stable A1C (differences <0.4 between results). The analysis of participants’ stability based on comparing A1C–GMI 90 discordances at subsequent follow-up visits confirmed an individual variability of <0.25 in two-thirds of participants. Other factors were not associated with the A1C–GMI discordance.
Conclusions
One-year, real-world data show that clinically significant discordances (A1C–GMI 90 >0.5%) occurred in <30% of the children. A greater difference is more likely in individuals with higher A1C, longer diabetes duration, and less stable glycemic management. Individual A1C–GMI 90 discordance was mostly stable, although with varying degrees of difference.
{"title":"Assessment of Clinical Factors Influencing Glucose Management Indicator and Glycated Hemoglobin Discordance in Children With Type 1 Diabetes: A 1-Year, Real-world Data Observation","authors":"Grażyna Deja PhD , Aleksandra Brudzińska , Łukasz Wybrańczyk , Rafał Deja PhD , Przemysława Jarosz-Chobot PhD","doi":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.08.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.08.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><div>Published data still highlight discordances between glucose management indicator (GMI; the parameter estimating glycated hemoglobin [A1C] from continuous glucose monitoring [CGM] reporting) and laboratory A1C, for reasons yet to be explored. In our study we aimed to identify potential clinical factors contributing to these discordances.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>A retrospective study of 99 children (mean 12.92±4.03 years) was conducted using CGM devices (Dexcom G6-31, FreeStyle Libre 2-30, and Guardian 3-38). Inclusion criteria for patients were type 1 diabetes (T1D), continuous use of one type of CGM (with >70% sensor activity) over the previous year, and quarterly visits. At each visit, we collected data for age, sex, body mass index, diabetes duration, daily insulin dose, CGM report (14 of 90 days), and laboratory A1C.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>We confirmed linear dependency between A1C and GMI—that is, higher A1C led to more A1C–GMI differences. The A1C–GMI 90-day discordance was categorized into 4 thresholds: 48.7% at <0.25, 20.1% between 0.25 and 0.5, 22.4% between 0.5 and 0.75, and 8.7% at >0.75. Children with A1C–GMI 90 discordance <0.5% had significantly lower A1C (6.80% vs 7.59%), shorter T1D duration (<5 years), and more stable A1C (differences <0.4 between results). The analysis of participants’ stability based on comparing A1C–GMI 90 discordances at subsequent follow-up visits confirmed an individual variability of <0.25 in two-thirds of participants. Other factors were not associated with the A1C–GMI discordance.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>One-year, real-world data show that clinically significant discordances (A1C–GMI 90 >0.5%) occurred in <30% of the children. A greater difference is more likely in individuals with higher A1C, longer diabetes duration, and less stable glycemic management. Individual A1C–GMI 90 discordance was mostly stable, although with varying degrees of difference.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":9565,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Journal of Diabetes","volume":"49 8","pages":"Pages 439-445"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144857232","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.09.002
Zeenat Ladak BSc, MD , Priscilla Medeiros PhD , Geneviève Rouleau PhD , Jennifer Shuldiner PhD , Shazhan Amed MSc, MD , Elizabeth Cummings MD , Manpreet Doulla MD , Josephine Ho MD , Mark Inman MD, FRCPC , Sarah E. Lawrence MD , Patricia Li MD, MSc, FRCPC , Elizabeth Moreau BA , Meranda Nakhla MD, MSc , Julia Von Oettingen MD, PhD, MMSc, FRCP , Elizabeth Sellers MD, MSc , Diane K. Wherrett MD , Rayzel Shulman MD, PhD, FRCPC , Celia Laur PhD
Objectives
Delayed diagnosis of diabetes in children can lead to diabetic ketoacidosis, a life-threatening condition occurring in 10% to 80% of children at diabetes diagnosis. Ketoacidosis is preventable with prompt recognition of signs, urgent attendance to care, and rapid diagnosis and management. Our aim in this study was to plan for the development of an intervention to recognize signs of diabetes in children and prevent ketoacidosis that is evidence and theory informed and has potential for widespread implementation and long-term impact across Canada.
Methods
This qualitative exploratory study included researchers, educators, parents, caregivers, and representatives from relevant health-care organizations (n=41). Through targeted recruitment and snowball sampling, participants took part in a focus group or interview on opportunities to adapt, sustain, scale, and evaluate various diabetes awareness interventions. Transcripts were analyzed using content analysis to examine barriers and facilitators of potential interventions.
Results
Participants proposed several interventions, including using posters, magnets, educational take-home cards, and mass media, to increase awareness about the signs of diabetes in children and the need to rapidly seek care to prevent delayed diagnosis. Each strategy was noted to have advantages, such as refrigerator magnets being visible for a long time, and disadvantages, such as high-cost resources required for mass media. Participants also identified challenges in evaluating interventions and about how to tailor strategies for specific populations while remaining relevant across Canada.
Conclusions
This work informs the development, implementation, and evaluation of a Canadian strategy to recognize signs of diabetes in children and prevent a delay in diagnosis.
{"title":"Identifying Potential Sustainable and Scalable Interventions to Recognize Signs of Diabetes in Children Across Canada","authors":"Zeenat Ladak BSc, MD , Priscilla Medeiros PhD , Geneviève Rouleau PhD , Jennifer Shuldiner PhD , Shazhan Amed MSc, MD , Elizabeth Cummings MD , Manpreet Doulla MD , Josephine Ho MD , Mark Inman MD, FRCPC , Sarah E. Lawrence MD , Patricia Li MD, MSc, FRCPC , Elizabeth Moreau BA , Meranda Nakhla MD, MSc , Julia Von Oettingen MD, PhD, MMSc, FRCP , Elizabeth Sellers MD, MSc , Diane K. Wherrett MD , Rayzel Shulman MD, PhD, FRCPC , Celia Laur PhD","doi":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.09.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.09.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><div>Delayed diagnosis of diabetes in children can lead to diabetic ketoacidosis, a life-threatening condition occurring in 10% to 80% of children at diabetes diagnosis. Ketoacidosis is preventable with prompt recognition of signs, urgent attendance to care, and rapid diagnosis and management. Our aim in this study was to plan for the development of an intervention to recognize signs of diabetes in children and prevent ketoacidosis that is evidence and theory informed and has potential for widespread implementation and long-term impact across Canada.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>This qualitative exploratory study included researchers, educators, parents, caregivers, and representatives from relevant health-care organizations (n=41). Through targeted recruitment and snowball sampling, participants took part in a focus group or interview on opportunities to adapt, sustain, scale, and evaluate various diabetes awareness interventions. Transcripts were analyzed using content analysis to examine barriers and facilitators of potential interventions.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Participants proposed several interventions, including using posters, magnets, educational take-home cards, and mass media, to increase awareness about the signs of diabetes in children and the need to rapidly seek care to prevent delayed diagnosis. Each strategy was noted to have advantages, such as refrigerator magnets being visible for a long time, and disadvantages, such as high-cost resources required for mass media. Participants also identified challenges in evaluating interventions and about how to tailor strategies for specific populations while remaining relevant across Canada.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>This work informs the development, implementation, and evaluation of a Canadian strategy to recognize signs of diabetes in children and prevent a delay in diagnosis.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":9565,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Journal of Diabetes","volume":"49 8","pages":"Pages 454-460.e9"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145115320","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.08.001
Laurence Bastien MD , Ellen B. Goldboom MD , Ewa Sucha PhD , Richard J. Webster PhD , Ivan Terekhov PhD , Caroline Zuijdwijk MD
Objectives
Social determinants of health (SDH) impact diabetes outcomes. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, virtual care ensured health-care access. However, socially disadvantaged groups have less technology access and skills, leading to potential disparities. We assessed the association between SDH and virtual visit success in children living with diabetes.
Methods
We conducted a secondary study of prospectively collected data for children attending a virtual diabetes physician visit from December 1, 2020, to March 31, 2021. Simultaneously, a quality improvement study required physicians to rate visit success indicators, including comparability to in-person visit (same/better/worse) and outcome (successfully/unsuccessfully replaced in-person visit). These data and patient characteristics were extracted from the electronic health record. Postal code–based deprivation indices were used to determine SDH. Statistical analysis tested for the association between deprivation quintiles and virtual visit success.
Results
Data were obtained for 447 children (age 12.7±3.8 years, 52.3% boys, 93.1% with type 1 diabetes, glucose management indicator 8.0±1.41%). Physicians reported 17.7% worse visits and 13.3% unsuccessful visits. Overall, 20.7% visits were worse or unsuccessful. The odds of having a worse or unsuccessful visit were not different in those with highest vs lowest degree of material deprivation (odds ratio [OR] 1.12, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.39 to 3.20), social deprivation (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.32 to 2.66), or ethnic concentration (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.29 to 1.72).
Conclusions
In our pediatric diabetes population, virtual visit success was not associated with SDH measures, suggesting equitable delivery of virtual care regardless of socioeconomic status. Further studies are required to assess this association in other populations.
{"title":"Physician-reported Pediatric Diabetes Virtual Visit Quality and Outcome Not Associated With Social Determinants of Health","authors":"Laurence Bastien MD , Ellen B. Goldboom MD , Ewa Sucha PhD , Richard J. Webster PhD , Ivan Terekhov PhD , Caroline Zuijdwijk MD","doi":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.08.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.08.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><div>Social determinants of health (SDH) impact diabetes outcomes. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, virtual care ensured health-care access. However, socially disadvantaged groups have less technology access and skills, leading to potential disparities. We assessed the association between SDH and virtual visit success in children living with diabetes.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We conducted a secondary study of prospectively collected data for children attending a virtual diabetes physician visit from December 1, 2020, to March 31, 2021. Simultaneously, a quality improvement study required physicians to rate visit success indicators, including comparability to in-person visit (same/better/worse) and outcome (successfully/unsuccessfully replaced in-person visit). These data and patient characteristics were extracted from the electronic health record. Postal code–based deprivation indices were used to determine SDH. Statistical analysis tested for the association between deprivation quintiles and virtual visit success.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Data were obtained for 447 children (age 12.7±3.8 years, 52.3% boys, 93.1% with type 1 diabetes, glucose management indicator 8.0±1.41%). Physicians reported 17.7% worse visits and 13.3% unsuccessful visits. Overall, 20.7% visits were worse or unsuccessful. The odds of having a worse or unsuccessful visit were not different in those with highest vs lowest degree of material deprivation (odds ratio [OR] 1.12, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.39 to 3.20), social deprivation (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.32 to 2.66), or ethnic concentration (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.29 to 1.72).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>In our pediatric diabetes population, virtual visit success was not associated with SDH measures, suggesting equitable delivery of virtual care regardless of socioeconomic status. Further studies are required to assess this association in other populations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":9565,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Journal of Diabetes","volume":"49 8","pages":"Pages 431-438.e1"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144857231","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.09.003
Elizabeth A. Cummings MD , Teresa Pinto MD , O. Maya Rao BSc , Pamela Talbot MSc
Objectives
Rates of type 1 and type 2 diabetes (T1D and T2D, respectively) in youth may be increasing globally, but findings vary across populations. We aimed to determine changes in incidence and prevalence of T1D and T2D over a 25-year period (1994–2018) in youth <20 years of age in Nova Scotia (NS).
Methods
This population-based descriptive epidemiologic study used the Diabetes Care Program of the NS Registry that prospectively collects population-based records for all cases of diabetes in youth. Incidence (1994–2018) and prevalence (2004–2018) of T1D and T2D were calculated per 100,000 for 5-year periods using national census population estimates (0–19 years) and analyzed by sex, age group, and rural vs urban residence.
Results
Incidence (95% confidence interval [CI]) of T1D rose from 26.4 (23.0–29.7) in 1994–1998 to 37.9 (33.3–42.6) in 2014–2018 in 0–14-year-olds. The average annual increase was 0.7 (0.43–0.97) per 100,000. Incidence appeared to plateau after 2008, except in 10–14-year-olds, where it continued to rise. Prevalence (95% CI) of T1D for youth 0–19 years of age increased from 288.4 (278.2–298.6) per 100,000 in 2004–2008 to 333.4 (321.7–345.1) in 2014–2018. Incidence of T2D in 10–19-year-olds rose from 2.9 per 100,000 in 1994–1998 to 13.0 per 100,000 in 2014–2018 and was higher in females and youth living in rural areas.
Conclusions
Incidence of both types of diabetes in NS is high and continuing to rise. Patterns in T1D incidence align with those reported in other high-incidence populations. Incidence and prevalence of T2D in NS youth were similar to or higher than most previous reports despite the lower ethnic diversity in NS compared with other high-incidence populations.
{"title":"Patterns in the Incidence (1994–2018) and Prevalence (2004–2018) of Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes Among Nova Scotian Youth Under 20 Years of Age","authors":"Elizabeth A. Cummings MD , Teresa Pinto MD , O. Maya Rao BSc , Pamela Talbot MSc","doi":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.09.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.09.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><div>Rates of type 1 and type 2 diabetes (T1D and T2D, respectively) in youth may be increasing globally, but findings vary across populations. We aimed to determine changes in incidence and prevalence of T1D and T2D over a 25-year period (1994–2018) in youth <20 years of age in Nova Scotia (NS).</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>This population-based descriptive epidemiologic study used the Diabetes Care Program of the NS Registry that prospectively collects population-based records for all cases of diabetes in youth. Incidence (1994–2018) and prevalence (2004–2018) of T1D and T2D were calculated per 100,000 for 5-year periods using national census population estimates (0–19 years) and analyzed by sex, age group, and rural vs urban residence.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Incidence (95% confidence interval [CI]) of T1D rose from 26.4 (23.0–29.7) in 1994–1998 to 37.9 (33.3–42.6) in 2014–2018 in 0–14-year-olds. The average annual increase was 0.7 (0.43–0.97) per 100,000. Incidence appeared to plateau after 2008, except in 10–14-year-olds, where it continued to rise. Prevalence (95% CI) of T1D for youth 0–19 years of age increased from 288.4 (278.2–298.6) per 100,000 in 2004–2008 to 333.4 (321.7–345.1) in 2014–2018. Incidence of T2D in 10–19-year-olds rose from 2.9 per 100,000 in 1994–1998 to 13.0 per 100,000 in 2014–2018 and was higher in females and youth living in rural areas.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Incidence of both types of diabetes in NS is high and continuing to rise. Patterns in T1D incidence align with those reported in other high-incidence populations. Incidence and prevalence of T2D in NS youth were similar to or higher than most previous reports despite the lower ethnic diversity in NS compared with other high-incidence populations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":9565,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Journal of Diabetes","volume":"49 8","pages":"Pages 461-469.e3"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145180770","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.08.005
Lindsay S. Nagamatsu PhD , Joyla A. Furlano PhD , Samantha Marshall MSc , Olivia Ghosh-Swaby PhD , Gillian Rutherford , Jane Yardley PhD
{"title":"The Role of Group Exercise Classes as a Source of Motivation and Support for Those With Diabetes---a Silver Bullet?","authors":"Lindsay S. Nagamatsu PhD , Joyla A. Furlano PhD , Samantha Marshall MSc , Olivia Ghosh-Swaby PhD , Gillian Rutherford , Jane Yardley PhD","doi":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.08.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.08.005","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":9565,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Journal of Diabetes","volume":"49 8","pages":"Pages 473-475"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145042528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.07.006
Hertzel C. Gerstein MD, MSc , Guillaume Pare MD, MSc , Keyun Zhou MSc , Serena Yang MSc , Michael Chong PhD , Gregory R. Steinberg PhD , Shun Fu Lee PhD
Objectives
Diabetes and prediabetes are associated with premature death and are recognized as conditions of accelerated biologic aging. To date, the best measurement of biologic age is chronologic age. Measures of biologic age that can replace chronologic age as a predictor of death can better approximate risk in affected individuals.
Methods
The relationship between 238 biomarkers, epigenetic age scores, and incident death was analyzed in 2,755 participants (mean age 63.7±8 years) in the Outcomes Reduction with an Initial Glargine Intervention (ORIGIN) trial. Independent biomarkers for death identified using Cox models with forward selection were used to derive a biomarker risk score, which, after validation, was combined with epigenetic scores. Hazards for death per standard deviation higher epigenetic-biomarker score, chronologic age, or the age after adjustment for the score were estimated, and the respective β coefficients were compared.
Results
Four hundred eighty-one participants died during a median follow-up of 6.2 years. Each standard deviation higher age increased the hazard of death 1.69-fold (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.58 to 1.81, β=0.53). When 11 independent death biomarkers were combined with 3 epigenetic risk scores to yield an epigenetic-biomarker score, each standard deviation higher score increased the hazard of death 3.27-fold (95% CI 2.90 to 3.68). Adding standardized age to this model yielded a β coefficient for age of 0.00 (p=0.93). C statistics for the epigenetic-biomarker score alone and age alone were 0.77 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.78) and 0.66 (95% CI 0.63 to 0.68), respectively (p<0.001 for the difference).
Conclusion
An epigenetic-biomarker risk score is a better predictor of death than chronologic age.
{"title":"Can a Combined Epigenetic-Biomarker Score Supplant Chronologic Age as an Independent Determinant of Incident Death in Adults With Dysglycemia","authors":"Hertzel C. Gerstein MD, MSc , Guillaume Pare MD, MSc , Keyun Zhou MSc , Serena Yang MSc , Michael Chong PhD , Gregory R. Steinberg PhD , Shun Fu Lee PhD","doi":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.07.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcjd.2025.07.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><div>Diabetes and prediabetes are associated with premature death and are recognized as conditions of accelerated biologic aging. To date, the best measurement of biologic age is chronologic age. Measures of biologic age that can replace chronologic age as a predictor of death can better approximate risk in affected individuals.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>The relationship between 238 biomarkers, epigenetic age scores, and incident death was analyzed in 2,755 participants (mean age 63.7±8 years) in the Outcomes Reduction with an Initial Glargine Intervention (ORIGIN) trial. Independent biomarkers for death identified using Cox models with forward selection were used to derive a biomarker risk score, which, after validation, was combined with epigenetic scores. Hazards for death per standard deviation higher epigenetic-biomarker score, chronologic age, or the age after adjustment for the score were estimated, and the respective β coefficients were compared.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Four hundred eighty-one participants died during a median follow-up of 6.2 years. Each standard deviation higher age increased the hazard of death 1.69-fold (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.58 to 1.81, β=0.53). When 11 independent death biomarkers were combined with 3 epigenetic risk scores to yield an epigenetic-biomarker score, each standard deviation higher score increased the hazard of death 3.27-fold (95% CI 2.90 to 3.68). Adding standardized age to this model yielded a β coefficient for age of 0.00 (p=0.93). C statistics for the epigenetic-biomarker score alone and age alone were 0.77 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.78) and 0.66 (95% CI 0.63 to 0.68), respectively (p<0.001 for the difference).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>An epigenetic-biomarker risk score is a better predictor of death than chronologic age.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":9565,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Journal of Diabetes","volume":"49 8","pages":"Pages 424-430.e8"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144796314","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}