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Development of a reliable rock slope stability model utilizing field and analytical data – An integration of FE-ML approaches 利用现场和分析数据建立可靠的岩质边坡稳定性模型-有限元-机器学习方法的集成
IF 4.2 Pub Date : 2025-09-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.aiig.2025.100158
Virat Singh Chauhan , Md. Rehan Sadique , Mohd. Masroor Alam , Mohd. Ahmadullah Farooqi
Slope instability in hilly regions is a highly complex phenomenon, with triggering factors ranging from natural events to anthropogenic activities. Such failures hit disastrous losses both in terms of material as well as life. It is necessary to comprehend the mechanism of these failures to mitigate such events and also to predict their vulnerability for better preparedness. Significant advancements have already been done in the area of slope stability analysis, and scores of valued tools and techniques have been developed, such as limit equilibrium methods, finite element and finite difference methods, stochastic methods, and several of their combinations. In this study, an attempt has been made to capitalize on machine learning tools to predict the factor of safety of rock slope stability in hilly regions. Three road-cut slopes have been considered and their stability is determined using both finite element (FE) and machine learning (ML) techniques. The idea to intertwine these approaches is to supplement each other and enhance the reliability of the results. The geotechnical data was acquired through field investigation trips to the adopted mountainous sites. Since the slopes at the site are rocky, in the FE model, the Generalized Hoek Brown (GHB) material model with shear strength reduction technique have been used. In the implementation of ML models, Random Forest (RF) and Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) models have been used. For the training of the ML model, ample published data has been utilized, while for testing the ML model, the data from the current slope site is used. The analysis in ML model is carried out in three stages: a) without Hyperparameter tuning, b) with Hyperparameter tuning using GridSearchCV, and c) Pipeline incorporating Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE). Performance metrics, including Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and R2 score, were evaluated to assess the accuracy of the model. A slight discrepancy within a range of 10 percent has been found, which is rather expected due to factors such as grid refinement and, data volume and variability. Overall, the proposed ML model demonstrates excellent compatibility with the FE model results. This study is an attempt to pick relevant ML techniques to develop a purpose-built framework that has the potential to validate the rock slope stability obtained using the traditional methods.
丘陵区边坡失稳是一个高度复杂的现象,其触发因素既有自然事件,也有人为活动。这样的失败在物质和生命方面都造成了灾难性的损失。有必要了解这些失败的机制,以减轻此类事件,并预测其脆弱性,以便更好地做好准备。在边坡稳定性分析领域已经取得了重大进展,并且开发了许多有价值的工具和技术,例如极限平衡方法,有限元和有限差分方法,随机方法以及它们的几种组合。在本研究中,尝试利用机器学习工具来预测丘陵地区岩质边坡稳定的安全系数。考虑了三个路堑边坡,并使用有限元(FE)和机器学习(ML)技术确定了它们的稳定性。将这些方法交织在一起是为了相互补充,提高结果的可靠性。岩土工程数据是通过对所采用的山区地点进行实地调查获得的。由于现场边坡为岩质边坡,在有限元模型中采用了具有抗剪强度折减技术的广义Hoek Brown (GHB)材料模型。在机器学习模型的实现中,使用了随机森林(RF)和梯度增强机(GBM)模型。对于ML模型的训练,我们使用了大量已发表的数据,而对于ML模型的测试,我们使用了来自当前边坡的数据。ML模型的分析分三个阶段进行:a)无超参数调优,b)使用GridSearchCV进行超参数调优,c)结合递归特征消除(RFE)的管道。评估性能指标,包括平均绝对误差(MAE)、均方误差(MSE)和R2评分,以评估模型的准确性。在10%的范围内发现了轻微的差异,由于网格细化、数据量和可变性等因素,这是相当预期的。总体而言,所提出的ML模型与FE模型结果具有良好的兼容性。本研究试图选择相关的ML技术来开发一个专用框架,该框架有可能验证使用传统方法获得的岩质边坡稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Identification of major minerals in igneous rock microscopic images from thin sections through deep neural network analysis 利用深度神经网络分析方法识别火成岩薄片显微图像中的主要矿物
IF 4.2 Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.aiig.2025.100157
Kouadio Krah , Sié Ouattara , Gbele Ouattara , Marc Euphrem Allialy , Alain Clement
Several socio-environmental needs (medicine, industry, engineering, orogenesis, genesis, etc.) require minerals to be more precisly defined and characterised. The identification of minerals plays a crucial role for researchers and is becoming an essential aspect of geological analysis. However, traditional methods relied heavily on expert knowledge and specialised equipment, making them labour-intensive, costly and time-consuming. This dependence is often labour-intensive, not to mention costly and time-consuming. To address this issue, some researchers have opted for machine learning algorithms to quickly identify a single mineral in a microscopic image of rocks. However this approch does not correspond to patterns of mineral distribution, where minerals are typically found in associations. These associations make it difficult to accurately identify minerals using conventional machine learning algorithms. This paper introduces a deep neural learning model based on multi-label classification, utilizing the problem adaptation method to analyse microscopic images of rock thin sections. The model is based on the ResNet50 architecture, which is designed to analyse minerals and generates the probability of a mineral presence in an image. This method provides a solution to the dependence between associated minerals. Experiments on many test images showed a model confidence, achieving average precision, recall and F1_score 97.15 %, 96.25 % and 96.69 %, respectively. Visualisation of the class activation mapping using the Grad-CAM algorithm indicates that our model is likely to locate the identified minerals effectively. In this way, the importance of each pixel with the class of interest can be assessed using heat maps. The recorded results, in terms of both performance and pixel_level evaluation, demonstrate the promising potential of the model used. It can therefore be considered for multi-labels image classification, particulary for images representing rock minerals. This approach serves as a valuable support tool for geological studies.
一些社会环境需求(医药、工业、工程、造山、成因等)要求对矿物进行更精确的定义和表征。矿物的鉴定对研究人员起着至关重要的作用,并正在成为地质分析的一个重要方面。然而,传统的方法严重依赖于专业知识和专用设备,这使得它们劳动密集,成本高昂且耗时。这种依赖往往是劳动密集型的,更不用说昂贵和耗时了。为了解决这个问题,一些研究人员选择了机器学习算法来快速识别岩石微观图像中的单一矿物。然而,这种方法并不符合矿物分布的模式,因为矿物通常是在组合中发现的。这些关联使得使用传统的机器学习算法难以准确识别矿物。介绍了一种基于多标签分类的深度神经学习模型,利用问题自适应方法对岩石薄片显微图像进行分析。该模型基于ResNet50架构,该架构旨在分析矿物质并生成图像中矿物质存在的概率。这种方法为伴生矿物之间的依赖性提供了一种解决方案。在多幅测试图像上的实验表明,模型置信度较好,平均准确率、召回率和F1_score分别达到97.15%、96.25%和96.69%。使用Grad-CAM算法的类激活映射可视化表明,我们的模型可能有效地定位已识别的矿物。通过这种方式,可以使用热图评估每个感兴趣类别像素的重要性。从性能和pixel_level评估两方面来看,记录的结果显示了所使用模型的良好潜力。因此,可以考虑对多标签图像进行分类,特别是对代表岩石矿物的图像。这种方法为地质研究提供了宝贵的支持工具。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of the performance of gradient boost, linear regression, decision tree, and voting algorithms to separate geochemical anomalies areas in the fractal environment 梯度增强、线性回归、决策树和投票算法在分形环境下分离地球化学异常区的性能比较
IF 4.2 Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.aiig.2025.100156
Mirmahdi Seyedrahimi-Niaraq , Hossein Mahdiyanfar , Mohammad hossein Olyaee
In this investigation, the Gradient Boosting (GB), Linear Regression (LR), Decision Tree (DT), and Voting algorithms were applied to predict the distribution pattern of Au geochemical data. Trace and indicator elements, including Mo, Cu, Pb, Zn, Ag, Ni, Co, Mn, Fe, and As, were used with these machine learning algorithms (MLAs) to predict Au concentration values in the Doostbigloo porphyry Cu-Au-Mo mineralization area. The performance of the models was evaluated using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) metrics. The proposed ensemble Voting algorithm outperformed the other models, yielding more accurate predictions according to both metrics. The predicted data from the GB, LR, DT, and Voting MLAs were modeled using the Concentration-Area fractal method, and Au geochemical anomalies were mapped. To compare and validate the results, factors such as the location of the mineral deposits, their surface extent, and mineralization trend were considered. The results indicate that integrating hybrid MLAs with fractal modeling significantly improves geochemical prospectivity mapping. Among the four models, three (DT, GB, Voting) accurately identified both mineral deposits. The LR model, however, only identified Deposit I (central), and its mineralization trend diverged from the field data. The GB and Voting models produced similar results, with their final maps derived from fractal modeling showing the same anomalous areas. The anomaly boundaries identified by these two models are consistent with the two known reserves in the region. The results and plots related to prediction indicators and error rates for these two models also show high similarity, with lower error rates than the other models. Notably, the Voting model demonstrated superior performance in accurately delineating mineral deposit locations and identifying realistic mineralization trends while minimizing false anomalies.
采用梯度增强(GB)、线性回归(LR)、决策树(DT)和投票(Voting)算法预测Au地球化学数据的分布模式。利用Mo、Cu、Pb、Zn、Ag、Ni、Co、Mn、Fe、As等微量元素和指示元素,结合机器学习算法(MLAs)预测了Doostbigloo斑岩Cu-Au-Mo矿化区Au的富集值。使用平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)和均方根误差(RMSE)指标评估模型的性能。所提出的集成投票算法优于其他模型,根据两个指标产生更准确的预测。采用浓度-面积分形方法对GB、LR、DT和Voting MLAs预测数据进行建模,绘制了Au地球化学异常图。为了比较和验证结果,考虑了矿床的位置、地表范围和矿化趋势等因素。结果表明,将混合MLAs与分形建模相结合,显著提高了地球化学找矿能力。四种模型中,DT、GB、Voting三种模型均能准确识别两个矿床。然而,LR模型只识别了1号矿床(中部),其成矿趋势与现场数据不符。GB和Voting模型产生了类似的结果,它们的最终地图源自分形模型,显示了相同的异常区域。这两种模型识别的异常边界与该地区已知的两个储量一致。两种模型的预测指标和错误率相关的结果和图也显示出较高的相似性,错误率低于其他模型。值得注意的是,Voting模型在准确描绘矿床位置和识别实际矿化趋势方面表现出色,同时最大限度地减少了虚假异常。
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引用次数: 0
Machine-learning seismic damage assessment model for building structures 基于机器学习的建筑结构震害评估模型
IF 4.2 Pub Date : 2025-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.aiig.2025.100155
Fatma Zohra Belhadj , Ahmed Fouad Belhadj , Mohamed Chabaat
Buildings in seismic-prone regions are highly vulnerable to structural damage, necessitating meticulous Seismic Damage Assessment (SDA) for accurate design and mitigation strategies. The intricate nature of Seismic Damage Assessment (SDA) poses challenges, particularly when employing Finite Element Analysis (FE) for individual structures, as simulation techniques are time-intensive due to the inherent complexity of the models. Computational methods combining Soil-Structure Interaction (SSI) for earthquake damage assessment further compound the challenge, requiring substantial computational efforts to construct a comprehensive database for area-based prediction models. This study introduces such challenges via a novel Artificial Neural Network (ANN) approaches-based model as an alternative for prompt building Seismic Damage Assessment evaluation. The proposed ANN model leverages three key inputs—seismic, building, and soil parameters—incorporating a multi-step analysis process to generate seismic responses with soil-structure interaction. The findings underscore the remarkable accuracy of the SDA-Net model, positioning it as an effective predictive tool and rapid decision support system for structures affected by SSI impacts. This innovative approach not only serves as a proactive pre-disaster management tool for assessing potential damage but also emerges as a practical asset for ensuring the safety and durability of structures in the face of natural disasters. The study's contribution lies in its potential application as a valuable tool in structural engineering, aligning with the objectives and scope of the Research Journal of The Institution of Structural Engineers.
地震易发地区的建筑物极易受到结构破坏,因此需要进行细致的地震损害评估(SDA),以实现准确的设计和减灾策略。地震损伤评估(SDA)的复杂性带来了挑战,特别是当对单个结构使用有限元分析(FE)时,由于模型固有的复杂性,模拟技术需要耗费大量时间。结合土-结构相互作用(SSI)进行震害评估的计算方法进一步加剧了这一挑战,需要大量的计算工作来构建基于区域的预测模型的综合数据库。本研究通过一种新颖的基于人工神经网络(ANN)方法的模型来引入这些挑战,作为快速评估建筑物震害的替代方法。提出的人工神经网络模型利用三个关键输入-地震,建筑和土壤参数-结合多步骤分析过程来生成具有土壤-结构相互作用的地震响应。研究结果强调了SDA-Net模型的显著准确性,将其定位为受SSI影响的结构的有效预测工具和快速决策支持系统。这种创新的方法不仅可以作为评估潜在损害的一种主动的灾前管理工具,而且还可以作为确保建筑物在面对自然灾害时的安全性和耐久性的实用资产。该研究的贡献在于其作为结构工程中有价值的工具的潜在应用,与结构工程师学会研究期刊的目标和范围一致。
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引用次数: 0
Application research of SSA-RF model in predicting the height of water-conducting fracture zone in deep and thick coal seams SSA-RF模型在深厚煤层导水裂隙带高度预测中的应用研究
IF 4.2 Pub Date : 2025-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.aiig.2025.100154
Li Wang , Jiming Zhu , Zhongchang Wang
The 91 measured values of the development height of the water-conducting fracture zone (WCFZ) in deep and thick coal seam mining faces under thick loose layer conditions were collected. Five key characteristic variables influencing the WCFZ height were identified. After removing outliers from the dataset, a Random Forest (RF) regression model optimized by the Sparrow Search Algorithm (SSA) was constructed. The hyperparameters of the RF model were iteratively optimized by minimizing the Out-of-Bag (OOB) error, resulting in the rapid determination of optimal parameters. Specifically, the SSA-RF model achieved an OOB error of 0.148, with 20 decision trees, a maximum depth of 8, a minimum split sample size of 2, and a minimum leaf node sample size of 1. Cross-validation experiments were performed using the trained optimal model and compared against other prediction methods. The results showed that the mining height had the most significant correlation with the development height of the WCFZ. The SSA-RF model outperformed all other models, with R2 values exceeding 0.9 across the training, validation, and test datasets. Compared to other models, the SSA-RF model demonstrates a simpler structure, stronger fitting capacity, higher predictive accuracy, and superior stability and generalization ability. It also exhibits the smallest variation in relative error across datasets, indicating excellent adaptability to different data conditions.Furthermore, a numerical model was developed using the hydrogeological data from the 1305 working face at Wanfukou Coal Mine, Shandong Province, China, to simulate the dynamic development of the WCFZ during mining. The SSA-RF model predicted the WCFZ height to be 69.7 m, closely aligning with the PFC2D simulation result of 65 m, with an error of less than 5 %. Compared to traditional methods and numerical simulations, the SSA-RF model provides more accurate predictions, showing only a 7.23 % deviation from the PFC2D simulation, while traditional empirical formulas yield deviations as large as 19.97 %. These results demonstrate the SSA-RF model's superior predictive capability, reinforcing its reliability and engineering applicability for real-world mining operations. This model holds significant potential for enhancing mining safety and optimizing planning processes, offering a more accurate and efficient approach for WCFZ height prediction.
收集了厚松散层条件下深厚煤层采煤工作面导水裂隙带发育高度的91个实测值。确定了影响WCFZ高度的5个关键特征变量。在剔除异常值后,构建了基于麻雀搜索算法(SSA)优化的随机森林(RF)回归模型。通过对模型的超参数进行迭代优化,最大限度地减少出袋误差,实现了最优参数的快速确定。具体而言,SSA-RF模型的OOB误差为0.148,决策树为20棵,最大深度为8,最小分裂样本量为2,最小叶节点样本量为1。利用训练好的最优模型进行交叉验证实验,并与其他预测方法进行对比。结果表明:采掘高度与西部断裂带发育高度的相关性最为显著;SSA-RF模型优于所有其他模型,在训练、验证和测试数据集上的R2值超过0.9。与其他模型相比,SSA-RF模型结构更简单,拟合能力更强,预测精度更高,稳定性和泛化能力更强。它还显示出数据集之间相对误差的最小变化,表明对不同数据条件的良好适应性。利用山东万福口煤矿1305工作面水文地质资料,建立了数值模型,模拟了开采过程中WCFZ的动态发展。SSA-RF模型预测WCFZ高度为69.7 m,与PFC2D模拟结果65 m基本吻合,误差小于5%。与传统方法和数值模拟相比,SSA-RF模型提供了更准确的预测,与PFC2D模拟的偏差仅为7.23%,而传统经验公式的偏差高达19.97%。这些结果表明,SSA-RF模型具有优越的预测能力,增强了其可靠性和对实际采矿作业的工程适用性。该模型在提高开采安全性和优化规划流程方面具有重要的潜力,为WCFZ高度预测提供了更准确、更有效的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Opportunities, epistemological assessment and potential risks of machine learning applications in volcano science 火山科学中机器学习应用的机会、认识论评估和潜在风险
IF 4.2 Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aiig.2025.100153
Mónica Ágreda-López, Maurizio Petrelli
This manuscript explores the opportunities and epistemological risks of using machine learning in the Earth sciences with a focus on igneous petrology and volcanology. It begins by highlighting the benefits of machine learning, particularly in automating tasks, enhancing modelling strategies, and accelerating knowledge discovery. However, the integration of machine learning into scientific research also introduces significant challenges. Key concerns include understanding what machine learning models learn, ensuring transparency, reproducibility, and improving model interpretability. These issues become especially critical in high-risk contexts such as volcanic hazard assessment, risk mitigation, and crisis management, where the reliance on machine learning outcomes can have profound consequences for human lives. The manuscript also introduces additional ethical considerations, such as the risk of over-reliance on machine learning models and the broader implications of geopolitical development plans, laws and regulations in the EU, China, and the US.
本文探讨了在地球科学中使用机器学习的机会和认识论风险,重点是火成岩岩石学和火山学。它首先强调了机器学习的好处,特别是在自动化任务、增强建模策略和加速知识发现方面。然而,将机器学习整合到科学研究中也带来了重大挑战。关键问题包括理解机器学习模型学习的内容,确保透明度、可再现性和提高模型的可解释性。在火山灾害评估、风险缓解和危机管理等高风险环境中,这些问题变得尤为重要,在这些环境中,对机器学习成果的依赖可能对人类生命产生深远的影响。该手稿还引入了额外的伦理考虑,例如过度依赖机器学习模型的风险,以及欧盟、中国和美国地缘政治发展计划、法律法规的更广泛影响。
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning assisted enhancement of petrophysical property dataset of fractured Variscan granites of the Cornubian Batholith, SW UK 机器学习辅助增强了英国西南部Cornubian岩基裂缝Variscan花岗岩的岩石物性数据集
IF 4.2 Pub Date : 2025-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.aiig.2025.100151
A. Turan , E. Artun , I. Sass
Outcrop analogue studies play an important role in advancing our comprehension of reservoir architectures, offering insights into hidden reservoir rocks prior to drilling, in a cost-effective manner. These studies contribute to the delineation of the three-dimensional geometry of geological structures, the characterization of petro- and thermo-physical properties, and the structural geological aspects of reservoir rocks. Nevertheless, several challenges, including inaccessible sampling sites, limited resources, and the dimensional constraints of different laboratories hinder the acquisition of comprehensive datasets. In this study, we employ machine learning techniques to estimate missing data in a petrophysical dataset of fractured Variscan granites from the Cornubian Batholith in Southwest UK. The utilization of mean, k-nearest neighbors, and random forest imputation methods addresses the challenge of missing data, thereby revealing the effectiveness of random forest imputation in providing realistic estimations. Subsequently, supervised classification models are trained to classify samples according to their pluton origins, with promising accuracy achieved by models trained with imputed values. Variable importance ranking of the models showed that the choice of imputation method influences the inferred importance of specific petrophysical properties. While porosity (POR) and grain density (GD) were among important variables, variables with high missingness ratio were not among the top variables. This study demonstrates the value of machine learning in enhancing petrophysical datasets, while emphasizing the importance of careful method selection and model validation for reliable results. The findings contribute to a more informed decision-making process in geothermal exploration and reservoir characterization efforts, thereby demonstrating the potential of machine learning in advancing subsurface characterization techniques.
露头模拟研究在提高我们对储层结构的理解方面发挥着重要作用,以经济有效的方式在钻探前提供对隐藏储层岩石的深入了解。这些研究有助于描绘地质构造的三维几何形状,表征石油和热物理性质,以及储层岩石的构造地质方面。然而,一些挑战,包括难以进入的采样地点、有限的资源和不同实验室的尺寸限制,阻碍了全面数据集的获取。在这项研究中,我们使用机器学习技术来估计英国西南部Cornubian岩基中裂缝Variscan花岗岩的岩石物理数据集中的缺失数据。利用均值、k近邻和随机森林插值方法解决了数据缺失的挑战,从而揭示了随机森林插值在提供现实估计方面的有效性。随后,训练监督分类模型,根据样本的岩体起源对样本进行分类,用输入值训练的模型取得了很好的精度。模型的不同重要性排序表明,计算方法的选择影响了具体岩石物性的推断重要性。孔隙度(POR)和颗粒密度(GD)是重要变量,缺失率高的变量不在重要变量之列。该研究证明了机器学习在增强岩石物理数据集方面的价值,同时强调了仔细选择方法和模型验证以获得可靠结果的重要性。这些发现有助于在地热勘探和储层表征工作中做出更明智的决策过程,从而展示了机器学习在推进地下表征技术方面的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding hydrological responses through LULC analysis and predictive modelling (MLPNN-MC Model): A study of Bandu Sub-watershed (India) over three decades 通过LULC分析和预测模型(MLPNN-MC模型)理解水文响应:印度班杜小流域30年的研究
IF 4.2 Pub Date : 2025-08-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.aiig.2025.100152
Sudipto Halder , Somnath Mandal , Zarkheen Mukhtar , Debdas Ray , Gupinath Bhandari , Suman Paul
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning applied to recognition of dinoflagellate cysts: Type study with the species Batioladinium longicornutum 机器学习应用于鞭毛囊肿的识别:长角Batioladinium的类型研究
IF 4.2 Pub Date : 2025-08-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.aiig.2025.100150
A. Sanches , B. Ağbulut , L. Castro , M. Vieira
This study explores the application of YOLOv10, a cutting-edge object detection framework, to automate the identification and classification of Batioladinium longicornutum. Utilizing a dataset of 137 annotated images, we trained and validated the model to distinguish B. longicornutum from other species with a mean Average Precision ([email protected]) of 62.0 %. The methodology incorporated robust data augmentation techniques and evaluation metrics, including precision-recall analysis, confusion matrices, and cross-validation. YOLOv10's architecture facilitated accurate feature extraction and efficient classification, even with a relatively small dataset. While this study focuses on species-level identification, future work will extend to morphological and preservation state classifications, offering broader applications in automated palynology. These findings demonstrate the potential of YOLOv10 to revolutionize taxonomic workflows and enhance the efficiency of paleontological research.
本研究探索应用前沿目标检测框架YOLOv10对长角锑进行自动识别和分类。利用137张带注释的图像数据集,我们训练并验证了该模型将长角草与其他物种区分开来,平均平均精度([email protected])为62.0%。该方法结合了强大的数据增强技术和评估指标,包括精确召回分析、混淆矩阵和交叉验证。YOLOv10的架构有助于准确的特征提取和有效的分类,即使是相对较小的数据集。虽然本研究主要集中在种水平的鉴定,但未来的工作将扩展到形态和保存状态分类,为自动孢粉学提供更广泛的应用。这些发现证明了YOLOv10在彻底改变分类学工作流程和提高古生物学研究效率方面的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Earthquake location and magnitude estimation using seismic arrival times pattern and gradient boosted decision trees 利用地震到达时间模式和梯度增强决策树进行地震定位和震级估计
IF 4.2 Pub Date : 2025-08-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.aiig.2025.100149
Saeed SoltaniMoghadam, Anooshiravan Ansari, Leila Etemadsaeed, Mohammad Tatar, Meysam Mahmoodabadi
We present a machine learning approach for earthquake location and magnitude estimation based on seismic arrival time patterns, using Histogram-Based Gradient Boosting for its high accuracy and computational efficiency. The model is first evaluated using a synthetic earthquake bulletin that simulates realistic network geometry, station-event distributions, and incorporates a 3D velocity model for accurate travel-time computation. Input features include P and S arrival times and amplitudes, while targets consist of location, origin time, magnitude, and uncertainty measures (horizontal and depth errors, azimuthal gap). Model performance is evaluated using R2, Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Median Absolute Error (MEDAE), demonstrating high accuracy across datasets with varying levels of completeness. Finally, we validate the model using real-world data from the Ahar-Varzaghan 2012 aftershock sequence in NW Iran. The model accurately recovers key spatial patterns of seismicity despite significant missing data, and the results align with previous high-resolution studies. These findings confirm that the proposed method generalizes well beyond synthetic settings and offers a fast, robust alternative for operational seismic networks and rapid hazard assessment.
我们提出了一种基于地震到达时间模式的地震定位和震级估计的机器学习方法,使用基于直方图的梯度增强,以获得高精度和计算效率。该模型首先使用合成地震公报进行评估,该公报模拟了真实的网络几何形状,站-事件分布,并结合了3D速度模型以进行精确的走时计算。输入特征包括P和S到达时间和振幅,而目标包括位置、起始时间、震级和不确定性测量(水平和深度误差、方位角差距)。使用R2、平均绝对误差(MAE)和中位数绝对误差(MEDAE)对模型性能进行评估,显示出不同完整性水平的数据集具有较高的准确性。最后,我们使用2012年伊朗西北部Ahar-Varzaghan余震序列的真实数据验证了该模型。该模型准确地恢复了地震活动的关键空间模式,尽管有大量的数据缺失,结果与以前的高分辨率研究一致。这些发现证实,所提出的方法远远超出了综合设置,并为操作地震网络和快速危害评估提供了一种快速、可靠的替代方案。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Artificial Intelligence in Geosciences
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