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Integrating artificial intelligence and blockchain for the resilience of sustainable multimodal transport: A systematic review 整合人工智能和区块链的可持续多式联运弹性:系统综述
Pub Date : 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2026.100298
Badr Machkour , Naoufal Rouky , Ahmed Abriane
This article investigates the integration of Artificial Intelligence and blockchain within multimodal transport, with the objective of assessing their combined contribution to resilience and sustainability, while proposing an integrative conceptual model. The methodology relies on a PRISMA 2020–compliant systematic literature review covering 2019–2024. Searches were performed in Scopus, Web of Science, Cairn, IEEE Xplore, and ScienceDirect for peer-reviewed journal articles, reviews, and conference papers published in English, French, or Spanish. Titles/abstracts and full texts were screened independently by two reviewers; data were extracted using a pilot-tested coding sheet; and study quality was appraised using JBI (quantitative), CASP (qualitative), and MMAT (mixed methods). Evidence was synthesized through a SWiM-oriented thematic narrative approach and systematically reported in three evidence categories (AI-only, Blockchain-only, and AI+Blockchain). The analysis focused specifically on multimodal transport, examining the interplay between AI, blockchain, resilience, and sustainability. The review includes eighty-three studies and indicates a marked growth in publications from 2019 onward, with geographical predominance in Europe, Asia, and North America, and a prevalence of exploratory qualitative approaches centered on case studies. Four thematic axes emerge: AI’s contributions to optimization, adaptive responses, and prediction; blockchain’s role in traceability and smart contracts; joint integration logics; and conceptual frameworks of resilience and sustainability. The proposed model establishes a connection between AI–blockchain capabilities and organizational mediators such as visibility, coordination, trust, and automation. These mediators exert a direct influence on resilience dimensions, which include anticipation, absorption, adaptation, and acceleration, as well as on sustainability dimensions that encompass economic, environmental, and social aspects. The entire framework is shaped by contextual factors, notably interoperability, governance, skills, and the institutional environment. This study exposes the limits of the current literature, characterized by a lack of quantitative evidence and limited transferability, and outlines a future research agenda based on mixed methods and validated instruments. It advocates gradual adoption trajectories while emphasizing the need for strengthened data governance and the development of interoperability standards.
本文研究了人工智能和区块链在多式联运中的整合,目的是评估它们对弹性和可持续性的综合贡献,同时提出了一个整合的概念模型。该方法依赖于符合2019-2024年PRISMA 2020标准的系统文献综述。在Scopus、Web of Science、Cairn、IEEE explore和ScienceDirect中搜索以英语、法语或西班牙语发表的同行评议的期刊文章、评论和会议论文。题目/摘要和全文由两位审稿人独立筛选;使用试点测试的编码表提取数据;采用JBI(定量)、CASP(定性)和MMAT(混合方法)评价研究质量。证据通过以swim为导向的主题叙事方法合成,并系统地报告了三个证据类别(AI-only, Blockchain-only和AI+区块链)。该分析特别关注多式联运,研究了人工智能、区块链、弹性和可持续性之间的相互作用。该综述包括83项研究,并表明自2019年以来出版物显著增长,地理优势在欧洲、亚洲和北美,并且以案例研究为中心的探索性定性方法普遍存在。出现了四个主题轴:人工智能对优化、自适应反应和预测的贡献;区块链在可追溯性和智能合约中的作用;联合集成逻辑;以及弹性和可持续性的概念框架。提出的模型在人工智能区块链功能和组织中介(如可见性、协调、信任和自动化)之间建立了联系。这些中介因素对弹性维度(包括预期、吸收、适应和加速)以及可持续性维度(包括经济、环境和社会方面)产生直接影响。整个框架是由上下文因素形成的,特别是互操作性、治理、技能和制度环境。本研究揭示了当前文献的局限性,其特点是缺乏定量证据和有限的可转移性,并概述了基于混合方法和验证工具的未来研究议程。它主张逐步采用轨迹,同时强调需要加强数据治理和互操作性标准的开发。
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引用次数: 0
A foundational dwell time model for regional railways 区域铁路基本停留时间模型
Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2026.100290
Kenneth Ng, Nirajan Shiwakoti, Peter Stasinopoulos
This study presents a novel foundational Regional Dwell Time (RDT) Model tailored for regional railway networks, addressing the gap of existing dwell time models specifically designed for this type of railway. Using video-based observations from Victoria, Australia, empirical data were collected and analysed to develop a statistical regression model integrating passenger flow dynamics and operational constants such as door operation and train dispatch procedures. The proposed RDT Model was calibrated and validated against 398 regional train services at two stations. The model was compared with established statistical dwell time models in the literature. The RDT Model demonstrated superior predictive accuracy, with significantly lower error metrics (RMSE, MAPE, MAE) compared to alternative models. The study emphasizes the significance of operational time in dwell time estimations and highlights opportunities for reducing dwell time through improved operational procedures. Findings suggest the RDT Model's adaptability to various other regional railways, provided operational constants are recalibrated. This model serves as a proof-of-concept and a novel framework for dwell time modelling in peri‑urban regional railways, with broader applicability contingent on future multi-corridor validation. Future research on regional railways should aim to build on this type of model and explore real-time data integration and machine learning techniques to enhance predictive capabilities and network efficiency.
本研究提出了一种针对区域铁路网络的新型基础区域停留时间(RDT)模型,解决了专为这类铁路设计的现有停留时间模型的空白。利用来自澳大利亚维多利亚州的基于视频的观察,收集并分析了经验数据,以建立一个统计回归模型,该模型将客流动态与车门操作和列车调度程序等操作常数相结合。建议的RDT模型针对两个车站的398次区域列车服务进行了校准和验证。将该模型与文献中建立的统计停留时间模型进行了比较。与其他模型相比,RDT模型具有较好的预测准确性,误差指标(RMSE, MAPE, MAE)显着降低。该研究强调了作业时间在停留时间估计中的重要性,并强调了通过改进作业程序来减少停留时间的机会。研究结果表明,在重新校准运营常数的情况下,RDT模型对其他各种区域铁路具有适应性。该模型可作为城郊区域铁路停留时间建模的概念验证和新框架,在未来的多通道验证中具有更广泛的适用性。未来对区域铁路的研究应该以这种类型的模型为基础,探索实时数据集成和机器学习技术,以提高预测能力和网络效率。
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引用次数: 0
Real-Time delay prediction for single-track intercity railways 单轨城际铁路实时延误预测
Pub Date : 2025-12-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100288
Ratthaphong Meesit, Rathathammanoon Suwannasri
Thailand’s intercity railway system is dominated by single-track operations, where limited passing loops, priority rules and aging infrastructure make services highly vulnerable to delay propagation. Existing analytical and simulation-based methods struggle to capture complex, non-linear interactions between operational factors, infrastructure constraints, and real-time information. This study introduces a real-time delay prediction framework specifically designed for single-track intercity railways, integrating both scheduled features and evolving en-route conditions. A cross-validated random forest model, enhanced with explainable SHAP analysis, is developed to generate real-time predictions of arrival delays at destination stations. The model demonstrates strong predictive accuracy (R² = 0.84; MAE = 2.53 min), with 87.5% of forecasts fall within 5 min of actual arrival delay and 94.9% fall within 10 min, confirming its suitability for operational decision support. SHAP interpretation reveals that real-time delay propagation variables dominate prediction outcomes, while service characteristics and infrastructure factors contribute secondary but meaningful effects. The proposed framework provides practical, real-time value for dispatchers, enabling proactive routing decisions, congestion mitigation, and improved passenger communication. This work offers one of the first explainable machine-learning delay prediction models tailored to single-track railway operations and presents insights applicable to similarly constrained rail systems worldwide.
泰国城际铁路系统以单轨运营为主,有限的通过环路、优先规则和老化的基础设施使服务极易受到延迟传播的影响。现有的基于分析和仿真的方法难以捕捉操作因素、基础设施约束和实时信息之间复杂的非线性交互。本研究引入了一个专为单线城际铁路设计的实时延误预测框架,该框架整合了计划特征和不断变化的路线条件。开发了一个交叉验证的随机森林模型,增强了可解释的SHAP分析,以生成目的地车站到达延误的实时预测。模型具有较强的预测精度(R²= 0.84;MAE = 2.53 min), 87.5%的预测落在实际到达延误的5 min以内,94.9%的预测落在实际到达延误的10 min以内,证实了模型对运营决策支持的适用性。SHAP解释表明,实时延迟传播变量在预测结果中占主导地位,而服务特征和基础设施因素则是次要但有意义的影响。所提出的框架为调度员提供了实用、实时的价值,实现了主动路由决策、缓解拥堵和改善乘客沟通。这项工作提供了针对单轨铁路运营量身定制的首批可解释的机器学习延迟预测模型之一,并提供了适用于全球类似受限铁路系统的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating multimodal integration of metro and feeder bus services in Bengaluru using integrated analytical and perception based methods 使用综合分析和基于感知的方法评估班加罗尔地铁和接驳巴士服务的多模式整合
Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100287
Veeresh Kori , Seelam Srikanth , Subhashish Dey
Rapid urban growth in Bengaluru has increased the need for well-integrated metro rail and feeder bus systems to improve accessibility and support sustainable urban mobility. This study aimed to assess the current level of integration and identify priority strategies for improvement using a combination of quantitative and perception-based methods. Data were collected through structured surveys at three major metro stations such as Baiyappanahalli, Majestic and Yeshwantpur covering commuter perceptions across 18 service indicators. The Sustainability Integration Index (SII) showed that Majestic station achieved the highest integration score (77.23%), followed by Baiyappanahalli (72.42%) and Yeshwantpur (65.04%). Policy analysis indicated that increasing bus frequency produced the greatest improvement in integration (+4.66%). Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA) identified seven latent factors explaining 70.41% of the variance in perceptions, with frequency, reliability, and safety emerging as the most influential dimensions. Importance-Performance Analysis (IPA) revealed that while speed and reliability were perceived as strengths, waiting conditions had the largest negative performance gap (–0.814), highlighting a critical area for improvement. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) was applied to rank policy interventions, with experts assigning the highest priority to increasing bus frequency (49.06%) over implementing a single ticketing system and relocating bus stops. Overall, the findings confirm that enhancing service frequency, improving operational reliability, and simplifying fare systems are essential strategies to strengthen multimodal integration and encourage greater use of public transport in Bengaluru.
班加罗尔的快速城市发展增加了对良好整合的地铁轨道和接驳巴士系统的需求,以改善可达性并支持可持续的城市交通。本研究旨在评估当前的整合水平,并利用定量和基于感知的方法相结合,确定改进的优先战略。数据是通过在Baiyappanahalli、Majestic和Yeshwantpur等三个主要地铁站进行的结构化调查收集的,涵盖了通勤者对18项服务指标的看法。可持续整合指数(SII)显示,Majestic站的综合得分最高(77.23%),其次是Baiyappanahalli站(72.42%)和Yeshwantpur站(65.04%)。政策分析表明,增加公交频率对一体化的改善最大(+4.66%)。探索性因素分析(EFA)确定了七个潜在因素,解释了70.41%的感知差异,其中频率、可靠性和安全性成为最具影响力的维度。重要性-性能分析(IPA)显示,虽然速度和可靠性被认为是优势,但等待条件的性能差距最大(-0.814),突出了需要改进的关键领域。采用层次分析法(AHP)对政策干预进行排序,专家们认为增加公交频率(49.06%)比实施单一售票系统和搬迁公交车站优先。总体而言,研究结果证实,提高服务频率、提高运营可靠性和简化票价系统是加强班加罗尔多式联运一体化和鼓励更多使用公共交通的重要策略。
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引用次数: 0
A demand response to line planning 对线路规划的需求响应
Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100285
Prasetyaning Diah Rizky Lestari , Ronghui Liu , Richard Batley
As a linking factor between supply and demand, line planning is a crucial aspect of long-term railway planning. It aims to create a viable line system that optimises specific objectives by determining stop patterns and service frequencies to meet the predicted passenger demand. In the proposed model, railway operators can choose from different line plan designs based on line planning outcomes. The objective functions include economic objectives, focusing on either cost or capacity. We introduce a model to examine how demand responds to different line plans. This study focuses on stop patterns and service frequencies as the primary factors of line plan-related service quality. The model is intended as a tool for policymaking and evaluating attractiveness through metrics including generalised journey time (GJT) and/or generalised cost. The changes in demand for different line plan designs are simulated using the proposed metrics until equilibrium between the assignment and demand model is reached. This proposed model represents a significant advancement, providing reliable line plans for decision-making. It applies a similar approach commonly used for timetable-related service quality, enhancing railway planning effectiveness. To validate the model, we present a case study of a small-scale future network for Indonesia’s Jakarta-Surabaya semi-high-speed train.
线路规划作为连接供需关系的纽带,是铁路长期规划的重要内容。它的目标是创建一个可行的线路系统,通过确定停靠模式和服务频率来优化特定目标,以满足预测的乘客需求。在提出的模型中,铁路运营商可以根据线路规划结果选择不同的线路规划设计。目标函数包括经济目标,侧重于成本或能力。我们引入了一个模型来检验需求如何响应不同的线路规划。本研究以停车模式和服务频率作为影响线路计划相关服务品质的主要因素。该模型旨在作为决策工具,并通过包括广义旅程时间(GJT)和/或广义成本在内的指标来评估吸引力。利用所提出的指标模拟不同线路平面设计的需求变化,直到分配模型和需求模型达到平衡。这个提出的模型代表了一个重大的进步,为决策提供了可靠的线路计划。它采用了与时刻表相关的服务质量类似的方法,提高了铁路规划的有效性。为了验证该模型,我们提出了一个关于印度尼西亚雅加达-泗水半高速列车的小型未来网络的案例研究。
{"title":"A demand response to line planning","authors":"Prasetyaning Diah Rizky Lestari ,&nbsp;Ronghui Liu ,&nbsp;Richard Batley","doi":"10.1016/j.multra.2025.100285","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.multra.2025.100285","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As a linking factor between supply and demand, line planning is a crucial aspect of long-term railway planning. It aims to create a viable line system that optimises specific objectives by determining stop patterns and service frequencies to meet the predicted passenger demand. In the proposed model, railway operators can choose from different line plan designs based on line planning outcomes. The objective functions include economic objectives, focusing on either cost or capacity. We introduce a model to examine how demand responds to different line plans. This study focuses on stop patterns and service frequencies as the primary factors of line plan-related service quality. The model is intended as a tool for policymaking and evaluating attractiveness through metrics including generalised journey time (GJT) and/or generalised cost. The changes in demand for different line plan designs are simulated using the proposed metrics until equilibrium between the assignment and demand model is reached. This proposed model represents a significant advancement, providing reliable line plans for decision-making. It applies a similar approach commonly used for timetable-related service quality, enhancing railway planning effectiveness. To validate the model, we present a case study of a small-scale future network for Indonesia’s Jakarta-Surabaya semi-high-speed train.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100933,"journal":{"name":"Multimodal Transportation","volume":"5 2","pages":"Article 100285"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145799758","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Path planning methods for autonomous vehicles at intersections: A review 交叉口自动驾驶车辆路径规划方法综述
Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100286
Akhil Vinayak , Muhammad Aizzat Zakaria , Maryam Younus , Mohamad Heerwan Peeie , M. Izhar Ishak
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) rapidly transform transportation, potentially enhancing safety, efficiency, and traffic flow. However, intersections remain a critical challenge for AVs due to the complex interactions with other vehicles, pedestrians, and dynamic traffic signals. Effective path planning at intersections is essential for AVs to navigate these environments safely and efficiently. Although numerous reviews have been published on path planning, limited attention has been devoted specifically to intersections. This review paper presents a comprehensive analysis of major path-planning methods used in Autonomous Vehicle (AV) navigation at intersections, including graph-based, sampling-based, curve-based, optimization-based, and machine learning–based approaches, while also examining emerging AI-driven path planners to better understand their capabilities. Each method is analysed in terms of its strengths, limitations, and applicability to real-world scenarios, focusing on the specific demands of intersection navigation. Furthermore, the review highlights key challenges such as handling dynamic multi-agent environments, managing interactions with human-driven vehicles, and balancing computational efficiency with path optimality and discusses potential solutions through adaptive, real-time algorithms, cooperative planning, and predictive modelling. Overall, this review aims to support the development of AV path planning, ultimately contributing to safer and more efficient autonomous systems in urban environments.
自动驾驶汽车(AVs)迅速改变了交通方式,有可能提高安全性、效率和交通流量。然而,由于与其他车辆、行人和动态交通信号的复杂互动,十字路口仍然是自动驾驶汽车面临的一个关键挑战。在十字路口进行有效的路径规划对于自动驾驶汽车安全高效地在这些环境中行驶至关重要。虽然已经发表了许多关于道路规划的评论,但对十字路口的特别关注有限。这篇综述文章全面分析了自动驾驶汽车(AV)在十字路口导航中使用的主要路径规划方法,包括基于图的、基于采样的、基于曲线的、基于优化的和基于机器学习的方法,同时也研究了新兴的人工智能驱动的路径规划器,以更好地了解它们的能力。针对十字路口导航的具体需求,分析了每种方法的优势、局限性和对现实场景的适用性。此外,该综述还强调了关键挑战,如处理动态多智能体环境、管理与人类驾驶车辆的交互、平衡计算效率和路径最优性,并讨论了通过自适应、实时算法、协作规划和预测建模的潜在解决方案。总的来说,本综述旨在支持自动驾驶路径规划的发展,最终为城市环境中更安全、更高效的自动驾驶系统做出贡献。
{"title":"Path planning methods for autonomous vehicles at intersections: A review","authors":"Akhil Vinayak ,&nbsp;Muhammad Aizzat Zakaria ,&nbsp;Maryam Younus ,&nbsp;Mohamad Heerwan Peeie ,&nbsp;M. Izhar Ishak","doi":"10.1016/j.multra.2025.100286","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.multra.2025.100286","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Autonomous vehicles (AVs) rapidly transform transportation, potentially enhancing safety, efficiency, and traffic flow. However, intersections remain a critical challenge for AVs due to the complex interactions with other vehicles, pedestrians, and dynamic traffic signals. Effective path planning at intersections is essential for AVs to navigate these environments safely and efficiently. Although numerous reviews have been published on path planning, limited attention has been devoted specifically to intersections. This review paper presents a comprehensive analysis of major path-planning methods used in Autonomous Vehicle (AV) navigation at intersections, including graph-based, sampling-based, curve-based, optimization-based, and machine learning–based approaches, while also examining emerging AI-driven path planners to better understand their capabilities. Each method is analysed in terms of its strengths, limitations, and applicability to real-world scenarios, focusing on the specific demands of intersection navigation. Furthermore, the review highlights key challenges such as handling dynamic multi-agent environments, managing interactions with human-driven vehicles, and balancing computational efficiency with path optimality and discusses potential solutions through adaptive, real-time algorithms, cooperative planning, and predictive modelling. Overall, this review aims to support the development of AV path planning, ultimately contributing to safer and more efficient autonomous systems in urban environments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100933,"journal":{"name":"Multimodal Transportation","volume":"5 2","pages":"Article 100286"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145799757","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “A Method for Determining Pickup and Delivery Locations of Intercity Customized Bus based on Passenger Demand and POIs” [Multimodal Transp. 2(2026) /100270] “基于乘客需求和poi确定城际定制巴士接送地点的方法”的勘误表[多式联运,2(2026)/100270]
Pub Date : 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100283
Yueying Huo , Huijuan Zhou , Feng Hao , Man Zhang , Yachao Liu
{"title":"Corrigendum to “A Method for Determining Pickup and Delivery Locations of Intercity Customized Bus based on Passenger Demand and POIs” [Multimodal Transp. 2(2026) /100270]","authors":"Yueying Huo ,&nbsp;Huijuan Zhou ,&nbsp;Feng Hao ,&nbsp;Man Zhang ,&nbsp;Yachao Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.multra.2025.100283","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.multra.2025.100283","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100933,"journal":{"name":"Multimodal Transportation","volume":"5 2","pages":"Article 100283"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145750072","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to Autonomous fleet management system in smart ports: Practical design and analytical considerations [Multimodal Transp. 4 (2025) /100211] 智能港口自主车队管理系统的勘误表:实际设计和分析考虑[多式联运,4 (2025)/100211]
Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100267
Rui Chen , Jing Zhang , Hua Wang
{"title":"Corrigendum to Autonomous fleet management system in smart ports: Practical design and analytical considerations [Multimodal Transp. 4 (2025) /100211]","authors":"Rui Chen ,&nbsp;Jing Zhang ,&nbsp;Hua Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.multra.2025.100267","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.multra.2025.100267","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100933,"journal":{"name":"Multimodal Transportation","volume":"4 4","pages":"Article 100267"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145790179","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Catboost - SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) car following model: Explaining model features in mixed traffic conditions Catboost - SHapley加性解释(SHAP)汽车跟随模型:解释混合交通条件下的模型特征
Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100284
Tianyang Cui , D. J. Wu , Zejiang Wang
Car-following behavior is critical for traffic management, road design, and the development of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous vehicles (AVs). Traditional theory-based car-following models are widely used in traffic simulations but rely on simplified assumptions, limiting their ability to capture the complexity of real-world driving. In contrast, machine learning (ML) models can leverage large datasets to uncover complex driving behaviors. However, a major limitation of ML models is their lack of interpretability. Moreover, the rise of AVs has introduced mixed-traffic environments where AVs and human-driven vehicles share the road. Understanding different interaction scenarios—such as AVs following human drivers (AH), human drivers following AVs (HA), and human drivers following other humans (HH)—is essential for accurate modeling and safe AV deployment. To address these challenges, we propose a car-following modeling framework that integrates the CatBoost algorithm with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). CatBoost handles both numerical and categorical data, enabling the development of scenario-specific models (AH, HA, HH) and a unified car-following model incorporating scenario type as a feature. SHAP enhances interpretability by quantifying the contribution of each model feature, e.g., speed and inter-vehicle distance, across scenarios. We apply this framework to the Lyft Level-5 dataset to analyze feature importance and evaluate how scenario type moderates driving behavior. The insights derived from our analysis support the design of more adaptive AV control strategies and inform transportation policies for the safe integration of AVs into modern traffic systems.
车辆跟随行为对于交通管理、道路设计以及先进驾驶辅助系统(ADAS)和自动驾驶汽车(AVs)的开发至关重要。传统的基于理论的汽车跟随模型广泛应用于交通模拟,但依赖于简化的假设,限制了它们捕捉真实驾驶复杂性的能力。相比之下,机器学习(ML)模型可以利用大型数据集来揭示复杂的驾驶行为。然而,ML模型的一个主要限制是它们缺乏可解释性。此外,自动驾驶汽车的兴起引入了混合交通环境,自动驾驶汽车和人类驾驶的车辆共享道路。了解不同的交互场景——例如自动驾驶汽车跟随人类驾驶员(AH),人类驾驶员跟随自动驾驶汽车(HA),以及人类驾驶员跟随其他人(HH)——对于准确建模和安全部署自动驾驶汽车至关重要。为了解决这些挑战,我们提出了一个将CatBoost算法与SHapley加性解释(SHAP)集成在一起的汽车跟随建模框架。CatBoost可以处理数值和分类数据,从而能够开发特定于场景的模型(AH, HA, HH)和将场景类型作为特征的统一汽车跟随模型。SHAP通过量化每个模型特征的贡献来增强可解释性,例如跨场景的速度和车辆间距离。我们将此框架应用于Lyft Level-5数据集,以分析特征的重要性,并评估场景类型如何调节驾驶行为。从我们的分析中得出的见解支持设计更具适应性的自动驾驶控制策略,并为将自动驾驶汽车安全集成到现代交通系统中的交通政策提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
A bi-objective slot allocation model under airport capacity and resource utilization 考虑机场容量和资源利用的双目标机位分配模型
Pub Date : 2025-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.multra.2025.100273
Priyadarshan Loshan, Loshaka Perera
Most airports operate below their declared capacity, yet expansion through costly infrastructure development remains the primary strategy for meeting the rising demand for flights. Inefficient slot allocation, underutilised airside resources, and a lack of detailed demand–capacity analysis hinder performance, leading to rejected slot requests that may cost the industry billions of dollars annually. This research proposes a practical alternative: optimizing existing capacity before pursuing expansion using a bi-objective mathematical model. This model simultaneously maximizes the utilisation of runway, apron, and terminal gate capacity through revised slot scheduling, and incorporates real-time operational constraints to minimise delay propagation while maintaining separation minima. The model was validated using real data from Bandaranaike International Airport-Colombo (BIA). The proposed linear programming model demonstrated increased average airside resource utilisation on peak days, from 44.9% to 62.7%, while ensuring that the current schedule peak traffic intensities are maintained. Through delay optimization, the proposed schedule is capable of reducing congestion and cumulative delays compared to the non-optimized schedule, mainly when delays are propagated due to uncertainties. With an average delay reduction of 140.80 min per scenario, the model's validity was confirmed, providing strong evidence of its robustness and reliability. These results demonstrate the potential of optimized slot allocation as a decision-support tool, enabling fairer access for new entrants, reducing delays, and enhancing efficiency across existing operations.
大多数机场的运营低于其宣布的运力,但通过昂贵的基础设施建设进行扩张仍然是满足不断增长的航班需求的主要策略。低效的机位分配、未充分利用的空侧资源以及缺乏详细的需求-容量分析都阻碍了性能,导致机位请求被拒绝,这可能导致该行业每年损失数十亿美元。本研究提出了一种实用的替代方案:利用双目标数学模型优化现有产能,然后再追求扩张。该模型通过修正的机位调度,同时最大限度地利用跑道、停机坪和航站楼登机口的容量,并结合实时操作约束,以最大限度地减少延误传播,同时保持最小的间隔。该模型使用班达拉奈克-科伦坡国际机场(BIA)的真实数据进行了验证。建议的线性规划模型显示,在高峰日,平均空侧资源利用率从44.9%提高到62.7%,同时确保维持目前的时间表高峰交通强度。通过延迟优化,与未优化的调度相比,提出的调度能够减少拥塞和累积延迟,主要是当延迟由于不确定性而传播时。每个场景平均延迟减少140.80 min,验证了模型的有效性,有力地证明了模型的鲁棒性和可靠性。这些结果证明了优化时段分配作为决策支持工具的潜力,可以为新进入者提供更公平的准入,减少延误,并提高现有业务的效率。
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引用次数: 0
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Multimodal Transportation
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