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Neural network for archaeological glyph detection 考古字形检测的神经网络
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2025-07-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.iswa.2025.200562
Serena Crisci , Valentina De Simone , Andrea Diana , Ferdinando Zullo
The increasing availability of visual data in fields such as archaeology has highlighted the need for automated image analysis tools. Ancient rock engravings, such as those in the Neolithic Domus de Janas tombs of Sardinia, are crucial cultural artifacts. However, their study is hindered by environmental degradation and the limitations of traditional analysis methods. This paper introduces a novel approach that employs a preprocessing method to isolate glyphs from their backgrounds, reducing the impact of wear and distortions caused by environmental factors such as lighting. Convolutional neural networks are then used to enhance the classification of glyphs in the preprocessed archaeological images. The refined data are processed using AlexNet, GoogLeNet, and EfficientNet neural networks, each trained to classify glyphs into distinct categories and to detect their geometric features. This method offers a more efficient and accurate way to analyze and preserve these cultural artifacts.
考古学等领域的视觉数据越来越多,这凸显了对自动图像分析工具的需求。古代岩石雕刻,如撒丁岛新石器时代Domus de Janas墓葬中的那些,是至关重要的文化文物。然而,它们的研究受到环境退化和传统分析方法的限制。本文介绍了一种新的方法,该方法采用预处理方法将字形从其背景中分离出来,减少了由光照等环境因素引起的磨损和扭曲的影响。然后使用卷积神经网络来增强预处理考古图像中的字形分类。精细化的数据使用AlexNet、GoogLeNet和effentnet神经网络进行处理,每个神经网络都经过训练,可以将字形分类为不同的类别,并检测其几何特征。这种方法为分析和保存这些文物提供了一种更有效、更准确的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Emotion recognition and forecasting from wearable data via cluster-guided attention with cross-species pretraining 基于聚类引导注意力和跨物种预训练的可穿戴数据情感识别和预测
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2025-07-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.iswa.2025.200560
Wonjik Kim , Gaku Kutsuzawa , Michiyo Maruyama
Wearable devices enable the continuous acquisition of physiological signals, offering the potential for real-time emotion monitoring in daily life. However, emotion recognition remains challenging due to individual differences, label ambiguity, and limited annotated data. This study proposes a lightweight, cluster-guided attention model for binary emotion recognition (positive vs. negative) and forecasting (up to two hours ahead) from wearable signals such as heart rate and step count. To improve generalization, we leverage unsupervised clustering in the latent space and integrate cross-species pretraining using structured behavioral and physiological data from mice. Our framework reduces annotation burden through an emoji-based self-report interface and performs both within- and across-subject validation. Experimental results on human wearable data demonstrate that our method outperforms classical and lightweight deep learning baselines in both accuracy and macro-F1 score, achieving approximately 74.4% accuracy (macro-F1: 71.5%) for current emotion recognition, 72.9% accuracy (macro-F1: 70.7%) for 1-h forecasting, and 65.5% accuracy (macro-F1: 63.0%) for 2-h forecasting. Moreover, mouse-based pretraining yields consistent performance gains, especially at longer-horizon prediction tasks. These findings suggest that biologically informed attention mechanisms and cross-domain knowledge transfer can significantly enhance emotion modeling from low-resource wearable data.
可穿戴设备能够持续获取生理信号,为日常生活中的实时情绪监测提供了可能。然而,由于个体差异、标签模糊性和有限的注释数据,情感识别仍然具有挑战性。这项研究提出了一种轻量级的、集群引导的注意力模型,用于二元情绪识别(积极与消极)和预测(提前两小时),这些预测来自心率和步数等可穿戴信号。为了提高泛化,我们在潜在空间中利用无监督聚类,并使用来自小鼠的结构化行为和生理数据整合跨物种预训练。我们的框架通过基于表情符号的自我报告界面减少了注释负担,并执行主题内和跨主题验证。在人体可穿戴数据上的实验结果表明,我们的方法在准确率和宏观f1分数上都优于经典和轻量级深度学习基线,当前情绪识别的准确率约为74.4%(宏观f1: 71.5%), 1小时预测的准确率约为72.9%(宏观f1: 70.7%), 2小时预测的准确率约为65.5%(宏观f1: 63.0%)。此外,基于鼠标的预训练产生一致的性能提升,特别是在长期预测任务中。这些研究结果表明,生物知情的注意机制和跨领域知识转移可以显著增强低资源可穿戴数据的情绪建模。
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引用次数: 0
Vehicle route optimizer for waste collection and routing optimization problem 车辆路线优化器用于垃圾收集和路线优化问题
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2025-07-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.iswa.2025.200521
Hussam Fakhouri , Amjad Hudaib , Faten Hamad , Sandi Fakhouri , Niveen Halalsheh , Mohannad S. Alkhalaileh
This paper introduces a novel dynamic optimization strategy called the Vehicle Route Optimizer (VRO), specifically designed to enhance the efficiency and sustainability of smart cities. Inspired by the dynamics and interactions observed in vehicle behavior and traffic systems, VRO effectively balances exploration and exploitation phases to discover optimal solutions. The algorithm has been rigorously tested using the IEEE CEC2022 benchmark suites, demonstrating its superior performance compared to 18 other optimizers. In smart cities, efficient waste management and routing are critical for reducing operational costs and minimizing environmental impact. Thus, VRO has been applied to solve the Waste Collection and Routing Optimization Problem (WCROP) in smart cities by integrating bin allocation and routing components into a single-objective optimization framework. In addressing WCROP in Smart Cities, VRO was evaluated using synthetic instances derived from PVRP-IF cases. The results show that VRO outperforms traditional hierarchical and heuristic methods in terms of total cost, computational efficiency, and solution feasibility.
本文介绍了一种新的动态优化策略,称为车辆路径优化器(VRO),专门用于提高智慧城市的效率和可持续性。受车辆行为和交通系统中观察到的动态和相互作用的启发,VRO有效地平衡了探索和开发阶段,以发现最佳解决方案。该算法已经使用IEEE CEC2022基准套件进行了严格测试,与其他18个优化器相比,证明了其优越的性能。在智慧城市中,高效的废物管理和路径规划对于降低运营成本和最大限度地减少对环境的影响至关重要。因此,通过将垃圾箱分配和路由组件集成到一个单目标优化框架中,VRO已被应用于解决智慧城市的垃圾收集和路由优化问题(WCROP)。在解决智慧城市的WCROP问题时,使用从PVRP-IF案例中衍生的综合实例来评估VRO。结果表明,VRO算法在总成本、计算效率和求解可行性方面优于传统的分层和启发式算法。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing lung disease diagnosis with deep-learning-based CT scan image segmentation 基于深度学习的CT扫描图像分割增强肺部疾病诊断
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2025-07-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.iswa.2025.200565
Rima Tri Wahyuningrum , Achmad Bauravindah , Indah Agustien Siradjuddin , Budi Dwi Satoto , Amillia Kartika Sari , Anggraini Dwi Sensusiati
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has underscored the need for efficient diagnostic methods owing to the limitations in sensitivity and time constraints associated with molecular tests such as reverse transcription PCR (RT-PCR). This research aims to enhance the efficiency of COVID-19 and other lung diseases such as pneumonia, tuberculosis, bronchitis, emphysema, asthma, and others diagnoses. As an alternative diagnostic, we considered an approach based on enhanced computed tomography (CT) scan images using deep learning (DL). However, we propose a preprocessing segmentation method to enhance the accuracy of DL-based classification that uses the UNet++ architecture, an encoder-decoder approach in DL. In this architecture, the encoder reduces the image resolution to extract informative feature maps while the decoder returns the resolution to the original size. UNet++ is available in four levels: UNet++ L1, L2, L3, and L4, and its performance is compared to that of several other models, including SegNet, FCANet, and DeepLabV3+. Using two different datasets, RSPHC (Indonesia) and Kaggle, testing was conducted to determine the model with the optimum performance. The criteria used to evaluate model performance included the Dice coefficient and IoU metrics, most efficient computational time, and minimal resource requirements (measured by trainable parameters). The UNet++ L4 model achieved a Dice coefficient of 0.994, IoU of 0.989, computational time of 0.925 s, and 9.16 million trainable parameters on the RSPHC dataset. Whereas on the Kaggle dataset it achieved a Dice coefficient of 0.961, IoU of 0.930, computational time of 1.189 s, and 9.16 million trainable parameters. Therefore, the UNet++ L4 model is ideal for accurate segmentation, computational efficiency, and affordable resource requirements. Thus, this research improves lung disease diagnosis through enhanced CT scan images using DL.
由于反转录PCR (RT-PCR)等分子检测在灵敏度和时间上的限制,2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行凸显了高效诊断方法的必要性。本研究旨在提高COVID-19以及肺炎、肺结核、支气管炎、肺气肿、哮喘等其他肺部疾病的诊断效率。作为一种替代诊断,我们考虑了一种基于增强计算机断层扫描(CT)扫描图像的方法,该方法使用深度学习(DL)。然而,我们提出了一种预处理分割方法来提高基于DL的分类的准确性,该方法使用UNet++架构,这是DL中的一种编码器-解码器方法。在这种架构中,编码器降低图像分辨率以提取信息特征映射,而解码器将分辨率返回到原始大小。unnet++有4个级别:unnet++ L1、L2、L3和L4,其性能与其他几种模型(包括SegNet、FCANet和DeepLabV3+)进行了比较。利用RSPHC(印度尼西亚)和Kaggle两个不同的数据集进行测试,以确定具有最佳性能的模型。用于评估模型性能的标准包括Dice系数和IoU指标、最有效的计算时间和最小的资源需求(通过可训练参数测量)。unet++ L4模型在RSPHC数据集上的Dice系数为0.994,IoU为0.989,计算时间为0.925 s,可训练参数为916万个。而在Kaggle数据集上,它的Dice系数为0.961,IoU为0.930,计算时间为1189 s,可训练参数为916万个。因此,UNet++ L4模型是精确分割、计算效率和可负担的资源需求的理想选择。因此,本研究通过DL增强CT扫描图像提高肺部疾病的诊断。
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引用次数: 0
Power optimization of higher order modulated downlink non-orthogonal multiple access visible light communication 高阶调制下行非正交多址可见光通信的功率优化
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2025-07-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.iswa.2025.200546
Dwi Astharini, Muhamad Asvial, Dadang Gunawan
Allocation of power is one of the critical aspects of the non-orthogonal multiple access (NOMA) system. On its implementation in higher-order modulation visible light communication (VLC), the consequent constrictions are more problematic. In this paper, power ratio was optimized for NOMA VLC with M-ary pulse amplitude modulation (MPAM). The requirements for user accessibility were chiefly derived from NOMA VLC model and applied to the throughput maximization. The power ratio for each user was then defined using the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker (KKT) optimality conditions, resulting in a suboptimal low-complexity solution for the case of QoS and optimal solution for best-effort scenario. Simulations were conducted to compare the performance between four- and eight-PAM.
功率分配是非正交多址(NOMA)系统的关键问题之一。在高阶调制可见光通信(VLC)中实现时,随之而来的约束问题更大。本文对具有M-ary脉冲调幅(MPAM)的NOMA VLC的功率比进行了优化。对用户可访问性的需求主要来源于NOMA VLC模型,并应用于吞吐量最大化。然后使用Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT)最优性条件定义每个用户的功率比,从而产生QoS情况下的次优低复杂度解决方案和最佳解决方案。通过仿真比较了4 - pam和8 - pam的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Paranasal sinus analysis based on deep learning and machine learning techniques: A comprehensive survey 基于深度学习和机器学习技术的鼻窦分析:综合调查
Pub Date : 2025-07-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.iswa.2025.200559
Ali Alsalama, Saad Harous, Ashraf Elnagar
This survey provides an in-depth review of recent advancements in forensic anthropology through the application of imaging and modeling techniques for paranasal sinus structures. The focus is on exploring various studies that leverage the paranasal sinuses for the identification of individuals and demographic analysis, including age and gender estimation, especially when traditional methods such as fingerprint analysis, dental records, or DNA profiling are not feasible. Additionally, the survey aims to serve as a foundation for future work in similar analyses and segmentation tasks. These methods are especially useful in forensic contexts, such as those involving skeletonized remains where other anatomical structures are absent. The paper discusses several case studies, including the segmentation of paranasal sinuses as well as their classification for establishing biological profiles in diverse populations. The effectiveness of these 3D modeling approaches in predicting demographic characteristics such as sex, age, and ethnicity is also highlighted. Special emphasis is placed on the robustness and reliability of sinus morphology as both a forensic identifier and a tool for demographic inference.
这项调查提供了一个深入的审查,最近的进展,法医人类学通过成像和建模技术的应用副鼻窦结构。重点是探索利用鼻窦进行个人识别和人口统计分析的各种研究,包括年龄和性别估计,特别是当指纹分析、牙科记录或DNA分析等传统方法不可行的时候。此外,调查的目的是作为在类似的分析和分割任务的未来工作的基础。这些方法在法医环境中特别有用,例如那些涉及其他解剖结构缺失的骨骼遗骸。本文讨论了几个案例研究,包括鼻窦的分割以及在不同人群中建立生物学概况的分类。这些3D建模方法在预测人口特征(如性别、年龄和种族)方面的有效性也得到了强调。特别强调的是稳健性和可靠性的鼻窦形态作为法医鉴定和人口统计推断的工具。
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引用次数: 0
A novel binary Stellar Oscillation Optimizer for feature selection optimization problems 一种用于特征选择优化问题的新型双星振荡优化器
Pub Date : 2025-07-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.iswa.2025.200558
Ali Rodan , Sharif Naser Makhadmeh , Yousef Sanjalawe , Rizik M.H. Al-Sayyed , Mohammed Azmi Al-Betar
Stellar Oscillation Optimizer (SOO) takes its core inspiration from the study of stellar pulsations, a domain often referred to as asteroseismology which is formulated as an optimization algorithm for continuous domain. In this paper, the Binary version of Stellar Oscillation Optimizer (BSOO) is proposed for Feature Selection (FS) problems. BSOO introduces binary adaptations, including threshold-based encoding, controlled oscillatory movements, and a top-solution influence mechanism. In order to evaluate the BSOO, sixteen FS datasets are used with different numbers of features, samples, and class labels. Seven performance measures are also used, which are: fitness value, number of selected features, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, Precision, and F-measure. An intensive comparative evaluation against 18 state-of-the-art optimization algorithms using the same datasets has been conducted. The results show that the proposed BSOO version is able to compete well with the other FS-based methods where it is able to overcome several methods and produce the best overall results for some datasets on different measurements. Furthermore, the convergence behavior to show the optimization behavior of BSOO during the search is investigated and visualized. Interestingly, the BSOO is able to provide a suitable trade-off between the global wide-range exploration and local nearby exploitation during the optimization process. This is proved using the statistical Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test Results. In conclusion, this paper provides a new alternative solution for FS research community that is able to work well for many FS instances and find the optimal solution. The source code of BSOO is publicly available for both MATLAB at: https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/fileexchange/180096-bsoo-binary-stellar-oscillation-optimizer and PYTHON at: https://github.com/AliRodan/BSOO-Binary-Stellar-Oscillation-Optimizer.
恒星振荡优化器(SOO)的核心灵感来自恒星脉动的研究,这一领域通常被称为星震学,它被表述为连续域的优化算法。针对特征选择问题,提出了星振优化器(BSOO)的二进制版本。BSOO引入了二进制自适应,包括基于阈值的编码、可控振荡运动和顶解影响机制。为了评估BSOO,使用了16个具有不同数量的特征,样本和类别标签的FS数据集。还使用了七个性能度量,它们是:适应度值、选择特征的数量、准确性、灵敏度、特异性、精度和f度量。对使用相同数据集的18个最先进的优化算法进行了密集的比较评估。结果表明,所提出的BSOO版本能够很好地与其他基于fs的方法竞争,它能够克服几种方法,并在不同测量的某些数据集上产生最佳的整体结果。此外,研究了BSOO在搜索过程中的收敛行为,并将其可视化。有趣的是,在优化过程中,BSOO能够在全局大范围勘探和局部近距离开采之间提供合适的权衡。使用统计的Wilcoxon秩和检验结果证明了这一点。综上所述,本文为FS研究界提供了一种新的替代解决方案,能够很好地适用于许多FS实例并找到最优解。BSOO的源代码在MATLAB: https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/fileexchange/180096-bsoo-binary-stellar-oscillation-optimizer和PYTHON: https://github.com/AliRodan/BSOO-Binary-Stellar-Oscillation-Optimizer都是公开的。
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引用次数: 0
Monkeypox optimizer: A TinyML bio-inspired evolutionary optimization algorithm and its engineering applications 猴痘优化器:TinyML生物启发的进化优化算法及其工程应用
Pub Date : 2025-07-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.iswa.2025.200557
Marwa F. Mohamed , Ahmed Hamed
High-dimensional optimization remains a key challenge in computational intelligence, especially under resource constraints. Evolutionary algorithms, which mimic the change in heritable characteristics of biological populations, have been proposed to address this. These algorithms apply selection pressure to favor better solutions over generations, and stochastic variations may occasionally introduce suboptimal candidates to preserve population diversity. However, they often struggle to balance exploration and exploitation, leading to suboptimal solutions, premature convergence, and significant computational demands, making them unsuitable for resource-constrained environments. This paper introduces Monkeypox Optimization (MO), a novel evolutionary algorithm inspired by the infection and replication lifecycle of the monkeypox virus. MO mimics the virus’s rapid spread by employing virus-to-cell infection, where the virus persistently seeks out vulnerable cells to penetrate—representing global exploration of the search space. Once inside, cell-to-cell transmission enables fast local propagation, modeling the refinement of high-potential solutions through accelerated replication. To conserve resources, MO continuously deletes the least effective virion copies, maintaining a compact and memory-efficient population. This biologically grounded design not only accelerates convergence but also aligns MO with TinyML principles, making it ideally suited for low-power, resource-constrained IoT environments. MO is benchmarked against 21 recent algorithms across 90 functions from CEC-2017, CEC-2019, and CEC-2020, and validated on three engineering design problems. Results show MO achieves up to 13% lower energy consumption and 34% shorter execution time compared to state-of-the-art competitors, while maintaining robust accuracy. A theoretical analysis reveals MO’s time complexity is O(mn+RTn), confirming its scalability. Statistical validation via Friedman and Fisher tests further supports MO’s performance gains.
高维优化仍然是计算智能的一个关键挑战,特别是在资源限制下。为了解决这个问题,已经提出了模拟生物种群遗传特征变化的进化算法。这些算法施加选择压力,在几代人中倾向于更好的解决方案,随机变化可能偶尔会引入次优候选方案,以保持种群多样性。然而,它们往往难以平衡勘探和开发,导致次优解决方案、过早收敛和大量的计算需求,使它们不适合资源受限的环境。猴痘优化算法(Monkeypox Optimization, MO)是一种受猴痘病毒感染和复制生命周期启发的新型进化算法。MO通过病毒对细胞感染来模拟病毒的快速传播,病毒持续寻找易受攻击的细胞进行渗透——这代表了对搜索空间的全球探索。一旦进入细胞内部,细胞间传输可以实现快速本地传播,通过加速复制模拟高潜力解决方案的改进。为了节省资源,MO不断地删除最无效的病毒粒子副本,保持紧凑和内存高效的种群。这种基于生物的设计不仅加速了融合,而且使MO与TinyML原则保持一致,使其非常适合低功耗,资源受限的物联网环境。MO以21种最新算法为基准,涵盖cecc -2017、cecc -2019和cecc -2020的90个功能,并在三个工程设计问题上进行了验证。结果表明,与最先进的竞争对手相比,MO的能耗降低了13%,执行时间缩短了34%,同时保持了强大的准确性。理论分析表明,MO的时间复杂度为0 (mn+RTn),证实了其可扩展性。通过Friedman和Fisher测试的统计验证进一步支持MO的性能提升。
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引用次数: 0
A unified DNN weight compression framework using reweighted optimization methods 采用重加权优化方法的统一DNN权压缩框架
Pub Date : 2025-07-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.iswa.2025.200556
Mengchen Fan , Tianyun Zhang , Xiaolong Ma , Jiacheng Guo , Zheng Zhan , Shanglin Zhou , Minghai Qin , Caiwen Ding , Baocheng Geng , Makan Fardad , Yanzhi Wang
To address the large model sizes and intensive computation requirements of deep neural networks (DNNs), weight pruning techniques have been proposed and generally fall into two categories: static regularization-based pruning and dynamic regularization-based pruning. However, the static method often leads to either complex operations or reduced accuracy, while the dynamic method requires extensive time to adjust parameters to maintain accuracy while achieving effective pruning. In this paper, we propose a unified robustness-aware framework for DNN weight pruning that dynamically updates regularization terms bounded by the designated constraint. This framework can generate both non-structured sparsity and different kinds of structured sparsity, and it incorporates adversarial training to enhance the robustness of the sparse model. We further extend our approach into an integrated framework capable of handling multiple DNN compression tasks. Experimental results show that our proposed method increases the compression rate – up to 630× for LeNet-5, 45× for AlexNet, 7.2× for MobileNet, 3.2× for ResNet-50 – while also reducing training time and simplifying hyperparameter tuning to a single penalty parameter. Additionally, our method improves model robustness by 5.07% for ResNet-18 and 3.34% for VGG-16 under a 16×pruning rate, outperforming the state-of-the-art ADMM-based hard constraint method.
为了解决深度神经网络(dnn)模型规模大、计算量大的问题,权重剪枝技术被提出,一般分为静态正则化剪枝和动态正则化剪枝两大类。然而,静态方法往往导致操作复杂或精度降低,而动态方法需要大量的时间来调整参数以保持精度,同时实现有效的修剪。在本文中,我们提出了一个统一的DNN权剪枝的鲁棒感知框架,该框架可以动态更新受指定约束约束的正则化项。该框架既可以生成非结构化稀疏性,也可以生成不同类型的结构化稀疏性,并结合对抗训练增强了稀疏模型的鲁棒性。我们进一步将我们的方法扩展为一个能够处理多个DNN压缩任务的集成框架。实验结果表明,我们提出的方法提高了压缩率——LeNet-5的压缩率为630x, AlexNet的压缩率为45x, MobileNet的压缩率为7.2 x, ResNet-50的压缩率为3.2 x——同时还减少了训练时间,并将超参数调优简化为单个惩罚参数。此外,我们的方法在16×pruning速率下将ResNet-18的模型鲁棒性提高了5.07%,VGG-16的模型鲁棒性提高了3.34%,优于最先进的基于admm的硬约束方法。
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引用次数: 0
Methodology for advanced time series demand forecasting: A hybrid model of decomposition and deep learning 高级时间序列需求预测方法:分解与深度学习混合模型
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2025-07-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.iswa.2025.200540
Juyoung Ha , Sungwon Lee , Sooyeon Jeong , Doohee Chung
Advancements in data science have increasingly focused on refining time-series predictive models for effective corporate management and demand forecasting. Traditional models often struggle to capture irregular patterns in time-series data. In this study, we employ a novel hybrid model integrating Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD), Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to address these challenges. Our approach follows a structured pipeline: EEMD decomposes time-series data into ensemble Intrinsic Mode Functions (eIMFs) to reveal complex patterns, LASSO selects the most relevant features to optimize input variables, and LSTM captures long-term dependencies for accurate demand forecasting. We evaluate our model on real-world demand data from three industries (Office Product, Packaging Materials, and Pharmaceuticals), comparing it against ARIMAX, LightGBM, LSTM, and their EEMD-enhanced variants using NRMSE, NMAE, and R2. Results show that integrating EEMD into baseline models reduces NRMSE by an average of 27.4%, while the additional incorporation of LASSO further improves performance, achieving a total reduction of 29.1%. Compared to the standalone LSTM model, our proposed EEMD-LASSO-LSTM model demonstrates a substantial NRMSE reduction of 51.2%, highlighting its superior predictive accuracy. This innovative combination of EEMD, LASSO, and LSTM enables our proposed method to effectively capture the irregular patterns of demand, a task that has been a significant hurdle for conventional forecasting methods. The integration of EEMD, LASSO, and LSTM marks a significant advancement in time-series predictive modeling, enhancing demand forecasting and informing strategic corporate decisions.
数据科学的进步越来越多地集中在改进时间序列预测模型,以有效地进行企业管理和需求预测。传统模型常常难以捕捉时间序列数据中的不规则模式。在这项研究中,我们采用了一种新的混合模型,集成了集成经验模式分解(EEMD)、最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)和长短期记忆(LSTM)网络来解决这些挑战。我们的方法遵循结构化的管道:EEMD将时间序列数据分解为集成的内在模式函数(eIMFs)以揭示复杂的模式,LASSO选择最相关的特征来优化输入变量,LSTM捕获长期依赖关系以进行准确的需求预测。我们根据来自三个行业(办公产品、包装材料和制药)的真实需求数据评估我们的模型,并使用NRMSE、NMAE和R2将其与ARIMAX、LightGBM、LSTM及其eemd增强变体进行比较。结果表明,将EEMD集成到基线模型中,平均降低了27.4%的NRMSE,而额外加入LASSO进一步提高了性能,实现了29.1%的总降低。与独立LSTM模型相比,我们提出的EEMD-LASSO-LSTM模型的NRMSE大幅降低了51.2%,突出了其优越的预测精度。这种EEMD、LASSO和LSTM的创新组合使我们提出的方法能够有效地捕捉需求的不规则模式,这是传统预测方法的一个重大障碍。EEMD、LASSO和LSTM的集成标志着时间序列预测建模的重大进步,增强了需求预测和为企业战略决策提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
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Intelligent Systems with Applications
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