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Predicting the Unpredictable: AI-Driven Prognosis in Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Neoplasms. 预测不可预测:人工智能驱动胰腺神经内分泌肿瘤的预后。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.3390/cancers18020306
Elettra Merola, Emanuela Pirino, Stefano Marcucci, Franca Chierichetti, Andrea Michielan, Laura Bernardoni, Armando Gabbrielli, Maria Pina Dore, Giuseppe Fanciulli, Alberto Brolese

The clinical management of Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Neoplasms (Pan-NENs) is complicated by the disease's intrinsic variability, which creates significant hurdles for accurate risk profiling and the standardization of treatment protocols. Recently, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has offered a promising avenue to address these challenges. By integrating and processing high-dimensional multimodal datasets (encompassing clinical history, radiomics, and pathology), these computational tools can refine survival forecasts and support the development of personalized medicine. However, the transition from experimental success to routine clinical use is currently obstructed by reliance on limited, retrospective cohorts that lack external validation, alongside unresolved concerns regarding algorithmic transparency and ethical governance. This review evaluates the current landscape of AI-driven prognostic modeling for Pan-NENs and critically examines the pathway towards their reliable integration into clinical practice.

胰腺神经内分泌肿瘤(Pan-NENs)的临床管理由于疾病的内在变异性而变得复杂,这为准确的风险分析和治疗方案的标准化创造了重大障碍。最近,人工智能(AI)为解决这些挑战提供了一个有希望的途径。通过整合和处理高维多模态数据集(包括临床病史、放射组学和病理学),这些计算工具可以改进生存预测并支持个性化医疗的发展。然而,从实验成功到常规临床应用的转变目前受到依赖有限的、缺乏外部验证的回顾性队列以及关于算法透明度和伦理治理的未解决问题的阻碍。本综述评估了人工智能驱动的Pan-NENs预后建模的现状,并严格检查了将其可靠地整合到临床实践中的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Predictors of Peritoneal Surface Recurrence and Quantitative Association with Time to Relapse After Complete CRS/HIPEC for Colorectal Peritoneal Metastasis. 结肠直肠腹膜转移的完全CRS/HIPEC后腹膜表面复发的预测因素及其与复发时间的定量关联。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.3390/cancers18020299
Corey A Hounschell, Aubrey C Swilling, Sahaam Mirza, Katelyn Sanner-Dixon, Jill Haley, Luke V Selby, Shahid Umar, Mazin Al-Kasspooles

Background/objectives: Peritoneal surface metastases (PSMs) from colorectal cancer have high rates of peritoneal recurrence after cytoreductive surgery (CRS) and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC). Prior studies dichotomize peritoneal recurrence into "early" and "late," limiting insight into how clinicopathologic factors influence recurrence timing. This study aimed to identify predictors of peritoneal recurrence and quantify their continuous association with time to recurrence following CRS/HIPEC.

Methods: Patients undergoing CC-0 CRS/HIPEC for colorectal PSM from 2018 to 2024 were identified from a prospectively maintained database. The primary outcome was peritoneal surface recurrence. Variables included peritoneal cancer index (PCI), tumor location, histology, HIPEC regimen, and KRAS/BRAF/SMAD4 status. Factors with p < 0.10 on univariable analysis were entered into multivariable logistic regression (recurrence: yes/no) and linear regression (time to recurrence).

Results: Among 133 patients, 64 (48.1%) developed peritoneal recurrence. Median time to recurrence was 41.4 weeks (IQR 24.9-74.0), and PCI was higher among those who recurred (median 11.0 vs. 5.0, p < 0.01). Neither tumor stage, histology, intraperitoneal chemotherapy agent, nor molecular alterations were associated with increased risk of peritoneal recurrence. When controlling for PCI, right- and sigmoid-colon primaries independently predicted peritoneal recurrence compared to all other locations without influence on recurrence timing (right: OR 7.18; sigmoid: OR 6.54; p < 0.01). Among patients who recurred, each one-point increase in PCI corresponded to a 2.43-week earlier relapse (p < 0.01).

Conclusions: Nearly half of patients with colorectal PSM recurred despite complete CRS/HIPEC. Tumor location predicted peritoneal recurrence, while PCI independently shortened time to relapse. Modeling PCI as a continuous predictor refines postoperative risk stratification and may inform individualized surveillance strategies.

背景/目的:结直肠癌腹膜表面转移瘤(psm)在细胞减缩手术(CRS)和腹腔高温化疗(HIPEC)后腹膜复发率高。先前的研究将腹膜复发分为“早期”和“晚期”,限制了对临床病理因素如何影响复发时间的了解。本研究旨在确定腹膜复发的预测因素,并量化其与CRS/HIPEC术后复发时间的持续关联。方法:从前瞻性维护的数据库中确定2018年至2024年接受CC-0 CRS/HIPEC治疗结直肠PSM的患者。主要结果为腹膜表面复发。变量包括腹膜癌指数(PCI)、肿瘤位置、组织学、HIPEC方案和KRAS/BRAF/SMAD4状态。单变量分析p < 0.10的因素进入多变量logistic回归(复发率:是/否)和线性回归(复发时间)。结果:133例患者中,64例(48.1%)腹膜复发。复发的中位时间为41.4周(IQR为24.9-74.0),PCI在复发患者中较高(中位11.0 vs. 5.0, p < 0.01)。肿瘤分期、组织学、腹腔内化疗药物和分子改变均与腹膜复发风险增加无关。在PCI控制下,与所有其他部位相比,右侧和乙状结肠原发独立预测腹膜复发,而不影响复发时间(右侧:OR 7.18;乙状结肠:OR 6.54; p < 0.01)。在复发的患者中,PCI每增加1点对应于2.43周的复发(p < 0.01)。结论:尽管完成了CRS/HIPEC,但仍有近一半的结直肠PSM患者复发。肿瘤位置预测腹膜复发,而PCI独立缩短复发时间。将PCI模型作为一个连续的预测指标,可以细化术后风险分层,并可能为个性化的监测策略提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Radioligand Therapy in Meningiomas: Today's Evidence, Tomorrow's Possibilities. 脑膜瘤的放射治疗:今天的证据,明天的可能性。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-18 DOI: 10.3390/cancers18020297
Gabor Sipka, Kristof Apro, Istvan Farkas, Annamaria Bakos, Agnes Dobi, Katalin Hideghety, Laszlo Pavics, Sandor Dosa, Bence Radics, Marton Balazsfi, Pal Barzo, Melinda Szolikova, Zsuzsanna Besenyi

Meningiomas are the most common primary intracranial tumors, showing highly heterogeneous behavior and clinical outcomes. While the majority are benign, about one in five meningiomas are classified as higher grade (WHO Grade II-III), characterized by a more aggressive, treatment-resistant pathology. Although surgical resection remains the first-line therapy, peptide receptor radionuclide therapy is emerging as a novel and promising option for advanced, multifocal, or recurrent disease. The theranostic paradigm allows simultaneous detection and treatment of somatostatin receptor-expressing lesions using a single radiopharmaceutical. In this review, we explore the evolving role of PRRT in the management of meningiomas. We provide an integrated overview of preclinical findings-including radiosensitization mechanisms-and summarize the rapidly expanding clinical literature, which in recent years has grown both in patient numbers and in methodological sophistication. Particular emphasis is placed on advances in dosimetry, quantitative imaging, and radiomics, which are beginning to refine patient selection and improve response prediction. Together, current evidence highlights the therapeutic potential of radionuclide therapy in aggressive or refractory meningiomas and underscores the need for further prospective trials to define its optimal clinical application.

脑膜瘤是最常见的原发性颅内肿瘤,表现出高度异质性的行为和临床结果。虽然大多数脑膜瘤是良性的,但约五分之一的脑膜瘤被分类为较高级别(世卫组织II-III级),其特点是更具侵袭性,具有治疗抗性。虽然手术切除仍然是一线治疗方法,但肽受体放射性核素治疗正在成为晚期、多灶性或复发性疾病的一种新颖而有希望的选择。治疗模式允许同时检测和治疗生长抑素受体表达病变使用单一的放射性药物。在这篇综述中,我们探讨了PRRT在脑膜瘤治疗中的作用。我们提供了临床前研究结果的综合综述,包括放射致敏机制,并总结了近年来快速扩展的临床文献,这些文献在患者数量和方法上都有所增长。特别强调的是在剂量学、定量成像和放射组学方面的进展,它们开始改进患者选择和改善反应预测。总之,目前的证据强调了放射性核素治疗侵袭性或难治性脑膜瘤的治疗潜力,并强调需要进一步的前瞻性试验来确定其最佳临床应用。
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引用次数: 0
Metabolic Crosstalk in Triple-Negative Breast Cancer Lung Metastasis: Differential Effects of Vitamin D and E in a Co-Culture System. 三阴性乳腺癌肺转移的代谢串扰:维生素D和E在共培养系统中的差异作用。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-18 DOI: 10.3390/cancers18020294
Balquees Kanwal, Saranya Pounraj, Rumeza Hanif, Zaklina Kovacevic

Background: Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is more likely to metastasise to the lungs than other breast cancer (BrCa) types, yet the molecular interactions within the tumour microenvironment (TME) at secondary sites remain poorly understood. Methods: This pilot study aimed to explore the metabolic crosstalk between MDA-MB-231 TNBC cells and MRC-5 lung fibroblasts within a co-culture system to replicate the lung metastatic TME. Co-cultures were also treated with Vitamin D or Vitamin E to evaluate the effects of these nutraceuticals on the metabolic crosstalk between TNBC cells and fibroblasts. Results: Our findings demonstrate that co-culture induced the activation of fibroblasts into cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs), evidenced by increased α-SMA and FAP expression. Metabolic profiling revealed that TNBC cells in co-culture displayed increased expression of enzymes associated with oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS) and glutamine metabolism, while fibroblasts exhibited a metabolic profile consistent with glycolysis and lactate metabolism. Vitamin D inhibited lactate metabolism and HIF-1α expression in fibroblasts while suppressing TCA cycle activity in cancer cells, suggesting a potential role in disrupting oncogenic metabolic crosstalk. Conversely, Vitamin E treatment was associated with increased expression of TCA cycle and oxidative metabolism-related markers in BrCa cells without significantly affecting fibroblast glycolysis. Such differential metabolic responses may contribute to metabolic heterogeneity within the tumour microenvironment. Conclusions: These results provide valuable insights into the metabolic dynamics of TNBC metastases in the lung TME and demonstrate that Vitamins D and E exert distinct effects on metabolic crosstalk between cancer cells and fibroblasts. These findings may have significant implications for the potential supplementation of Vitamins D and E in patients with metastatic TNBC and justify further in-depth analysis.

背景:三阴性乳腺癌(TNBC)比其他类型的乳腺癌(BrCa)更容易转移到肺部,然而继发部位肿瘤微环境(TME)内的分子相互作用仍然知之甚少。方法:本初步研究旨在探讨MDA-MB-231 TNBC细胞和MRC-5肺成纤维细胞在共培养系统中复制肺转移性TME的代谢串扰。共同培养也用维生素D或维生素E处理,以评估这些营养保健品对TNBC细胞和成纤维细胞之间代谢串扰的影响。结果:我们的研究结果表明,共培养诱导成纤维细胞活化成癌相关成纤维细胞(CAFs), α-SMA和FAP表达增加。代谢谱分析显示,共培养的TNBC细胞显示出与氧化磷酸化(OXPHOS)和谷氨酰胺代谢相关的酶的表达增加,而成纤维细胞显示出与糖酵解和乳酸代谢一致的代谢谱。维生素D抑制成纤维细胞中的乳酸代谢和HIF-1α表达,同时抑制癌细胞中的TCA循环活性,提示其可能在破坏致癌代谢串扰中发挥作用。相反,维生素E处理与BrCa细胞中TCA循环和氧化代谢相关标志物的表达增加有关,而不显著影响成纤维细胞糖酵解。这种不同的代谢反应可能导致肿瘤微环境中的代谢异质性。结论:这些结果为TNBC在肺TME中转移的代谢动力学提供了有价值的见解,并证明维生素D和E对癌细胞和成纤维细胞之间的代谢串扰有不同的影响。这些发现可能对转移性TNBC患者补充维生素D和E具有重要意义,并证明进一步深入分析是合理的。
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引用次数: 0
Technology-Enabled (P)rehabilitation for Patients Undergoing Cancer Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. 癌症手术患者的技术支持(P)康复:系统回顾和荟萃分析。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-18 DOI: 10.3390/cancers18020296
Tiffany R Tsoukalas, Zirong Bai, Claire Jeon, Roy Huynh, Eva Gu, Kate Alexander, Paula R Beckenkamp, Adrian Boscolo, Kilian Brown, Phyllis Butow, Sharon Carey, Fang Chen, Meredith Cummins, Haryana M Dhillon, Vesna Dragoje, Kailey Gorman, Matthew Halpin, Abby Haynes, Ilona Juraskova, Sascha Karunaratne, Jamie Keck, Bora Kim, Cherry Koh, Qiang Li, Lara Lipton, Xiaoqiu Liu, Jaime Macedo, Rebecca Mercieca-Bebber, Renee Moreton, Rachael L Morton, Julie Redfern, Bernhard Riedel, Angus Ritchie, Charbel Sandroussi, Cathy Slattery, Allan Ben Smith, Michael Solomon, Flora Tao, Kate White, Kate Wilson, Kahlia Wolsley, Kun Yu, Daniel Steffens

Background/Objectives: (P)rehabilitation, comprising structured exercise, nutritional optimisation, and/or psychological support delivered pre- or postoperatively, has demonstrated efficacy in improving outcomes across the cancer care continuum. However, access remains limited. Technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation offers a novel solution with the potential to enhance equity and continuity of care. This systematic review aimed to evaluate the efficacy of technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation on perioperative and patient-reported outcomes among individuals undergoing thoracic and/or abdominopelvic cancer surgery. Methods: Six databases were search from inception to October 2024. Eligible studies were randomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation with usual care, placebo, or non-technology-based interventions in adults undergoing thoracic and/or abdominopelvic cancer surgery. Outcomes included postoperative complications, hospital readmissions, hospital length of stay (LOS), quality of life (QoL), pain, anxiety, depression, fatigue, distress, and satisfaction. Higher scores indicated improved QoL or worse symptom severity. Risk of bias was assessed using the revised Cochrane tool, and evidence strength was determined using GRADE methodology. Relative risks (RR) and mean differences (MD) were calculated using random-effects meta-analysis. Results: Seventeen RCTs (18 publications, n = 1690) were included. Trials most commonly evaluated application-based platforms (n = 8) and the majority exhibited some risk of bias. Technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation was associated with a significant reduction in LOS (MD = 1.33 days; 95% CI: 0.59-2.07; seven trials), and improvements in pain (MD = 6.12; 95% CI: 3.40-8.84; four trials), depression (MD = 2.82; 95% CI: 0.65-4.99; five trials), fatigue (MD = 10.10; 95% CI: 6.97-13.23; three trials) and distress (MD = 1.23; 95% CI: 0.30-2.16; single trial) compared with controls. Conclusions: Technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation shows promise in reducing LOS and improving selected patient-reported outcomes following thoracic and abdominopelvic cancer surgery. Although evidence is limited due to the small number of studies, modest sample sizes, methodological heterogeneity, and intervention variability, the overall findings justify further investigation. Large-scale, adequately powered clinical trials are required to confirm efficacy and guide clinical effectiveness and implementation studies.

背景/目的:(P)康复,包括术前或术后提供的有组织的锻炼,营养优化和/或心理支持,已经证明在改善整个癌症治疗连续体的结果方面有效。然而,访问仍然有限。技术支持的康复提供了一种新颖的解决办法,有可能提高护理的公平性和连续性。本系统综述旨在评估技术支持(p)康复对接受胸癌和/或腹盆腔癌手术的患者围手术期和患者报告结果的疗效。方法:检索6个数据库,检索时间为建库至2024年10月。符合条件的研究是随机对照试验(rct),比较技术支持(p)康复与常规护理、安慰剂或非技术干预在接受胸癌和/或腹盆腔癌手术的成年人中的作用。结果包括术后并发症、再入院、住院时间(LOS)、生活质量(QoL)、疼痛、焦虑、抑郁、疲劳、痛苦和满意度。得分越高表明生活质量改善或症状严重程度越差。使用修订后的Cochrane工具评估偏倚风险,使用GRADE方法确定证据强度。采用随机效应荟萃分析计算相对危险度(RR)和平均差异(MD)。结果:纳入17项随机对照试验(18篇出版物,n = 1690)。试验通常评估基于应用程序的平台(n = 8),大多数试验显示出一定的偏倚风险。与对照相比,技术支持(p)康复与LOS (MD = 1.33天;95% CI: 0.59-2.07; 7项试验)的显著减少以及疼痛(MD = 6.12; 95% CI: 3.40-8.84; 4项试验)、抑郁(MD = 2.82; 95% CI: 0.65-4.99; 5项试验)、疲劳(MD = 10.10; 95% CI: 6.97-13.23; 3项试验)和窘迫(MD = 1.23; 95% CI: 0.30-2.16;单项试验)的改善相关。结论:技术支持的(p)康复显示了减少LOS和改善选定患者报告的胸腹癌手术后预后的希望。尽管由于研究数量少、样本量适中、方法异质性和干预可变性,证据有限,但总体结果证明进一步调查是合理的。需要大规模、有充分动力的临床试验来确认疗效,并指导临床疗效和实施研究。
{"title":"Technology-Enabled (P)rehabilitation for Patients Undergoing Cancer Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.","authors":"Tiffany R Tsoukalas, Zirong Bai, Claire Jeon, Roy Huynh, Eva Gu, Kate Alexander, Paula R Beckenkamp, Adrian Boscolo, Kilian Brown, Phyllis Butow, Sharon Carey, Fang Chen, Meredith Cummins, Haryana M Dhillon, Vesna Dragoje, Kailey Gorman, Matthew Halpin, Abby Haynes, Ilona Juraskova, Sascha Karunaratne, Jamie Keck, Bora Kim, Cherry Koh, Qiang Li, Lara Lipton, Xiaoqiu Liu, Jaime Macedo, Rebecca Mercieca-Bebber, Renee Moreton, Rachael L Morton, Julie Redfern, Bernhard Riedel, Angus Ritchie, Charbel Sandroussi, Cathy Slattery, Allan Ben Smith, Michael Solomon, Flora Tao, Kate White, Kate Wilson, Kahlia Wolsley, Kun Yu, Daniel Steffens","doi":"10.3390/cancers18020296","DOIUrl":"10.3390/cancers18020296","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b>Background/Objectives:</b> (P)rehabilitation, comprising structured exercise, nutritional optimisation, and/or psychological support delivered pre- or postoperatively, has demonstrated efficacy in improving outcomes across the cancer care continuum. However, access remains limited. Technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation offers a novel solution with the potential to enhance equity and continuity of care. This systematic review aimed to evaluate the efficacy of technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation on perioperative and patient-reported outcomes among individuals undergoing thoracic and/or abdominopelvic cancer surgery. <b>Methods:</b> Six databases were search from inception to October 2024. Eligible studies were randomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation with usual care, placebo, or non-technology-based interventions in adults undergoing thoracic and/or abdominopelvic cancer surgery. Outcomes included postoperative complications, hospital readmissions, hospital length of stay (LOS), quality of life (QoL), pain, anxiety, depression, fatigue, distress, and satisfaction. Higher scores indicated improved QoL or worse symptom severity. Risk of bias was assessed using the revised Cochrane tool, and evidence strength was determined using GRADE methodology. Relative risks (RR) and mean differences (MD) were calculated using random-effects meta-analysis. <b>Results:</b> Seventeen RCTs (18 publications, n = 1690) were included. Trials most commonly evaluated application-based platforms (n = 8) and the majority exhibited some risk of bias. Technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation was associated with a significant reduction in LOS (MD = 1.33 days; 95% CI: 0.59-2.07; seven trials), and improvements in pain (MD = 6.12; 95% CI: 3.40-8.84; four trials), depression (MD = 2.82; 95% CI: 0.65-4.99; five trials), fatigue (MD = 10.10; 95% CI: 6.97-13.23; three trials) and distress (MD = 1.23; 95% CI: 0.30-2.16; single trial) compared with controls. <b>Conclusions:</b> Technology-enabled (p)rehabilitation shows promise in reducing LOS and improving selected patient-reported outcomes following thoracic and abdominopelvic cancer surgery. Although evidence is limited due to the small number of studies, modest sample sizes, methodological heterogeneity, and intervention variability, the overall findings justify further investigation. Large-scale, adequately powered clinical trials are required to confirm efficacy and guide clinical effectiveness and implementation studies.</p>","PeriodicalId":9681,"journal":{"name":"Cancers","volume":"18 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12839342/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146060332","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Effect of Smoking and Pre-Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplant Pulmonary Comorbidity on the Incidence of Lung Graft-Versus-Host Disease and Post-Transplant Outcomes. 吸烟和异基因前造血细胞移植肺部合并症对肺移植物抗宿主病发病率和移植后预后的影响
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-18 DOI: 10.3390/cancers18020295
Ebaa Reda, Mohammed Kawari, Mariana Pinto Pereira, Mats Remberger, Ambrose Lau, Arjun D Law, Rajat Kumar, Igor Novitzky-Basso, Wilson Lam, Ivan Pasic, Armin Gerbitz, Auro Viswabandya, Dennis D Kim, Jeffrey H Lipton, Jonas Mattsson, Fotios V Michelis

Background/objectives: Smoking is linked to an increased risk of pulmonary complications and adverse outcomes following allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (Allo-HCT). Unfortunately, data is rarely correlated with the incidence of GVHD and does not show whether smoking has a negative impact independent from underlying pulmonary comorbidities.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 407 patients who underwent Allo-HCT between January 2019 and May 2021 and evaluated the impact of smoking history and pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidities on the risk of outcomes including graft-versus-host disease (GVHD), overall survival (OS), and non-relapse mortality (NRM).

Results: Patients were divided into the following groups: Group A: smokers with pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidity, 40 pts (9.8%); Group B: non-smokers with pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidity, 71 pts (17.4%); Group C: smokers without pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidity, 105 pts (25.8%); and Group D: non-smokers without pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidity, 191 pts (46.9%). Smokers were also grouped by their smoking history (<10 pack-years (59 pts), 11 to 25 pack-years (50 pts), and >25 pack-years (35 pts)) and by smoking recency: Recent (until Allo-HCT), Former (quit > 1 year ago), and Remote smokers (quit > 10 years ago). Our results showed that Group A demonstrated increased chronic lung GVHD compared to the other groups (p = 0.01). The 3-year OS was lowest in Group A at 45.0%, compared to 70.4%, 62.4%, and 69.4% (p = 0.006), and the NRM was highest at 37.5%, compared to 15.5%, 18.2%, and 14.7% in Groups B, C, and D, respectively (p = 0.001). Smoking recency and higher pack-year dose were associated with worse outcomes.

Conclusions: Our study demonstrated the negative synergistic effect of smoking history and pre-transplant pulmonary comorbidities on the incidence of lung GVHD, OS, and NRM.

背景/目的:吸烟与异基因造血细胞移植(alloo - hct)后肺部并发症和不良后果的风险增加有关。不幸的是,数据很少与GVHD的发病率相关,也没有显示吸烟是否具有独立于潜在肺部合并症的负面影响。方法:我们回顾性分析了2019年1月至2021年5月期间407例接受了alloo - hct的患者,并评估了吸烟史和移植前肺部合并症对移植物抗宿主病(GVHD)、总生存期(OS)和非复发死亡率(NRM)等结局风险的影响。结果:患者分为以下组:A组:有移植前肺部合并症的吸烟者,40例(9.8%);B组:有移植前肺部合并症的非吸烟者,71例(17.4%);C组:无移植前肺部合并症的吸烟者,105例(25.8%);D组:无移植前肺部合并症的非吸烟者,191例(46.9%)。吸烟者还根据吸烟史(25包年(35分))和最近吸烟情况进行分组:最近(直到Allo-HCT),前吸烟者(1年前戒烟)和远程吸烟者(10年前戒烟)。我们的结果显示,与其他组相比,A组慢性肺GVHD明显增加(p = 0.01)。A组3年OS最低,为45.0%,分别为70.4%、62.4%和69.4% (p = 0.006); NRM最高,为37.5%,分别为B、C、D组15.5%、18.2%和14.7% (p = 0.001)。近期吸烟和较高的包年剂量与较差的结果相关。结论:我们的研究表明吸烟史和移植前肺部合并症对肺GVHD、OS和NRM的发病率有负协同作用。
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引用次数: 0
Epidemiology of Primary Urethral Cancer: Insights from Four European Countries with a Focus on Poland. 原发性尿道癌的流行病学:来自四个欧洲国家的见解,重点是波兰。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-17 DOI: 10.3390/cancers18020290
Iwona Wnętrzak, Urszula Wojciechowska, Joanna A Didkowska, Jakub Dobruch, Mateusz Czajkowski, Roman Sosnowski

Background/Purpose: Primary urethral cancer is a rare malignancy, accounting for less than 1% of all urogenital cancers. Current epidemiological data from Europe are scarce and outdated. Therefore, the analyzes and comparison of the incidence and mortality of PUC in selected European countries, with particular focus on Poland, based on the most recent available registry data, were performed. Methods: Our study is based on country-level data and is descriptive in nature. Incidence data for PUC were obtained from the national cancer registries of Poland, Latvia, Slovenia, and Hungary. Mortality data were sourced from the WHO Mortality Database. Age-standardized incidence rates were calculated for two time intervals (2000-2009 and 2010-2019). Age-standardized mortality rates for individuals aged ≥45 years were calculated using the European Standard Population (ESP2013). Trends in incidence and mortality in Poland were analyzed using a five-year moving average. Results: The highest incidence of PUC was observed in Hungary, while Poland showed the lowest incidence. Latvia had the highest ASMRs for both sexes, whereas Poland and Greece reported the lowest mortality rates. Despite slight annual fluctuations, the overall PUC mortality rate in Poland has remained stable. Our study is limited by the relatively short analyzed period (2000-2021), restricted availability of C68.0 incidence data from national cancer registries, and incomplete mortality data in the WHO mortality database. Conclusions: This first contemporary comparative analysis of PUC epidemiology in Europe highlights the rarity of this malignancy and the limited data availability. Based on the knowledge drawn from the literature presented in the article on the impact of centralization on the increase in overall survival and the decrease in mortality in rare cancers, the authors believe that centralization of care can improve PUC patient outcomes.

背景/目的:原发性尿道癌是一种罕见的恶性肿瘤,占泌尿生殖系统肿瘤的不到1%。目前来自欧洲的流行病学数据稀少且过时。因此,根据最新可用的登记数据,对选定的欧洲国家,特别是波兰的PUC发病率和死亡率进行了分析和比较。方法:我们的研究基于国家层面的数据,本质上是描述性的。PUC的发病率数据来自波兰、拉脱维亚、斯洛文尼亚和匈牙利的国家癌症登记处。死亡率数据来自世卫组织死亡率数据库。计算了两个时间间隔(2000-2009年和2010-2019年)的年龄标准化发病率。使用欧洲标准人口(ESP2013)计算年龄≥45岁个体的年龄标准化死亡率。采用五年移动平均线分析了波兰发病率和死亡率的趋势。结果:匈牙利PUC发病率最高,波兰发病率最低。拉脱维亚的男性和女性的asmr最高,而波兰和希腊报告的死亡率最低。尽管每年略有波动,但波兰的PUC总死亡率保持稳定。我们的研究受到相对较短的分析期(2000-2021年)、国家癌症登记处C68.0发病率数据的有限可用性以及世卫组织死亡率数据库中不完整的死亡率数据的限制。结论:这是欧洲首次对PUC流行病学的当代比较分析,强调了这种恶性肿瘤的罕见性和有限的数据可用性。基于文章中关于集中治疗对提高罕见癌症总生存率和降低死亡率的影响的文献,作者认为集中治疗可以改善PUC患者的预后。
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引用次数: 0
Conversational AI-Enabled Precision Oncology Reveals Context-Dependent MAPK Pathway Alterations in Hispanic/Latino and Non-Hispanic White Colorectal Cancer Stratified by Age and FOLFOX Exposure. 会话人工智能支持的精确肿瘤学揭示了西班牙裔/拉丁裔和非西班牙裔白人结直肠癌中按年龄和FOLFOX暴露分层的上下文依赖的MAPK通路改变。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-17 DOI: 10.3390/cancers18020293
Fernando C Diaz, Brigette Waldrup, Francisco G Carranza, Sophia Manjarrez, Enrique Velazquez-Villarreal

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) demonstrates substantial clinical and biological diversity across age groups, ancestral backgrounds, and treatment settings, alongside a rising incidence of early-onset disease (EOCRC). The mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway is a major driver of CRC development and therapy response; however, the distribution and prognostic value of MAPK alterations across distinct patient subgroups remain unclear.

Methods: We analyzed 2515 CRC tumors with harmonized demographic, clinical, genomic, and treatment metadata. Patients were stratified by ancestry (Hispanic/Latino [H/L] vs. non-Hispanic White [NHW]), age at diagnosis (early-onset [EO] vs. late-onset [LO]), and FOLFOX chemotherapy exposure. MAPK pathway alterations were identified using a curated gene set encompassing canonical EGFR-RAS-RAF-MEK-ERK signaling components and regulatory nodes. Conversational artificial intelligence (AI-HOPE and AI-HOPE-MAPK) enabled natural language-driven cohort construction and exploratory analytics; findings were validated using Fisher's exact testing, chi-square analyses, and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates.

Results: MAPK pathway disruption demonstrated marked heterogeneity across ancestry and treatment contexts. Among EO H/L patients, FGFR3, NF1, and RPS6KA6 mutations were significantly enriched in tumors not receiving FOLFOX, whereas PDGFRB alterations were more frequent in FOLFOX-treated EO H/L tumors relative to EO NHW counterparts. In late-onset H/L disease, NTRK2 and PDGFRB mutations were more common in non-FOLFOX tumors. Distinct MAPK-associated alterations were also observed among NHW patients, particularly in non-FOLFOX settings, including AKT3, FGF4, RRAS2, CRKL, DUSP4, JUN, MAPK1, RRAS, and SOS1. Survival analyses provided borderline evidence that MAPK alterations may be linked to improved overall survival in treated EO NHW patients. Conversational AI markedly accelerated analytic throughput and multi-parameter discovery.

Conclusions: Although MAPK alterations are pervasive in CRC, their distribution varies meaningfully by ancestry, age, and treatment exposure. These findings highlight NF1, MAPK3, RPS6KA4, and PDGFRB as potential biomarkers in EOCRC and H/L patients, supporting the need for ancestry-aware precision oncology approaches.

背景:结直肠癌(CRC)在不同年龄组、祖先背景和治疗环境中表现出显著的临床和生物学多样性,同时早发性疾病(EOCRC)的发病率也在上升。丝裂原活化蛋白激酶(MAPK)途径是结直肠癌发展和治疗反应的主要驱动因素;然而,MAPK改变在不同患者亚组中的分布和预后价值仍不清楚。方法:我们分析了2515例CRC肿瘤,这些肿瘤具有统一的人口统计学、临床、基因组学和治疗元数据。患者按血统(西班牙裔/拉丁裔[H/L] vs非西班牙裔白人[NHW])、诊断年龄(早发性[EO] vs晚发性[LO])和FOLFOX化疗暴露程度进行分层。使用包含典型EGFR-RAS-RAF-MEK-ERK信号组件和调控节点的精心策划的基因集确定MAPK通路改变。会话人工智能(AI-HOPE和AI-HOPE- mapk)支持自然语言驱动的队列构建和探索性分析;使用Fisher精确检验、卡方分析和Kaplan-Meier生存估计来验证研究结果。结果:MAPK通路破坏在不同的祖先和治疗背景下显示出明显的异质性。在EO H/L患者中,FGFR3、NF1和RPS6KA6突变在未接受FOLFOX治疗的肿瘤中显著富集,而在接受FOLFOX治疗的EO H/L肿瘤中,PDGFRB的改变相对于EO NHW患者更为频繁。在迟发性H/L疾病中,NTRK2和PDGFRB突变在非folfox肿瘤中更为常见。在NHW患者中也观察到明显的mapk相关改变,特别是在非folfox环境中,包括AKT3, FGF4, RRAS2, CRKL, DUSP4, JUN, MAPK1, RRAS和SOS1。生存分析提供了边缘性证据,表明MAPK的改变可能与接受治疗的EO NHW患者的总生存率提高有关。会话式人工智能显著加快了分析吞吐量和多参数发现。结论:尽管MAPK改变在结直肠癌中普遍存在,但其分布因血统、年龄和治疗暴露而有意义的差异。这些发现强调NF1、MAPK3、RPS6KA4和PDGFRB是EOCRC和H/L患者的潜在生物标志物,支持对谱系敏感的精确肿瘤学方法的需求。
{"title":"Conversational AI-Enabled Precision Oncology Reveals Context-Dependent MAPK Pathway Alterations in Hispanic/Latino and Non-Hispanic White Colorectal Cancer Stratified by Age and FOLFOX Exposure.","authors":"Fernando C Diaz, Brigette Waldrup, Francisco G Carranza, Sophia Manjarrez, Enrique Velazquez-Villarreal","doi":"10.3390/cancers18020293","DOIUrl":"10.3390/cancers18020293","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Colorectal cancer (CRC) demonstrates substantial clinical and biological diversity across age groups, ancestral backgrounds, and treatment settings, alongside a rising incidence of early-onset disease (EOCRC). The mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway is a major driver of CRC development and therapy response; however, the distribution and prognostic value of MAPK alterations across distinct patient subgroups remain unclear.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed 2515 CRC tumors with harmonized demographic, clinical, genomic, and treatment metadata. Patients were stratified by ancestry (Hispanic/Latino [H/L] vs. non-Hispanic White [NHW]), age at diagnosis (early-onset [EO] vs. late-onset [LO]), and FOLFOX chemotherapy exposure. MAPK pathway alterations were identified using a curated gene set encompassing canonical EGFR-RAS-RAF-MEK-ERK signaling components and regulatory nodes. Conversational artificial intelligence (AI-HOPE and AI-HOPE-MAPK) enabled natural language-driven cohort construction and exploratory analytics; findings were validated using Fisher's exact testing, chi-square analyses, and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>MAPK pathway disruption demonstrated marked heterogeneity across ancestry and treatment contexts. Among EO H/L patients, <i>FGFR3, NF1, and RPS6KA6</i> mutations were significantly enriched in tumors not receiving FOLFOX, whereas <i>PDGFRB</i> alterations were more frequent in FOLFOX-treated EO H/L tumors relative to EO NHW counterparts. In late-onset H/L disease, <i>NTRK2</i> and <i>PDGFRB</i> mutations were more common in non-FOLFOX tumors. Distinct MAPK-associated alterations were also observed among NHW patients, particularly in non-FOLFOX settings, including <i>AKT3, FGF4, RRAS2, CRKL, DUSP4, JUN, MAPK1, RRAS,</i> and <i>SOS1</i>. Survival analyses provided borderline evidence that MAPK alterations may be linked to improved overall survival in treated EO NHW patients. Conversational AI markedly accelerated analytic throughput and multi-parameter discovery.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Although MAPK alterations are pervasive in CRC, their distribution varies meaningfully by ancestry, age, and treatment exposure. These findings highlight <i>NF1, MAPK3, RPS6KA4</i>, and <i>PDGFRB</i> as potential biomarkers in EOCRC and H/L patients, supporting the need for ancestry-aware precision oncology approaches.</p>","PeriodicalId":9681,"journal":{"name":"Cancers","volume":"18 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12839066/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146060158","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
MRI-Based Delta Necrosis as a Prognostic Marker Following Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Soft Tissue Sarcoma. 基于mri的三角坏死作为软组织肉瘤新辅助化疗后的预后标志物。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-17 DOI: 10.3390/cancers18020291
Harold Bravo Thompson, Priya Chattopadhyay, Ty Subhawong, Malcolm-Christopher Palmer, Sergio Torralbas Fitz, Brooke Crawford, Andrew Rosenberg, H Thomas Temple, Emily Jonczak

Background: The prognostic value of treatment-induced necrosis in soft STS remains uncertain. This study evaluated whether MRI-based changes in necrosis (Δ necrosis) between pre- and post-neoadjuvant chemotherapy scans correlate with pathologic necrosis and clinical outcomes. Methods: In this retrospective cohort, 27 patients with STS who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy and underwent pre- and post-treatment MRI were analyzed. Necrosis was graded categorically (<5%, 5-25%, 25-50%, 50-75%, 75-95%, and >95%), and Δ necrosis was calculated as the change in estimated necrosis between scans. Correlations between MRI-derived and pathologic necrosis were assessed using Spearman's rank coefficient. Survival analyses (progression-free, local recurrence-free, and disease-specific overall survival) were performed using Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests. Results: Post-treatment MRI necrosis moderately correlated with pathologic necrosis (ρ = 0.44, p = 0.028), whereas Δ necrosis showed a weaker, nonsignificant correlation (ρ = 0.24, p = 0.24). Neither MRI-based nor pathologic necrosis thresholds were associated with survival outcomes. Conclusions: MRI-based Δ necrosis did not predict pathologic necrosis or oncologic outcomes in STS, suggesting that radiologic changes in necrosis may not serve as reliable markers of therapeutic response. Future studies integrating quantitative imaging and standardized pathology protocols together with future exploration of molecular tools such as ctDNA are needed to refine treatment assessment in STS.

背景:软性STS治疗性坏死的预后价值尚不确定。该研究评估了新辅助化疗扫描前后基于mri的坏死变化(Δ坏死)是否与病理性坏死和临床结果相关。方法:回顾性分析27例接受新辅助化疗并接受治疗前后MRI检查的STS患者。坏死被分类分级(95%),Δ坏死被计算为两次扫描之间估计坏死的变化。采用Spearman等级系数评估mri衍生性坏死与病理性坏死之间的相关性。使用Kaplan-Meier和log-rank检验进行生存分析(无进展、无局部复发和疾病特异性总生存)。结果:治疗后MRI坏死与病理性坏死中度相关(ρ = 0.44, p = 0.028),而Δ坏死与病理性坏死相关性较弱(ρ = 0.24, p = 0.24)。mri坏死阈值和病理性坏死阈值均与生存结果无关。结论:基于mri的Δ坏死不能预测STS的病理性坏死或肿瘤预后,提示坏死的放射学变化可能不能作为治疗反应的可靠标志。未来的研究需要整合定量成像和标准化病理方案,以及未来对分子工具(如ctDNA)的探索,以完善STS的治疗评估。
{"title":"MRI-Based Delta Necrosis as a Prognostic Marker Following Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Soft Tissue Sarcoma.","authors":"Harold Bravo Thompson, Priya Chattopadhyay, Ty Subhawong, Malcolm-Christopher Palmer, Sergio Torralbas Fitz, Brooke Crawford, Andrew Rosenberg, H Thomas Temple, Emily Jonczak","doi":"10.3390/cancers18020291","DOIUrl":"10.3390/cancers18020291","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b>Background:</b> The prognostic value of treatment-induced necrosis in soft STS remains uncertain. This study evaluated whether MRI-based changes in necrosis (Δ necrosis) between pre- and post-neoadjuvant chemotherapy scans correlate with pathologic necrosis and clinical outcomes. <b>Methods:</b> In this retrospective cohort, 27 patients with STS who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy and underwent pre- and post-treatment MRI were analyzed. Necrosis was graded categorically (<5%, 5-25%, 25-50%, 50-75%, 75-95%, and >95%), and Δ necrosis was calculated as the change in estimated necrosis between scans. Correlations between MRI-derived and pathologic necrosis were assessed using Spearman's rank coefficient. Survival analyses (progression-free, local recurrence-free, and disease-specific overall survival) were performed using Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests. <b>Results:</b> Post-treatment MRI necrosis moderately correlated with pathologic necrosis (ρ = 0.44, <i>p</i> = 0.028), whereas Δ necrosis showed a weaker, nonsignificant correlation (ρ = 0.24, <i>p</i> = 0.24). Neither MRI-based nor pathologic necrosis thresholds were associated with survival outcomes. <b>Conclusions:</b> MRI-based Δ necrosis did not predict pathologic necrosis or oncologic outcomes in STS, suggesting that radiologic changes in necrosis may not serve as reliable markers of therapeutic response. Future studies integrating quantitative imaging and standardized pathology protocols together with future exploration of molecular tools such as ctDNA are needed to refine treatment assessment in STS.</p>","PeriodicalId":9681,"journal":{"name":"Cancers","volume":"18 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12838723/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146060323","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Impact of Endpoint Definitions on Predictors of Progression in Active Surveillance for Early Prostate Cancer. 终点定义对早期前列腺癌主动监测进展预测因子的影响。
IF 4.4 2区 医学 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-17 DOI: 10.3390/cancers18020292
Kieran Sandhu, Artitaya Lophatananon, Vincent J Gnanapragasam

Background/Objectives: There is conflicting data on which factors predict progression events in active surveillance for early prostate cancer. Here, we explored the value of different clinicopathological variables and whether progression endpoint definitions impact predictive utility. Methods: Clinicopathological variables were extracted from the STRATified CANcer Surveillance (STRATCANs) prospective AS database and included biopsy features (core positivity, cancer core length, and percentage core involvement) and MRI features (Likert score, lesion size, and location), as well as baseline PSA density [PSAd] and Cambridge Prognostic Group (CPG). These were tested against AS endpoint definitions of (1) progression to ≥CPG3, (2) any pathological progression and two definitions from the literature, (3) ≥GG3 or change to treatment, and (4) ≥GG4, metastasis or cancer-related mortality. Predictors were assessed using regression analysis. Results: Data from 296 men were included (median age, 66; follow-up, 5 years). Progression per definition (1-4) occurred in 46 (15.5%), 54 (18.2%), 84 (28.4%), and 10 (3.4%) men. In univariate analysis using Definition 1, no biopsy parameter was independently predictive of progression, while the MRI Likert score (p = 0.02) was the only significant imaging parameter. For Definition 2, core positivity (p = 0.003) and MRI Likert score (p = 0.01) were significant predictors in univariate analyses, while for Definition 3, tumour core length (p = 0.005), core positivity (p = 0.002), and MRI Likert score (p = 0.003) were all predictive in univariate analyses. In multivariate analysis, however, the only consistent independent predictor was PSAd, regardless of endpoint definition. No variables predicted Definition 4 progression. Conclusions: AS endpoint selection appears to define which variables predict progression. Using progression to ≥CPG 3 as an unambiguous AS endpoint, neither biopsy nor MRI variables added incremental value in predicting progression. PSAd, however, appears to be a robust and independent generalisable progression predictor.

背景/目的:在早期前列腺癌的主动监测中,哪些因素可以预测进展事件,目前有相互矛盾的数据。在这里,我们探讨了不同临床病理变量的价值,以及进展终点定义是否影响预测效用。方法:从分层癌症监测(STRATCANs)前瞻性AS数据库中提取临床病理变量,包括活检特征(核心阳性,癌症核心长度和核心受病灶百分比)和MRI特征(Likert评分,病变大小和位置),以及基线PSA密度[PSAd]和剑桥预后组(CPG)。根据AS终点定义(1)进展到≥CPG3,(2)任何病理进展和文献中的两个定义,(3)≥GG3或改变治疗,(4)≥GG4,转移或癌症相关死亡率进行测试。预测因子采用回归分析进行评估。结果:数据来自296名男性(中位年龄66岁,随访5年)。根据定义(1-4)出现进展的男性分别为46例(15.5%)、54例(18.2%)、84例(28.4%)和10例(3.4%)。在使用定义1的单变量分析中,没有活检参数可以独立预测进展,而MRI Likert评分(p = 0.02)是唯一重要的成像参数。对于定义2,核心阳性(p = 0.003)和MRI李克特评分(p = 0.01)是单变量分析的显著预测因子,而对于定义3,肿瘤核心长度(p = 0.005)、核心阳性(p = 0.002)和MRI李克特评分(p = 0.003)在单变量分析中都是预测因子。然而,在多变量分析中,无论终点定义如何,唯一一致的独立预测因子是PSAd。没有变量预测定义4的进展。结论:AS终点选择似乎定义了预测进展的变量。使用进展到≥CPG 3作为明确的as终点,活检和MRI变量都不能增加预测进展的增量价值。然而,PSAd似乎是一个可靠的、独立的、可推广的进展预测因子。
{"title":"The Impact of Endpoint Definitions on Predictors of Progression in Active Surveillance for Early Prostate Cancer.","authors":"Kieran Sandhu, Artitaya Lophatananon, Vincent J Gnanapragasam","doi":"10.3390/cancers18020292","DOIUrl":"10.3390/cancers18020292","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b>Background/Objectives</b>: There is conflicting data on which factors predict progression events in active surveillance for early prostate cancer. Here, we explored the value of different clinicopathological variables and whether progression endpoint definitions impact predictive utility. <b>Methods</b>: Clinicopathological variables were extracted from the STRATified CANcer Surveillance (STRATCANs) prospective AS database and included biopsy features (core positivity, cancer core length, and percentage core involvement) and MRI features (Likert score, lesion size, and location), as well as baseline PSA density [PSAd] and Cambridge Prognostic Group (CPG). These were tested against AS endpoint definitions of (1) progression to ≥CPG3, (2) any pathological progression and two definitions from the literature, (3) ≥GG3 or change to treatment, and (4) ≥GG4, metastasis or cancer-related mortality. Predictors were assessed using regression analysis. <b>Results</b>: Data from 296 men were included (median age, 66; follow-up, 5 years). Progression per definition (1-4) occurred in 46 (15.5%), 54 (18.2%), 84 (28.4%), and 10 (3.4%) men. In univariate analysis using Definition 1, no biopsy parameter was independently predictive of progression, while the MRI Likert score (<i>p</i> = 0.02) was the only significant imaging parameter. For Definition 2, core positivity (<i>p</i> = 0.003) and MRI Likert score (<i>p</i> = 0.01) were significant predictors in univariate analyses, while for Definition 3, tumour core length (<i>p</i> = 0.005), core positivity (<i>p</i> = 0.002), and MRI Likert score (<i>p</i> = 0.003) were all predictive in univariate analyses. In multivariate analysis, however, the only consistent independent predictor was PSAd, regardless of endpoint definition. No variables predicted Definition 4 progression. <b>Conclusions</b>: AS endpoint selection appears to define which variables predict progression. Using progression to ≥CPG 3 as an unambiguous AS endpoint, neither biopsy nor MRI variables added incremental value in predicting progression. PSAd, however, appears to be a robust and independent generalisable progression predictor.</p>","PeriodicalId":9681,"journal":{"name":"Cancers","volume":"18 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12839284/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146060290","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Cancers
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