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Stability prediction of roadway surrounding rock using INGO-RF 利用 INGO-RF 预测路基围岩的稳定性
Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ghm.2024.07.002
Xinchao Cui , Hongfei Duan , Wei Wang , Yun Qi , Kailong Xue , Qingjie Qi
In order to more accurately classify the stability of roadway surrounding rock and identify dangerous areas in a timely manner to prevent roadway collapse and other disasters, this study proposes an Improved Northern Gok algorithm (INGO) and Random Forest (RF) roadway surrounding rock stability prediction model. This model combines the improved INGO-RF based on the analysis of influencing factors of roadway surrounding rock stability. First, three strategies were employed to enhance the Northern Gob algorithm (NGO): logistic chaotic mapping, refraction reverse learning, and improved sine and cosine. Subsequently, INGO was utilized to optimize the number of decision trees and the minimum number of leaf nodes for RF species in order to improve the prediction accuracy of RF. Secondly, a data set consisting of 34 groups of roadway surrounding rock data is selected. The input indexes of the model include the roof strength, two-wall strength, floor strength, burial depth, roadway pillar width, ratio of direct roof thickness to mining height, and surrounding rock integrity. Meanwhile, surrounding rock stability is considered as the output index. Particle swarm optimization backpropagation neural network (PSO-BPNN), genetic algorithm optimization support vector machine (GA-SVM), Sparrow Search Algorithm optimization RF (SSA-RF) models were introduced to compare the predictive results with the INGO-RF model, and the results showed that: INGO-RF model has the best performance in the comparison of various performance indicators; compared with other models, the accuracy rate (Ac) in the test set has increased by 0.12–0.40, the accuracy rate (Pr) has increased by 0.07–0.65, and the recall rate (Re) has increased by 0.08–0.37; the harmonic mean (F1-Score) of the recall rate increased by 0.08–0.52, the mean absolute error (MAE) decreased by 0.1428–0.4285, the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) decreased by 7.15%–28.57 ​%, and the root mean square error (RMSE) decreased by 0.1565–0.3779; and finally, the data on surrounding rock conditions of roadways in multiple mining areas in Shanxi Province were collected to test the INGO-RF model. The results indicate that the predicted outcomes closely align with the actual results, demonstrating a certain level of reliability and stability, which can better meet the practical needs of engineering and avoid the occurrence of mine disasters.
{"title":"Stability prediction of roadway surrounding rock using INGO-RF","authors":"Xinchao Cui ,&nbsp;Hongfei Duan ,&nbsp;Wei Wang ,&nbsp;Yun Qi ,&nbsp;Kailong Xue ,&nbsp;Qingjie Qi","doi":"10.1016/j.ghm.2024.07.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ghm.2024.07.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In order to more accurately classify the stability of roadway surrounding rock and identify dangerous areas in a timely manner to prevent roadway collapse and other disasters, this study proposes an Improved Northern Gok algorithm (INGO) and Random Forest (RF) roadway surrounding rock stability prediction model. This model combines the improved INGO-RF based on the analysis of influencing factors of roadway surrounding rock stability. First, three strategies were employed to enhance the Northern Gob algorithm (NGO): logistic chaotic mapping, refraction reverse learning, and improved sine and cosine. Subsequently, INGO was utilized to optimize the number of decision trees and the minimum number of leaf nodes for RF species in order to improve the prediction accuracy of RF. Secondly, a data set consisting of 34 groups of roadway surrounding rock data is selected. The input indexes of the model include the roof strength, two-wall strength, floor strength, burial depth, roadway pillar width, ratio of direct roof thickness to mining height, and surrounding rock integrity. Meanwhile, surrounding rock stability is considered as the output index. Particle swarm optimization backpropagation neural network (PSO-BPNN), genetic algorithm optimization support vector machine (GA-SVM), Sparrow Search Algorithm optimization RF (SSA-RF) models were introduced to compare the predictive results with the INGO-RF model, and the results showed that: INGO-RF model has the best performance in the comparison of various performance indicators; compared with other models, the accuracy rate (<em>Ac</em>) in the test set has increased by 0.12–0.40, the accuracy rate (<em>Pr</em>) has increased by 0.07–0.65, and the recall rate (<em>Re</em>) has increased by 0.08–0.37; the harmonic mean (<em>F</em><sub>1</sub>-<em>Score</em>) of the recall rate increased by 0.08–0.52, the mean absolute error (MAE) decreased by 0.1428–0.4285, the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) decreased by 7.15%–28.57 ​%, and the root mean square error (RMSE) decreased by 0.1565–0.3779; and finally, the data on surrounding rock conditions of roadways in multiple mining areas in Shanxi Province were collected to test the INGO-RF model. The results indicate that the predicted outcomes closely align with the actual results, demonstrating a certain level of reliability and stability, which can better meet the practical needs of engineering and avoid the occurrence of mine disasters.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100580,"journal":{"name":"Geohazard Mechanics","volume":"2 4","pages":"Pages 270-278"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141840165","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Optimization design method of 2D+3D slope shape for landslide prevention in open-pit coal mine 露天煤矿预防滑坡的 2D + 3D 坡形优化设计方法
Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ghm.2024.05.004
Jinlong Gao , Shihui Wang , Luqing Ye , Juyu Jiang , Jianxiong Sun
In order to improve the stability of the slope and prevent the occurrence of landslide disaster, this study took the east slope of the first mining area of Zhundong Open-pit Coal Mine as the engineering background, and used a combination of the two-dimensional limit equilibrium method and three-dimensional numerical simulation to optimize the shape of the east slope. By selecting a typical calculation profile based on the Bishop method and the residual thrust method in the two-dimensional rigid body limit equilibrium method, this research carried out the stability analysis of the profile slope, and preliminarily designed the slope shape of the profile position meeting the requirements of the safety reserve coefficient and stripping ratio. Based on the three-dimensional finite element strength reduction method, this paper investigated the reasonably change of the width of the transport plate to solve the problem of the slope shape that does not meet the requirements of safety reserve coefficient and stripping ratio, and established a three-dimensional numerical simulation model of various schemes. It also studied the influence of different tracking distances and slope angles on slope stability, calculated the three-dimensional stability of the slope under different spatial forms, then determined the optimal tracking distance and optimal slope angle, and further optimize the slope stability and stripping ratio. The results show that: when the width of the transport plate of the DBS3 section slope is 8 ​m, it does not meet the requirement of safety reserve coefficient 1.2; when the width of the transport plate is set to 24 ​m, it meets the requirement of a safety reserve coefficient of 1.2 and an economic stripping ratio of not more than 8.0 m3/t. The three-dimensional numerical simulation results concluded that the optimal tracking distance on the east side is 50 ​m, and the optimal slope angle is 35°. After the optimization design of a two-dimensional and three-dimensional slope shape, 2.456 million tons of coal resources were mined, creating a profit of about 21.1268 million yuan. It not only prevents landslide disasters, but also further improve the recovery rate of coal resources.
{"title":"Optimization design method of 2D+3D slope shape for landslide prevention in open-pit coal mine","authors":"Jinlong Gao ,&nbsp;Shihui Wang ,&nbsp;Luqing Ye ,&nbsp;Juyu Jiang ,&nbsp;Jianxiong Sun","doi":"10.1016/j.ghm.2024.05.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ghm.2024.05.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In order to improve the stability of the slope and prevent the occurrence of landslide disaster, this study took the east slope of the first mining area of Zhundong Open-pit Coal Mine as the engineering background, and used a combination of the two-dimensional limit equilibrium method and three-dimensional numerical simulation to optimize the shape of the east slope. By selecting a typical calculation profile based on the Bishop method and the residual thrust method in the two-dimensional rigid body limit equilibrium method, this research carried out the stability analysis of the profile slope, and preliminarily designed the slope shape of the profile position meeting the requirements of the safety reserve coefficient and stripping ratio. Based on the three-dimensional finite element strength reduction method, this paper investigated the reasonably change of the width of the transport plate to solve the problem of the slope shape that does not meet the requirements of safety reserve coefficient and stripping ratio, and established a three-dimensional numerical simulation model of various schemes. It also studied the influence of different tracking distances and slope angles on slope stability, calculated the three-dimensional stability of the slope under different spatial forms, then determined the optimal tracking distance and optimal slope angle, and further optimize the slope stability and stripping ratio. The results show that: when the width of the transport plate of the DBS3 section slope is 8 ​m, it does not meet the requirement of safety reserve coefficient 1.2; when the width of the transport plate is set to 24 ​m, it meets the requirement of a safety reserve coefficient of 1.2 and an economic stripping ratio of not more than 8.0 m3/t. The three-dimensional numerical simulation results concluded that the optimal tracking distance on the east side is 50 ​m, and the optimal slope angle is 35°. After the optimization design of a two-dimensional and three-dimensional slope shape, 2.456 million tons of coal resources were mined, creating a profit of about 21.1268 million yuan. It not only prevents landslide disasters, but also further improve the recovery rate of coal resources.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100580,"journal":{"name":"Geohazard Mechanics","volume":"2 4","pages":"Pages 236-243"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141279356","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Indirect evaluation of the influence of rock boulders in blasting to the geohazard: Unearthing geologic insights fused with tree seed based LSTM algorithm
Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ghm.2024.06.001
Blessing Olamide Taiwo , Shahab Hosseini , Yewuhalashet Fissha , Kursat Kilic , Omosebi Akinwale Olusola , N. Sri Chandrahas , Enming Li , Adams Abiodun Akinlabi , Naseer Muhammad Khan
Effective control of blasting outcomes depends on a thorough understanding of rock geology and the integration of geological characteristics with blast design parameters. This study underscores the importance of adapting blast design parameters to geological conditions to optimize the utilization of explosive energy for rock fragmentation. To achieve this, data on fifty geo-blast design parameters were collected and used to train machine learning algorithms. The objective was to develop predictive models for estimating the blast oversize percentage, incorporating seven controlled components and one uncontrollable index. The study employed a combination of hybrid long-short-term memory (LSTM), support vector regression, and random forest algorithms. Among these, the LSTM model enhanced with the tree seed algorithm (LSTM-TSA) demonstrated the highest prediction accuracy when handling large datasets. The LSTM-TSA soft computing model was specifically leveraged to optimize various blast parameters such as burden, spacing, stemming length, drill hole length, charge length, powder factor, and joint set number. The estimated percentage oversize values for these parameters were determined as 0.7 ​m, 0.9 ​m, 0.65 ​m, 1.4 ​m, 0.7 ​m, 1.03 ​kg/m3, 35 ​%, and 2, respectively. Application of the LSTM-TSA model resulted in a significant 28.1 ​% increase in the crusher's production rate, showcasing its effectiveness in improving blasting operations.
{"title":"Indirect evaluation of the influence of rock boulders in blasting to the geohazard: Unearthing geologic insights fused with tree seed based LSTM algorithm","authors":"Blessing Olamide Taiwo ,&nbsp;Shahab Hosseini ,&nbsp;Yewuhalashet Fissha ,&nbsp;Kursat Kilic ,&nbsp;Omosebi Akinwale Olusola ,&nbsp;N. Sri Chandrahas ,&nbsp;Enming Li ,&nbsp;Adams Abiodun Akinlabi ,&nbsp;Naseer Muhammad Khan","doi":"10.1016/j.ghm.2024.06.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ghm.2024.06.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Effective control of blasting outcomes depends on a thorough understanding of rock geology and the integration of geological characteristics with blast design parameters. This study underscores the importance of adapting blast design parameters to geological conditions to optimize the utilization of explosive energy for rock fragmentation. To achieve this, data on fifty geo-blast design parameters were collected and used to train machine learning algorithms. The objective was to develop predictive models for estimating the blast oversize percentage, incorporating seven controlled components and one uncontrollable index. The study employed a combination of hybrid long-short-term memory (LSTM), support vector regression, and random forest algorithms. Among these, the LSTM model enhanced with the tree seed algorithm (LSTM-TSA) demonstrated the highest prediction accuracy when handling large datasets. The LSTM-TSA soft computing model was specifically leveraged to optimize various blast parameters such as burden, spacing, stemming length, drill hole length, charge length, powder factor, and joint set number. The estimated percentage oversize values for these parameters were determined as 0.7 ​m, 0.9 ​m, 0.65 ​m, 1.4 ​m, 0.7 ​m, 1.03 ​kg/m<sup>3</sup>, 35 ​%, and 2, respectively. Application of the LSTM-TSA model resulted in a significant 28.1 ​% increase in the crusher's production rate, showcasing its effectiveness in improving blasting operations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100580,"journal":{"name":"Geohazard Mechanics","volume":"2 4","pages":"Pages 244-257"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143235551","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Technical management practice of rock burst prevention and control: A case study of Yankuang Energy Group Co., Ltd.
Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ghm.2024.05.003
Shitan Gu , Chao Wang , Wenshuai Li , Bing Gui , Bangyou Jiang , Ting Ren , Zhimin Xiao
To ensure the on-site implementation of regulations and technical measures for rock burst prevention and control, this study takes Yankuang Energy Group Co., Ltd. as an example, establishes an on-site technical management system for preventing and controlling rock burst in coal mines. This on-site technical management system is based on the principles of zero rock burst accident, graded management and control, general manager and chief engineer responsibility, as well as scientific, systematic, streamlined, and efficient management. This system includes a technical management system and an on-site management mode, among which the former includes an organizational system, an institutional system, a technical data management system, and a comprehensive supervision and management system. The on-site management mode includes five aspects and six links. The construction of an on-site technical management system for rock burst prevention and control can ensure the timely detection and rectification of problems, remove management loopholes, and prevent the occurrence of rock burst disasters.
{"title":"Technical management practice of rock burst prevention and control: A case study of Yankuang Energy Group Co., Ltd.","authors":"Shitan Gu ,&nbsp;Chao Wang ,&nbsp;Wenshuai Li ,&nbsp;Bing Gui ,&nbsp;Bangyou Jiang ,&nbsp;Ting Ren ,&nbsp;Zhimin Xiao","doi":"10.1016/j.ghm.2024.05.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ghm.2024.05.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>To ensure the on-site implementation of regulations and technical measures for rock burst prevention and control, this study takes Yankuang Energy Group Co., Ltd. as an example, establishes an on-site technical management system for preventing and controlling rock burst in coal mines. This on-site technical management system is based on the principles of zero rock burst accident, graded management and control, general manager and chief engineer responsibility, as well as scientific, systematic, streamlined, and efficient management. This system includes a technical management system and an on-site management mode, among which the former includes an organizational system, an institutional system, a technical data management system, and a comprehensive supervision and management system. The on-site management mode includes five aspects and six links. The construction of an on-site technical management system for rock burst prevention and control can ensure the timely detection and rectification of problems, remove management loopholes, and prevent the occurrence of rock burst disasters.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100580,"journal":{"name":"Geohazard Mechanics","volume":"2 4","pages":"Pages 225-235"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143235548","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Leveraging artificial neural networks for robust landslide susceptibility mapping: A geospatial modeling approach in the ecologically sensitive Nilgiri District, Tamil Nadu 利用人工神经网络绘制可靠的滑坡易发性地图:泰米尔纳德邦生态敏感的尼尔吉里地区的地理空间建模方法
Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ghm.2024.07.001
Aneesah Rahaman , Abhishek Dondapati , Stutee Gupta , Raveena Raj
Landslides pose a significant threat to the lives and livelihoods of marginalised communities residing in rural areas and the delicate ecological balance of the environment. Implementing advanced technologies is crucial for improving hazard risk assessment and enhancing preparedness measures in regions characterised by diverse topography and complex geological formations. Geospatial applications and modelling techniques have emerged as indispensable in mitigating landslide risks, particularly in environmentally sensitive areas. This study presents a comprehensive approach to landslide susceptibility mapping in the Nilgiri District of Tamil Nadu, India, leveraging the power of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) and integrating multi-dimensional geospatial datasets. Integrating ANN-based modelling and geospatial techniques offers significant advantages in terms of statistical robustness, reproducibility, and the ability to analyze the complex interplay of factors influencing landslide hazards quantitatively. The methodology involves rigorous pre-processing and integrating spatial data, including landslide event occurrences as the dependent variable and ten independent parameters influencing landslide susceptibility. These parameters encompass elevation, slope aspect, slope degree, distance to roads, land use patterns, geomorphology, lithology, drainage density, lineament density, and rainfall distribution. Feature extraction and selection techniques are employed to effectively model the complex interactions between these factors and landslide occurrences. This process identifies the most relevant variables influencing landslide susceptibility, enhancing the model's predictive capabilities. The state-of-the-art ANNs are trained using historical landslide occurrence data and the selected influencing factors, enabling the development of a robust and accurate landslide susceptibility model. The performance of the developed model is rigorously evaluated using a comprehensive suite of metrics, including accuracy, precision, and the Area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve. Preliminary results indicate that the ANN-based landslide susceptibility model outperforms traditional zonation methods, demonstrating higher accuracy and reliability in predicting landslide-prone areas. The resulting Landslide Susceptibility Map (LSM) categorises the study area into five distinct hazard zones, ranging from very high (664.1 ​km2), high (598.9 ​km2), moderate (639.7 ​km2), low (478.9 ​km2) and to very low (170.9 ​km2). Notably, the eastern and central regions of the district emerge as particularly vulnerable to landslide occurrences. The study's findings have far-reaching implications for disaster risk reduction efforts, land-use planning, and sustainable development strategies in the ecologically sensitive Nilgiri District and beyond.
{"title":"Leveraging artificial neural networks for robust landslide susceptibility mapping: A geospatial modeling approach in the ecologically sensitive Nilgiri District, Tamil Nadu","authors":"Aneesah Rahaman ,&nbsp;Abhishek Dondapati ,&nbsp;Stutee Gupta ,&nbsp;Raveena Raj","doi":"10.1016/j.ghm.2024.07.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ghm.2024.07.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Landslides pose a significant threat to the lives and livelihoods of marginalised communities residing in rural areas and the delicate ecological balance of the environment. Implementing advanced technologies is crucial for improving hazard risk assessment and enhancing preparedness measures in regions characterised by diverse topography and complex geological formations. Geospatial applications and modelling techniques have emerged as indispensable in mitigating landslide risks, particularly in environmentally sensitive areas. This study presents a comprehensive approach to landslide susceptibility mapping in the Nilgiri District of Tamil Nadu, India, leveraging the power of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) and integrating multi-dimensional geospatial datasets. Integrating ANN-based modelling and geospatial techniques offers significant advantages in terms of statistical robustness, reproducibility, and the ability to analyze the complex interplay of factors influencing landslide hazards quantitatively. The methodology involves rigorous pre-processing and integrating spatial data, including landslide event occurrences as the dependent variable and ten independent parameters influencing landslide susceptibility. These parameters encompass elevation, slope aspect, slope degree, distance to roads, land use patterns, geomorphology, lithology, drainage density, lineament density, and rainfall distribution. Feature extraction and selection techniques are employed to effectively model the complex interactions between these factors and landslide occurrences. This process identifies the most relevant variables influencing landslide susceptibility, enhancing the model's predictive capabilities. The state-of-the-art ANNs are trained using historical landslide occurrence data and the selected influencing factors, enabling the development of a robust and accurate landslide susceptibility model. The performance of the developed model is rigorously evaluated using a comprehensive suite of metrics, including accuracy, precision, and the Area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve. Preliminary results indicate that the ANN-based landslide susceptibility model outperforms traditional zonation methods, demonstrating higher accuracy and reliability in predicting landslide-prone areas. The resulting Landslide Susceptibility Map (LSM) categorises the study area into five distinct hazard zones, ranging from very high (664.1 ​km<sup>2</sup>), high (598.9 ​km<sup>2</sup>), moderate (639.7 ​km<sup>2</sup>), low (478.9 ​km<sup>2</sup>) and to very low (170.9 ​km<sup>2</sup>). Notably, the eastern and central regions of the district emerge as particularly vulnerable to landslide occurrences. The study's findings have far-reaching implications for disaster risk reduction efforts, land-use planning, and sustainable development strategies in the ecologically sensitive Nilgiri District and beyond.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100580,"journal":{"name":"Geohazard Mechanics","volume":"2 4","pages":"Pages 258-269"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141847337","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prediction of coal and gas outburst hazard using kernel principal component analysis and an enhanced extreme learning machine approach
Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ghm.2024.09.002
Kailong Xue , Yun Qi , Hongfei Duan , Anye Cao , Aiwen Wang
In order to enhance the accuracy and efficiency of coal and gas outburst prediction, a novel approach combining Kernel Principal Component Analysis (KPCA) with an Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm (IWOA) optimized extreme learning machine (ELM) is proposed for precise forecasting of coal and gas outburst disasters in mines. Firstly, based on the influencing factors of coal and gas outburst disasters, nine coupling indexes are selected, including gas pressure, geological structure, initial velocity of gas emission, and coal structure type. The correlation between each index was analyzed using the Pearson correlation coefficient matrix in SPSS 27, followed by extraction of the principal components of the original data through Kernel Principal Component Analysis (KPCA). The Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) was enhanced by incorporating adaptive weight, variable helix position update, and optimal neighborhood disturbance to augment its performance. The improved Whale Optimization Algorithm (IWOA) is subsequently employed to optimize the weight ф of the Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) input layer and the threshold g of the hidden layer, thereby enhancing its predictive accuracy and mitigating the issue of "over-fitting" associated with ELM to some extent. The principal components extracted by KPCA were utilized as input, while the outburst risk grade served as output. Subsequently, a comparative analysis was conducted between these results and those obtained from WOA-SVC, PSO-BPNN, and SSA-RF models. The IWOA-ELM model accurately predicts the risk grade of coal and gas outburst disasters, with results consistent with actual situations. Compared to other models tested, the model's performance showed an increase in Ac by 0.2, 0.3, and 0.2 respectively; P increased by 0.15, 0.2167, and 0.1333 respectively; R increased by 0.25, 0.3, and 0.2333 respectively; F1-Score increased by 0.2031, 0.2607, and 0.1864 respectively; Kappa coefficient k increased by 0.3226, 0.4762 and 0.3175, respectively. The practicality and stability of the IWOA-ELM model were verified through its application in a coal mine in Shanxi Province where the predicted values exactly matched the actual values. This indicates that this model is more suitable for predicting coal and gas outburst disaster risks.
{"title":"Prediction of coal and gas outburst hazard using kernel principal component analysis and an enhanced extreme learning machine approach","authors":"Kailong Xue ,&nbsp;Yun Qi ,&nbsp;Hongfei Duan ,&nbsp;Anye Cao ,&nbsp;Aiwen Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.ghm.2024.09.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ghm.2024.09.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In order to enhance the accuracy and efficiency of coal and gas outburst prediction, a novel approach combining Kernel Principal Component Analysis (KPCA) with an Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm (IWOA) optimized extreme learning machine (ELM) is proposed for precise forecasting of coal and gas outburst disasters in mines. Firstly, based on the influencing factors of coal and gas outburst disasters, nine coupling indexes are selected, including gas pressure, geological structure, initial velocity of gas emission, and coal structure type. The correlation between each index was analyzed using the Pearson correlation coefficient matrix in SPSS 27, followed by extraction of the principal components of the original data through Kernel Principal Component Analysis (KPCA). The Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) was enhanced by incorporating adaptive weight, variable helix position update, and optimal neighborhood disturbance to augment its performance. The improved Whale Optimization Algorithm (IWOA) is subsequently employed to optimize the weight <em>ф</em> of the Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) input layer and the threshold <em>g</em> of the hidden layer, thereby enhancing its predictive accuracy and mitigating the issue of \"over-fitting\" associated with ELM to some extent. The principal components extracted by KPCA were utilized as input, while the outburst risk grade served as output. Subsequently, a comparative analysis was conducted between these results and those obtained from WOA-SVC, PSO-BPNN, and SSA-RF models. The IWOA-ELM model accurately predicts the risk grade of coal and gas outburst disasters, with results consistent with actual situations. Compared to other models tested, the model's performance showed an increase in <em>Ac</em> by 0.2, 0.3, and 0.2 respectively; <em>P</em> increased by 0.15, 0.2167, and 0.1333 respectively; <em>R</em> increased by 0.25, 0.3, and 0.2333 respectively; <em>F</em><sub>1</sub><em>-Score</em> increased by 0.2031, 0.2607, and 0.1864 respectively; Kappa coefficient <em>k</em> increased by 0.3226, 0.4762 and 0.3175, respectively. The practicality and stability of the IWOA-ELM model were verified through its application in a coal mine in Shanxi Province where the predicted values exactly matched the actual values. This indicates that this model is more suitable for predicting coal and gas outburst disaster risks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100580,"journal":{"name":"Geohazard Mechanics","volume":"2 4","pages":"Pages 279-288"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143235280","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Development of a portable coal rock charge monitoring instrument and its application for rockburst control 开发便携式煤岩装药监测仪器及其在岩爆控制中的应用
Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ghm.2024.08.001
Gang Wang , Hongrui Zhao , Lianpeng Dai , Haojun Wang , Jinguo Lyu , Jianzhuo Zhang
Effective monitoring techniques and equipment are essential for the prevention and control of coal and rock dynamic disasters such as rockburst. Based on the fact that there is charge generation during deformation and rupture of coal rock body and the charge signals contain a large amount of information about the mechanical process of deformation and rupture of coal rock, the rockburst charge sensing monitoring technology has been formed. In order to improve the charge sensing technology for monitoring and early warning of rockburst disasters, this paper develops a new generation of portable coal rock charge monitoring instrument on the basis of the original instrument and carries out laboratory and underground field application. The primary advancement involves enhancing the external structure of the sensor and increasing the charge sensing area, which can more comprehensively capture the charge signals from the loaded rupture of the coal rock body. The overall structure of the data acquisition instrument has been improved, the monitoring channels have been increased, and the function of displaying the monitoring data curve has been added, so that the coal and rock body force status can be grasped in time. The results of the experimental study show that the abnormal charge signals can be monitored during the rupture process of rock samples under loading, and the monitored charge signals are in good agreement with the sudden change of stress in the rock samples and the formation of crack extension. There is a precursor charge signal before the stress mutation, and the larger the loading rate is, the earlier the precursor charge signal appears. The charge monitoring instrument can monitor the charge signal of the coal seam roadway under strong mining pressure. In the zone of elevated overburden pressure, the amount of induced charge is large, and anomalously high value charge signals can be monitored when a coal shot occurs. The change trend of the charge at different measuring points of strike and inclination has a good consistency with the distribution of overrunning support pressure and lateral support pressure, which can reflect the stress distribution and the degree of stress concentration of the coal body through the size and location of the charge, foster early warning and analysis of rockburst, and provide target guidance for the prevention and control of rockburst.
有效的监测技术和设备对于预防和控制岩爆等煤岩动力灾害至关重要。基于煤岩体变形破裂过程中会产生电荷,而电荷信号中蕴含着煤岩变形破裂力学过程的大量信息,形成了岩爆电荷传感监测技术。为了完善岩爆灾害监测预警的电荷传感技术,本文在原有仪器的基础上,研制了新一代便携式煤岩电荷监测仪器,并进行了实验室和井下现场应用。其主要进步在于改进了传感器的外部结构,增大了电荷感应面积,可以更全面地捕捉煤岩体加载破裂产生的电荷信号。改进了数据采集仪的整体结构,增加了监测通道,并增加了监测数据曲线显示功能,以便及时掌握煤岩体受力状况。实验研究结果表明,在岩样受载破裂过程中,可以监测到异常电荷信号,监测到的电荷信号与岩样应力突变、裂纹扩展形成的情况吻合较好。在应力突变之前有一个前驱电荷信号,加载速率越大,前驱电荷信号出现得越早。电荷监测仪可监测强采压下煤层巷道的电荷信号。在覆岩压力较高的区域,诱导电荷量较大,当发生喷煤时,可监测到异常高值的电荷信号。不同走向和倾角测点的电荷量变化趋势与超前支护压力和侧向支护压力的分布具有良好的一致性,可以通过电荷量的大小和位置反映煤体的应力分布和应力集中程度,促进岩爆预警和分析,为岩爆防治提供针对性指导。
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引用次数: 0
Bayesian optimization-enhanced ensemble learning for the uniaxial compressive strength prediction of natural rock and its application 用于天然岩石单轴抗压强度预测的贝叶斯优化增强集合学习及其应用
Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ghm.2024.05.002
Engineering disasters, such as rockburst and collapse, are closely related to structural instability caused by insufficient bearing capacity of geological materials. Uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) holds considerable significance in rock engineering projects. Consequently, this study endeavors to devise efficient models for the expeditious and economical estimation of UCS. Using a dataset of 729 samples, including the Schmidt hammer rebound number, P-wave velocity, and point load index data, we evaluated six algorithms, namely Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Random Forest (RF), and Extra Trees (ET) and utilized Bayesian Optimization (BO) to optimize the aforementioned algorithms. Moreover, we applied model evaluation metrics such as Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Variance Accounted For (VAF), Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), Weighted Mean Absolute Percentage Error (WMAPE), Coefficient of Correlation (R), and Coefficient of Determination (R2). Among the six models, BO-ET emerged as the most optimal performer during training (RMSE ​= ​4.5042, MAE ​= ​3.2328, VAF ​= ​0.9898, NSE ​= ​0.9898, WMAPE ​= ​0.0538, R ​= ​0.9955, R2 ​= ​0.9898) and testing (RMSE ​= ​4.8234, MAE ​= ​3.9737, VAF ​= ​0.9881, NSE ​= ​0.9875, WMAPE ​= ​0.2515, R ​= ​0.9940, R2 ​= ​0.9875) phases. Additionally, we conducted a systematic comparison between ensemble and traditional single machine learning models such as decision tree, support vector machine, and K-Nearest Neighbors, thus highlighting the advantages of ensemble learning. Furthermore, the enhancement effect of BO on generalization performance was assessed. Finally, a BO-ET-based Graphical User Interface (GUI) system was developed and validated in a Tunnel Boring Machine-excavated tunnel.
岩爆和坍塌等工程灾害与地质材料承载能力不足造成的结构失稳密切相关。单轴抗压强度(UCS)在岩石工程项目中具有相当重要的意义。因此,本研究致力于设计有效的模型,以快速、经济地估算单轴抗压强度。我们利用包括施密特锤回弹数、P 波速度和点荷载指数数据在内的 729 个样本数据集,评估了六种算法,即自适应提升(AdaBoost)、梯度提升决策树(GBDT)、极端梯度提升(XGBoost)、轻梯度提升机(LightGBM)、随机森林(RF)和额外树(ET),并利用贝叶斯优化(BO)对上述算法进行了优化。此外,我们还应用了均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)、方差占比(VAF)、纳什-苏特克利夫效率(NSE)、加权平均绝对百分比误差(WMAPE)、相关系数(R)和决定系数(R2)等模型评估指标。在六个模型中,BO-ET 在训练中表现最佳(RMSE = 4.5042,MAE = 3.2328,VAF = 0.9898,NSE = 0.9898,WMAPE = 0.0538,R = 0.9955,R2 = 0.9898)和测试(RMSE = 4.8234,MAE = 3.9737,VAF = 0.9881,NSE = 0.9875,WMAPE = 0.2515,R = 0.9940,R2 = 0.9875)阶段。此外,我们还对集合学习模型和传统的单一机器学习模型(如决策树、支持向量机和 K-Nearest Neighbors)进行了系统比较,从而突出了集合学习的优势。此外,还评估了 BO 对泛化性能的增强效果。最后,开发了基于 BO-ET 的图形用户界面(GUI)系统,并在隧道掘进机开挖的隧道中进行了验证。
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引用次数: 0
Attenuation of blast-induced vibration on tunnel structures 隧道结构爆破引起的振动衰减
Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ghm.2024.04.002
The blast-induced vibration during excavation by drilling and blasting method has an important impact on the surrounding structures. In particular, with the development of tunnel engineering, the impact of blasting vibration on tunnel construction has attracted extensive attention. In this paper, the propagation attenuation characteristics of blast-induced vibration (PPV, peak particle velocity) on different tunnel structures were systematically studied based on the field monitoring data. Initially, the attenuation characteristics of blasting vibration PPV on the lower bench surface, the side wall of the excavated tunnel and the closely spaced adjacent tunnel were investigated. Subsequently, the capacity of several widely utilized empirical prediction equations to estimate the PPV on tunnel structures was examined, along with a comparative analysis of their prediction accuracy. The research findings indicate that it is feasible to predict the PPV on the tunnel structures using empirical equations. The attenuation characteristics of blasting vibration PPV are different in different structures and directions. The prediction accuracy of the empirical equations varies, while the discrepancies are minimal. The principal variation among these equations lies in the site-specific coefficients k, β, λ, highlighting the differential impact of structural and directional considerations on the predictive efficacy. Based on the empirical equation and safe PPV provided by the blasting vibration safe standards on tunnels of China (GB6722-2014), and considering the influence of all structures and directions, it is determined that the safe distance of blasting vibration in the tested tunnel project should be larger than 20.28–18.31 ​m, 18.31–16.16 ​m, and 16.16–13.75 ​m for blasting vibration frequency located in ≤10 ​Hz, 10–50 ​Hz, and >50 ​Hz.
在采用钻爆法进行开挖时,爆破引起的振动会对周围结构产生重要影响。特别是随着隧道工程的发展,爆破振动对隧道施工的影响引起了广泛关注。本文根据现场监测数据,系统研究了爆破引起的振动(PPV,峰值颗粒速度)在不同隧道结构上的传播衰减特性。首先,研究了爆破振动 PPV 在下台面、已开挖隧道侧壁和相邻密排隧道上的衰减特性。随后,研究了几种广泛使用的经验预测方程估算隧道结构 PPV 的能力,并对其预测精度进行了比较分析。研究结果表明,使用经验公式预测隧道结构的 PPV 是可行的。爆破振动 PPV 的衰减特性在不同结构和方向上是不同的。经验公式的预测精度各不相同,但差异很小。这些方程之间的主要差异在于特定场地的系数 k、β、λ,突出了结构和方向因素对预测效果的不同影响。根据经验公式和中国隧道爆破振动安全标准(GB6722-2014)提供的安全PPV,并考虑所有结构和方向的影响,确定试验隧道工程爆破振动频率位于≤10 Hz、10-50 Hz和>50 Hz时,爆破振动安全距离应大于20.28-18.31 m、18.31-16.16 m和16.16-13.75 m。
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引用次数: 0
Fluid-driven fault nucleation, rupture processes, and permeability evolution in oshima granite — Preliminary results and acoustic emission datasets 大岛花岗岩中流体驱动的断层成核、破裂过程和渗透率演化--初步结果和声发射数据集
Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ghm.2024.04.003
Xinglin Lei
This study investigated the fault nucleation and rupture processes driven by stress and fluid pressure in fine-grained granite by monitoring acoustic emissions (AEs). Through detailed analysis of the spatiotemporal distribution of the AE hypocenter, P-wave velocity, stress-strain, and other experimental observation data under different confining pressures for stress-driven fractures and under different water injection conditions for fluid-driven fractures, it was found that fluid has the following effects: 1) complicating the fault nucleation process, 2) exhibiting episodic AE activity corresponding to fault branching and the formation of multiple faults, 3) extending the spatiotemporal scale of nucleation processes and pre-slip, and 4) reducing the dynamic rupture velocity and stress drop. The experiments also show that 1) during the fault nucleation process, the b-value for AEs changes from 1 to 1.3 to 0.5 before dynamic rupture, and then rapidly recovers to around 1–1.2 during aftershock activity and 2) the hydraulic diffusivity gradually increases from an initial pre-rupture order of 0.1 ​m2/s to 10–100 ​m2/s after dynamic rupture. These results provide a reasonable fault pre-slip model, indicating that hydraulic fracturing promotes shear slip before dynamic rupture, as well as laboratory-scale insights into ensuring the safety and effectiveness of hydraulic fracturing operations related to activities such as geothermal development, evaluating the seismic risk induced by water injection, and further researching the precursory preparation process for deep fluid-driven or fluid-involved natural earthquakes. The publicly available dataset is expected to be used for various purposes, including 1) as training data for artificial intelligence related to microseismic data processing and analysis, 2) predicting the remaining time before rock fractures, and 3) establishing models and assessment methods for the relationship between microseismic characteristics and rock hydraulic properties, which will deepen our understanding of the interaction mechanisms between fluid migration and rock deformation and fracture.
本研究通过监测声发射(AEs)研究了细粒花岗岩中应力和流体压力驱动的断层成核和破裂过程。通过详细分析应力驱动断裂和流体驱动断裂在不同约束压力和不同注水条件下的声发射中心时空分布、P 波速度、应力应变和其他实验观测数据,发现流体具有以下影响:1)使断层成核过程复杂化;2)表现出与断层分支和多断层形成相对应的偶发性 AE 活动;3)延长了成核过程和预滑动的时空尺度;4)降低了动态破裂速度和应力降。实验还表明:1)在断层成核过程中,AEs 的 b 值从动态破裂前的 1 至 1.3 变为 0.5,然后在余震活动中迅速恢复到 1-1.2 左右;2)水力扩散率从破裂前的 0.1 平方米/秒逐渐增加到动态破裂后的 10-100 平方米/秒。这些结果提供了一个合理的断层预滑动模型,表明水力压裂促进了动态破裂前的剪切滑动,并为确保与地热开发等活动相关的水力压裂作业的安全性和有效性、评估注水诱发的地震风险以及进一步研究深层流体驱动或流体参与的天然地震的前兆准备过程提供了实验室规模的启示。公开的数据集预计将用于多种目的,包括:1)作为与微震数据处理和分析有关的人工智能的训练数据;2)预测岩石断裂前的剩余时间;3)建立微震特征与岩石水力特性之间关系的模型和评估方法,这将加深我们对流体迁移与岩石变形和断裂之间相互作用机制的理解。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Geohazard Mechanics
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