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An integrative paradigm for building causal knowledge 构建因果知识的综合范式
IF 6.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1002/ecm.1628
James B. Grace
A core aspiration of the ecological sciences is to determine how systems work, which implies the challenge of developing a causal understanding. Causal inference has long been approached from a statistical perspective, which can be limited and restrictive for a variety of reasons. Ecologists and other natural scientists have historically pursued mechanistic knowledge as an alternative approach to causal understanding, though without explicit reference to the requirements of causal statistics. In this paper, I describe the premises of an expanded paradigm for causal studies, the Integrative Causal Investigation Paradigm, that subsumes causal statistics and mechanistic investigation into a multi‐evidence approach. This paradigm is distinct from the one articulated by causal statistics in that it (1) focuses its attention on the long‐term goal of building causal knowledge across multiple studies and (2) recognizes the essential role of mechanistic investigations in establishing a causal understanding. The Integrative Paradigm, consequentially, proposes that there are multiple methodological routes to building causal knowledge and thus represents a pluralistic perspective. This paper begins by describing the crux of the problem faced by causal statistics. To understand this problem, it should be recognized that the word causal has multiple meanings and a variety of evidential standards. An expanded vocabulary is developed so as to reduce ambiguities and clarify critical issues. I further show by example that there is an important ingredient typically omitted from consideration in causal statistics, which is the known information related to the mechanisms underlying relationships being evaluated. To address this issue, I describe a procedure, Causal Knowledge Analysis, that involves an evaluation and compilation of existing evidence indicative of causal content and the features of mechanisms. Causal Knowledge Analysis is applied to three example situations to illustrate the process and its potential for contributing to the development of causal knowledge. The implications of adopting the proposed paradigm and associated procedures are discussed and include the potential for advancing ecology, the potential for clarifying causal methodology, and the potential for contributing to predictive forecasting.
生态科学的一个核心愿望是确定系统是如何运作的,这意味着对因果关系的理解是一个挑战。长期以来,因果推断一直是从统计角度出发的,但由于种种原因,这种方法可能具有局限性和限制性。生态学家和其他自然科学家历来追求机械论知识,将其作为因果理解的另一种方法,尽管没有明确提及因果统计的要求。在本文中,我描述了一种扩展的因果研究范式--"综合因果调查范式"--的前提条件,它将因果统计和机理调查归纳为一种多证据方法。该范式有别于因果统计所阐述的范式,因为它(1)将注意力集中在通过多项研究建立因果知识的长期目标上,(2)承认机理调查在建立因果理解中的重要作用。因此,"整合范式 "提出了建立因果知识的多种方法论途径,因而代表了一种多元化视角。本文首先描述了因果统计所面临问题的症结所在。要理解这个问题,就应认识到因果一词有多重含义和多种证据标准。为了减少歧义并澄清关键问题,我们需要扩充词汇。我进一步举例说明,在因果统计中通常会忽略一个重要因素,即与被评估关系的基础机制有关的已知信息。为了解决这个问题,我描述了一个程序--因果知识分析,其中包括对表明因果内容和机制特征的现有证据进行评估和汇编。因果知识分析法适用于三个示例情况,以说明该过程及其促进因果知识发展的潜力。讨论了采用拟议范式和相关程序的意义,包括推动生态学发展的潜力、澄清因果关系方法的潜力以及促进预测预报的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Parasites disrupt a keystone mutualism that underpins the structure, functioning, and resilience of a coastal ecosystem 寄生虫破坏了支撑沿海生态系统结构、功能和恢复力的关键性互惠关系
IF 6.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1002/ecm.1630
Joseph P. Morton, Brian P. Davis, Taylor A. Walker, India H. Haber, Eve H. Adelson, Brian R. Silliman
Parasites can alter the traits or densities of mutualistic partners, potentially destabilizing mutualistic associations that underpin the structure, functioning, and stability of entire ecosystems. Despite the potentially wide-ranging consequences of such disruptions, no studies have directly manipulated parasite prevalence and/or intensity in a mutualistic partner, nor quantified the resulting community-level effects. Here, we investigated the effects of a common trematode parasite (Cercaria opaca) on the strength of a keystone facultative mutualism in western Atlantic salt marshes between the foundational marsh cordgrass, Spartina alterniflora, and the ribbed mussel, Geukensia demissa. Cordgrass increases mussel survivorship and growth through shading, while mussels enhance cordgrass growth by producing nutrient-rich biodeposits. This mutualistic association also creates conditions that enhance biodiversity and ecosystem functioning, and mediates the ability of foundational plants to resist and recover from extreme drought. We used lab and field assays to show how increasing infection with trematode metacercariae negatively influenced mussel biodeposit production, as well as the strength of mussel shells and byssal attachments. By conducting a field manipulation using experimentally infected mussels, we demonstrated that the mutualistic benefits of mussels to cordgrass growth decreased with increasing trematode infection intensity—a pattern likely generated by reduced mussel biodeposition and enhanced mortality. Additionally, increasing parasite loads in mussels led to predictable decreases in the abundances of benthic invertebrates, as well as in key ecosystem characteristics and process rates (i.e., redox potential and sediment accretion). Finally, a survey of five North Carolina salt marshes demonstrated that infection with C. opaca was most common in mussels in areas experiencing cordgrass die-off due to drought, and that infection intensity decreased with distance from die-off areas. Because the mussel–cordgrass mutualism underpins marsh ecosystem resilience to drought-associated die-off, our results suggest that parasitism may depress recovery from these disturbances. Although this is the first experimental demonstration of parasites indirectly altering community structure and functioning by undermining an ecologically influential mutualism, this type of relationship could be common in nature, given that parasites frequently infect influential mutualists.
寄生虫会改变互生伙伴的性状或密度,从而可能破坏互生关系的稳定,而互生关系是整个生态系统结构、功能和稳定性的基础。尽管这种破坏可能造成广泛的后果,但目前还没有研究直接操纵寄生虫在互生伙伴中的流行率和/或强度,也没有量化由此产生的群落级效应。在这里,我们研究了一种常见的吸虫寄生虫(Cercaria opaca)对大西洋西部盐沼中基础沼泽灯心草(Spartina alterniflora)和肋贻贝(Geukensia demissa)之间的基石互生关系强度的影响。灯心草通过遮荫提高贻贝的存活率和生长速度,而贻贝则通过产生营养丰富的生物沉积物促进灯心草的生长。这种互惠关系还创造了提高生物多样性和生态系统功能的条件,并增强了基础植物抵抗极端干旱和从极端干旱中恢复的能力。我们利用实验室和野外试验表明,吸虫感染的增加如何对贻贝生物沉积物的产生以及贻贝壳和底栖附着物的强度产生负面影响。通过使用受实验感染的贻贝进行实地操作,我们证明,随着吸虫感染强度的增加,贻贝对灯心草生长的互利性会降低--这种模式可能是由贻贝生物沉积减少和死亡率增加造成的。此外,贻贝体内寄生虫数量的增加也会导致底栖无脊椎动物数量以及关键生态系统特征和过程速率(即氧化还原电位和沉积物吸积)的下降。最后,对北卡罗来纳州五个盐沼的调查表明,在因干旱导致灯心草枯死的地区,贻贝感染 C. opaca 的情况最为普遍,而且感染强度随距离枯死区的距离而降低。由于贻贝与灯心草的互生关系是沼泽生态系统抵御干旱引起的枯死的基础,我们的研究结果表明,寄生虫可能会抑制沼泽生态系统从这些干扰中恢复过来。虽然这是寄生虫通过破坏具有生态影响力的互生关系间接改变群落结构和功能的首次实验证明,但鉴于寄生虫经常感染具有影响力的互生者,这种关系在自然界中可能很常见。
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引用次数: 0
Thermal biology diversity of bee pollinators: Taxonomic, phylogenetic, and plant community-level correlates 蜜蜂授粉者的热生物多样性:分类学、系统发育和植物群落层面的相关性
IF 6.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1002/ecm.1625
Carlos M. Herrera
Community-wide assembly of plant–pollinator systems depends on an intricate combination of biotic and abiotic factors, including heterogeneity among pollinators in thermal biology and responses to abiotic factors. Studies on the thermal biology of pollinators have mostly considered only one or a few species of plants or pollinators at a time, and the possible driving role of the diversity in thermal biology of pollinator asemblages at the plant community level remains largely unexplored. More specifically, it is unknown whether diversity in the thermal biology of bees, a major pollinator group worldwide, contributes to the assembly and maintenance of diverse bee communities; broadens the spectrum of possibilities available to bee-pollinated plants; facilitates interspecific partitioning of ecological gradients across habitats, seasons, and time of day; and/or enhance plant pollination success through complementarity effects. The objectives of this study were to assess the diversity in thermal biology of the bee assemblage that pollinates plants in a Mediterranean montane area, evaluate its taxonomic and phylogenetic underpinnings, and elucidate whether there existed seasonal, daily, between-habitat, or floral visitation correlates of bee thermal biology which could contribute to partition ecological gradients among plant and bee species. Thermal biology parameters were obtained in the laboratory (K, intrinsic warming constant) and the field (thoracic and ambient temperature at foraging site, Tth and Tair) on individual bees of a diverse sample (N = 204 bee species) comprising most bee pollinators of the regional plant community. Species-specific thermal biology parameters were combined with quantitative field data on bee pollinators and flower visitation for the regional community of entomophilous plants (N = 292 plant species). Results revealed that the regional bee assemblage harbored considerable diversity in thermal biology features; that such diversity was mostly taxonomically, phylogenetically, and body-size structured; and that the broad interspecific heterogeneity in thermal biology represented in the bee community as a whole eventually translated into daily, seasonal, among-habitat, and flower visitation patterns at the plant community level. This lends support to the hypothesis that broad diversity in thermal biology of bees can enhance opportunities for bee coexistence, spatiotemporal partitioning of floral resources, and plant pollination success.
植物-传粉昆虫系统的全群落组合取决于生物和非生物因素的复杂组合,包括传粉昆虫在热生物学方面的异质性和对非生物因素的反应。有关传粉昆虫热生物学的研究大多一次只考虑一种或几种植物或传粉昆虫,而在植物群落水平上,传粉昆虫集合体热生物学多样性的可能驱动作用在很大程度上仍未得到探讨。更具体地说,蜜蜂是世界上主要的传粉昆虫群体,其热生物学多样性是否有助于组成和维持多样化的蜜蜂群落;是否拓宽了蜜蜂授粉植物的可能性范围;是否促进了不同生境、季节和时间的生态梯度的种间分区;以及/或是否通过互补效应提高了植物授粉的成功率,这些都是未知数。本研究的目的是评估在地中海山地地区为植物授粉的蜜蜂群的热生物学多样性,评估其分类学和系统发育基础,并阐明蜜蜂热生物学是否存在季节、日、栖息地之间或花卉访问相关性,从而有助于划分植物和蜜蜂物种之间的生态梯度。在实验室(K,固有升温常数)和野外(觅食地点的胸腔温度和环境温度,Tth和Tair)对不同样本(N = 204 种蜜蜂)中的蜜蜂个体进行了热生物学参数测定,这些样本包括区域植物群落中的大多数蜜蜂授粉者。将特定物种的热生物学参数与蜜蜂授粉者和花朵访问量的定量实地数据相结合,得出了该地区嗜昆虫植物群落(N = 292 种植物)的热生物学参数。结果表明,区域蜜蜂群落的热生物学特征具有相当大的多样性;这种多样性主要是分类学、系统发育和体型结构上的多样性;蜜蜂群落作为一个整体在热生物学上表现出的广泛的种间异质性最终转化为植物群落水平上的日常、季节、栖息地间和访花模式。这支持了一个假设,即蜜蜂热生物学的广泛多样性可以提高蜜蜂共存的机会、花卉资源的时空分配以及植物授粉的成功率。
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引用次数: 0
The enigmatic life history of the bamboo explained as a strategy to arrest succession 竹子神秘的生活史被解释为一种阻止继承的策略
IF 6.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1002/ecm.1621
Aiyu Zheng, Stephen W. Pacala
Bamboos are perennial woody grasses that display an enigmatic mix of traits. Bamboo is highly shade intolerant like early-successional trees. Without secondary xylem, bamboos cannot continue to grow once they reach a maximum height or replace xylem damaged by hydraulic stress and must instead replace each stem after a few years using vegetative propagation via rhizomes. These traits of bamboo would appear to make them inferior to trees in competition for both light and water in all but early-successional wet locations. However, some species competitively exclude trees and form persistent monodominant stands across large areas in tropical and temperate forests, including areas that are not mesic. Moreover, bamboo paradoxically postpones seed production for decades to over a century, and then flowers semelparously and dies synchronously. The delayed reproduction appears to be inconsistent with an early-successional strategy to colonize disturbed areas as soon as they form, while the simultaneous death over large areas appears to be inconsistent with a late-successional strategy to gain and hold space. Bamboo exhibits great diversity in its growth form and life histories along the tropical-temperate geographical cline, with tropical bamboo being taller with shorter rhizome lengths and flowering interval lengths than temperate bamboo. We hypothesize that all of the above characteristics of bamboo are essential elements of competitive strategies to arrest succession in a lineage that lacks secondary xylem. To develop this Arrested Succession Hypothesis, we construct mathematical models of competition for recently disturbed areas between a tree species and a species with bamboo's enigmatic characteristics. We modeled the growth of bamboo genetic individuals from seedlings after seed germination to clonal culms at mass flowering and then placed these individuals in competition with one another and with trees in simple models of competition for light. Results explain how bamboo's traits allow it to persist in forests late in succession despite its hydraulic disadvantages, and form monodominant stands in the temperate zone, but not in tropical forests. They explain why bamboo is semelparous with synchronized reproduction, and why maximum culm size and age, reproductive interval, and rhizome length differ between the tropics and the temperate zone.
竹子是多年生木本草本植物,具有多种神秘的特性。竹子与早生树木一样非常不耐阴。由于没有次生木质部,竹子在达到最高高度后无法继续生长,也无法更换因水压而受损的木质部,而必须在几年后通过根茎进行无性繁殖来更换茎干。竹子的这些特性似乎使它们在除早期演替的潮湿地区以外的所有地区,在光照和水分的竞争中都不如树木。然而,在热带和温带森林中,一些竹类会竞争性地排斥树木,并在大面积区域(包括非中风地区)形成持久的单优势林分。此外,竹子还自相矛盾地将种子生产推迟了几十年到一个多世纪,然后半雌雄同株开花并同步死亡。延迟繁殖似乎与早期演替策略不一致,早期演替策略是在受干扰地区形成后立即定居,而大面积同时死亡似乎与晚期演替策略不一致,晚期演替策略是获得并保持空间。竹子的生长形态和生活史在热带-温带地理分界线上表现出极大的多样性,热带竹子比温带竹子高大,根茎长度和开花间隔长度较短。我们假设,竹子的上述所有特征都是缺乏次生木质部的竹系阻止演替的竞争策略的基本要素。为了提出这一 "阻止演替假说",我们构建了一个数学模型,说明一个树种和一个具有竹子神秘特征的树种在最近受干扰地区的竞争情况。我们模拟了竹子基因个体从种子发芽后的幼苗到大量开花时的克隆秆的生长过程,然后将这些个体置于简单的光照竞争模型中与树木相互竞争。研究结果解释了竹子的特性如何使其在水力条件不利的情况下仍能在森林中持续晚期演替,并在温带形成单优势林分,但在热带森林中却不能。这些结果解释了为什么竹子是半雌雄同株同步繁殖,以及为什么热带和温带竹子的最大茎秆大小和年龄、繁殖间隔和根茎长度不同。
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引用次数: 0
New theoretical and analytical framework for quantifying and classifying ecological niche differentiation 量化和分类生态位差异的新理论和分析框架
IF 6.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1002/ecm.1622
Alfredo Ascanio, Jason T. Bracken, Martin Henry H. Stevens, Tereza Jezkova
Ecological niche differentiation is a process that accompanies lineage diversification and community assembly. Traditionally, the degree of niche differentiation is estimated by contrasting niche hypervolumes of two taxa, reconstructed using ecologically relevant variables. These methods disregard the fact that niches can shift in different ways and directions. Without means of discriminating between different types of niche differentiation, important evolutionary and ecological patterns may go unrecognized. Herein, we introduce a new conceptual and methodological framework that allows quantification and classification of niche differentiation and divergence between taxa along single niche axis. This new method, the Niche Divergence Plane, is based on species' responses to an underlying environmental gradient, from which we derive a two‐dimensional plane defined by two indices, niche exclusivity and niche dissimilarity. These two indices identify the proportion of the environmental gradient that is unique to each species, that is, how much of the environmental gradient species do not share (niche breadth exclusivity) and how different the species' responses are along the environmental gradient (niche dissimilarity). Thus, the latter can also be seen as a measure of the differences in niche preference or importance, even when there is significant overlap in niche breadth (i.e., low niche exclusivity). Based on the position of the two indices on the divergence plane, we can distinguish niche conservatism from four other general types of niche divergence: hard, soft, weighted, and nested. We demonstrate that the Niche Divergence Plane complements traditional measures of niche similarity (e.g., Schoener's D or Hellinger's I). Additionally, we show an empirical comparison using the Niche Divergence Plane framework on two Ambystoma salamanders. Overall, we demonstrate that the Niche Divergence Plane is a versatile tool that can be used to complement and expand previous methods of ecological niche comparisons and the study of ecological niche divergence.
生态位分化是一个伴随着类群多样化和群落集结的过程。传统上,生态位分化程度是通过对比利用生态相关变量重建的两个类群的生态位超体积来估算的。这些方法忽略了一个事实,即生态位可能以不同的方式和方向发生变化。如果不能区分不同类型的生态位分化,重要的进化和生态模式可能会被忽视。在本文中,我们介绍了一种新的概念和方法框架,可以对分类群之间沿着单一生态位轴线的生态位分化和差异进行量化和分类。这种新方法,即生态位分化平面(Niche Divergence Plane),是基于物种对潜在环境梯度的反应,我们从中得出一个由生态位排他性(niche exclusivity)和生态位差异性(niche dissimilarity)两个指数定义的二维平面。这两个指数确定了环境梯度中每个物种所独有的比例,即物种不共享的环境梯度有多大(生态位排他性广度),以及沿环境梯度物种反应的差异有多大(生态位差异性)。因此,即使在生态位广度存在显著重叠(即生态位排他性较低)的情况下,后者也可以被视为生态位偏好或重要性差异的衡量标准。根据这两个指数在分歧平面上的位置,我们可以将生态位保守主义与其他四种一般类型的生态位分歧区分开来:硬分歧、软分歧、加权分歧和嵌套分歧。我们证明,生态位发散平面是对传统生态位相似性测量方法(如肖纳 D 或海灵格 I)的补充。此外,我们还展示了使用生态位发散平面框架对两只大鲵进行的实证比较。总之,我们证明了生态位发散平面是一种多功能工具,可以用来补充和扩展以前的生态位比较方法和生态位发散研究。
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引用次数: 0
Fire exclusion alters forest evapotranspiration: A comprehensive water budget analysis in longleaf pine woodlands 火灾排斥改变了森林蒸散作用:长叶松林地的综合水预算分析
IF 6.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-11 DOI: 10.1002/ecm.1623
Steven T. Brantley, O. Stribling Stuber, Dakota L. Holder, R. Scott Taylor
Forests are critical to water resources, but high evapotranspiration (ET) can reduce water yield. Thinning and prescribed fire reduce forest density and often reduce ET, promoting higher water yield. However, results from such treatments have been inconsistent, possibly because of unknown interactions among individual ET components. We compare water budget components of longleaf pine (Pinus palustris Mill.) woodlands with frequent prescribed fire to the water budget components of fire-excluded stands. We hypothesized that fire exclusion would result in higher ET due to increased midstory transpiration (Et) and interception (Ei), and higher evaporation from litter (Ilitter). Reference plots were burned every two years while treatment plots had fire excluded for 15–20 years. Fire treatments were repeated in two sites representing a soil moisture gradient, noted as mesic and xeric. We measured woody Et using sap flux, and we modeled groundcover Et using physiological models. We measured Ei of canopy and groundcover layers, modeled Es litter biomass, and constructed a total component-based water budget for each site and treatment. Compared with reference plots, midstory Et was 300%–800% higher in fire exclusion plots. Groundcover Et was ~80% less than reference treatments, countering the effects of midstory growth on total ET. Stand Ei followed similar trends, with groundcover Ei in reference plots countering the effects of midstory and litter Ei in fire exclusion plots. As expected, total ET in the xeric site was 18% higher in fire exclusion plots. However, ET in the mesic site was 16% lower in the fire exclusion plots due to high groundcover Et and Ei in reference plots. Thus, our results show that fire exclusion changes total forest ET, but the size and direction of the effect vary depending on the balance between midstory and groundcover transpiration and interception. These results highlight the importance of groundcover in ecosystem function in low-density forests and may help explain inconsistent results from studies of water yields following thinning and fire. While prescribed fire is a valuable tool in forest management, we suggest that the effects of fire on ET are complex and require careful accounting of all water fluxes within a forest ecosystem.
森林对水资源至关重要,但高蒸散量(ET)会降低产水量。疏伐和明火会降低森林密度,通常也会减少蒸散发,从而提高产水量。然而,此类处理的结果并不一致,这可能是因为各个蒸散发成分之间的相互作用未知。我们比较了长叶松(Pinus palustris Mill.)我们假设,由于中层蒸腾作用(Et)和截流作用(Ei)的增加以及枯落物蒸发量(Ilitter)的增加,火灾排除会导致蒸散发量的增加。参考地块每两年燃烧一次,而处理地块则在 15-20 年内禁火。在两个代表土壤湿度梯度的地点重复进行火烧处理,分别为中性和干旱地区。我们利用树液通量测量了木本植物的 Et,并利用生理模型模拟了地被植物的 Et。我们测量了冠层和地被层的 Ei,建立了枯落物生物量模型,并为每个地点和处理构建了基于总组分的水分预算。与参比地块相比,火灾排除地块的中层Et高出300%-800%。地表植被蒸散发比参考处理低 80%,抵消了中层生长对总蒸散发的影响。林分蒸散发也呈类似趋势,参考地块中的地被植物蒸散发抵消了防火隔离地块中的中生植物和枯落物蒸散发的影响。不出所料,干旱地块的总蒸散发比防火隔离地块高出 18%。然而,由于参考地块的高地被Et和Ei,中生地块的蒸散发比隔离防火地块低16%。因此,我们的研究结果表明,阻火会改变森林的总蒸散发,但影响的大小和方向会因中生植物和地被植物的蒸腾和截获之间的平衡而有所不同。这些结果凸显了地被植物在低密度森林生态系统功能中的重要性,并有助于解释疏伐和火烧后产水量研究结果不一致的原因。虽然规定用火是森林管理中的一个重要工具,但我们认为火对蒸散发的影响是复杂的,需要仔细考虑森林生态系统中的所有水通量。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon dynamics in high-Andean tropical cushion peatlands: A review of geographic patterns and potential drivers 高安第斯热带垫泥炭地的碳动态:地理模式和潜在驱动因素综述
IF 7.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1002/ecm.1614
Mary Carolina García Lino, Simon Pfanzelt, Alejandra I. Domic, Isabell Hensen, Karsten Schittek, Rosa Isela Meneses, Maaike Y. Bader

Peatlands store large amounts of carbon (C), a function potentially threatened by climate change. Peatlands composed of vascular cushion plants are widespread in the northern and central high Andes (páramo, wet and dry puna), but their C dynamics are hardly known. To understand the interplay of the main drivers of peatland C dynamics and to infer geographic patterns across the Andean regions, we addressed the following question: How do topography, hydrology, temperature, past climate variability, and vegetation influence the C dynamics of these peatlands? We summarize the available information on observed spatial and inferred temporal patterns of cushion peatland development in the tropical and subtropical Andes. Based on this, we recognize the following emerging patterns, which all need testing in further studies addressing spatial and temporal patterns of C accumulation: (1) Peatlands in dry climates and those in larger catchments receive higher sediment inputs than peatlands from wet puna and páramo and in small catchments. This results in peat stratigraphies intercalated with mineral layers and affects C accumulation by triggering vegetation changes. (2) High and constant water tables favor C accumulation. Seasonal water level fluctuations are higher in wet and dry puna, in comparison with páramo, leading to more frequent episodes of C loss in puna. (3) Higher temperatures favor C gain under high and constant water availability but also increase C loss under low and fluctuating water levels. (4) C accumulation has been variable through the Holocene, but several peatlands show a recent increase in C accumulation rates. (5) Vegetation affects C dynamics through species-specific differences in productivity and decomposition rate. Because of predicted regional differences in global climate change manifestations (seasonality, permafrost behavior, temperature, precipitation regimes), cushion peatlands from the páramo are expected to mostly continue as C sinks for now, whereas those of the dry puna are more likely to turn to C sources as a consequence of increasing aridification.

泥炭地储存了大量的碳(C),这一功能可能受到气候变化的威胁。由维管束垫植物组成的泥炭地广泛分布于安第斯山脉北部和中部高地(páramo、湿润和干燥的 puna),但人们对它们的碳动态却知之甚少。为了了解泥炭地碳动态的主要驱动因素之间的相互作用,并推断整个安第斯地区的地理模式,我们探讨了以下问题:地形、水文、温度、过去的气候变异和植被如何影响这些泥炭地的碳动态?我们总结了有关热带和亚热带安第斯山脉垫泥炭地发展的空间观测模式和时间推断模式的现有信息。在此基础上,我们认识到以下新出现的模式,这些模式都需要在针对碳积累的空间和时间模式的进一步研究中进行检验:(1)气候干燥的泥炭地和集水面积较大的泥炭地比潮湿的普纳和帕拉莫泥炭地以及集水面积较小的泥炭地接受更多的沉积物输入。这导致泥炭地层中夹杂着矿物层,并通过引发植被变化影响碳积累。(2) 水位高且恒定有利于碳积累。与帕拉莫相比,干湿普纳地区的季节性水位波动较大,导致普纳地区的碳损失更为频繁。(3) 较高的温度有利于在高水位和恒定水位条件下的碳增加,但也会增加在低水位和波动水位条件下的碳损失。(4) 碳积累在全新世一直变化不定,但一些泥炭地的碳积累率近期有所上升。(5) 植被通过物种生产力和分解率的差异影响碳动态。由于全球气候变化的表现形式(季节性、永久冻土行为、温度、降水机制)预计会存在区域差异,因此,目前,páramo地区的垫状泥炭地预计大多会继续作为碳汇,而干旱的puna地区的泥炭地则更有可能因日益干旱化而变成碳源。
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引用次数: 0
Using mobile acoustic monitoring and false-positive N-mixture models to estimate bat abundance and population trends 利用移动声学监测和假阳性 N 混合物模型估算蝙蝠数量和种群趋势
IF 6.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.1002/ecm.1617
Bradley J. Udell, Bethany Rose Straw, Susan C. Loeb, Kathryn M. Irvine, Wayne E. Thogmartin, Cori L. Lausen, Jonathan D. Reichard, Jeremy T. H. Coleman, Paul M. Cryan, Winifred F. Frick, Brian E. Reichert
Estimating the abundance of unmarked animal populations from acoustic data is challenging due to the inability to identify individuals and the need to adjust for observation biases including detectability (false negatives), species misclassification (false positives), and sampling exposure. Acoustic surveys conducted along mobile transects were designed to avoid counting individuals more than once, where raw counts are commonly treated as an index of abundance. More recently, false-positive abundance models have been developed to estimate abundance while accounting for imperfect detection and misclassification. We adapted these methods to model summertime abundance and trends of three species of bats at multiple spatial scales using acoustic recordings collected along mobile transects by partners of the North American Bat Monitoring Program (NABat) from 2012 to 2020. This multiscale modeling spanned individual transect routes, larger NABat grid cells (10 km × 10 km), and across the entire extent of modeled species ranges. We estimated relationships between species abundances and a suite of abiotic and biotic predictors (landcover types, climatological variables, physiographic diversity, building density, and the impacts of white-nose syndrome [WNS]) and found varying levels of support between species. We present clear evidence of substantial declines in populations of tricolored bats (Perimyotis subflavus) and little brown bats (Myotis lucifugus), declines that corresponded in space and time with the progression of WNS, a devastating disease of hibernating bats. In contrast, our analysis revealed that similar population-wide declines probably have not occurred in big brown bats (Eptesicus fuscus), a species known to be less affected by WNS. This study provides the first abundance-based species distribution predictions and population trends for bats in their summer ranges in North America. These models will probably be applicable to assessing wildlife populations in other monitoring programs where acoustic data are used or where false-negative and false-positive detections are present. Finally, our abundance framework (as a spatial point pattern process) can serve as a foundation from which more sophisticated integrated species distribution models that incorporate additional streams of monitoring data (e.g., stationary acoustics, captures) can be developed for North American bats.
从声学数据中估算无标记动物种群的丰度具有挑战性,因为无法识别个体,而且需要调整观测偏差,包括可探测性(假阴性)、物种错误分类(假阳性)和取样暴露。沿移动横断面进行的声学调查旨在避免对个体进行多次计数,而原始计数通常被视为丰度指数。最近,人们开发了假阳性丰度模型来估算丰度,同时考虑不完善的探测和错误分类。我们采用这些方法,利用北美蝙蝠监测计划(NABat)合作伙伴从 2012 年到 2020 年沿移动横断面收集的声学记录,在多个空间尺度上对三种蝙蝠的夏季丰度和趋势进行建模。这种多尺度建模跨越了单个横断面路线、更大的 NABat 网格单元(10 千米 × 10 千米)以及整个建模物种范围。我们估算了物种丰度与一系列非生物和生物预测因子(土地覆被类型、气候变量、地貌多样性、建筑密度和白鼻综合征 [WNS] 的影响)之间的关系,发现物种之间存在不同程度的支持。我们提出了三色蝠(Perimyotis subflavus)和小褐蝠(Myotis lucifugus)种群数量大幅下降的明确证据,这种下降在空间和时间上与白鼻综合症(一种对冬眠蝙蝠具有破坏性的疾病)的发展相一致。与此相反,我们的分析表明,大棕蝠(Eptesicus fuscus)可能没有出现类似的种群数量下降,而大棕蝠是已知受 WNS 影响较小的物种。这项研究首次对蝙蝠在北美夏季分布区的物种分布和种群趋势进行了基于丰度的预测。这些模型很可能适用于使用声学数据或存在假阴性和假阳性检测的其他监测项目中的野生动物种群评估。最后,我们的丰度框架(作为一个空间点模式过程)可以作为一个基础,在此基础上可以为北美蝙蝠开发出更复杂的综合物种分布模型,这些模型包含了更多的监测数据流(如固定声学数据、捕获数据)。
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引用次数: 0
Why are there so many definitions of eutrophication? 富营养化的定义为何如此之多?
IF 7.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1002/ecm.1616
Alexandrine Pannard, Philippe Souchu, Christian Chauvin, Monique Delabuis, Chantal Gascuel-Odoux, Erik Jeppesen, Morgane Le Moal, Alain Ménesguen, Gilles Pinay, Nancy N. Rabalais, Yves Souchon, Elisabeth M. Gross

Because of the first observations in the 1900s of the oligotrophic and eutrophic states of lakes, researchers have been interested in the process that makes lakes become turbid because of high phytoplankton biomass. Definitions of eutrophication have multiplied and diversified since the mid-20th century, more than for any other ecological process. Reasons for the high number of definitions might be that the former ones did not sufficiently describe their causes and/or consequences. Global change is bringing eutrophication more into the spotlight than ever, highlighting the need to find consensus on a common definition, or at least to explain and clarify why there are different meanings of the term eutrophication. To find common patterns, we analyzed 138 definitions that were classified by a multiple correspondence factor analysis (MCA) into three groups. The first group contains the most generic scientific definitions but many of these limit the causes to increased nutrient availability. A single definition takes into account all causes but would require additional work to clarify the process itself. Nutrient pollution, which is by far the primary cause of eutrophication in the Anthropocene, has generated a second group of environmental definitions that often specify the primary producers involved. Those definitions often mention the iconic consequences of nutrient pollution, such as increased algal biomass, anoxia/hypoxia and reduced biodiversity. The third group contains operational definitions, focusing on the consequences of nutrient pollution, for ecosystem services and therefore associated with ecosystem management issues. This group contains definitions related to regulations, mainly US laws and European directives. These numerous definitions, directly derived from the problem of nutrient pollution, have enlarged the landscape of definitions, and reflect the need to warn, legislate and implement a solution to remedy it. Satisfying this demand should not be confused with scientific research on eutrophication and must be based on communicating knowledge to as many people as possible using the simplest possible vocabulary. We propose that operational definitions (groups 2 and 3) should name the process “nutrient pollution,” making it possible to refine (scientific) definitions of eutrophication and to expand on other challenges such as climate warming, overfishing, and other nonnutrient-related chemical pollutions.

自 20 世纪首次观测到湖泊的低营养和富营养化状态以来,研究人员一直对浮游植物生物量过高导致湖泊浑浊的过程很感兴趣。自 20 世纪中叶以来,富营养化的定义倍增且多样化,超过了其他任何生态过程。定义繁多的原因可能是以前的定义没有充分描述其原因和/或后果。全球变化使富营养化比以往任何时候都更受关注,这凸显了就共同定义达成共识的必要性,或至少解释和澄清为什么富营养化一词有不同的含义。为了找到共同的模式,我们分析了 138 个定义,并通过多重对应因子分析(MCA)将其分为三组。第一组包含最通用的科学定义,但其中许多定义将原因局限于营养物质供应的增加。单一定义考虑了所有原因,但需要额外的工作来澄清过程本身。养分污染是迄今为止人类世富营养化的主要原因,它产生了第二类环境定义,这些定义通常明确指出了相关的主要生产者。这些定义经常提到营养物污染的标志性后果,如藻类生物量增加、缺氧/缺氧和生物多样性减少。第三组包含操作性定义,侧重于营养物污染对生态系统服务造成的后果,因此与生态系统管理问题相关。这一组包含与法规有关的定义,主要是美国法律和欧洲指令。这些直接源于营养物污染问题的众多定义扩大了定义的范围,并反映了警告、立法和实施解决方案以纠正营养物污染的需求。满足这一需求不应与富营养化的科学研究相混淆,而必须以使用尽可能简单的词汇向尽可能多的人传播知识为基础。我们建议,操作定义(第 2 组和第 3 组)应将这一过程命名为 "营养物污染",从而有可能完善富营养化的(科学)定义,并扩展到其他挑战,如气候变暖、过度捕捞和其他与营养物无关的化学污染。
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引用次数: 0
Increasing disturbance frequency undermines coral reef recovery 干扰频率的增加破坏了珊瑚礁的恢复
IF 7.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.1002/ecm.1619
Michael J. Emslie, Murray Logan, Peran Bray, Daniela M. Ceccarelli, Alistair J. Cheal, Terry P. Hughes, Kerryn A. Johns, Michelle J. Jonker, Emma V. Kennedy, James T. Kerry, Camille Mellin, Ian R. Miller, Kate Osborne, Marji Puotinen, Tane Sinclair-Taylor, Hugh Sweatman

Climate-driven alterations to disturbance regimes are increasingly disrupting patterns of recovery in many biomes. Here, we examine the impact of disturbance and subsequent level of recovery in live hard coral cover on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) across the last three decades. We demonstrate that a preexisting pattern of infrequent disturbances of limited spatial extent has changed to larger and more frequent disturbances, dominated by marine heatwaves and severe tropical cyclones. We detected an increase in the impact (measured as coral loss) across 265 individual disturbance impacts on 131 reefs in a 36-year dataset (1985–2022). Additionally, the number of survey reefs impacted by disturbance has increased each decade from 6% in the 1980s to 44% in the 2010s, as has the frequency of mass coral bleaching across the GBR, which has increased between 19% and 28% per year, and cyclones (3%–5% per year), resulting in less time for recovery. Of the 265 disturbance impacts we recorded, complete recovery to the highest levels of coral cover recorded earlier in this study (the “historical benchmark”) occurred only 62 (23%) times. Of the 23% of disturbance impacts that resulted in complete recovery to historical benchmarks, 34/62 recovered to their benchmark in 2021 or 2022. Complete recovery was more likely when the historical benchmark was <25% live hard coral cover. The lack of recovery was attributed to recovery time windows becoming shorter due to increases in the frequency of cyclones and of thermal stress events that result in mass coral bleaching episodes. These results confirm that climate change is contributing to ecosystem-wide changes in the ability of coral reefs to recover.

在许多生物群落中,气候驱动的干扰机制的改变正日益破坏恢复模式。在这里,我们研究了过去三十年中干扰对大堡礁(GBR)活体硬珊瑚覆盖率的影响以及随后的恢复水平。我们证明,以前存在的空间范围有限的不频繁干扰模式已转变为以海洋热浪和严重热带气旋为主的更大和更频繁的干扰。我们发现,在 36 年的数据集中(1985-2022 年),131 个珊瑚礁受到了 265 次干扰影响(以珊瑚损失衡量)。此外,受干扰影响的调查珊瑚礁数量每十年都在增加,从 20 世纪 80 年代的 6% 增加到 2010 年代的 44%,整个 GBR 大规模珊瑚白化的频率也在增加,每年增加 19% 到 28%,气旋(每年 3%-5%)也在增加,导致恢复时间缩短。在我们记录的 265 次干扰影响中,完全恢复到本研究早期记录的最高珊瑚覆盖水平("历史基准")的情况仅有 62 次(23%)。在完全恢复到历史基准的 23% 的干扰影响中,34/62 在 2021 年或 2022 年恢复到基准。当历史基准为 25% 的活硬珊瑚覆盖率时,完全恢复的可能性更大。没有恢复的原因是,气旋和导致大规模珊瑚白化事件的热应力事件的频率增加,导致恢复时间窗口变短。这些结果证实,气候变化正在导致整个生态系统的珊瑚礁恢复能力发生变化。
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Ecological Monographs
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