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Demographic Determinants of Testing Incidence and Covid-19 Infections in New York City Neighborhoods 纽约市社区检测发病率和Covid-19感染的人口统计学决定因素
Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3572329
G. Borjas
New York City is the hot spot of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. This paper merges information on the number of tests and the number of infections at the New York City zip code level with demographic and socioeconomic information from the decennial census and the American Community Surveys. People residing in poor or immigrant neighborhoods were less likely to be tested; but the likelihood that a test was positive was larger in those neighborhoods, as well as in neighborhoods with larger households or predominantly black populations. The rate of infection in the population depends on both the frequency of tests and on the fraction of positive tests among those tested. The non-randomness in testing across New York City neighborhoods indicates that the observed correlation between the rate of infection and the socioeconomic characteristics of a community tells an incomplete story of how the pandemic evolved in a congested urban setting.
纽约是美国新冠肺炎疫情的重灾区。本文将纽约市邮政编码级别的检测数量和感染数量信息与十年一次的人口普查和美国社区调查的人口和社会经济信息合并在一起。居住在贫困或移民社区的人不太可能接受检测;但在这些社区,以及家庭规模较大或以黑人为主的社区,测试呈阳性的可能性更大。人群中的感染率取决于检测的频率和检测中阳性检测的比例。在纽约市社区进行的测试的非随机性表明,观察到的感染率与社区的社会经济特征之间的相关性不能完整地说明大流行如何在拥挤的城市环境中演变。
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引用次数: 158
A Critical Review of Make in India as an Import Substitute 对“印度制造”作为进口替代品的批判性回顾
Pub Date : 2020-03-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3569655
M. Rawat, Rishu Raj, Tanya Agarwal
With the launch of ‘Make in India’ in Sept. 2014, the government aimed to uplift the manufacturing sector, creating more job opportunities and increasing the confidence of domestic and foreign investors. Several steps initiated by the government of India have led the country to jump to 63rd position out of 190 countries in the Ease of Doing Business Index 2020. However, India still lags behind its competitors in several factors and it has a long way to go before it can earn the title of a manufacturing hub. The present paper tries to understand the hits and misses of the campaign and how the government can facilitate import substitution through this initiative.
随着2014年9月“印度制造”计划的推出,政府旨在提升制造业,创造更多就业机会,增强国内外投资者的信心。印度政府采取的一些措施使该国在2020年营商环境指数的190个国家中跃升至第63位。然而,印度在几个方面仍落后于竞争对手,要获得制造业中心的称号还有很长的路要走。本文试图了解该运动的成败,以及政府如何通过这一举措促进进口替代。
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引用次数: 1
Connectivity and Savings Propensity among Odisha Tribals 奥里萨邦部落的连通性和储蓄倾向
Pub Date : 2020-03-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3556583
P. Viswanath
Tribal areas are some of the poorest regions of India. An increase in local savings is an important tool in fostering sustainable growth in these areas. This paper uses the results of a survey to examine the factors affecting saving in a rural part of Odisha state populated primarily by tribals. We find that an important determinant of savings propensity is connectivity, which we interpret as a measure of the extent to which individuals feel connected to the broader economy, and an indication of their economic optimism. This interpretation is buttressed by the relationship between savings propensity and variables such as food consumption patterns and asset ownership that may also reflect attitudinal factors. One implication of these findings is that connecting rural areas to other, possibly urban, locations could elicit greater savings and thus lead to greater income growth. By relating savings behavior to new sociological population characteristics, such as perceived connectivity and food consumption patterns, this paper provides hitherto unexplored clues for policy initiatives to increase savings.
部落地区是印度最贫穷的地区之一。增加当地储蓄是促进这些领域可持续增长的一个重要工具。本文利用一项调查的结果来研究影响奥里萨邦一个主要由部落居住的农村地区储蓄的因素。我们发现储蓄倾向的一个重要决定因素是连通性,我们将其解释为个人感觉与更广泛经济联系程度的衡量标准,并表明他们对经济持乐观态度。这种解释得到了储蓄倾向与食品消费模式和资产所有权等变量之间关系的支持,这些变量也可能反映态度因素。这些发现的一个含义是,将农村地区与其他地区(可能是城市)连接起来,可能会带来更多的储蓄,从而带来更大的收入增长。通过将储蓄行为与新的社会学人口特征(如感知连通性和食物消费模式)联系起来,本文为增加储蓄的政策举措提供了迄今未被探索的线索。
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引用次数: 0
Status and Trends in University Education for Women in Sudan: A Graphical Data Analysis 苏丹妇女大学教育的现状和趋势:图形数据分析
Pub Date : 2020-03-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3556201
M. Hamid, C. Thron, S. Fageeri
This research utilizes Sudanese university application and admissions data for the academic years 2015-16 and 2016-17 to examine gender-related differences in various factors. including geographical factors (state or origin, state of preferred and admitting university), performance factors (GPA ranking, acceptance percentages) and preference factors (preferred/admitted field of study). Bachelor’s (4-year degree) and diploma (2-3 year degree) data are examined separately. A graphical data analysis methodology (implemented in R software) is used to clearly represent relationships and trends in the variables. Results show that in many aspects of university education Sudanese women enjoy near parity with men, and in some respects hold the advantage. Women in Sudan surpass in education and medical fields but lag in business, law, and economics. Women lag especially in engineering fields, although participation rates are comparable to those found in the U.S. and appear to reflect women’s own preferences and priorities rather than systemic bias. Gender inequalities are highly regional in nature, and less-developed areas and conflict areas in Sudan. tend to produce a lower proportion of women students in Sudan. We conclude that increasing the number of high-quality universities in areas where women are under-represented may improve the rate of women’s participation, as women are less likely than men to leave their home state to attend university.
本研究利用苏丹大学2015-16学年和2016-17学年的申请和招生数据来研究各种因素中的性别相关差异。包括地理因素(州或原籍、首选州和录取大学)、表现因素(GPA排名、录取率)和偏好因素(首选/录取的学习领域)。学士(4年制)和文凭(2-3年制)的数据是分开检验的。图形数据分析方法(在R软件中实现)用于清楚地表示变量之间的关系和趋势。结果表明,在大学教育的许多方面,苏丹妇女享有与男子几乎平等的待遇,并且在某些方面具有优势。苏丹妇女在教育和医疗领域领先,但在商业、法律和经济领域落后。女性在工程领域尤其落后,尽管其参与率与美国相当,而且似乎反映了女性自己的偏好和优先事项,而不是系统偏见。性别不平等在本质上是高度区域性的,在苏丹的欠发达地区和冲突地区也是如此。在苏丹产生的女学生比例往往较低。我们的结论是,在女性代表性不足的地区增加高质量大学的数量可能会提高女性的参与率,因为女性比男性更不可能离开自己的家乡去上大学。
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引用次数: 0
Gender Bias and Intergenerational Educational Mobility: Theory and Evidence from China and India 性别偏见与代际教育流动:来自中国和印度的理论与证据
Pub Date : 2020-03-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3555501
M. Emran, Han-Ling Jiang, Forhad Shilpi
This paper incorporates gender bias against girls in the family, school and labor market in a model of intergenerational persistence in schooling where parents self-finance children's education because of credit market imperfections. Parents may underestimate a girl's ability, expect lower returns, and assign lower weights to their welfare (“pure son preference”). The model delivers the widely used linear conditional expectation function under constant returns and separability but generates an irrelevance result: parental bias does not affect relative mobility. With diminishing returns and complementarity, the conditional expectation function can be concave or convex, and parental bias affects both relative and absolute mobility. This paper tests these predictions in India and China using data not subject to coresidency bias. The evidence rejects the linear conditional expectation function in rural and urban India in favor of a concave relation. Girls in India face lower mobility irrespective of location when born to fathers with low schooling, but the gender gap closes when the father is college educated. In China, the conditional expectation function is convex for sons in urban areas, but linear in all other cases. The convexity supports the complementarity hypothesis of Becker et al. (2018) for the urban sons and leads to gender divergence in relative mobility for the children of highly educated fathers. In urban China, and urban and rural India, the mechanisms are underestimation of the ability of girls and unfavorable school environment. There is some evidence of pure son preference in rural India. The girls in rural China do not face bias in financial investment by parents, but they still face lower mobility when born to uneducated parents. Gender barriers in rural schools seem to be the primary mechanism.
本文将家庭、学校和劳动力市场中对女孩的性别偏见纳入代际教育坚持模型中,由于信贷市场的不完善,父母为孩子的教育自筹资金。父母可能会低估女孩的能力,期望较低的回报,并对他们的福利分配较低的权重(“纯粹的重男轻女”)。该模型提供了在恒定收益和可分离性条件下广泛使用的线性条件期望函数,但产生了一个不相关的结果:父母偏见不影响相对流动性。在收益递减和互补性条件下,条件期望函数可以是凹的也可以是凸的,亲代偏倚同时影响相对流动性和绝对流动性。本文使用不受同居偏差影响的数据在印度和中国测试了这些预测。证据拒绝线性条件期望函数在农村和城市印度有利于凹关系。在印度,受教育程度较低的父亲所生的女孩无论在哪里都面临较低的流动性,但当父亲受过大学教育时,性别差距就会缩小。在中国,对于城市地区的儿子,条件期望函数是凸的,但在所有其他情况下,条件期望函数是线性的。这种凸性支持Becker等人(2018)关于城市儿子的互补性假设,并导致受过高等教育的父亲的子女在相对流动性方面存在性别差异。在中国的城市和印度的城市和农村,对女孩能力的低估和不利的学校环境是其机制。有证据表明,印度农村存在重男轻女的现象。中国农村的女孩在父母的金融投资方面没有偏见,但如果父母没有受过教育,她们的流动性仍然较低。农村学校的性别障碍似乎是主要机制。
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引用次数: 12
Shadow Banking and the Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy in China 影子银行与中国货币政策的银行借贷渠道
Pub Date : 2020-03-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3553202
Xiaoqiang Cheng, Yabin Wang
Despite the swift rise of shadow banking in China, the challenge it poses to the monetary policy effectiveness is understudied. By tracing the shadow funding of banks, we construct a novel data of bank-issued off-balance sheet Wealth Management Products (WMPs) to provide a consistent and precise measure of shadow banking involvement for individual bank. We show that aggressive issuance of WMPs impedes an effective transmission of the monetary policy. Such hampering effect likely arises from the fact that shadow banking helps banks to move risky assets off their balance sheets and improve upon their risk pro files, thereby lowering the sensitivity of their wholesale funding cost to monetary policy, in line with the view of Bernanke et al. (2007) and Disyatat (2011).
尽管影子银行在中国迅速崛起,但它对货币政策有效性构成的挑战尚未得到充分研究。通过追踪银行的影子资金,我们构建了银行发行的表外理财产品(wmp)的新数据,为单个银行的影子银行参与提供了一致和精确的衡量标准。研究表明,大规模发行理财产品阻碍了货币政策的有效传导。这种阻碍效应可能源于这样一个事实,即影子银行帮助银行将风险资产移出资产负债表,改善其风险状况,从而降低其批发融资成本对货币政策的敏感性,这与Bernanke等人(2007)和Disyatat(2011)的观点一致。
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引用次数: 7
PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA (Indonesian Economy) 印尼经济
Pub Date : 2020-03-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3551583
A. Asnah, Dyana Sari
Indonesian Abstract: Jika seseorang mengatakan Indonesia sebagai negara yang berpendapatan rendah, barangkali ia tidak pernah membaca tentang perekonomian Indonesia dan untuk itulah buku ini ditulis, untuk menguraikan perekonomian Indonesia terkini, meski barangkali tidak lengkap, namun dapat memberi gambaran tentang pereknomian Indonesia masa kini.
Buku ini belum selesai karena terbatasnya waktu dan padatnya kegiatan penulis. Disadari telah terjadi perubahan kondisi terkait isu Indonesia dicoret sebagai negara berkembang oleh AS, yang akan direvisi pada waktu mendatang. Demikian pula status Indonesia yang telah dikategorikan sebagai Negara Berpendapatan Menengah Atas pada akhir 2019. Demikian cepat perubahan perekonomian Indonesia yang nampaknya diperlukan informasi lebih baru untuk menjadikan sebuah buku yang representatif tentang perekonomian Indonesia pada 2020. Namun buku ini diluncurkan karena kebutuhan mahasiswa akan informasi yang relatif lebih baru dari yang lain, menjadikan keterpaksaan buku ini lebih awal disajikan.
Tentunya disadari bahwa buku ini masih jauh dari sempurna, sehingga kritik dan saran diharapkan untuk melengkapi perbaikannya.

English Abstract: If someone says that Indonesia is a low-income country, perhaps he has never read about the Indonesian economy and for this reason, this book was written, to describe the current Indonesian economy, although perhaps incomplete, can give an idea of Indonesia's economy today.

This book has not been completed because of the limited time and dense activity of the author. It is realized that there have been changes in conditions related to the issue of Indonesia crossed out as a developing country by the US, which will be revised in the future. Likewise, the status of Indonesia which has been categorized as a High Middle-Income Country at the end of 2019. So quickly changes in the Indonesian economy which seems to require more recent information to make a representative book on the Indonesian economy in 2020. But this book was launched because of the student's need for relative information more recent than others, making the compulsion of this book earlier presented.

Of course, it is realized that this book is far from perfect, so criticism and suggestions are expected to complement its improvement.
印度尼西亚:如果有人说印尼是一个收入较低的国家,也许他从来没有读过印尼的经济,因此写了这本书,描述当前的印尼经济,虽然可能是不完整的,但它可以说明印尼目前的招聘情况。由于作者的活动时间有限,这本书没有完成。认识到印尼问题相关情况发生了变化,美国将在未来几年将加以修订。2019年底,印尼已被列为中量级国家。如此迅速地改变了印尼的经济,以至于在2020年成为印尼经济的代表。但是,由于学生对相对较新的信息的需求而发行了这本书,因此这本书的供应很早就。当然,认识到这本书远非完美,人们期望批评和建议来完成它的改进。英语推理:如果有人说印尼是一个小国,也许他从来没有读过印尼经济,因为这个原因,这本书是写的,描述印尼经济的现状,虽然可能是不完整的,这本书不是因为有限的时间和缺乏激发author行动而写的。事实证明,印尼在美国开发一个国家的问题上发生了变化,这将在未来得到重申。可能是,印尼在2019年的深夜被认为是一个高端中型国家的地位。2020年,印尼经济中发生了如此快速的变化,似乎需要更多的信息来写一本书。但是这本书是出版的,因为学生需要比其他人更多的相关信息,让他们能够更早地利用这本书。当然,这本书远非完美,如此批判和暗示,预计将完成其含义。
{"title":"PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA (Indonesian Economy)","authors":"A. Asnah, Dyana Sari","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3551583","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3551583","url":null,"abstract":"<b>Indonesian Abstract:</b> Jika seseorang mengatakan Indonesia sebagai negara yang berpendapatan rendah, barangkali ia tidak pernah membaca tentang perekonomian Indonesia dan untuk itulah buku ini ditulis, untuk menguraikan perekonomian Indonesia terkini, meski barangkali tidak lengkap, namun dapat memberi gambaran tentang pereknomian Indonesia masa kini. <br>Buku ini belum selesai karena terbatasnya waktu dan padatnya kegiatan penulis. Disadari telah terjadi perubahan kondisi terkait isu Indonesia dicoret sebagai negara berkembang oleh AS, yang akan direvisi pada waktu mendatang. Demikian pula status Indonesia yang telah dikategorikan sebagai Negara Berpendapatan Menengah Atas pada akhir 2019. Demikian cepat perubahan perekonomian Indonesia yang nampaknya diperlukan informasi lebih baru untuk menjadikan sebuah buku yang representatif tentang perekonomian Indonesia pada 2020. Namun buku ini diluncurkan karena kebutuhan mahasiswa akan informasi yang relatif lebih baru dari yang lain, menjadikan keterpaksaan buku ini lebih awal disajikan. <br>Tentunya disadari bahwa buku ini masih jauh dari sempurna, sehingga kritik dan saran diharapkan untuk melengkapi perbaikannya. <br><br><b>English Abstract:</b> If someone says that Indonesia is a low-income country, perhaps he has never read about the Indonesian economy and for this reason, this book was written, to describe the current Indonesian economy, although perhaps incomplete, can give an idea of Indonesia's economy today.<br><br>This book has not been completed because of the limited time and dense activity of the author. It is realized that there have been changes in conditions related to the issue of Indonesia crossed out as a developing country by the US, which will be revised in the future. Likewise, the status of Indonesia which has been categorized as a High Middle-Income Country at the end of 2019. So quickly changes in the Indonesian economy which seems to require more recent information to make a representative book on the Indonesian economy in 2020. But this book was launched because of the student's need for relative information more recent than others, making the compulsion of this book earlier presented.<br><br>Of course, it is realized that this book is far from perfect, so criticism and suggestions are expected to complement its improvement.","PeriodicalId":105668,"journal":{"name":"Development Economics: Regional & Country Studies eJournal","volume":"2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128565435","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Strong Economic Development Without Judicial Independence in China: A Review 没有司法独立的中国经济强劲发展:述评
Pub Date : 2020-03-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3554556
M. Islam, X. Xin
Over the last four decades, China has sustained extraordinary economic development despite Western assertions of under-constructed economic markets and the lack of an independent adjudicative process. The purpose of this paper is to set out the context of China’s judicial independence and high economic development scenario in the global economy. The paper aims to establish that vast economic expansion is possible without the conventional concept of an independent judiciary in which China provides an important example for the world. The study is mainly qualitative in nature and takes the analytical approach. The data and statistics have been collected from sources of the World Bank, IMF, WTO, UNCTAD, The World Factbook of the CIA, and the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics. The content analysis references the Chinese Constitution and judges law, reports of the Supreme People’s Court, books, journal articles, newspaper articles, media reports, and internet documents. The findings of the study are that China preserves “adjudicative independence” as a unique feature instead of embracing the Western concept of judicial independence that promotes the confidence of investors to make more investments. Additionally, the initiatives of “Made in China” and “One Belt, One Road” attach new wings to China’s emergence as the world’s crucial economic power. The article concludes that China’s experience provides a lesson for policymakers and economists of other developing or transitional countries struggling with weak legal and court systems, and emerging financial markets. The study strengthens the flourishing literature on the connection between judicial independence and economic development.
在过去的四十年里,尽管西方断言经济市场建设不完善,缺乏独立的裁决程序,中国仍然保持了非凡的经济发展。本文旨在阐述中国司法独立与经济高速发展在全球经济中的背景。本文旨在证明,在没有司法独立这一传统概念的情况下,巨大的经济扩张是可能的,中国在这方面为世界提供了一个重要的例子。本研究以定性为主,采用分析方法。数据和统计数据来自世界银行、国际货币基金组织、世界贸易组织、联合国贸易和发展会议、中央情报局世界概况和中国国家统计局。内容分析参考了中国宪法和法官法、最高人民法院报告、书籍、期刊文章、报纸文章、媒体报道和网络文件。研究结果表明,中国保留了“司法独立”的独特特征,而不是接受西方的司法独立概念,后者促进了投资者进行更多投资的信心。此外,“中国制造”和“一带一路”倡议为中国作为世界重要经济大国的崛起插上了新的翅膀。文章的结论是,中国的经验为其他发展中国家或转型国家的政策制定者和经济学家提供了一个教训,这些国家正在与薄弱的法律和法院体系以及新兴金融市场作斗争。这一研究加强了司法独立与经济发展之间关系的文献研究。
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引用次数: 1
Starvation Deaths and Denial of Welfare Entitlements – Insights from Jharkhand 饥饿死亡和剥夺福利待遇——来自贾坎德邦的见解
Pub Date : 2020-03-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3870242
Siraj Dutta
Since December 2014, at least 93 hunger-related deaths have been reported from across the country. Jharkhand tops the list with 27 deaths. This paper attempts to understand why, despite the safety net of food security and social security programmes, some people and groups continue to face hunger. Based on independent fact finding reports and news reports, it analyses the starvation deaths that took place in Jharkhand, where the author is based (and was part of several inquiry teams), and the official response in the last five years. The analysis found that a shock in the form of loss of employment, illness or discontinuation of welfare entitlements for a few months was enough to worsen the chronic hunger of these families, leading to the death. Instead of addressing the vulnerabilities of such families and redressing denial of entitlements, the government denied the role of hunger and tried to divert attention to the definition and classification of starvation death. The cases also show that starvation death needs to be seen as an outcome of persistent undernutrition, hunger and deprivation, rather than just as death brought about by complete absence of food. To reduce chances of future occurrence, there is a need for expanding the amount of support and coverage of social security programmes and putting in place an effective grievance redress mechanism.
自2014年12月以来,全国各地报告了至少93起与饥饿有关的死亡事件。贾坎德邦以27人死亡高居榜首。本文试图理解为什么尽管有粮食安全和社会保障计划的安全网,一些人和群体仍然面临饥饿。报告根据独立的事实调查报告和新闻报道,分析了提交人所在的贾坎德邦(曾参加几个调查小组)发生的饥饿死亡人数,以及过去五年官方的反应。分析发现,失业、生病或福利待遇中断几个月等形式的冲击足以使这些家庭的长期饥饿恶化,导致死亡。政府没有解决这类家庭的脆弱性和纠正剥夺权利的问题,而是否认饥饿的作用,并试图将注意力转移到饥饿死亡的定义和分类上。这些案例还表明,饿死必须被视为长期营养不良、饥饿和贫困的结果,而不仅仅是完全没有食物造成的死亡。为了减少今后发生这种情况的可能性,有必要扩大社会保障方案的支助数量和覆盖面,并建立有效的申诉纠正机制。
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引用次数: 0
Using Insurance Instruments to Improve Disaster Risk Finance in Indonesia 利用保险工具改善印尼灾害风险融资
Pub Date : 2020-03-05 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3350194
Chusu He, J. Hillier, A. Milne, Seyoung Park, R. Soetanto
This paper is an overview of how insurance instruments could be used in Indonesia to improve disaster risk finance (the arrangements for managing the financial consequences of disaster). We review the policy and research literature to describe the existing arrangements in Indonesia for preparing for and responding to disasters, including the efforts of an active Indonesian community mapping movement to fill in some of the major gaps in data that hinder the assessment of disaster risks. We argue that as a large geographically diverse middle-income country, Indonesia is well placed to employ insurance instruments for fairer and more predictable sharing of the financial burden of disasters. This could be through a combination of increased private insurance for households, firms and government agencies across the country and insurance-based arrangements for allocating government disaster relief funding and, when required for the largest high impact events, accessing international resources. This will, however, require careful implementation and a sustained effort to address gaps in data, skills and institutional capacity.
本文概述了如何在印度尼西亚使用保险工具来改善灾害风险融资(管理灾害财务后果的安排)。我们回顾了政策和研究文献,以描述印度尼西亚准备和应对灾害的现有安排,包括积极的印度尼西亚社区测绘运动的努力,以填补阻碍灾害风险评估的数据中的一些主要空白。我们认为,作为一个地理上多样化的中等收入大国,印度尼西亚完全有条件利用保险工具来更公平、更可预测地分担灾害的财政负担。这可以通过增加全国各地家庭、公司和政府机构的私人保险和分配政府救灾资金的保险安排相结合,并在发生影响最大的高事件时需要获得国际资源。然而,这需要认真执行并持续努力解决数据、技能和机构能力方面的差距。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Development Economics: Regional & Country Studies eJournal
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