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An online surrogate-assisted neighborhood search algorithm based on deep neural network for thermal layout optimization 基于深度神经网络的在线代理辅助邻域搜索热布局优化算法
IF 5.8 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1007/s40747-023-01276-0
Jiliang Zhao, Handing Wang, Wen Yao, Wei Peng, Zhiqiang Gong

Thermal layout optimization problems are common in integrated circuit design, where a large number of electronic components are placed on the layout, and a low temperature (i.e., high efficiency) is achieved by optimizing the positions of the electronic components. The operating temperature value of the layout is obtained by measuring the temperature field from the expensive simulation. Based on this, the thermal layout optimization problem can be viewed as an expensive combinatorial optimization problem. In order to reduce the evaluation cost, surrogate models have been widely used to replace the expensive simulations in the optimization process. However, facing the discrete decision space in thermal layout problems, generic surrogate models have large prediction errors, leading to a wrong guidance of the optimization direction. In this work, the layout scheme and its temperature field are represented by images whose relation can be well approximated by a deep neural network. Therefore, we propose an online deep surrogate-assisted optimization algorithm for thermal layout optimization. First, the iterative local search is developed to explore the discrete decision space to generate new layout schemes. Then, we design a deep neural network to build an image-to-image mapping model between the layout and the temperature field as the approximated evaluation. The operating temperature of the layout can be measured by the temperature field predicted by the mapping model. Finally, a segmented fusion model management strategy is proposed to online updates the parameters of the network. The experimental results on three kinds of layout datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed algorithm, especially when the required computational budget is limited.

热布局优化问题在集成电路设计中很常见,在布局上放置了大量的电子元件,通过优化电子元件的位置来实现低温(即高效率)。通过昂贵的仿真测量温度场,得到了布局的工作温度值。基于此,热布局优化问题可以看作是一个昂贵的组合优化问题。为了降低评估成本,在优化过程中广泛使用替代模型来代替昂贵的仿真。然而,面对热布局问题的离散决策空间,通用代理模型的预测误差较大,导致对优化方向的错误指导。在这项工作中,布局方案及其温度场用图像表示,图像之间的关系可以用深度神经网络很好地近似。因此,我们提出了一种在线深度代理辅助优化算法用于热布局优化。首先,采用迭代局部搜索方法探索离散决策空间,生成新的布局方案;然后,我们设计了一个深度神经网络来建立布局和温度场之间的图像到图像映射模型作为近似评价。通过映射模型预测的温度场可以测量布局的工作温度。最后,提出了一种分段融合模型管理策略,实现网络参数的在线更新。在三种布局数据集上的实验结果表明了该算法的有效性,特别是在所需计算预算有限的情况下。
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引用次数: 0
A sequential quadratic programming based strategy for particle swarm optimization on single-objective numerical optimization 基于顺序二次规划的单目标数值优化粒子群优化策略
IF 5.8 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1007/s40747-023-01269-z
Libin Hong, Xinmeng Yu, Guofang Tao, Ender Özcan, John Woodward

Over the last decade, particle swarm optimization has become increasingly sophisticated because well-balanced exploration and exploitation mechanisms have been proposed. The sequential quadratic programming method, which is widely used for real-parameter optimization problems, demonstrates its outstanding local search capability. In this study, two mechanisms are proposed and integrated into particle swarm optimization for single-objective numerical optimization. A novel ratio adaptation scheme is utilized for calculating the proportion of subpopulations and intermittently invoking the sequential quadratic programming for local search start from the best particle to seek a better solution. The novel particle swarm optimization variant was validated on CEC2013, CEC2014, and CEC2017 benchmark functions. The experimental results demonstrate impressive performance compared with the state-of-the-art particle swarm optimization-based algorithms. Furthermore, the results also illustrate the effectiveness of the two mechanisms when cooperating to achieve significant improvement.

在过去的十年里,粒子群优化已经变得越来越复杂,因为人们提出了平衡的勘探和开发机制。序列二次规划方法被广泛应用于实参数优化问题,显示出其出色的局部搜索能力。在本研究中,提出了两种机制并将其整合到单目标数值优化的粒子群优化中。采用一种新颖的比例自适应算法计算子种群的比例,间歇地调用顺序二次规划算法,从最优粒子开始局部搜索,寻求更优解。在CEC2013、CEC2014和CEC2017三个基准函数上对该算法进行了验证。实验结果表明,与目前基于粒子群优化的算法相比,该算法具有令人印象深刻的性能。此外,结果还说明了两种机制在合作时取得显著改善的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Evolutionary auto-design for aircraft engine cycle 航空发动机循环演化自动设计
IF 5.8 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1007/s40747-023-01274-2
Xudong Feng, Zhening Liu, Feng Wu, Handing Wang

Traditional engine cycle innovation is limited by human experiences, imagination, and currently available engine component performance expectations. Thus, the engine cycle innovation process is quite slow for the past 90 years. In this work, we propose a mixed variable multi-objective evolutionary optimization method for automatic engine cycle design. In the first, a simulation toolkit is developed for performance evaluation of potentially viable engine cycle solutions. Then, the engine cycle solutions are mixed encoded by the pins and the parameters of different engine components. The new engine cycle solutions are generated through the mutation operator. Finally, we construct two optimization objectives to drive the optimization process. Through the experimental research, new engine cycle solutions are discovered that exceed the performance of known turbojet and turbofan engines.

传统的发动机循环创新受到人类经验、想象力和现有发动机部件性能预期的限制。因此,在过去的90年里,发动机循环创新的过程相当缓慢。本文提出了一种用于自动发动机循环设计的混合变量多目标进化优化方法。首先,开发了一个模拟工具包,用于评估潜在可行的发动机循环解决方案的性能。然后,利用引脚和不同发动机部件的参数对发动机循环解进行混合编码。通过变异算子生成新的发动机循环解。最后,我们构建了两个优化目标来驱动优化过程。通过实验研究,发现了超越已知涡喷发动机和涡扇发动机性能的新的发动机循环解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Motion estimation and multi-stage association for tracking-by-detection 基于检测跟踪的运动估计和多阶段关联
IF 5.8 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1007/s40747-023-01273-3
Ye Li, Lei Wu, Yiping Chen, Xinzhong Wang, Guangqiang Yin, Zhiguo Wang

Multi-object tracking (MOT) aims to locate and identify objects in videos. As deep learning brings excellent performances to object detection, the tracking-by-detection (TBD) has gradually become a mainstream tracking framework. However, some drawbacks still exist in the current TBD framework: (1) inaccurate prediction of the bounding boxes would occur in the detection part, which is caused by overlooking the actual pedestrian ratio in the surveillance scene. (2) The width of the bounding boxes in the next frame might be indirectly predicted by the aspect ratio, which increases the error of width prediction in the motion prediction part. (3) Association is only performed for high-confidence detection boxes, and the low-confidence boxes caused by occlusion are discarded in the data association part, resulting in fragmentation of trajectories. To address the above issues, we propose a multi-target tracking model incorporating motion estimation and multi-stage association (MEMA). First, the aspect ratio of the ground-true bounding box is introduced to improve the fit of the detection and the ground-true bounding box, and we design the elliptical Gaussian kernel to improve the positioning accuracy of the object center point. Then, the prediction state vector of the Kalman filter is modified to predict the width and its corresponding velocity directly. It can reduce the width error of the prediction box and eliminate the velocity error of the motion estimation, which leads to a more pedestrian-friendly prediction bounding box. Finally, we propose a multi-stage association strategy to correlate different confidence boxes. Without using the appearance feature, the strategy can reduce the impact of occlusion and improve the tracking performance. On the MOT17 test set, the method proposed in this paper achieves a MOTA of 74.3% and an IDF1 of 72.4%, outperforming the current SOTA.

多目标跟踪(MOT)旨在对视频中的目标进行定位和识别。由于深度学习为目标检测带来了优异的性能,跟踪检测(tracking-by-detection, TBD)逐渐成为主流的跟踪框架。然而,目前的TBD框架仍然存在一些缺陷:(1)检测部分会出现边界框预测不准确的情况,这是由于忽略了监控场景中实际的行人比例。(2)下一帧边界框的宽度可以通过纵横比间接预测,增加了运动预测部分宽度预测的误差。(3)仅对高置信度检测盒进行关联,在数据关联部分丢弃了遮挡导致的低置信度检测盒,导致轨迹碎片化。为了解决上述问题,我们提出了一种结合运动估计和多阶段关联(MEMA)的多目标跟踪模型。首先,引入地真边界框的纵横比来提高检测与地真边界框的拟合性,设计椭圆高斯核来提高目标中心点的定位精度;然后,对卡尔曼滤波器的预测状态向量进行修正,直接预测宽度及其对应的速度;它可以减小预测框的宽度误差,消除运动估计的速度误差,从而得到更适合行人的预测框。最后,我们提出了一种多阶段关联策略来关联不同的置信盒。在不使用外观特征的情况下,该策略可以减少遮挡的影响,提高跟踪性能。在MOT17测试集上,本文方法的MOTA为74.3%,IDF1为72.4%,优于现有的SOTA。
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引用次数: 0
ESS MS-G3D: extension and supplement shift MS-G3D network for the assessment of severe mental retardation ESS MS-G3D:扩展和补充移位MS-G3D网络,用于重度智力迟钝的评估
IF 5.8 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-11-21 DOI: 10.1007/s40747-023-01275-1
Quan Liu, Mincheng Cai, Dujuan Liu, Simeng Ma, Qianhong Zhang, Dan Xiang, Lihua Yao, Zhongchun Liu, Jun Yang

Automated mental retardation (MR) assessment is potential for improving the diagnostic efficiency and objectivity in clinical practice. Based on the researches on abnormal behavior characteristics of patients with MR, we propose an extension and supplement shift multi-scale G3D (ESS MS-G3D) network for video-based assessment of MR. Specifically, all videos are collected from clinical diagnostic scenarios and the skeleton sequence of human body is extracted from videos through an advanced pose estimation model. To solve the shortcomings of existing behavior characteristic learning methods, we present: (1) three G3D styles, enable the network to have different input forms; (2) two G3D graphs and two extension graphs, redefine and extend the graph structure of spatial–temporal nodes; (3) two learnable parameters, realize adaptive adjustment of graph structure; (4) a shift layer, enable the network to learn global features. Finally, we construct a three-branch model ESS MS-STGC, which can capture the discriminative spatial–temporal features and explore the co-occurrence relationship between spatial and temporal domains. Experiments in clinical video data set show that our proposed model has good performance in MR assessment and is superior to the existing vision-based methods. In two-classification task, our model with joint stream achieves the highest accuracy of (94.63%) in validation set and (89.13%) in test set. The results are further improved to (96.52%) and (93.22%), respectively, by utilizing multi-stream fusion strategy. In four-classification task, our model obtains Top1 accuracy of (78.84%) and Top2 accuracy of (91.34%) in test set. The proposed method provides a new idea for clinical mental retardation assessment.

在临床实践中,自动评估智力迟钝(MR)具有提高诊断效率和客观性的潜力。在对MR患者异常行为特征研究的基础上,我们提出了一种扩展和补充移位多尺度G3D (ESS MS-G3D)网络,用于基于视频的MR评估,其中,从临床诊断场景中收集所有视频,并通过一种先进的姿态估计模型从视频中提取人体骨骼序列。针对现有行为特征学习方法的不足,我们提出:(1)三种G3D风格,使网络具有不同的输入形式;(2) 2个G3D图和2个可拓图,重新定义和扩展时空节点的图结构;(3)两个可学习参数,实现图结构的自适应调整;(4)移位层,使网络能够学习全局特征。最后,我们构建了一个三分支模型ESS MS-STGC,该模型能够捕捉具有区别性的时空特征,并探索时空共现关系。在临床视频数据集上的实验表明,该模型具有良好的MR评估性能,优于现有的基于视觉的方法。在双分类任务中,我们的联合流模型在验证集中达到(94.63%),在测试集中达到(89.13%),准确率最高。利用多流融合策略将结果进一步改进为(96.52%)和(93.22%)。在四分类任务中,我们的模型在测试集中获得了(78.84%)的Top1精度和(91.34%)的Top2精度。该方法为临床智力低下评价提供了一种新的思路。
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引用次数: 0
A novel twin branch network based on mutual training strategy for ship detection in SAR images 基于互训练策略的双分支网络在SAR图像船舶检测中的应用
IF 5.8 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.1007/s40747-023-01240-y
Yilong Lv, Min Li, Yujie He

There are inconsistent tasks and insufficient training in the SAR ship detection model, which severely limit the detection performance of the model. Therefore, we propose a twin branch network and design two loss functions: regression reverse convergence loss and classification mutual learning loss. The twin branch network is a simple but effective method containing two components: twin regression network and twin classification network. Aiming at the inconsistencies between training and testing in regression branches, we propose a regression reverse convergence loss (RRC Loss) based on twin regression networks. This loss can make multiple training samples in the twin regression branch converge to the label from the opposite direction. In this way, the test distribution can be closer to the training distribution after processing. For inadequate training in classification branch, Inspired by knowledge distillation, we construct self-knowledge distillation using a twin classification network. Meanwhile, our proposed classification mutual learning loss (CML Loss) enables the twin classification network not only to conduct supervised learning based on the label but also to learn from each other. Experiments on SSDD and HRSID datasets prove that, compared with the original method, the proposed method can improve the AP by 2.7–4.9% based on different backbone networks, and the detection performance is better than other advanced algorithms.

SAR船舶检测模型存在任务不一致、训练不足等问题,严重限制了模型的检测性能。因此,我们提出了一个双分支网络,并设计了两个损失函数:回归反收敛损失和分类互学习损失。孪生分支网络是一种简单而有效的方法,它包含两个组成部分:孪生回归网络和孪生分类网络。针对回归分支中训练和测试不一致的问题,提出了一种基于双回归网络的回归反收敛损失(RRC loss)算法。这种损失可以使孪生回归分支中的多个训练样本从相反方向收敛到标签上。这样可以使经过处理的测试分布更接近训练分布。针对分类分支训练不足的问题,受知识蒸馏的启发,采用双分类网络构造自知识蒸馏。同时,我们提出的分类互学习损失(CML loss, classification mutual learning loss)使twin分类网络不仅可以基于标签进行监督学习,还可以相互学习。在SSDD和HRSID数据集上的实验证明,与原始方法相比,基于不同骨干网的AP可提高2.7 ~ 4.9%,检测性能优于其他先进算法。
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引用次数: 0
A novel fuzzy TOPSIS method based on T-spherical fuzzy Aczel–Alsina power Heronian mean operators with applications in pharmaceutical enterprises’ selection 基于t球模糊Aczel-Alsina幂Heronian均值算子的模糊TOPSIS方法在制药企业决策中的应用
IF 5.8 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-11-15 DOI: 10.1007/s40747-023-01249-3
Peide Liu, Qaisar Khan, Ayesha Jamil, Ijaz Ul Haq, Waseem Sikandar, Fawad Hussain

One of the most significant and complete approaches to accommodate greater uncertainty than current fuzzy structures is the T-Spherical Fuzzy Set (TSPFS). The primary benefit of TSPFS is that current fuzzy structures are special cases of it. Firstly, some novel TSPF power Heronian mean (TSPFPHM) operators are initiated based on Aczel–Alsina operational laws. These aggregation operators (AOs) have the capacity to eliminate the impact of uncomfortable data and can simultaneously consider the relationships between any two input arguments. Secondly, some elementary properties and core cases with respect to parameters are investigated and found that some of the existing AOs are special cases of the newly initiated aggregation operators. Thirdly, based on these AOs and Aczel–Alsina operational laws a newly advanced technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS)-based method for dealing with multi-attribute group decision-making (MAGDM) problems in a T-Spherical fuzzy framework is established, where the weights of both the decision makers (DMs) and the criteria are completely unknowable. Finally, an illustrative example is provided to evaluate and choose the pharmaceutical firms with the capacity for high-quality, sustainable development in the TSPF environment to demonstrate the usefulness and efficacy. After that, the comparison analysis with other techniques is utilized to demonstrate the coherence and superiority of the recommended approach.

其中最重要和最完整的方法,以适应更大的不确定性比目前的模糊结构是t球模糊集(TSPFS)。TSPFS的主要优点是当前的模糊结构是它的特殊情况。首先,基于Aczel-Alsina运算定律,构造了一些新的TSPF幂赫氏均值算子(TSPFPHM);这些聚合操作符(ao)能够消除不舒服的数据的影响,并且可以同时考虑任意两个输入参数之间的关系。其次,研究了一些关于参数的基本性质和核心情况,发现现有的一些ao是新发起的聚集算子的特殊情况。第三,基于这些AOs和Aczel-Alsina操作定律,建立了一种新的基于TOPSIS的t -球面模糊框架下多属性群决策(MAGDM)问题处理方法,其中决策者和准则的权重都是完全不可知的。最后,通过一个实例对TSPF环境下具有高质量、可持续发展能力的制药企业进行评价和选择,以验证该方法的有效性。然后,通过与其他方法的比较分析,证明了推荐方法的一致性和优越性。
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引用次数: 0
Ripple spreading algorithm: a new method for solving multi-objective shortest path problems with mixed time windows 纹波扩散算法:一种求解混合时间窗多目标最短路径问题的新方法
IF 5.8 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.1007/s40747-023-01260-8
Shilin Yu, Yuantao Song

In emergency management, the transportation scheduling of emergency supplies and relief personnel can be regarded as the multi-objective shortest path problem with mixed time window (MOSPPMTW), which has high requirements for timeliness and effectiveness, but the current solution algorithms cannot simultaneously take into account the solution accuracy and computational speed, which is very unfavorable for emergency path decision-making. In this paper, we establish MOSPPMTW matching emergency rescue scenarios, which simultaneously enables the supplies and rescuers to arrive at the emergency scene as soon as possible in the shortest time and at the smallest cost. To solve the complete Pareto optimal surface, we present a ripple spreading algorithm (RSA), which determines the complete Pareto frontier by performing a ripple relay race to obtain the set of Pareto optimal path solutions. The proposed RSA algorithm does not require an initial solution and iterative iterations and only needs to be run once to obtain the solution set. Furthermore, we prove the optimality and time complexity of RSA and conduct multiple sets of example simulation experiments. Compared with other algorithms, RSA performs better in terms of computational speed and solution quality. The advantage is especially more obvious in the computation of large-scale problems. It is applicable to various emergency disaster relief scenarios and can meet the requirements of fast response and timeliness.

在应急管理中,应急物资和救援人员的运输调度可以看作是具有混合时间窗的多目标最短路径问题(MOSPPMTW),对时效性和有效性有很高的要求,但目前的求解算法不能同时兼顾求解精度和计算速度,这对应急路径决策非常不利。本文建立了匹配应急救援场景的MOSPPMTW,使物资和救援人员能够在最短的时间内以最小的成本同时到达应急现场。为了求解完全Pareto最优曲面,我们提出了一种纹波扩展算法(RSA),该算法通过进行纹波接力竞赛来获得Pareto最优路径解集,从而确定完全Pareto边界。提出的RSA算法不需要初始解和迭代,只需运行一次即可获得解集。进一步证明了RSA算法的最优性和时间复杂度,并进行了多组实例仿真实验。与其他算法相比,RSA在计算速度和解质量方面都有更好的表现。这种优势在大规模问题的计算中尤为明显。适用于各种紧急救灾场景,能够满足快速响应和时效性的要求。
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引用次数: 0
Event-triggered model-free adaptive control for nonlinear systems using intuitionistic fuzzy neural network: simulation and experimental validation 基于直觉模糊神经网络的非线性系统事件触发无模型自适应控制:仿真与实验验证
IF 5.8 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.1007/s40747-023-01254-6
Sameh Abd-Elhaleem, Mohamed A. Hussien, Mohamed Hamdy, Tarek A. Mahmoud

This article presents model-free adaptive control based on an intuitionistic fuzzy neural network for nonlinear systems with event-triggered output. Essentially, model-free adaptive control (MFAC) is constructed by establishing an online approximate model of the controlled system using the pseudo-partial derivative (PPD) form. By the proposed scheme, first, an intuitionistic fuzzy neural network (IFNN) is developed as an estimator for time-varying PPD in both compact-form dynamic linearization (CFDL) and partial-form dynamic linearization (PFDL) for the MFAC technique. Second, two periodic event-triggered output methods are integrated with the proposed IFNN-based MFAC in both forms to save communication resources and reduce the computation burden and energy consumption. Based on the Lyapunov theory and BIBO stability approach, necessary conditions are established to guarantee the convergence of the adaptive law of the IFNN controller and the boundary of the tracking error of the closed loop system. Third, regarding the feasibility and the effectiveness of the developed control method, two simulation examples including the continuous stirred-tank reactor (CSTR) system and the heat exchanger system are given. Finally, the practical validation of the proposed data-driven control method is conducted via the speed control of a DC motor.

针对具有事件触发输出的非线性系统,提出了一种基于直觉模糊神经网络的无模型自适应控制。从本质上讲,无模型自适应控制(MFAC)是通过利用伪偏导数(PPD)形式建立被控系统的在线近似模型来实现的。首先,提出了一种直观模糊神经网络(IFNN)作为MFAC技术的紧形式动态线性化(CFDL)和部分形式动态线性化(PFDL)时变PPD的估计器;其次,将两种周期性事件触发输出方法与所提出的基于ifnn的MFAC相结合,以节省通信资源,降低计算负担和能耗。基于Lyapunov理论和BIBO稳定性方法,建立了IFNN控制器自适应律收敛和闭环系统跟踪误差边界收敛的必要条件。第三,针对所提出的控制方法的可行性和有效性,给出了连续搅拌槽式反应器(CSTR)系统和换热器系统两个仿真实例。最后,通过直流电机的速度控制对所提出的数据驱动控制方法进行了实际验证。
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引用次数: 0
Cloud-load forecasting via decomposition-aided attention recurrent neural network tuned by modified particle swarm optimization 基于改进粒子群优化的分解辅助注意力递归神经网络的云负荷预测
IF 5.8 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s40747-023-01265-3
Bratislav Predić, Luka Jovanovic, Vladimir Simic, Nebojsa Bacanin, Miodrag Zivkovic, Petar Spalevic, Nebojsa Budimirovic, Milos Dobrojevic

Recent improvements in networking technologies have led to a significant shift towards distributed cloud-based services. However, adequate management of computation resources by providers is vital to maintain the costs of operations and quality of services. A robust system is needed to forecast demand and prevent excessive resource allocations. Extensive literature review suggests that the potential of recurrent neural networks with attention mechanisms is not sufficiently explored and applied to cloud computing. To address this gap, this work proposes a methodology for forecasting load of cloud resources based on recurrent neural networks with and without attention layers. Utilized deep learning models are further optimized through hyperparameter tuning using a modified particle swarm optimization metaheuristic, which is also introduced in this work. To help models deal with complex non-stationary data sequences, the variational mode decomposition for decomposing complex series has also been utilized. The performance of this approach is compared to several state-of-the-art algorithms on a real-world cloud-load dataset. Captured performance metrics ((R^2), mean square error, root mean square error, and index of agreement) strongly indicate that the proposed method has great potential for accurately forecasting cloud load. Further, models optimized by the introduced metaheuristic outperformed competing approaches, which was confirmed by conducted statistical validation. In addition, the best-performing forecasting model has been subjected to SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis to determine the impact each feature has on model forecasts, which could potentially be a very useful tool for cloud providers when making decisions.

最近网络技术的改进导致了向基于分布式云的服务的重大转变。然而,提供商对计算资源的充分管理对于维持运营成本和服务质量至关重要。需要一个稳健的系统来预测需求并防止过度的资源分配。广泛的文献综述表明,具有注意力机制的递归神经网络的潜力尚未得到充分的探索和应用于云计算。为了解决这一差距,这项工作提出了一种基于递归神经网络的云资源负载预测方法,该网络具有和不具有注意力层。使用改进的粒子群优化元启发式算法,通过超参数调整对所使用的深度学习模型进行进一步优化,该算法也在本工作中介绍。为了帮助模型处理复杂的非平稳数据序列,还利用变分模式分解来分解复杂序列。在真实世界的云负载数据集上,将这种方法的性能与几种最先进的算法进行了比较。捕获的性能指标((R^2 )、均方误差、均方根误差和一致性指数)有力地表明,所提出的方法在准确预测云负载方面具有巨大潜力。此外,通过引入的元启发式优化的模型优于竞争方法,这一点通过进行的统计验证得到了证实。此外,对性能最好的预测模型进行了SHapley Additive exPlanations分析,以确定每个特征对模型预测的影响,这可能是云提供商在决策时非常有用的工具。
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