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Sustainable and convenient: Bi-modal public transit systems outperforming the private car 可持续和便捷:双模式公共交通系统优于私家车
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2023.100083
Puneet Sharma , Knut M. Heidemann , Helge Heuer , Steffen Mühle , Stephan Herminghaus

Mobility is an indispensable part of modern human societies, but the dominance of motorized individual traffic (MIV, i.e., the private car) leads to a prohibitive waste of energy as well as other resources. Public transportation with line services, such as light rail, can pool many more passengers, thereby saving resources, but often is less convenient (longer transit times). Door-to-door shuttle services, on the other hand, are convenient but have a limited pooling efficiency due to detours scaling with shuttle occupancy. Combining line services with a fleet of shared shuttles in an integrated so-called bi-modal system may provide on-demand door-to-door service at a service level superior to current public transport with significantly less resource consumption than MIV. Here we introduce a generic model of bi-modal public transit and characterize its critical parameters of operation. We identify the conflicting objectives for optimization, i.e., user convenience and energy consumption, and evaluate the system’s performance in terms of Pareto fronts. By means of simulation and analytical theory, we find that energy consumption can be as low as 20% of MIV, at line service densities typically found in real settings. Road traffic can be reduced to less than 10% of MIV. Surprisingly, we find favorable performance not only in urban, but also in rural settings. We thereby provide a possible answer to the pressing question of designing sustainable future mobility solutions.

流动性是现代人类社会不可或缺的一部分,但机动化个人交通(MIV,即私家车)的主导地位导致了能源和其他资源的过度浪费。有线路服务的公共交通,如轻轨,可以汇集更多的乘客,从而节省资源,但通常不太方便(公交时间更长)。另一方面,门到门的班车服务很方便,但由于班车占用率的增加,拼车效率有限。在一个集成的所谓双模系统中,将线路服务与共享班车车队相结合,可以以比MIV显著更低的资源消耗,以优于当前公共交通的服务水平提供按需门到门服务。在这里,我们介绍了一个通用的双模式公共交通模型,并描述了其运行的关键参数。我们确定了相互冲突的优化目标,即用户便利性和能源消耗,并根据Pareto前沿来评估系统的性能。通过模拟和分析理论,我们发现在实际环境中通常存在的线路服务密度下,能耗可以低至MIV的20%。道路交通量可以减少到MIV的10%以下。令人惊讶的是,我们发现不仅在城市,而且在农村环境中都有良好的表现。因此,我们为设计可持续的未来移动解决方案这一紧迫问题提供了一个可能的答案。
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引用次数: 1
The evolutionary game of enterprise and driver fatigue regulation in the intelligent networked environment-A case study in Jiaozuo city, China 智能网络环境下企业与驾驶员疲劳调节的进化博弈——以焦作市为例
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2023.100081
Li Xianghong , Zheng Lanlan , Chen Jun , Niu Jiageng , Fang Xufei

To give full play to the role of fatigue supervision of intelligent monitoring platforms, We consider the shortage of the traditional management model of enterprises. The management game model of enterprises and drivers is built from the benefits of drivers. Taking 79 drivers of enterprise A in Jiaozuo City as an example, the number of fatigue violations of each driver in each of the six consecutive months was counted. Combined with the system clustering method, the drivers are classified according to the trend of the number of violations. Finally, different regulatory measures were proposed for different categories of drivers according to the evolution of the regulatory game system. The model evolution simulation results show that when the cost paid by the driver for violating the law (c) is greater than the additional benefit generated by the violation (d), the driver will choose not to drive fatigued to protect his benefits. The classification results show that drivers can be divided into four categories:① class no fatigue violation records; ② class fatigue violation records show a downward trend; ③ class fatigue violation records show wavy changes, indicating repeated violations; ④ class fatigue violation records show an upward trend. The number of violations varies for different categories of drivers. The d increases as the number of violations increases. Therefore, different management measures are proposed to increase c for the 4-type drivers so that the parameters of each type of driver satisfy the range of values of c>d. Thus, the driver evolves in the direction of no-fatigue driving. It can effectively regulate fatigue driving and improve driving safety.

为了充分发挥智能监控平台的疲劳监管作用,我们考虑了传统企业管理模式的不足。企业和驾驶员的管理博弈模型是从驾驶员的利益出发构建的。以焦作市A企业79名驾驶员为例,统计了每名驾驶员连续6个月的疲劳违章次数。结合系统聚类方法,根据违章次数的趋势对驾驶员进行分类。最后,根据监管博弈体系的演变,对不同类别的驾驶员提出了不同的监管措施。模型演化模拟结果表明,当驾驶员因违法(c)而支付的成本大于违法(d)所产生的额外利益时,驾驶员将选择不疲劳驾驶以保护其利益。分类结果表明,驾驶员可分为四类:①无疲劳违章记录;②课堂疲劳违规记录呈下降趋势;③课堂疲劳违规记录呈波浪状变化,表明违规行为反复发生;④课堂疲劳违规记录呈上升趋势。不同类别的驾驶员的违规次数各不相同。d随着违规次数的增加而增加。因此,提出了不同的管理措施来增加4型驱动器的c,使得每种类型的驱动器的参数满足c>;d.因此,驾驶员朝着无疲劳驾驶的方向发展。能有效调节疲劳驾驶,提高驾驶安全性。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating machine learning for simulating urban transport patterns: A comparison with traditional macro-models 研究用于模拟城市交通模式的机器学习:与传统宏观模型的比较
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2023.100085
Omkar Parishwad , Sida Jiang , Kun Gao

Predicting passenger flow within a city is crucial for intelligent transportation management systems, especially in the context of urban development, post-pandemic policy changes, and infrastructure improvements. Traditional macro models have limitations in accurately capturing the complex structure of real traffic flows, and recent advancements in machine learning offer promising approaches for improving transportation simulations. This research aims to compare the effectiveness of traditional simulation models with a selective machine learning (ML) model for traffic flow prediction in Oslo, Norway. Sensitivity and scenario analyses are conducted to examine the models’ parameters and derive the city’s characteristics. Results substantiate that the traditional Spatial Interaction model (SIM), although interpretable and requiring fewer parameters, has limitations in accurately capturing real flow structures and exhibits greater variability compared to the ML model. Statistical analyses support these findings and raise questions about the validity of the ML model’s results over the SIM. The research highlights the potential of ML models to identify trends in passenger flows and simulate traffic flows in different scenarios related to city development. Overall, the research presents a decision support system for planners and policymakers to predict traffic flow accurately and efficiently. It highlights the benefits and drawbacks of both the traditional SIM and ML models, contributing to the ongoing discussion of the role of machine learning in transportation modeling.

预测城市内的客流对于智能交通管理系统至关重要,尤其是在城市发展、疫情后政策变化和基础设施改善的背景下。传统的宏观模型在准确捕捉真实交通流的复杂结构方面存在局限性,而机器学习的最新进展为改进交通模拟提供了很有前途的方法。本研究旨在比较传统模拟模型与选择性机器学习(ML)模型在挪威奥斯陆交通流量预测中的有效性。进行了敏感性和情景分析,以检查模型的参数并得出城市的特征。结果证实,传统的空间相互作用模型(SIM)虽然可解释且需要较少的参数,但在准确捕捉真实流动结构方面存在局限性,并且与ML模型相比表现出更大的可变性。统计分析支持了这些发现,并对ML模型的结果在SIM上的有效性提出了质疑。该研究强调了ML模型在识别客流趋势和模拟与城市发展相关的不同场景中的交通流方面的潜力。总体而言,该研究为规划者和决策者提供了一个准确有效地预测交通流量的决策支持系统。它强调了传统SIM和ML模型的优点和缺点,有助于对机器学习在交通建模中的作用进行持续的讨论。
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引用次数: 2
Switching intention, WOM and quality of public transport services: A case of the Kuala Lumpur conurbation 转换意愿、口碑与公共交通服务质量——以吉隆坡城市群为例
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2023.100082
Muhammad Iskandar Hamzah , Siti Norida Wahab , Muhammad Hafiz Abd Rashid , Boo Ho Voon

Despite spending billions of dollars on urban transport infrastructure, Malaysia has a poor reputation for its public transit service. Consequently, the majority of urban residents continue to rely on their cars. Hence, this paper aims to understand commuters’ intention to switch from private vehicles to public transit and spread word-of-mouth (WOM) about its services and assess the roles of satisfaction and service quality as antecedents. A cross-sectional survey of 421 rail and bus passengers was undertaken in Kuala Lumpur's urban and sub-urban areas, and the data was analyzed using SmartPLS. According to the data, empathy is the strongest predictor of satisfaction with transit services. Except for reliability, the service quality characteristics influence satisfaction and yield positive indirect effects on both switching intention and WOM. Transit operators and planners should take into account that providing a pleasant and hassle-free riding experience has a substantial impact on commuter satisfaction and long-term commitment. This study contributed to the body of knowledge by exploring the intervention role of satisfaction in the relationship between service quality and switching intention, as well as WOM.

尽管马来西亚在城市交通基础设施上花费了数十亿美元,但其公共交通服务名声不佳。因此,大多数城市居民继续依赖他们的汽车。因此,本文旨在了解通勤者从私家车转向公共交通的意图,传播其服务的口碑,并评估满意度和服务质量作为前因的作用。在吉隆坡的城市和次城市地区对421名铁路和公共汽车乘客进行了横断面调查,并使用SmartPLS对数据进行了分析。数据显示,同理心是对公交服务满意度的最强预测因素。除可靠性外,服务质量特征影响满意度,并对转换意向和口碑产生正向间接影响。公交运营商和规划者应考虑到,提供愉快、无忧的乘车体验会对通勤者的满意度和长期承诺产生重大影响。本研究通过探索满意度在服务质量和转换意向以及口碑之间关系中的干预作用,为知识体系做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 2
Optimal fleet replacement management under cap-and-trade system with government subsidy uncertainty 具有政府补贴不确定性的总量管制与交易系统下的最优车队更换管理
Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2023.100077
Liyang Xiao , Jialiang Zhang , Chenghao Wang , Rui Han

China has taken a number of positive measures to meet the requirement of environmental protection. The switch to electricity especially in transport sector is considered as a promising way to reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and facilitating to meet China's carbon neutral target in 2060. Besides, because of the overall impact of the COVID-19 on the transport sector, the future measures imposed by the government on electric vehicles (EVs) remain in high uncertainty. Taking the characteristics of different vehicles, business models, uncertainty of government financial subsidies and environmental factors into consideration, a replacement optimization model for a taxi fleet is proposed in this study under the cap-and-trade system. We assume that the taxi company has four types of vehicles to purchase or lease and manage to maximum the pecuniary advantages and environmental benefits simultaneously. Experimental results analyze that EVs and battery-swap electric vehicles (BSVs) are highly competitive when government subsidies do not decline. During the early stage of the planning horizon, adjusting the fleet continuously and timely can help the company to realizing the maximum revenue.

中国采取了一系列积极措施来满足环境保护的要求。转向电力,尤其是在交通部门,被认为是减少温室气体排放和促进实现中国2060年碳中和的目标的一种很有前途的方式。此外,由于新冠肺炎对交通部门的总体影响,政府对电动汽车(EV)实施的未来措施仍具有高度的不确定性。考虑到不同车辆的特点、商业模式、政府财政补贴的不确定性和环境因素,本文提出了总量管制与交易制度下出租车车队的替代优化模型。我们假设出租车公司有四种类型的车辆可供购买或租赁,并设法同时最大限度地发挥金钱优势和环境效益。实验结果表明,在政府补贴不下降的情况下,电动汽车和电池交换电动汽车具有很强的竞争力。在规划期的早期阶段,持续及时地调整车队可以帮助公司实现收入的最大化。
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引用次数: 3
An updated literature review of CO2e calculation in road freight transportation 道路货运中二氧化碳当量计算的最新文献综述
Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2022.100068
Payam Dehdari , Helmut Wlcek , Kai Furmans

In recent decades, increasing emphasis is being placed on sustainable freight transport. The aim of this study is to discern how detailed the calculation of CO2e emissions in road transport is. For this, the study conducted a sample review with 53 scientific sources and 121 annual reports. Only 14 out of the 53 scientific sources incorporated emissions that occur as a by-product of energy supply. Not more than 14 of the 121 companies included emissions from transportation activities of both the upstream and downstream processes. Therefore, the study highlights the necessity for new and validated models to support decision-making processes that sustainably reduce CO2e emissions.

近几十年来,人们越来越重视可持续货运。这项研究的目的是了解道路运输中二氧化碳排放量的计算有多详细。为此,该研究对53个科学来源和121份年度报告进行了抽样审查。在53个科学来源中,只有14个包含了能源供应副产品的排放。121家公司中,包括上游和下游过程运输活动排放的公司不超过14家。因此,该研究强调了新的和经过验证的模型支持可持续减少二氧化碳排放的决策过程的必要性。
{"title":"An updated literature review of CO2e calculation in road freight transportation","authors":"Payam Dehdari ,&nbsp;Helmut Wlcek ,&nbsp;Kai Furmans","doi":"10.1016/j.multra.2022.100068","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.multra.2022.100068","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In recent decades, increasing emphasis is being placed on sustainable freight transport. The aim of this study is to discern how detailed the calculation of CO<sub>2</sub>e emissions in road transport is. For this, the study conducted a sample review with 53 scientific sources and 121 annual reports. Only 14 out of the 53 scientific sources incorporated emissions that occur as a by-product of energy supply. Not more than 14 of the 121 companies included emissions from transportation activities of both the upstream and downstream processes. Therefore, the study highlights the necessity for new and validated models to support decision-making processes that sustainably reduce CO<sub>2</sub>e emissions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100933,"journal":{"name":"Multimodal Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50193743","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Evaluation of three collaboration and profit sharing methods for carriers in pickup-and-delivery problems 承运人在提货和交货问题上的三种合作和利润分享方法的评估
Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2022.100066
Bhavya Padmanabhan , Nathan Huynh , William Ferrell , Vishal Badyal

This study examines three methods of collaboration and profit-sharing for less-than-truckload (LTL) carriers. The collaboration methods are evaluated under the scenario that all participating carriers share some or all of their pickup and delivery jobs with a central authority who will assign jobs to carriers and determine optimal vehicle routes to maximize profit. The novelty of this work is that it allows carriers to retain some of their jobs. Collaboration Method 1 is a two-step approach where the first step involves the central authority determining the job allocation for the shared jobs and the vehicle routes for each carrier that includes their retained and allocated jobs to maximize total profit. The second step involves dividing the total profit among the carriers using a contribution-based profit-sharing model. Collaboration Method 2 is a one-step approach where the central authority simultaneously determines the job allocation and vehicle routes, and at the same time allocates profit to the carriers with fairness constraints included in the model. Collaboration Method 3 is also a two-step approach similar to Method 1, except that in the first step, the central authority determines the job allocation and vehicle routes for only the shared jobs (not including retained jobs). Mathematical models and solution algorithms based on large neighborhood search (LNS) are proposed for all three methods. The numerical experiments are conducted using hypothetical networks with up to 30 jobs and 3 carriers. Results indicate that on an average the total profit from Method 1 is 5.3% higher than that of Method 2 and 11.88% higher than that of Method 3. The total profit from Method 2 is 6.60% higher than that of Method 3.

本研究考察了零担运输公司的三种合作和利润分享方法。在所有参与运营商与中央机构共享部分或全部取件和交付工作的情况下,对协作方法进行评估,中央机构将向运营商分配工作,并确定最佳车辆路线以实现利润最大化。这项工作的新颖之处在于,它可以让运营商保留一些工作。协作方法1是一种分两步的方法,其中第一步涉及中央当局确定共享作业的作业分配和每个运营商的车辆路线,包括其保留和分配的作业,以最大限度地提高总利润。第二步涉及使用基于贡献的利润共享模型在运营商之间划分总利润。协作方法2是一种一步到位的方法,中央当局同时确定工作分配和车辆路线,同时将利润分配给模型中包含公平约束的运营商。协作方法3也是一种类似于方法1的两步方法,只是在第一步中,中央机构仅为共享作业(不包括保留作业)确定作业分配和车辆路线。针对这三种方法,提出了基于大邻域搜索的数学模型和求解算法。数值实验是使用具有多达30个工作和3个载波的假设网络进行的。结果表明,方法1的总利润平均比方法2高5.3%,比方法3高11.88%。方法2的总利润比方法3高6.60%。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of design and behaviour of automated micro-vehicles for urban delivery on other road users’ perceptions 用于城市交付的微型自动车辆的设计和行为对其他道路使用者感知的影响
Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2023.100079
Eva-Maria Schomakers , Vivian Lotz, Felix Glawe, Martina Ziefle

New mobility concepts are needed as cities become ever more congested and polluted by traffic. One factor for the growing traffic volume is the increasing delivery traffic leading to a need for sustainable concepts for urban logistics and last-mile delivery. Innovative vehicle concepts, like automated micro-vehicles, present one promising approach. However, not much is yet known about drivers and barriers for the acceptance of these vehicles from the perspective of other road users – i.e. those people sharing traffic space with automated micro-vehicles. In two consecutive animation-based experiments (n = 107, n = 543), we analysed the effect of varying behaviour and design of automated micro-vehicles on other road users’ risk perception, trust, and acceptance. Speed, braking behaviour, automation mode, number of vehicles in convoy, distance between vehicles as well as colour design significantly affect risk perceptions, trust, and partly acceptance. The results inform the development and regulation of automated micro-vehicles.

随着城市变得越来越拥堵和交通污染,需要新的交通概念。交通量增长的一个因素是送货流量的增加,这导致了对城市物流和最后一英里送货的可持续概念的需求。创新的车辆概念,如微型自动化车辆,提供了一种很有前途的方法。然而,从其他道路使用者的角度来看,对驾驶员和接受这些车辆的障碍还知之甚少,即那些与自动微型车辆共享交通空间的人。在两个连续的基于动画的实验中(n=107,n=543),我们分析了自动微型车的不同行为和设计对其他道路使用者风险感知、信任和接受的影响。速度、制动行为、自动化模式、车队中的车辆数量、车辆之间的距离以及颜色设计显著影响风险感知、信任和部分接受度。研究结果为微型自动化车辆的开发和监管提供了依据。
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引用次数: 0
An analytical framework for modeling ride pooling efficiency and minimum fleet size 拼车效率和最小车队规模建模的分析框架
Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2023.100080
Steffen Mühle

Ride pooling (RP) is a transport mode using on-demand buses to combine the trips of multiple users into one vehicle. Its required fleet size and carbon emissions are quantified by the system’s efficiency. Due to the complex interplay between street network, buses, users and dispatch algorithm, efficiency case studies are available but bottom-up predictions are not. Here we close this gap using probabilistic and geometric arguments in an analytical model framework. Its modular design allows for adaptation to specific usage scenarios and provides an over-arching view of them. In a showcase on Euclidean spaces, our model quantifies how RP outperforms private cars as user demand increases. Its predicted power-law scaling is verified using a custom simulation framework, which further reveals improved scaling on real street networks and graphs with hierarchical structures. Henceforth, our work may help to identify street networks well-suited for RP, and predict key performance indicators analytically.

拼车(RP)是一种使用按需公交车将多个用户的行程合并为一辆车的交通模式。其所需的车队规模和碳排放量通过系统的效率进行量化。由于街道网络、公交车、用户和调度算法之间的复杂相互作用,可以进行效率案例研究,但不能进行自下而上的预测。在这里,我们在分析模型框架中使用概率和几何参数来缩小这一差距。它的模块化设计允许适应特定的使用场景,并提供了它们的总体视图。在欧几里得空间的展示中,我们的模型量化了随着用户需求的增加,RP如何优于私家车。使用自定义仿真框架验证了其预测的幂律缩放,进一步揭示了在真实街道网络和具有分层结构的图上改进的缩放。今后,我们的工作可能有助于确定非常适合RP的街道网络,并分析预测关键性能指标。
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引用次数: 6
Frequent public transit users views and attitudes toward cycling in Canada in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic 在新冠肺炎大流行背景下,加拿大经常使用公共交通工具的人对骑自行车的看法和态度
Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2022.100067
Brice Batomen , Marie-Soleil Cloutier , Matthew Palm , Michael Widener , Steven Farber , Susan J Bondy , Erica Di Ruggiero

Several Canadian cities observed a shift from public transit use to private cars and active transport modes during the COVID-19 pandemic. At a moment where pre-pandemic public transit users are reconsidering their travel options, studies describing their attitudes toward cycling are lacking. Because most trips in urban areas involve short- and mid-range travel, cycling is seen as a promising environmentally sustainable means of transportation. This study aims to describe how pre-pandemic public transit users in Toronto and Vancouver view cycling, including their comfort with available infrastructure, cycling frequency, and perceived barriers to adoption. Data from the Public Transit and COVID-19 Survey, a web-based panel survey of over 3500 regular transit riders in Toronto and Vancouver administered in May 2020 and April 2021 were analysed. Applying Geller's typology, 70% of participants could be classified as interested but concerned and one fifth as no way no how regarding their comfort levels toward cycling. Women were more likely to be no way no how cyclist type. Weather, lack of safe routes, and having to carry things were the main barriers to cycling in both cities. Our results give insight on who should be targeted by city initiatives aiming to promote changes toward more active modes of transportation. Further studies with a causal design are required to identify possible mitigating strategies to the main barriers to cycling.

在新冠肺炎大流行期间,加拿大几个城市观察到公共交通从使用私家车和积极的交通方式转变。在疫情前的公共交通用户正在重新考虑他们的出行选择之际,缺乏描述他们对自行车态度的研究。由于城市地区的大多数旅行都涉及中短途旅行,骑自行车被视为一种很有前途的环境可持续交通方式。这项研究旨在描述多伦多和温哥华疫情前的公共交通用户如何看待自行车运动,包括他们对现有基础设施的舒适度、骑行频率和感知的采用障碍。分析了公共交通和新冠肺炎调查的数据,这是一项基于网络的小组调查,于2020年5月和2021年4月对多伦多和温哥华的3500多名常规交通乘客进行了调查。应用盖勒的类型学,70%的参与者可以被归类为感兴趣但关心,五分之一的参与者对他们骑自行车的舒适度一无所知。女性更可能是一个决不会骑自行车的类型。天气、缺乏安全路线和必须携带物品是这两个城市骑自行车的主要障碍。我们的研究结果揭示了谁应该成为城市倡议的目标,这些倡议旨在促进向更积极的交通方式转变。需要进行因果设计的进一步研究,以确定可能的缓解自行车主要障碍的策略。
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引用次数: 8
期刊
Multimodal Transportation
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