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Game theoretic analysis of an inventory problem with substitution, stochastic demand, and uncertain supply 具有替代、随机需求和不确定供给的库存问题的博弈论分析
Pub Date : 2013-12-18 DOI: 10.1504/IJIR.2013.058339
Tugce G. Martagan, B. Eksioglu
A game theoretic approach is used to analyse an inventory problem with two products, stochastic demand, and uncertain supply. The supply chain analysed includes two competing retailers selling two substitutable products and those retailer’ suppliers. Retailers face stochastic demand and replenish the inventory from the suppliers. However, both suppliers provide an indeterminate fraction of the quantity requested, due to randomness in capacity and quality. Some customers with unmet demand will substitute that product with one sold by the other retailer. We assume that the retailers are rational players with conflicting objectives. We model the retailers’ single period expected payoffs and identify the ordering decisions using Nash strategy. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the Nash solution, and provide results for numerical examples. We analyse the combined impact of product substitution and supply uncertainty on the retailers. Results suggest that supply uncertainties do not always hurt retailers’ expected payoffs.
用博弈论的方法分析了具有随机需求和不确定供给的两种产品的库存问题。所分析的供应链包括两个销售两种可替代产品的竞争零售商和这些零售商的供应商。零售商面对随机需求,需要从供应商那里补充库存。然而,由于产能和质量的随机性,两家供应商提供的数量都不确定。一些需求未得到满足的顾客会用其他零售商销售的产品来替代该产品。我们假设零售商是具有相互冲突的目标的理性参与者。建立了零售商单期预期收益模型,利用纳什策略确定了零售商的订货决策。我们证明了纳什解的存在唯一性,并给出了数值算例的结果。我们分析了产品替代和供应不确定性对零售商的综合影响。结果表明,供应的不确定性并不总是影响零售商的预期收益。
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引用次数: 2
Cost allocation in a full truckload shipment consolidation game 成本分配在一个完整的卡车装载整合游戏
Pub Date : 2013-12-18 DOI: 10.1504/IJIR.2013.058344
Adel Elomri, A. Ghaffari, Z. Jemai, Y. Dallery
In this paper we used principles of cooperative game theory to analyse the cooperation (inventory pooling) between multiple retailers replenishing their inventory by full truckload shipments to satisfy a deterministic and constant rate demand of final customers while minimising the associated total transportation and inventory costs. For this model we derive structural properties of the resulting cost function. We use these to prove not only that it is cost effective to consolidate the shipments between the retailers but also that this shipment consolidation strategy can be supported by a stable cost allocation i.e. the core of the associated cooperative game is non-empty. We further identify a stable cost allocation that is shown to give strong incentives for the retailers to cooperate. In the particular case of identical retailers this allocation coincide with Shapley value and lies at the centre of gravity of the core. In the general case of non-identical retailers Shapley value is not a core allocation and is compared to our allocation with regards of four criteria: stability complexity fairness and practical settings.
本文运用合作博弈论的原理,分析了多家零售商在满足最终客户的确定性和恒率需求的同时,使相关的总运输成本和库存成本最小化的情况下,以整车出货补充库存的合作(库存池化)。对于这个模型,我们推导出结果成本函数的结构性质。我们用这些结果证明了零售商之间的货物整合不仅具有成本效益,而且这种货物整合策略可以得到稳定的成本分配支持,即相关合作博弈的核心是非空的。我们进一步确定了一种稳定的成本分配方式,这种方式可以为零售商的合作提供强有力的激励。在相同零售商的特殊情况下,这种分配与Shapley值一致,并且位于核心的重心。在非相同零售商的一般情况下,Shapley值不是核心配置,并在稳定性、复杂性、公平性和实际设置四个标准方面与我们的配置进行比较。
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引用次数: 2
Contracting under uncertain capacity: a generalisation 不确定能力下的收缩:概括
Pub Date : 2010-02-08 DOI: 10.1504/IJIR.2010.031460
Z. Jemai, Y. Dallery, N. Erkip
In this paper, we develop a two-stage supply chain model consisting of a supplier with uncertain capacity and a retailer facing an uncertain demand. We consider that the payment of the retailer to the supplier has two steps: a prepayment based on the quantity ordered by the retailer and a final payment based on the quantity actually delivered by the supplier. We first consider the centralised version of this model and determine the optimal policy analytically. We investigate the effects of the prepayment and capacity restriction. We then consider a decentralised version and characterise optimal decisions of both the supplier and the retailer in the framework of Stackelberg equilibrium. We analyse the efficiency loss of the described decentralised system compared to the centralised system. We discuss different contracting alternatives and propose a generalised contract structure that enables coordination of the decentralised system to achieve the performance of the centralised one.
本文建立了一个由产能不确定的供应商和需求不确定的零售商组成的两阶段供应链模型。我们认为零售商对供应商的付款分为两个步骤:基于零售商订购数量的预付款和基于供应商实际交付数量的最终付款。我们首先考虑该模型的集中式版本,并分析确定最优策略。我们研究了预付款和容量限制的影响。然后,我们考虑了一个分散的版本,并在Stackelberg均衡框架下描述了供应商和零售商的最优决策。我们分析了所描述的分散系统与集中系统的效率损失。我们讨论了不同的合同选择,并提出了一种通用的合同结构,使分散系统的协调能够实现集中系统的性能。
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引用次数: 2
The impact of market state information on inventory performance 市场状态信息对库存绩效的影响
Pub Date : 2010-02-08 DOI: 10.1504/IJIR.2010.031459
Dmitriy S Shaltayev, C. R. Sox
This research studies the impact of market state information on the long run average cost of a single item inventory system facing dynamic, random demand. The probability distribution of the demand in any time period is determined by the current market state in that period which is modelled as a Markov chain. The inventory manager must infer the market state from the demand observations and a market state signal that is not necessarily accurate. The proposed model accommodates a range of different levels of accuracy for this market state information. The computational results indicate that the value of the market information increases at an increasing rate as the accuracy increases suggesting a strong, persistent value from increasing the information accuracy. The computational results also characterise the effects of lead time, the difference between the market state distributions, autocorrelation, and service level on the value of the market state information.
本研究研究面对动态随机需求时,市场状态信息对单件库存系统长期平均成本的影响。任意时间段的需求概率分布由该时间段的当前市场状态决定,并将其建模为马尔可夫链。库存管理人员必须从需求观察和不一定准确的市场状态信号中推断市场状态。所提出的模型为这种市场状态信息提供了一系列不同程度的准确性。计算结果表明,市场信息的价值随着准确性的提高而增加,表明信息准确性的提高具有很强的持久性。计算结果还描述了交货时间、市场状态分布之间的差异、自相关和服务水平对市场状态信息价值的影响。
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引用次数: 6
An analysis of the effect of inventory record inaccuracy in a two-echelon supply chain 二级供应链中库存记录不准确的影响分析
Pub Date : 2010-02-08 DOI: 10.1504/IJIR.2010.031462
M. Rossetti, N. Buyurgan, A. Bhonsle, Seda Gumrukcu, Kiran Chittoori
This paper examines the effect of inventory record inaccuracy within the context of a two-echelon supply chain. The system consists of an external supplier, a distribution centre, and a retail level. Each location operates under an (R, Q) reorder point reorder quantity inventory control policy with backordering permitted. The model introduces count-based discrepancies into the inventory records and measures the effect on system performance at the locations and throughout the supply chain. A set of simulation experiments examines two fundamental methods to mitigate the effect of inaccurate inventory records: carrying extra inventory to protect against the errors and using cycle counting procedures to correct the records over time. In addition, the effect of learning through the use of cycle counting procedures and error reduction methods and the effect of non-compliance (not correcting records) within the system are explored. The results indicate that cycle counting can have significant positive effects within the entire supply chain. In addition, the experiments show that the learning effect has benefits both locally and throughout the supply chain. The results also show that non-compliance to the cycle counting procedure by locations within the chain can have significant detrimental effects on supply chain partners and overall supply chain performance.
本文研究了在两级供应链环境下库存记录不准确的影响。该系统由一个外部供应商、一个配送中心和一个零售层组成。每个地点在(R, Q)再订货点再订货数量库存控制政策下运行,允许延期订货。该模型将基于计数的差异引入到库存记录中,并在各个地点和整个供应链中测量对系统性能的影响。一组模拟实验研究了两种减轻不准确库存记录影响的基本方法:携带额外的库存以防止错误,并使用周期计数程序随着时间的推移纠正记录。此外,还探讨了通过使用循环计数程序和减少错误方法进行学习的效果以及系统内不合规(不纠正记录)的影响。结果表明,周期计数在整个供应链中具有显著的积极作用。此外,实验表明,学习效果对局部和整个供应链都有好处。研究结果还表明,供应链内各地点不遵守循环计数程序会对供应链合作伙伴和整体供应链绩效产生重大不利影响。
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引用次数: 7
When do retailers benefit from special ordering 零售商什么时候能从特殊订货中获益
Pub Date : 2010-02-08 DOI: 10.1504/IJIR.2010.031461
D. Gupta, H. Gurnani, Haoya Chen
Many retailers offer to special order out-of-stock items at no additional cost to the customers. This practice is based on an implicit assumption that by increasing sales and reducing stockouts, special orders increase retailers' profits. We study the relative benefit of special ordering to the retailer and show that this assumption may not hold. Our model reveals two counter-intuitive results. First, the retailer's expected profit is higher when the manufacturer has additional pricing flexibility, i.e., the manufacturer offers two prices, a base price for the primary order and a different price for the special order, as compared to a single price for all items. Second, higher demand variability may increase retailer's profits.
许多零售商提供特别订购缺货商品,而不向顾客收取额外费用。这种做法是基于一个隐含的假设,即通过增加销售和减少库存,特殊订单可以增加零售商的利润。我们研究了特殊订购对零售商的相对利益,并表明这种假设可能不成立。我们的模型揭示了两个反直觉的结果。首先,当制造商具有额外的定价灵活性时,零售商的预期利润更高,即制造商提供两个价格,主要订单的基本价格和特殊订单的不同价格,而不是所有产品的单一价格。其次,更高的需求变异性可能会增加零售商的利润。
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引用次数: 6
A note on optimal 'riskless' and 'risk' prices for the newsvendor problem with an assembly cost 关于具有装配成本的报贩问题的最佳“无风险”和“风险”价格的说明
Pub Date : 2010-02-08 DOI: 10.1504/IJIR.2010.031463
Mingming Leng, M. Parlar
For an assemble-to-order …rm operating in a single period, we …nd that, for the multiplicative demand case the optimal riskless price may or may not be higher than the optimal risk price. However, for the additive demand case, the optimal riskless price is always greater than the optimal risk price.
对于在单个周期内运行的组装到订单模式,我们发现,对于乘法需求情况,最优无风险价格可能高于也可能不高于最优风险价格。然而,对于附加需求情况,最优无风险价格总是大于最优风险价格。
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引用次数: 3
Optimal base-stock policy for the inventory system with periodic review, backorders and sequential lead times 库存系统的最优基本库存策略,包括定期审核、缺货和连续交货时间
Pub Date : 2008-07-03 DOI: 10.1504/IJIR.2008.019207
S. Johansen, Anders Thorstenson
We show that well-known textbook formulae for determining the optimal base stock of the inventory system with continuous review and constant lead time can easily be extended to the case with periodic review and stochastic, sequential lead times. The provided performance measures and conditions for optimality are exact
我们表明,用于确定具有连续评审和恒定提前期的库存系统的最优基础库存的著名教科书公式可以很容易地扩展到具有定期评审和随机连续提前期的情况。所提供的性能度量和最优性条件是精确的
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引用次数: 25
Multi-Echelon Repairable Item Inventory System with Limited Repair Capacity under Nonstationary Demands 非平稳需求下有限修理能力的多级可修物品库存系统
Pub Date : 2008-07-03 DOI: 10.1504/IJIR.2008.019209
H. Lau, Huawei Song
Classical multi-echelon repairable item inventory models are based either on steady-state analysis or infinite repair capacity, which may not work well in situations when the demand is nonstationary, or repair capacity is limited. In this paper, we propose an analytical model for evaluating system performance that works well under limited repair capacity and nonstationary demands. Following the METRIC methodology, we then develop an optimisation algorithm to solve the corrective maintenance problem in military logistics. Experimental results show that our approach yields good solutions efficiently. This work has also resulted in a software that has been field-tested by a military organisation.
经典的多级可修复物品库存模型要么基于稳态分析,要么基于无限修复能力,这在需求不稳定或修复能力有限的情况下可能不太适用。在本文中,我们提出了一个评估系统性能的分析模型,该模型在有限的维修能力和非平稳需求下都能很好地工作。根据METRIC方法,我们开发了一种优化算法来解决军事后勤中的纠正维护问题。实验结果表明,该方法能有效地得到较好的解。这项工作还产生了一个软件,该软件已由一个军事组织进行了实地测试。
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引用次数: 32
Optimal replenishment in a Brownian Motion EOQ model with hysteretic parameter changes 具有滞回参数变化的布朗运动EOQ模型的最优补货
Pub Date : 2008-07-03 DOI: 10.1504/IJIR.2008.019205
O. Berman, D. Perry, W. Stadje
We consider an EOQ model in which the content level is modelled by a Brownian Motion (BM) with state-dependent drift and diffusion parameters. There are either one or two prespecified switchover threshold values (cases 1 and 2) such that the drift and the volatility change whenever the critical threshold is reached (in case 1) or whenever the upper threshold is reached from below or the lower one from above (in case 2). The controller places an order of fixed size every time the content level reaches 0. We derive all the relevant cost functionals for the discounted case with infinite horizon and for the long-run average case. These explicit results are used for finding the optimal replenishment level in the long-run average case.
我们考虑了一个EOQ模型,其中的含量水平由具有状态相关漂移和扩散参数的布朗运动(BM)建模。有一个或两个预先指定的切换阈值(情况1和2),这样,每当达到临界阈值时(情况1),或者每当从下面达到上限阈值或从上面达到下限阈值时(情况2),漂移和波动性都会发生变化。每次内容水平达到0时,控制器放置固定大小的订单。我们导出了无限视界贴现情况和长期平均情况下的所有相关成本函数。这些明确的结果用于寻找长期平均情况下的最佳补货水平。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
International Journal of Inventory Research
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