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2020 IEEE 5th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Engineering (ICITE)最新文献

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Risk Evaluation of Railway Business Line Construction Plan Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process and Bayesian Network 基于层次分析法和贝叶斯网络的铁路业务线路建设计划风险评价
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICITE50838.2020.9231361
Xiaoxin Di, Xiangqian Li, L. Zhou, Wei Xiao, Y. Yue
In order to improve the construction level of highspeed railway business lines, ensure the quality status of highspeed rail facilities, reduce the risk of business line construction, rational evaluating the business line construction plan risk is an urgent research. This paper combines Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) with Bayesian network(BN) and adapts AHP to determine the weight of each indicator; Based on BN theory, constructs a probabilistic model of business line construction risk evaluation and calculates the probability of different risk factors as low, medium and high risk. Finally takes the Beijing Railway Bureau's business line as an example to conduct a comprehensive evaluation, and concludes that the overall risk factor of the project is at a medium risk level, and the evaluation results are in good agreement with the actual site, therefore indicating that this evaluation method is more comprehensive exhaustive than the existing evaluation methods, it has certain practical significance for the railway site construction plan.)
为了提高高铁业务线建设水平,保证高铁设施质量状态,降低业务线建设风险,合理评估业务线建设计划风险是一项迫切需要研究的课题。本文将层次分析法(AHP)与贝叶斯网络(BN)相结合,采用AHP确定各指标的权重;基于BN理论,构建了业务线建设风险评价的概率模型,计算出不同风险因素的低、中、高风险概率。最后以北京铁路局业务线为例进行综合评价,得出该项目整体风险因素处于中等风险水平,评价结果与现场实际吻合较好,说明该评价方法比现有评价方法更为全面详尽,对铁路场址建设规划具有一定的现实意义。)
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引用次数: 3
Railway Passenger Flow Forecast Based on Hybrid PVAR-NN Model 基于PVAR-NN混合模型的铁路客流预测
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICITE50838.2020.9231346
Ruiqi Zhu, Huiyu Zhou
Rail transportation is the backbone of modern transportation. Accurate railway passenger flow forecasting can be applied to support transportation system management such as operation plan and route selection design. This paper proposes a hybrid linear + nonlinear time series analysis model, which uses the panel vector autoregression (PVAR) and neural network (NN) hybrid PVAR-NN prediction methods to predict passenger flow in the railway system. The proposed model combines the pros of both linear and non-linear model with easy-to-interpretation for stakeholders. The empirical analysis results further indicate that the proposed hybrid PVAR-NN approach performs with improved accuracy in forecasting the railway passenger flow.
铁路运输是现代交通运输的支柱。准确的铁路客流预测可用于支持运营计划和路线选择设计等运输系统管理。本文提出了一种线性+非线性混合时间序列分析模型,该模型采用面板向量自回归(PVAR)和神经网络(NN)混合PVAR-NN预测方法对铁路系统客流进行预测。所提出的模型结合了线性和非线性模型的优点,并且易于对利益相关者进行解释。实证分析结果进一步表明,该方法对铁路客流预测具有较高的准确性。
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引用次数: 2
The Past, Present and Future of Railway Interlocking System 铁路联锁系统的过去、现在和未来
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICITE50838.2020.9231438
Luji Huang
Railway Interlocking system is the most fundamental and important part of railway signaling system. It ensures the safety of train movement. With the development of railway signaling system, it has experienced three stages: mechanical interlocking system, relay interlocking system and computer-based interlocking system. On the basis of reviewing the history of railway signal development, this paper introduces the development of interlocking system and discusses the future development direction of railway interlocking system.
铁路联锁系统是铁路信号系统中最基础、最重要的组成部分。保证了列车运行的安全。铁路信号系统的发展经历了机械联锁系统、继电器联锁系统和计算机联锁系统三个阶段。本文在回顾铁路信号发展历史的基础上,介绍了联锁系统的发展,并对铁路联锁系统的未来发展方向进行了探讨。
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引用次数: 8
Application of LSTM in Short-term Traffic Flow Prediction LSTM在短期交通流预测中的应用
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICITE50838.2020.9231500
Chuanli Kang, Zhenyu Zhang
As urbanization intensifies, the status of the traffic situation predict is becoming more and more prominent. The urban traffic flow is influenced by many factors and is characterized by strong randomness. This paper combines MSE and Adam to construct a linear LSTM to realize the prediction of short-term traffic flow based on time series. The experiment result shows that LSTM can gain the periodic features of the traffic flow. It has small error and high precision for the short-term prediction of the traffic flow based on time series, which verifies the validity of LSTM.
随着城市化进程的加剧,交通态势预测的地位越来越突出。城市交通流受多种因素的影响,具有较强的随机性。本文结合MSE和Adam构造线性LSTM,实现了基于时间序列的短期交通流预测。实验结果表明,LSTM可以获得交通流的周期性特征。基于时间序列的交通流短期预测误差小、精度高,验证了LSTM方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 8
A Genetic Algorithm-based AutoML Approach for Large-scale Traffic Speed Prediction 基于遗传算法的大规模交通速度自动预测方法
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICITE50838.2020.9231486
Junwei You
With the continuous innovation of computer science as well as the big data acquisition technology, machine learning (ML), developed as a state-of-art framework, now has been comprehensively applied in speed prediction tasks. However, ML methods usually require intensive hyper-parameter tuning, which hinders the practical deployment of ML models. In view of this, this paper proposes an automated machine learning (AutoML) framework for speed prediction, which enables the prediction work to be accomplished in a much more timesaving and convenient way as well as in high prediction accuracy. The proposed framework utilizes the Genetic Algorithm (GA) following its four major procedures: Genome coding, Crossover, Mutation and Selection to automatically search for the optimal neural network architectures and hyperparameters. The proposed framework is examined on a real-world large-scale dataset in the city of Berlin, Germany. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms other benchmarking methods by a significant margin. Sensitivity analysis is also conducted to show the robustness of the proposed method. This study demonstrates the great penitential of using AutoML in traffic speed prediction and other related transportation applications.
随着计算机科学和大数据采集技术的不断创新,机器学习作为一种先进的框架已经在速度预测任务中得到了全面的应用。然而,机器学习方法通常需要密集的超参数调优,这阻碍了机器学习模型的实际部署。鉴于此,本文提出了一种用于速度预测的自动机器学习(AutoML)框架,使预测工作更省时、更方便,预测精度也更高。该框架利用遗传算法(GA)按照基因组编码、交叉、突变和选择四个主要步骤自动搜索最优神经网络结构和超参数。提出的框架在德国柏林市的一个真实世界的大规模数据集上进行了检验。实验结果表明,该方法明显优于其他基准测试方法。灵敏度分析表明了该方法的鲁棒性。本研究证明了AutoML在交通速度预测和其他相关交通应用中的巨大应用价值。
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引用次数: 2
Factor Recognition of Regional Serious Pedestrian-vehicle Crash Using Big Data for Intelligent Vehicles 基于智能车辆大数据的区域严重人车碰撞因子识别
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICITE50838.2020.9231398
Yanyan Chen, Yuntong Zhou
Pedestrian safety is one of the research focuses all over the world. Intelligent decision-making makes it possible to provide dangerous risk prediction. This paper aims to serve as a stepping stone for avoiding serious fatal vehicle - pedestrian crash. It provides a method for intelligent vehicles to identify the factors. Business and education Point of Information (POI) data in Beijing were collected and processed to partition traffic zones into high economic zones and low economic zones used the method of k-means clustering algorithm. Then a binary logistic regression was utilized for recognition of contributing factors. The result takes several important factors into account in low economic zones needed special attention, such as fourth class road and general city road. As a result, the findings of this study could assist to design the hardware module and programming of intelligent vehicle to enable pedestrian safety be improved over the long term.
行人安全是世界各国研究的热点之一。智能决策使得提供危险风险预测成为可能。本文旨在为避免严重的致命车辆-行人碰撞提供一个垫脚石。为智能汽车识别这些因素提供了一种方法。采用k-means聚类算法对北京市商业和教育信息点(POI)数据进行处理,将交通区域划分为高经济区和低经济区。然后利用二元逻辑回归对影响因素进行识别。结果考虑了低经济地区需要特别注意的几个重要因素,如四级道路和一般城市道路。因此,本研究的结果可以帮助设计智能车辆的硬件模块和编程,使行人的安全得到长期的改善。
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引用次数: 1
Research on ATS Route Control Based on the Binary Tree Algorithm 基于二叉树算法的ATS路由控制研究
Pub Date : 2020-07-22 DOI: 10.1109/ICITE50838.2020.9231378
Yi Liu, Feijie Wang, Shengmao Xie
─ The Communication Based Train Control (CBTC) system has been widely employed in rail transit train control systems with its conspicuous technological advantages. As the brain of the CBTC system, the Automatic Train Supervision (ATS) system plays an important role. The route control function is one of the major functions of the ATS system. This article describes a route search algorithm with a binary tree generated in a directional non-ring diagram. Through the route control technology, it is possible to satisfy to the largest extent various operational demands in divergent complex operational scenarios of mixed large and small loops and Y-type loops, etc. and lay solid foundation for safe and highly efficient train operation.
基于通信的列控系统(CBTC)以其显著的技术优势在轨道交通列控系统中得到了广泛应用。列车自动监控系统(ATS)作为CBTC系统的大脑,发挥着重要的作用。路由控制功能是ATS系统的主要功能之一。本文描述了一种基于二叉树的路由搜索算法。通过线路控制技术,可以最大程度地满足大小混合环路、y型环路等不同复杂运行场景下的各种运行需求,为列车安全高效运行奠定坚实基础。
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引用次数: 0
Centralised Versus Decentralised Traffic Optimisation of Urban Road Networks: A Simulation Study 城市道路网络的集中与分散交通优化:模拟研究
Pub Date : 2020-06-20 DOI: 10.1109/ICITE50838.2020.9231396
M. Vallati
One of the pivotal challenges presented to urban road traffic controllers is the effective utilisation of transport infrastructure, as a result of growing urbanisation, the finite network capacity, and of the increasing number of road vehicles. In this context, the arrival of connected autonomous vehicles (CAVs) represents a unique opportunity for a fundamental change in urban traffic optimisation, and urban traffic control should take an active role in integrating CAVs into the mobility ecosystem in order to maximise benefits. Traditional approaches, commonly exploited by SATNAVs, are based on a decentralised logic, where each vehicle decides the route to follow in isolation, possibly by considering the current network conditions. The arrival of connected vehicles would allow the exploitation of centralised traffic optimisation, where a central urban traffic controller can suggest routes to vehicles by taking into account the current network conditions, and predicted future evolution. This paper introduces a centralised approach for traffic optimisation of urban road networks, and presents an extensive evaluation of the capabilities of centralised and decentralised approaches. Evaluation is based on a validated and calibrated SUMO simulation model of the town centre of Milton Keynes, United Kingdom.
城市道路交通控制人员面临的关键挑战之一是有效利用交通基础设施,这是城市化进程不断发展、网络容量有限以及道路车辆数量不断增加的结果。在这种背景下,联网自动驾驶汽车(cav)的到来为城市交通优化的根本变革提供了一个独特的机会,城市交通控制应在将cav整合到移动生态系统中发挥积极作用,以实现效益最大化。卫星导航系统通常采用的传统方法是基于分散的逻辑,每辆车可能会考虑当前的网络条件,独立地决定要遵循的路线。联网车辆的到来将允许集中式交通优化的开发,中央城市交通控制器可以通过考虑当前的网络条件和预测未来的发展来建议车辆的路线。本文介绍了一种用于城市道路网络交通优化的集中方法,并对集中和分散方法的能力进行了广泛的评估。评估是基于英国米尔顿凯恩斯镇中心的验证和校准相扑模拟模型。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
2020 IEEE 5th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Engineering (ICITE)
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