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Analysis of motorcyclists crash severity using cluster correspondence and hierarchical binary logit models 基于聚类对应和层次二元logit模型的摩托车碰撞严重程度分析
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100197
Richard Dzinyela , Bahar Dadashova , Grant Westfall , Subasish Das , Chiara Silvestri-Dobrovolny , Emmanuel Kofi Adanu , Dominique Lord
Crashes involving motorcyclists account for a significant portion of traffic-related injuries and fatalities. Despite motorcycles making only three percent of all registered vehicles, motorcyclists account for 14 percent of all roadway fatalities. As the number of motorcyclists increase, there is an urgent need to understand the factors that affect the severity of injuries they sustain in crashes. In this paper, we use cluster correspondence analysis (CCA) and hierarchical binary logit model to explore the factors associated with motorcyclists’ crash injury severities in Utah between 2016 and 2020. Cluster correspondence analysis was used to cluster the crash data into seven groups, while hierarchical binary logit model was used to identify the significant factors that contributed to the injury severity of motorcycle crashes. The results of this study indicate that among the crash-contributing factors the motorcyclist age, roadway alignment, roadside safety systems and temporal factors significantly contribute to motorcyclist crash severities. The model results further account for the correlation of variables within the clusters in the crash data. With the deeper understanding of the relationship between crash factors and injury severity in this study, the findings can help decision makers to implement targeted countermeasures to improve motorcyclist safety.
涉及摩托车手的撞车事故占交通相关伤亡事故的很大一部分。尽管摩托车只占所有登记车辆的3%,但摩托车手占所有道路死亡人数的14%。随着摩托车手人数的增加,迫切需要了解影响他们在碰撞中受伤严重程度的因素。本文采用聚类对应分析(CCA)和层次二元logit模型对2016 - 2020年犹他州摩托车手碰撞损伤严重程度的影响因素进行了研究。采用聚类对应分析方法将碰撞数据聚类为7类,并采用层次二元logit模型识别影响摩托车碰撞伤害严重程度的显著因素。研究结果表明,摩托车手年龄、道路线形、道路安全系统和时间因素对摩托车手碰撞严重程度有显著影响。模型结果进一步解释了碰撞数据中集群内变量的相关性。随着本研究中碰撞因素与伤害严重程度之间关系的深入了解,研究结果可以帮助决策者实施有针对性的对策,以提高摩托车驾驶员的安全水平。
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引用次数: 0
Changes in crash types and contributing factors after bus rapid transit (BRT) infrastructure installation in Albuquerque, New Mexico 新墨西哥州阿尔伯克基快速公交(BRT)基础设施安装后事故类型的变化及其影响因素
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100192
Nicholas N. Ferenchak, Brady A. Woods
Bus rapid transit (BRT) is an increasingly popular form of public transportation that seeks to achieve the speed and reliability of fixed rail with the flexibility and affordability of a bus system. In this paper, we examine safety outcomes before and after the construction of BRT infrastructure, specifically investigating how different crash types and contributing factors changed for all motor vehicle crashes and for pedestrian crashes. New Mexico Department of Transportation (NMDOT) provided crash data for the Central Avenue corridor of the Albuquerque Rapid Transit (ART) system in Albuquerque, NM. The construction of ART correlated with significant reductions in crashes attributed to excessive speed (for all modes) and left turning vehicles (for all modes and pedestrians). Crashes attributed to excessive speed decreased by 19.1 % (p = 0.059) after ART construction while crashes attributed to excessive speed resulting in fatal or serious (KA) injury decreased 100.0 % (p < 0.001). Although the number of KA pedestrian crashes increased 15.2 % (p = 0.272), KA pedestrian crashes involving a left-turning motor vehicle decreased by 80.0 % (p = 0.070). For all modes, crashes involving left-turning vehicles decreased by 34.8 % (p < 0.001) and crashes involving left-turning vehicles resulting in a KA injury decreased by 87.5 % (p = 0.009). This research provides insights into the multimodal traffic safety implications of the burgeoning public transportation mode of BRT.
快速公交(BRT)是一种越来越受欢迎的公共交通形式,它寻求实现固定轨道的速度和可靠性,以及公交系统的灵活性和可负担性。在本文中,我们研究了BRT基础设施建设前后的安全结果,特别是研究了所有机动车碰撞和行人碰撞的不同碰撞类型和影响因素的变化。新墨西哥州交通部(NMDOT)提供了新墨西哥州阿尔伯克基快速交通(ART)系统中央大道走廊的碰撞数据。ART的建设与超速(适用于所有模式)和左转车辆(适用于所有模式和行人)造成的撞车事故显著减少相关。在ART建造后,由于超速导致的撞车事故减少了19.1% (p = 0.059),而由于超速导致致命或严重(KA)伤害的撞车事故减少了100.0% (p <;0.001)。虽然KA行人交通事故数量增加了15.2% (p = 0.272),但涉及左转弯机动车的KA行人交通事故减少了80.0% (p = 0.070)。在所有模式下,涉及左转弯车辆的撞车事故减少了34.8% (p <;0.001),涉及左转弯车辆的碰撞导致KA伤害减少了87.5% (p = 0.009)。本研究深入探讨了快速公交这一新兴公共交通模式对多模式交通安全的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Fuzzy reliability theory analysis of traffic signal lamp performance 交通信号灯性能的模糊可靠性理论分析
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100195
Mason D. Gemar , Shidong Pan , Zhanmin Zhang , Randy B. Machemehl
Over the past decade, many municipalities have begun to replace incandescent lamps in their traffic signals with light emitting diode (LED) arrays. While LED technology boasts longer lifetimes and superior performance over their counterparts, there are many limitations involved in both testing and evaluating their reliability. As such, the methodology and subsequent analysis procedures used to evaluate the reliability of traffic signal lamps along a corridor is proposed. To accomplish this task, the progression of the reliability assessment from individual lamp to the entire signal light system for a corridor is demonstrated. Furthermore, due to the nature of these systems and reliability assessment strategies, it is suggested that fuzzy, or more specifically, profust reliability theory could be applied to effectively analyze LED arrays, as well as corridor-wide signal light systems. Preliminary case study results, coupled with field observations of partially burned-out LED arrays, support this hypothesis.
在过去的十年里,许多城市已经开始用发光二极管(LED)阵列取代交通信号灯中的白炽灯。虽然LED技术拥有比同类产品更长的使用寿命和更优越的性能,但在测试和评估其可靠性方面存在许多限制。因此,本文提出了用于评估走廊沿线交通信号灯可靠性的方法和后续分析程序。为了完成这一任务,演示了从单个灯到整个走廊信号灯系统可靠性评估的过程。此外,由于这些系统的性质和可靠性评估策略,建议模糊,或者更具体地说,信任可靠性理论可以应用于有效地分析LED阵列,以及全走廊信号灯系统。初步的案例研究结果,加上对部分烧毁的LED阵列的现场观察,支持了这一假设。
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引用次数: 0
The roadmap and strategy for prioritizing the development of public transport in China 中国公共交通优先发展的路线图和战略
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2024.100184
Jing Wang , Changjian Liu , Zhouhao Wu , Rufeng Liao , Gengze Li , Huapu Lu
With the acceleration of urbanization and continuous population growth in China, transportation issues in central cities, especially large and mega-cities, have become increasingly prominent. A series of problems such as economic efficiency decline and reduced residents' well-being caused by traffic congestion have become significant factors constraining the sustainable development of cities. As a core component of the urban transportation system, the prioritized development of urban public transportation is crucial for alleviating traffic congestion, improving environmental quality, and enhancing residents' quality of life. However, from the beginning of 2023, the share of public transportation in residents' travel has gradually decreased, with the total passenger volume still lower than the same period in 2019. In response to the challenges faced by the public transportation system under the new circumstances, this paper reviews the necessity of prioritized development of urban public transportation, analyzes the reasons for the decline in the share of public transportation in residents' overall travel modes, and proposes targeted suggestions. On this basis, the paper explores the intrinsic connection between the strategy of prioritizing public transportation development and sustainable urban development.
随着中国城市化进程的加快和人口的持续增长,中心城市特别是特大城市的交通问题日益突出。交通拥堵导致的经济效率下降、居民幸福感下降等一系列问题已成为制约城市可持续发展的重要因素。城市公共交通作为城市交通系统的核心组成部分,优先发展城市公共交通对于缓解交通拥堵、改善环境质量、提高居民生活质量至关重要。然而,从2023年开始,公共交通在居民出行中的占比逐渐下降,总客运量仍低于2019年同期。针对新形势下公共交通系统面临的挑战,本文回顾了城市公共交通优先发展的必要性,分析了公共交通在居民整体出行方式中所占比例下降的原因,并提出了针对性的建议。在此基础上,探讨了公共交通优先发展战略与城市可持续发展的内在联系。
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引用次数: 0
Indian SUMO traffic scenario-based misbehaviour detection dataset for connected vehicles 基于印度相扑交通场景的联网车辆不当行为检测数据集
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2024.100148
Umesh Bodkhe , Sudeep Tanwar
The Internet of Vehicles (IoV) plays a crucial role in intelligent transportation systems (ITS) by enabling communication between interconnected vehicles and supporting infrastructure. Connected vehicles utilize basic safety messages (BSMs) to exchange kinematic data, such as vehicle acceleration, velocity, position, and direction, with neighbouring nodes in the ITS network to enhance road safety. However, these BSMs are susceptible to various security attacks, which disrupt the collaborative functionality of ITS, potentially resulting in accidents or traffic congestion. The scientific community has proposed numerous security mechanisms to protect BSMs. The majority of these assessments have been conducted utilizing either the vehicular reference misbehaviour (VeReMi) dataset or the VeReMi extension dataset. These datasets are specifically designed for the Luxembourg SUMO Traffic (LuST) scenario and are suitable for only evaluating misbehaviour detection methods within a European ITS context. However, there is a notable scarcity of publicly accessible misbehaviour datasets that faithfully depict Indian ITS scenarios. To overcome this limitation, we introduce a new scenario, i.e., the Ahmedabad SUMO Traffic (AhmST) scenario, based on the city of Ahmedabad in Gujarat, India. Moreover, we also introduce the Indian dataset for misbehaviour analysis (AhmST). The proposed dataset includes cases of false data injections affecting the vehicle position, heading, and speed information within BSMs. Finally, we compare the AhmST dataset with recent datasets, assess the proposed dataset using various machine learning techniques and present an optimized model with improved accuracy.
车联网(IoV)通过实现互联车辆与配套基础设施之间的通信,在智能交通系统(ITS)中发挥着至关重要的作用。联网车辆利用基本安全信息(BSMs)与ITS网络中的相邻节点交换运动数据,如车辆加速度、速度、位置和方向,以增强道路安全。然而,这些bsm容易受到各种安全攻击,从而破坏ITS的协作功能,可能导致事故或交通拥堵。科学界已经提出了许多保护bsm的安全机制。这些评估大多是利用车辆参考不当行为(VeReMi)数据集或VeReMi扩展数据集进行的。这些数据集是专门为卢森堡相扑交通(LuST)场景设计的,仅适用于评估欧洲ITS环境下的不当行为检测方法。然而,值得注意的是,缺乏可公开访问的、忠实描述印度智能交通场景的不当行为数据集。为了克服这一限制,我们引入了一个新的场景,即基于印度古吉拉特邦艾哈迈达巴德市的艾哈迈达巴德SUMO交通(AhmST)场景。此外,我们还介绍了用于不当行为分析的印度数据集(AhmST)。提出的数据集包括影响bsm内车辆位置、航向和速度信息的虚假数据注入案例。最后,我们将AhmST数据集与最近的数据集进行比较,使用各种机器学习技术评估所提出的数据集,并提出了一个精度更高的优化模型。
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引用次数: 0
Autonomous vehicle safety: An advanced bagging classifier technique for crash injury prediction 自动驾驶汽车安全:一种用于碰撞损伤预测的先进袋装分类技术
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100189
Sai Sneha Channamallu, Deema Almaskati, Sharareh Kermanshachi, Apurva Pamidimukkala
The increasing utilization of autonomous vehicles (AVs) makes it critical to understand and mitigate their involvement in traffic accidents. This study, therefore, addresses a significant gap in the research on AV safety by focusing on predicting the possibility of injuries in AV-involved crashes. The California Department of Motor Vehicles’ comprehensive dataset of accidents that occurred from 2014 to May 2024 was utilized, and advanced machine learning techniques were applied to develop a model capable of predicting the outcomes of accidents involving AVs. The study found that the bagging classifier model outperforms other models in reliably predicting and identifying severe crashes and minimizing misclassification. Evaluations made through precision-recall, validation, and learning curves confirm the model's robustness, ability to generalize across data subsets, and effectiveness in increasing training data. Key predictors of crash severity include the extent of damage to the AV, vehicle type, manufacturer, and presence of a traffic signal. The study highlights the importance of tailored safety measures, robust safety mechanisms, and advanced traffic management systems to mitigate crash severity. The real-world application of this advanced model promises substantial benefits for vehicle manufacturers, urban planners, policymakers, and end-users, and will contribute to safer roadways.
自动驾驶汽车(AVs)的使用率越来越高,因此了解和减少它们与交通事故的关系至关重要。因此,本研究通过专注于预测自动驾驶事故中受伤的可能性,解决了自动驾驶安全研究中的一个重大空白。利用加州机动车辆管理局2014年至2024年5月发生的事故综合数据集,并应用先进的机器学习技术开发了一个能够预测涉及自动驾驶汽车事故结果的模型。研究发现,套袋分类器模型在可靠地预测和识别严重碰撞和最小化错误分类方面优于其他模型。通过精确召回率、验证和学习曲线进行的评估确认了模型的鲁棒性、跨数据子集的泛化能力以及增加训练数据的有效性。碰撞严重程度的关键预测因素包括自动驾驶汽车的损坏程度、车辆类型、制造商和交通信号的存在。该研究强调了量身定制的安全措施、健全的安全机制和先进的交通管理系统对于减轻碰撞严重程度的重要性。这一先进模型的实际应用为汽车制造商、城市规划者、政策制定者和最终用户带来了巨大的好处,并将有助于提高道路的安全性。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling passenger satisfaction in rail transit through a consumption values perspective 从消费价值视角透视轨道交通乘客满意度
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100196
Siti Norida Wahab , Muhammad Iskandar Hamzah , Norazah Mohd Suki , Yueh Suan Chong , Chin Pei Kua
This study aims to investigate passenger satisfaction in rail transit systems within emerging economies, utilizing a theory of consumption values. It seeks to understand how various values, such as functional, social, emotional, conditional, and epistemic, influence passenger perceptions and experiences providing insights for enhancing rail transit services. This study employs a self-administered questionnaire distributed to 418 passenger rail transit users in Kuala Lumpur city centre over a three-month period. Smart-PLS software was utilized to examine relationships between consumption values and passenger satisfaction. The study findings reveal strong support for functional and social values in influencing passenger satisfaction within rail transit systems of emerging economies. Similarly, emotional and conditional values also play a significant role. Surprisingly, epistemic value does not exhibit substantial influence, highlighting potential disparities in passenger perceptions and priorities. Rail transit operators and regulators should focus on these facets of consumption values in order to maximize passenger satisfaction in rail transit. Conditional aspects such as safety, punctuality, frequency, and accessibility should also be given priority. What is new to the existing literature is that epistemic value was confirmed as the trivial predictor of passengers' satisfaction in rail transit. Hence, clear signage, informative announcements, or accessible digital resources provided by the transit authority will enhance passengers' knowledge and overall experience. Being among a few studies in measuring rail transit satisfaction using the consumption values approach, particularly in the context of Asia-Pacific emerging economies, the empirical results attained broadened the growing literature pertinent to consumer behaviour, consumption values, and sustainable transportation. The findings offer new insights into enhancing rail transit services, emphasizing the need for clear communication and informative resources to boost passenger satisfaction.
本研究旨在利用消费价值理论调查新兴经济体中轨道交通系统的乘客满意度。它试图了解各种价值,如功能、社会、情感、条件和认知,如何影响乘客的感知和体验,为加强轨道交通服务提供见解。本研究采用了一份自我管理的问卷,在三个月的时间里分发给吉隆坡市中心的418名客运轨道交通用户。使用Smart-PLS软件检验消费值与乘客满意度之间的关系。研究结果显示,在新兴经济体的轨道交通系统中,功能和社会价值对乘客满意度的影响得到了强有力的支持。同样,情感和条件价值观也起着重要作用。令人惊讶的是,认知价值并没有表现出实质性的影响,这突出了乘客感知和优先级的潜在差异。轨道交通运营商和监管机构应该关注这些方面的消费价值,以最大限度地提高轨道交通乘客的满意度。有条件的方面,如安全、准时、频率和可达性也应优先考虑。现有文献的创新之处在于,认知价值被证实是轨道交通乘客满意度的微不足道的预测因子。因此,交通管理部门提供的清晰标志、信息丰富的公告或可访问的数字资源将提高乘客的知识和整体体验。作为使用消费价值方法测量轨道交通满意度的少数研究之一,特别是在亚太新兴经济体的背景下,所获得的实证结果拓宽了与消费者行为、消费价值和可持续交通相关的日益增长的文献。研究结果为加强轨道交通服务提供了新的见解,强调需要明确的沟通和信息资源来提高乘客满意度。
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引用次数: 0
Multimodal adaptive traffic signal control: A decentralized multiagent reinforcement learning approach 多模式自适应交通信号控制:一种分散的多智能体强化学习方法
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100190
Kareem Othman , Xiaoyu Wang , Amer Shalaby , Baher Abdulhai
Public transit is considered a compelling alternative to the car, renowned for its affordability and sustainability, given that a single transit vehicle can accommodate a substantially higher number of passengers compared to regular passenger vehicles. In urban areas, a significant portion of the travel time spent by street-running transit vehicles is consumed waiting at traffic signals. Thus, transit signal priority (TSP) strategies have evolved over the years to give preference to transit vehicles at signalized intersections. Traffic signals are usually optimized for the general vehicular traffic flow, with TSP logic subsequently inserted as an add-on to modify the underlying signal timing plans, thereby granting priority to transit vehicles. However, one major issue associated with the implementation of TSP is its negative impact on the surrounding traffic, creating a conflict between prioritizing passenger vehicles versus transit vehicles. This paper proposes a novel decentralized multimodal multiagent reinforcement learning signal controller that simultaneously optimizes the total person delays for both traffic and transit. The controller, named embedding communicated Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Integrated Network-Multi Modal (eMARLIN-MM), consists of two components: the encoder that is responsible for transforming the observations into latent space and the executor that serves as the Q-network making timing decisions. eMARLIN-MM establishes communication between the control agents by sharing information between neighboring intersections. eMARLIN-MM was tested in a simulation model of five intersections in North York, Ontario, Canada. The results show that eMARLIN-MM can substantially reduce the total person delays by 54 % to 66 % compared to pre-timed signals at different levels of bus occupancy, outperforming the independent Deep Q-Networks (DQN) agents. eMARLIN-MM also outperforms eMARLIN which does not incorporate buses and bus passengers in the signal timing optimization process.
公共交通被认为是汽车的一个令人信服的替代品,以其可负担性和可持续性而闻名,因为与普通乘用车相比,一辆公共交通工具可以容纳更多的乘客。在城市地区,在街道上运行的交通车辆的很大一部分时间都花在了等待交通信号上。因此,多年来,交通信号优先(TSP)策略已经发展到优先考虑信号交叉口的交通车辆。交通信号通常针对一般车辆交通流进行优化,随后插入TSP逻辑作为附加组件来修改底层信号授时计划,从而赋予过境车辆优先权。然而,与TSP实施相关的一个主要问题是它对周围交通的负面影响,造成了优先考虑客运车辆与公交车辆之间的冲突。提出了一种新的分散多模态多智能体强化学习信号控制器,该控制器可以同时优化交通和公交的总延误。该控制器名为嵌入通信多智能体强化学习集成网络-多模态(eMARLIN-MM),由两个部分组成:负责将观测值转换为潜在空间的编码器和作为q网络进行时序决策的执行器。eMARLIN-MM通过在相邻的交叉口之间共享信息来建立控制代理之间的通信。eMARLIN-MM在加拿大安大略省北约克的五个十字路口的仿真模型中进行了测试。结果表明,eMARLIN-MM在不同的公交占用率水平下,与预定时信号相比,可以显著减少54%至66%的总人员延误,优于独立的深度q网络(DQN)代理。eMARLIN- mm在信号配时优化过程中也优于不考虑公交车和公交车乘客的eMARLIN。
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引用次数: 0
How realistic a bicycle simulator can be? - A validation study 自行车模拟器能有多逼真?-验证研究
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100193
Amira Hammami, Attila Borsos, Ágoston Pál Sándor
The aim of this research is to objectively and subjectively validate the virtual reality Bicycle Simulator (BS) developed using off-the-shelf components at the University of Győr, Hungary.
To this end, this research compares the performance of 32 participants in two real-world environments (Site 1: separated bicycle-pedestrian path and Site 2: advisory bicycle lane) and in their replication in virtual reality (VR). The objective measures collected for the comparison include speed and Cumulative Lateral Position (CLP), whereas subjective measures include the Perceived Level of Realism (PLR) based on participants’ self-reported perceptions in a post-experiment questionnaire. PLR is a new indicator that we propose using subjects' perceptions of speed, BS control, and VR representation. The combination of these subjective and objective measures is proposed as the Degree of Realism (DR) to standardise the classification of the realism level of a bicycle simulator.
Subjectively, the results indicate that the BS provides a high level of safety and comfort for conducting such research. Subject characteristics have no significant influence on VR sickness scores or Perceived Level of Realism. Objectively, for both speed and CLP, we found no significant difference between on-site and the simulation measurements in the case of Site 1, but otherwise for Site 2. However, subjects were not able to accurately perceive either the actual or the relative differences.
In conclusion, our bicycle simulator is a safe and comfortable traffic safety research tool that needs further improvement. The proposed preliminary concept of the degree of realism requires further investigation.
本研究的目的是客观和主观地验证虚拟现实自行车模拟器(BS)使用匈牙利Győr大学的现成组件开发。为此,本研究比较了32名参与者在两个真实世界环境中的表现(站点1:分离的自行车-人行道和站点2:咨询自行车道)以及他们在虚拟现实(VR)中的复制。比较的客观测量包括速度和累积横向位置(CLP),而主观测量包括现实主义感知水平(PLR),基于参与者在实验后问卷中自我报告的感知。PLR是一个新的指标,我们建议使用受试者对速度,BS控制和VR表征的感知。将这些主观和客观的度量结合起来,提出了真实感度(DR)来规范自行车模拟器的真实感等级的分类。主观上,结果表明BS为进行此类研究提供了高水平的安全性和舒适性。受试者特征对虚拟现实疾病得分和现实主义感知水平无显著影响。客观地说,就速度和CLP而言,我们发现在Site 1的情况下,现场和模拟测量之间没有显著差异,但对于Site 2则不然。然而,受试者不能准确地感知实际差异或相对差异。总之,我们的自行车模拟器是一个安全舒适的交通安全研究工具,需要进一步完善。提出的现实程度的初步概念需要进一步调查。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the non-linear influence of the built environment on passengers’ travel distance within metro and bus networks using smart card data 利用智能卡数据研究了地铁和公交网络内建筑环境对乘客出行距离的非线性影响
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100188
Yang Liu, Donglin He, Jiayou Lei, Mingwei He, Zhuangbin Shi
Understanding the travel behavior of transit passengers and its influencing factors is crucial for promoting transit use and alleviating urban traffic congestion. However, limited studies have examined the determinants of spatial expansion in multimodal public transportation and overlooked the nonlinear influence between variables. To address these gaps, this study employs the travel distance indicator to portray the spatial expansion of transit passengers. Using smart card data collected from Beijing, China, we propose a comprehensive trip chain extraction method within the metro and bus network, considering transfer behaviors. From the extracted trip chain data, we calculate travel distances and observe significant variations across different transit networks: an average travel distance of 8.09 km in the bus network, 14.93 km in the metro network, and 23.10 km in the integrated network. Further, we explore the non-linear relationship between transit travel distance and the built environment by employing a Gradient Boosting Regression Tree (GBRT) model. The finding reveals that the built environment exerts the most significant influence on travel distance (46.80 %), particularly regarding the distance to the nearest metro station and the central business district (CBD). Additionally, all variables exhibit non-linear effects on travel distance, with many exhibiting relevance only within specific ranges. For instance, there is a noticeable decline in travel distance when the bus stop density falls within the range of 15 units/km² and the bus coverage rate within a range of 0.8. Beyond these threshold values, the decline in travel distance becomes gradual. These findings emphasize the significance of considering non-linear relationships and threshold effects in transit and urban planning. Finally, this study provides practicable recommendations regarding non-linearities for the government that could be beneficial in promoting transit usage.
了解公交乘客的出行行为及其影响因素,对于促进公交使用、缓解城市交通拥堵具有重要意义。然而,有限的研究考察了多式联运公共交通空间扩展的决定因素,忽视了变量之间的非线性影响。为了解决这些差距,本研究采用出行距离指标来描绘过境旅客的空间扩张。基于北京的智能卡数据,在考虑换乘行为的基础上,提出了一种综合的地铁和公交网络出行链提取方法。从提取的出行链数据中,我们计算了出行距离,并观察到不同交通网络之间的显著差异:公交网络的平均出行距离为8.09 km,地铁网络的平均出行距离为14.93 km,综合网络的平均出行距离为23.10 km。此外,我们采用梯度增强回归树(GBRT)模型探讨了交通出行距离与建成环境之间的非线性关系。研究结果表明,建筑环境对出行距离的影响最为显著(46.80%),尤其是到最近的地铁站和中央商务区(CBD)的距离。此外,所有变量对旅行距离都表现出非线性影响,其中许多变量仅在特定范围内表现出相关性。例如,当公交站点密度在15个单位/km²范围内,公交覆盖率在0.8范围内时,出行距离明显下降。超过这些阈值,行进距离的下降是逐渐的。这些发现强调了在交通和城市规划中考虑非线性关系和阈值效应的重要性。最后,本研究为政府提供了有关非线性的可行建议,有助于促进公共交通的使用。
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Multimodal Transportation
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