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Creative innovation in golf course architecture and retrospective judgments of quality 高尔夫球场建筑的创造性创新和质量的回顾性判断
Pub Date : 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.serev.2025.100054
Daniel Ackerberg , Douglas J. Hodgson
In creative fields, supply is often thought to precede demand, rather than reacting to it, the source of Richard Caves’ influential “nobody knows” property, which is especially strong at points of significant stylistic change. Producers compete to promote new work, often through polemics that demarcate new styles from predominant ones by assigning new meanings to historical styles that are held to possess important meanings that are revived in the new style. This retrospective revaluation of past styles, “reputational entrepreneurship”, is meant to influence preferences of consumers (and thus demand), the efficacity of which may be measurable in some cases; for example, golf course architecture, where periodic magazine rankings of golf courses exist. We empirically evaluate the efficacity of a polemic advanced in the early 1990s by young architects (entrepreneurs in the reputational and professional senses) seeking to advance the reputation of pre-war relative to post-war architecture. We measure changes in consensus judgments through changes in biannual magazine rankings of the 100 Greatest Courses in the United States, and find that the rankings evolved in favor of pre-war as opposed to post-war (1945–1985) courses. We situate our analysis with reference to developments in the golf industry, discursive consecration of specific ideals as to the character of golf itself, and the propagation of the latter via appeals to social distinction. We relate our results to a Bourdieusian model of interdependence of demand and supply in creative fields undergoing major change, as well as to the literature on related questions in the field of conventional architecture, especially the triumph of Postmodernism.
在创意领域,供应通常被认为先于需求,而不是对需求做出反应,这就是理查德•凯夫斯(Richard Caves)那句颇具影响力的“无人知晓”(nobody knows)名言的来源,在风格发生重大变化时,这句话尤其有力。制作人竞相推广新作品,通常是通过争论来区分新风格和主流风格,给那些被认为具有重要意义的历史风格赋予新的意义,而这些意义在新风格中得到了复兴。这种对过去风格的回顾性重新评估,即“声誉创业”,旨在影响消费者的偏好(从而影响需求),其效率在某些情况下可能是可衡量的;例如,高尔夫球场的建筑,有高尔夫球场的定期杂志排名。我们从经验上评估了20世纪90年代初由年轻建筑师(声誉和专业意义上的企业家)发起的一场论战的有效性,这场论战旨在提高战前建筑相对于战后建筑的声誉。我们通过两年一次的杂志对美国100个最伟大球场排名的变化来衡量共识判断的变化,发现排名的演变倾向于战前而不是战后(1945-1985)的球场。我们将我们的分析定位于高尔夫产业的发展,对高尔夫本身特征的具体理想的话语奉献,以及通过呼吁社会区别来传播后者。我们将我们的研究结果与正在发生重大变化的创意领域的供需相互依存的布尔迪乌模型联系起来,以及与传统建筑领域相关问题的文献,特别是后现代主义的胜利。
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引用次数: 0
Announcement of the 2024 best paper of Sports Economics Review 公布2024年《体育经济评论》最佳论文
Pub Date : 2025-05-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.serev.2025.100052
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引用次数: 0
On bogey teams and circular triads: Psychological factors in team performance 论忌球队与循环三人组:心理因素对球队表现的影响
Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.serev.2025.100051
Jan C. van Ours
Team performance depends not only on the individual abilities of its members and cooperation between them but also on psychological factors such as confidence, rivalry, and perceived pressure. In a regular work environment, it is challenging to isolate the contribution of psychological factors. Analyzing sports data can be insightful, as performance metrics are widely available. This paper focuses on two phenomena that highlight the impact of psychological factors: bogey teams and circular triads. A “bogey team” refers to a team that consistently outperforms another team, often defying expectations. Circular triads involve non-transitive match outcomes among trios of teams. Using balanced panel data from the top league of Dutch football, the analysis identifies both bogey team relationships and circular triads in match outcomes. Clearly, psychological factors play a significant role in shaping team performance.
团队绩效不仅取决于成员的个人能力和团队之间的合作,还取决于诸如信心、竞争、感知压力等心理因素。在常规的工作环境中,很难将心理因素孤立出来。分析体育数据可能很有见地,因为性能指标广泛可用。本文重点研究了心理因素影响较为突出的两种现象:忌球队和圆三合会。“bogey team”指的是一支球队的表现总是超出另一支球队的预期。循环三元组涉及三个团队之间的非传递匹配结果。利用来自荷兰顶级足球联赛的平衡面板数据,该分析确定了比赛结果中的忌忌球队关系和循环三角关系。显然,心理因素在塑造团队绩效方面起着重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
A Bayesian framework for analyzing alleged cheating in sports through hidden codes, with applications to bridge and baseball 一个贝叶斯框架,用于通过隐藏代码分析体育运动中的作弊行为,应用于桥牌和棒球
Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.serev.2025.100050
Aafko Boonstra, Ronald Meester
We develop a statistical framework to evaluate evidence of alleged cheating involving illegal signaling in sports from a forensic perspective. We explain why, instead of a frequentist procedure, a Bayesian approach is called for. We apply this framework to cases of alleged cheating in professional bridge and professional baseball. The diversity of these applications illustrates the generality of the method.
我们开发了一个统计框架,以评估证据涉嫌作弊涉及非法信号在体育从法医的角度。我们解释了为什么要采用贝叶斯方法而不是频率论方法。我们将这一框架应用于职业桥牌和职业棒球中涉嫌作弊的案件。这些应用的多样性说明了该方法的通用性。
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引用次数: 0
Physical decline rates: Men versus women 身体衰退率:男性与女性
Pub Date : 2025-02-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.serev.2025.100049
Ray C. Fair
This paper uses world records by age in running, swimming, and rowing to estimate a biological frontier of decline rates for both men and women. Decline rates are assumed to be linear in percent terms up to a certain age and then quadratic after that, where the transition age is estimated. The use of world records avoids the possible problem of survivor bias in a sample.
The decline rates are smallest for rowing, followed by swimming and then running. Decline rates for women are roughly the same as those for men for the swimming events. They are slightly larger for the rowing events. They are largest for running. The age at which there is a 50 percent decline from age 30 ranges from 70 to 89, an optimistic result for humans. Ten year decline rates from age 40 to about the mid 60's are about 10 percent for running and 5 percent for swimming and rowing.
本文使用跑步、游泳和划船的世界年龄记录来估计男性和女性下降率的生物学前沿。假设下降率在一定年龄之前以百分比表示为线性,然后在此之后以二次曲线表示,在此之后估计过渡年龄。使用世界纪录避免了样本中可能存在的幸存者偏差问题。赛艇的下降幅度最小,其次是游泳,然后是跑步。在游泳项目中,女性的下降率与男性大致相同。赛艇项目的尺寸稍大一些。它们是跑步时最大的。比30岁减少50%的年龄范围是70 ~ 89岁,这对人类来说是一个乐观的结果。从40岁到60岁中期,跑步的10年下降率约为10%,游泳和划船的下降率约为5%。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of physical activity on cognition in children and adolescents: From core concepts to findings and implementation in practise 体育活动对儿童和青少年认知的影响:从核心概念到研究结果和实践实施
Pub Date : 2025-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.serev.2025.100048
Carina Steckenleiter
This paper provides an overview of the literature on effects of physical activity on cognition for children and adolescents. Aimed as a starting point into this active research field, it guides the interested reader from core concepts, a summary of research findings to characteristics of successful programs as well as barriers and motives for participation.
本文综述了有关体育活动对儿童和青少年认知影响的文献。本书旨在作为进入这一活跃研究领域的起点,引导感兴趣的读者从核心概念、研究成果总结到成功项目的特征以及参与的障碍和动机。
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引用次数: 0
Referee bias in football: Actual vs. expected additional time 足球裁判的偏见:实际加时vs预期加时
Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.serev.2025.100047
Alperen Kocsoy
This study introduces ball-in-play time as a novel variable to assess potential referee bias in football concerning additional time decisions. The study begins by calculating the expected additional times using ball-in-play data. Hence, any systematic difference between actual and expected additional time can be considered ‘bias’ if the difference depends on the winner. By using matches played behind closed doors during the Covid-19 pandemic as a natural experiment, the analysis reveals a trend that referees exhibit a bias towards home teams, but crucially, only in the presence of fans. This suggests that social pressure exerted by fans significantly influences individuals’ decisions. Moreover, the magnitude of this bias increases with crowd size. Then, the study examines the post-pandemic period, exploring whether referees adjusted to a more impartial stance due to their experience during matches played behind closed doors. The propensity to favour home teams remains prevalent once fans return to the stadiums. Furthermore, the study shows no significant association between referee experience or quality and referee bias. The study concludes with a recommendation to mitigate the bias.
本研究引入比赛时间作为一个新的变量来评估足球裁判在加时判罚中的潜在偏见。这项研究首先使用球中数据计算预期的额外时间。因此,如果实际和预期额外时间之间的任何系统差异取决于获胜者,则可以认为是“偏差”。通过将新冠肺炎大流行期间的闭门比赛作为自然实验,分析揭示了一种趋势,即裁判表现出对主队的偏见,但关键是,只有在球迷在场的情况下。这表明球迷施加的社会压力显著影响了个人的决定。此外,这种偏差的程度随着人群规模的增加而增加。然后,该研究考察了大流行后的时期,探讨裁判是否由于他们在闭门比赛中的经验而调整到更公正的立场。球迷们回到球场后,对主队的偏爱仍然很普遍。此外,研究显示裁判经验或素质与裁判偏见之间没有显著的关联。该研究最后提出了减轻这种偏见的建议。
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引用次数: 0
‘Good job!’ the impact of positive and negative feedback on performance 干得好!"积极和消极反馈对绩效的影响
Pub Date : 2024-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.serev.2024.100045
Daniel Goller , Maximilian Späth
We analyze the effect of positive and negative feedback on professional performance. For this, we exploit a unique data source in which quasi-random, naturally occurring variations within subjective ratings serve as positive and negative feedback. Our analysis suggests that receiving positive feedback has a favorable impact on subsequent performance, while negative feedback does not have an effect. These main results are found in two distinct environments and for different cultural backgrounds, experiences, and genders of the feedback recipients. The favorable impact of positive feedback is short-term, repeatable, and stronger for highly relevant tasks.
我们分析了积极和消极反馈对专业绩效的影响。为此,我们利用了一个独特的数据源,将主观评分中自然出现的准随机变化作为积极和消极反馈。我们的分析表明,获得积极反馈会对后续绩效产生有利影响,而消极反馈则没有影响。这些主要结果是在两种不同的环境中,针对不同的文化背景、经历和反馈接受者的性别发现的。积极反馈的有利影响是短期的、可重复的,而且对高度相关的任务影响更大。
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引用次数: 0
Within-game uncertainty of outcome and the demand for professional basketball on television 赛内结果的不确定性与电视对职业篮球的需求
Pub Date : 2024-10-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.serev.2024.100044
John Solow , Patrick Reilly , Peter von Allmen
This paper provides one of the first tests of the within-game uncertainty of outcome hypothesis. We examine the relationship between the demand for nationally televised regular season NBA basketball viewing and outcome uncertainty while the games are being played. We use granular television viewing and scoring data and account for the dynamics of television viewing. We find evidence of modest but statistically significant effects of outcome uncertainty on the size of the TV viewing audience which occur largely at the end of the game, supporting the uncertainty of outcome hypothesis. These effects are subject to diminishing marginal returns. We also find evidence of a sizable independent loss of viewers at halftime and the end of games that is unrelated to outcome uncertainty.
本文首次对比赛结果的不确定性假设进行了检验。我们研究了 NBA 篮球比赛进行期间全国电视转播常规赛收视需求与比赛结果不确定性之间的关系。我们使用了细粒度的电视收视和得分数据,并考虑了电视收视的动态变化。我们发现有证据表明,比赛结果的不确定性对电视观众人数的影响不大,但在统计上却很显著,这种影响主要发生在比赛结束时,支持了比赛结果不确定性假说。这些影响的边际收益递减。我们还发现有证据表明,在中场休息和比赛结束时会有相当大的独立观众流失,这与结果的不确定性无关。
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引用次数: 0
Competing against former teammates predicts team victory 与昔日队友较量,预示着团队的胜利
Pub Date : 2024-10-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.serev.2024.100043
Satyam Mukherjee , Yun Huang , Brian Uzzi , Noshir Contractor
The small but growing body of research on team vs. team competition focuses on predicting the winner based on multilevel factors, including the team's strength and prior relations among team members within a team. Our research demonstrates the significance and power of prior relations among members between competing teams in predicting the outcome of a contest. Leveraging data over 8 seasons of the Indian Premier League (IPL), we demonstrate the effects of competing against former teammates on a team's victory in IPL matches. If two teams, A and B, are competing in a match, and nA players from A are former teammates of players on B and nB players from B are former teammates of players on A, then if team A has smaller values of nA, it will have a competitive advantage over Team B with a higher value of nB. We call the magnitude of the difference of nA and nB the “ecosystem” factor in predicting performance. Using regression and stochastic network models, we find that the ecosystem factor significantly impacts the outcome of a match. Our findings have implications for franchise owners. While recruiting a player, franchise owners should not rely solely on the player's ability but also leverage the rivalry between former teammates.
关于团队与团队竞争的研究虽然为数不多,但却在不断增加,研究重点是根据多层次因素预测胜负,这些因素包括团队实力和团队内部成员之间的先前关系。我们的研究证明了竞争团队成员之间的先前关系在预测比赛结果方面的重要性和威力。利用印度超级联赛(IPL)8 个赛季的数据,我们证明了与前队友竞争对球队在 IPL 比赛中获胜的影响。如果两支球队(A 和 B)在一场比赛中竞争,A 队中有 nA 名球员是 B 队球员的前队友,B 队中有 nB 名球员是 A 队球员的前队友,那么如果 A 队的 nA 值较小,就会比 nB 值较高的 B 队更具竞争优势。我们将 nA 和 nB 的差值大小称为预测成绩的 "生态系统 "因素。利用回归和随机网络模型,我们发现生态系统因素对比赛结果有显著影响。我们的研究结果对特许经营店主有一定的启示。在招募球员时,专营权所有者不应只依赖球员的能力,还应充分利用前队友之间的竞争关系。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Sports Economics Review
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