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TIME – SERIES MODELLING OF FOOD SECURITY INFLATION IN MALAYSIA USING AN ARIMA MODEL AS A MACHINE LEARNING APPROACH 使用arima模型作为机器学习方法对马来西亚食品安全通胀进行时间序列建模
Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.46754/jml.2022.12.005
Qistina Mohamad Rosni, M. R. Othman
After air and water food, is the most important thing that we as humans need to survive and getting wholesome food is becoming more and more difficult. Food security refers to the accessibility and availability of the food resources. A household is considered food-secure if there is no starvation in every family member. With the burgeoning population in the world nowadays, food security become a significant problem across the globe by every country and international organizations. The objective of this study was to forecast the prices of food by category based on the 7 years data from time-series consumer price index reported by the Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM) from 2014 to 2021. The study considered Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) processes to forecast the future trend of the food prices. The ARIMA model for forecasting food prices showed good agreement and stationery concerning the observed data on food prices based on the Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF). The results show the ARIMA model to be a suitable method for analyzing statistics. In data-poor food prices situations, this method can support potential evaluations of future food prices for decision making and effective management.
除了空气和水之外,食物是我们人类赖以生存的最重要的东西,而获得健康的食物正变得越来越困难。粮食安全是指粮食资源的可获得性和可获得性。如果家庭成员中没有一人挨饿,那么这个家庭就被认为是粮食安全的。随着当今世界人口的迅速增长,粮食安全问题已成为世界各国和国际组织共同关注的重大问题。本研究的目的是根据马来西亚统计局(DOSM)从2014年到2021年报告的7年时间序列消费者价格指数数据,预测食品类别的价格。本研究采用自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)过程来预测食品价格的未来趋势。ARIMA模型对基于ADF (Augmented Dickey Fuller)的粮食价格观测数据具有较好的一致性和信稳性。结果表明,ARIMA模型是一种适用于统计分析的方法。在缺乏粮食价格数据的情况下,该方法可以支持对未来粮食价格的潜在评估,以进行决策和有效管理。
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引用次数: 0
THE PROCESS OF HANDLING PESTICIDE IMPORTS ON THE RED LINE BY FREIGHT FORWARDING 通过货运代理处理红线上的农药进口的过程
Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.46754/jml.2022.12.003
Elizabeth Amelia Permata Sari
This study aims to determine the process of handling imported pesticides in the red lane by freight forwarders. The study used a qualitative approach, with the subject of employees of the import operations and customer service of PT Link Pasipik Indonusa Surabaya Branch obtained by purposive sampling. Data were obtained using interviews, observation and documentation, which were then analyzed descriptively and qualitatively. The result of this research is that the import handling process is a series of systematic activities to assist the process of import activities carried out by the authorized parties. Handling imported goods, especially pesticides, there is a process of supervision by Customs.
本研究旨在确定货运代理在红色通道处理进口农药的过程。本研究采用定性方法,以PT Link Pasipik Indonusa泗水分公司的进口业务和客户服务部门的员工为研究对象,通过有目的的抽样获得。通过访谈、观察和文献获得数据,然后对其进行描述性和定性分析。本研究的结果是,进口处理过程是一系列系统的活动,以协助被授权方进行的进口活动过程。处理进口货物,特别是农药,有一个海关监管的过程。
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引用次数: 0
CONCEPTS, PRACTICES AND LEGAL AWARENESS OF ETHICS AND INTEGRITY AMONGST KG. SEBERANG TAKIR’S COASTAL COMMUNITY MEMBERS, KUALA NERUS, MALAYSIA: THE IMPORTANCE OF KNOWLEDGE TRANSFER. kg中道德和诚信的概念、实践和法律意识。马来西亚吉隆坡的沿海社区成员:知识转移的重要性。
Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.46754/jml.2022.12.002
N. Hashim, Wan Mariam WAN ABDULLAH
Ethics and integrity are important to community development because they influence the success of numerous forms of public and private development assistance programs. However, there is inadequate research on ethics and integrity in the context of coastal community development in Malaysia. Hence, this preliminary research’s main objective is to get an initial picture of the state of understanding of the concepts, practices and legal awareness on ethics and integrity amongst Seberang Takir’s coastal community members; where downward mobility is prevalent among inshore fishermen, labourers and small traders. Intense urbanization and drastic increases in tourism and commercial activities means that the success of community development programs depends on the recipients’ ability not only to uphold ethics and integrity in their daily lives, but also to monitor actions and decisions of other stakeholders as well. This preliminary study uses convenience sampling comprising 23 participants who are government officials, university students and committee members of a mosque at Seberang Takir in the Kuala Nerus district. A Google Form questionnaire comprising seven questions specifically on ethics and integrity, and seven questions on law reveals notable findings, showing that: (i) professing to ethics and integrity does not prevent respondents from ethical misconducts; (ii) 41.1% of respondents are ambivalent, in agreement and strongly in agreement of unqualified people getting various types of government assistance; (iii) 52.2% agree and strongly agree that leaders of organizations/community groups should compromise ethics and integrity if doing so means that the quality of life of their members/subordinates can be improved; and (iv) there is a clear splitting of views amongst respondents on transgressing against ethics and integrity even if no law is broken. This explains why despite the high level of trust that they have in the law, more than 90% agree and strongly agree that the law in Malaysia is still not effective and must be amended. Hence, it is imperative that participants’ levels of understanding on ethics, integrity and law be increased through knowledge transfer so that the concerns identified above can be rectified.
道德和诚信对社区发展至关重要,因为它们影响着各种形式的公共和私人发展援助项目的成功。然而,在马来西亚沿海社区发展的背景下,关于道德和诚信的研究不足。因此,这项初步研究的主要目标是初步了解西berang Takir沿海社区成员对道德和诚信的概念、实践和法律意识的理解状况;近岸渔民、劳工和小商贩普遍向下流动。剧烈的城市化和旅游业和商业活动的急剧增长意味着,社区发展项目的成功不仅取决于受助者在日常生活中维护道德和诚信的能力,还取决于他们监督其他利益相关者的行动和决策的能力。这项初步研究采用方便抽样的方法,包括23名参与者,他们是政府官员、大学生和吉隆坡内鲁斯区西berang Takir一座清真寺的委员会成员。一份包含七个关于道德和诚信的问题和七个关于法律的问题的谷歌表格问卷显示了显著的发现,显示:(i)自称道德和诚信并不能阻止受访者的道德失当行为;(二)41.1%的被调查者对不合格人员获得各类政府救助持矛盾、同意和强烈同意态度;(iii) 52.2%同意及强烈同意机构/社区团体领袖应在道德操守和操守上妥协,以改善其成员/下属的生活质素;(四)受访者对违反道德和诚信的看法,即使没有违反法律,也有明显的分歧。这就解释了为什么尽管他们对法律高度信任,但超过90%的人同意并强烈同意马来西亚的法律仍然无效,必须修改。因此,必须通过知识转移提高参与者对道德、诚信和法律的理解水平,以便纠正上述问题。
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引用次数: 0
ASSESSING A COUNTRY'S SECTOR-SPECIFIC LOGISTICS PERFORMANCE: THE CASE OF INDIA'S MARINE-PRODUCT SECTOR 评估一个国家特定部门的物流绩效:以印度海产品部门为例
Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.46754/jml.2022.12.004
S. Chakrabartty, D. Sinha
Country-wise Logistics Performance Index (LPI) is insufficient to guide changing policies for different sectors with varied logistics requirements and perspectives. Each perspective has various measures, and hence a battery of scales is mandated to measure the performance for an individual sector like marine, agriculture, and similar. For the marine-product sector of India, scores are transformed and combined to follow normal distributions enabling parametric analysis. A method of sector-specific logistics performance index (LPI-S) is proposed addressing multi-dimensional, multi-scale response categories satisfying the desired properties of an index. An empirical illustration is given to assess LPI-S for the marine-product sector in India, combining responses of 141 Indian marine exporters in a battery with nine dimensions. The proposed method generates continuous, monotonic data, and distributions of dimension/battery scores are normal. The LPI-S scores have better arithmetic aggregation admissibility, even if lengths of dimensions are different. In addition, it identifies critical dimensions, detects changes by longitudinal data, and dimension-wise elasticity reflecting the sensitivity of the dimension from snap-shot data. Irrespective of dimensions and types of data, the proposed methodology uses the sensitivity of a dimension on LPI-S to help policy makings separately for individual categories to improve logistics efficiency. The study identified eight crucial dimensions associated with marine product logistics. The sensitivity of these dimensions in the descending order of importance were - Information system, Regulatory process, Safety & Security issues, Timeliness and Completeness efficiency, Sustainability in logistics, Operating conditions, Logistics facility pricing, Quality of Logistic services, Transportation Networks and Logistics infrastructure. Such ordering of dimensions help in deciding policy priorities.
国家物流绩效指数(LPI)不足以指导具有不同物流需求和观点的不同部门不断变化的政策。每个角度都有不同的衡量标准,因此需要一系列的尺度来衡量单个部门(如海洋、农业等)的表现。对于印度的海产品部门,分数被转换和合并,以遵循正态分布,从而实现参数分析。针对满足指标期望属性的多维、多尺度响应类别,提出了一种行业物流绩效指数(LPI-S)方法。本文给出了一个实证说明来评估印度海产品部门的LPI-S,将141个印度海洋出口商的反应结合在一个具有九个维度的电池中。该方法生成的数据是连续的、单调的,且维数/电池分数的分布是正态的。即使维度长度不同,LPI-S分数也具有更好的算术聚合容错性。此外,它还可以识别关键维度,通过纵向数据检测变化,以及反映来自快照数据的维度敏感性的维度弹性。无论数据的维度和类型如何,建议的方法都使用LPI-S上一个维度的敏感性来帮助单独针对单个类别的政策制定,以提高物流效率。该研究确定了与海洋产品物流相关的八个关键维度。这些维度的敏感性按重要性降序排列为:信息系统、监管流程、安全和保障问题、及时性和完整性效率、物流的可持续性、运营条件、物流设施定价、物流服务质量、运输网络和物流基础设施。这样的维度排序有助于确定政策优先事项。
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引用次数: 0
USER ACCEPTANCE OF CYBER SECURITY APPLICATION (OUR CYBERHERO) AMONG SECONDARY SCHOOL STUDENTS, TEACHERS AND LOCAL COMMUNITIES IN COASTAL TERENGGANU DISTRICT: A PRELIMINARY STUDY FOR MARITIME EDUCATION 沿海丁加奴地区中学生、教师和当地社区用户对网络安全应用(我们的网络英雄)的接受程度:海事教育的初步研究
Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.46754/jml.2022.12.006
Marhaini MOHD NOOR, Mohamed Aiman Shah Hj. Johan Shah, Nur Syahzanani Hani Mohd Zamri
This paper is based on knowledge transfer program to improve cyber security awareness among the coastal community in Kuala Terengganu with the use of Our CyberHero application. Thus, this paper introduces the application and adapt Technology Acceptance Model in maritime education settings. A series of these knowledge transfer programs can to some extent address this knowledge gap. This research has conducted a survey to the 59 coastal communities in Terengganu District. This program is a pilot project to the cyber security application Our CyberHero and is divided into two phases. The first phase was held a webinar on the importance of cyber security sustainability in today’s society. While the second phase gives exposure to the use of cyber security applications. This involves collaboration from the Educational Resources and Technology Sector, the Terengganu State Education Department, the Communications and Multimedia Commission and Cybersecurity Malaysia. The stakeholders involved were 24 high school students, 12 teachers and 23 communities from the coastal state of Terengganu. All 36 stakeholders are made up of 12 secondary schools that were selected as pioneers for the knowledge transfer program. Thus, the 23 other communities are besides the school children and the teachers. Acceptance of the use of cyber security application is very encouraging among students and teachers of coastal secondary schools in the Terengganu district. The 85% of the users feel easy to use the application as the module is easy to understand and friendly user. Therefore, the users feel confidence to use and share information widely (65%). With the high confidence level and understanding of the application, the users tend to trust the application system and the other users (59%). As a result, 57% users are intended to use Our CyberHero application and 52% of the users also feel the application is useful.
本文基于知识转移计划,通过使用Our CyberHero应用程序来提高吉隆坡登嘉楼沿海社区的网络安全意识。为此,本文介绍了技术接受模型在海事教育中的应用与适应。一系列这样的知识转移项目可以在一定程度上解决这一知识鸿沟。本研究对登嘉楼区的59个沿海社区进行了调查。该项目是网络安全应用程序Our CyberHero的试点项目,分为两个阶段。第一阶段是举办网络研讨会,讨论当今社会网络安全可持续性的重要性。而第二阶段则暴露了网络安全应用程序的使用。这涉及到教育资源和技术部门、登嘉楼州教育部、通信和多媒体委员会以及马来西亚网络安全部门的合作。参与的利益相关者是来自沿海州丁加奴的24名高中生、12名教师和23个社区。所有36个利益相关者由12所中学组成,这些中学被选为知识转移项目的先驱。因此,除了学生和教师之外,还有23个其他社区。丁加奴地区沿海中学的学生和教师接受使用网络安全应用程序是非常令人鼓舞的。85%的用户认为应用程序易于使用,因为模块易于理解和友好的用户。因此,用户有信心广泛使用和分享信息(65%)。由于用户对应用程序有较高的信心水平和了解,他们倾向于信任应用系统和其他用户(59%)。结果,57%的用户打算使用Our CyberHero应用程序,52%的用户也觉得该应用程序很有用。
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引用次数: 0
MARITIME LOGISTICS DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES AND PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT: A CASE STUDY 海洋物流发展战略与绩效衡量:个案研究
Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.46754/jml.2022.12.001
Mohammad Yoshikatriezan Abeng
Maritime Logistics plays a key role in developing a strong global supply chain system. The framework development and performance measurement among the chain of the maritime logistics could help to develop overall logistics performance of a country. Moreover, the ease of international trade and inclination of investors to invest in a country mostly depends on the efficiency of maritime logistics. The study aims to explore the maritime logistics and development strategies and performance measurement metrics contextualizing the case study of Malaysia. The paper analyzed the existing literature and proposed a conceptual framework for maritime logistics strategies. Customs, infrastructure and logistics quality have been identified as the key drivers for maritime logistics in Malaysia. The study will help the policymakers and maritime researchers to develop the maritime performance metrics of their own countries.
海运物流在发展强大的全球供应链体系中发挥着关键作用。在海上物流链条中制定框架和绩效衡量有助于提高一个国家的整体物流绩效。此外,国际贸易的便利性和投资者在一个国家投资的倾向主要取决于海运物流的效率。该研究旨在探讨海事物流和发展战略和绩效衡量指标的背景下,马来西亚的案例研究。本文在分析现有文献的基础上,提出了海上物流战略的概念框架。海关、基础设施和物流质量已被确定为马来西亚海运物流的关键驱动因素。这项研究将有助于政策制定者和海事研究人员制定本国的海事绩效指标。
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引用次数: 0
THE PROSPECT OF PALEKBANG BRIDGE: A DRIVE FOR INCLUSIVE AND EQUITABLE GROWTH IN KELANTAN 大邦大桥的前景:推动吉兰丹包容和公平的增长
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.46754/jml.2022.08.006
Siti Marsila Mhd Ruslan, Kasypi Mokhtar, Ruslam Razak
The East Coast Economic Region (ECER) was established in 2007 with the announcement of the ECER Master Plan by the Malaysian Government. Meanwhile, the ECER Development Council (ECERDC) is driving development in the ECER by launching several high-impact projects and programmes to promote socioeconomic transformation by increasing private investment in the region. The ultimate goal is to close the socioeconomic gap between East and West Coasts by empowering local communities to benefit from job and entrepreneurial opportunities. One of the ECER projects is the construction of the Palekbang Bridge in Kelantan, which will connect Kota Bharu and Palekbang, Tumpat. The bridge construction is critical in light of two factors: Congestion at the Sultan Yahya Petra Bridge and limited growth in the Kota Bharu city centre. This paper discusses the role of ECERDC as the primary monitoring body for the project, as well as the potential of the Palekbang Bridge to provide physical, economic, and social benefits to citizens. It is hoped that the bridge construction will address congestion and limited growth, stimulate trade activities, improve connectivity, and accessibility. As a result, economic growth across all economic sectors will be boosted in the coming years.
东海岸经济区(ECER)成立于2007年,马来西亚政府宣布了ECER总体规划。与此同时,ECER发展委员会(ECERDC)正在推动ECER的发展,启动了几个高影响力的项目和计划,通过增加该地区的私人投资来促进社会经济转型。最终目标是通过使当地社区从就业和创业机会中受益,缩小东西海岸之间的社会经济差距。ECER项目之一是在吉兰丹建造巨港大桥,该大桥将连接哥打巴鲁和东帕特的巨港。鉴于两个因素,这座桥的建设至关重要:苏丹叶海亚佩特拉桥的拥堵和哥打巴鲁市中心的有限增长。本文讨论了ECERDC作为项目主要监测机构的作用,以及巨帮大桥为市民提供物质、经济和社会效益的潜力。希望大桥建设能够解决拥堵和增长有限的问题,刺激贸易活动,改善互联互通和可达性。因此,未来几年所有经济部门的经济增长都将得到提振。
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引用次数: 0
UNDERSTANDING THE THERMAL COAL MOVEMENTS FROM COLOMBIA TO CHILE THROUGH THE PANAMA CANAL USING LOGIT MODELS- LOOKING AHEAD 利用logit模型了解通过巴拿马运河从哥伦比亚到智利的动力煤运动——展望未来
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.46754/jml.2022.08.001
Javier Ho, P. Bernal
This study attempted to specify logit models for bulkers transporting mostly thermal coal from the East Coast of Colombia to Chile through the Panama Canal compared to the alternative route. The preliminary proposed predictors for the logit models included voyage cost variables and Canal's attributes. For the route choice of coal from the East Coast of Colombia to Chile, voyage cost factors such as Panama Canal cost, distance difference between Panama versus alternative route, post arrival of vessel to the next port and the maximum transit draft were important factors in this choice, as well as Panama Canal attributes such as vessel arrivals at the Panama Canal and the Panamax Plus requirement to transit the neopanamax locks. The route choice involved the Panama Canal and Cape Horn/Magellan Strait in the Southern tip of South America. This study analyzed coal traffic between October 1, 2016, and September 30, 2020, and briefly discussed the future of coal movements through Panama, given Chile's long term plans to generate electricity using renewanable energy sources and hydrogen. This paper is a contribution to the discrete choice literature and attempted to provide insights into route choice factors involving the Panama Canal, proposing new preliminary explanatory variables to better understand route choices that may apply in future Panama Canal studies. The study will be a contribution to the universal maritime coal transportation literature, and it is a continuation on research related to the Panama canal, particularly on route choices using AIS information.
本研究试图为通过巴拿马运河从哥伦比亚东海岸运输动力煤到智利的散货船指定logit模型,并与其他路线进行比较。初步提出的logit模型的预测变量包括航次成本变量和运河属性。对于从哥伦比亚东海岸到智利的煤炭航线选择,航次成本因素,如巴拿马运河成本,巴拿马与替代航线之间的距离差异,船舶到达下一个港口后和最大过境吃水是这一选择的重要因素,以及巴拿马运河属性,如船舶到达巴拿马运河和Panamax Plus要求通过新巴拿马船闸。航线选择包括巴拿马运河和南美洲南端的合恩角/麦哲伦海峡。本研究分析了2016年10月1日至2020年9月30日之间的煤炭运输,并简要讨论了通过巴拿马的煤炭运输的未来,考虑到智利利用可再生能源和氢发电的长期计划。本文是对离散选择文献的贡献,并试图提供涉及巴拿马运河的路线选择因素的见解,提出新的初步解释变量,以更好地理解可能适用于未来巴拿马运河研究的路线选择。这项研究将对普遍的海上煤炭运输文献作出贡献,是对有关巴拿马运河的研究的继续,特别是关于利用AIS信息选择路线的研究。
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引用次数: 0
MEASUREMENT OF PORT CITIES – A SYSTEMATIC LITERATURE REVIEW APPROACH 港口城市的测量——系统的文献回顾方法
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.46754/jml.2022.08.004
Mahendrran Selvaduray, Babatunde Omoju, Norhaslinda Yunus
A port city is a city that engages in port and maritime activities and also develops land and maritime economic activities. However, the concept or the tools to measure whether a seaport has achieved the criteria of port-city is still lacking. This paper aims to identify the port city measurement and to propose a novel framework for extending port city development as a tool to improve the maritime tourism sector. This paper adopted a traditional systematic literature review (SLR) with content analysis to code the outcome. The final results indicate that only seven articles validated outcomes from the Scopus database. Based on the global view outcome, there are only six main clusters and 27 sub-factors influencing the development of port cities. The six main clusters were: port characteristics; the awareness of maritime stakeholders, port intensity, vessel characteristics, information technology, and the government’s role. The new strategies could lead to a digitalization of decision-making methods in smart maritime tourism in port city development.
港口城市是指既从事港口和海上活动,又开展陆上和海上经济活动的城市。然而,衡量海港是否达到港口城市标准的概念或工具仍然缺乏。本文旨在确定港口城市的衡量标准,并提出一个新的框架,以扩大港口城市的发展,作为改善海上旅游部门的工具。本文采用传统的系统文献综述法(SLR)结合内容分析对结果进行编码。最终结果表明,只有7篇文章验证了Scopus数据库中的结果。基于全局视角的结果,影响港口城市发展的因子只有6个主要集群和27个子因子。六个主要集群是:港口特征;海事利益相关者的意识、港口强度、船舶特性、信息技术和政府角色。这些新策略可能导致港口城市发展中智慧海上旅游决策方法的数字化。
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引用次数: 0
DEFINING FEEDER VESSEL'S EFFICIENT ROUTE DISTANCE TO MAKE THE SUPPLY CHAIN EFFICIENT AND REDUCE THE ENVIRONMENTAL CATASTROPHE ACCORDING TO MARPOL AND LOCAL REGULATIONS 根据国际海事组织和地方法规,确定支线船的有效航线距离,使供应链高效,减少环境灾难
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.46754/jml.2022.08.003
Sunanda Majumdar, Khalid Mahmud Bappy
Feeder vessels are the necessary part of the transport system that mother vessels can’t reach. In contrast, the frequent transmittable feeder vessels can affect the environment drastically and shift the factors of environmental catastrophe entirely. This shift can be stopped with reasonable restrictions in light of MARPOL and other regulations. Through data-driven strategy and state legislation, laws regarding the movement of the feeder vessels and other factors can be controlled and bought to a minimum. Proper strategy execution is also a major part of making an efficient route system and reducing the Hydrometeorological environmental catastrophe.
支线船是母船无法到达的运输系统的必要组成部分。相比之下,频繁运输的支线船对环境的影响是巨大的,可以完全改变环境的灾变因素。根据MARPOL和其他法规,这种转变可以通过合理的限制来制止。通过数据驱动战略和国家立法,可以控制和购买有关支线船运动和其他因素的法律。合理的策略执行也是构建高效的路线体系,减少水文气象环境灾害的重要组成部分。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
JOURNAL OF MARITIME LOGISTICS
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