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Space–time prisms in multimodal supernetwork - Part 2: Application for analyses of accessibility and equality 多模态超网络中的时空棱镜。第2部分:可达性和平等性分析的应用
Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2022.100063
Jing Qin, Feixiong Liao

Space–time prism (STP) is a fundamental concept in time geography and has been predominately constructed in unimodal transportation networks. Due to the vast trip chaining options by private vehicles and public transportation, it was challenging to construct STP over multimodal transportation networks. We previously put forward an efficient method to narrow down the action space for trip chaining and construct STPs effectively in a multimodal supernetwork. This study applies multimodal STP modeling to measure space–time accessibility and equality of daily activity opportunities. Two equality measures (Gini coefficient and 20:20 ratio) are derived from two space–time accessibility measures based on delineated STPs. We examine the equality of access to shopping and leisure opportunities in the Rotterdam–The Hague metropolitan area, the Netherlands. The results show the effects of various factors on accessibility and equality. It is found that although the study area has relatively low inequality using single modes, multimodal trip chaining further reduces inequality to access the distributed space–time opportunities.

时空棱镜是时间地理学中的一个基本概念,在单式运输网络中占有主导地位。由于私家车和公共交通有大量的出行链选择,在多式联运网络中构建STP具有挑战性。在多模态超级网络中,我们提出了一种有效的方法来缩小行程链的行动空间并有效地构建stp。本研究采用多模态STP模型来衡量日常活动机会的时空可达性和平等性。基于所划分的stp,从两个时空可达性测度中得到两个平等测度(基尼系数和20:20比率)。我们研究了荷兰鹿特丹-海牙大都会区购物和休闲机会的平等程度。结果显示了各种因素对可及性和公平性的影响。研究发现,虽然研究区域在单模态下的不平等程度相对较低,但多模态出行链进一步降低了不平等程度,以获取分布式时空机会。
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引用次数: 8
Towards understanding network topology and robustness of logistics systems 了解网络拓扑结构和物流系统的稳健性
Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2022.100064
Takahiro Ezaki, Naoto Imura, Katsuhiro Nishinari

Advanced integration of logistics systems has been promoted for competitiveness and sustainability. Interconnection of transport operations increases complexity at a network level, which reduces the predictability of the response of the system to disruptions. However, our understanding of the behavior of such systems is still limited. In particular, the topology of the network, which changes as the systems are integrated, is an important factor that affects the performance of the entire system. Knowledge of such mechanisms would be useful in the design and evaluation of integrated logistics. Here, we developed a simple simulation framework for logistics networks that extracts the essence of the problem. We performed extensive numerical experiments for three scenarios that mimic changes in demand: (i) locally and temporally increased traffic demand, (ii) globally and temporally increased traffic demand, and (iii) permanent change in demand pattern, under various conditions on the type of route-finding algorithm, network structure, and transportation capacity. Adaptive route-finding algorithms were more effective in square lattice and random networks, which contained many bypass routes, than in hub-and-spoke networks. Furthermore, the square lattice and random networks were robust to the change in the demand. We suggest that such preferable properties are only present in networks with redundancy and that the bypass structure is an important criterion for designing network logistics. We also performed a realistic case study that mimics interregional truck transport in Japan and confirmed that our conclusions are applicable to a practical problem.

为了提高竞争力和可持续性,物流系统的先进整合得到了促进。运输业务的互连增加了网络层面的复杂性,这降低了系统对中断响应的可预测性。然而,我们对这类系统行为的理解仍然有限。特别是随着系统集成而变化的网络拓扑,是影响整个系统性能的重要因素。了解这种机制对综合物流的设计和评价是有用的。在这里,我们为物流网络开发了一个简单的模拟框架,提取了问题的本质。我们对模拟需求变化的三种情景进行了广泛的数值实验:(i)本地和暂时增加的交通需求,(ii)全球和暂时增加的交通需求,以及(iii)需求模式的永久变化,在不同条件下的寻路算法类型,网络结构和运输能力。自适应寻路算法在包含许多旁路的方形网格和随机网络中比在轮辐网络中更有效。此外,方阵和随机网络对需求的变化具有鲁棒性。我们认为这种优越的性质只存在于具有冗余的网络中,旁路结构是设计网络物流的一个重要标准。我们还进行了一个模拟日本区域间卡车运输的现实案例研究,并证实了我们的结论适用于一个实际问题。
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引用次数: 15
Data fusion and machine learning for ship fuel efficiency modeling: Part II – Voyage report data, AIS data and meteorological data 船舶燃油效率建模的数据融合和机器学习:第二部分-航行报告数据,AIS数据和气象数据
Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2022.100073
Yuquan Du , Yanyu Chen , Xiaohe Li , Alessandro Schönborn , Zhuo Sun

When voyage report data is utilized as the main data source for ship fuel efficiency analysis, its information on weather and sea conditions is often regarded as unreliable. To solve this issue, this study approaches AIS data to obtain the ship's actual detailed geographical positions along its sailing trajectory and then further retrieve the weather and sea condition information from publicly accessible meteorological data sources. These more reliable data about weather and sea conditions the ship sails through is fused into voyage report data in order to improve the accuracy of ship fuel consumption rate models. Eight 8100-TEU to 14,000-TEU containerships from a global shipping company were used in experiments. For each ship, nine datasets were constructed based on data fusion and eleven widely-adopted machine learning models were tested. Experimental results revealed the benefits of fusing voyage report data, AIS data, and meteorological data in improving the fit performances of machine learning models of forecasting ship fuel consumption rate. Over the best datasets, the performances of several decision tree-based models are promising, including Extremely randomized trees (ET), AdaBoost (AB), Gradient Tree Boosting (GB) and XGBoost (XG). With the best datasets, their R2 values over the training sets are all above 0.96 and mostly reach the level of 0.99–1.00, while their R2 values over the test sets are in the range from 0.75 to 0.90. Fit errors of ET, AB, GB, and XG on daily bunker fuel consumption, measured by RMSE and MAE, are usually between 0.8 and 4.5 ton/day. These results are slightly better than our previous study, which confirms the benefits of adopting the actual geographical positions of the ship recorded by AIS data, compared with the estimated geographical positions derived from the great circle route, in retrieving weather and sea conditions the ship sails through.

当航次报告数据作为船舶燃油效率分析的主要数据源时,其关于天气和海况的信息往往被认为是不可靠的。为了解决这一问题,本研究通过AIS数据获取船舶沿其航行轨迹的实际详细地理位置,并进一步从公开的气象数据源中检索天气和海况信息。为了提高船舶燃油消耗率模型的准确性,这些关于船舶所经过的天气和海况的更可靠的数据被融合到航次报告数据中。实验使用了一家国际航运公司的8艘8100teu至14000teu集装箱船。对于每艘船,基于数据融合构建了9个数据集,并测试了11个广泛采用的机器学习模型。实验结果表明,融合航次报告数据、AIS数据和气象数据可以提高船舶燃油消耗率预测机器学习模型的拟合性能。在最好的数据集上,几种基于决策树的模型,包括极端随机树(ET)、AdaBoost (AB)、梯度树增强(GB)和XGBoost (XG)的性能都很有希望。最好的数据集在训练集上的R2值都在0.96以上,大多达到0.99-1.00的水平,而在测试集上的R2值在0.75 - 0.90之间。通过RMSE和MAE测量的ET、AB、GB和XG对每日船用燃料消耗量的拟合误差通常在0.8 ~ 4.5吨/天之间。这些结果比我们之前的研究稍微好一些,这证实了采用AIS数据记录的船舶实际地理位置与从大圆航线获得的估计地理位置相比,在检索船舶航行时所经过的天气和海况方面的好处。
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引用次数: 0
Calibration and validation of matching functions for ride-sourcing markets 拼车市场匹配功能的校正和验证
Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2022.100058
Shuqing Wei , Siyuan Feng , Jintao Ke , Hai Yang

Ride-sourcing services have become increasingly important in meeting people's mobility needs since their emergence. Compared to traditional street-hailing taxi services, ride-sourcing services significantly reduce the matching frictions in the markets by matching drivers and passengers with relatively distant distances through an online platform. Motivated by this new feature as well as the need for designing operating and regulating strategies, researchers have attempted to describe these innovative ride-sourcing markets through mathematical models, the core of which is the matching functions for characterizing matching frictions. Previous studies have developed a variety of matching functions for ride-sourcing markets, including perfect matching function, Cobb-Douglas type matching function, queuing models, and some physical models. However, less is known about the applicability and performance of these matching functions, that is, under what situations each of these matching functions well characterizes the real market. To address this issue, this paper makes one of the first attempts to calibrate, validate, and compare the prevailing matching functions in the literature, and ascertain the conditions of their applicability. In particular, we establish a simulator to simulate a total of 420 scenarios of the ride-sourcing market under different combinations of supply and demand. The key performance metrics, including the matching rate in the market, passengers' average matching time, passengers' average pick-up time, and passengers' average total waiting time, are utilized to test and compare seven widely used matching functions under various market scenarios.

拼车服务自出现以来,在满足人们的出行需求方面变得越来越重要。与传统的网约车服务相比,网约车服务通过网络平台将距离相对较远的司机和乘客进行匹配,大大减少了市场上的匹配摩擦。基于这一新特征以及设计运营和监管策略的需要,研究人员试图通过数学模型来描述这些创新的叫车市场,其核心是描述匹配摩擦的匹配函数。以往的研究已经开发了各种各样的网约车市场匹配函数,包括完全匹配函数、柯布-道格拉斯型匹配函数、排队模型和一些物理模型。然而,我们对这些匹配函数的适用性和性能知之甚少,也就是说,这些匹配函数在什么情况下能够很好地表征真实的市场。为了解决这一问题,本文首次尝试校准、验证和比较文献中流行的匹配函数,并确定其适用性的条件。特别地,我们建立了一个模拟器,模拟了约车市场在不同供需组合下的420种场景。利用市场匹配率、乘客平均匹配时间、乘客平均上车时间和乘客平均总等待时间等关键性能指标,对七种广泛使用的匹配功能在不同市场场景下进行了测试和比较。
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引用次数: 0
Trip energy consumption estimation for electric buses 电动客车行程能耗估算
Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2022.100069
Jinhua Ji , Yiming Bie , Ziling Zeng , Linhong Wang

This study aims to develop a trip energy consumption (TEC) estimation model for the electric bus (EB) fleet planning, operation, and life-cycle assessment. Leveraging the vast variations of temperature in Jilin Province, China, real-world data of 31 ​EBs operating in 14 months were collected with temperatures fluctuating from −27.0 ​to 35.0 ​°C. TEC of an EB was divided into two parts, which are the energy required by the traction and battery thermal management system, and the energy required by the air conditioner (AC) system operation, respectively. The former was regressed by a logarithmic linear model with ambient temperature, curb weight, travel distance, and trip travel time as contributing factors. The optimum working temperature and regression parameters were obtained by combining Fibonacci and Weighted Least Square. The latter was estimated by the operation time of the AC system in cooling mode or heating mode. Model evaluation and sensitivity analysis were conducted. The results show that: (i) the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the proposed model is 12.108%; (ii) the estimation accuracy of the model has a probability of 99.7814% meeting the requirements of EB fleet scheduling; (iii) the MAPE has a 1.746% reduction if considering passengers’ boarding and alighting.

本研究旨在建立电动巴士(EB)车队规划、营运及生命周期评估之行程能耗(TEC)估算模型。利用中国吉林省温度的巨大变化,收集了31个EBs在14个月内运行的真实数据,温度在- 27.0至35.0°C之间波动。电动汽车的TEC分为牵引和电池热管理系统所需的能量和空调系统运行所需的能量两部分。前者以环境温度、整备重量、行程距离和行程时间为影响因素,采用对数线性模型进行回归。结合斐波那契和加权最小二乘法得到了最佳工作温度和回归参数。后者由空调系统在制冷模式或制热模式下的运行时间估算。进行了模型评价和敏感性分析。结果表明:(1)该模型的平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)为12.108%;(ii)模型的估计精度有99.7814%的概率满足EB车队调度的要求;(iii)如果考虑到乘客的上下,MAPE减少了1.746%。
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引用次数: 38
A topology-based bounded rationality day-to-day traffic assignment model 基于拓扑的有限理性日常流量分配模型
Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2022.100076
Enrico Siri, Silvia Siri, Simona Sacone

This paper analyzes the day-to-day adjustment process of users’ behaviors in a transport network which is affected by relevant alterations such as disruptions due to critical events which cause the impossibility to use one or more links. For representing the progressive adjustment of the flows on the network to reach a new equilibrium, a day-to-day discrete-time model is proposed, based on the idea that people are bounded rational in their choices, i.e. they often do not behave according to the optimal solution but they accept solutions they consider satisfying. Users, in their choice process, are influenced by the topological similarity between the route they are currently using and others. This means that they tend to prefer the solutions that are more similar to the one they are already using. In parallel, users exhibit a myopic behavior, i.e., they tend to overestimate the goodness of a route if, when using it, they suddenly experience a significant reduction in travel time compared to what they are used to. In the paper it is shown that such route choice behaviour implies that the steady state of the system corresponds to a Bounded Rational User Equilibrium, i.e., a state that does not diverge from the user equilibrium more than a certain value which increases when the relative importance given to the topological similarity grows. The model also assumes that these biases vanish, at least with respect to those routes that are most frequently used by users, after a sufficient amount of time. Under certain conditions, it is then shown that the steady state can eventually collapse into a User Equilibrium. The effectiveness of the proposed model is assessed via simulation results in which two test networks are analyzed in detail to show the evolution of the users’ behaviour in a transport network after a disruption.

本文分析了运输网络中用户行为的日常调整过程,该过程受到相关变化的影响,例如由于关键事件导致的中断,导致一个或多个链路无法使用。为了表示网络上流量的渐进调整以达到新的均衡,基于人们在选择中是有限理性的思想,即人们通常不会按照最优解行事,而是接受他们认为满意的解,提出了一个日常离散时间模型。用户在选择过程中,会受到当前使用的路由与其他路由拓扑相似性的影响。这意味着他们倾向于选择与他们正在使用的解决方案更相似的解决方案。与此同时,用户也会表现出一种短视的行为,即,当他们使用一条路线时,如果他们突然体验到与他们习惯的路线相比,旅行时间大幅减少,他们往往会高估路线的优点。本文证明了这种路径选择行为意味着系统的稳态对应于有界理性用户均衡,即当给定拓扑相似性的相对重要性增加时,系统的稳态不会偏离用户均衡超过某一值。该模型还假设,在足够长的时间后,这些偏差会消失,至少对于那些用户最常使用的路线来说是这样。在一定条件下,稳态最终会崩溃为用户平衡。通过仿真结果评估了所提出模型的有效性,其中详细分析了两个测试网络,以显示中断后运输网络中用户行为的演变。
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引用次数: 7
Investigating social media spatiotemporal transferability for transport 调查社交媒体的时空可转移性
Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2022.100081
Emmanouil Chaniotakis , Mohamed Abouelela , Constantinos Antoniou , Konstadinos Goulias

Social Media have increasingly provided data about the movement of people in cities making them useful in understanding the daily life of people in different geographies. Particularly useful for travel analysis is when Social Media users allow (voluntarily or not) tracing their movement using geotagged information of their communication with these online platforms. In this paper we use geotagged tweets from 10 cities in the European Union and United States of America to extract spatiotemporal patterns, study differences and commonalities among these cities, and explore the nature of user location recurrence. The analysis here shows the distinction between residents and tourists is fundamental for the development of city-wide models. Identification of repeated rates of location (recurrence) can be used to define activity spaces. Differences and similarities across different geographies emerge from this analysis in terms of local distributions but also in terms of the worldwide reach among the cities explored here. The comparison of the temporal signature between geotagged and non-geotagged tweets also shows similar temporal distributions that capture in essence city rhythms of tweets and activity spaces.

社交媒体越来越多地提供有关城市人口流动的数据,使其有助于了解不同地区人们的日常生活。当社交媒体用户允许(自愿或非自愿)使用他们与这些在线平台通信的地理标记信息追踪他们的活动时,对旅行分析特别有用。本文以欧盟和美国10个城市的地理标签推文为研究对象,提取推文的时空格局,研究推文的差异性和共性,探讨推文用户位置重复的本质。这里的分析表明,区分居民和游客是城市模式发展的基础。识别位置的重复率(重现率)可用于定义活动空间。不同地域之间的差异和相似之处不仅体现在本地分布上,也体现在这里探讨的城市的全球范围内。地理标记与非地理标记tweet的时间特征比较也显示出相似的时间分布,本质上捕获了tweet和活动空间的城市节奏。
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引用次数: 2
Optimality analysis of train platforming and routing with different interlocking modes 不同联锁方式下列车站台与路线优化分析
Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2022.100061
Yuan Wang, Xiaopeng Li

The train platforming and routing (TPR) problem is to decide train operations within stations after the network-wise train schedules are determined. A feasible TPR plan requires both platform and route conflict-free, where the avoidance of route conflict is controlled according to three interlocking modes. Although the TPR problem is widely studied, none of them did a serious investigation on the optimality impacts of different interlocking modes in the TPR. Therefore, this paper introduced and formulated a space–time version of TPR considering three interlocking modes and subsequentially conducted numerical experiments to analyze the optimality differences under each mode. Based on the experimental findings, engineering practical suggestions are also provided. In summary, the experiment results showed that both route-locking sectional-release and sectional-locking sectional-release modes significantly outperform the route-locking route-release mode. And among them, using the route-locking sectional-release mode can bring notable benefits on large stations with high-density volumes while using the sectional-locking sectional-release mode can always provide outstanding outcomes over various station and traffic settings.

列车站台与路线规划(TPR)问题是在路网列车时刻表确定后,决定车站内的列车运行。可行的TPR方案要求平台无冲突,路径无冲突,其中路径冲突的避免通过三种联锁方式进行控制。尽管对TPR问题的研究非常广泛,但没有人对TPR中不同联锁模式的最优性影响进行过认真的研究。因此,本文引入并制定了考虑三种互锁模式的时空版TPR,并进行了数值实验,分析了每种模式下的最优性差异。根据试验结果,提出了工程实用建议。综上所述,实验结果表明,路由锁定的路段释放和路段锁定的路段释放模式都明显优于路由锁定的路段释放模式。其中,采用路线锁定分段释放模式对大容量高密度站点的效益显著,而采用路段锁定分段释放模式在各种站点和流量设置下均能取得较好的效果。
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引用次数: 3
On the performance of shared autonomous bicycles: A simulation study 共享自主自行车性能的仿真研究
Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2022.100066
Naroa Coretti Sanchez , Iñigo Martinez , Luis Alonso Pastor , Kent Larson

As society faces global challenges such as population growth and climate change, rethinking cities is now more imperative than ever. The design of cities can not be abstracted from the design of their mobility systems. Therefore, efficient solutions must be found to transport people and goods throughout the city efficiently and ecologically. An autonomous bicycle-sharing system would combine the most relevant benefits of vehicle-sharing, autonomy, and micro-mobility, increasing the efficiency and convenience of bicycle-sharing systems and incentivizing more people to bike and enjoy their cities in an environmentally friendly way. Due to the novelty of introducing autonomous driving technology into bicycle-sharing systems and their inherent complexity, there is a need to quantify the potential impact of autonomy on fleet performance and user experience. This paper presents the results of an agent-based simulation that provides an in-depth understanding of the fleet behavior of autonomous bicycle-sharing systems in realistic scenarios, including a rebalancing system based on demand prediction. In addition, this work describes the impact of different parameters on system efficiency and service quality. Finally, it quantifies the extent to which an autonomous system would outperform current station-based and dockless bicycle-sharing schemes. The obtained results show that with a fleet size three and a half times smaller than a station-based system and eight times smaller than a dockless system, an autonomous system can improve overall performance and user experience even with no rebalancing.

随着社会面临人口增长和气候变化等全球性挑战,重新思考城市比以往任何时候都更加迫切。城市的设计不能从其交通系统的设计中抽象出来。因此,必须找到有效的解决方案,以高效和生态的方式在整个城市运输人员和货物。自动自行车共享系统将结合车辆共享、自主性和微机动性的最相关好处,提高自行车共享系统的效率和便利性,并激励更多的人骑自行车,以环保的方式享受他们的城市。由于将自动驾驶技术引入自行车共享系统的新颖性及其固有的复杂性,有必要量化自动驾驶对车队性能和用户体验的潜在影响。本文介绍了基于智能体的仿真结果,该仿真提供了对现实场景中自动自行车共享系统的车队行为的深入理解,包括基于需求预测的再平衡系统。此外,本文还描述了不同参数对系统效率和服务质量的影响。最后,它量化了自动系统比当前基于站点和无桩的自行车共享计划的表现要好到什么程度。获得的结果表明,车队规模比基于站点的系统小3.5倍,比无码头系统小8倍,即使不进行再平衡,自治系统也可以提高整体性能和用户体验。
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引用次数: 8
Why are COVID-19 travel bubbles a tightrope walk? An investigation based on the Trans-Tasmanian case 为什么COVID-19旅行泡沫像走钢丝一样?根据跨塔斯马尼亚的案子进行调查
Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2022.100089
Xiaoqian Sun , Sebastian Wandelt , Anming Zhang

The COVID-19 pandemic has hit the transportation sector hard; particularly air transportation, as a major mode of long-distance transportation, has been affected tremendously. Since the dawn of COVID-19, politicians and policy makers have discussed the idea of introducing travel bubbles between countries (or counties), to allow for a continued exchange of people and goods. The eponymous Trans-Tasmanian travel bubble is a major example, involving quarantine-free travel between Australia and New Zealand. While both countries have tried to form a travel bubble various times, recurring setbacks and difficulties were faced. In October 2021, this ambitious project presumably has come to an end, with both countries announcing the essential capitulation of their COVIDZero strategies and a planned opening towards broader international travel. In this study, we perform a close investigation of the history behind the Trans-Tasmanian travel bubble as an on-off relationship, identifying a set of drivers for the serious problems involving a sustainable setup and operation. We develop a framework which represents important factors for successful travel bubbles and believe that the satisfaction of all factors at once is extremely challenging. Our results and insights are not specific to the Trans-Tasmanian case only, although it is taken as a running example, but can be generalized to various scales and environments. We hope that our study contributes to the literature by improving our understanding of the highly buzzed travel bubble concept, while providing empirical evidence for the troubles that inherently make such bubbles a tightrope walk.

新冠肺炎疫情对运输业造成了沉重打击;尤其是航空运输,作为长途运输的主要方式,受到了极大的影响。自新冠肺炎爆发以来,政治家和政策制定者一直在讨论在国家(或县)之间引入旅行泡沫的想法,以允许人员和货物的持续交换。同名的跨塔斯马尼亚旅行泡沫就是一个主要例子,涉及澳大利亚和新西兰之间的免隔离旅行。尽管两国多次试图形成旅游泡沫,但都面临着反复出现的挫折和困难。2021年10月,这一雄心勃勃的项目可能已经结束,两国都宣布基本放弃其新冠清零战略,并计划向更广泛的国际旅行开放。在这项研究中,我们对跨塔斯马尼亚旅行泡沫背后的历史进行了密切调查,将其视为一种分分合的关系,确定了一组涉及可持续设置和运营的严重问题的驱动因素。我们制定了一个框架,代表了成功旅游泡沫的重要因素,并认为同时满足所有因素是极具挑战性的。我们的结果和见解不仅针对跨塔斯马尼亚州的案例,尽管它是一个运行的例子,但可以推广到各种规模和环境。我们希望,我们的研究能够通过提高我们对高度流行的旅游泡沫概念的理解,为文献做出贡献,同时为使这种泡沫走钢丝的内在问题提供经验证据。
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引用次数: 0
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