Background
The body roundness index (BRI) has been identified as a new way to measure visceral fat, yet its relationship with stroke and how metabolic syndrome (MetS) affects this relationship are still ambiguous.
Methods
The investigation employed CHARLS cohort data for prospective analysis. To analyze the connection between BRI and stroke, Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline analysis were employed. The analysis of mediation assessed the role of MetS and its individual components. The discriminative effectiveness of BRI/other anthropometric measures was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.
Results
The association continued to be significant among participants without MetS (HR = 2.50, 95 %CI: 1.69–3.67; p < 0.001), unlike those with MetS (HR = 0.97, 95 %CI: 0.43–2.18; p < 0.935). In ROC analysis, BRI outperformed traditional indices in stroke discrimination, particularly in those without MetS (AUC = 0.660 compared to 0.638 with MetS). Metabolic components explained about 22 % of the BRI-stroke association, with blood pressure contributing 11 %. Although statistically significant, this mediation was modest, and other components were not individually significant, suggesting a limited indirect effect that should be interpreted cautiously.
Conclusion
In metabolically healthy individuals, BRI shows a moderate predictive value for stroke, partly mediated by blood pressure.
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