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Public Debt Expansions and the Dynamics of the Household Borrowing Constraint 公共债务扩张和家庭借贷约束的动态
Pub Date : 2020-03-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3612932
V. Ercolani, António R. Antunes
Contrary to a well-established view, public debt expansions may tighten the household borrowing constraint over time. Within an incomplete-markets model featuring an endogenous borrowing limit, we show that plausible debt-financed fiscal policies generate such tightening through an increase in the interest rate. The tightening makes constrained agents deleverage and reinforces the precautionary saving motive of the unconstrained. This appetite for assets impacts factor prices which, in some cases, amplify the households' reactions to the policies. For example, the tightening can substantially magnify the government spending multiplier through strengthening the typical negative wealth effect on labor supply induced by the fiscal stimulus. Moreover, the tightening affects the political support to the policies mainly through price effects. (Copyright: Elsevier)
与公认的观点相反,随着时间的推移,公共债务扩张可能会收紧家庭借贷约束。在一个具有内生借款限制的不完全市场模型中,我们表明,合理的债务融资财政政策通过提高利率产生了这种紧缩。紧缩政策使受约束主体去杠杆化,并强化了不受约束主体的预防性储蓄动机。这种对资产的偏好会影响要素价格,在某些情况下,会放大家庭对政策的反应。例如,紧缩可以通过强化财政刺激对劳动力供给的典型负财富效应,大幅放大政府支出乘数。此外,紧缩政策主要通过价格效应影响政策的政治支持。(版权:爱思唯尔)
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引用次数: 80
The Impact of International Tax Information Exchange Agreements on the Use of Tax Amnesty: Evidence from Norway 国际税收信息交换协议对税收特赦使用的影响:来自挪威的证据
Pub Date : 2019-09-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3464252
Jonas Andersson, F. Schroyen, Gaute Torsvik
In this paper we develop a model for tax amnesty applications in a multi-period setting. One key insight from the model is that applying for amnesty becomes more attractive at the moment when stricter enforcement is announced, even if the implementation of the policy is in the distant future. We use our model to make sense of how international tax information exchange agreements affects voluntary disclosure of wealth and income previously hidden in tax havens. Our data is from Norway. In accordance with the dynamic amnesty model we observe a strong announcement effect of a tax information exchange agreement between Norway and Switzerland and Luxembourg, the two most important tax havens for Norwegian tax evaders. However, the effect levels off very quickly, much faster than our model predicts. We think this is because the initial announcement of the tax agreement exaggerated the risk the agreement imposed to those who had hidden taxable income and wealth in Switzerland. We also estimate and find significant effects of the press releases the Norwegian Tax Authority issues to inform taxpayers about new international tax agreements and the amnesty, or voluntary disclosure, option that exists in the Norwegian tax code.
在本文中,我们开发了一个模型,在一个多时期设置的税收赦免应用。该模型的一个关键观点是,在宣布更严格的执法时,申请特赦变得更有吸引力,即使政策的实施是在遥远的未来。我们使用我们的模型来理解国际税务信息交换协议如何影响自愿披露以前隐藏在避税天堂的财富和收入。我们的数据来自挪威。根据动态特赦模型,我们观察到挪威与瑞士和卢森堡这两个挪威逃税者最重要的避税天堂之间的税收信息交换协议的强烈公告效应。然而,这种影响很快就会趋于平稳,比我们的模型预测的要快得多。我们认为,这是因为最初公布的税收协议夸大了协议对那些在瑞士隐藏应税收入和财富的人施加的风险。我们还估计并发现了挪威税务机关发布的新闻稿的重大影响,这些新闻稿向纳税人通报了新的国际税收协定和挪威税法中存在的大赦或自愿披露选项。
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引用次数: 12
Hidden Wealth 隐藏的财富
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3470253
N. Cummins
Sharp declines in wealth-concentration occurred across Europe and the US during the 20th century. But this stylized fact is based on declared wealth. It is possible that today the richest are not less rich but rather that they are hiding much of their wealth. This paper proposes a method to measure this hidden wealth, in any form. In England, 1920-1992, elites are concealing 20-32% of their wealth. Among dynasties, hidden wealth, independent of declared wealth, predicts appearance in the Offshore Leaks Database of 2013-6, house values in 1999, and Oxbridge attendance, 1990-2016. Accounting for hidden wealth eliminates one-third of the observed decline of top 10% wealth-share over the past century.
20世纪,整个欧洲和美国的财富集中度都出现了急剧下降。但这种程式化的事实是基于公开的财富。有可能的是,今天最富有的人并不是更不富有,而是他们隐藏了大部分财富。本文提出了一种衡量任何形式的隐性财富的方法。在1920-1992年的英国,精英们隐藏了20-32%的财富。在朝代中,隐性财富(独立于公开财富)预测了2013-6年离岸泄漏数据库中的出现情况、1999年的房价和1990-2016年牛津剑桥的出勤率。在过去的一个世纪里,最富有的10%的人的财富份额下降了三分之一。
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引用次数: 2
Eliminating the Tax Shield Through Allowance for Corporate Equity: Cross-Border Credit Supply Effects 通过公司股权补贴消除税收屏蔽:跨境信贷供给效应
Pub Date : 2019-07-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3271366
Swarnava Biswas, Bálint Horváth, Wei Zhai
This paper studies how the elimination of the corporate tax bias on bank leverage affects banks' credit provisioning using the introduction of an allowance for corporate equity (ACE) in Belgium. We find that affected banks increased their contribution within cross-border syndicated loan facilities relative to other foreign banks, and that this effect was stronger for relatively safe borrowers; in neighboring countries; and where Belgian banks had subsidiaries. We estimate that Belgian bank-lead loans had on average 20-50 basis points lower spreads when ACE was in effect. Finally, our results suggest a relatively large, positive credit supply effect domestically. A back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests that 1 dollar of ACE tax deduction resulted in roughly 123 dollars of new loans overall.
本文以比利时引入公司股权补贴(ACE)为例,研究了企业税对银行杠杆影响的消除对银行信贷供给的影响。我们发现,与其他外国银行相比,受影响的银行在跨境银团贷款安排中的贡献增加了,而且这种影响对相对安全的借款人更强;在邻国;以及比利时银行的分支机构。我们估计,当ACE生效时,比利时银行主导贷款的利差平均降低了20-50个基点。最后,我们的研究结果表明,国内信贷供应效应相对较大,为正。一个粗略的计算表明,1美元的ACE税收减免导致大约123美元的新贷款。
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引用次数: 6
US Corporate Tax Cuts: Spillovers to the Irish Economy 美国企业减税:对爱尔兰经济的溢出效应
Pub Date : 2019-06-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3418183
Daragh Clancy
We examine spillovers to the Irish economy from US corporate income tax rate cuts and find they lead to a small but persistent increase in Irish economic output. Our analysis of the transmission channels shows that an increase in investment, employment and exports in the externally-financed industrial sector largely drives this expansion. We also find that output spillovers from US corporate income tax cuts are larger when there is slack in the Irish labour market. Our findings suggest that the changing structure of the Irish economy means any spillovers to real economic activity from the recent US corporate tax cuts could be relatively minor. However, the larger presence and shifting focus of foreign multinational corporations’ operations in Ireland means lessons from past US corporate tax cuts may be of limited value in predicting the effects of the recent US tax system reform.
我们研究了美国企业所得税税率下调对爱尔兰经济的溢出效应,发现它们导致爱尔兰经济产出小幅但持续增长。我们对传导渠道的分析表明,外部融资工业部门投资、就业和出口的增加在很大程度上推动了这种扩张。我们还发现,当爱尔兰劳动力市场疲软时,美国企业所得税削减的产出溢出效应更大。我们的研究结果表明,爱尔兰经济结构的变化意味着,最近美国企业减税对实体经济活动的任何溢出效应都可能相对较小。然而,外国跨国公司在爱尔兰的业务规模扩大,业务重心也在转移,这意味着,在预测最近美国税制改革的影响时,美国过去减税的经验可能价值有限。
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引用次数: 0
OECD-Led Tax Reforms: A Prescription for a Less Competitive Economy 经合组织主导的税收改革:降低经济竞争力的药方
Pub Date : 2019-06-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3406260
Constantin Gurdgiev
This note reviews May 2019 OECD framework agreement report, “OECD/G20 Inclusive Framework on BEPS: Progress Report July 2018-May 2019” on international taxation of the ‘digital economy’. The core conclusions of the review are: 1. The framework agreement proposals to-date represent complex, ambiguous and uncertainty-rich set of taxation reforms that pose serious questions about their potential effectiveness and impact on the advanced economies; 2. The framework agreement proposals represent a direct challenge to the national sovereignty over taxation and fiscal policies, including policies aimed at domestic economic development, support for the free capital mobility and promotion of the research and innovation-intensive growth; 3. The framework proposals represent a significant risk of skewing international markets institutions in favour of larger Multinational enterprises (MNCs) at the expense of smaller, younger and more competitive and more innovative firms; and 4. The framework proposals represent a significant risk of increasing monopolisation and monopsonisation of the modern economies.
本文回顾了2019年5月OECD关于“数字经济”国际税收的框架协议报告《OECD/G20 BEPS包容性框架:2018年7月- 2019年5月进展报告》。本综述的核心结论是:1。迄今为止的框架协议提案代表了一系列复杂、模糊且充满不确定性的税收改革,这些改革的潜在有效性和对发达经济体的影响令人严重质疑;2. 框架协议提案在税收和财政政策方面对国家主权构成直接挑战,包括旨在发展国内经济、支持资本自由流动和促进研究和创新密集型增长的政策;3.该框架建议具有使国际市场机构偏向较大跨国企业的重大风险,而牺牲较小、较年轻、更具竞争力和更具创新性的公司;和4。该框架提案代表着现代经济日益加剧的垄断和垄断的重大风险。
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引用次数: 1
Sovereign Default and Imperfect Tax Enforcement 主权违约和不完善的税收执行
Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3400076
Francesco Pappadà, Yanos Zylberberg
We show that tax compliance is volatile and markedly responds to fiscal policy. To explore the consequence of this novel stylized fact, we build a model of sovereign debt with limited commitment and imperfect tax enforcement. Fiscal policy persistently affects the size of the informal economy, which impact future fiscal revenues and thus default risk. This mechanism captures a key empirical regularity of economies with imperfect tax enforcement: the low sensitivity of debt price to fiscal consolidations. The interaction of imperfect tax enforcement and limited commitment strongly constrains the dynamics of optimal fiscal policy. During default crises, high tax distortions force the government towards extreme fiscal policies, notably including costly austerity spells.
我们表明,税收合规是不稳定的,并明显响应财政政策。为了探讨这种新奇的风格化事实的后果,我们建立了一个承诺有限、税收执行不完善的主权债务模型。财政政策持续影响非正规经济的规模,进而影响未来的财政收入,从而影响违约风险。这一机制抓住了税收执行不完善经济体的一个关键经验规律:债务价格对财政整顿的敏感度较低。不完善的税收执行和有限的承诺的相互作用强烈地约束了最优财政政策的动态。在违约危机期间,严重的税收扭曲迫使政府采取极端的财政政策,尤其是代价高昂的紧缩政策。
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引用次数: 2
Why is IFRS Not a Good Starting Point for a Tax Base? 为什么国际财务报告准则不是一个好的税基起点?
Pub Date : 2019-05-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3383061
Antonio Lopo Martinez
This article discusses whether IAS/IFRS should be used as a starting point in the context of the Common Corporate Tax Base in the European Union. Non-European countries may also have an interest in the analysis on the use of IFRS to compute the corporate tax base, as well. After a background discussion on the application of IAS/IFRS as the start point for a tax base, some principles of tax bases are analyzed. Additionally, the disadvantages and advantages of using IAS/IFRS as the start point are presented. In the end, the creation of an independent tax accounting framework is recommended, which should have as the primary purpose taxation, and taxpayers and governments as the users of the information. In this new arena, the IAS/IFRS should be a valuable toolbox of concepts that can be adjusted for a tax perspective.
本文讨论了在欧盟共同企业税基的背景下,是否应将国际会计准则/国际财务报告准则作为起点。非欧洲国家也可能对使用国际财务报告准则计算公司税基的分析感兴趣。在对国际会计准则/国际财务报告准则作为税基的起点的应用进行背景讨论之后,分析了税基的一些原则。此外,提出了使用国际会计准则/国际财务报告准则作为起点的缺点和优点。最后,建议建立一个独立的税务会计框架,该框架应以税收为主要目的,纳税人和政府作为信息的使用者。在这个新的领域,国际会计准则/国际财务报告准则应该是一个有价值的概念工具箱,可以根据税务的角度进行调整。
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引用次数: 1
The International Coordination of Corporate Taxation: Old Solutions for New Challenges? 企业税收的国际协调:新挑战的旧解决方案?
Pub Date : 2019-03-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3395813
Vieri Ceriani, Giacomo Ricotti
The ways in which multinational companies operate in the current economic context questions the adequacy of international coordination of corporate taxation. A conceptual approach would require abandoning the classic paradigms of the international tax system (permanent establishment, arm's length, transfer pricing); they remain at the basis of the “Base Erosion and Profit Shifting” project (BEPS) elaborated by the OECD but are now obsolescent. The crisis of this system has been exacerbated by the Trump Reform and the explosion of the digital economy. The former introduces new regimes that undermine international cooperation and are in contrast with the WTO rules and with the double taxation treaties, regardless of the traditional OECD principles. The latter has features that cannot be governed by current tax rules, even if improved with the suggestions of the BEPS project. Solutions proposed at international level or applied by individual countries could lead to great uncertainty. A rational response to these challenges would rest on different bases, such as those of a system of formulary apportionment, with advantages in terms of simplicity, cost and certainty, fostering allocative efficiency and growth. Although this design is not feasible at international level, applying such a system in Europe, with the common consolidated corporate tax base (CCCTB), could ensure greater attractiveness and efficiency of the EU internal market: it would apply the same formulary system applied to other markets (e.g., the US market), while intra-European transactions are still regulated by the transfer pricing mechanism.
跨国公司在当前经济环境下的经营方式对公司税收的国际协调是否充分提出了质疑。概念性办法将要求放弃国际税收制度的经典范例(常设机构、保持一定距离、转让定价);它们仍然是经合组织制定的“税基侵蚀和利润转移”项目(BEPS)的基础,但现在已经过时了。特朗普改革和数字经济的爆炸式增长加剧了这一体系的危机。前者不顾经合组织的传统原则,引入了破坏国际合作的新制度,与世贸组织规则和避免双重征税条约形成对比。后者具有当前税收规则无法管辖的特征,即使BEPS项目的建议对其进行了改进。在国际一级提出或由个别国家实施的解决办法可能导致很大的不确定性。对这些挑战的合理反应将建立在不同的基础上,例如公式分摊制度,它在简单、成本和确定性方面具有优势,促进分配效率和增长。虽然这一设计在国际层面上是不可行的,但在欧洲采用这样的制度,并采用共同统一的企业税基(CCCTB),可以确保欧盟内部市场更大的吸引力和效率:它将采用适用于其他市场(如美国市场)的相同公式系统,而欧洲内部交易仍受转移定价机制的监管。
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引用次数: 1
Hybrid Entity Mismatches: Exploring Three Alternatives for Coordination 混合实体不匹配:探索协调的三种选择
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.54648/taxi2019003
L. Parada
The OECD pragmatic approach regarding hybrid entity mismatches is, without doubt, questionable. However, equally questionable is the absence of alternatives solutions proposed by either academics or tax policy makers , which demonstrates a sort of conformism as regards both the diagnosis of the problems and the solutions thereto, as if matching tax outcomes and taxing income somewhere – no matter where – were indeed the only possible path to deal with hybrid entity mismatches.  In an attempt to break this inertia, this article argues for coordination in the tax characterization of entities as a straightforward and suitable alternative to replace the current OECD linking rules, and perhaps also, the consequentialist OECD approach to hybrid entity mismatches. For this purpose, three specific alternatives are explored for coordination in the tax characterization of entities, which include (1) supremacy of the tax characterization rules of the source state, (2) supremacy of the tax characterization rules of the residence state and (3) supremacy of the tax characterization rules of the home state. The analysis of these alternatives includes both hypotheticals and specific examples from domestic and supranational laws that are used to illustrate and support their effectiveness. The ultimate aim of this article is to demonstrate that coordination in the tax characterization of entities appears to be not only a more preferable path when compared to the OECD approach of matching tax outcomes, but also a more coherent and less costly alternative for both taxpayers and tax administrations.
毫无疑问,经合组织对待混合实体不匹配的务实做法是有问题的。然而,同样值得质疑的是,学者或税收政策制定者都没有提出替代解决方案,这表明在问题的诊断和解决方案方面存在一种因循就约的现象,似乎匹配税收结果和某处的税收收入——无论在哪里——确实是处理混合实体不匹配的唯一可能途径。为了打破这种惯性,本文主张协调实体的税收特征,作为替代当前经合组织联系规则的直接和合适的替代方案,也许也是经合组织解决混合实体不匹配的结果主义方法。为此,本文探讨了实体税收表征协调的三种具体替代方案,包括:(1)源国税收表征规则优先,(2)居住国税收表征规则优先,(3)母国税收表征规则优先。对这些替代方案的分析既包括假设,也包括来自国内和超国家法律的具体例子,用来说明和支持其有效性。本文的最终目的是证明,与经合组织匹配税收结果的方法相比,实体税收特征的协调似乎不仅是一种更可取的途径,而且对纳税人和税务管理部门来说也是一种更连贯、成本更低的选择。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
ERN: Taxation
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