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Using resurvey data to predict changes in ecosystem functioning across protected and unprotected coastal dunes. 利用调查数据预测受保护和未受保护的海岸沙丘生态系统功能的变化。
IF 5.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-03-14 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.70256
Greta La Bella, Alicia T R Acosta, Tommaso Jucker, Manuele Bazzichetto, Marco Andrello, Marta Gaia Sperandii, Marta Carboni

Protected areas are generally designed to conserve biodiversity. However, how much they also contribute to maintaining ecosystem functions that plant diversity supports has rarely been tested explicitly, often because of the lack of historical ecosystem function data. We used a trait-based approach to reconstruct past ecosystem functioning and examine its change over the last 15 years in protected and unprotected coastal dune ecosystems. We resurveyed vegetation in quasipermanent plots and measured several ecosystem functions related to biomass production, carbon, water, nutrient cycling, erosion control, and invasion resistance across six coastal dune sites in central Italy. We used these data to quantify biodiversity-ecosystem function (BEF) relationships. We then used these relationships to hindcast past ecosystem functions based on historical vegetation surveys. Finally, as a case study, we applied this method to assess temporal changes in ecosystem functioning under three protection regimes: national protected areas (i.e., strict protection), Natura 2000 sites (loose protection), and unprotected areas. Biomass production, carbon, and water regulation increased over time in unprotected areas, likely due to an expansion of ruderal and non-native species, which are usually more productive. In Natura 2000 sites, communities showed a decrease in erosion control and invasion resistance associated with the loss of important dune-building species and the spread of non-native species. Only in national protected areas did ecosystem functions not undergo significant temporal changes, and invasion resistance even increased. Our results suggested that ecosystem functioning remained stable over time only in areas under strict protection. More broadly, our results demonstrate the potential for using resurvey data in combination with locally estimated BEF relationships to hindcast past ecosystem functioning. Such an approach can be valuable for monitoring long-term functional changes in response to conservation.

保护区的设计通常是为了保护生物多样性。然而,由于缺乏历史生态系统功能数据,它们对维持植物多样性支持的生态系统功能的贡献程度很少得到明确的测试。我们使用了基于特征的方法来重建过去的生态系统功能,并研究了过去15年来受保护和不受保护的海岸沙丘生态系统的变化。研究人员对意大利中部六个海岸沙丘样地的半永久性样地植被进行了重新调查,并测量了与生物量生产、碳、水、养分循环、侵蚀控制和入侵抵抗有关的几种生态系统功能。我们使用这些数据来量化生物多样性-生态系统功能(BEF)的关系。然后,我们利用这些关系根据历史植被调查来预测过去的生态系统功能。最后,作为一个案例研究,我们应用该方法评估了三种保护制度下生态系统功能的时间变化:国家保护区(即严格保护),自然2000点(松散保护)和无保护地区。随着时间的推移,未受保护地区的生物质生产、碳和水调节都有所增加,这可能是由于通常生产力更高的原始物种和非本地物种的扩张。在Natura 2000中,由于重要造沙物种的消失和非本地物种的扩散,群落的侵蚀控制能力和抗入侵能力都有所下降。只有在国家级保护区内,生态系统功能没有发生明显的时间变化,抗入侵能力甚至有所增强。我们的研究结果表明,只有在严格保护的地区,生态系统功能才会随着时间的推移而稳定。更广泛地说,我们的研究结果表明,将调查数据与当地估计的BEF关系结合起来,可以预测过去的生态系统功能。这种方法对于监测响应保护的长期功能变化很有价值。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing conservation breeding programs for marine invertebrates. 推进海洋无脊椎动物保护繁殖工程。
IF 5.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-03-11 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.70253
Elora H López-Nandam, Bart Shepherd, Kylie Lev, Rebecca Albright

In the face of ecosystem change and biodiversity loss caused by climate change and other stressors, conservation breeding, or captive breeding, with the aim of reintroduction for wild population recovery, is an emerging tool for preventing species' extinction and rehabilitating ecosystems. Most of these programs breed terrestrial megafauna, and few breed marine invertebrates. Marine invertebrates play diverse and pivotal roles in maintaining ecological integrity, and their conservation is vital for preserving healthy, functioning marine ecosystems. For sessile or mostly-sessile marine invertebrates, the likelihood of reproductive success scales with nearby population density. When population density declines, marine protected areas may be slow or ineffective in supporting recovery without human-assisted reproduction. However, most marine invertebrate breeding programs lack clear metrics that align with established conservation standards, and few have been directly linked to successful species recovery. Breeding these animals presents unique challenges related to their diverse life histories, demographics, and physiologies. At the same time, marine invertebrate programs offer both opportunities that are distinct from those of terrestrial programs and opportunities that are shared across all conservation breeding programs, regardless of the taxon. To advance the development of marine invertebrate conservation breeding and reintroduction metrics, this review assesses the challenges and opportunities for these programs across 10 focal areas, shedding light on needs and unresolved issues. We emphasize the current and potential future role of zoos and aquariums. As environmental change accelerates, conservation breeding will become increasingly vital to protecting biodiversity. Meeting this challenge requires strong, collaborative, and interdisciplinary programs that address the wide range of factors essential to the successful reintroduction and regeneration of marine ecosystems.

面对气候变化和其他压力因素导致的生态系统变化和生物多样性丧失,以野生种群恢复为目的的保护性繁殖或圈养繁殖是防止物种灭绝和恢复生态系统的新兴工具。这些项目大多繁殖陆地巨型动物,很少繁殖海洋无脊椎动物。海洋无脊椎动物在维持生态完整性方面发挥着多种多样的关键作用,对它们的保护对于保护健康、功能良好的海洋生态系统至关重要。对于无根或大部分无根的海洋无脊椎动物,繁殖成功的可能性与附近的种群密度有关。当人口密度下降时,海洋保护区在没有人类辅助繁殖的情况下可能会缓慢或无效地支持恢复。然而,大多数海洋无脊椎动物繁殖计划缺乏与既定保护标准相一致的明确指标,而且很少与成功的物种恢复直接相关。饲养这些动物面临着与它们不同的生活史、人口统计学和生理学相关的独特挑战。与此同时,海洋无脊椎动物项目提供了与陆地项目不同的机会,也提供了所有保护繁殖项目共享的机会,无论其分类单元如何。为了促进海洋无脊椎动物保护繁殖和放归指标的发展,本综述评估了这些项目在10个重点领域面临的挑战和机遇,揭示了需求和未解决的问题。我们强调动物园和水族馆目前和未来的潜在作用。随着环境变化的加速,保护性育种对生物多样性的保护将变得越来越重要。应对这一挑战需要强有力的、协作的、跨学科的项目,以解决成功重新引入和再生海洋生态系统所必需的广泛因素。
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引用次数: 0
Guiding stakeholder negotiations in data-poor coastal planning with open-access spatial data. 利用开放获取的空间数据,指导数据贫乏的沿海规划中的利益相关者谈判。
IF 5.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-03-11 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.70248
Latifa Pelage, Adrien Brunel, Elodie Fache, Thierry Frédou, Sophie Lanco, Flavia Lucena-Frédou, Arnaud Bertrand

Negotiating conservation priorities in highly anthropic ecosystems requires approaches that promote cooperation and cost bargaining among stakeholders. In data-poor contexts, such negotiations are hindered by limited information and conflicting interests. We developed a transparent and reproducible prioritization framework, combining open-access satellite imagery with a decision-support tool, to inform participatory coastal planning. Although illustrated in northeast Brazil, a data-poor region where coastal conflicts between tourism and fisheries are acute, the framework was designed to be broadly applicable to similar coastal social-ecological systems. It generates visualizations that help stakeholders explore trade-offs in three dimensions: defining a conservation target; debating the location of coastal candidate areas that balance habitat protection with minimizing impacts on tourism and fishing activities; and deliberating the degree of restriction within each candidate area based on conservation and socioeconomic considerations. We applied this approach to design five alternative spatial planning scenarios. Three were based on composite tourism and fisheries indices ("neutral", "avoid fisheries areas", and "avoid tourism areas"), and two focused on specific practices ("all specific activities" and "do not exclude small-scale"). These scenarios revealed where restrictions can be applied or relaxed to achieve conservation objectives while maintaining essential local livelihoods. By highlighting the limitations of existing conservation units and promoting inclusive, transparent decision-making, our method provides a practical means to focus stakeholder negotiations. More broadly, the framework offers a scalable and transferable approach for equitable, multisectoral conservation planning in other data-poor coastal regions facing similar trade-offs.

在高度人为活动的生态系统中谈判保护优先事项需要促进利益相关者之间的合作和成本讨价还价的方法。在缺乏数据的情况下,这种谈判受到信息有限和利益冲突的阻碍。我们开发了一个透明且可重复的优先排序框架,将开放获取的卫星图像与决策支持工具相结合,为参与式沿海规划提供信息。虽然该框架是在巴西东北部(一个数据贫乏的地区,旅游业和渔业之间的沿海冲突非常严重)说明的,但其设计目的是广泛适用于类似的沿海社会生态系统。它生成可视化,帮助利益相关者在三个方面探索权衡:定义保护目标;讨论沿海候选区域的位置,以平衡栖息地保护与尽量减少对旅游和渔业活动的影响;并根据保护和社会经济因素考虑每个候选区域的限制程度。我们运用这种方法设计了五个可选的空间规划方案。三个基于旅游和渔业综合指数(“中性”、“避开渔区”和“避开旅游区”),两个侧重于具体做法(“所有具体活动”和“不排除小规模”)。这些情景表明,在维持当地基本生计的同时,可以在哪些地方实施或放松限制,以实现保护目标。通过强调现有保护单元的局限性,促进包容、透明的决策,我们的方法为关注利益相关者的谈判提供了一种实用的手段。更广泛地说,该框架为面临类似权衡的其他数据匮乏沿海地区的公平、多部门保护规划提供了一种可扩展和可转移的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Structured machine learning modeling to support conservation of deep-sea benthic biodiversity. 结构化机器学习模型支持深海底栖生物多样性保护。
IF 5.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-03-10 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.70255
Gustavo Fonseca, Danilo C Vieira, Juliane C Carneiro, Renato S Carreira, Milena Ceccopieri, Thais N Corbisier, Adriana Galindo Dalto, Alberto G Figueiredo, Fabiane Gallucci, Paula Gheller, Simone Brito de Jesus, Helena Passeri Lavrado, Letícia Lazzari, Eduardo Hilzendeger Marcon, Daniel Leite Moreira, Rafael Bendayan de Moura, Ellen Pape, Ana Cláudia Aoki Santarosa, João Regis Dos Santos Filho, Silvia Helena de Mello E Sousa, Thaisa Marques Vicente, Luciana Erika Yaginuma, Cinthia Yamashita, Wandrey Watanabe

Biodiversity monitoring programs need to deliver accurate, timely, and actionable predictions. To establish a predictive monitoring program for deep-sea benthos of the Santos Basin, Brazil, we developed a two-stage structured model that allowed comparison of biodiversity predictions obtained from environmental simulations (2M-Sim). We also modeled the environmental variables as a function of spatial and temporal variables and compared this model's predictions with predictions obtained from real environmental data (2M). We built unstructured models (1M) as references to evaluate whether the proposed structured approach was reliable. We expected no significant differences between 1M and 2M or between 2M and 2M-Sim. Data were obtained from 100 stations at depths of 25-2400 m during two surveys (2019 and 2021). In our model framework, we used 12 benthic macro- and meiofaunal variables, 44 sediment and water column environmental variables, and four spatial and temporal variables. We applied a random forest algorithm to the structured and unstructured models. All comparisons were performed with 20% of the dataset set aside for validation. The average accuracy was 72%, 69%, and 68% for the 1M, 2M, and 2M-Sim models, respectively. Accuracies of 2M ranged from 38% to 84% and were generally higher for macrofauna. The observed accuracy loss from 1M to 2M (3%) and from 2M to 2M-Sim (1%) was not significant for any biodiversity variable. The 2M model identified 30 significant environmental variables; bottom water parameters and sedimentary phytopigment and carbonate concentrations were the best predictors. Our approach supports biodiversity conservation by optimizing data needs and future sampling and by guiding data-driven management decisions for benthic biodiversity.

生物多样性监测项目需要提供准确、及时和可操作的预测。为了建立巴西Santos盆地深海底栖生物的预测监测程序,我们开发了一个两阶段的结构化模型,可以比较从环境模拟(2M-Sim)中获得的生物多样性预测。我们还将环境变量建模为时空变量的函数,并将该模型的预测与从实际环境数据(2M)中获得的预测进行了比较。我们建立了非结构化模型(1M)作为参考,以评估所提出的结构化方法是否可靠。我们预计1M和2M之间或2M和2M- sim之间没有显著差异。在两次调查(2019年和2021年)中,在25-2400米深度的100个站点获得了数据。在我们的模型框架中,我们使用了12个底栖生物宏观和小型动物变量,44个沉积物和水柱环境变量以及4个时空变量。我们将随机森林算法应用于结构化和非结构化模型。所有的比较都是用20%的数据集进行验证的。1M、2M和2M- sim模型的平均准确率分别为72%、69%和68%。2M的准确率在38%到84%之间,对于大型动物来说,准确率通常更高。从1M到2M(3%)和从2M到2M- sim(1%)的观测精度损失对任何生物多样性变量都不显著。2M模型确定了30个显著的环境变量;底水参数和沉积植物色素和碳酸盐浓度是最好的预测因子。我们的方法通过优化数据需求和未来采样以及指导数据驱动的底栖生物多样性管理决策来支持生物多样性保护。
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引用次数: 0
Indigenous governance and the future of conservation. 土著治理和保护的未来。
IF 5.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-03-10 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.70254
Sherie Jeanette Bruce
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引用次数: 0
Integrating α and β diversity in conservation planning. 保护规划中α和β多样性的整合。
IF 5.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-03-10 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.70243
Siqi P Liang, Binbin V Li, Ryan M Huang, Stuart L Pimm

Conservation planning has long prioritized local species richness (α diversity) but has rarely explicitly integrated species turnover (β diversity) into actionable strategies. Areas with high species turnover lack recognition and protection despite their ecological importance. We devised a simple, standardized, and scalable approach for mapping species turnover. We rasterized species ranges, then counted the range edges of each species in each grid cell. This approach enables high-resolution mapping across regions and facilitates the integration of β diversity into conservation planning. We applied this approach to the Eastern Himalayas, where 3 biodiversity hotspots abut, and used endemic bird species as our focal taxa. Our analyses revealed differences between areas of high species richness and high species turnover. Areas of high species richness were concentrated in montane forests, whereas areas of high species turnover tended to be low in mountain forests and peak in foothills and tree lines. Both areas of high species richness and high species turnover are inadequately protected. We contend that species turnover is a critical, complementary metric to species richness in understanding patterns of biodiversity. In addition, areas of high species turnover host unique species assemblages and face a dual challenge. They host peripheral populations that are more prone to local extinction, and communities within them are particularly sensitive to climate change. These vulnerabilities heighten the urgency of protecting such areas. As conservation planning evolves toward more holistic strategies that address multiple interconnected environmental challenges-such as biodiversity loss, climate change, and water security-it becomes increasingly imperative to integrate both α and β diversity into biodiversity mapping. This integration provides a more representative and ecologically robust foundation for long-term conservation planning.

长期以来,保护规划优先考虑当地物种丰富度(α多样性),但很少明确地将物种周转(β多样性)纳入可操作的策略。物种周转率高的地区虽然具有重要的生态意义,但缺乏重视和保护。我们设计了一种简单、标准化、可扩展的方法来绘制物种更替图。我们对物种范围进行栅格化,然后计算每个网格单元中每个物种的范围边缘。这种方法可以实现跨区域的高分辨率制图,并促进将β多样性纳入保护规划。我们将该方法应用于3个生物多样性热点地区的东喜马拉雅地区,并以特有鸟类作为焦点分类群。我们的分析揭示了高物种丰富度和高物种周转区域之间的差异。物种丰富度高的地区集中在山地林,而物种周转高的地区往往在山林中低,在山麓和林带中达到高峰。高物种丰富度和高物种周转量的地区都没有得到充分的保护。我们认为物种周转是理解生物多样性模式的一个重要的、补充的物种丰富度指标。此外,物种周转率高的地区拥有独特的物种组合,并面临双重挑战。它们拥有更容易在当地灭绝的周边人口,其中的社区对气候变化特别敏感。这些脆弱性加剧了保护这些地区的紧迫性。随着保护规划向更全面的战略发展,以应对多种相互关联的环境挑战,如生物多样性丧失、气候变化和水安全,将α和β多样性整合到生物多样性制图中变得越来越必要。这种整合为长期保护规划提供了更具代表性和生态稳健的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Perceived costs as drivers of wildlife management preferences in rural Tanzanian communities. 感知成本是坦桑尼亚农村社区野生动物管理偏好的驱动因素。
IF 5.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-03-09 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.70251
Christian Kiffner, Justin Raycraft, Reilly Becchina, Danielle Bettermann, Stephen Koester, Elana Kriegel, Kiana Lindsay, Edwin Maingo Ole, Emily Ramirez, Bryan Spizuco, Neil H Carter

Effectively managing human-wildlife interactions is crucial for fostering coexistence on shared landscapes. Management options are most effective when aligned with the preferences of people directly affected by wildlife, yet little is known about how socioecological factors influence these preferences. Integrating responses from 680 rural residents of northern Tanzania and remotely sensed data, we parameterized a Bayesian hierarchical model to test predictions of the hazard-acceptance model. We estimated how perceived costs and benefits, distance to protected areas, and the human footprint index mediate preferences for managing (preventing damage, compensating damage, reducing populations, and doing nothing) interactions with herbivore (elephant, giraffe, buffalo, zebra, wildebeest, and impala) and carnivore (lion, hyena, leopard, cheetah, honey badger, and jackal) species. Most respondents preferred management options that supported coexistence: prevention (41.9%), no management (38.0%), and compensation (11.1%). In contrast, population reduction (9.0%) was least preferred but more frequently selected for carnivores (13.4%) than herbivores (5.3%). Perceived costs strongly influenced management preferences. Respondents perceiving tangible costs were more likely to prefer prevention (posterior mean: 0.57 [95% credible interval 0.00 to 0.99]) over compensation (0.07 [0.00 to 0.66]) or population reduction (0.16 [0.00 to 0.87]), whereas those not perceiving costs leaned toward no management (0.40 [-0.74 to 1.78]). Though perceived benefits were less influential than costs, respondents associating species with intangible (0.10 [0.00 to 0.74]) or tourism benefits (0.06 [0.00 to 0.63]) were less likely to support population reduction than those perceiving no benefits (0.12 [0.00 to 0.82]). Distance to protected areas and the human footprint index had weaker, inconsistent effects, but random intercepts indicated substantial village-village variation in preferred management options. Our results suggest that conservation strategies should primarily address wildlife-related costs and foster coexistence by more equitably distributing benefits. A possible strategy could include investing tourism revenues into comanaged, locally tailored damage prevention measures.

有效管理人类与野生动物的互动对于促进在共同景观上的共存至关重要。当与直接受野生动物影响的人们的偏好相一致时,管理方案是最有效的,但人们对社会生态因素如何影响这些偏好知之甚少。综合来自坦桑尼亚北部680名农村居民的反馈和遥感数据,我们将贝叶斯分层模型参数化,以检验风险接受模型的预测。我们估计了感知成本和收益、到保护区的距离以及人类足迹指数如何调节管理(防止损害、补偿损害、减少种群和什么都不做)与食草动物(大象、长颈鹿、水牛、斑马、角马和黑斑羚)和食肉动物(狮子、鬣狗、豹子、猎豹、蜜獾和豺狼)物种之间相互作用的偏好。大多数受访者倾向于支持共存的管理方案:预防(41.9%)、无管理(38.0%)和补偿(11.1%)。相比之下,食肉动物(13.4%)比食草动物(5.3%)更不喜欢种群减少(9.0%),但更频繁地选择种群减少(5.3%)。感知成本强烈影响管理偏好。感知到有形成本的受访者更倾向于预防(后验均值:0.57[95%可信区间0.00至0.99]),而不是补偿(0.07[0.00至0.66])或人口减少(0.16[0.00至0.87]),而未感知到成本的受访者倾向于不管理(0.40[-0.74至1.78])。尽管感知到的利益影响小于成本,但与那些认为没有利益的人相比,将物种与无形利益(0.10[0.00至0.74])或旅游利益(0.06[0.00至0.63])联系起来的受访者更不可能支持人口减少(0.12[0.00至0.82])。到保护区的距离和人类足迹指数的影响较弱且不一致,但随机截取表明,村间在首选管理方案上存在很大差异。我们的研究结果表明,保护策略应首先解决与野生动物相关的成本问题,并通过更公平地分配利益来促进共存。一种可能的策略是将旅游收入投资于有管理的、适合当地的损害预防措施。
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引用次数: 0
Defining and identifying relevant stakeholders to advance effective conservation. 界定和确定有关的持份者,以促进有效的保育工作。
IF 5.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-03-09 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.70249
Milan Büscher, Felix Przesdzink, Christian Wilhelmy, Laura Herzog, Johannes Halbe, Florian Fiebelkorn

Stakeholder is a contested term that has spawned a multitude of ad hoc definitions. The ambiguity of these definitions has oftentimes impeded transdisciplinary research in environmental governance and conservation science because it hampers effective communication and operationalization of the stakeholder concept. We devised a project-configurable definition of stakeholder that integrates 2 stakeholder typologies: the holder types of Schmitter (e.g., knowledge, right, space, and interest holders) and the salience model (power, legitimacy, urgency, and proximity) of Mitchell et al. From a conceptual perspective, we synthesized role-based and salience-based views of stakeholder to the following definition: a stakeholder is someone who takes on one or several different roles relating to an issue for whom that issue has a certain baseline level of priority. Building on this definition, we produced a 6-step conceptual stakeholder identification workflow. The workflow combines expert discussion, structured stakeholder scoring, and iterative validation to narrow an initial actor universe to a transparent and defensible stakeholder set. We applied the method to a hypothetical peatland rewetting project in Central Europe to showcase how network boundaries and salience thresholds can be refined in order to move from an initially large set of actors to a documented and manageable set of stakeholders. Our definition of stakeholder and the identification workflow aim to offer scientists, managers, and policy makers a transparent tool for selecting, ranking, and justifying the actors who most urgently need to be at the table.

涉众是一个有争议的术语,已经产生了许多特别的定义。这些定义的模糊性经常阻碍环境治理和保护科学的跨学科研究,因为它阻碍了利益相关者概念的有效沟通和运作。我们设计了一个项目可配置的利益相关者定义,它集成了两种利益相关者类型:Schmitter的利益相关者类型(例如,知识、权利、空间和利益所有者)和Mitchell等人的突出模型(权力、合法性、紧迫性和邻近性)。从概念的角度来看,我们将基于角色和基于显著性的涉众观点综合为以下定义:涉众是与问题相关的一个或几个不同角色的人,该问题对他来说具有一定的基线优先级。基于这个定义,我们产生了一个6步概念性涉众识别工作流程。工作流结合了专家讨论、结构化的涉众评分和迭代验证,以将初始参与者范围缩小为透明且可防御的涉众集。我们将该方法应用于中欧的一个假设的泥炭地再湿润项目,以展示如何改进网络边界和显著阈值,以便从最初的一组大参与者转变为一组记录在案且可管理的利益相关者。我们对涉众的定义和识别工作流程旨在为科学家、管理者和政策制定者提供一个透明的工具,用于选择、排序和证明最迫切需要参与的参与者。
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引用次数: 0
A synthesis of principles for building the social-ecological resilience and adaptive capacity of protected and conserved areas. 建立受保护地区的社会生态复原力和适应能力的综合原则。
IF 5.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-03-09 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.70238
Graeme S Cumming, Alta De Vos, Hayley S Clements, Bekezela Dube, Herve Fritz, Edson Gandiwa, Chloé Guerbois, Nelsiwe P Mpapane, Dirk J Roux

The long-term success of protected and conserved areas depends on their capacity to remain relevant to human society while maintaining diverse, functional ecosystems. However, despite long-standing interest in applying complex systems approaches to foster protected area (PA) social-ecological resilience and adaptive capacity, a gap between theory and practice remains. We reviewed the evolution of overarching principles for resilience management to provide a cohesive synthesis and identify priorities for conservation governance and management. A systematic literature search identified 15 individual articles that together proposed 20 interrelated thematic clusters (themes) of principles. Analysis of connections between themes and publications identified 2 main schools, one with a more institutional focus (the Ostrom school) and the other with a more ecological focus (the Holling school). We assessed the strengths and weaknesses of the combined set of resilience principles with a focus on identifying gaps in current knowledge. Strengths included principles supported by extensive research on ecological diversity, heterogeneity, and collaborative governance. Key gaps relating to PA resilience included 3 interrelated needs for future research and action: developing governance solutions that extend beyond traditional PA boundaries, clarification of the dynamics of the relationship between resilience and transformation agendas, and deeper and more formal inclusion of justice and equity in resilience management. The rigorous establishment, application, and testing of science-based principles for building and supporting resilience and adaptive capacity, and their translation into conservation actions, remain a critically important goal for conservation science.

保护区的长期成功取决于它们与人类社会保持联系的能力,同时保持多样化、功能性的生态系统。然而,尽管长期以来人们对应用复杂系统方法来培养保护区的社会生态恢复力和适应能力感兴趣,但理论与实践之间仍然存在差距。我们回顾了恢复力管理总体原则的演变,以提供一个有凝聚力的综合,并确定保护治理和管理的优先事项。系统的文献检索确定了15篇单独的文章,这些文章共同提出了20个相互关联的专题丛集(主题)原则。对主题和出版物之间联系的分析确定了两个主要学派,一个更注重制度(奥斯特罗姆学派),另一个更注重生态(霍林学派)。我们评估了综合弹性原则的优势和劣势,重点是确定当前知识的差距。优势包括在生态多样性、异质性和协作治理方面广泛研究支持的原则。与弹性相关的关键差距包括未来研究和行动的3个相互关联的需求:开发超越传统弹性边界的治理解决方案,澄清弹性与转型议程之间的动态关系,以及在弹性管理中更深入、更正式地纳入正义和公平。严格建立、应用和测试以科学为基础的原则,以建立和支持恢复力和适应能力,并将其转化为保护行动,仍然是保护科学的一个至关重要的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Scenarios and strategies for future-proofing ecosystem management under climatic novelty. 气候新颖性下面向未来的生态系统管理方案与策略。
IF 5.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2026-03-09 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.70250
Lauren T Toth, Elizabeth T Borer, Deron E Burkepile, Joan Dudney, Nathan P Lemoine, Julianna J Renzi, Kathryn E L Smith, Travis A Courtney, Sara A Goeking, William M Hammond, David L Hoover, Sandra MacFadyen, Michael J Osland, Joseph E Townsend, Robert Y Fidler

Climate change is driving unprecedented declines in dominant, habitat-forming foundation species across marine and terrestrial ecosystems globally. As climatic novelty becomes the norm, ecosystem reassembly will become increasingly common. Predicting and understanding these transitions, and their implications for future ecosystem functioning, is essential for designing effective forward-looking management strategies. We explored 3 scenarios that describe a range of ecosystem reassembly trajectories following declines in previously dominant habitat-forming taxa: compensation, in which functionally similar subdominant or immigrating taxa maintain ecosystem structure and function; decline, in which no compensation occurs leading to loss of ecosystem structure and function; and transformation, in which the ecosystem present historically can no longer persist and shifts into a fundamentally different ecosystem type with distinct structure and function. This range of potential outcomes highlights the urgent need to assess the ecological feasibility and functional implications of potential management actions. Scientists and managers can work together to quantify local-scale climatic novelty and ecosystem resilience to better predict the most likely reassembly trajectories and identify management interventions that will optimize ecosystem function. This approach would allow for more proactive planning to support persistence of ecosystem structure and function, helping to future-proof ecosystem management in a rapidly changing world.

气候变化正在推动全球海洋和陆地生态系统中占主导地位、形成栖息地的基础物种出现前所未有的减少。随着气候的新奇成为常态,生态系统的重组将变得越来越普遍。预测和理解这些转变及其对未来生态系统功能的影响,对于设计有效的前瞻性管理战略至关重要。我们探索了3种情景,描述了在以前的优势栖息地形成分类群减少后的生态系统重组轨迹:补偿,其中功能相似的亚优势或移民分类群维持生态系统的结构和功能;退化,不进行补偿,导致生态系统结构和功能丧失;转型是指历史上存在的生态系统不能再持续存在,并转变为具有独特结构和功能的根本不同的生态系统类型。这一系列潜在的结果突出了评估潜在管理行动的生态可行性和功能影响的迫切需要。科学家和管理者可以共同努力,量化当地尺度的气候新颖性和生态系统恢复力,以更好地预测最可能的重组轨迹,并确定将优化生态系统功能的管理干预措施。这种方法将允许更积极主动的规划,以支持生态系统结构和功能的持久性,有助于在快速变化的世界中进行面向未来的生态系统管理。
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Conservation Biology
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