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Risk culture and cost of capital – Insight from European banks 风险文化与资本成本 - 欧洲银行的见解
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111906

This study examines the impact of risk culture on the cost of capital (i.e., WACC, Cost of equity and cost of debt) in European banks. We measure risk culture using comprehensive textual analysis approach. Based on 134 banks from 2005 to 2022, findings reveal that risk culture is negatively associated with all cost of capital measures. This indicates that robust risk culture reduces information asymmetry and boosts investor confidence, leading to lower costs of capital. Our findings reflect the importance of aligning risk management practices with regulatory requirements and investor expectations.

本研究探讨了风险文化对欧洲银行资本成本(即加权平均资本成本、股权成本和债务成本)的影响。我们采用综合文本分析方法来衡量风险文化。基于 2005 年至 2022 年的 134 家银行,研究结果表明,风险文化与所有资本成本指标呈负相关。这表明,稳健的风险文化可以减少信息不对称,增强投资者信心,从而降低资本成本。我们的研究结果反映了风险管理实践与监管要求和投资者预期保持一致的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Can financial technology enhance corporate investment efficiency? Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic 金融技术能否提高企业投资效率?来自 COVID-19 大流行病的证据
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111911

We quantify the FinTech development level by textual analysis. The results show that the intensification of the COVID epidemic adversely affects corporate investment efficiency, but the development of FinTech mitigates such a negative effect by alleviating financing constraints.

我们通过文本分析来量化金融科技的发展水平。结果表明,COVID 疫情的加剧对企业投资效率产生了不利影响,但金融科技的发展通过缓解融资约束减轻了这种负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Smooth-transition SVAR and external instrument: Insights on the identifying assumptions 平滑过渡 SVAR 和外部工具:关于识别假设的见解
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111902

Identification of smooth-transition VAR structural parameters using an external instrument requires supplementary assumptions relative to the benchmark linear case. This paper shows that such additional discretion may have relevant implications for impulse response functions estimates.

相对于基准线性情况,使用外部工具识别平稳过渡 VAR 结构参数需要额外的假设。本文表明,这种额外的自由裁量权可能会对脉冲响应函数的估计产生相关影响。
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引用次数: 0
Uncertainty of fiscal policy and corporate leverage decisions 财政政策和企业杠杆决策的不确定性
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111908

We explore the impact of fiscal policy uncertainty (FPU) on corporate leverage in the context of Chinese firms. The analysis reveals a significant negative association between FPU and leverage, consistent across various leverage measures. Additionally, trade credit, financial distress risk, state ownership, and nonlinear dynamics significantly influence this relationship. These findings offer new insights into the effects of fiscal uncertainty on corporate leverage, highlighting the broader implications for corporate financial strategies.

我们以中国企业为背景,探讨了财政政策不确定性(FPU)对企业杠杆率的影响。分析表明,财政政策不确定性与杠杆率之间存在显著的负相关关系,这在各种杠杆率衡量标准中都是一致的。此外,贸易信贷、财务困境风险、国有产权和非线性动态也会对这一关系产生显著影响。这些发现为了解财政不确定性对企业杠杆率的影响提供了新的视角,突出了对企业财务战略的广泛影响。
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引用次数: 0
Does administrative monopoly regulation affect cross-regional resource allocation? 行政垄断监管会影响跨区域资源分配吗?
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111901

Utilizing China's Fair Competition Review System (FCRS) as a quasi-natural experiment, our study explores the relationship between administrative monopoly regulation and firms' cross-regional resource allocation. By analyzing data from China's listed firms from 2009 to 2022, we find that the FCRS significantly enables firms to diversify their customer bases across regions, facilitated by reduced transaction costs and enhanced market competition. Additionally, the FCRS boosts both the sales revenue and rankings of cross-regional customers. Moreover, the positive effects of the FCRS are especially pronounced in regions where the policy is implemented more robustly. Our research contributes to the understanding of how governmental actions impact resource allocation and highlights a novel micro-level mechanism that promotes the development of a unified domestic market.

我们的研究以中国的公平竞争审查制度(FCRS)为准自然实验,探讨了行政垄断监管与企业跨区域资源配置之间的关系。通过分析 2009 年至 2022 年中国上市公司的数据,我们发现公平竞争审查制度显著促进了企业跨区域客户基础的多样化,降低了交易成本,增强了市场竞争。此外,FCRS 还提高了跨区域客户的销售收入和排名。此外,在政策实施力度较大的地区,FCRS 的积极效应尤为明显。我们的研究有助于理解政府行为如何影响资源配置,并强调了一种促进国内统一市场发展的新型微观机制。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 literature in Elsevier finance journal ecosystem 爱思唯尔金融期刊生态系统中的 COVID-19 文献
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111905

Analyzing 1238 documents from the Elsevier Finance Journal Ecosystem, this study identifies key financial research trends during the pandemic. It explores four thematic clusters as well as the contributors’ network, and highlights Finance Research Letters as the most influential journal with 438 publications.

本研究分析了爱思唯尔金融期刊生态系统中的 1238 篇文献,确定了大流行病期间的主要金融研究趋势。研究探讨了四个主题集群以及投稿人网络,并重点指出《金融研究通讯》是最具影响力的期刊,共发表了 438 篇论文。
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引用次数: 0
Do optimistic portfolios outperform pessimistic portfolios: Evidence from textual sentiment 乐观的投资组合是否优于悲观的投资组合?来自文本情绪的证据
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111900

We examine whether textual sentiment (from news and social media) explains the cross-section of stock returns. Sentiment scores are used to sort stocks into tercile portfolios daily. Various asset pricing models, including CAPM and Fama-French models, are used to assess the sentiment's impact on returns after accounting for traditional risk factors. Results show that portfolios with higher (optimistic) sentiment consistently yield better average returns across the two sentiment measures and the different asset pricing models.

我们研究了文本情绪(来自新闻和社交媒体)是否能解释股票收益的横截面。情绪分数用于每日将股票分类为三元投资组合。在考虑传统风险因素后,我们使用包括 CAPM 和 Fama-French 模型在内的各种资产定价模型来评估情绪对收益的影响。结果表明,在两种情绪衡量标准和不同的资产定价模型中,情绪较高(乐观)的投资组合始终能获得较好的平均回报。
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引用次数: 0
Financial literacy and borrower discouragement 金融知识普及和借款人气馁
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111898

This study provides first empirical evidence on the impact of entrepreneurs’ financial literacy on borrower discouragement. Using novel survey data on Italian micro-enterprises, we find that less financially knowledgeable entrepreneurs are more likely to be discouraged from applying for new financing, especially due to higher application costs. Our results are robust to several sensitivity checks, including accounting for potential endogeneity. Furthermore, we show that the observed self-rationing mechanism is rather inefficient, suggesting that financial literacy might play a key role in reducing credit market imperfections.

本研究首次提供了企业家金融知识对借款人望而却步的影响的实证证据。通过使用意大利微型企业的新型调查数据,我们发现金融知识较少的企业家更有可能在申请新融资时望而却步,尤其是由于申请成本较高。我们的研究结果对几种敏感性检查(包括考虑潜在的内生性)都是稳健的。此外,我们还发现,观察到的自我定价机制相当低效,这表明金融知识可能在减少信贷市场缺陷方面发挥着关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Which daily equity returns improve output forecasts? 哪些每日股票收益率能改善产出预测?
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111897

We document the improvements in short term forecasts of real output growth for the United States and the euro area from incorporating daily financial data and using mixed data sampling (MIDAS) regressions. Furthermore, we show that a significant share of forecast improvements are driven by information embedded in stock returns of large, capital-intensive firms. In comparison, labor-intensive firms contribute less to improvements in output forecasts within a MIDAS framework.

我们记录了通过纳入每日金融数据和使用混合数据抽样(MIDAS)回归对美国和欧元区实际产出增长短期预测的改进。此外,我们还表明,预测改进的很大一部分是由大型资本密集型企业股票回报中的信息所驱动的。相比之下,在 MIDAS 框架内,劳动密集型企业对产出预测改善的贡献较小。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing time-varying risk in China’s GDP growth 评估中国 GDP 增长的时变风险
IF 2.1 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111896

This paper employs a novel approach to model the conditional distribution of China’s GDP growth with time-varying location, scale, and shape parameters. By decomposing the parameters into permanent and transitory components and introducing a series of macroeconomic variables, this study examines the factors that influence the time-varying risks of China’s GDP growth. The findings suggest a significant difference between permanent and transitory changes in the Chinese economy and show that macroeconomic variables impact all three moments. Despite being occasionally susceptible to adverse downside risks, China’s economy exhibits strong resilience and rapid recovery.

本文采用一种新颖的方法对中国 GDP 增长的条件分布进行建模,其中包含随时间变化的位置、规模和形状参数。通过将参数分解为永久性和暂时性部分,并引入一系列宏观经济变量,本研究探讨了影响中国 GDP 增长时变风险的因素。研究结果表明,中国经济的永久性变化和暂时性变化之间存在显著差异,并表明宏观经济变量对这三个时刻都有影响。尽管中国经济偶尔会受到不利的下行风险的影响,但中国经济表现出强大的韧性和快速的复苏。
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引用次数: 0
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