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Correlation of Finite Element Analysis FEA Predicted Residual Strength of Degraded Offshore Mooring Chains with Test Data 退化系泊链的有限元分析和有限元预测残余强度与试验数据的相关性
Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.4043/29528-MS
Gary H. Farrow, A. Potts, Simon Dimopoulos, A. Kilner
The first phase of the Chain FEARS (Finite Element Analysis of Residual Strength) Joint Industry Project (JIP) aimed to develop guidance for the determination of a rational discard criteria for mooring chains subject to severe pitting corrosion which, based on current code requirements, would otherwise require immediate removal and replacement. Critical to the ability to establish rational discard criteria, is the ability to accurately predict the residual strength of degraded chain, and to have as a benchmark for loss in strength, an accurate estimate of the chain in its as-new condition. With a correlated FEA method for residual strength prediction and a benchmark for as-new condition capacity, it would then be possible to establish a theoretical relationship between different types of degradation and mooring chain capacity loss, from which rational discard criteria would be derived. To this end the Chain FEARS JIP first developed a Finite Element Analyses (FEA) residual capacity assessment method to accurately predict the residual strength of degraded chains. A number of assessments were carried out to establish the sensitivity of the Predicted Break Load (PBL) to both engineering parameters such as friction coefficient, and numerical modelling techniques. The developed method was validated by the correlation of the PBL against a number of physical break tests. This paper presents a review of the break strength test data of pitting corrosion degraded chain links. The FEA modelling methodology based Predicted Break Load (PBL) are compared with the test data Actual Break Load (ABL) along with the sensitivity of engineering parameters and numerical model modelling techniques on predictions. The developed FEA method accurately predicts the location of the ‘failure’ within the chain string and the ductile necking failure mode, determined to be the prevalent mode of failure for the chain links samples considered in this study. The degree of correlation between PBL and ABL confirms that accurate prediction of the effects of corrosion degradation consequent on uniform and large pitting corrosion can be accurately predicted by use of the Finite Element Method. The developed FEA method was also employed to establish a benchmark for the strength capacity of as-new condition links as presented in [1], the basis for assessing the relationship between corrosion degradation and residual chain link capacity [2] and a basis for a multi-axial fatigue assessment method to establish the fatigue capacity of as-new and degraded chain links [3,4,5].
Chain FEARS(剩余强度有限元分析)联合工业项目(JIP)的第一阶段旨在制定指南,以确定严重点蚀的系泊链的合理丢弃标准,根据现行规范要求,这些系泊链需要立即拆除和更换。建立合理的丢弃标准的关键是能够准确预测降解链的剩余强度,并将其作为强度损失的基准,准确估计链在新状态下的损失。利用相关的有限元法预测锚链的剩余强度,建立锚链的新状态容量基准,建立不同退化类型与锚链容量损失之间的理论关系,并由此推导出合理的废弃准则。为此,链恐惧JIP首先开发了一种有限元分析(FEA)剩余容量评估方法,以准确预测退化链的剩余强度。为了确定预测断裂载荷(PBL)对工程参数(如摩擦系数)和数值模拟技术的敏感性,进行了一系列评估。通过PBL与一系列物理断裂试验的相关性,验证了所开发的方法。本文对点蚀退化链条断裂强度试验数据进行了综述。将基于预测断裂载荷(PBL)的有限元建模方法与试验数据实际断裂载荷(ABL)进行了比较,并分析了工程参数和数值模型建模技术对预测结果的敏感性。所开发的有限元分析方法准确地预测了链串内部“破坏”的位置和韧性颈缩破坏模式,确定了本研究中考虑的链杆样品的普遍破坏模式。PBL与ABL的相关程度证实了利用有限元方法可以准确预测均匀和大点蚀的腐蚀退化影响。采用所开发的有限元分析方法建立了新状态链环强度承载力基准[1],为评估腐蚀退化与残余链环承载力之间的关系奠定了基础[2],为建立新状态和退化链环疲劳承载力的多轴疲劳评估方法奠定了基础[3,4,5]。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing Fatigue Life of Corroded Mooring Chains Through Advanced Analysis 通过高级分析评估腐蚀锚链的疲劳寿命
Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.4043/29449-MS
Sue Wang, Xiying Zhang, Tom Kwan, Kai-tung Ma, Zhen Li, D. Baker, A. Izadparast, Gary H. Farrow, A. Potts, A. Nair, M. Prabhu, P. Vargas, I. Pérez, Meng Luo, E. Fontaine
Evaluation of corroded chain link for continued use or life extension is a challenging task for the industry. ABS, together with fifteen (15) participating organizations, initiated the Fatigue of Corroded Chains (FoCCs) Joint Industry Project (JIP) in 2016. The objective of the FoCCs JIP is to investigate methodologies for assessing remaining fatigue life of the corroded mooring chain used for floating production systems. The JIP scope includes fatigue testing in labs and finite element analysis (FEA) of corroded chain samples retrieved from six floating production facilities in West Africa and the North Sea. The participating organizations include oil majors, chain manufactures, consulting firms, and classification societies, which represent a pool of broad range of mooring knowledge and experience. Knowledge gained from the JIP will be summarized and used toward the development of guidance notes for assessing fatigue life of corroded mooring chain for the industry. Six sets of mooring chain samples with different corrosion conditions have been collected, cleaned and digitally scanned for fatigue testing and FEA. Procedures for testing and analysis have been developed with the objective of establishing commonly accepted methods. Different FEA procedures have been studied for making a better prediction of stress ranges of the corroded chain links. The findings from the fatigue testing and FEA will be utilized as basis for further development of the methods for fatigue assessment of corroded mooring chain. This paper summarizes the tests and FE analysis work for the selected chain samples. The JIP research work has found that corrosion, either general corrosion or local/pitting corrosion, can significantly reduce the chain fatigue capacity. The location and the geometry of corrosion pits have more impact on fatigue lives than the pit size. The JIP study has shown that FE analysis is an effective tool to capture the hot spot of corroded chain links and can provide insight in their fatigue performance. Different methods on the assessment of the stress range of a hot spot are compared and discussed.
对被腐蚀的链条进行评估以确保其继续使用或延长使用寿命是一项具有挑战性的任务。2016年,ABS与15个参与组织共同发起了腐蚀链疲劳联合工业项目(JIP)。FoCCs JIP的目的是研究用于浮式生产系统的腐蚀系泊链的剩余疲劳寿命评估方法。JIP范围包括实验室的疲劳测试和从西非和北海的六个浮式生产设施中提取的腐蚀链样品的有限元分析(FEA)。参与组织包括石油巨头、链条制造商、咨询公司和船级社,这些组织代表了广泛的系泊知识和经验。从JIP中获得的知识将被总结并用于制定行业评估腐蚀系泊链疲劳寿命的指导说明。收集了6组不同腐蚀条件下的锚链样品,进行了清洗和数字扫描,进行了疲劳测试和有限元分析。开发测试和分析程序的目的是建立普遍接受的方法。为了更好地预测腐蚀链条的应力范围,研究了不同的有限元分析方法。疲劳试验和有限元分析的结果将作为进一步开发腐蚀系泊链疲劳评估方法的基础。本文对所选链条样品的试验和有限元分析工作进行了总结。JIP的研究工作发现,无论是一般腐蚀还是局部/点蚀,腐蚀都会显著降低链条的疲劳能力。腐蚀坑的位置和几何形状对疲劳寿命的影响大于腐蚀坑的尺寸。JIP研究表明,有限元分析是一种有效的工具,可以捕捉腐蚀链条的热点,并可以深入了解其疲劳性能。对不同的热点应力范围评估方法进行了比较和讨论。
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引用次数: 3
Validation and Extension of Soil Response Framework for Fatigue Analysis of Offshore Wells and Piles 海上井桩疲劳分析土体响应框架的验证与推广
Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.4043/29236-MS
A. Zakeri, H. Sturm, P. Jeanjean
A soil response framework for use in fatigue assessment of offshore wells and piles is presented. The framework covers clay and sand soil types. It was developed through comprehensive series of physical testing and numerical simulations. It hinges on determination of the unload-reload secant stiffness response of soils degraded under cyclic fatigue loading and reaching a steady-state condition. The framework comprises two calibrated approaches: spring-only and spring-dashpot. The latter is more appropriate when dynamic response of a structure needs to be more accurately determined through for time-domain analysis. Efficacy and validation of the framework are demonstrated through three (3) field monitoring programs involving offshore wells installed in ground conditions ranging from soft clays typically encountered in deepwater to layered sands and clays in shallow waters. Further validation is provided by presenting results from an extensive laboratory testing program involving nine (9) soil samples taken from various geographical locations against the key relationships of the framework. The laboratory tests were conducted in a novel apparatus developed specifically for obtaining soil resistance–displacement relationship for input to fatigue analysis.
提出了一种用于海上井桩疲劳评估的土体响应框架。该框架涵盖了粘土和砂土类型。它是通过一系列全面的物理测试和数值模拟开发的。其关键在于确定退化土在循环疲劳荷载作用下达到稳态状态时的卸载-再加载割线刚度响应。该框架包括两种校准方法:纯弹簧和弹簧阻尼器。当需要通过时域分析更精确地确定结构的动力响应时,后者更为适用。该框架的有效性和有效性通过三(3)个现场监测项目得到验证,这些项目涉及安装在地面条件下的海上油井,从深水中常见的软粘土到浅水中的层状砂和粘土。通过展示从不同地理位置采集的9个土壤样本的广泛实验室测试程序的结果,进一步验证了框架的关键关系。实验室试验是在一种专门为获得土壤阻力-位移关系而开发的新型仪器中进行的,用于疲劳分析。
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引用次数: 3
Equipment Health Monitoring and Damage Prediction Using Mechanical Stress Soft Sensing Through Data Analytics 基于数据分析的机械应力软传感设备健康监测和损伤预测
Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.4043/29460-MS
R. Williams
Fatigue damage due to structural stress is a common problem for equipment used in offshore drilling such subsea connectors and subsea riser joints. Fatigue damage is characterized by the weakening of a structure or component of the equipment due to cyclic loading. Consistently operating the equipment above the operational parameters can lead to premature failure of the equipment causing unplanned downtime and posing a safety risk to nearby workers. There are several methods currently being used to determine cumulative fatigue damage as a way of assessing the operational life of machines used for drilling. Linear cumulative fatigue damage analysis is one of the most used methods for life prediction of a structure and components of equipment subjected to cyclic loading. The model involves examining the operational stress ranges caused by cyclic loading and comparing them to an established fatigue curve to estimate the total utilization and predict equipment failure. However, the linear damage rule (Miner's rule) has several limitations namely: The damage model often depends on complex, and time consuming, stress analysis depicting exact geometry and operating conditions.Damage can only be assessed subsequently, making it difficult to forecast use and plan scheduled maintenance. This document presents the development of a mechanical stress soft sensing algorithm for determining real-time cumulative fatigue damage using finite element analysis with response surface methodology. The results in this document show that the new real-time cumulative damage determination approach could effectively help address the limitations of the current models by providing a means of determining real-time cumulative damage with little computational power.
由于结构应力引起的疲劳损伤是海上钻井中使用的设备(如海底连接器和海底隔水管接头)的常见问题。疲劳损伤的特征是由于循环加载导致结构或设备部件的弱化。持续运行高于操作参数的设备可能导致设备过早失效,造成计划外停机,并对附近工人构成安全风险。目前有几种方法用于确定累积疲劳损伤,作为评估钻井机器使用寿命的一种方法。线性累积疲劳损伤分析是循环载荷作用下结构和部件寿命预测最常用的方法之一。该模型包括检查由循环加载引起的工作应力范围,并将其与已建立的疲劳曲线进行比较,以估计总利用率并预测设备故障。然而,线性损伤规则(Miner规则)有几个局限性,即:损伤模型通常依赖于复杂且耗时的应力分析,描述精确的几何形状和操作条件。损坏只能随后评估,这使得预测使用和计划定期维护变得困难。本文介绍了一种机械应力软测量算法的发展,该算法用于使用响应面方法的有限元分析来确定实时累积疲劳损伤。本文的研究结果表明,新的实时累积损伤确定方法可以有效地解决现有模型的局限性,提供了一种计算能力较小的实时累积损伤确定方法。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of the Mean Load on the Fatigue Performance of Mooring Chains 平均载荷对锚链疲劳性能的影响
Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.4043/29621-MS
Jonathan Fernández, A. Arredondo, W. Storesund, J. González
Whilst it is known that mean stress has an effect on the fatigue endurance of steel components, this effect is not considered when designing mooring system components. The S-N and T-N fatigue design curves for mooring chain in the standards are based on tests carried out at a single mean load, which is 20% of the chain minimum breaking load (MBL), and these curves are used to compute the damage of all load cycles regardless of their mean value. Lately it has been found that the effect of the mean load can be larger than probably expected, and that mooring chains exhibit a significant increase of fatigue capacity when cyclically loaded at reduced mean load. In the majority of the floating units, the pre-tension of the moorings without environmental loads is below or well below 15% of the chain MBL, and most, if not all, of the in-service damage is produced at mean loads below 20% MBL. This in practice results in additional conservatism to the fatigue life computed using the existing design curves. Some deepwater units, subjected to high pre-tension level, can experience some or relevant damage occurring at mean loads above 20% MBL, which would be underestimated with the present design approach. The paper provides an insight on the effect of the mean load on the fatigue endurance of mooring chains and quantifies this dependency based on a large number of fatigue tests carried out on different chain diameters between 70 and 171 mm, different grades, and different mean loads ranging between 7% and 20% of the MBL of the tested chains. The Smith-Watson-Topper (SWT) mean stress correction model is used to transform the stress state of the tested chains into different stress states associated to different mean loads. Then regression analyses are performed and correction functions derived for the design curves of both S-N and T-N approaches to account for the mean load while keeping the same confidence of the existing curves.
虽然已知平均应力对钢构件的疲劳耐久性有影响,但在设计系泊系统构件时并未考虑这一影响。标准中锚链的S-N和T-N疲劳设计曲线是基于单个平均载荷(即锚链最小断裂载荷的20%)下进行的试验,这些曲线用于计算所有载荷周期的损伤,而不考虑其平均值。近年来,人们发现平均载荷的影响可能比预期的要大,并且在降低平均载荷的循环加载下,系泊链的疲劳能力显着增加。在大多数浮式装置中,在没有环境载荷的情况下,系泊的预张力低于或远低于链MBL的15%,并且大多数(如果不是全部)在役损坏是在平均载荷低于20% MBL时产生的。在实践中,这使得使用现有设计曲线计算的疲劳寿命更加保守。一些深水装置,在承受高预张力水平的情况下,在平均负载超过20% MBL时,可能会出现一些或相关的损坏,而目前的设计方法可能会低估这一点。本文深入研究了平均载荷对系泊链疲劳耐久性的影响,并基于对不同直径(70 - 171 mm)、不同等级以及不同平均载荷(测试链MBL的7% - 20%)进行的大量疲劳试验,对这种相关性进行了量化。采用Smith-Watson-Topper (SWT)平均应力修正模型,将被测链条的应力状态转换为与不同平均载荷相关的不同应力状态。然后对S-N和T-N两种方法的设计曲线进行回归分析,并推导出修正函数,以在保持现有曲线置信度不变的情况下考虑平均荷载。
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引用次数: 8
Cyclic p-y Curves in Clays for Offshore Structures 近海结构粘土的循环p-y曲线
Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.4043/29346-MS
Youhu Zhang, K. Andersen, P. Jeanjean
Pile foundations supporting offshore structures are typically subjected to lateral cyclic loading. In design, the pile response under peak design load is generally estimated using a beam-column model where soil-structure interaction is simulated with a series of uncoupled non-linearly force-displacement springs (p-y curves) along the depth of the pile. In clay, the current state-of-practice uses p-y springs derived from some limited field pile tests carried out in the 1950s at Sabine River site, where only one soil type was tested and the cyclic load history applied in the tests was intended to provide a lower bound estimate of soil reaction under cyclic loading. In this study, comprehensive analyses are carried out to investigate the pile responses under two representative storm load histories (Gulf of Mexico (GoM) hurricannes and North Sea winter storms), in three different soil conditions (Gulf of Mexico clays, North Sea soft clays and North Sea stiff clays) for two types of structures (jackets and spars). The analyses use a numerical procedure that was developed in recent years and is fundamentally based on soil response measured at element level. From the parametric analyses, cyclic p-y curves are recommended for the design of jackets under GoM and North Sea metocean and soil conditions, and for spar anchors in GoM conditions.
支撑海上结构的桩基通常要承受侧向循环荷载。在设计中,通常采用梁柱模型来估计峰值设计荷载下的桩响应,梁柱模型通过沿桩深的一系列不耦合非线性力-位移弹簧(p-y曲线)来模拟土-结构相互作用。在粘土中,目前的实践状态使用的p-y弹簧是从1950年代在萨宾河遗址进行的一些有限的现场桩试验中得到的,在那里只测试了一种土壤类型,并且在试验中应用的循环荷载历史旨在提供循环荷载下土壤反应的下限估计。在本研究中,对两种结构(导管和梁)在三种不同的土壤条件(墨西哥湾粘土、北海软粘土和北海硬粘土)下,两种典型风暴荷载历史(墨西哥湾飓风和北海冬季风暴)下的桩响应进行了综合分析。分析使用近年来发展起来的一种数值程序,基本上是基于在元素水平上测量的土壤反应。通过参数分析,推荐循环p-y曲线用于墨西哥湾和北海海洋和土壤条件下的导管架设计,以及墨西哥湾条件下的桅杆锚杆设计。
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引用次数: 4
High Manganese Steel HMS Technology for Mooring Chains Application 高锰钢HMS技术在锚链中的应用
Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.4043/29246-MS
N. Verma, A. Wasson, Zhen Li, H. Sidhar, X. Yue, Haiping He, H. Jin, S. Ling, H. Jun, A. Ozekcin
Oil and gas industry experiences indicate mooring chain corrosion is a major challenge. Observed corrosion rates in the field can be several times higher than the design allowance. In addition, pitting corrosion is not considered in design but can be significant in service. Pre-emptive chain replacements may be required which are typically very costly. In addition to corrosion, some of the other performance factors for mooring chains include strength, wear resistance, toughness and fatigue resistance. Carbon steel is the conventional material currently employed for mooring chains. There are significant incentives to develop new material technologies with improved seawater corrosion and wear performance for mooring chain application. This paper describes one such new material technology – High Manganese Steel (HMS), and its assessment for mooring chain application. HMS is a family of alloyed steels that, when optimized, can offer improved properties over conventional carbon steel. Several HMS chemistries were manufactured, on which small scale performance evaluation testing and weldability assessments were carried out. Based on the assessments, these custom HMS alloys show promising results in terms of the performance factors required for mooring chain application.
油气行业的经验表明,锚链腐蚀是一个重大挑战。现场观察到的腐蚀速率可能比设计允许值高几倍。此外,点蚀在设计中没有考虑到,但在使用中可能会很严重。可能需要先发制人地更换链条,这通常非常昂贵。除腐蚀外,锚链的其他性能因素还包括强度、耐磨性、韧性和抗疲劳性。碳钢是目前常用的系缆材料。开发具有改善海水腐蚀和磨损性能的新材料技术用于系泊链的应用有很大的动力。本文介绍了一种新型材料技术——高锰钢(HMS),并对其在锚链中的应用进行了评价。HMS是一种合金钢,经过优化后,可以提供比传统碳钢更好的性能。制造了几种HMS化学品,并对其进行了小规模的性能评估测试和可焊性评估。根据评估,这些定制的HMS合金在系泊链应用所需的性能因素方面显示出有希望的结果。
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引用次数: 1
Prediction and Monitoring of Installation of Offshore Foundation Monopiles for Windfarms 风电场海上基础单桩安装预测与监测
Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.4043/29400-MS
Rob van Dorp, Nicolas Moscoso, M. Bielefeld, G. Verbeek
Upon recently, most offshore foundations were based on a number of driven piles that were installed with an impact hammer. With the increase in offshore windfarms two major developments have occurred: the shift from jackets to monopiles, leading to increase of the diameter of the foundation piles, and a shift from impact hammers to vibro hammers. As the use of vibratory hammers is becoming more and more common practice, the need for accurate vibro-driving simulation software has increased, which requires that the soil modelling is enhanced to address soil fatigue during pile driving and to predict reliably the soil behavior and resistance during pile driving. In addition pile driving monitoring, which is routine for piles driven with an impact hammer, needs to become common practice. This paper addresses advances in soil modelling that allows more accurate pile driving simulation as well as the application of Vibro Driving Analysis (VDA) or Monitoring (VDM) to validate the simulation results. This is illustrated by a case study of the test pile for the Delft Offshore Turbine project, a 28 m long monopile with a diameter of 4 m that was driven 15 m into dense sand layers using a vibro hammer. After some 6 months the pile was extracted, and pile driving simulations and VDA were done both for the installation and extraction phase.
近年来,大多数海上基础都是基于一些用冲击锤安装的打入桩。随着海上风电场的增加,出现了两个主要的发展:从套桩到单桩的转变,导致基桩直径的增加,以及从冲击锤到振动锤的转变。随着振动锤的使用越来越普遍,对精确的振冲模拟软件的需求也越来越大,这就要求加强对土体的建模,以解决桩入过程中土体的疲劳问题,并可靠地预测桩入过程中土体的行为和阻力。此外,对冲击锤打桩的常规打桩监测也需要普及。本文讨论了土壤模型的进展,使更准确的打桩模拟以及应用振动打桩分析(VDA)或监测(VDM)来验证模拟结果。代尔夫特海上涡轮机项目测试桩的案例研究说明了这一点,这是一个28米长、直径4米的单桩,使用振动锤打入15米深的致密砂层。大约6个月后,进行了抽桩,并在安装和抽桩阶段进行了打桩模拟和VDA。
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引用次数: 4
Improving Permeability and Productivity Estimation with Electrofacies Classification and Core Data Collected in Multiple Oilfields 多油田电相分类及岩心数据改进渗透率及产能估算
Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.4043/29214-MS
Xinlei Shi, Hongbing Chen, Ruijuan Li, Xiaoyu Yang, Huan-Min Liu, Ting Li
In the industry, it is a common practice to estimate continuous permeability by establishing a porosity-permeability relationship (poroperm) from conventional core analysis. For each new oilfield, core data is required to build a permeability model for this particular field. Due to reservoir heterogeneity, core derived poroperm can sometimes lead to biased predictions. This is particularly true for oilfields where core samples are scarce or provide a poor coverage of the reservoirs. Improving the accuracy of permeability models in these oilfields is key to better productivity estimation in the oilfield development planning. In 1984, Hearn et al. first proposed the concept of flow unit while studying Shannon reservoir in HartogDraw oilfield, Wyoming, USA. Since Hearn put forward the concept of reservoir flow unit, various Electrofacies classification methods have been proposed by different scholars (Hearn et al. 1984). Generally they can be divided into two categories. One is geological research method, which mainly uses geological cuttings and routine core analysis to calculate flow zone index (FZI) for reservoir classification (Xinlei et al. 2017; Elphick et al. 1999; Kohonen et al. 1982). This method improves the accuracy of permeability evaluation to a certain extent, but it mainly relies on routine core analysis data. Due to poor ductility, this method has certain limitations in the classification of uncored reservoirs. The other is the relatively popular artificial intelligence technology in the oil industry in recent years. With the rapid development of computer hardware, artificial intelligence as a new technology is becoming more and more popular. In particular, the machine learning algorithm represented by neural network has a long history in petroleum industry technology, which solves many problems in petroleum specialty and is favored by many petroleum engineers. Machine learning classifies electrofacies mainly by clustering analysis of logging curves through mathematical algorithms such as neural network classification, K-nearest neighbor classification (KNN) and Multi-Resolution Graph based Clustering (MRGC), and then the corresponding relationship between electrofacies and lithofacies is established by combining core analysis and cutting data. Since this method is based on continuous well logs, it has strong extensibility and is easy to learn from uncored wells (Xinlei et al. 2017). In this paper, we describe a novel workflow that predicts continuous permeability from conventional well logs, based on Electrofacies classification and core data collected in multiple oilfields. In this method, firstly, the MRGC is used to classify electrofacies of the logging curves in coring sections. Secondly, KNN algorithm is used to learn the results of electrofacies classification into uncored sections. Finally, the permeability model based on the electrofacies constraint is established. Compared with the neural network classification, the MRG
在行业中,通过常规岩心分析建立孔隙度-渗透率关系(poroperm)来估计连续渗透率是一种常见的做法。对于每个新油田,都需要岩心数据来建立该特定油田的渗透率模型。由于储层的非均质性,岩心衍生的孔隙度有时会导致有偏差的预测。对于那些岩心样本稀缺或储层覆盖率低的油田尤其如此。在油田开发规划中,提高渗透率模型的精度是提高产能估计的关键。1984年,Hearn等人在研究美国怀俄明州HartogDraw油田的Shannon油藏时首次提出了流动单元的概念。自Hearn提出储层流动单元概念以来,不同学者提出了各种电相分类方法(Hearn et al. 1984)。通常它们可以分为两类。一种是地质研究方法,主要利用地质岩屑和常规岩心分析计算流带指数(FZI)进行储层分类(Xinlei et al. 2017;Elphick et al. 1999;Kohonen et al. 1982)。该方法在一定程度上提高了渗透率评价的准确性,但主要依赖于常规岩心分析数据。由于延展性差,该方法在对无芯储层进行分类时存在一定的局限性。另一个是近年来石油行业比较流行的人工智能技术。随着计算机硬件的飞速发展,人工智能作为一门新兴技术越来越受到人们的欢迎。特别是以神经网络为代表的机器学习算法在石油工业技术中有着悠久的历史,它解决了石油专业中的许多问题,受到许多石油工程师的青睐。机器学习主要通过神经网络分类、k近邻分类(KNN)和多分辨率图聚类(MRGC)等数学算法对测井曲线进行聚类分析,然后结合岩心分析和切削数据建立电相与岩相的对应关系。由于该方法基于连续测井数据,因此具有较强的可扩展性,并且易于从未取芯井中学习(Xinlei et al. 2017)。在本文中,我们描述了一种新的工作流程,该流程基于在多个油田收集的电相分类和岩心数据,从常规测井中预测连续渗透率。该方法首先利用MRGC对取心剖面测井曲线的电相进行分类;其次,利用KNN算法将电相分类结果学习到未取芯剖面;最后,建立了基于电相约束的渗透率模型。与神经网络分类相比,MRGC具有运算速度快、运算结果稳定等优点。算法中的Neighbor Index (NI)参数可以快速对样本数据进行分类,Kernel Representative Index (KRI)参数可以从多次分类的结果中选择最优的类(Yunjiang et al. 2018;Ting et al. 2018)。研究区由13个油田组成,具有相同的沉积环境和矿物学特征。因此,这些油田的测井响应具有相似的特征。这些油田共采集了2122个岩心样品,并对同一口井进行了三重组合测井。根据常规岩心分析和测井特征分析,将测井响应划分为6个电相。然后利用岩心数据为每个电相建立渗透率模型,并用于在没有岩心数据的情况下对新井进行预测。利用提出的思想,对研究区一口生产井的渗透率和产能进行了重新估计。与常规方法相比,相约束渗透率与岩心测量的拟合性更好。由于渗透率的提高,该工作流程计算的产能指数与钻柱测试(DST)的估算结果相吻合。
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引用次数: 3
Submerged Prehistoric Archaeology: Confronting Issues of Scale and Context on the Gulf of Mexico Outer Continental Shelf 淹没史前考古:面对规模和背景的问题在墨西哥湾外大陆架
Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.4043/29657-MS
A. Evans, M. Keith
The northwestern Gulf of Mexico outer continental shelf includes approximately 38,660,700 acres of submerged land under federal permitting authority, which are in turn subject to NEPA and NHPA Section 106-compliant archaeological survey. Of those nearly 40 million acres, sea-level curve data correlating with periods of known human occupation in North America suggest that those portions of the outer continental shelf out to the 60 m depth contour could have been exposed as dry land and available for human occupation during the Late Pleistocene and early Holocene before sea-level reached current levels. After four decades of regulatory compliant survey and assessment, no definitive prehistoric archaeological sites have been identified on the outer continental shelf. Although this is a daunting statistic, it does not accurately reflect the state of submerged prehistoric research. It is necessary to assess the data as they pertain to establishing both the temporal and spatial context of submerged prehistoric archaeology.
根据联邦政府的许可,墨西哥湾西北部的外大陆架包括大约38,660,700英亩的水下土地,这反过来又受到NEPA和NHPA第106条的考古调查的约束。在这近4000万英亩的土地上,与已知人类在北美居住的时期相关联的海平面曲线数据表明,在晚更新世和全新世早期,海平面达到现在的水平之前,60米深度的外大陆架部分可能已经暴露为干燥的陆地,可供人类居住。经过四十年符合法规的调查和评估,在外大陆架上没有确定的史前考古遗址。虽然这是一个令人生畏的统计数据,但它并不能准确反映史前水下研究的状况。有必要对这些数据进行评估,因为它们与建立水下史前考古的时间和空间背景有关。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Day 1 Mon, May 06, 2019
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