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Next leap in the sustainable transport revolution: Identifying gaps and proposing solutions for hydrogen mobility 可持续交通革命的下一个飞跃:确定差距并提出氢交通的解决方案
IF 12.5 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2025.100180
Fangjie Liu , Muhammad Shafique , Xiaowei Luo
Amid escalating global climate concerns, the reliance of the transportation sector on high-carbon fossil fuels urgently demands sustainable alternatives. Hydrogen has emerged as a potent solution because of its zero-emission usage, but its overall impact hinges on its full life cycle, which this review comprehensively examines. This article delves into the environmental, economic, and safety dimensions of hydrogen as an alternative fuel by systematically reviewing the life cycle assessment (LCA) literature across the production, storage, delivery, and usage phases, with a focus on electrolysis and natural gas reforming methods, among others. A key insight from this study is the critical importance of considering the entire delivery system holistically rather than isolating the delivery phase. Many studies have overlooked two important aspects: first, the distribution of hydrogen as a product itself is often underemphasized; second, the integration of storage and delivery (the “storage-delivery nexus”) is crucial since separating them can lead to misleading conclusions about cost and emissions. For example, while certain delivery methods may appear cost-effective, their associated storage processes (such as hydrogenation and dehydrogenation in liquid organic hydrogen carrier systems) can have significant emission impacts. To address these gaps, this study introduces a novel “surface-level” LCA framework to enhance the assessment of the environmental impacts of hydrogen, promoting a more integrated understanding of the storage-delivery system. This framework aims to provide more accurate insights into hydrogen's life cycle, thereby facilitating better-informed policy-making and technological advancements. This study underscores the imperative for robust policy support, public engagement, and continuous innovation to overcome these barriers, advocating for strategic initiatives that bolster the sustainability and adoption of hydrogen mobility, particularly in hydrogen fuel cell vehicles (HFCVs).
随着全球气候担忧的加剧,交通运输部门对高碳化石燃料的依赖迫切需要可持续的替代品。氢已经成为一种强有力的解决方案,因为它的零排放使用,但它的整体影响取决于它的整个生命周期,这篇综述全面考察了。本文通过系统地回顾生产、储存、输送和使用阶段的生命周期评估(LCA)文献,重点讨论了电解和天然气重整方法等,深入研究了氢作为替代燃料的环境、经济和安全方面的问题。从这项研究中得出的一个关键见解是,从整体上考虑整个交付系统而不是孤立地考虑交付阶段是至关重要的。许多研究忽视了两个重要方面:首先,氢作为产品本身的分布往往被低估;其次,储存和运输的整合(“储存-运输联系”)是至关重要的,因为将它们分开可能会导致关于成本和排放的误导性结论。例如,虽然某些输送方法可能看起来具有成本效益,但它们相关的储存过程(例如液体有机氢载体系统中的加氢和脱氢)可能会对排放产生重大影响。为了解决这些差距,本研究引入了一种新的“表面水平”LCA框架,以加强对氢的环境影响的评估,促进对储存-输送系统的更综合的理解。该框架旨在为氢的生命周期提供更准确的见解,从而促进更明智的政策制定和技术进步。这项研究强调了强有力的政策支持、公众参与和持续创新的必要性,以克服这些障碍,倡导采取战略举措,加强氢交通的可持续性和采用,特别是在氢燃料电池汽车(HFCVs)方面。
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引用次数: 0
Urban rail transit resilience under different operation schemes: A percolation-based approach 不同运营方案下的城市轨道交通弹性:基于渗流的方法
IF 12.5 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2025.100177
Tianlei Zhu , Xin Yang , Yun Wei , Anthony Chen , Jianjun Wu
To assess the resilience of urban rail transit (URT) systems under various operational conditions accurately and enhance their operation, this study develops a percolation model for nonfree flow transportation networks on the basis of percolation theory, which integrates multisource information and operational characteristics. Our model accounts for the state evolution of different hierarchical structures within the network and identifies nonlinear features. Specifically, we observed significant percolation transitions in the URT network, with distinct differences in critical percolation thresholds at different times, leading to multistate behavior. Network bottlenecks spatially shift with network phase transitions, exhibiting power-law frequency characteristics. On the basis of the full-day resilience assessment results, we analyzed the impact of different operational schemes on network resilience during the morning peak, the period with the lowest resilience. The results demonstrate that our resilience analysis framework effectively evaluates URT network resilience, providing theoretical support for enhancing operational management efficiency and accident prevention measures.
为准确评估城市轨道交通系统在不同运行条件下的弹性,提高其运行能力,基于渗流理论,综合多源信息和运行特征,建立了非自由流交通网络渗流模型。我们的模型考虑了网络中不同层次结构的状态演化,并识别了非线性特征。具体而言,我们观察到URT网络中存在显著的渗透转变,不同时间的关键渗透阈值存在明显差异,导致多状态行为。网络瓶颈在空间上随网络相变而变化,表现出幂律频率特性。在全天弹性评估结果的基础上,分析了在弹性最低的早高峰时段,不同运行方案对网络弹性的影响。结果表明,本文提出的弹性分析框架能够有效地评价轨道交通网络弹性,为提高运营管理效率和事故预防措施提供理论支持。
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引用次数: 0
Perception strategies in low-altitude transportation: Single aircraft autonomous system vs. aircraft-ground-cloud integration system 低空运输中的感知策略:单架飞机自主系统与飞机-地面-云集成系统
IF 14.5 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2025.100208
Yuhao Wang , Kai Wang , Jing Gong , Xiaobo Qu
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引用次数: 0
FollowGen: A scaled noise conditional diffusion model for car-following trajectory prediction FollowGen:一种用于汽车跟随轨迹预测的尺度噪声条件扩散模型
IF 14.5 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2025.100215
Junwei You , Rui Gan , Weizhe Tang , Zilin Huang , Jiaxi Liu , Zhuoyu Jiang , Haotian Shi , Keshu Wu , Keke Long , Sicheng Fu , Sikai Chen , Bin Ran
Vehicle trajectory prediction is critical for advancing autonomous driving and advanced driver assistance systems (ADASs). Deep learning-based approaches, especially those using transformer-based and generative models, have significantly improved prediction accuracy by capturing complex, non-linear patterns in vehicle dynamics and traffic interactions. However, they often overlook detailed car-following behaviors and the inter-vehicle interactions essential for real-world driving, particularly in fully autonomous or mixed traffic scenarios. Moreover, existing generative approaches in trajectory prediction are inefficient at conditioning predictions on relevant constraints. To address these issues, this study proposes FollowGen, a novel scaled noise conditional diffusion model for car-following trajectory prediction. FollowGen incorporates detailed inter-vehicular interactions and car-following dynamics within a generative framework, enhancing both the accuracy and realism of the predicted trajectories. The model uses a novel pipeline to capture historical vehicle behaviors. It leverages a noise scaling conditioning strategy to scale the noise with encoded historical features within the forward diffusion process to ensure history-constrained noise transformation. A cross-attention-based transformer architecture is employed in the reverse process to model intricate inter-vehicle dependencies, effectively guiding the denoising process and enhancing prediction accuracy. Experimental results in various real-world driving scenarios demonstrate the state-of-the-art performance and robustness of the proposed method.
车辆轨迹预测对于推进自动驾驶和高级驾驶辅助系统(ADASs)至关重要。基于深度学习的方法,特别是那些使用基于变压器和生成模型的方法,通过捕获车辆动力学和交通相互作用中的复杂非线性模式,显著提高了预测精度。然而,他们往往忽略了详细的汽车跟随行为和车辆之间的互动,这对现实世界的驾驶至关重要,特别是在完全自动驾驶或混合交通场景中。此外,现有的轨迹预测生成方法在相关约束条件下的预测效率较低。为了解决这些问题,本研究提出了一种新型的缩放噪声条件扩散模型FollowGen,用于汽车跟随轨迹预测。FollowGen在生成框架内整合了详细的车辆间交互和车辆跟随动力学,提高了预测轨迹的准确性和真实感。该模型使用一种新颖的管道来捕获历史车辆行为。它利用噪声缩放调节策略在正向扩散过程中对具有编码历史特征的噪声进行缩放,以确保受历史约束的噪声转换。在反向过程中采用了基于交叉注意力的变压器结构,对复杂的车辆间依赖关系进行建模,有效地指导了去噪过程,提高了预测精度。各种真实驾驶场景的实验结果证明了该方法的性能和鲁棒性。
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引用次数: 0
Domain-enhanced dual-branch model for efficient and interpretable accident anticipation 面向高效可解释事故预测的领域增强双分支模型
IF 14.5 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2025.100214
Yanchen Guan , Haicheng Liao , Chengyue Wang , Bonan Wang , Jiaxun Zhang , Jia Hu , Zhenning Li
Developing precise and computationally efficient traffic accident anticipation system is crucial for contemporary autonomous driving technologies, enabling timely intervention and loss prevention. In this study, we propose an accident anticipation framework employing a dual-branch architecture that effectively integrates visual information from dashcam videos with structured textual data derived from accident reports. Furthermore, we introduce a feature aggregation method that facilitates seamless integration of multimodal inputs through large models (GPT-4o, Long-CLIP), complemented by targeted prompt engineering strategies to produce actionable feedback and standardized accident archives. Comprehensive evaluations conducted on benchmark datasets (Dashcam Accidents Dataset (DAD), Car Crash Dataset (CCD), and AnAn Accident Detection (A3D)) validate the superior predictive accuracy, enhanced responsiveness, reduced computational overhead, and improved interpretability of our approach, thus establishing a new benchmark for state-of-the-art performance in traffic accident anticipation.
开发精确且计算效率高的交通事故预测系统对于当代自动驾驶技术至关重要,可以及时干预和预防损失。在这项研究中,我们提出了一个采用双分支架构的事故预测框架,该框架有效地集成了来自行车记录仪视频的视觉信息和来自事故报告的结构化文本数据。此外,我们还引入了一种特征聚合方法,通过大型模型(gpt - 40、Long-CLIP)促进多模式输入的无缝集成,并辅以有针对性的快速工程策略,以产生可操作的反馈和标准化的事故档案。在基准数据集(行车记录仪事故数据集(DAD)、汽车碰撞数据集(CCD)和AnAn事故检测(A3D)上进行的综合评估验证了我们的方法具有卓越的预测准确性、增强的响应能力、减少的计算开销以及改进的可解释性,从而为交通事故预测的最先进性能建立了新的基准。
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引用次数: 0
Interpretable machine learning for traffic congestion prediction: Unveiling the impact of different COVID-19 periods 交通拥堵预测的可解释机器学习:揭示不同COVID-19时期的影响
IF 14.5 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2025.100226
Dan Zhu , ChiSin Ng , Litian Xie , Yang Liu
Traffic congestion prediction plays a crucial role in mitigating congestion. However, the COVID-19 pandemic and associated government control measures have significantly altered urban travel behavior, increasing the complexity of traffic congestion prediction. This study aims to predict traffic congestion in Alameda County in the San Francisco Bay Area, USA, during the prelockdown, lockdown, and postlockdown periods. We incorporate three external categories of data, i.e., weather conditions, seasonality factors, and COVID-19-related variables, and use recursive feature elimination with cross-validation to identify important features across different periods and avoid potential overfitting. On this basis, multiple advanced machine learning (ML) models, including support vector regression (SVR), multiple linear regression (MLR), recurrent neural network (RNN), and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, are trained and optimized through extensive experimentation and parameter tuning. Since LSTM has more hyperparameters and is more sensitive to tuning than the other ML methods used, we employ an adaptive parameter selection approach to optimize its hyperparameters, enhancing model accuracy and efficiency, rather than manually tuning parameters for SVR and RNN. These models are evaluated via the normalized root mean square error. The results indicate that the bidirectional LSTM (Bi-LSTM) consistently outperforms the other models across all COVID-19 periods. This superior performance can be attributed to the Bi-LSTM's bidirectional architecture, which effectively captures temporal dependencies by analyzing data both forward and backward in time. To address the limited interpretability of ML methods and provide valuable insights, we apply the integrated gradient (IG) technique to interpret the best-performing and differentiable Bi-LSTM predictions. Our analysis revealed that new COVID-19 cases had a negative influence on traffic congestion during the lockdown and postlockdown periods. The observed reduction in traffic can be explained by heightened public risk awareness, voluntary reductions in travel, and compliance with government-imposed mobility restrictions. We also apply SHapley Additive exPlanations to SVR, given that IG is not applicable to this model. The results indicate that in the postpandemic period, people have become more cautious—high new hospitalization discourages travel, reducing traffic congestion, whereas high fuel prices do not deter a shift toward private vehicle use, leading to increased congestion.
交通拥堵预测在缓解交通拥堵中起着至关重要的作用。然而,新冠肺炎大流行和相关政府控制措施显著改变了城市出行行为,增加了交通拥堵预测的复杂性。本研究旨在预测美国旧金山湾区阿拉米达县在封城前、封城后和封城后的交通拥堵情况。我们纳入了天气条件、季节性因素和covid -19相关变量这三种外部数据类别,并使用递归特征消除和交叉验证来识别不同时期的重要特征,避免潜在的过拟合。在此基础上,通过广泛的实验和参数调整,训练和优化多个高级机器学习(ML)模型,包括支持向量回归(SVR)、多元线性回归(MLR)、循环神经网络(RNN)和长短期记忆(LSTM)网络。由于LSTM具有更多的超参数,并且比使用的其他ML方法对调谐更敏感,我们采用自适应参数选择方法来优化其超参数,提高模型的精度和效率,而不是手动调整SVR和RNN的参数。这些模型通过标准化均方根误差进行评估。结果表明,双向LSTM (Bi-LSTM)在所有COVID-19期间的表现始终优于其他模型。这种优越的性能可以归因于Bi-LSTM的双向架构,该架构通过在时间上向前和向后分析数据来有效地捕获时间依赖性。为了解决机器学习方法的有限可解释性并提供有价值的见解,我们应用集成梯度(IG)技术来解释性能最佳且可微的Bi-LSTM预测。我们的分析显示,新冠肺炎病例对封锁期间和封锁后的交通拥堵产生了负面影响。观察到的交通量减少可以通过提高公众风险意识、自愿减少旅行以及遵守政府施加的流动限制来解释。考虑到IG不适用于该模型,我们还将SHapley Additive explanation应用于SVR。结果表明,在大流行后时期,人们变得更加谨慎——高新增住院率阻碍了出行,减少了交通拥堵,而高油价并没有阻止人们转向使用私家车,导致交通拥堵加剧。
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引用次数: 0
Cross-city transfer learning: Applications and challenges for smart cities and sustainable transportation 跨城市迁移学习:智慧城市和可持续交通的应用与挑战
IF 14.5 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2025.100206
Ying Yang , Jiahao Zhan , Yang Liu , Qi Wang
Cross-city transfer learning (CCTL) has emerged as a crucial approach for managing the growing complexity of urban data and addressing the challenges posed by rapid urbanization. This paper provides a comprehensive review of recent advances in CCTL, with a focus on its applications in urban computing tasks, including prediction, detection, and deployment. We examine the role of CCTL in facilitating policy adaptation and influencing behavioral change. Specifically, we provide a systematic overview of widely used datasets, including traffic sensor data, GPS trajectory data, online social network data, and map data. Furthermore, we conduct an in-depth analysis of methods and evaluation metrics employed across different CCTL-based urban computing tasks. Finally, we emphasize the potential of cross-city policy transfer in promoting low-carbon and sustainable urban development. This review aims to serve as a reference for future urban development research and promote the practical implementation of CCTLs.
跨城市迁移学习(CCTL)已成为管理日益复杂的城市数据和应对快速城市化带来的挑战的关键方法。本文全面回顾了CCTL的最新进展,重点介绍了CCTL在城市计算任务中的应用,包括预测、检测和部署。我们研究了CCTL在促进政策适应和影响行为改变方面的作用。具体而言,我们提供了广泛使用的数据集的系统概述,包括交通传感器数据,GPS轨迹数据,在线社交网络数据和地图数据。此外,我们对不同基于cctl的城市计算任务所采用的方法和评估指标进行了深入分析。最后,我们强调跨城市政策转移在促进低碳和可持续城市发展方面的潜力。本文旨在为未来城市发展研究提供参考,并促进cctl的实际实施。
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引用次数: 0
SAFER-predictor: Sparse adversarial training framework for robust traffic prediction under missing and noisy data SAFER-predictor:稀疏对抗训练框架,用于缺失和噪声数据下的鲁棒交通预测
IF 12.5 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2025.100192
Yutian Liu , Chengfeng Jia , Soora Rasouli , Jian Gong , Tao Feng , Melvin Wong , Tianjin Huang
Accurate traffic flow forecasting is essential for developing intelligent transportation systems (ITSs) to reduce congestion, optimize road management, and improve safety. While data-driven traffic prediction approaches have shown high accuracy, they rely heavily on precise measurements, making them vulnerable to perturbed environmental factors, like sensor malfunctions, data storage issues, and adverse weather conditions. To overcome the limitation, we propose SAFER-Predictor, a novel sparse adversarial training (Sparse AT) framework for enhancing the reliability of deep learning based spatiotemporal traffic prediction models. Sparse AT extends traditional adversarial training (AT) through a two-phase process: pre-training and fine-tuning. In the pre-training phase, the model is optimized to capture normal traffic patterns, enhancing predictive performance by understanding standard dynamics without external disruptions. In the fine-tuning phase, the focus shifts to strengthening robustness against corrupted inputs by employing an iterative min-max strategy during AT, optimizing performance for worst-case scenarios. Furthermore, we derive theoretical formulations that establish an upper bound on the model's prediction error following Sparse AT under certain noise levels. Experimental results indicate that incorporating Sparse AT into the representative traffic flow prediction models improves stability and ensures high accuracy under various perturbation scenarios.
准确的交通流量预测对于发展智能交通系统(ITSs)以减少拥堵、优化道路管理和提高安全性至关重要。虽然数据驱动的交通预测方法显示出很高的准确性,但它们严重依赖于精确的测量,这使得它们容易受到环境因素的干扰,如传感器故障、数据存储问题和恶劣天气条件。为了克服这一限制,我们提出了一种新的稀疏对抗训练(sparse AT)框架SAFER-Predictor,用于提高基于深度学习的时空交通预测模型的可靠性。稀疏AT通过两个阶段的过程扩展了传统的对抗训练(AT):预训练和微调。在预训练阶段,优化模型以捕获正常的交通模式,通过理解标准动态而不受外部干扰来提高预测性能。在微调阶段,重点转移到通过在AT期间采用迭代最小-最大策略来增强对损坏输入的鲁棒性,优化最坏情况下的性能。此外,我们推导了理论公式,在一定的噪声水平下建立了稀疏AT模型预测误差的上界。实验结果表明,将稀疏AT引入代表性的交通流预测模型中,提高了模型的稳定性,保证了模型在各种扰动情况下的高精度。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic roles of female scholars in steering transportation research agendas 女性学者在引导交通研究议程中的战略作用
IF 12.5 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2025.100198
Mingyang Pei , Zisen Lin , Xiao Fu , Xin Pei
In recent years, female scientists have contributed to advancements in the transportation sector through technological innovation and unique perspectives, playing pivotal roles across various domains of the field. This study analyzes 54,511 publications from 20 Science Citation Index (SCI) Q1 transportation journals (2014–2024), encompassing over 100,000 scholars, to advance the understanding of the status of female scientists in transportation academia. Female authors constitute only 22.91% of first authors and 20.86% of corresponding authors, revealing persistent underrepresentation despite incremental progress in mixed-gender collaborations. This study uses a mixed-methods framework that includes data mining, the mean normalized log-transformed citation score (MNLCS), probabilistic gender identification, keyword co-occurrence, and clustering analysis to investigate macrolevel trends and longitudinally compare four collaboration modes. The key findings include that (1) mixed-gender teams exhibit significant growth, with MNLCS exceeding single-gender teams by 0.048–0.067, and (2) female-led collaborations exhibit a stronger tendency to drive sustained exploration in research fields. These findings support gender-equality policies and guide early-career scholars in collaboration strategies and frontier tracking, promoting inclusive development in transportation research.
近年来,女性科学家通过技术创新和独特的视角为交通运输领域的进步做出了贡献,在该领域的各个领域发挥了关键作用。本研究分析了2014-2024年间20种SCI Q1交通期刊的54,511篇论文,涵盖10万多名学者,旨在提高对女性科学家在交通学界地位的认识。女性作者仅占第一作者的22.91%和通讯作者的20.86%,尽管混合性别合作取得了渐进式的进展,但女性作者的比例仍然不足。本研究采用混合方法框架,包括数据挖掘、平均归一化日志转换引文评分(MNLCS)、概率性别识别、关键词共现和聚类分析,研究宏观层面的趋势,并纵向比较四种协作模式。主要发现包括:(1)混合性别团队呈现显著增长,MNLCS比单一性别团队高出0.048-0.067;(2)女性领导的合作在推动研究领域的持续探索方面表现出更强的趋势。这些研究结果支持性别平等政策,并指导早期职业学者制定合作战略和前沿跟踪,促进交通研究的包容性发展。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating spatial-temporal risk maps with candidate trajectory trees for explainable autonomous driving planning 将时空风险图与候选轨迹树相结合,实现可解释的自动驾驶规划
IF 12.5 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.commtr.2025.100161
Qiyuan Liu , Jiawei Zhang , Jingwei Ge , Cheng Chang , Zhiheng Li , Shen Li , Li Li
With increasing public concern about autonomous vehicles, there is a growing demand for developing explainable autonomous driving planning technology. Traditional risk field methods use handcrafted potential field models to explain driving risks in a scenario. When explaining highly interactive scenarios, such prior knowledge-based methods still lack flexibility, leading to insufficient interpretability. In this study, we first propose the concept of a risk map that can be seen as a discrete, ego vehicle's view form of the risk field. We then design an explainable trajectory planning framework that integrates risk maps with the candidate trajectory tree generated by trajectory prediction models. We further filter safe candidate trajectories from the tree on the basis of their cumulative risks in the risk maps and then select the optimal trajectory to execute by balancing other driving objectives. The validation results in various real-world scenarios demonstrate that our method can generate understandable risk maps and explain the risk differences between trajectories. Open-loop experiments show our model's advantages in terms of safety and efficiency for the trajectory planning task. An analysis of runtime demonstrated its potential for real-world applications.
随着公众对自动驾驶汽车的关注日益增加,开发可解释的自动驾驶规划技术的需求日益增长。传统的风险场方法使用手工制作的势场模型来解释场景中的驱动风险。在解释高度交互的场景时,这种基于知识的先验方法仍然缺乏灵活性,导致可解释性不足。在这项研究中,我们首先提出了风险图的概念,它可以被看作是风险场的离散的、自我载体的视图形式。然后,我们设计了一个可解释的轨迹规划框架,该框架将风险图与由轨迹预测模型生成的候选轨迹树相结合。我们进一步根据风险图中的累积风险从树中筛选安全候选轨迹,然后通过平衡其他驱动目标来选择执行的最佳轨迹。在各种现实场景中的验证结果表明,我们的方法可以生成可理解的风险图,并解释轨迹之间的风险差异。开环实验表明,该模型在求解轨迹规划任务的安全性和效率方面具有优势。对运行时的分析展示了它在实际应用程序中的潜力。
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