Elettra Merola, Emanuela Pirino, Stefano Marcucci, Franca Chierichetti, Andrea Michielan, Laura Bernardoni, Armando Gabbrielli, Maria Pina Dore, Giuseppe Fanciulli, Alberto Brolese
The clinical management of Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Neoplasms (Pan-NENs) is complicated by the disease's intrinsic variability, which creates significant hurdles for accurate risk profiling and the standardization of treatment protocols. Recently, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has offered a promising avenue to address these challenges. By integrating and processing high-dimensional multimodal datasets (encompassing clinical history, radiomics, and pathology), these computational tools can refine survival forecasts and support the development of personalized medicine. However, the transition from experimental success to routine clinical use is currently obstructed by reliance on limited, retrospective cohorts that lack external validation, alongside unresolved concerns regarding algorithmic transparency and ethical governance. This review evaluates the current landscape of AI-driven prognostic modeling for Pan-NENs and critically examines the pathway towards their reliable integration into clinical practice.
{"title":"Predicting the Unpredictable: AI-Driven Prognosis in Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Neoplasms.","authors":"Elettra Merola, Emanuela Pirino, Stefano Marcucci, Franca Chierichetti, Andrea Michielan, Laura Bernardoni, Armando Gabbrielli, Maria Pina Dore, Giuseppe Fanciulli, Alberto Brolese","doi":"10.3390/cancers18020306","DOIUrl":"10.3390/cancers18020306","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The clinical management of Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Neoplasms (Pan-NENs) is complicated by the disease's intrinsic variability, which creates significant hurdles for accurate risk profiling and the standardization of treatment protocols. Recently, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has offered a promising avenue to address these challenges. By integrating and processing high-dimensional multimodal datasets (encompassing clinical history, radiomics, and pathology), these computational tools can refine survival forecasts and support the development of personalized medicine. However, the transition from experimental success to routine clinical use is currently obstructed by reliance on limited, retrospective cohorts that lack external validation, alongside unresolved concerns regarding algorithmic transparency and ethical governance. This review evaluates the current landscape of AI-driven prognostic modeling for Pan-NENs and critically examines the pathway towards their reliable integration into clinical practice.</p>","PeriodicalId":9681,"journal":{"name":"Cancers","volume":"18 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12839224/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146060237","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Corey A Hounschell, Aubrey C Swilling, Sahaam Mirza, Katelyn Sanner-Dixon, Jill Haley, Luke V Selby, Shahid Umar, Mazin Al-Kasspooles
Background/objectives: Peritoneal surface metastases (PSMs) from colorectal cancer have high rates of peritoneal recurrence after cytoreductive surgery (CRS) and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC). Prior studies dichotomize peritoneal recurrence into "early" and "late," limiting insight into how clinicopathologic factors influence recurrence timing. This study aimed to identify predictors of peritoneal recurrence and quantify their continuous association with time to recurrence following CRS/HIPEC.
Methods: Patients undergoing CC-0 CRS/HIPEC for colorectal PSM from 2018 to 2024 were identified from a prospectively maintained database. The primary outcome was peritoneal surface recurrence. Variables included peritoneal cancer index (PCI), tumor location, histology, HIPEC regimen, and KRAS/BRAF/SMAD4 status. Factors with p < 0.10 on univariable analysis were entered into multivariable logistic regression (recurrence: yes/no) and linear regression (time to recurrence).
Results: Among 133 patients, 64 (48.1%) developed peritoneal recurrence. Median time to recurrence was 41.4 weeks (IQR 24.9-74.0), and PCI was higher among those who recurred (median 11.0 vs. 5.0, p < 0.01). Neither tumor stage, histology, intraperitoneal chemotherapy agent, nor molecular alterations were associated with increased risk of peritoneal recurrence. When controlling for PCI, right- and sigmoid-colon primaries independently predicted peritoneal recurrence compared to all other locations without influence on recurrence timing (right: OR 7.18; sigmoid: OR 6.54; p < 0.01). Among patients who recurred, each one-point increase in PCI corresponded to a 2.43-week earlier relapse (p < 0.01).
Conclusions: Nearly half of patients with colorectal PSM recurred despite complete CRS/HIPEC. Tumor location predicted peritoneal recurrence, while PCI independently shortened time to relapse. Modeling PCI as a continuous predictor refines postoperative risk stratification and may inform individualized surveillance strategies.
背景/目的:结直肠癌腹膜表面转移瘤(psm)在细胞减缩手术(CRS)和腹腔高温化疗(HIPEC)后腹膜复发率高。先前的研究将腹膜复发分为“早期”和“晚期”,限制了对临床病理因素如何影响复发时间的了解。本研究旨在确定腹膜复发的预测因素,并量化其与CRS/HIPEC术后复发时间的持续关联。方法:从前瞻性维护的数据库中确定2018年至2024年接受CC-0 CRS/HIPEC治疗结直肠PSM的患者。主要结果为腹膜表面复发。变量包括腹膜癌指数(PCI)、肿瘤位置、组织学、HIPEC方案和KRAS/BRAF/SMAD4状态。单变量分析p < 0.10的因素进入多变量logistic回归(复发率:是/否)和线性回归(复发时间)。结果:133例患者中,64例(48.1%)腹膜复发。复发的中位时间为41.4周(IQR为24.9-74.0),PCI在复发患者中较高(中位11.0 vs. 5.0, p < 0.01)。肿瘤分期、组织学、腹腔内化疗药物和分子改变均与腹膜复发风险增加无关。在PCI控制下,与所有其他部位相比,右侧和乙状结肠原发独立预测腹膜复发,而不影响复发时间(右侧:OR 7.18;乙状结肠:OR 6.54; p < 0.01)。在复发的患者中,PCI每增加1点对应于2.43周的复发(p < 0.01)。结论:尽管完成了CRS/HIPEC,但仍有近一半的结直肠PSM患者复发。肿瘤位置预测腹膜复发,而PCI独立缩短复发时间。将PCI模型作为一个连续的预测指标,可以细化术后风险分层,并可能为个性化的监测策略提供信息。
{"title":"Predictors of Peritoneal Surface Recurrence and Quantitative Association with Time to Relapse After Complete CRS/HIPEC for Colorectal Peritoneal Metastasis.","authors":"Corey A Hounschell, Aubrey C Swilling, Sahaam Mirza, Katelyn Sanner-Dixon, Jill Haley, Luke V Selby, Shahid Umar, Mazin Al-Kasspooles","doi":"10.3390/cancers18020299","DOIUrl":"10.3390/cancers18020299","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background/objectives: </strong>Peritoneal surface metastases (PSMs) from colorectal cancer have high rates of peritoneal recurrence after cytoreductive surgery (CRS) and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC). Prior studies dichotomize peritoneal recurrence into \"early\" and \"late,\" limiting insight into how clinicopathologic factors influence recurrence timing. This study aimed to identify predictors of peritoneal recurrence and quantify their continuous association with time to recurrence following CRS/HIPEC.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Patients undergoing CC-0 CRS/HIPEC for colorectal PSM from 2018 to 2024 were identified from a prospectively maintained database. The primary outcome was peritoneal surface recurrence. Variables included peritoneal cancer index (PCI), tumor location, histology, HIPEC regimen, and KRAS/BRAF/SMAD4 status. Factors with <i>p</i> < 0.10 on univariable analysis were entered into multivariable logistic regression (recurrence: yes/no) and linear regression (time to recurrence).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 133 patients, 64 (48.1%) developed peritoneal recurrence. Median time to recurrence was 41.4 weeks (IQR 24.9-74.0), and PCI was higher among those who recurred (median 11.0 vs. 5.0, <i>p</i> < 0.01). Neither tumor stage, histology, intraperitoneal chemotherapy agent, nor molecular alterations were associated with increased risk of peritoneal recurrence. When controlling for PCI, right- and sigmoid-colon primaries independently predicted peritoneal recurrence compared to all other locations without influence on recurrence timing (right: OR 7.18; sigmoid: OR 6.54; <i>p</i> < 0.01). Among patients who recurred, each one-point increase in PCI corresponded to a 2.43-week earlier relapse (<i>p</i> < 0.01).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Nearly half of patients with colorectal PSM recurred despite complete CRS/HIPEC. Tumor location predicted peritoneal recurrence, while PCI independently shortened time to relapse. Modeling PCI as a continuous predictor refines postoperative risk stratification and may inform individualized surveillance strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":9681,"journal":{"name":"Cancers","volume":"18 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12838633/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146060285","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Meningiomas are the most common primary intracranial tumors, showing highly heterogeneous behavior and clinical outcomes. While the majority are benign, about one in five meningiomas are classified as higher grade (WHO Grade II-III), characterized by a more aggressive, treatment-resistant pathology. Although surgical resection remains the first-line therapy, peptide receptor radionuclide therapy is emerging as a novel and promising option for advanced, multifocal, or recurrent disease. The theranostic paradigm allows simultaneous detection and treatment of somatostatin receptor-expressing lesions using a single radiopharmaceutical. In this review, we explore the evolving role of PRRT in the management of meningiomas. We provide an integrated overview of preclinical findings-including radiosensitization mechanisms-and summarize the rapidly expanding clinical literature, which in recent years has grown both in patient numbers and in methodological sophistication. Particular emphasis is placed on advances in dosimetry, quantitative imaging, and radiomics, which are beginning to refine patient selection and improve response prediction. Together, current evidence highlights the therapeutic potential of radionuclide therapy in aggressive or refractory meningiomas and underscores the need for further prospective trials to define its optimal clinical application.
{"title":"Radioligand Therapy in Meningiomas: Today's Evidence, Tomorrow's Possibilities.","authors":"Gabor Sipka, Kristof Apro, Istvan Farkas, Annamaria Bakos, Agnes Dobi, Katalin Hideghety, Laszlo Pavics, Sandor Dosa, Bence Radics, Marton Balazsfi, Pal Barzo, Melinda Szolikova, Zsuzsanna Besenyi","doi":"10.3390/cancers18020297","DOIUrl":"10.3390/cancers18020297","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Meningiomas are the most common primary intracranial tumors, showing highly heterogeneous behavior and clinical outcomes. While the majority are benign, about one in five meningiomas are classified as higher grade (WHO Grade II-III), characterized by a more aggressive, treatment-resistant pathology. Although surgical resection remains the first-line therapy, peptide receptor radionuclide therapy is emerging as a novel and promising option for advanced, multifocal, or recurrent disease. The theranostic paradigm allows simultaneous detection and treatment of somatostatin receptor-expressing lesions using a single radiopharmaceutical. In this review, we explore the evolving role of PRRT in the management of meningiomas. We provide an integrated overview of preclinical findings-including radiosensitization mechanisms-and summarize the rapidly expanding clinical literature, which in recent years has grown both in patient numbers and in methodological sophistication. Particular emphasis is placed on advances in dosimetry, quantitative imaging, and radiomics, which are beginning to refine patient selection and improve response prediction. Together, current evidence highlights the therapeutic potential of radionuclide therapy in aggressive or refractory meningiomas and underscores the need for further prospective trials to define its optimal clinical application.</p>","PeriodicalId":9681,"journal":{"name":"Cancers","volume":"18 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12838931/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146060247","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is more likely to metastasise to the lungs than other breast cancer (BrCa) types, yet the molecular interactions within the tumour microenvironment (TME) at secondary sites remain poorly understood. Methods: This pilot study aimed to explore the metabolic crosstalk between MDA-MB-231 TNBC cells and MRC-5 lung fibroblasts within a co-culture system to replicate the lung metastatic TME. Co-cultures were also treated with Vitamin D or Vitamin E to evaluate the effects of these nutraceuticals on the metabolic crosstalk between TNBC cells and fibroblasts. Results: Our findings demonstrate that co-culture induced the activation of fibroblasts into cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs), evidenced by increased α-SMA and FAP expression. Metabolic profiling revealed that TNBC cells in co-culture displayed increased expression of enzymes associated with oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS) and glutamine metabolism, while fibroblasts exhibited a metabolic profile consistent with glycolysis and lactate metabolism. Vitamin D inhibited lactate metabolism and HIF-1α expression in fibroblasts while suppressing TCA cycle activity in cancer cells, suggesting a potential role in disrupting oncogenic metabolic crosstalk. Conversely, Vitamin E treatment was associated with increased expression of TCA cycle and oxidative metabolism-related markers in BrCa cells without significantly affecting fibroblast glycolysis. Such differential metabolic responses may contribute to metabolic heterogeneity within the tumour microenvironment. Conclusions: These results provide valuable insights into the metabolic dynamics of TNBC metastases in the lung TME and demonstrate that Vitamins D and E exert distinct effects on metabolic crosstalk between cancer cells and fibroblasts. These findings may have significant implications for the potential supplementation of Vitamins D and E in patients with metastatic TNBC and justify further in-depth analysis.
{"title":"Metabolic Crosstalk in Triple-Negative Breast Cancer Lung Metastasis: Differential Effects of Vitamin D and E in a Co-Culture System.","authors":"Balquees Kanwal, Saranya Pounraj, Rumeza Hanif, Zaklina Kovacevic","doi":"10.3390/cancers18020294","DOIUrl":"10.3390/cancers18020294","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b>Background:</b> Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is more likely to metastasise to the lungs than other breast cancer (BrCa) types, yet the molecular interactions within the tumour microenvironment (TME) at secondary sites remain poorly understood. <b>Methods:</b> This pilot study aimed to explore the metabolic crosstalk between MDA-MB-231 TNBC cells and MRC-5 lung fibroblasts within a co-culture system to replicate the lung metastatic TME. Co-cultures were also treated with Vitamin D or Vitamin E to evaluate the effects of these nutraceuticals on the metabolic crosstalk between TNBC cells and fibroblasts. <b>Results:</b> Our findings demonstrate that co-culture induced the activation of fibroblasts into cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs), evidenced by increased α-SMA and FAP expression. Metabolic profiling revealed that TNBC cells in co-culture displayed increased expression of enzymes associated with oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS) and glutamine metabolism, while fibroblasts exhibited a metabolic profile consistent with glycolysis and lactate metabolism. Vitamin D inhibited lactate metabolism and HIF-1α expression in fibroblasts while suppressing TCA cycle activity in cancer cells, suggesting a potential role in disrupting oncogenic metabolic crosstalk. Conversely, Vitamin E treatment was associated with increased expression of TCA cycle and oxidative metabolism-related markers in BrCa cells without significantly affecting fibroblast glycolysis. Such differential metabolic responses may contribute to metabolic heterogeneity within the tumour microenvironment. <b>Conclusions:</b> These results provide valuable insights into the metabolic dynamics of TNBC metastases in the lung TME and demonstrate that Vitamins D and E exert distinct effects on metabolic crosstalk between cancer cells and fibroblasts. These findings may have significant implications for the potential supplementation of Vitamins D and E in patients with metastatic TNBC and justify further in-depth analysis.</p>","PeriodicalId":9681,"journal":{"name":"Cancers","volume":"18 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12838710/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146060267","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Tiffany R Tsoukalas, Zirong Bai, Claire Jeon, Roy Huynh, Eva Gu, Kate Alexander, Paula R Beckenkamp, Adrian Boscolo, Kilian Brown, Phyllis Butow, Sharon Carey, Fang Chen, Meredith Cummins, Haryana M Dhillon, Vesna Dragoje, Kailey Gorman, Matthew Halpin, Abby Haynes, Ilona Juraskova, Sascha Karunaratne, Jamie Keck, Bora Kim, Cherry Koh, Qiang Li, Lara Lipton, Xiaoqiu Liu, Jaime Macedo, Rebecca Mercieca-Bebber, Renee Moreton, Rachael L Morton, Julie Redfern, Bernhard Riedel, Angus Ritchie, Charbel Sandroussi, Cathy Slattery, Allan Ben Smith, Michael Solomon, Flora Tao, Kate White, Kate Wilson, Kahlia Wolsley, Kun Yu, Daniel Steffens
Background/Objectives: (P)rehabilitation, comprising structured exercise, nutritional optimisation, and/or psychological support delivered pre- or postoperatively, has demonstrated efficacy in improving outcomes across the cancer care continuum. However, access remains limited. Technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation offers a novel solution with the potential to enhance equity and continuity of care. This systematic review aimed to evaluate the efficacy of technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation on perioperative and patient-reported outcomes among individuals undergoing thoracic and/or abdominopelvic cancer surgery. Methods: Six databases were search from inception to October 2024. Eligible studies were randomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation with usual care, placebo, or non-technology-based interventions in adults undergoing thoracic and/or abdominopelvic cancer surgery. Outcomes included postoperative complications, hospital readmissions, hospital length of stay (LOS), quality of life (QoL), pain, anxiety, depression, fatigue, distress, and satisfaction. Higher scores indicated improved QoL or worse symptom severity. Risk of bias was assessed using the revised Cochrane tool, and evidence strength was determined using GRADE methodology. Relative risks (RR) and mean differences (MD) were calculated using random-effects meta-analysis. Results: Seventeen RCTs (18 publications, n = 1690) were included. Trials most commonly evaluated application-based platforms (n = 8) and the majority exhibited some risk of bias. Technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation was associated with a significant reduction in LOS (MD = 1.33 days; 95% CI: 0.59-2.07; seven trials), and improvements in pain (MD = 6.12; 95% CI: 3.40-8.84; four trials), depression (MD = 2.82; 95% CI: 0.65-4.99; five trials), fatigue (MD = 10.10; 95% CI: 6.97-13.23; three trials) and distress (MD = 1.23; 95% CI: 0.30-2.16; single trial) compared with controls. Conclusions: Technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation shows promise in reducing LOS and improving selected patient-reported outcomes following thoracic and abdominopelvic cancer surgery. Although evidence is limited due to the small number of studies, modest sample sizes, methodological heterogeneity, and intervention variability, the overall findings justify further investigation. Large-scale, adequately powered clinical trials are required to confirm efficacy and guide clinical effectiveness and implementation studies.
{"title":"Technology-Enabled (P)rehabilitation for Patients Undergoing Cancer Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.","authors":"Tiffany R Tsoukalas, Zirong Bai, Claire Jeon, Roy Huynh, Eva Gu, Kate Alexander, Paula R Beckenkamp, Adrian Boscolo, Kilian Brown, Phyllis Butow, Sharon Carey, Fang Chen, Meredith Cummins, Haryana M Dhillon, Vesna Dragoje, Kailey Gorman, Matthew Halpin, Abby Haynes, Ilona Juraskova, Sascha Karunaratne, Jamie Keck, Bora Kim, Cherry Koh, Qiang Li, Lara Lipton, Xiaoqiu Liu, Jaime Macedo, Rebecca Mercieca-Bebber, Renee Moreton, Rachael L Morton, Julie Redfern, Bernhard Riedel, Angus Ritchie, Charbel Sandroussi, Cathy Slattery, Allan Ben Smith, Michael Solomon, Flora Tao, Kate White, Kate Wilson, Kahlia Wolsley, Kun Yu, Daniel Steffens","doi":"10.3390/cancers18020296","DOIUrl":"10.3390/cancers18020296","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b>Background/Objectives:</b> (P)rehabilitation, comprising structured exercise, nutritional optimisation, and/or psychological support delivered pre- or postoperatively, has demonstrated efficacy in improving outcomes across the cancer care continuum. However, access remains limited. Technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation offers a novel solution with the potential to enhance equity and continuity of care. This systematic review aimed to evaluate the efficacy of technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation on perioperative and patient-reported outcomes among individuals undergoing thoracic and/or abdominopelvic cancer surgery. <b>Methods:</b> Six databases were search from inception to October 2024. Eligible studies were randomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation with usual care, placebo, or non-technology-based interventions in adults undergoing thoracic and/or abdominopelvic cancer surgery. Outcomes included postoperative complications, hospital readmissions, hospital length of stay (LOS), quality of life (QoL), pain, anxiety, depression, fatigue, distress, and satisfaction. Higher scores indicated improved QoL or worse symptom severity. Risk of bias was assessed using the revised Cochrane tool, and evidence strength was determined using GRADE methodology. Relative risks (RR) and mean differences (MD) were calculated using random-effects meta-analysis. <b>Results:</b> Seventeen RCTs (18 publications, n = 1690) were included. Trials most commonly evaluated application-based platforms (n = 8) and the majority exhibited some risk of bias. Technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation was associated with a significant reduction in LOS (MD = 1.33 days; 95% CI: 0.59-2.07; seven trials), and improvements in pain (MD = 6.12; 95% CI: 3.40-8.84; four trials), depression (MD = 2.82; 95% CI: 0.65-4.99; five trials), fatigue (MD = 10.10; 95% CI: 6.97-13.23; three trials) and distress (MD = 1.23; 95% CI: 0.30-2.16; single trial) compared with controls. <b>Conclusions:</b> Technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation shows promise in reducing LOS and improving selected patient-reported outcomes following thoracic and abdominopelvic cancer surgery. Although evidence is limited due to the small number of studies, modest sample sizes, methodological heterogeneity, and intervention variability, the overall findings justify further investigation. Large-scale, adequately powered clinical trials are required to confirm efficacy and guide clinical effectiveness and implementation studies.</p>","PeriodicalId":9681,"journal":{"name":"Cancers","volume":"18 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12839342/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146060332","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ebaa Reda, Mohammed Kawari, Mariana Pinto Pereira, Mats Remberger, Ambrose Lau, Arjun D Law, Rajat Kumar, Igor Novitzky-Basso, Wilson Lam, Ivan Pasic, Armin Gerbitz, Auro Viswabandya, Dennis D Kim, Jeffrey H Lipton, Jonas Mattsson, Fotios V Michelis
Background/objectives: Smoking is linked to an increased risk of pulmonary complications and adverse outcomes following allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (Allo-HCT). Unfortunately, data is rarely correlated with the incidence of GVHD and does not show whether smoking has a negative impact independent from underlying pulmonary comorbidities.
Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 407 patients who underwent Allo-HCT between January 2019 and May 2021 and evaluated the impact of smoking history and pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidities on the risk of outcomes including graft-versus-host disease (GVHD), overall survival (OS), and non-relapse mortality (NRM).
Results: Patients were divided into the following groups: Group A: smokers with pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidity, 40 pts (9.8%); Group B: non-smokers with pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidity, 71 pts (17.4%); Group C: smokers without pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidity, 105 pts (25.8%); and Group D: non-smokers without pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidity, 191 pts (46.9%). Smokers were also grouped by their smoking history (<10 pack-years (59 pts), 11 to 25 pack-years (50 pts), and >25 pack-years (35 pts)) and by smoking recency: Recent (until Allo-HCT), Former (quit > 1 year ago), and Remote smokers (quit > 10 years ago). Our results showed that Group A demonstrated increased chronic lung GVHD compared to the other groups (p = 0.01). The 3-year OS was lowest in Group A at 45.0%, compared to 70.4%, 62.4%, and 69.4% (p = 0.006), and the NRM was highest at 37.5%, compared to 15.5%, 18.2%, and 14.7% in Groups B, C, and D, respectively (p = 0.001). Smoking recency and higher pack-year dose were associated with worse outcomes.
Conclusions: Our study demonstrated the negative synergistic effect of smoking history and pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidities on the incidence of lung GVHD, OS, and NRM.
{"title":"The Effect of Smoking and Pre-Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplant Pulmonary Comorbidity on the Incidence of Lung Graft-Versus-Host Disease and Post-Transplant Outcomes.","authors":"Ebaa Reda, Mohammed Kawari, Mariana Pinto Pereira, Mats Remberger, Ambrose Lau, Arjun D Law, Rajat Kumar, Igor Novitzky-Basso, Wilson Lam, Ivan Pasic, Armin Gerbitz, Auro Viswabandya, Dennis D Kim, Jeffrey H Lipton, Jonas Mattsson, Fotios V Michelis","doi":"10.3390/cancers18020295","DOIUrl":"10.3390/cancers18020295","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background/objectives: </strong>Smoking is linked to an increased risk of pulmonary complications and adverse outcomes following allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (Allo-HCT). Unfortunately, data is rarely correlated with the incidence of GVHD and does not show whether smoking has a negative impact independent from underlying pulmonary comorbidities.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We retrospectively analyzed 407 patients who underwent Allo-HCT between January 2019 and May 2021 and evaluated the impact of smoking history and pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidities on the risk of outcomes including graft-versus-host disease (GVHD), overall survival (OS), and non-relapse mortality (NRM).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Patients were divided into the following groups: Group A: smokers with pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidity, 40 pts (9.8%); Group B: non-smokers with pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidity, 71 pts (17.4%); Group C: smokers without pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidity, 105 pts (25.8%); and Group D: non-smokers without pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidity, 191 pts (46.9%). Smokers were also grouped by their smoking history (<10 pack-years (59 pts), 11 to 25 pack-years (50 pts), and >25 pack-years (35 pts)) and by smoking recency: Recent (until Allo-HCT), Former (quit > 1 year ago), and Remote smokers (quit > 10 years ago). Our results showed that Group A demonstrated increased chronic lung GVHD compared to the other groups (<i>p</i> = 0.01). The 3-year OS was lowest in Group A at 45.0%, compared to 70.4%, 62.4%, and 69.4% (<i>p</i> = 0.006), and the NRM was highest at 37.5%, compared to 15.5%, 18.2%, and 14.7% in Groups B, C, and D, respectively (<i>p</i> = 0.001). Smoking recency and higher pack-year dose were associated with worse outcomes.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our study demonstrated the negative synergistic effect of smoking history and pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidities on the incidence of lung GVHD, OS, and NRM.</p>","PeriodicalId":9681,"journal":{"name":"Cancers","volume":"18 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12839306/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146060270","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Iwona Wnętrzak, Urszula Wojciechowska, Joanna A Didkowska, Jakub Dobruch, Mateusz Czajkowski, Roman Sosnowski
Background/Purpose: Primary urethral cancer is a rare malignancy, accounting for less than 1% of all urogenital cancers. Current epidemiological data from Europe are scarce and outdated. Therefore, the analyzes and comparison of the incidence and mortality of PUC in selected European countries, with particular focus on Poland, based on the most recent available registry data, were performed. Methods: Our study is based on country-level data and is descriptive in nature. Incidence data for PUC were obtained from the national cancer registries of Poland, Latvia, Slovenia, and Hungary. Mortality data were sourced from the WHO Mortality Database. Age-standardized incidence rates were calculated for two time intervals (2000-2009 and 2010-2019). Age-standardized mortality rates for individuals aged ≥45 years were calculated using the European Standard Population (ESP2013). Trends in incidence and mortality in Poland were analyzed using a five-year moving average. Results: The highest incidence of PUC was observed in Hungary, while Poland showed the lowest incidence. Latvia had the highest ASMRs for both sexes, whereas Poland and Greece reported the lowest mortality rates. Despite slight annual fluctuations, the overall PUC mortality rate in Poland has remained stable. Our study is limited by the relatively short analyzed period (2000-2021), restricted availability of C68.0 incidence data from national cancer registries, and incomplete mortality data in the WHO mortality database. Conclusions: This first contemporary comparative analysis of PUC epidemiology in Europe highlights the rarity of this malignancy and the limited data availability. Based on the knowledge drawn from the literature presented in the article on the impact of centralization on the increase in overall survival and the decrease in mortality in rare cancers, the authors believe that centralization of care can improve PUC patient outcomes.
{"title":"Epidemiology of Primary Urethral Cancer: Insights from Four European Countries with a Focus on Poland.","authors":"Iwona Wnętrzak, Urszula Wojciechowska, Joanna A Didkowska, Jakub Dobruch, Mateusz Czajkowski, Roman Sosnowski","doi":"10.3390/cancers18020290","DOIUrl":"10.3390/cancers18020290","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b>Background/Purpose</b>: Primary urethral cancer is a rare malignancy, accounting for less than 1% of all urogenital cancers. Current epidemiological data from Europe are scarce and outdated. Therefore, the analyzes and comparison of the incidence and mortality of PUC in selected European countries, with particular focus on Poland, based on the most recent available registry data, were performed. <b>Methods</b>: Our study is based on country-level data and is descriptive in nature. Incidence data for PUC were obtained from the national cancer registries of Poland, Latvia, Slovenia, and Hungary. Mortality data were sourced from the WHO Mortality Database. Age-standardized incidence rates were calculated for two time intervals (2000-2009 and 2010-2019). Age-standardized mortality rates for individuals aged ≥45 years were calculated using the European Standard Population (ESP2013). Trends in incidence and mortality in Poland were analyzed using a five-year moving average. <b>Results</b>: The highest incidence of PUC was observed in Hungary, while Poland showed the lowest incidence. Latvia had the highest ASMRs for both sexes, whereas Poland and Greece reported the lowest mortality rates. Despite slight annual fluctuations, the overall PUC mortality rate in Poland has remained stable. Our study is limited by the relatively short analyzed period (2000-2021), restricted availability of C68.0 incidence data from national cancer registries, and incomplete mortality data in the WHO mortality database. <b>Conclusions</b>: This first contemporary comparative analysis of PUC epidemiology in Europe highlights the rarity of this malignancy and the limited data availability. Based on the knowledge drawn from the literature presented in the article on the impact of centralization on the increase in overall survival and the decrease in mortality in rare cancers, the authors believe that centralization of care can improve PUC patient outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":9681,"journal":{"name":"Cancers","volume":"18 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12839302/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146060240","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Fernando C Diaz, Brigette Waldrup, Francisco G Carranza, Sophia Manjarrez, Enrique Velazquez-Villarreal
Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) demonstrates substantial clinical and biological diversity across age groups, ancestral backgrounds, and treatment settings, alongside a rising incidence of early-onset disease (EOCRC). The mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway is a major driver of CRC development and therapy response; however, the distribution and prognostic value of MAPK alterations across distinct patient subgroups remain unclear.
Methods: We analyzed 2515 CRC tumors with harmonized demographic, clinical, genomic, and treatment metadata. Patients were stratified by ancestry (Hispanic/Latino [H/L] vs. non-Hispanic White [NHW]), age at diagnosis (early-onset [EO] vs. late-onset [LO]), and FOLFOX chemotherapy exposure. MAPK pathway alterations were identified using a curated gene set encompassing canonical EGFR-RAS-RAF-MEK-ERK signaling components and regulatory nodes. Conversational artificial intelligence (AI-HOPE and AI-HOPE-MAPK) enabled natural language-driven cohort construction and exploratory analytics; findings were validated using Fisher's exact testing, chi-square analyses, and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates.
Results: MAPK pathway disruption demonstrated marked heterogeneity across ancestry and treatment contexts. Among EO H/L patients, FGFR3, NF1, and RPS6KA6 mutations were significantly enriched in tumors not receiving FOLFOX, whereas PDGFRB alterations were more frequent in FOLFOX-treated EO H/L tumors relative to EO NHW counterparts. In late-onset H/L disease, NTRK2 and PDGFRB mutations were more common in non-FOLFOX tumors. Distinct MAPK-associated alterations were also observed among NHW patients, particularly in non-FOLFOX settings, including AKT3, FGF4, RRAS2, CRKL, DUSP4, JUN, MAPK1, RRAS, and SOS1. Survival analyses provided borderline evidence that MAPK alterations may be linked to improved overall survival in treated EO NHW patients. Conversational AI markedly accelerated analytic throughput and multi-parameter discovery.
Conclusions: Although MAPK alterations are pervasive in CRC, their distribution varies meaningfully by ancestry, age, and treatment exposure. These findings highlight NF1, MAPK3, RPS6KA4, and PDGFRB as potential biomarkers in EOCRC and H/L patients, supporting the need for ancestry-aware precision oncology approaches.
{"title":"Conversational AI-Enabled Precision Oncology Reveals Context-Dependent MAPK Pathway Alterations in Hispanic/Latino and Non-Hispanic White Colorectal Cancer Stratified by Age and FOLFOX Exposure.","authors":"Fernando C Diaz, Brigette Waldrup, Francisco G Carranza, Sophia Manjarrez, Enrique Velazquez-Villarreal","doi":"10.3390/cancers18020293","DOIUrl":"10.3390/cancers18020293","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Colorectal cancer (CRC) demonstrates substantial clinical and biological diversity across age groups, ancestral backgrounds, and treatment settings, alongside a rising incidence of early-onset disease (EOCRC). The mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway is a major driver of CRC development and therapy response; however, the distribution and prognostic value of MAPK alterations across distinct patient subgroups remain unclear.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed 2515 CRC tumors with harmonized demographic, clinical, genomic, and treatment metadata. Patients were stratified by ancestry (Hispanic/Latino [H/L] vs. non-Hispanic White [NHW]), age at diagnosis (early-onset [EO] vs. late-onset [LO]), and FOLFOX chemotherapy exposure. MAPK pathway alterations were identified using a curated gene set encompassing canonical EGFR-RAS-RAF-MEK-ERK signaling components and regulatory nodes. Conversational artificial intelligence (AI-HOPE and AI-HOPE-MAPK) enabled natural language-driven cohort construction and exploratory analytics; findings were validated using Fisher's exact testing, chi-square analyses, and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>MAPK pathway disruption demonstrated marked heterogeneity across ancestry and treatment contexts. Among EO H/L patients, <i>FGFR3, NF1, and RPS6KA6</i> mutations were significantly enriched in tumors not receiving FOLFOX, whereas <i>PDGFRB</i> alterations were more frequent in FOLFOX-treated EO H/L tumors relative to EO NHW counterparts. In late-onset H/L disease, <i>NTRK2</i> and <i>PDGFRB</i> mutations were more common in non-FOLFOX tumors. Distinct MAPK-associated alterations were also observed among NHW patients, particularly in non-FOLFOX settings, including <i>AKT3, FGF4, RRAS2, CRKL, DUSP4, JUN, MAPK1, RRAS,</i> and <i>SOS1</i>. Survival analyses provided borderline evidence that MAPK alterations may be linked to improved overall survival in treated EO NHW patients. Conversational AI markedly accelerated analytic throughput and multi-parameter discovery.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Although MAPK alterations are pervasive in CRC, their distribution varies meaningfully by ancestry, age, and treatment exposure. These findings highlight <i>NF1, MAPK3, RPS6KA4</i>, and <i>PDGFRB</i> as potential biomarkers in EOCRC and H/L patients, supporting the need for ancestry-aware precision oncology approaches.</p>","PeriodicalId":9681,"journal":{"name":"Cancers","volume":"18 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12839066/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146060158","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Harold Bravo Thompson, Priya Chattopadhyay, Ty Subhawong, Malcolm-Christopher Palmer, Sergio Torralbas Fitz, Brooke Crawford, Andrew Rosenberg, H Thomas Temple, Emily Jonczak
Background: The prognostic value of treatment-induced necrosis in soft STS remains uncertain. This study evaluated whether MRI-based changes in necrosis (Δ necrosis) between pre- and post-neoadjuvant chemotherapy scans correlate with pathologic necrosis and clinical outcomes. Methods: In this retrospective cohort, 27 patients with STS who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy and underwent pre- and post-treatment MRI were analyzed. Necrosis was graded categorically (<5%, 5-25%, 25-50%, 50-75%, 75-95%, and >95%), and Δ necrosis was calculated as the change in estimated necrosis between scans. Correlations between MRI-derived and pathologic necrosis were assessed using Spearman's rank coefficient. Survival analyses (progression-free, local recurrence-free, and disease-specific overall survival) were performed using Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests. Results: Post-treatment MRI necrosis moderately correlated with pathologic necrosis (ρ = 0.44, p = 0.028), whereas Δ necrosis showed a weaker, nonsignificant correlation (ρ = 0.24, p = 0.24). Neither MRI-based nor pathologic necrosis thresholds were associated with survival outcomes. Conclusions: MRI-based Δ necrosis did not predict pathologic necrosis or oncologic outcomes in STS, suggesting that radiologic changes in necrosis may not serve as reliable markers of therapeutic response. Future studies integrating quantitative imaging and standardized pathology protocols together with future exploration of molecular tools such as ctDNA are needed to refine treatment assessment in STS.
背景:软性STS治疗性坏死的预后价值尚不确定。该研究评估了新辅助化疗扫描前后基于mri的坏死变化(Δ坏死)是否与病理性坏死和临床结果相关。方法:回顾性分析27例接受新辅助化疗并接受治疗前后MRI检查的STS患者。坏死被分类分级(95%),Δ坏死被计算为两次扫描之间估计坏死的变化。采用Spearman等级系数评估mri衍生性坏死与病理性坏死之间的相关性。使用Kaplan-Meier和log-rank检验进行生存分析(无进展、无局部复发和疾病特异性总生存)。结果:治疗后MRI坏死与病理性坏死中度相关(ρ = 0.44, p = 0.028),而Δ坏死与病理性坏死相关性较弱(ρ = 0.24, p = 0.24)。mri坏死阈值和病理性坏死阈值均与生存结果无关。结论:基于mri的Δ坏死不能预测STS的病理性坏死或肿瘤预后,提示坏死的放射学变化可能不能作为治疗反应的可靠标志。未来的研究需要整合定量成像和标准化病理方案,以及未来对分子工具(如ctDNA)的探索,以完善STS的治疗评估。
{"title":"MRI-Based Delta Necrosis as a Prognostic Marker Following Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Soft Tissue Sarcoma.","authors":"Harold Bravo Thompson, Priya Chattopadhyay, Ty Subhawong, Malcolm-Christopher Palmer, Sergio Torralbas Fitz, Brooke Crawford, Andrew Rosenberg, H Thomas Temple, Emily Jonczak","doi":"10.3390/cancers18020291","DOIUrl":"10.3390/cancers18020291","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b>Background:</b> The prognostic value of treatment-induced necrosis in soft STS remains uncertain. This study evaluated whether MRI-based changes in necrosis (Δ necrosis) between pre- and post-neoadjuvant chemotherapy scans correlate with pathologic necrosis and clinical outcomes. <b>Methods:</b> In this retrospective cohort, 27 patients with STS who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy and underwent pre- and post-treatment MRI were analyzed. Necrosis was graded categorically (<5%, 5-25%, 25-50%, 50-75%, 75-95%, and >95%), and Δ necrosis was calculated as the change in estimated necrosis between scans. Correlations between MRI-derived and pathologic necrosis were assessed using Spearman's rank coefficient. Survival analyses (progression-free, local recurrence-free, and disease-specific overall survival) were performed using Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests. <b>Results:</b> Post-treatment MRI necrosis moderately correlated with pathologic necrosis (ρ = 0.44, <i>p</i> = 0.028), whereas Δ necrosis showed a weaker, nonsignificant correlation (ρ = 0.24, <i>p</i> = 0.24). Neither MRI-based nor pathologic necrosis thresholds were associated with survival outcomes. <b>Conclusions:</b> MRI-based Δ necrosis did not predict pathologic necrosis or oncologic outcomes in STS, suggesting that radiologic changes in necrosis may not serve as reliable markers of therapeutic response. Future studies integrating quantitative imaging and standardized pathology protocols together with future exploration of molecular tools such as ctDNA are needed to refine treatment assessment in STS.</p>","PeriodicalId":9681,"journal":{"name":"Cancers","volume":"18 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12838723/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146060323","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kieran Sandhu, Artitaya Lophatananon, Vincent J Gnanapragasam
Background/Objectives: There is conflicting data on which factors predict progression events in active surveillance for early prostate cancer. Here, we explored the value of different clinicopathological variables and whether progression endpoint definitions impact predictive utility. Methods: Clinicopathological variables were extracted from the STRATified CANcer Surveillance (STRATCANs) prospective AS database and included biopsy features (core positivity, cancer core length, and percentage core involvement) and MRI features (Likert score, lesion size, and location), as well as baseline PSA density [PSAd] and Cambridge Prognostic Group (CPG). These were tested against AS endpoint definitions of (1) progression to ≥CPG3, (2) any pathological progression and two definitions from the literature, (3) ≥GG3 or change to treatment, and (4) ≥GG4, metastasis or cancer-related mortality. Predictors were assessed using regression analysis. Results: Data from 296 men were included (median age, 66; follow-up, 5 years). Progression per definition (1-4) occurred in 46 (15.5%), 54 (18.2%), 84 (28.4%), and 10 (3.4%) men. In univariate analysis using Definition 1, no biopsy parameter was independently predictive of progression, while the MRI Likert score (p = 0.02) was the only significant imaging parameter. For Definition 2, core positivity (p = 0.003) and MRI Likert score (p = 0.01) were significant predictors in univariate analyses, while for Definition 3, tumour core length (p = 0.005), core positivity (p = 0.002), and MRI Likert score (p = 0.003) were all predictive in univariate analyses. In multivariate analysis, however, the only consistent independent predictor was PSAd, regardless of endpoint definition. No variables predicted Definition 4 progression. Conclusions: AS endpoint selection appears to define which variables predict progression. Using progression to ≥CPG 3 as an unambiguous AS endpoint, neither biopsy nor MRI variables added incremental value in predicting progression. PSAd, however, appears to be a robust and independent generalisable progression predictor.
{"title":"The Impact of Endpoint Definitions on Predictors of Progression in Active Surveillance for Early Prostate Cancer.","authors":"Kieran Sandhu, Artitaya Lophatananon, Vincent J Gnanapragasam","doi":"10.3390/cancers18020292","DOIUrl":"10.3390/cancers18020292","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b>Background/Objectives</b>: There is conflicting data on which factors predict progression events in active surveillance for early prostate cancer. Here, we explored the value of different clinicopathological variables and whether progression endpoint definitions impact predictive utility. <b>Methods</b>: Clinicopathological variables were extracted from the STRATified CANcer Surveillance (STRATCANs) prospective AS database and included biopsy features (core positivity, cancer core length, and percentage core involvement) and MRI features (Likert score, lesion size, and location), as well as baseline PSA density [PSAd] and Cambridge Prognostic Group (CPG). These were tested against AS endpoint definitions of (1) progression to ≥CPG3, (2) any pathological progression and two definitions from the literature, (3) ≥GG3 or change to treatment, and (4) ≥GG4, metastasis or cancer-related mortality. Predictors were assessed using regression analysis. <b>Results</b>: Data from 296 men were included (median age, 66; follow-up, 5 years). Progression per definition (1-4) occurred in 46 (15.5%), 54 (18.2%), 84 (28.4%), and 10 (3.4%) men. In univariate analysis using Definition 1, no biopsy parameter was independently predictive of progression, while the MRI Likert score (<i>p</i> = 0.02) was the only significant imaging parameter. For Definition 2, core positivity (<i>p</i> = 0.003) and MRI Likert score (<i>p</i> = 0.01) were significant predictors in univariate analyses, while for Definition 3, tumour core length (<i>p</i> = 0.005), core positivity (<i>p</i> = 0.002), and MRI Likert score (<i>p</i> = 0.003) were all predictive in univariate analyses. In multivariate analysis, however, the only consistent independent predictor was PSAd, regardless of endpoint definition. No variables predicted Definition 4 progression. <b>Conclusions</b>: AS endpoint selection appears to define which variables predict progression. Using progression to ≥CPG 3 as an unambiguous AS endpoint, neither biopsy nor MRI variables added incremental value in predicting progression. PSAd, however, appears to be a robust and independent generalisable progression predictor.</p>","PeriodicalId":9681,"journal":{"name":"Cancers","volume":"18 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12839284/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146060290","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}