The functionality evaluation of military infrastructure under attack determines the validity of operational command decisions in a critical way. In battlefield environments, conventional methodologies have been proven to be insufficient for accurate functionality evaluation due to challenges in considering multi-source uncertainties from adversarial strategies, weapon system variability, and environmental dynamics. To address this gap, an analysis framework for resilience of military infrastructure (AFRMI) was proposed, systematically integrating uncertainties in five phases, i.e. (1) offensive-defensive strategy, (2) weapon engagement, (3) physical damage, (4) functionality loss, and (5) functionality recovery. Focusing on airport runways in Air Defense and Missile Countermeasures scenarios, this study established a probabilistic methodology for quantifying multi-dimensional uncertainties as well as their cross-phase propagation mechanisms. The adversarial interactions between combatants were formulated as a Two-player Zero-sum Markov Game, where Nash Equilibrium strategies under resource constraints were derived through Q-learning reinforcement algorithms. A case study was conducted to demonstrate the application of AFRMI and revealed that it could quantifies the effect of equilibrium strategies to infrastructure functionality, as well as that of phase-coupled uncertainty propagation, overcoming the shortcoming of traditional static damage assessment by incorporating dynamic recovery pathways. The framework will provide a theoretical basis for real-time functionality state prediction under evolving adversarial conditions, and a decision-making paradigm for resilience management of military infrastructures.
扫码关注我们
求助内容:
应助结果提醒方式:
